| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| (Understanding, Optimizing, Using and Forecasting) Realized Volatility and Correlation |
2 |
8 |
30 |
829 |
5 |
15 |
60 |
1,372 |
| A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk |
2 |
5 |
20 |
150 |
4 |
10 |
56 |
311 |
| A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk |
2 |
5 |
11 |
158 |
3 |
15 |
39 |
333 |
| A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk |
0 |
5 |
21 |
141 |
3 |
10 |
49 |
265 |
| A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations |
0 |
0 |
11 |
114 |
1 |
7 |
38 |
188 |
| A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations |
0 |
0 |
4 |
21 |
0 |
3 |
20 |
88 |
| A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations |
1 |
1 |
4 |
128 |
2 |
3 |
15 |
208 |
| A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
124 |
1 |
3 |
19 |
256 |
| A Three-Factor Yield Curve Model: Non-Affine Structure, Systematic Risk Sources, and Generalized Duration |
4 |
15 |
71 |
335 |
15 |
66 |
242 |
919 |
| A nonparametric investigation of duration dependence in the American business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
16 |
234 |
| An application of operational-subjective statistical methods to rational expectations: comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
342 |
| Asset Return Volatility, High-Frequency Data, and the New Financial Econometrics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
9 |
20 |
54 |
382 |
| Bounded Rationality and Strategic Complementarity in a Macroeconomic Model: Policy Effects, Persistence and Multipliers |
0 |
3 |
21 |
227 |
5 |
25 |
99 |
1,277 |
| Bounded Rationality and Strategic Complementarity in a Macroeconomic Model: Policy Effects, Persistence and Multipliers |
1 |
3 |
11 |
176 |
2 |
15 |
46 |
618 |
| Bounded rationality and strategic complementarity in a macroeconomic model: policy effects, persistence, and multipliers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
33 |
332 |
| Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting |
4 |
9 |
24 |
489 |
9 |
21 |
51 |
1,531 |
| Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
193 |
1 |
5 |
14 |
402 |
| Cointegration and long-horizon forecasting |
8 |
13 |
37 |
485 |
13 |
29 |
80 |
1,179 |
| Comparing Predictive Accuracy |
11 |
32 |
117 |
1,243 |
22 |
71 |
242 |
2,698 |
| Comparing predictive accuracy I: an asymptotic test |
2 |
10 |
17 |
41 |
12 |
45 |
128 |
651 |
| Conditional heteroskedasticity in the market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
309 |
| Converting 1-Day Volatility to h-Day Volatitlity: Scaling by Root-h is Worse Than You Think |
4 |
13 |
39 |
256 |
17 |
37 |
125 |
777 |
| Deterministic vs. Stochastic Trend in U.S. GNP, Yet Again |
1 |
3 |
17 |
263 |
6 |
18 |
144 |
1,324 |
| Deterministic vs. Stochastic Trend in U.S. GNP, Yet Again |
2 |
3 |
17 |
436 |
8 |
21 |
105 |
3,262 |
| Deviations from random-walk behavior: tests based on the variance-time function |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
12 |
432 |
| Direction-of-Change Forecasts Based on Conditional Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis Dynamics: International Evidence |
8 |
21 |
55 |
239 |
11 |
34 |
142 |
518 |
| Direction-of-Change Forecasts for Asian Equity Markets Based on Conditional Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis Dynamics: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore |
0 |
1 |
7 |
64 |
1 |
5 |
32 |
170 |
| Does the business cycle have duration memory? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
240 |
| Dynamic Equilibrium Economies: A Framework for Comparing Models and Data |
1 |
2 |
9 |
196 |
3 |
8 |
29 |
1,423 |
| Dynamic equilibrium economies: a framework for comparing models and data |
0 |
0 |
3 |
79 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
520 |
| Dynamic equilibrium economies: a framework for comparing models and data |
1 |
5 |
13 |
106 |
3 |
10 |
59 |
599 |
| Dynamic equilibrium economies: a framework for comparing models and data |
0 |
2 |
12 |
120 |
0 |
5 |
