Access Statistics for Massimo Guidolin

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
1/N and Long Run Optimal Portfolios: Results for Mixed Asset Menus 0 0 1 83 0 1 2 218
1/N and long run optimal portfolios: results for mixed asset menus 0 0 0 132 0 1 7 344
A Bayesian multi-factor model of instability in prices and quantities of risk in U.S. financial markets 0 0 1 129 0 0 1 237
A Markov Switching Cointegration Analysis of the CDS-Bond Basis Puzzle 0 1 10 96 0 1 12 140
A simple model of trading and pricing risky assets under ambiguity: any lessons for policy-makers? 0 0 0 128 1 1 2 262
A yield spread perspective on the great financial crisis: break-point test evidence 0 0 1 152 0 0 2 287
Affiliated mutual funds and analyst optimism 0 0 2 256 0 1 6 438
Ambiguity Aversion and Under-diversification 0 0 2 215 0 2 4 409
Ambiguity in Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice: A Review of the Literature 1 1 2 307 1 1 8 795
Ambiguity in asset pricing and portfolio choice: a review of the literature 0 0 1 152 0 2 5 263
An Empirical Analysis of Changes in the Relative Timeliness of Issuer-Paid vs. Investor-Paid Ratings 0 0 0 124 0 1 12 322
An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns 0 0 0 292 0 0 1 558
Arbitrage Risk and Investor Sentiment as Causes of Persistent Mispricing: the European Evidence 0 0 1 23 0 0 1 46
Arbitrage Risk and Investor Sentiment as Causes of Persistent Mispricing: the European Evidence 0 0 0 54 0 1 2 106
Are Unconventional Monetary Policies a Priced Risk Factor for Hedge Fund Strategies? 0 1 9 123 0 2 11 149
Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying? 0 0 0 214 0 0 0 460
Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching 2 2 6 642 3 3 10 1,261
Boosting the Forecasting Power of Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models to Account for Covid-19 Outbreaks 1 1 1 87 1 1 5 56
Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence 0 0 2 105 0 2 4 141
Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence 0 1 4 52 0 2 5 90
Can No-Arbitrage SDF Models with Regime Shifts Explain the Correlations Between Commodity, Stock, and Bond Returns? 0 0 2 72 0 1 3 103
Can VAR Models Capture Regime Shifts in Asset Returns? A Long-Horizon Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective 0 0 0 189 0 2 2 430
Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? a long-horizon strategic asset allocation perspective 0 0 0 217 0 1 2 455
Can We Forecast the Implied Volatility Surface Dynamics of Equity Options? Predictability and Economic Value Tests 1 1 4 481 1 1 15 1,176
Diamonds are Forever, Wars are Not: Is Conflict Bad for Private Firms? 0 0 1 246 0 3 5 1,031
Diamonds are forever, wars are not. Is conflict bad for private firms? 0 0 3 473 0 1 4 1,163
Dissecting Time-Varying Risk Exposures in Cryptocurrency Markets 0 0 10 115 0 2 17 219
Dissecting the 2007-2009 real estate market bust: systematic pricing correction or just a housing fad? 0 0 0 60 0 0 1 157
Distilling Large Information Sets to Forecast Commodity Returns: Automatic Variable Selection or HiddenMarkov Models? 0 0 4 75 0 0 6 102
Do Regimes in Excess Stock Return Predictability Create Economic Value? An Out-of-Sample Portfolio Analysis 0 0 2 150 0 1 3 182
Do US Active Mutual Funds Make Good of Their ESG Promises? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings 1 3 19 19 1 3 30 30
Does the Cost of Private Debt Respond to Monetary Policy? Heteroskedasticity-Based Identification in a Model with Regimes 1 1 4 53 1 1 6 72
Does the Cost of Private Debt Respond to Monetary Policy? Heteroskedasticity-Based Identification in a Model with Regimes 2 5 6 94 2 5 6 112
Does the macroeconomy predict U.K. asset returns in a nonlinear fashion? comprehensive out-of-sample evidence 0 0 0 127 0 0 1 341
Economic Implications of Bull and Bear Regimes in UK Stock Returns 0 0 0 132 0 0 0 336
Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability and comovements: evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK 0 0 0 133 0 0 0 351
Estimating Stochastic Discount Factor Models with Hidden Regimes: Applications to Commodity Pricing 0 0 1 116 0 0 1 199
Ex Post Portfolio Performance with Predictable Skewness and Kurtosis 0 0 0 144 0 0 1 392
Federal reserve chair communication sentiments’ heterogeneity, personal characteristics, and their impact on target rate discovery 0 0 0 27 0 0 1 42
Forecasting Commodity Futures Returns: An Economic Value Analysis of Macroeconomic vs. Specific Factors 0 0 5 114 1 1 9 160
