Working Paper |
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Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
277 |
(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
234 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
796 |
(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
313 |
(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
364 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
928 |
800,000 Years of Climate Risk |
0 |
8 |
41 |
127 |
6 |
23 |
109 |
268 |
A DSGE Perspective on Safety, Liquidity, and Low Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
2 |
52 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
60 |
A Large Bayesian VAR of the United States Economy |
2 |
14 |
66 |
165 |
11 |
37 |
149 |
384 |
A New Core Inflation Indicator for New Zealand |
0 |
0 |
1 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
200 |
A New Perspective on Low Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
1 |
5 |
185 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
585 |
A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models |
1 |
2 |
2 |
226 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
536 |
A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
39 |
A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
78 |
A Quasi Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
152 |
A Time-Series Perspective on Safety, Liquidity, and Low Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
30 |
A Two-Step Estimator for Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models Based on Kalman Filtering |
0 |
0 |
1 |
465 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
1,095 |
A Two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering |
0 |
2 |
6 |
653 |
2 |
8 |
16 |
1,322 |
A new core inflation indicator for New Zealand |
0 |
0 |
1 |
90 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
340 |
A new core inflation indicator for New Zealand |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
91 |
A quasi maximum likelihood approach for large approximate dynamic factor models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
863 |
2 |
3 |
10 |
1,889 |
A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
87 |
A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
345 |
A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
An Area Wide Real Time Data Base for the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
139 |
An Area-Wide Real-Time Database for the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
117 |
An area-wide real-time database for the euro area |
0 |
0 |
1 |
311 |
4 |
7 |
15 |
857 |
Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model |
3 |
9 |
29 |
94 |
5 |
19 |
71 |
212 |
Bank Capital and Real GDP Growth |
1 |
3 |
23 |
86 |
3 |
11 |
64 |
201 |
Bank Capital and Real GDP Growth |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
Bayesian VARs with Large Panels |
1 |
3 |
5 |
478 |
5 |
9 |
24 |
1,325 |
Business Cycles in the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
1 |
262 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
663 |
Business Cycles in the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
1 |
81 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
344 |
Business Cycles in the euro Area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
146 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
371 |
Business cycles in the euro area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
170 |
Changing Risk-Return Profiles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
Changing Risk-Return Profiles |
0 |
0 |
2 |
54 |
4 |
6 |
16 |
118 |
Common Factors of Commodity Prices |
1 |
2 |
7 |
211 |
6 |
11 |
30 |
818 |
Common Factors of Commodity Prices |
1 |
1 |
2 |
43 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
134 |
Common factors of commodity prices |
0 |
0 |
4 |
73 |
2 |
3 |
13 |
208 |
Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
217 |
Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
253 |
Comparing alternative predictors based on large-panel factor models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
221 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
691 |
Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections |
0 |
0 |
1 |
430 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
877 |
Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections |
1 |
2 |
2 |
66 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
213 |
Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections |
1 |
2 |
2 |
90 |
4 |
7 |
10 |
315 |
Did the Euro imply more correlation of cycles? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
210 |
Does Information Help Recovering Structural Shocks from Past Observations? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
221 |
Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations? |
1 |
1 |
1 |
152 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
383 |
Does information help recovering structural shocks from past observations? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
54 |
Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion Of Sparsity |
0 |
1 |
3 |
203 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
593 |
Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity |
0 |
0 |
3 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
191 |
Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity |
0 |
0 |
2 |
159 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
251 |
Economic predictions with big data: the illusion of sparsity |
1 |
3 |
6 |
71 |
2 |
8 |
18 |
130 |
Euro area and US recessions: 1970-2003 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
67 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
143 |
Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
435 |
Explaining the Great Moderation: it is not the shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
494 |
Explaining the great moderation: it is not the shocks |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
178 |
Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
174 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
198 |
Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
141 |
Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
229 |
Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
70 |
Flighty liquidity |
1 |
1 |
6 |
32 |
4 |
7 |
27 |
168 |
Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks |
0 |
0 |
3 |
62 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