29 |
454 |
| Evaluating Density Forecasts |
1 |
4 |
6 |
168 |
1 |
5 |
19 |
442 |
| Evaluating Density Forecasts |
7 |
19 |
35 |
262 |
9 |
39 |
87 |
916 |
| Evaluating Density Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
6 |
54 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
265 |
| Evaluating Density Forecasts of Inflation: The Survey of Professional Forecasters |
0 |
3 |
6 |
228 |
2 |
5 |
21 |
1,076 |
| Evaluating Density Forecasts of Inflation: The Survey of Professional Forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
569 |
| Evaluating density forecasts |
0 |
1 |
11 |
210 |
1 |
4 |
27 |
692 |
| Ex ante turning point forecasting with the composite leading index |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
13 |
513 |
| Exact Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Observation-Driven Econometric Models |
3 |
8 |
21 |
227 |
6 |
21 |
73 |
1,394 |
| Exact maximum likelihood estimation of ARCH models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
11 |
34 |
368 |
| Exchange Rate Returns Standardized by Realized Volatility Are (Nearly) Gaussian |
2 |
5 |
15 |
232 |
4 |
13 |
61 |
720 |
| Exchange Rate Returns Standardized by Realized Volatility are (Nearly) Gaussian |
1 |
8 |
20 |
271 |
2 |
12 |
39 |
641 |
| Exchange Rate Returns Standardized by Realized Volatility are (Nearly) Gaussian |
5 |
8 |
22 |
392 |
12 |
18 |
73 |
1,273 |
| Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics |
1 |
3 |
17 |
172 |
4 |
10 |
50 |
268 |
| Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics |
1 |
3 |
9 |
127 |
1 |
4 |
29 |
305 |
| Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics |
4 |
11 |
34 |
160 |
6 |
19 |
77 |
345 |
| Financial Asset Returns, Market Timing, and Volatility Dynamics |
2 |
5 |
24 |
531 |
6 |
17 |
108 |
1,756 |
| Financial Risk Management in a Volatile Global Environment |
3 |
8 |
29 |
659 |
11 |
35 |
166 |
1,591 |
| Forecast Evaluation and Combination |
11 |
16 |
53 |
869 |
16 |
29 |
148 |
2,488 |
| Forecast combination and encompassing: reconciling two divergent literatures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
23 |
348 |
| Forecast evaluation and combination |
3 |
7 |
44 |
271 |
9 |
19 |
99 |
672 |
| Forecasting output with the composite leading index: an ex ante analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
20 |
80 |
795 |
| Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields |
4 |
8 |
35 |
807 |
8 |
19 |
85 |
1,760 |
| Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields |
8 |
20 |
75 |
556 |
21 |
44 |
178 |
1,232 |
| Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields |
6 |
14 |
39 |
699 |
9 |
33 |
104 |
1,756 |
| Further Results on Forecasting and Model Selection Under Asymmetric Loss |
1 |
2 |
14 |
155 |
1 |
2 |
24 |
351 |
| Further evidence on business cycle duration dependence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
48 |
249 |
| Global Yield Curve Dynamics and Interactions: A Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach |
5 |
20 |
70 |
144 |
12 |
52 |
204 |
325 |
| Global Yield Curve Dynamics and Interactions: A Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach |
1 |
1 |
24 |
72 |
2 |
6 |
86 |
222 |
| Have postwar economic fluctuations been stabilized? |
0 |
1 |
7 |
29 |
1 |
5 |
39 |
328 |
| Have postwar economic fluctuations been stabilized? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
303 |
| High- and Low-Frequency Exchange Rate Volatility Dynamics: Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models |
1 |
1 |
12 |
190 |
6 |
17 |
66 |
687 |
| Horizon Problems and Extreme Events in Financial Risk Management |
4 |
12 |
33 |
401 |
12 |
32 |
113 |
1,036 |
| How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? |
5 |
7 |
28 |
510 |
7 |
13 |
65 |
1,275 |
| How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? |
4 |
7 |
25 |
290 |
8 |
14 |
61 |
736 |
| How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? |
2 |
9 |
45 |
676 |
8 |
25 |
105 |
2,343 |
| International evidence on business cycle duration dependence |
