| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Macro-Finance Model of the Term Structure, Monetary Policy, and the Economy |
4 |
13 |
48 |
357 |
13 |
32 |
102 |
757 |
| A macro-finance model of the term structure, monetary policy, and the economy |
1 |
8 |
31 |
347 |
4 |
18 |
79 |
852 |
| A nonparametric investigation of duration dependence in the American business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
16 |
234 |
| An Arbitrage-Free Generalized Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Model |
1 |
3 |
52 |
52 |
8 |
23 |
81 |
81 |
| An Arbitrage-Free Generalized Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Model |
12 |
25 |
52 |
52 |
23 |
65 |
139 |
139 |
| An arbitrage-free generalized Nelson-Siegel term structure model |
4 |
19 |
129 |
137 |
10 |
39 |
260 |
261 |
| An empirical disequilibrium model of labor, consumption, and investment in the United States |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
181 |
| Are productivity fluctuations due to real supply shocks? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
131 |
| Assessing Nominal Income Rules for Monetary Policy with Model and Data Uncertainty |
3 |
5 |
25 |
172 |
8 |
11 |
49 |
490 |
| Assessing nominal income rules for monetary policy with model and data uncertainty |
3 |
13 |
19 |
103 |
12 |
28 |
51 |
352 |
| Assessing nominal income rules for monetary policy with model and data uncertainty |
0 |
3 |
19 |
143 |
2 |
8 |
46 |
433 |
| Assessing the Lucas critique in monetary policy models |
3 |
8 |
62 |
678 |
4 |
14 |
96 |
2,525 |
| Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
32 |
126 |
1,805 |
| Do measures of monetary policy in a VAR make sense? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
6 |
24 |
114 |
928 |
| Does the business cycle have duration memory? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
240 |
| Estimating the Euler equation for output |
4 |
6 |
23 |
145 |
9 |
16 |
58 |
509 |
| Estimating the Euler equation for output |
1 |
9 |
22 |
197 |
5 |
22 |
65 |
628 |
| Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from U.S. Data |
1 |
2 |
7 |
122 |
3 |
8 |
27 |
470 |
| Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from U.S. Data |
0 |
0 |
5 |
101 |
1 |
5 |
24 |
429 |
| Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from U.S. Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
21 |
232 |
| Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from U.S. Data |
0 |
1 |
5 |
99 |
2 |
5 |
25 |
472 |
| Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from US Data |
3 |
5 |
8 |
58 |
6 |
11 |
27 |
218 |
| Eurosystem monetary targeting: lessons from U.S. data |
0 |
5 |
21 |
103 |
2 |
12 |
42 |
386 |
| Ex ante turning point forecasting with the composite leading index |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
13 |
513 |
| Examining alternative econometric specifications of the disequilibrium model: an empirical study with labor market data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
138 |
| Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model |
6 |
11 |
47 |
138 |
9 |
19 |
142 |
271 |
| Federal Reserve interest rate targeting, rational expectations, and the term structure |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
11 |
43 |
205 |
2,418 |
| Forecasting output with the composite leading index: an ex ante analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
20 |
80 |
795 |
| Forecasting recessions: the puzzle of the enduring power of the yield curve |
5 |
24 |
76 |
183 |
11 |
47 |
137 |
284 |
| Further evidence on business cycle duration dependence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
48 |
249 |
| Have postwar economic fluctuations been stabilized? |
0 |
1 |
7 |
29 |
1 |
5 |
39 |
328 |
| Have postwar economic fluctuations been stabilized? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
303 |
| Inflation expectations and risk premiums in an arbitrage-free model of nominal and real bond yields |
4 |
15 |
35 |
35 |
10 |
33 |
54 |
54 |
| Internal finance and investment: testing the role of asymmetric information and agency costs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
