Access Statistics for Massimo Guidolin

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
1/N and Long Run Optimal Portfolios: Results for Mixed Asset Menus 0 1 2 83 0 1 2 217
1/N and long run optimal portfolios: results for mixed asset menus 0 0 0 132 0 0 9 343
A Bayesian multi-factor model of instability in prices and quantities of risk in U.S. financial markets 0 0 1 129 0 0 1 237
A Markov Switching Cointegration Analysis of the CDS-Bond Basis Puzzle 0 3 12 95 0 4 14 139
A simple model of trading and pricing risky assets under ambiguity: any lessons for policy-makers? 0 0 0 128 0 0 1 261
A yield spread perspective on the great financial crisis: break-point test evidence 0 0 1 152 0 1 2 287
Affiliated mutual funds and analyst optimism 0 0 2 256 1 1 7 438
Ambiguity Aversion and Under-diversification 0 0 4 215 1 1 5 408
Ambiguity in Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice: A Review of the Literature 0 0 1 306 0 0 9 794
Ambiguity in asset pricing and portfolio choice: a review of the literature 0 0 1 152 1 1 4 262
An Empirical Analysis of Changes in the Relative Timeliness of Issuer-Paid vs. Investor-Paid Ratings 0 0 1 124 1 3 14 322
An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns 0 0 0 292 0 0 1 558
Arbitrage Risk and Investor Sentiment as Causes of Persistent Mispricing: the European Evidence 0 0 0 54 1 1 2 106
Arbitrage Risk and Investor Sentiment as Causes of Persistent Mispricing: the European Evidence 0 0 1 23 0 0 1 46
Are Unconventional Monetary Policies a Priced Risk Factor for Hedge Fund Strategies? 1 4 9 123 1 5 10 148
Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying? 0 0 0 214 0 0 0 460
Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching 0 0 4 640 0 1 8 1,258
Boosting the Forecasting Power of Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models to Account for Covid-19 Outbreaks 0 0 1 86 0 1 5 55
Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence 0 1 3 51 0 1 3 88
Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence 0 0 3 105 1 1 4 140
Can No-Arbitrage SDF Models with Regime Shifts Explain the Correlations Between Commodity, Stock, and Bond Returns? 0 1 2 72 0 1 3 102
Can VAR Models Capture Regime Shifts in Asset Returns? A Long-Horizon Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective 0 0 1 189 0 0 2 428
Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? a long-horizon strategic asset allocation perspective 0 0 0 217 0 1 1 454
Can We Forecast the Implied Volatility Surface Dynamics of Equity Options? Predictability and Economic Value Tests 0 0 4 480 0 4 16 1,175
Diamonds are Forever, Wars are Not: Is Conflict Bad for Private Firms? 0 0 1 246 3 3 5 1,031
Diamonds are forever, wars are not. Is conflict bad for private firms? 0 0 4 473 1 1 6 1,163
Dissecting Time-Varying Risk Exposures in Cryptocurrency Markets 0 3 11 115 1 5 18 218
Dissecting the 2007-2009 real estate market bust: systematic pricing correction or just a housing fad? 0 0 0 60 0 0 1 157
Distilling Large Information Sets to Forecast Commodity Returns: Automatic Variable Selection or HiddenMarkov Models? 0 2 5 75 0 3 8 102
Do Regimes in Excess Stock Return Predictability Create Economic Value? An Out-of-Sample Portfolio Analysis 0 0 2 150 1 1 4 182
Do US Active Mutual Funds Make Good of Their ESG Promises? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings 2 5 18 18 2 5 29 29
Does the Cost of Private Debt Respond to Monetary Policy? Heteroskedasticity-Based Identification in a Model with Regimes 2 2 3 91 2 2 3 109
Does the Cost of Private Debt Respond to Monetary Policy? Heteroskedasticity-Based Identification in a Model with Regimes 0 0 3 52 0 0 5 71
Does the macroeconomy predict U.K. asset returns in a nonlinear fashion? comprehensive out-of-sample evidence 0 0 0 127 0 0 1 341
Economic Implications of Bull and Bear Regimes in UK Stock Returns 0 0 0 132 0 0 0 336
Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability and comovements: evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK 0 0 0 133 0 0 0 351
Estimating Stochastic Discount Factor Models with Hidden Regimes: Applications to Commodity Pricing 0 1 3 116 0 1 3 199
Ex Post Portfolio Performance with Predictable Skewness and Kurtosis 0 0 0 144 0 1 1 392
Federal reserve chair communication sentiments’ heterogeneity, personal characteristics, and their impact on target rate discovery 0 0 0 27 0 1 1 42
Forecasting Commodity Futures Returns: An Economic Value Analysis of Macroeconomic vs. Specific Factors 0 1 7 114 0 1 10 159