0 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
249 |
| Is consumption too smooth? Long memory and the Deaton paradox |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
27 |
474 |
| Job Stability in the United States |
1 |
4 |
6 |
131 |
5 |
10 |
35 |
1,049 |
| Long Memory and Regime Switching |
7 |
22 |
66 |
417 |
15 |
41 |
133 |
945 |
| Long memory and persistence in aggregate output |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
46 |
644 |
| Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility,World-Wide |
10 |
32 |
168 |
287 |
21 |
81 |
396 |
499 |
| Measuring Business Cycle: A Modern Perspective |
0 |
7 |
43 |
355 |
3 |
18 |
96 |
675 |
| Measuring Business Cycles: A Modern Perspective |
2 |
6 |
33 |
436 |
8 |
21 |
77 |
1,161 |
| Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets |
2 |
5 |
25 |
65 |
3 |
7 |
48 |
111 |
| Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets |
2 |
7 |
16 |
60 |
5 |
13 |
52 |
169 |
| Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets |
2 |
8 |
35 |
74 |
14 |
37 |
132 |
193 |
| Measuring Predictability: Theory And Macroeconomic Applications |
1 |
1 |
11 |
101 |
3 |
6 |
26 |
401 |
| Measuring Predictability: Theory and Macroeconomic Applications |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
19 |
534 |
| Measuring Predictability: Theory and Macroeconomic Applications |
0 |
3 |
23 |
148 |
3 |
21 |
103 |
709 |
| Measuring Volatility Dynamics |
5 |
13 |
48 |
445 |
10 |
34 |
138 |
1,689 |
| Measuring predictability: theory and macroeconomic applications |
0 |
2 |
10 |
145 |
2 |
7 |
26 |
574 |
| Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange |
4 |
6 |
22 |
208 |
10 |
20 |
87 |
569 |
| Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange |
2 |
3 |
26 |
277 |
11 |
32 |
111 |
1,033 |
| Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange? |
2 |
4 |
22 |
263 |
5 |
12 |
58 |
635 |
| Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics |
3 |
6 |
20 |
150 |
10 |
15 |
47 |
281 |
| Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics |
3 |
5 |
24 |
231 |
8 |
14 |
49 |
463 |
| Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics |
5 |
12 |
44 |
234 |
11 |
27 |
97 |
468 |
| Modeling Liquidity Risk With Implications for Traditional Market Risk Measurement and Management |
3 |
9 |
31 |
418 |
4 |
19 |
76 |
963 |
| Modeling Liquidity Risk, With Implications for Traditional Market Risk Measurement and Management |
11 |
32 |
125 |
982 |
31 |
83 |
316 |
2,192 |
| Modeling Volatility Dynamics |
1 |
2 |
29 |
331 |
2 |
5 |
55 |
574 |
| Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility |
4 |
15 |
46 |
620 |
13 |
38 |
124 |
1,185 |
| Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility |
4 |
11 |
43 |
1,074 |
10 |
34 |
132 |
2,312 |
| Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility |
1 |
6 |
31 |
869 |
5 |
18 |
80 |
1,675 |
| Modeling bond yields in finance and macroeconomics |
3 |
14 |
44 |
177 |
7 |
24 |
99 |
374 |
| Modeling volatility dynamics |
4 |
13 |
43 |
297 |
7 |
25 |
79 |
721 |
| Near-rationality and strategic complementarity in a macroeconomic model: policy effects, persistence and multipliers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
| Nonparametric exchange rate prediction? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
48 |
146 |
1,130 |
| On cointegration and exchange rate dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
11 |
34 |
368 |
| On comparing information in forecasts from econometric models: a comment on Fair and Shiller |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
10 |
117 |
| On maximum-likelihood estimation of the differencing parameter of fractionally integrated noise with unknown mean |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
13 |
163 |
| On maximum-likelihood estimation of the differencing parameter of fractionally integrated noise with unknown mean |
3 |
6 |
28 |
61 |
6 |
13 |
76 |
530 |
| On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
17 |
479 |
| On the solution of dynamic linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