Forecasting and Trading Monetary Policy Effects on the Riskless Yield Curve with Regime Switching Nelson†Siegel Models 0 3 6 141 0 3 8 196
Forecasting and Trading Monetary Policy Switching Nelson-Siegel Models 0 2 6 102 0 7 12 129
Forecasting: theory and practice 0 1 9 90 3 7 23 109
Forecasts of U.S. short-term interest rates: a flexible forecast combination approach 0 0 1 889 0 0 1 2,482
Forecasts of US Short-term Interest Rates: A Flexible Forecast Combination Approach 0 0 0 280 0 2 2 749
High equity premia and crash fears. Rational foundations 0 0 0 115 0 0 0 297
Home bias and high turnover in an overlapping generations model with learning 0 0 0 213 0 0 0 519
How Smart is the Real Estate Smart Beta? Evidence from Optimal Style Factor Strategies for REITs 0 2 5 92 1 4 9 152
How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of U.S. yield spreads? 0 0 4 243 3 3 13 639
Implied Learning Paths from Option Prices 0 0 0 139 0 1 1 294
International asset allocation under regime switching, skew and kurtosis preferences 0 0 1 484 0 0 2 925
Investing for the Long-Run in European Real Estate. Does Predictability Matter? 0 0 0 178 0 1 1 434
Investing for the long-run in European real estate 0 0 1 384 0 0 2 1,315
Investing in Mixed Asset Portfolios: the Ex-Post Performance 0 0 0 112 0 0 0 377
Learning to smile: Can rational learning explain predictable dynamics in the implied volatility surface? 0 0 1 114 0 0 5 269
Linear and Nonlinear Predictability in Investment Style Factors: Multivariate Evidence* 0 0 1 141 0 6 10 226
Machine Learning in Portfolio Decisions 6 13 73 73 9 22 103 103
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 0 1 4 109 0 2 7 170
Macroeconomic factors strike back: A Bayesian change-point model of time-varying risk exposures and premia in the U.S. cross-section 0 0 0 62 0 1 1 347
Managing international portfolios with small capitalization stocks 0 0 1 66 0 1 2 256
Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance 2 5 27 2,372 9 20 66 4,537
Media Attention vs. Sentiment as Drivers of Conditional Volatility Predictions: An Application to Brexit 1 2 9 87 1 2 10 114
Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets 0 0 1 27 0 0 3 84
Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets 0 0 3 21 0 1 5 35
Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets 0 0 0 18 0 1 1 89
Modeling Systemic Risk with Markov Switching Graphical SUR Models 0 1 3 145 0 1 9 229
Modelling the MIB30 implied volatility surface. Does market efficiency matter? 0 0 0 225 0 1 1 757
Monetary Policy after the Crisis: Threat or Opportunity to Hedge Funds' Alphas? 0 1 8 126 0 2 10 143
Multifactor Empirical Asset Pricing Under Higher-Order Moment Variations 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 80
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate. Evidence from Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models of REIT Returns 0 0 0 122 0 0 1 283
Myths and facts about the alleged over-pricing of U.S. real estate. Evidence from multi-factor asset pricing models of REIT returns 0 0 0 71 2 3 4 142
Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: when and where is it exploitable? 0 0 0 455 0 0 6 898
Optimal Portfolios for Occupational Funds under Time-Varying Correlations in Bull and Bear Markets? Assessing the Ex-Post Economic Value 0 0 0 102 0 0 1 218
Optimal portfolio choice under regime switching, skew and kurtosis preferences 0 0 0 435 0 1 4 1,271
Option Prices under Bayesian Learning: Implied Volatility Dynamics and Predictive Densities 0 0 0 355 0 0 0 956
Option Prices under Bayesian Learning: Implied Volatility Dynamics and Predictive Densities 0 0 0 326 0 1 2 913
Option prices and implied volatility dynamics under Bayesian learning 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 658
Option prices under Bayesian learning: implied volatility dynamics and predictive densities 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pessimistic beliefs under rational learning: quantitative implications for the equity premium puzzle 0 0 0 144 0 1 3 450
Portfolio Performance of Linear SDF Models: An Out-of-Sample Assessment 0 0 4 55 0 0 8 116
Portfolio Performance of Linear SDF Models: An Out-of-Sample Assessment 0 0 3 25 0 1 4 54
Predictable dynamics in the S&P 500 index options implied volatility surface 0 0 2 611 0 1 6 1,522
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis 0 0 1 141 0 0 2 322