187 |
Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
53 |
Forecasting Using a Large Number of Predictors: Is Bayesian Regression a Valid Alternative to Principal Components? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
210 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
736 |
Forecasting using a large number of predictors: Is Bayesian regression a valid alternative to principal components? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
212 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
594 |
Forecasting using a large number of predictors: is Bayesian regression a valid alternative to principal components? |
0 |
1 |
4 |
256 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
752 |
Global Trends in Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
80 |
Global Trends in Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
2 |
135 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
376 |
Global Trends in Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
96 |
Global Trends in Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
3 |
77 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
175 |
Global trends in interest rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
265 |
Large Bayesian VARs |
1 |
3 |
8 |
400 |
1 |
6 |
18 |
903 |
Large Bayesian VARs |
0 |
1 |
6 |
719 |
1 |
6 |
23 |
1,637 |
Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields |
0 |
0 |
1 |
120 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
294 |
Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields |
0 |
1 |
6 |
193 |
2 |
5 |
17 |
554 |
Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields |
0 |
0 |
0 |
188 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
438 |
Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
3 |
44 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
322 |
Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
608 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
1,395 |
Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
1 |
110 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
350 |
Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data |
0 |
1 |
5 |
181 |
2 |
6 |
22 |
305 |
Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change |
0 |
0 |
5 |
256 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
609 |
Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting with big data |
0 |
1 |
5 |
318 |
2 |
8 |
50 |
707 |
Market Freedom and the Global Recession |
0 |
1 |
2 |
416 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
1,032 |
Market freedom and the global recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
313 |
Market freedom and the global recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
32 |
Monetary Policy in Real Time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
441 |
Monetary Policy in Real Time |
1 |
1 |
2 |
509 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1,095 |
Monetary policy in real time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
131 |
Monetary policy in real time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
133 |
Money, Credit, Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
965 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1,913 |
Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
287 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
651 |
Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
139 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
258 |
Money, credit, monetary policy, and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis? |
0 |
0 |
3 |
75 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
105 |
Monitoring Economic Conditions during a Government Shutdown |
0 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
57 |
Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
2 |
116 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
238 |
Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
51 |
Non standard Monetary Policy measures and monetary developments |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
114 |
Non-standard Monetary Policy Measures and Monetary Developments |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
196 |
Non-standard monetary policy measures and monetary developments |
0 |
0 |
1 |
232 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
667 |
Non‐Standard Monetary Policy Measures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
223 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
571 |
Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow |
0 |
0 |
2 |
955 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1,956 |
Now-casting and the real-time data flow |
0 |
1 |
13 |
440 |
2 |
5 |
51 |
954 |
Now-casting and the real-time data flow |
0 |
0 |
1 |
137 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
310 |
Nowcasting |
0 |
1 |
2 |
310 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
794 |
Nowcasting |
2 |
4 |
34 |
702 |
9 |
18 |
97 |
1,405 |
Nowcasting |
2 |
3 |
28 |
2,127 |
6 |
14 |
63 |
3,856 |
Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models |
0 |
3 |
5 |
219 |
0 |
6 |
14 |
453 |
Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicator |
0 |
1 |
2 |
259 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
476 |
Nowcasting Euro Area Economic Activity in Real-Time: The Role of Confidence Indicators |
0 |
0 |
2 |
129 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
353 |
Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases |
0 |
0 |
3 |
323 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
993 |
Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases |
1 |
3 |
17 |
639 |
4 |
10 |
41 |
1,346 |
Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases |
0 |
2 |
5 |
293 |
1 |
5 |
16 |
867 |
Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases |
0 |
1 |
5 |
550 |
0 |
7 |
27 |
1,712 |
Nowcasting with Daily Data |
1 |
1 |
6 |
244 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
451 |
Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
6 |
38 |
2 |
3 |
15 |
74 |
Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
5 |
105 |
2 |
5 |
20 |
306 |
Nowcasting: the real time informational content of macroeconomic data releases |
0 |
0 |
1 |
267 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
485 |
Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
465 |
Opening the Black Box: Structural Factor Models with Large Cross-Sections |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
483 |