498 |
| Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss |
1 |
4 |
20 |
173 |
5 |
17 |
63 |
762 |
| Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss |
0 |
0 |
3 |
65 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
241 |
| Optimal Prediction Under Asymmetric Loss |
1 |
2 |
11 |
109 |
2 |
5 |
25 |
295 |
| Optimal prediction under asymmetric loss |
0 |
2 |
11 |
243 |
1 |
8 |
26 |
817 |
| Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement |
3 |
13 |
55 |
625 |
11 |
51 |
162 |
1,310 |
| Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement |
1 |
3 |
27 |
591 |
2 |
9 |
77 |
1,166 |
| Pitfalls and Opportunities in the Use of Extreme Value Theory in Risk Management |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
42 |
690 |
| Pitfalls and Opportunities in the Use of Extreme Value Theory in Risk Management |
1 |
6 |
45 |
547 |
6 |
18 |
93 |
897 |
| Post-deregulation deposit rate pricing: the multivariate dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
396 |
| Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management |
3 |
9 |
38 |
315 |
5 |
18 |
89 |
522 |
| Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management |
1 |
9 |
53 |
335 |
8 |
34 |
135 |
579 |
| Random walks versus fractional integration: power comparisons of scalar and joint tests of the variance-time function |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
408 |
| Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models or Exchange Rate Dynamics are More Interesting Than You Think |
9 |
17 |
58 |
677 |
14 |
43 |
150 |
1,705 |
| Ratings Migration and the Business Cycle, With Application to Credit Portfolio Stress Testing |
13 |
43 |
169 |
1,177 |
31 |
87 |
331 |
2,442 |
| Real exchange rates under the gold standard |
3 |
9 |
34 |
88 |
6 |
28 |
117 |
836 |
| Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions |
0 |
2 |
16 |
65 |
1 |
6 |
51 |
113 |
| Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
33 |
138 |
332 |
| Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration: Monitoring the Risk of High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange |
0 |
2 |
6 |
109 |
0 |
5 |
22 |
325 |
| Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration: Monitoring the Risk of High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange |
1 |
1 |
12 |
186 |
3 |
8 |
39 |
1,019 |
| Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration: Monitoring the Risk of High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange |
0 |
1 |
15 |
193 |
4 |
13 |
54 |
590 |
| Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets |
0 |
3 |
20 |
141 |
7 |
27 |
93 |
480 |
| Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets |
0 |
0 |
6 |
110 |
5 |
12 |
59 |
336 |
| Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets |
1 |
2 |
15 |
170 |
8 |
17 |
76 |
448 |
| Real-time measurement of business conditions |
1 |
4 |
15 |
50 |
1 |
9 |
41 |
84 |
| Real-time price discovery in global stock, bond and foreign exchange markets |
5 |
8 |
37 |
124 |
13 |
36 |
107 |
302 |
| Realized Beta: Persistence and Predictability |
6 |
18 |
65 |
276 |
9 |
40 |
118 |
407 |
| Realized Beta: Persistence and Predictability |
1 |
1 |
18 |
142 |
4 |
8 |
50 |
262 |
| Regime switching with time-varying transition probabilities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
21 |
63 |
197 |
1,250 |
| Roughing it Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility |
3 |
11 |
51 |
204 |
6 |
17 |
86 |
359 |
| Scoring the leading indicators |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
23 |
69 |
683 |
| Some Like it Smooth, and Some Like it Rough: Untangling Continuous and Jump Components in Measuring, Modeling, and Forecasting Asset Return Volatility |
2 |
4 |
31 |
91 |
7 |
17 |
74 |
209 |
| Some Like it Smooth, and Some Like it Rough: Untangling Continuous and Jump Components in Measuring, Modeling, and Forecasting Asset Return Volatility |
2 |
10 |
30 |
252 |
9 |
25 |
87 |
583 |
| Stamp 5.0: A Review |
2 |
3 |
7 |
108 |
4 |
8 |
29 |
467 |