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 158 0 1 4 461
Properties of equilibrium asset prices under alternative learning schemes 0 0 0 176 0 0 2 453
Regime shifts in mean-variance efficient frontiers: some international evidence 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 214
Responsible Investing under Climate Change Uncertainty 2 7 31 31 3 10 33 33
Sentiment Risk Premia In The Cross-Section of Global Equity 0 0 4 63 0 3 11 112
Sentiment Risk Premia in the Cross-Section of Global Equity and Currency Returns 0 0 0 90 0 0 5 139
Size and value anomalies under regime shifts 0 0 0 259 0 0 1 571
Small Caps in International Diversified Portfolios 0 0 0 74 1 1 1 250
Small Caps in International Equity Portfolios: The Effects of Variance Risk 0 0 0 155 0 0 1 521
Small caps in international equity portfolios: the effects of variance risk 0 0 0 171 0 0 2 522
Strategic Asset Allocation and Consumption Decisions under Multivariate Regime Switching 0 0 0 10 0 0 3 785
Strong vs. Stable: The Impact of ESG Ratings Momentum and their Volatility on the Cost of Equity Capital 1 5 19 65 1 5 29 76
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 0 260 1 1 2 840
Term Structure of Risk Under Alternative Econometric Specifications 0 0 0 114 0 0 1 341
Term structure of risk under alternative econometric specifications 0 0 0 218 0 1 1 520
The Effects of Information Asymmetries on the Success of Stock Option Listings 0 0 0 117 0 0 1 427
The Empirical Performance of Option Implied Volatility Surface-Driven Optimal Portfolios 1 1 17 44 2 3 24 55
The Impact of Monetary Policy on Corporate Bonds under Regime Shifts 0 0 0 168 0 0 4 340
The Predictability of Real Estate Excess Returns: An Out-of-Sample Economic Value Analysis 1 1 5 88 1 1 6 97
The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations under regime switching: an application to predictable U.S. returns 0 1 1 248 0 2 5 632
The economic effects of violent conflict: evidence from asset market reactions 0 0 0 227 0 3 8 732
Time and Risk Diversification in Real Estate Investments: Assessing the Ex Post Economic Value 0 0 1 108 0 0 2 426
Time and risk diversification in real estate investments: assessing the ex post economic value 0 0 0 128 0 0 2 297
Time-Varying Price Discovery in Sovereign Credit Markets 2 3 3 57 2 3 3 74
Time-Varying Risk Aversion and International Stock Returns 2 3 15 53 2 3 20 74
Understanding the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Corporate Bond Market in Good and Bad Times: A Markov Switching Model 0 0 0 53 0 1 4 115
Volatility as an Alternative asset Class: Does It Improve Portfolio Performance? 0 0 0 54 0 0 4 104
What tames the Celtic tiger? portfolio implications from a multivariate Markov switching model 0 0 0 170 0 1 1 539
Who should buy structured investment products and why? 2 6 33 33 2 6 37 37
Why do analysts continue to provide favorable coverage for seasoned stocks? 0 0 0 88 0 1 6 274
Total Working Papers 29 75 407 19,921 55 186 788 47,555


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Review of: “Book Review: Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing” 0 0 0 39 0 0 0 116
A simple model of trading and pricing risky assets under ambiguity: any lessons for policy-makers? 0 0 0 86 0 0 0 224
A yield spread perspective on the great financial crisis: Break-point test evidence 0 0 0 45 0 0 0 149
Affiliated mutual funds and analyst optimism 0 0 3 147 0 1 11 440
Alternative econometric implementations of multi-factor models of the U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 37 0 1 1 129
Ambiguity Aversion and Underdiversification 0 0 0 38 0 1 1 96
Ambiguity in asset pricing and portfolio choice: a review of the literature 0 0 0 71 0 1 1 174
An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns 0 0 1 371 0 0 4 880
An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns 0 0 2 3 0 0 4 14
An empirical analysis of changes in the relative timeliness of issuer-paid vs. investor-paid ratings 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 34
Arbitrage risk and a sentiment as causes of persistent mispricing: The European evidence 0 0 1 20 0 2 9 48
Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying? 0 0 1 99 0 0 3 262
Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching 7 8 11 490 10 19 40 1,095
Bubbling (or just frothy) house prices? 0 0 1 35 0 0 1 152
Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence 0 0 3 7 0 0 5 10