Opening the Toolbox: The Nowcasting Code on GitHub |
1 |
1 |
13 |
179 |
7 |
13 |
51 |
444 |
Opening the black box: structural factor models with large cross-sections |
0 |
0 |
0 |
346 |
3 |
3 |
7 |
1,115 |
Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
112 |
Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
410 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
939 |
Panel discussion on Convergence or divergence in Europe? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
45 |
Prior Selection for Bayesian VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
90 |
Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions |
1 |
3 |
16 |
620 |
2 |
13 |
46 |
1,281 |
Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
2 |
93 |
5 |
5 |
16 |
282 |
Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions |
1 |
1 |
3 |
935 |
2 |
3 |
13 |
1,913 |
Prior selection for vector autoregressions |
1 |
1 |
9 |
129 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
268 |
Priors for the Long Run |
0 |
3 |
11 |
133 |
1 |
7 |
34 |
314 |
Priors for the long run |
0 |
0 |
2 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
92 |
Priors for the long run |
0 |
2 |
4 |
29 |
1 |
3 |
17 |
138 |
Reading the Tea Leaves of the U.S. Business Cycle—Part One |
1 |
1 |
2 |
51 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
107 |
Reading the Tea Leaves of the U.S. Business Cycle—Part Two |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
40 |
Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest |
0 |
1 |
4 |
81 |
1 |
4 |
19 |
287 |
Safety, liquidity, and the natural rate of interest |
0 |
1 |
8 |
197 |
4 |
9 |
56 |
737 |
Scarce, Abundant, or Ample? A Time-Varying Model of the Reserve Demand Curve |
2 |
4 |
16 |
70 |
5 |
15 |
64 |
173 |
Short-Term Forecasts of Euro Area GDP Growth |
0 |
0 |
4 |
146 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
350 |
Short-Term Inflation Projections: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive approach |
0 |
1 |
1 |
135 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
395 |
Short-term Forecasts of Euro Area GDP Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
291 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
939 |
Short-term forecasts of euro area GDP growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
309 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
740 |
Short-term inflation projections: a Bayesian vector autoregressive approach |
1 |
2 |
4 |
622 |
1 |
5 |
14 |
1,320 |
Sparse and Stable Markowitz Portfolios |
0 |
0 |
2 |
151 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
494 |
Sparse and stable Markowitz portfolios |
0 |
0 |
2 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
184 |
Sparse and stable Markowitz portfolios |
0 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
822 |
The Drivers of Post-Pandemic Inflation |
3 |
6 |
46 |
46 |
8 |
17 |
66 |
66 |
The ECB and the Interbank Market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
501 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
1,020 |
The ECB and the Interbank Market |
0 |
1 |
2 |
95 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
223 |
The ECB and the interbank market |
0 |
1 |
1 |
138 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
307 |
The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
182 |
The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data |
0 |
1 |
2 |
287 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
644 |
The Feldstein-Horioka Fact |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
207 |
The Feldstein-Horioka Fact |
0 |
0 |
0 |
136 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
598 |
The Feldstein-Horioka fact |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
255 |
The Feldstein-Horioka fact |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
314 |
The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of OMT Announcements |
0 |
0 |
1 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
149 |
The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of OMT Announcements |
0 |
0 |
1 |
108 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
285 |
The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements |
0 |
0 |
0 |
335 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
844 |
The drivers of post-pandemic inflation |
1 |
2 |
17 |
17 |
4 |
8 |
41 |
41 |
The effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
208 |
The effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
195 |
The effectiveness of nonstandard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
320 |
The financial and macroeconomic effects of OMT announcements |
1 |
1 |
5 |
291 |
2 |
4 |
13 |
876 |
Tracking Greenspan: Systematic and Unsystematic Monetary Policy Revisited |
0 |
0 |
5 |
388 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
1,545 |
Tracking Reserve Ampleness in Real Time Using Reserve Demand Elasticity |
0 |
2 |
32 |
32 |
1 |
7 |
38 |
38 |
Trends and cycles in the Euro Area: how much heterogeneity and should we worry about it? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
344 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
841 |
Trends and cycles in the euro area: how much heterogeneity and should we worry about it? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
288 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
685 |
Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yields Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
379 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
838 |
Unspanned macroeconomic factors in the yield curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
202 |
VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
733 |
VARs, Common Factors and the Empirical Validation of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
274 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
675 |
VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
Vulnerable Growth |
0 |
1 |
7 |
46 |
1 |
6 |
23 |
225 |
Vulnerable Growth |
0 |
1 |
3 |
101 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
504 |
Vulnerable Growth |
0 |
2 |
9 |
57 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
125 |
Vulnerable growth |
0 |
0 |
6 |
239 |
2 |
5 |
29 |
960 |
What Do Financial Conditions Tell Us about Risks to GDP Growth? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
222 |
When Are Central Bank Reserves Ample? |
1 |
2 |
14 |
14 |
2 |
6 |
16 |
16 |
Total Working Papers |
37 |
127 |
696 |
34,029 |
210 |
547 |
2,198 |
86,866 |