| State space modeling of time series: a review essay |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
29 |
1,047 |
| Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence |
8 |
14 |
36 |
131 |
11 |
24 |
73 |
235 |
| Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence |
0 |
1 |
6 |
69 |
2 |
5 |
19 |
153 |
| Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence |
0 |
0 |
9 |
88 |
2 |
4 |
25 |
242 |
| Structural change and the combination of forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
33 |
403 |
| Temporal aggregation of ARCH processes and the distribution of asset returns |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
229 |
| Testing structural stability with endogenous break point: a size comparison of analytic and bootstrap procedures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
31 |
350 |
| The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models |
3 |
11 |
51 |
111 |
12 |
35 |
130 |
256 |
| The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of: Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models |
1 |
4 |
26 |
58 |
5 |
16 |
64 |
145 |
| The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility |
0 |
7 |
19 |
484 |
1 |
12 |
41 |
1,076 |
| The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility |
1 |
4 |
21 |
277 |
2 |
7 |
49 |
675 |
| The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility |
1 |
4 |
16 |
459 |
7 |
16 |
57 |
1,062 |
| The Distribution of Stock Return Volatility |
4 |
13 |
42 |
718 |
7 |
31 |
128 |
1,751 |
| The Distribution of Stock Return Volatility |
6 |
13 |
39 |
824 |
13 |
38 |
129 |
1,880 |
| The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Dynamic Latent Factor Approach |
1 |
10 |
38 |
245 |
13 |
31 |
108 |
571 |
| The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Nonstructural Analysis |
0 |
1 |
15 |
275 |
2 |
6 |
45 |
674 |
| The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Nonstructural Analysis |
0 |
5 |
20 |
111 |
3 |
15 |
58 |
317 |
| The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle |
1 |
5 |
16 |
126 |
6 |
22 |
88 |
395 |
| The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle |
0 |
1 |
9 |
127 |
3 |
9 |
45 |
317 |
| The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle |
0 |
2 |
8 |
52 |
0 |
6 |
29 |
112 |
| The Past, Present, and Future of Macroeconomic Forecasting |
3 |
6 |
24 |
211 |
9 |
20 |
76 |
604 |
| The affine arbitrage-free class of Nelson-Siegel term structure models |
3 |
7 |
35 |
105 |
10 |
20 |
123 |
272 |
| The dynamics of exchange rate volatility: a multivariate latent factor ARCH model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
13 |
51 |
565 |
| The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a nonstructural analysis |
0 |
2 |
15 |
175 |
1 |
8 |
60 |
434 |
| The past, present, and future of macroeconomic forecasting |
2 |
10 |
35 |
273 |
5 |
21 |
73 |
811 |
| The use of prior information in forecast combination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
14 |
42 |
323 |
| Time Series Analysis |
12 |
23 |
80 |
741 |
20 |
40 |
133 |
996 |
| Unit Root Tests Are Useful for Selecting Forecasting Models |
0 |
3 |
17 |
325 |
7 |
22 |
63 |
1,152 |
| Unit Root Tests are Useful for Selecting Forecasting Models |
2 |
8 |
14 |
280 |
3 |
14 |
32 |
561 |
| Unit roots in economic time series: a selective survey |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
18 |
69 |
619 |
| Volatility Forecasting |
7 |
12 |
32 |
433 |
10 |
18 |
68 |
631 |
| Volatility Forecasting |
8 |
17 |
77 |
766 |
14 |
43 |
150 |
878 |
| Volatility Forecasting |
4 |
9 |
22 |
206 |
8 |
14 |
46 |
282 |
| Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives |
1 |
8 |
36 |
553 |
5 |
30 |
136 |
1,226 |
| Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives |
2 |
5 |
30 |
208 |
9 |
23 |
85 |
440 |
| Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives |
1 |
2 |
14 |
258 |
9 |
30 |
109 |
782 |
| Why Are Estimates of Agricultural Supply Response So Variable? |
0 |
1 |
7 |
124 |
2 |
5 |
32 |
335 |
| Why are estimates of agricultural supply response so variable? |