Can Linear Predictability Models Time Bull and Bear Real Estate Markets? Out-of-Sample Evidence from REIT Portfolios 0 0 1 40 0 1 5 150
Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? A long-horizon strategic asset allocation perspective 0 0 2 102 1 2 7 257
Can long-run dynamic optimal strategies outperform fixed-mix portfolios? Evidence from multiple data sets 0 0 1 38 0 1 4 110
Can we forecast the implied volatility surface dynamics of equity options? Predictability and economic value tests 0 0 3 89 0 1 14 349
Cross-asset contagion in the financial crisis: A Bayesian time-varying parameter approach 0 0 0 25 0 0 2 76
Cross-country personal saving rates 0 0 0 83 0 1 1 230
Diamonds Are Forever, Wars Are Not: Is Conflict Bad for Private Firms? 0 0 3 452 2 11 28 1,720
Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad? 0 0 0 29 0 0 0 64
Diversifying in public real estate: The ex-post performance 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Do US Active Mutual Funds Make Good of Their ESG Promises? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings 0 1 7 9 0 2 13 17
Does the Macroeconomy Predict UK Asset Returns in a Nonlinear Fashion? Comprehensive Out-of-Sample Evidence 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 79
Does the cost of private debt respond to monetary policy? Heteroskedasticity-based identification in a model with regimes 0 0 1 19 0 0 1 25
Economic Implications of Bull and Bear Regimes in UK Stock and Bond Returns 0 0 0 343 1 1 1 717
Equally Weighted vs. Long†Run Optimal Portfolios 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 28
Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability: Evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK 0 0 0 42 0 0 0 119
Estimating stochastic discount factor models with hidden regimes: Applications to commodity pricing 0 0 0 25 1 1 1 49
Forecasting and trading monetary policy effects on the riskless yield curve with regime switching Nelson–Siegel models 0 0 2 24 0 1 5 102
Forecasting commodity futures returns with stepwise regressions: Do commodity-specific factors help? 0 0 2 26 0 0 6 51
Forecasting the CBOE VIX and SKEW Indices Using Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models 0 0 2 2 0 0 8 8
Forecasting yield spreads under crisis-induced multiple breakpoints 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 42
Forecasting: theory and practice 1 2 17 50 9 23 133 309
Forecasts of US short-term interest rates: A flexible forecast combination approach 0 1 1 242 0 3 5 631
High equity premia and crash fears - Rational foundations 0 0 0 94 0 0 0 239
Home Bias and High Turnover in an Overlapping‐generations Model with Learning 0 0 0 87 0 0 0 245
How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of U.S. yield spreads? 0 0 0 26 0 0 1 122
How good can heuristic-based forecasts be? A comparative performance of econometric and heuristic models for UK and US asset returns 0 0 1 20 0 0 3 52
Identifying and measuring the contagion channels at work in the European financial crises 0 0 0 55 0 1 2 147
International asset allocation under regime switching, skew, and kurtosis preferences 0 0 0 221 0 1 3 588
International asset prices and portfolio choices under Bayesian learning 0 0 0 101 0 0 1 228
Investing for the Long-run in European Real Estate 0 1 1 118 0 1 1 304
Is the bond market irrational? 0 0 0 45 0 0 0 134
Is the financial crisis over? a yield spread perspective 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 64
Learning to smile: Can rational learning explain predictable dynamics in the implied volatility surface? 0 0 0 42 0 1 2 105
Linear and nonlinear predictability in investment style factors: multivariate evidence 3 4 5 29 7 13 23 117
Linear predictability vs. bull and bear market models in strategic asset allocation decisions: evidence from UK data 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 39
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 0 0 0 25 0 0 2 145
Markov Switching Dynamics in REIT Returns: Univariate and Multivariate Evidence on Forecasting Performance 0 1 3 48 0 4 9 127
Media Attention vs. Sentiment as Drivers of Conditional Volatility Predictions: An Application to Brexit 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 22
Mildly explosive dynamics in U.S. fixed income markets 0 0 2 14 1 1 3 40
Modeling systemic risk with Markov Switching Graphical SUR models 1 1 3 47 1 2 7 165
Modelling the implied volatility surface: Does market efficiency matter?: An application to MIB30 index options 0 0 0 92 0 0 5 245