450 |
| International evidence on business cycle duration dependence |
0 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
249 |
| Is consumption too smooth? Long memory and the Deaton paradox |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
27 |
474 |
| Is the Fed too timid? Monetary policy in an uncertain world |
4 |
14 |
49 |
368 |
10 |
28 |
85 |
816 |
| Is there a bank credit channel for monetary policy? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
43 |
372 |
| Is there a broad credit channel for monetary policy? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
17 |
40 |
534 |
| Judging instrument relevance in instrumental variables estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
21 |
271 |
| Long memory and persistence in aggregate output |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
46 |
644 |
| Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium |
2 |
3 |
26 |
109 |
5 |
10 |
62 |
229 |
| Macroeconomics and the Yield Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
11 |
39 |
430 |
| Measuring Business Cycle: A Modern Perspective |
0 |
7 |
43 |
355 |
3 |
18 |
96 |
675 |
| Measuring Business Cycles: A Modern Perspective |
2 |
6 |
33 |
436 |
8 |
21 |
77 |
1,161 |
| Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics |
3 |
6 |
20 |
150 |
10 |
15 |
47 |
281 |
| Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics |
3 |
5 |
24 |
231 |
8 |
14 |
49 |
463 |
| Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics |
5 |
12 |
44 |
234 |
11 |
27 |
97 |
468 |
| Modeling bond yields in finance and macroeconomics |
3 |
14 |
44 |
177 |
7 |
24 |
99 |
374 |
| Monetary policy inertia: fact or fiction? |
3 |
5 |
21 |
138 |
7 |
18 |
64 |
262 |
| New and old models of business investment: a comparison of forecasting performance |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
21 |
675 |
| On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
17 |
479 |
| Opportunistic and deliberate disinflation under imperfect credibility |
2 |
5 |
13 |
109 |
4 |
12 |
34 |
680 |
| Opportunistic and deliberate disinflation under imperfect credibility |
0 |
1 |
5 |
50 |
2 |
3 |
16 |
444 |
| Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting |
9 |
39 |
174 |
1,090 |
20 |
73 |
310 |
2,451 |
| Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting |
4 |
12 |
50 |
399 |
7 |
26 |
119 |
783 |
| Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting |
10 |
22 |
63 |
626 |
14 |
34 |
109 |
1,372 |
| Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
6 |
24 |
88 |
893 |
| Policy rules for inflation targeting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
5 |
24 |
69 |
813 |
| Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections |
2 |
2 |
17 |
89 |
3 |
16 |
56 |
225 |
| Revealing the secrets of the temple: the value of publishing central bank interest rate projections |
1 |
6 |
36 |
104 |
4 |
13 |
82 |
263 |
| Scoring the leading indicators |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
23 |
69 |
683 |
| Term structure evidence on interest rate smoothing and monetary policy inertia |
7 |
16 |
46 |
446 |
13 |
33 |
89 |
981 |
| The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models |
3 |
11 |
51 |
111 |
12 |
35 |
130 |
256 |
| The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of: Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models |
1 |
4 |
26 |
58 |
5 |
16 |
64 |
145 |
| The Lucas critique revisited: assessing the stability of empirical Euler equations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
519 |
| The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Dynamic Latent Factor Approach |
1 |
10 |
38 |
245 |
13 |
31 |
108 |
571 |
| The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Nonstructural Analysis |
0 |
1 |
15 |
275 |
2 |
6 |
45 |
674 |
| The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Nonstructural Analysis |
0 |
5 |
20 |
111 |
3 |
15 |
58 |
317 |
| The Recent Shift in Term Structure Behavior from a No-Arbitrage Macro-Finance Perspective |
2 |
2 |
11 |
71 |
5 |
8 |
24 |
154 |
| The affine arbitrage-free class of Nelson-Siegel term structure models |