0 |
1 |
9 |
159 |
3 |
5 |
27 |
557 |
| Total Working Papers |
355 |
1,020 |
4,081 |
41,028 |
1,071 |
3,233 |
12,824 |
125,252 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk |
0 |
0 |
9 |
48 |
2 |
3 |
28 |
153 |
| A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations |
1 |
5 |
14 |
22 |
4 |
15 |
70 |
125 |
| A Nonparametric Investigation of Duration Dependence in the American Business Cycle |
3 |
10 |
25 |
88 |
4 |
16 |
47 |
313 |
| An Application of Operational-Subjective Statistical Methods to Rational Expectations: Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
85 |
| Are long expansions followed by short contractions? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
32 |
172 |
| Bonded Rationality and Strategic Complementarity in a Macroeconomic Model: Policy Effects, Persistence and Multipliers |
1 |
3 |
16 |
123 |
4 |
34 |
172 |
883 |
| Bootstrapping Multivariate Spectra |
0 |
1 |
3 |
23 |
0 |
3 |
17 |
101 |
| Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
19 |
276 |
| Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
28 |
| Comment on "Is job stability declining in the U.S. economy?" by Kenneth A. Swinnerton and Howard Wial (48:2, Jan. 1995) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
16 |
| Comparing Predictive Accuracy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
49 |
183 |
1,580 |
| Comparing Predictive Accuracy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
64 |
267 |
1,524 |
| Discussion: The effect of seasonal adjustment filters on tests for a unit root |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
| Dynamic Equilibrium Economies: A Framework for Comparing Models and Data |
0 |
1 |
7 |
47 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
158 |
| Econometrics: Retrospect and prospect |
0 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
40 |
| Endogenous risk in a portfolio-balance rational-expectations model of the Deutschemark-Dollar rate |
1 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
29 |
| Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
33 |
111 |
1,308 |
| Exact maximum-likelihood estimation of autoregressive models via the Kalman filter |
0 |
7 |
33 |
134 |
1 |
11 |
70 |
244 |
| Five questions about business cycles |
4 |
9 |
30 |
181 |
7 |
22 |
93 |
480 |
| Forecast combination and encompassing: Reconciling two divergent literatures |
2 |
10 |
23 |
47 |
3 |
16 |
53 |
99 |
| Forecasting and empirical methods in finance and macroeconomics |
0 |
2 |
4 |
45 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
95 |
| Forecasting the term structure of government bond yields |
5 |
13 |
36 |
78 |
9 |
30 |
93 |
222 |
| Fractional integration and interval prediction |
0 |
3 |
5 |
19 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
77 |
| Further Results on Forecasting and Model Selection under Asymmetric Loss |
2 |
4 |
13 |
137 |
4 |
8 |
26 |
501 |
| Has the EMS Reduced Member-Country Exchange Rate Volatility? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
111 |
| Have Postwar Economic Fluctuations Been Stabilized? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
246 |
| Horizon problems and extreme events in financial risk management |
0 |
0 |
5 |
160 |
0 |
8 |
24 |
626 |
| How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? |
6 |
10 |
29 |
241 |
7 |
14 |
55 |
642 |
| Intertemporal consumer behavior under changes in income: a comment |
2 |
5 |
10 |
17 |
3 |
10 |
26 |
49 |
| Is Consumption Too Smooth? Long Memory and the Deaton Paradox |
0 |
2 |
13 |
112 |
0 |
4 |
33 |
368 |
| Job Stability in the United States |
1 |
5 |
13 |
141 |
3 |
12 |
84 |
1,243 |
| Long memory and persistence in aggregate output |
3 |
7 |
30 |
87 |
4 |
9 |
40 |
151 |
| Long memory and regime switching |
2 |
3 |
25 |
127 |
4 |
10 |
57 |
298 |
| Measuring Business Cycles: A Modern Perspective |
3 |
11 |
34 |
209 |
9 |
20 |
76 |
712 |
| Measuring predictability: theory and macroeconomic applications |
2 |
3 |
14 |
157 |
3 |
5 |
40 |
603 |
| Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics |
