Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 2 4 12 1 3 13 94
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 1 4 138 1 4 20 1,061
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 2 9 49 173 17 65 370 819
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 1 3 13 61 2 9 56 156
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 2 27 0 1 6 103
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 13 0 2 10 138
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 1 3 60 1 5 13 254
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 2 14 0 0 4 184
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 1 11 0 0 2 103
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 1 3 6 84 3 10 16 399
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 3 20 60 1 7 44 192
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 1 21 51 347 16 58 145 1,775
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 1 1 5 28 1 2 9 103
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 1 4 30 0 2 8 81
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 1 1 8 0 1 2 76
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 1 2 11 57 2 5 20 130
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 1 4 217 3 9 26 506
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 1 1 7 39 2 5 43 208
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 1 1 11 0 1 4 95
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 1 2 10 160 3 12 57 501
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 2 25 2 8 35 199
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 2 5 44 3 14 29 161
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 1 3 7 17 2 4 23 78
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 1 10 58 0 5 25 277
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 3 8 3 7 22 90
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 1 19 0 1 8 106
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 2 11 106 21 49 128 896
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 2 5 12 66 4 19 91 347
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 3 4 10 103 9 19 78 601
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 2 7 31 139 11 50 182 598
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 1 1 3 16 5 6 10 153
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 9 0 1 2 162
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 2 22 1 6 18 102
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 1 2 80 0 1 8 362
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 3 19 3 9 19 150
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 3 29 0 2 9 99
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 2 2 8 62 4 14 47 297
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 1 6 15 56 6 26 84 313
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 2 3 25 0 3 13 139
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 3 8 147 4 12 25 607
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 3 8 18 131 8 32 93 791
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 1 4 6 33 2 9 23 127
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 5 412 2 7 17 1,500
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 1 24 1 3 13 406
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 10 1 4 18 83
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 1 1 19 73 3 17 65 408
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 1 5 11 149 3 12 31 314
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 1 4 34 171 1 8 66 318
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 3 4 13 90 5 8 39 175
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 1 2 4 80 2 7 18 277
Events that Shook the Market 0 3 12 66 2 16 40 160
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 2 21 0 0 5 74
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 1 4 15 3 6 9 67
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 2 5 11 24 10 21 41 118
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 1 4 15 160 2 9 36 669
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 1 5 151 174 6 19 327 502
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 2 47 71 6 21 142 520
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 0 2 7 67
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 1 2 6 27 1 3 23 95
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 3 10 60 1 10 48 288
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 1 2 19 53 9 25 108 362
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 1 1 11 103 2 5 32 621
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 5 11 31 0 12 31 187
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 6 25 217 0 17 71 766
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 1 25 1 2 10 361
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 12 1 2 3 110
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 4 7 154 1 7 16 560
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 2 11 23 275 5 21 55 1,396
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 3 6 20 100 3 8 34 250
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 7 37 2 5 30 103
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 1 2 12 33 1 7 44 119
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Presidential Elections 0 2 5 19 0 2 18 48
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 4 56 0 1 11 169
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 4 25 0 2 15 80
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 6 29 0 2 15 404
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 3 5 14 194 14 33 109 615
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 1 6 19 0 4 24 159
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 3 16 0 1 6 66
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 3 204 3 5 18 562
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 3 9 72 2 11 31 238
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 11 30 75 329 26 88 194 1,048
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 3 3 30 1 4 7 75
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 1 7 0 0 4 65
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 1 1 3 37 2 5 35 183
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 1 3 28 89 2 8 155 443
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 1 31 8 19 45 163
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 5 181 1 1 10 339
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 3 4 13 92 5 12 45 245
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 1 6 57 3 4 23 185
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 3 9 21 101 10 22 72 685
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 1 4 46 1 4 18 260
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 7 2 3 9 46
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 1 2 9 23 7 29 56 155
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 1 6 131 4 12 61 729
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 1 10 80 0 3 21 509
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 5 9 40 428 9 28 106 1,699
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 1 1 7 127 4 7 42 743
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 14 26 3 6 35 133
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 2 12 41 2 15 33 334
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 1 4 13 93 19 50 116 524
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 4 10 28 83 8 20 60 257
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 3 77 6 17 39 522
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 6 13 4 7 24 75
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 3 5 10 52 4 9 23 390
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 3 6 11 86 5 13 25 322
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 2 3 10 29 4 7 29 97
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 1 10 2 4 15 81
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 4 15 1 1 11 151
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 2 30 0 1 7 114
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 1 4 10 73 5 20 52 427
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 1 8 10 55 2 12 22 206
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 1 6 64 1 2 11 134
Total Working Papers 89 302 1,269 8,621 385 1,276 4,871 38,189

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 1 1 4 15 1 1 6 43
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 1 1 3 22 1 1 4 91
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 3 12 33 500
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 1 5 60 0 2 8 265
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 2 11 36 395 12 40 125 1,869
A model of the balance of payments 0 0 0 4 0 1 3 12
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 2 4 11 156 7 17 86 1,236
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 20
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 7 29 1 1 18 93
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 2 5 30 0 3 11 116
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 1 6 16 0 1 12 47
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 1 7 72 1 3 15 191
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 2 2 33 213 4 10 72 820
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 4 28 0 1 15 327
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 14 0 2 5 49
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 1 1 22 0 1 3 94
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 3 26 141 2 7 58 487
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 1 2 23 127 3 10 141 733
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 1 1 3 34 1 2 5 161
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 2 2 3 38
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 1 3 0 0 2 34
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 22 0 2 4 117
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 0 2 15 37
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 94
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 3 7 0 1 9 41
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 7 1 1 2 149
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 1 2 6 22 1 3 17 85
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 1 5 29 0 4 20 103
Events That Shook the Market 0 2 6 77 0 6 17 220
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 2 5 9 137
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 2 2 54 112 4 12 178 680
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 1 1 4 38 2 5 23 195
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 7
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 16 50 3 3 61 323
Inference in Nonlinear Econometric Models with Structural Change 1 4 18 130 4 8 41 383
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 13 1 1 2 116
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 3 10 91 1 5 17 266
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 1 19 0 1 6 125
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 1 6 0 2 6 44
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 3 26 96 2 9 91 329
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 1 2 25 1 4 8 100
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 1 4 0 0 2 26
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 3 3 15 84 16 54 154 691
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 12 1 3 10 45
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 1 2 2 8 1 4 9 25
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 1 1 7 1 4 9 60
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 10
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 1 9 108
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 1 2 6 68 4 8 22 177
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 1 6 16 88 3 10 33 350
Sources of Economic Fluctuations in the United States 0 0 0 14 0 1 11 81
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 8 33 0 0 12 62
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 2 5 18 150 5 13 66 529
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 2 2 23 119 7 13 78 511
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 1 6 28 472
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 6 37 0 0 15 156
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 2 13 76 3 6 33 335
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 2 9 32 6 35 86 379
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 3 6 36 153 7 17 108 446
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 1 4 14 64 11 34 151 514
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 4 26 0 2 12 136
The Optimal Distribution of Income 0 2 21 71 3 11 58 224
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 14 0 2 12 106
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 1 5 17 0 1 20 85
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 4 8 0 1 14 36
Total Journal Articles 29 88 531 3,282 129 421 2,120 16,341

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
ANNOUNCEMENT: A PROGRAM TO SOLVE AN ECONOMETRIC MODEL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 3 5 16 104 4 8 38 221
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 2 4 15 53 5 16 37 143
Methods for Computing Optimal Control Solutions: On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 1 1 1 0 2 2 2
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 2 3 3 3 2 5 5 5
Total Chapters 7 13 35 161 12 32 83 372

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Statistics updated 2009-07-03