Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |

Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |

25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review |
0 |
0 |
3 |
116 |
3 |
6 |
22 |
467 |

25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review |
2 |
4 |
7 |
386 |
5 |
7 |
17 |
797 |

A Note on the Validity of Cross-Validation for Evaluating Time Series Prediction |
27 |
70 |
119 |
178 |
71 |
172 |
286 |
292 |

A State Space Framework for Automatic Forecasting Using Exponential Smoothing Methods |
0 |
1 |
1 |
552 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
1,561 |

A comparison of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates |
0 |
0 |
3 |
119 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
246 |

A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality |
0 |
1 |
1 |
196 |
1 |
4 |
14 |
468 |

An Improved Method for Bandwidth Selection when Estimating ROC Curves |
0 |
0 |
0 |
133 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
516 |

Another Look at Measures of Forecast Accuracy |
11 |
26 |
66 |
1,353 |
18 |
45 |
127 |
3,450 |

Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R |
1 |
5 |
12 |
1,511 |
7 |
13 |
63 |
4,072 |

Bagging Exponential Smoothing Methods using STL Decomposition and Box-Cox Transformation |
0 |
2 |
7 |
40 |
1 |
6 |
22 |
46 |

Bandwidth Selection for Kernel Conditional Density Estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
16 |
1,432 |

Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC |
0 |
0 |
0 |
593 |
1 |
2 |
24 |
2,049 |

Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC |
1 |
1 |
6 |
1,001 |
6 |
10 |
44 |
3,453 |

Bayesian Rank Selection in Multivariate Regression |
1 |
36 |
36 |
36 |
4 |
13 |
13 |
13 |

Boosting multi-step autoregressive forecasts |
1 |
3 |
7 |
65 |
3 |
8 |
28 |
46 |

Coherent Mortality Forecasting The Product-ratio Method with Functional Time Series Models |
1 |
2 |
7 |
31 |
3 |
6 |
26 |
166 |

Coherent mortality forecasting: the product-ratio method with functional time series models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
124 |

Density forecasting for long-term peak electricity demand |
2 |
2 |
7 |
193 |
3 |
4 |
23 |
464 |

Efficient Identification of the Pareto Optimal Set |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
33 |

Empirical Information Criteria for Time Series Forecasting Model Selection |
0 |
0 |
3 |
988 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
3,332 |

Exponential Smoothing for Inventory Control: Means and Variances of Lead-Time Demand |
0 |
1 |
2 |
762 |
2 |
5 |
20 |
2,792 |

Exponential smoothing and non-negative data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
82 |
2 |
5 |
21 |
263 |

Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series |
0 |
0 |
9 |
50 |
2 |
4 |
22 |
42 |

Forecasting Time-Series with Correlated Seasonality |
0 |
2 |
3 |
255 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
702 |

Forecasting age-related changes in breast cancer mortality among white and black US women: A functional approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
166 |

Forecasting age-specific breast cancer mortality using functional data models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
159 |
1 |
5 |
20 |
943 |

Forecasting hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization |
1 |
2 |
40 |
40 |
2 |
7 |
12 |
12 |

Forecasting time series with complex seasonal patterns using exponential smoothing |
2 |
7 |
16 |
162 |
3 |
9 |
37 |
389 |

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies |
0 |
0 |
29 |
29 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
14 |

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies |
0 |
1 |
55 |
55 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
10 |

Generalized Additive Modelling of Mixed Distribution Markov Models with Application to Melbourne's Rainfall |
1 |
1 |
3 |
242 |
2 |
4 |
15 |
1,520 |

Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates |
0 |
44 |
44 |
44 |
4 |
12 |
12 |
12 |

Half-Life Estimation based on the Bias-Corrected Bootstrap: A Highest Density Region Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
183 |
2 |
6 |
35 |
841 |

Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism |
0 |
1 |
5 |
115 |
0 |
3 |
26 |
298 |

Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
71 |

Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
11 |
53 |

Invertibility Conditions for Exponential Smoothing Models |
0 |
1 |
1 |
412 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
2,592 |

Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions |
1 |
1 |
2 |
197 |
1 |
5 |
17 |
722 |