Forecasting and Trading Monetary Policy Effects on the Riskless Yield Curve with Regime Switching Nelson†Siegel Models 1 1 6 139 1 1 8 194
Forecasting and Trading Monetary Policy Switching Nelson-Siegel Models 1 2 6 101 1 2 9 123
Forecasting: theory and practice 0 4 12 89 0 4 23 102
Forecasts of U.S. short-term interest rates: a flexible forecast combination approach 0 0 1 889 0 0 1 2,482
Forecasts of US Short-term Interest Rates: A Flexible Forecast Combination Approach 0 0 1 280 1 1 2 748
High equity premia and crash fears. Rational foundations 0 0 0 115 0 0 0 297
Home bias and high turnover in an overlapping generations model with learning 0 0 0 213 0 0 0 519
How Smart is the Real Estate Smart Beta? Evidence from Optimal Style Factor Strategies for REITs 2 3 8 92 3 5 11 151
How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of U.S. yield spreads? 0 1 5 243 0 2 12 636
Implied Learning Paths from Option Prices 0 0 0 139 0 0 0 293
International asset allocation under regime switching, skew and kurtosis preferences 0 0 1 484 0 0 2 925
Investing for the Long-Run in European Real Estate. Does Predictability Matter? 0 0 0 178 0 0 1 433
Investing for the long-run in European real estate 0 0 1 384 0 0 2 1,315
Investing in Mixed Asset Portfolios: the Ex-Post Performance 0 0 0 112 0 0 0 377
Learning to smile: Can rational learning explain predictable dynamics in the implied volatility surface? 0 0 2 114 0 0 6 269
Linear and Nonlinear Predictability in Investment Style Factors: Multivariate Evidence* 0 0 3 141 5 5 11 225
Machine Learning in Portfolio Decisions 6 29 66 66 11 41 92 92
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 1 1 5 109 1 1 9 169
Macroeconomic factors strike back: A Bayesian change-point model of time-varying risk exposures and premia in the U.S. cross-section 0 0 0 62 0 0 1 346
Managing international portfolios with small capitalization stocks 0 0 2 66 1 1 3 256
Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance 2 9 29 2,369 6 17 67 4,523
Media Attention vs. Sentiment as Drivers of Conditional Volatility Predictions: An Application to Brexit 1 2 10 86 1 2 11 113
Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets 0 0 0 18 1 1 1 89
Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets 0 0 2 27 0 2 4 84
Mildly Explosive Dynamics in U.S. Fixed Income Markets 0 2 3 21 0 2 4 34
Modeling Systemic Risk with Markov Switching Graphical SUR Models 0 0 4 144 0 0 14 228
Modelling the MIB30 implied volatility surface. Does market efficiency matter? 0 0 0 225 0 0 0 756
Monetary Policy after the Crisis: Threat or Opportunity to Hedge Funds' Alphas? 0 1 8 125 0 2 9 141
Multifactor Empirical Asset Pricing Under Higher-Order Moment Variations 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 80
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate. Evidence from Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models of REIT Returns 0 0 0 122 0 0 1 283
Myths and facts about the alleged over-pricing of U.S. real estate. Evidence from multi-factor asset pricing models of REIT returns 0 0 0 71 0 0 1 139
Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: when and where is it exploitable? 0 0 0 455 0 2 7 898
Optimal Portfolios for Occupational Funds under Time-Varying Correlations in Bull and Bear Markets? Assessing the Ex-Post Economic Value 0 0 0 102 0 0 1 218
Optimal portfolio choice under regime switching, skew and kurtosis preferences 0 0 0 435 1 3 4 1,271
Option Prices under Bayesian Learning: Implied Volatility Dynamics and Predictive Densities 0 0 0 326 0 0 1 912
Option Prices under Bayesian Learning: Implied Volatility Dynamics and Predictive Densities 0 0 0 355 0 0 1 956
Option prices and implied volatility dynamics under Bayesian learning 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 658
Option prices under Bayesian learning: implied volatility dynamics and predictive densities 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pessimistic beliefs under rational learning: quantitative implications for the equity premium puzzle 0 0 0 144 0 1 2 449
Portfolio Performance of Linear SDF Models: An Out-of-Sample Assessment 0 1 6 55 0 1 12 116
Portfolio Performance of Linear SDF Models: An Out-of-Sample Assessment 0 2 3 25 0 2 3 53
Predictable dynamics in the S&P 500 index options implied volatility surface 0 0 2 611 0 0 5 1,521
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis 0 0 1 141 0 0 4 322
