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12 months |
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25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review |
1 |
3 |
9 |
395 |
3 |
5 |
25 |
829 |

25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review |
0 |
1 |
4 |
122 |
2 |
3 |
21 |
495 |

A Note on the Validity of Cross-Validation for Evaluating Time Series Prediction |
13 |
35 |
174 |
435 |
28 |
94 |
475 |
1,000 |

A State Space Framework for Automatic Forecasting Using Exponential Smoothing Methods |
2 |
3 |
7 |
561 |
4 |
5 |
26 |
1,597 |

A comparison of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates |
0 |
0 |
2 |
121 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
263 |

A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality |
0 |
1 |
3 |
200 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
483 |

An Improved Method for Bandwidth Selection when Estimating ROC Curves |
0 |
0 |
1 |
134 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
530 |

Another Look at Measures of Forecast Accuracy |
3 |
11 |
45 |
1,412 |
7 |
26 |
117 |
3,604 |

Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R |
0 |
4 |
11 |
1,526 |
1 |
8 |
52 |
4,146 |

Bagging Exponential Smoothing Methods using STL Decomposition and Box-Cox Transformation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
42 |
2 |
4 |
16 |
67 |

Bandwidth Selection for Kernel Conditional Density Estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
1,453 |

Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1,007 |
1 |
4 |
26 |
3,489 |

Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC |
0 |
0 |
0 |
593 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
2,069 |

Bayesian Rank Selection in Multivariate Regression |
1 |
1 |
4 |
44 |
2 |
3 |
22 |
44 |

Boosting multi-step autoregressive forecasts |
0 |
0 |
4 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
74 |

Coherent Mortality Forecasting The Product-ratio Method with Functional Time Series Models |
1 |
1 |
9 |
42 |
2 |
2 |
28 |
206 |

Coherent Probabilistic Forecasts for Hierarchical Time Series |
1 |
2 |
55 |
55 |
5 |
17 |
29 |
29 |

Coherent mortality forecasting: the product-ratio method with functional time series models |
1 |
1 |
1 |
65 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
146 |

Density forecasting for long-term peak electricity demand |
0 |
1 |
7 |
202 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
489 |

Efficient Identification of the Pareto Optimal Set |
1 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
4 |
4 |
10 |
47 |

Empirical Information Criteria for Time Series Forecasting Model Selection |
0 |
0 |
1 |
989 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
3,354 |

Exponential Smoothing for Inventory Control: Means and Variances of Lead-Time Demand |
0 |
0 |
1 |
763 |
2 |
2 |
10 |
2,810 |

Exponential smoothing and non-negative data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
83 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
275 |

Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series |
0 |
0 |
2 |
52 |
3 |
5 |
14 |
58 |

Forecasting Time-Series with Correlated Seasonality |
0 |
0 |
2 |
257 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
722 |

Forecasting age-related changes in breast cancer mortality among white and black US women: A functional approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
183 |

Forecasting age-specific breast cancer mortality using functional data models |
2 |
2 |
2 |
161 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
954 |

Forecasting hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization |
1 |
5 |
12 |
54 |
4 |
13 |
43 |
71 |

Forecasting time series with complex seasonal patterns using exponential smoothing |
1 |
6 |
14 |
178 |
2 |
9 |
33 |
427 |

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies |
2 |
2 |
7 |
36 |
5 |
7 |
21 |
41 |

Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies |
0 |
1 |
3 |
60 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
35 |

Generalized Additive Modelling of Mixed Distribution Markov Models with Application to Melbourne's Rainfall |
0 |
0 |
2 |
245 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
1,529 |

Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates |
0 |
2 |
7 |
58 |
0 |
3 |
24 |
47 |

Half-Life Estimation based on the Bias-Corrected Bootstrap: A Highest Density Region Approach |
0 |
1 |
2 |
185 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
867 |

Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism |
0 |
2 |
4 |
119 |
1 |
3 |
17 |
318 |

Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
4 |
18 |
95 |

Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
73 |

Invertibility Conditions for Exponential Smoothing Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
413 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
2,604 |

Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions |
0 |
1 |
2 |
199 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
739 |

Local Linear Forecasts Using Cubic Smoothing Splines |
0 |
0 |
0 |
542 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
1,913 |

Local Linear Multivariate Regression with Variable Bandwidth in the Presence of Heteroscedasticity |
0 |
0 |
2 |
192 |
2 |
6 |
26 |
667 |

Long-term Forecasts of Age-specific Labour Market Participation Rates with Functional Data Models |
0 |
0 |
5 |
17 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
28 |

Long-term forecasts of age-specific participation rates with functional data models |
0 |
0 |
5 |
31 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
30 |

Low-dimensional decomposition, smoothing and forecasting of sparse functional data |
0 |
2 |
5 |
59 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
47 |

Macroeconomic forecasting for Australia using a large number of predictors |
52 |
58 |
144 |
144 |
85 |
91 |
183 |
183 |

Mixed Model-Based Hazard Estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
620 |

Modelling and forecasting Australian domestic tourism |
1 |
1 |
3 |
357 |
4 |
4 |
14 |
857 |

Monitoring Processes with Changing Variances |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
147 |

Non Parametric Confidence Intervals for Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves |
0 |
0 |
1 |
233 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
1,183 |

Non-linear exponential smoothing and positive data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
117 |
2 |
4 |
12 |
483 |

Nonparametric Estimation and Symmetry Tests for Conditional Density Functions |
0 |
0 |
2 |
181 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
986 |

Nonparametric autocovariance function estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1,064 |

Nonparametric estimation and symmetry tests for conditional density functions |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
37 |

Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating |
1 |
1 |
1 |
155 |
1 |
4 |
19 |
358 |

Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series |
1 |
5 |
14 |
261 |
4 |
10 |
34 |
570 |

Prediction Intervals for Exponential Smoothing State Space Models |
2 |
2 |
10 |
588 |
4 |
7 |
25 |
2,001 |

Probabilistic time series forecasting with boosted additive models: an application to smart meter data |
0 |
2 |
3 |
57 |
7 |
10 |
26 |
76 |

Rainbow plots, Bagplots and Boxplots for Functional Data |
0 |
0 |
2 |
72 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
299 |

Rating Forecasts for Television Programs |
0 |
0 |
3 |
216 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
608 |

Recursive and direct multi-step forecasting: the best of both worlds |
0 |
2 |
10 |
35 |
0 |
8 |
26 |
117 |

Residual Diagnostic Plots for Checking for model Mis-Specification in Time Series Regression |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
1,686 |

Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: a functional data approach |
1 |
4 |
9 |
379 |
3 |
8 |
23 |
1,080 |

STR: A Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Procedure Based on Regression |
0 |
4 |
15 |
82 |
3 |
12 |
50 |
109 |

Short-term load forecasting based on a semi-parametric additive model |
0 |
1 |
1 |
65 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
167 |

Some Nonlinear Exponential Smoothing Models are Unstable |
0 |
0 |
0 |
208 |
1 |
3 |
11 |
1,010 |

Statistical Methodological Issues in Studies of Air Pollution and Respiratory Disease |
0 |
0 |
1 |
206 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
1,028 |

Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting |
0 |
1 |
4 |
2,165 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
6,586 |

Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration |
0 |
0 |
1 |
250 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
799 |

The Australian Macro Database: An online resource for macroeconomic research in Australia |
1 |
2 |
33 |
33 |
4 |
6 |
33 |
33 |

The Australian Macro Database: An online resource for macroeconomic research in Australia |
0 |
1 |
15 |
15 |
2 |
4 |
11 |
11 |

The price elasticity of electricity demand in South Australia |
3 |
3 |
20 |
154 |
4 |
7 |
37 |
333 |

The tourism forecasting competition |
1 |
2 |
5 |
148 |
2 |
10 |
30 |
387 |

The value of feedback in forecasting competitions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
136 |

The vector innovation structural time series framework: a simple approach to multivariate forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
174 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
451 |

Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space |
0 |
1 |
1 |
319 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
1,227 |

Two-dimensional smoothing of mortality rates |
0 |
1 |
1 |
25 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
48 |

Unmasking the Theta Method |
0 |
1 |
2 |
293 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
1,148 |

Using R to Teach Econometrics |
0 |
0 |
9 |
2,151 |
2 |
7 |
34 |
4,313 |

Visualising forecasting Algorithm Performance using Time Series Instance Spaces |
2 |
4 |
14 |
100 |
2 |
7 |
34 |
71 |

Total Working Papers |
95 |
187 |
747 |
21,280 |
225 |
477 |
2,142 |
69,159 |