Local Linear Forecasts Using Cubic Smoothing Splines |
0 |
0 |
4 |
542 |
5 |
10 |
42 |
1,897 |

Local Linear Multivariate Regression with Variable Bandwidth in the Presence of Heteroscedasticity |
0 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
0 |
4 |
18 |
636 |

Long-term forecasts of age-specific participation rates with functional data models |
1 |
23 |
23 |
23 |
0 |
10 |
10 |
10 |

Low-dimensional decomposition, smoothing and forecasting of sparse functional data |
1 |
1 |
1 |
54 |
4 |
6 |
16 |
32 |

Mixed Model-Based Hazard Estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
614 |

Modelling and forecasting Australian domestic tourism |
1 |
2 |
4 |
354 |
2 |
5 |
14 |
837 |

Monitoring Processes with Changing Variances |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
136 |

Non Parametric Confidence Intervals for Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves |
0 |
0 |
0 |
232 |
1 |
3 |
13 |
1,173 |

Non-linear exponential smoothing and positive data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
117 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
467 |

Nonparametric Estimation and Symmetry Tests for Conditional Density Functions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
178 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
975 |

Nonparametric autocovariance function estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
1,057 |

Nonparametric estimation and symmetry tests for conditional density functions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
23 |

Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating |
0 |
0 |
1 |
154 |
2 |
3 |
24 |
334 |

Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series |
2 |
3 |
7 |
246 |
5 |
6 |
16 |
528 |

Prediction Intervals for Exponential Smoothing State Space Models |
0 |
1 |
5 |
578 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
1,971 |

Probabilistic time series forecasting with boosted additive models: an application to smart meter data |
2 |
2 |
52 |
52 |
3 |
9 |
43 |
43 |

Rainbow plots, Bagplots and Boxplots for Functional Data |
0 |
0 |
3 |
70 |
0 |
3 |
21 |
271 |

Rating Forecasts for Television Programs |
0 |
0 |
4 |
212 |
1 |
2 |
27 |
586 |

Recursive and direct multi-step forecasting: the best of both worlds |
0 |
0 |
2 |
24 |
6 |
10 |
29 |
83 |

Residual Diagnostic Plots for Checking for model Mis-Specification in Time Series Regression |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
30 |
1,659 |

Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: a functional data approach |
0 |
1 |
5 |
370 |
0 |
4 |
22 |
1,054 |

STR: A Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Procedure Based on Regression |
0 |
1 |
62 |
62 |
3 |
8 |
46 |
46 |

Short-term load forecasting based on a semi-parametric additive model |
0 |
0 |
1 |
64 |
2 |
3 |
16 |
148 |

Some Nonlinear Exponential Smoothing Models are Unstable |
0 |
1 |
1 |
208 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
998 |

Statistical Methodological Issues in Studies of Air Pollution and Respiratory Disease |
0 |
0 |
0 |
205 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
1,017 |

Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting |
0 |
2 |
6 |
2,161 |
4 |
8 |
34 |
6,566 |

Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration |
0 |
0 |
7 |
249 |
0 |
2 |
41 |
782 |

The price elasticity of electricity demand in South Australia |
1 |
4 |
14 |
132 |
3 |
10 |
32 |
291 |

The tourism forecasting competition |
0 |
0 |
2 |
142 |
1 |
3 |
18 |
348 |

The value of feedback in forecasting competitions |
0 |
0 |
3 |
55 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
121 |

The vector innovation structural time series framework: a simple approach to multivariate forecasting |
0 |
1 |
2 |
174 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
433 |

Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space |
0 |
2 |
8 |
317 |
1 |
3 |
24 |
1,206 |

Two-dimensional smoothing of mortality rates |
0 |
2 |
2 |
24 |
1 |
4 |
12 |
34 |

Unmasking the Theta Method |
0 |
0 |
0 |
291 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
1,130 |

Using R to Teach Econometrics |
1 |
3 |
18 |
2,136 |
3 |
9 |
37 |
4,268 |

Total Working Papers |
61 |
263 |
737 |
20,274 |
213 |
560 |
1,862 |
66,243 |