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates 0 0 2 158 0 0 6 460
Properties of equilibrium asset prices under alternative learning schemes 0 0 0 176 0 0 2 453
Regime shifts in mean-variance efficient frontiers: some international evidence 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 214
Responsible Investing under Climate Change Uncertainty 4 13 28 28 5 15 28 28
Sentiment Risk Premia In The Cross-Section of Global Equity 0 1 5 63 1 2 11 110
Sentiment Risk Premia in the Cross-Section of Global Equity and Currency Returns 0 0 0 90 0 2 6 139
Size and value anomalies under regime shifts 0 0 0 259 0 0 1 571
Small Caps in International Diversified Portfolios 0 0 1 74 0 0 1 249
Small Caps in International Equity Portfolios: The Effects of Variance Risk 0 0 0 155 0 0 1 521
Small caps in international equity portfolios: the effects of variance risk 0 0 0 171 0 1 2 522
Strategic Asset Allocation and Consumption Decisions under Multivariate Regime Switching 0 0 0 10 0 0 5 785
Strong vs. Stable: The Impact of ESG Ratings Momentum and their Volatility on the Cost of Equity Capital 2 4 21 62 2 5 33 73
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 0 260 0 1 1 839
Term Structure of Risk Under Alternative Econometric Specifications 0 0 0 114 0 0 1 341
Term structure of risk under alternative econometric specifications 0 0 0 218 1 1 1 520
The Effects of Information Asymmetries on the Success of Stock Option Listings 0 0 0 117 0 0 1 427
The Empirical Performance of Option Implied Volatility Surface-Driven Optimal Portfolios 0 5 20 43 0 6 29 52
The Impact of Monetary Policy on Corporate Bonds under Regime Shifts 0 0 0 168 0 1 4 340
The Predictability of Real Estate Excess Returns: An Out-of-Sample Economic Value Analysis 0 2 4 87 0 3 5 96
The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations under regime switching: an application to predictable U.S. returns 0 0 0 247 0 0 3 630
The economic effects of violent conflict: evidence from asset market reactions 0 0 0 227 3 4 9 732
Time and Risk Diversification in Real Estate Investments: Assessing the Ex Post Economic Value 0 0 1 108 0 0 2 426
Time and risk diversification in real estate investments: assessing the ex post economic value 0 0 0 128 0 1 2 297
Time-Varying Price Discovery in Sovereign Credit Markets 1 1 2 55 1 1 2 72
Time-Varying Risk Aversion and International Stock Returns 0 3 17 50 0 3 24 71
Understanding the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Corporate Bond Market in Good and Bad Times: A Markov Switching Model 0 0 0 53 0 0 3 114
Volatility as an Alternative asset Class: Does It Improve Portfolio Performance? 0 0 0 54 0 1 4 104
What tames the Celtic tiger? portfolio implications from a multivariate Markov switching model 0 0 0 170 0 0 0 538
Who should buy structured investment products and why? 3 9 30 30 3 10 34 34
Why do analysts continue to provide favorable coverage for seasoned stocks? 0 0 0 88 0 1 6 273
Total Working Papers 29 120 428 19,875 66 210 795 47,435


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Review of: “Book Review: Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing” 0 0 0 39 0 0 0 116
A simple model of trading and pricing risky assets under ambiguity: any lessons for policy-makers? 0 0 0 86 0 0 0 224
A yield spread perspective on the great financial crisis: Break-point test evidence 0 0 0 45 0 0 0 149
Affiliated mutual funds and analyst optimism 0 0 3 147 0 0 12 439
Alternative econometric implementations of multi-factor models of the U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 37 1 1 1 129
Ambiguity Aversion and Underdiversification 0 0 0 38 0 0 0 95
Ambiguity in asset pricing and portfolio choice: a review of the literature 0 0 0 71 0 0 0 173
An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns 0 1 2 3 0 1 4 14
An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns 0 1 2 371 0 3 5 880
An empirical analysis of changes in the relative timeliness of issuer-paid vs. investor-paid ratings 0 0 1 10 0 0 3 34
Arbitrage risk and a sentiment as causes of persistent mispricing: The European evidence 0 0 2 20 2 2 10 48
Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying? 0 0 2 99 0 0 5 262
Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching 1 2 4 483 6 9 32 1,082
Bubbling (or just frothy) house prices? 0 0 2 35 0 0 2 152
Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence 0 0 3 7 0 0 5 10
Can Linear Predictability Models Time Bull and Bear Real Estate Markets? Out-of-Sample Evidence from REIT Portfolios 0 0 1 40 1 1 5 150
Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? A long-horizon strategic asset allocation perspective 0 0 2 102 0 0 7 255
Can long-run dynamic optimal strategies outperform fixed-mix portfolios? Evidence from multiple data sets 0 0 1 38 0 0 3 109
Can we forecast the implied volatility surface dynamics of equity options? Predictability and economic value tests 0 0 7 89 1 2 22 349
Cross-asset contagion in the financial crisis: A Bayesian time-varying parameter approach 0 0 1 25 0 0 5 76
Cross-country personal saving rates 0 0 0 83 1 1 1 230
Diamonds Are Forever, Wars Are Not: Is Conflict Bad for Private Firms? 0 0 4 452 4 6 23 1,713
Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad? 0 0 0 29 0 0 0 64
Diversifying in public real estate: The ex-post performance 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Do US Active Mutual Funds Make Good of Their ESG Promises? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings 0 2 8 8 1 4 16 16
Does the Macroeconomy Predict UK Asset Returns in a Nonlinear Fashion? Comprehensive Out-of-Sample Evidence 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 79
Does the cost of private debt respond to monetary policy? Heteroskedasticity-based identification in a model with regimes 0 0 1 19 0 0 1 25
Economic Implications of Bull and Bear Regimes in UK Stock and Bond Returns 0 0 0 343 0 0 1 716
Equally Weighted vs. Long†Run Optimal Portfolios 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 28
Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability: Evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK 0 0 0 42 0 0 0 119
Estimating stochastic discount factor models with hidden regimes: Applications to commodity pricing 0 0 0 25 0 0 1 48
Forecasting and trading monetary policy effects on the riskless yield curve with regime switching Nelson–Siegel models 0 0 2 24 0 0 4 101
Forecasting commodity futures returns with stepwise regressions: Do commodity-specific factors help? 0 0 2 26 0 0 6 51
Forecasting the CBOE VIX and SKEW Indices Using Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models 0 2 2 2 0 3 8 8
Forecasting yield spreads under crisis-induced multiple breakpoints 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 42
Forecasting: theory and practice 1 4 18 49 7 26 148 293
Forecasts of US short-term interest rates: A flexible forecast combination approach 0 0 0 241 1 1 4 629
High equity premia and crash fears - Rational foundations 0 0 0 94 0 0 0 239
Home Bias and High Turnover in an Overlapping‐generations Model with Learning 0 0 1 87 0 0 1 245
How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of U.S. yield spreads? 0 0 0 26 0 0 1 122
How good can heuristic-based forecasts be? A comparative performance of econometric and heuristic models for UK and US asset returns 0 0 1 20 0 0 3 52
Identifying and measuring the contagion channels at work in the European financial crises 0 0 2 55 1 1 5 147
International asset allocation under regime switching, skew, and kurtosis preferences 0 0 1 221 0 0 4 587
International asset prices and portfolio choices under Bayesian learning 0 0 0 101 0 0 1 228
Investing for the Long-run in European Real Estate 0 0 0 117 0 0 0 303
Is the bond market irrational? 0 0 0 45 0 0 0 134
Is the financial crisis over? a yield spread perspective 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 64
Learning to smile: Can rational learning explain predictable dynamics in the implied volatility surface? 0 0 0 42 0 1 1 104
Linear and nonlinear predictability in investment style factors: multivariate evidence 1 1 2 26 4 4 16 108
Linear predictability vs. bull and bear market models in strategic asset allocation decisions: evidence from UK data 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 39
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 0 0 0 25 0 1 5 145
Markov Switching Dynamics in REIT Returns: Univariate and Multivariate Evidence on Forecasting Performance 0 0 2 47 2 2 8 125
Media Attention vs. Sentiment as Drivers of Conditional Volatility Predictions: An Application to Brexit 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 22
Mildly explosive dynamics in U.S. fixed income markets 0 0 2 14 0 0 3 39
Modeling systemic risk with Markov Switching Graphical SUR models 0 1 2 46 1 4 6 164
Modelling the implied volatility surface: Does market efficiency matter?: An application to MIB30 index options 0 0 0 92 0 1 6 245