3 |
7 |
35 |
105 |
10 |
20 |
123 |
272 |
| The bond premium in a DSGE model with long-run real and nominal risks |
3 |
12 |
47 |
47 |
3 |
24 |
55 |
55 |
| The bond premium in a DSGE model with long-run real and nominal risks |
6 |
16 |
57 |
57 |
14 |
41 |
79 |
79 |
| The bond yield "conundrum" from a macro-finance perspective |
5 |
12 |
45 |
268 |
10 |
23 |
105 |
561 |
| The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a nonstructural analysis |
0 |
2 |
15 |
175 |
1 |
8 |
60 |
434 |
| The recent shift in term structure behavior from a no-arbitrage macro-finance perspective |
0 |
1 |
13 |
151 |
1 |
2 |
32 |
302 |
| The uncertain unit root in real GNP |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
28 |
311 |
| Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: a re-examination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
33 |
137 |
1,192 |
| Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: a re-examination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
49 |
428 |
| Using a long-term interest rate as the monetary policy instrument |
7 |
13 |
50 |
179 |
11 |
25 |
93 |
400 |
| Total Working Papers |
146 |
447 |
1,826 |
10,330 |
454 |
1,427 |
5,397 |
43,671 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Macro-Finance Model of the Term Structure, Monetary Policy and the Economy |
9 |
25 |
97 |
98 |
14 |
47 |
232 |
235 |
| A Nonparametric Investigation of Duration Dependence in the American Business Cycle |
3 |
10 |
25 |
88 |
4 |
16 |
47 |
313 |
| A macro-finance model of the term structure, monetary policy, and the economy |
3 |
14 |
85 |
359 |
19 |
55 |
250 |
1,034 |
| Accounting for a Shift in Term Structure Behavior with No-Arbitrage and Macro-Finance Models |
2 |
8 |
39 |
81 |
4 |
22 |
101 |
179 |
| An Empirical Disequilibrium Model of Labor, Consumption, and Investment |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
77 |
| Are productivity fluctuations due to real supply shocks? |
1 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
20 |
| Assessing Nominal Income Rules for Monetary Policy with Model and Data Uncertainty |
2 |
5 |
15 |
119 |
6 |
17 |
36 |
441 |
| Assessing the Lucas Critique in Monetary Policy Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
33 |
219 |
720 |
| Asset prices, exchange rates, and monetary policy |
0 |
1 |
3 |
70 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
188 |
| Central bank inflation targeting |
1 |
3 |
5 |
89 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
246 |
| Describing Fed behavior |
0 |
1 |
8 |
63 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
162 |
| Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
12 |
36 |
178 |
1,208 |
| Do Measures of Monetary Policy in a VAR Make Sense? A Reply |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
16 |
253 |
| Erratum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
| Estimating the Euler equation for output |
0 |
2 |
21 |
86 |
5 |
15 |
69 |
278 |
| Eurosystem monetary targeting: Lessons from U.S. data |
1 |
1 |
6 |
91 |
5 |
6 |
20 |
276 |
| Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model |
7 |
15 |
28 |
28 |
13 |
36 |
61 |
61 |
| Federal Reserve interest rate targeting, rational expectations, and the term structure |
4 |
11 |
68 |
444 |
6 |
19 |
102 |
912 |
| Federal Reserve policy and the predictability of interest rates |
0 |
0 |
5 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
187 |
| Finance and macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
2 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
148 |
| Five questions about business cycles |
4 |
9 |
30 |
181 |
7 |
22 |
93 |
480 |
| Has a recession already started? |
0 |
0 |
3 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
89 |
| Have Postwar Economic Fluctuations Been Stabilized? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
246 |
| How did the economy surprise us in 1998? |
0 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
94 |
| How fast can the new economy grow? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
77 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