Monetary policy after the crisis: A threat to hedge funds' alphas? 0 0 4 33 0 2 16 83
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate 0 0 1 26 0 1 2 114
New ESG rating drivers in the cross‐section of European stock returns 2 3 11 18 2 3 18 30
No volatility, no forecasting power for the term spread 0 0 0 29 0 0 0 99
Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: When and where is it exploitable? 0 0 1 155 0 0 1 379
Option prices under Bayesian learning: implied volatility dynamics and predictive densities 0 0 0 311 0 1 2 660
Performance persistence and optimal asset allocation strategies 0 0 1 10 0 0 2 15
Pessimistic beliefs under rational learning: Quantitative implications for the equity premium puzzle 0 0 0 75 0 0 1 225
Portfolio performance of linear SDF models: an out-of-sample assessment 0 0 0 11 0 1 2 48
Predictable Dynamics in the S&P 500 Index Options Implied Volatility Surface 0 1 11 377 0 2 19 1,042
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis 0 0 3 22 0 2 7 87
Pricing S&P 500 Index Options: A Conditional Semi‐Nonparametric Approach 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 36
Properties of equilibrium asset prices under alternative learning schemes 0 1 1 117 0 1 2 277
Recursive Modeling of Nonlinear Dynamics in UK Stock Returns 0 0 0 85 0 0 1 233
Regime shifts in mean-variance efficient frontiers: Some international evidence 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8
Simple VARs cannot approximate Markov switching asset allocation decisions: An out-of-sample assessment 0 0 0 15 0 1 2 48
Size and Value Anomalies under Regime Shifts 0 0 1 100 0 0 2 245
Small caps in international equity portfolios: the effects of variance risk 0 0 0 72 0 0 0 221
Strong vs. stable: the impact of ESG ratings momentum and their volatility on the cost of equity capital 0 0 1 1 0 2 7 7
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 1 46 0 1 4 376
Switching Coefficients or Automatic Variable Selection: An Application in Forecasting Commodity Returns 0 0 0 19 0 1 2 29
Taming the long-term spreads 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 48
Term structure of risk under alternative econometric specifications 0 0 0 159 1 1 4 366
The Predictability of Real Estate Excess Returns: An Out-of-Sample Economic Value Analysis 0 1 6 18 1 2 8 21
The decline in the U.S. personal saving rate: is it real and is it a puzzle? 0 0 1 106 0 0 6 476
The dollar U-turn 0 0 1 34 0 0 2 128
The dynamics of returns predictability in cryptocurrency markets 1 1 3 14 2 3 8 21
The economic effects of violent conflict: Evidence from asset market reactions 4 5 11 112 9 16 41 406
The effects of large-scale asset purchases on TIPS inflation expectations 0 1 2 82 0 2 3 190
The empirical performance of option implied volatility surface-driven optimal portfolios 0 0 2 15 0 0 5 23
The impact of monetary policy on corporate bonds under regime shifts 0 0 2 53 0 1 3 168
Time and Risk Diversification in Real Estate Investments: Assessing the Ex Post Economic Value 0 0 0 98 0 0 1 236
Time varying stock return predictability: Evidence from US sectors 0 1 1 100 0 2 4 223
Time-varying price discovery in sovereign credit markets 0 0 1 6 0 1 2 14
Unconventional monetary policies and the corporate bond market 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 118
What tames the Celtic Tiger? Portfolio implications from a Multivariate Markov Switching model 0 0 0 48 0 1 1 214
Total Journal Articles 19 33 146 6,718 48 144 560 19,007
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Transmission Channels of Financial Shocks to Stock, Bond, and Asset-Backed Markets: An Empirical Model 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
Total Books 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Chapter 16 The Economic and Statistical Value of Forecast Combinations Under Regime Switching: An Application to Predictable US Returns 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Machine Learning in Portfolio Decisions 1 2 4 4 1 2 7 7
Markov Switching Mean-Variance Frontier Dynamics: Theory and International Evidence 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 9
Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance 0 1 5 7 2 5 14 22
Markov Switching in Portfolio Choice and Asset Pricing Models: A Survey 1 1 6 10 2 6 12 21
Markov switching models in asset pricing research 0 0 4 119 0 1 8 205
Total Chapters 2 4 19 140 5 15 44 264


Statistics updated 2025-05-12