Monetary policy after the crisis: A threat to hedge funds' alphas? 0 1 4 33 1 4 16 82
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate 0 0 1 26 1 1 2 114
New ESG rating drivers in the cross‐section of European stock returns 0 2 12 15 0 5 20 27
No volatility, no forecasting power for the term spread 0 0 0 29 0 0 0 99
Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: When and where is it exploitable? 0 0 3 155 0 0 3 379
Option prices under Bayesian learning: implied volatility dynamics and predictive densities 0 0 0 311 0 0 2 659
Performance persistence and optimal asset allocation strategies 0 0 2 10 0 0 4 15
Pessimistic beliefs under rational learning: Quantitative implications for the equity premium puzzle 0 0 0 75 0 0 1 225
Portfolio performance of linear SDF models: an out-of-sample assessment 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 47
Predictable Dynamics in the S&P 500 Index Options Implied Volatility Surface 1 2 12 377 2 4 22 1,042
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis 0 0 3 22 1 2 6 86
Pricing S&P 500 Index Options: A Conditional Semi‐Nonparametric Approach 0 0 0 10 0 1 1 36
Properties of equilibrium asset prices under alternative learning schemes 0 0 0 116 0 0 1 276
Recursive Modeling of Nonlinear Dynamics in UK Stock Returns 0 0 0 85 0 1 1 233
Regime shifts in mean-variance efficient frontiers: Some international evidence 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8
Simple VARs cannot approximate Markov switching asset allocation decisions: An out-of-sample assessment 0 0 0 15 0 0 1 47
Size and Value Anomalies under Regime Shifts 0 0 1 100 0 0 2 245
Small caps in international equity portfolios: the effects of variance risk 0 0 0 72 0 0 0 221
Strong vs. stable: the impact of ESG ratings momentum and their volatility on the cost of equity capital 0 1 1 1 0 5 5 5
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 1 46 1 1 4 376
Switching Coefficients or Automatic Variable Selection: An Application in Forecasting Commodity Returns 0 0 0 19 0 0 2 28
Taming the long-term spreads 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 48
Term structure of risk under alternative econometric specifications 0 0 0 159 0 0 3 365
The Predictability of Real Estate Excess Returns: An Out-of-Sample Economic Value Analysis 1 2 7 18 1 2 8 20
The decline in the U.S. personal saving rate: is it real and is it a puzzle? 0 0 1 106 0 1 7 476
The dollar U-turn 0 0 1 34 0 0 2 128
The dynamics of returns predictability in cryptocurrency markets 0 0 3 13 0 0 8 18
The economic effects of violent conflict: Evidence from asset market reactions 1 1 8 108 5 10 35 395
The effects of large-scale asset purchases on TIPS inflation expectations 0 1 1 81 1 2 3 189
The empirical performance of option implied volatility surface-driven optimal portfolios 0 0 3 15 0 1 6 23
The impact of monetary policy on corporate bonds under regime shifts 0 0 2 53 1 1 4 168
Time and Risk Diversification in Real Estate Investments: Assessing the Ex Post Economic Value 0 0 0 98 0 1 1 236
Time varying stock return predictability: Evidence from US sectors 1 1 1 100 2 3 5 223
Time-varying price discovery in sovereign credit markets 0 0 1 6 0 0 1 13
Unconventional monetary policies and the corporate bond market 0 0 0 41 0 0 2 118
What tames the Celtic Tiger? Portfolio implications from a Multivariate Markov Switching model 0 0 0 48 1 1 1 214
Total Journal Articles 7 25 151 6,692 50 120 578 18,913
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Transmission Channels of Financial Shocks to Stock, Bond, and Asset-Backed Markets: An Empirical Model 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 20
Total Books 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 20


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Chapter 16 The Economic and Statistical Value of Forecast Combinations Under Regime Switching: An Application to Predictable US Returns 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Machine Learning in Portfolio Decisions 1 1 3 3 1 1 6 6
Markov Switching Mean-Variance Frontier Dynamics: Theory and International Evidence 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 9
Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance 0 2 5 6 1 3 11 18
Markov Switching in Portfolio Choice and Asset Pricing Models: A Survey 0 1 5 9 1 3 7 16
Markov switching models in asset pricing research 0 0 6 119 1 3 10 205
Total Chapters 1 4 19 137 5 11 37 254


Statistics updated 2025-03-03