Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 0 0 1 648
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 0 0 0 162
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 32 0 0 1 129
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 108 0 0 0 424
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 68
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 1 385 0 0 1 1,077
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 263
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 0 0 1 255
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 1 1 152 1 2 3 450
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 94
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 0 0 1 943
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 1 17 0 0 1 147
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 154
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 0 0 1 565
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 224
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 2 4 7 1,097
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 282
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 212
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 110
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 0 0 2 736
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 0 0 2 114
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 0 0 1 188
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 0 0 3 393
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 0 0 1 734
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 0 0 2 240
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 0 1 1 71
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 1 1 105 1 2 2 246
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 3 241 0 0 6 557
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 853
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 104
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 0 1 1 627
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 1 1 534 1 2 3 1,431
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 3 404 0 0 3 1,084
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 90
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 296
Nelson_Plosser 0 3 10 604 2 8 22 1,538
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 42
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 249
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 0 1 292 0 9 12 788
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 1 289 0 0 2 1,366
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 1 115 0 3 4 298
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 2 132 0 0 4 286
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 2 2 4 241
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 186
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 2 5 0 0 3 20
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 1 2 94 1 2 5 446
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 120 0 1 2 169
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 1 23 0 1 3 439
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 0 1 3 467
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 1 23 0 1 2 64
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 0 1 1 406
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 241
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 473
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 1,054
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 158
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 268
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 59
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 149
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1,116
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 106
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 362
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 48 0 0 1 116
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 0 102 0 1 3 489
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 0 1 1 55
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 0 0 0 239
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 1 182 0 0 1 537
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 93
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 1 1 3 6,369
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 246 1 2 3 1,193
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,275
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 18 0 1 1 149
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 126
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 1 1 2 79
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 50
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 0 0 1 688
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 1 1 151 0 2 2 463
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 0 1 2 154
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 2 2 72 0 2 3 162
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 0 0 0 126
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 181 0 0 0 549
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 496
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 111
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 339
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 170 1 1 1 1,096
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 132
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 0 0 0 441
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 87
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 1 1 54 0 1 1 121
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 1 1 1 54
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 1 2 2 173
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 2 58 2 2 7 154
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 2 26 0 1 2 150
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 1 82 0 1 2 278
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 3 337 1 1 7 744
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 191
Total Working Papers 0 13 47 8,657 26 77 196 43,550


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 0 1 1 666
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 0 0 0 122
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 0 1 3 112 1 3 9 357
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 0 1 146
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 2 9 52 2,005 9 28 126 3,956
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 1 1 1 6 2 2 2 34
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 28
Adjustment lags vs. information lags: a test of alternative explanations of the Phillips curve phenomenon 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 0 0 2 253
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 20
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 1 2 21 665 2 4 36 1,421
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 42
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 25
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 1 1 2 628
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 73
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 1 1 1 46
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 15
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 138
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 2 2 4 282 2 3 13 584
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 0 1 224 0 0 3 767
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 1 3 12 1,077
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 27
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 1 22 1 1 3 88
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 1 3 16 853 3 8 26 2,548
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 0 0 51 0 0 0 273
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 0 2 216 0 1 5 787
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 0 0 3 423 0 1 12 1,159
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 452
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 1 2 77 1 2 9 219
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 0 1 1 27
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 474
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 2 216 0 0 7 786
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 0 2 232 2 3 11 550
Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? comments 0 0 0 43 0 0 0 265
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 32 63 296 6,545 61 132 631 13,621
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 350
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 0 2 7 453 1 6 13 975
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 57
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 49
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 1 23 0 0 5 82
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 0 1 1 80
Recursive structure in U.S. income, prices and output 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 31
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 2 10 519 1 3 18 1,644
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 1 27 2 2 8 149
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 3 127 1 1 5 538
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 3 58 0 1 5 229
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 3 270 0 1 8 831
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 0 0 1 66
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 0 1 1 43
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 1 2 3 131
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 2 5 20 148 3 9 40 378
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 0 2 4 177 0 2 5 635
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 1 1 11 430 2 5 22 1,180
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 0 0 33 1 1 1 94
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 213
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 78
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 546
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 1 14 48 0 2 26 185
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 1 7 7 1 3 14 14
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 152
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 2 3 8 387 4 5 19 1,166
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 0 1 2 74 1 2 3 244
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 1 28 2 2 3 95
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 769
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 0 1 1 544
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 1 43 1 2 4 133
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 1 1 2 91 2 2 6 380
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 157
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 1 2 25 0 1 5 92
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 2 6 20 3,513 9 26 91 8,362
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 366
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 1 2 13 481 3 6 29 1,104
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 2 147 0 3 7 404
Total Journal Articles 48 110 541 19,804 124 291 1,276 54,252


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 11 26 178 10,913
Total Books 0 0 0 0 11 26 178 10,913


Statistics updated 2025-03-03