1 |
5 |
29 |
74 |
5 |
14 |
63 |
210 |
| Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility |
3 |
20 |
71 |
711 |
15 |
46 |
175 |
1,859 |
| Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation And Calibration In Financial Risk Management: High-Frequency Returns On Foreign Exchange |
3 |
5 |
24 |
157 |
7 |
15 |
53 |
431 |
| Nonparametric exchange rate prediction? |
10 |
18 |
58 |
345 |
11 |
23 |
104 |
980 |
| On Cointegration and Exchange Rate Dynamics |
1 |
6 |
22 |
75 |
4 |
17 |
57 |
193 |
| On maximum likelihood estimation of the differencing parameter of fractionally-integrated noise with unknown mean |
0 |
0 |
4 |
33 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
98 |
| On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives |
2 |
4 |
15 |
94 |
3 |
5 |
16 |
208 |
| Post-deregulation Bank-Deposit-Rate Pricing: The Multivariate Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
74 |
521 |
| Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models |
0 |
4 |
15 |
63 |
1 |
8 |
37 |
133 |
| Ratings migration and the business cycle, with application to credit portfolio stress testing |
2 |
9 |
37 |
217 |
5 |
16 |
69 |
463 |
| Real Exchange Rates under the Gold Standard |
0 |
4 |
16 |
216 |
0 |
8 |
32 |
1,349 |
| Real-time price discovery in global stock, bond and foreign exchange markets |
5 |
10 |
34 |
52 |
9 |
24 |
95 |
129 |
| Robust estimation - discussion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
| Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility |
7 |
15 |
58 |
93 |
12 |
32 |
122 |
210 |
| Scoring the Leading Indicators |
8 |
23 |
82 |
473 |
11 |
30 |
112 |
1,099 |
| Serial Correlation and the Combination of Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
23 |
300 |
| Shorter recessions and longer expansions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
23 |
27 |
313 |
| Software review |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
66 |
| State space modeling of time series: A review essay |
2 |
6 |
28 |
59 |
7 |
13 |
55 |
109 |
| Structural Time Series Analysis and Modelling Package: A Review |
0 |
1 |
13 |
86 |
1 |
4 |
29 |
346 |
| Symposium on Forecasting and Empirical Methods in Macroeconomics and Finance: Editors' Introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
222 |
| Testing for bubbles, reflecting barriers and other anomalies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
19 |
| Testing structural stability with endogenous breakpoint A size comparison of analytic and bootstrap procedures |
1 |
2 |
28 |
113 |
2 |
6 |
44 |
254 |
| The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility |
1 |
2 |
26 |
60 |
1 |
8 |
53 |
130 |
| The Dynamics of Exchange Rate Volatility: A Multivariate Latent Factor Arch Model |
7 |
16 |
70 |
381 |
11 |
26 |
112 |
712 |
| The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle |
0 |
2 |
11 |
22 |
7 |
18 |
109 |
203 |
| The Past, Present, and Future of Macroeconomic Forecasting |
3 |
3 |
12 |
81 |
5 |
9 |
37 |
452 |
| The Uncertain Unit Root in Real GNP: Comment |
0 |
2 |
6 |
60 |
0 |
3 |
29 |
238 |
| The distribution of realized stock return volatility |
6 |
15 |
65 |
350 |
12 |
31 |
126 |
679 |
| The econometrics of macroeconomics, finance, and the interface |
2 |
9 |
33 |
283 |
2 |
16 |
70 |
529 |
| The exact initial covariance matrix of the state vector of a general MA(q) process |
0 |
1 |
6 |
14 |
2 |
5 |
29 |
72 |
| The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach |
1 |
4 |
25 |
96 |
6 |
18 |
76 |
223 |
| The use of prior information in forecast combination |
3 |
3 |
14 |
77 |
3 |
3 |
27 |
143 |
| Unit-Root Tests Are Useful for Selecting Forecasting Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
22 |
448 |
| Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives |
2 |
6 |
20 |
33 |
3 |
9 |
48 |
76 |
| Why are estimates of agricultural supply response so variable? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
88 |
| Total Journal Articles |
108 |
312 |
1,222 |
6,667 |
277 |
879 |
3,765 |
27,108 |