342 |
| How sluggish is the Fed? |
0 |
1 |
2 |
31 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
98 |
| Interest rates and monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
4 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
165 |
| Is Consumption Too Smooth? Long Memory and the Deaton Paradox |
0 |
2 |
13 |
112 |
0 |
4 |
33 |
368 |
| Is The Fed Too Timid? Monetary Policy In An Uncertain World |
1 |
8 |
24 |
193 |
4 |
14 |
39 |
466 |
| Is opportunistic monetary policy credible? |
1 |
1 |
1 |
25 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
96 |
| Is there a bank lending channel for monetary policy? |
9 |
51 |
147 |
490 |
21 |
91 |
314 |
1,071 |
| Is there a broad credit channel for monetary policy? |
4 |
17 |
69 |
544 |
6 |
30 |
116 |
1,086 |
| Judging Instrument Relevance in Instrumental Variables Estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
46 |
442 |
| Long memory and persistence in aggregate output |
3 |
7 |
30 |
87 |
4 |
9 |
40 |
151 |
| Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium |
3 |
8 |
18 |
37 |
8 |
23 |
50 |
100 |
| Macroeconomic models for monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
9 |
102 |
0 |
4 |
15 |
278 |
| Measuring Business Cycles: A Modern Perspective |
3 |
11 |
34 |
209 |
9 |
20 |
76 |
712 |
| Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics |
1 |
5 |
29 |
74 |
5 |
14 |
63 |
210 |
| Monetary Policy Inertia: Fact or Fiction? |
3 |
6 |
18 |
52 |
7 |
15 |
48 |
143 |
| Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence from the Composition of External Finance: Comment |
1 |
6 |
49 |
138 |
2 |
8 |
123 |
334 |
| Monetary policy and asset price bubbles |
2 |
4 |
27 |
87 |
3 |
8 |
38 |
131 |
| Monetary policy and monetary institutions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
133 |
| Monetary policy inertia and recent Fed actions |
0 |
3 |
10 |
33 |
3 |
10 |
35 |
130 |
| New and Old Models of Business Investment: A Comparison of Forecasting Performance |
1 |
7 |
21 |
223 |
2 |
11 |
56 |
648 |
| New estimates of the recent growth in potential output |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
55 |
| On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives |
2 |
4 |
15 |
94 |
3 |
5 |
16 |
208 |
| Opportunistic and Deliberate Disinflation under Imperfect Credibility |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
21 |
238 |
| Policy rules for inflation targeting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
19 |
100 |
418 |
| Publishing FOMC economic forecasts |
0 |
0 |
10 |
14 |
4 |
13 |
53 |
72 |
| Publishing central bank interest rate forecasts |
1 |
2 |
18 |
26 |
1 |
3 |
61 |
106 |
| Scoring the Leading Indicators |
8 |
23 |
82 |
473 |
11 |
30 |
112 |
1,099 |
| Shorter recessions and longer expansions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
23 |
27 |
313 |
| Sources of the Financing Hierarchy for Business Investment |
5 |
9 |
40 |
201 |
10 |
23 |
189 |
1,024 |
| Structural change and monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
229 |
| Taylor's rule and the Fed, 1970-1997 |
12 |
45 |
197 |
1,524 |
23 |
79 |
317 |
3,726 |
| Term structure evidence on interest rate smoothing and monetary policy inertia |
5 |
12 |
29 |
175 |
7 |
19 |
46 |
386 |
| Testing for Labor Market Equilibrium with an Exact Excess Demand Disequilibrium Model |
0 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
86 |
| The Bond Yield "Conundrum" from a Macro-Finance Perspective |
2 |
4 |
24 |
66 |
5 |
11 |
49 |
207 |
| The Lucas critique revisited assessing the stability of empirical Euler equations for investment |
3 |
5 |
24 |
89 |
5 |
14 |
69 |
266 |
| The Uncertain Unit Root in Real GNP |
0 |
2 |
13 |
150 |
0 |
3 |
29 |
449 |
| The goals of U.S. monetary policy |
1 |
8 |
34 |
137 |
1 |
25 |
90 |
551 |
| The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach |
1 |
4 |
25 |
96 |
6 |
18 |
76 |
223 |
| Trends and Random Walks in Macroeconomic Time Series: A Re-examination |
9 |
25 |
105 |
746 |
17 |
68 |
246 |
1,870 |
| U.S. inflation targeting: pro and con |
3 |
5 |
15 |
153 |
4 |
13 |
53 |
519 |
| