Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 1 1 9 0 2 12 83
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 1 2 135 0 4 15 1,045
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 9 12 68 136 51 84 348 533
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 3 4 11 52 12 18 55 118
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 1 25 1 2 7 99
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 13 1 5 9 133
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 2 57 1 3 12 244
A Model of the World Economy 0 1 5 13 0 1 8 181
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 1 10 0 0 1 101
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 6 78 0 2 22 385
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 3 9 43 3 9 23 157
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 4 6 29 302 8 19 96 1,649
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 2 23 0 1 4 95
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 26 0 0 3 73
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 2 7 0 0 5 74
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 2 6 19 52 2 8 26 118
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 1 1 9 214 2 6 23 486
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 3 32 7 11 43 176
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 1 10 0 1 4 92
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 1 3 16 153 7 13 91 457
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 6 23 10 13 46 177
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 1 2 40 0 2 9 134
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 3 10 1 5 22 60
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 3 11 51 2 6 27 258
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 2 5 1 4 14 72
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 1 3 19 0 2 9 100
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 1 4 15 99 12 28 88 796
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 1 5 25 59 9 28 142 284
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 2 18 95 13 29 121 552
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 1 6 45 114 7 31 162 447
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 1 2 14 2 3 8 146
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 9 0 1 4 161
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 6 20 2 2 17 86
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 1 3 79 0 2 16 356
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 1 2 17 1 2 18 133
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 7 26 1 1 9 91
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 1 2 8 56 1 10 37 260
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 1 1 9 42 8 13 39 242
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 1 1 1 23 1 1 10 127
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 1 2 5 141 3 7 27 589
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 1 2 26 115 7 17 120 715
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 1 1 5 28 1 4 34 108
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 12 407 1 2 33 1,485
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 2 23 1 1 15 394
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 1 5 10 3 7 20 72
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 2 8 19 62 4 21 61 364
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 1 5 139 1 6 19 289
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 5 9 43 146 11 23 97 275
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 1 13 78 5 14 43 150
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 1 2 77 0 5 12 264
Events that Shook the Market 2 2 9 56 5 11 39 131
Events that Shook the Market 0 1 3 20 1 3 13 72
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 1 2 6 13 1 2 9 60
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 2 7 15 2 6 31 83
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 2 6 17 151 2 7 37 640
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 25 25 31 48 51 54 101 229
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 2 2 8 26 13 21 58 399
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 5 13 1 3 12 63
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 1 8 22 3 6 27 78
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 2 2 14 52 6 16 51 256
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 1 15 29 49 7 48 145 302
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 1 8 15 100 2 13 47 602
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 1 1 10 21 1 5 26 161
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 3 5 32 197 4 17 63 712
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 1 24 1 1 12 352
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 12 0 0 5 107
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 1 9 148 0 1 24 545
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 1 5 32 257 2 8 69 1,349
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 1 7 21 87 2 11 44 227
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 1 7 31 3 4 19 77
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 2 3 16 24 13 15 47 90
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Presidential Elections 1 1 3 15 3 9 17 39
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 1 2 2 54 2 3 6 161
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 4 21 0 4 13 69
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 1 9 24 1 2 30 391
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 1 2 27 182 14 22 193 528
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 1 5 14 3 4 13 139
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 1 3 14 1 2 7 62
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 2 7 203 2 6 37 550
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 1 1 7 64 1 4 31 211
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 10 55 264 1 21 140 875
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 1 27 0 0 4 68
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 1 2 7 0 2 3 63
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 1 1 6 35 4 6 42 154
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 3 10 32 71 43 73 207 361
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 6 30 1 5 33 123
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 176 0 2 10 331
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 3 4 17 83 4 8 42 208
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 2 9 53 4 10 31 172
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 4 19 84 5 24 80 637
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 1 1 5 43 1 3 26 245
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 7 1 3 7 40
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 1 4 8 18 3 10 40 109
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 1 3 9 128 12 23 149 691
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 2 9 72 1 3 19 491
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 2 7 26 395 5 24 114 1,617
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 1 12 121 3 14 63 715
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 2 2 6 14 5 7 22 105
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 1 1 6 30 2 3 26 304
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 1 1 8 81 18 25 60 433
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 2 7 23 62 4 12 52 209
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 7 74 2 5 33 488
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 3 3 4 10 4 8 16 59
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 1 6 43 1 3 14 370
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 2 4 77 1 5 15 302
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 1 4 8 23 1 11 28 79
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 2 9 2 6 10 72
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 1 2 2 13 1 2 4 142
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 1 1 5 29 1 3 10 110
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 18 63 2 4 68 379
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 2 4 47 1 5 17 189
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 2 5 60 1 4 16 127
Total Working Papers 108 271 1,164 7,623 484 1,121 4,713 34,439

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 1 7 12 0 1 8 38
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 1 1 1 20 1 1 6 88
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 1 3 22 470
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 1 4 56 1 2 8 259
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 3 8 39 367 11 28 132 1,772
A model of the balance of payments 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 9
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 1 10 146 7 22 99 1,172
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 19
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 1 5 23 1 5 17 80
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 25 1 2 5 107
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 1 1 3 11 1 1 3 36
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 1 3 7 68 1 5 21 181
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 5 12 30 192 7 17 59 765
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 3 24 3 5 19 317
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 2 14 0 0 3 44
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 3 21 0 1 11 92
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 1 6 26 121 3 8 56 437
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 3 6 17 110 10 25 112 617
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 1 2 32 0 1 8 157
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 0 4 35
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 2 0 1 5 33
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 22 0 2 7 115
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 23
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 0 2 24 85
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 4 1 1 4 33
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 6 0 0 2 147
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 2 5 18 1 7 21 75
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 1 3 6 27 1 9 21 92
Events That Shook the Market 1 1 10 72 3 4 20 207
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 1 1 10 129
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 6 6 12 64 19 22 74 524
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 5 34 2 5 18 177
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 5
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 1 12 21 46 4 39 78 301
Inference in Nonlinear Econometric Models with Structural Change 1 3 16 115 2 8 42 350
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 114
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 2 5 83 0 3 20 252
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 1 18 0 0 2 119
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 1 5 0 0 4 38
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 3 10 73 5 15 29 253
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 1 1 24 1 2 4 94
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 24
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 1 2 19 71 6 18 156 555
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 3 12 0 1 7 36
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 0 3 6 0 3 9 19
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 2 6 0 2 13 53
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 1 1 0 1 3 9
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 1 4 100
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 6 62 0 1 16 156
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 5 14 77 0 8 35 325
Sources of Economic Fluctuations in the United States 0 0 4 14 0 2 12 72
Testing Macroeconomic Models 1 3 9 28 1 5 18 55
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 3 5 13 137 6 11 50 474
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 1 2 4 98 1 3 18 436
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 3 8 41 452
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 2 2 3 33 3 4 19 145
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 2 5 13 68 5 9 37 311
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 0 2 23 5 10 58 303
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 2 6 21 123 7 19 61 357
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 2 3 17 53 14 31 167 394
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 22 0 3 10 127
The Optimal Distribution of Income 3 6 13 56 6 11 30 177
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 14 1 4 7 98
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 1 2 5 14 1 4 17 69
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 1 1 2 5 1 4 11 26
Total Journal Articles 44 117 408 2,868 148 413 1,799 14,634

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 1 4 19 92 1 10 39 193
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 1 2 15 40 1 6 27 112
Total Chapters 2 6 34 132 2 16 66 305

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Statistics updated 2008-10-02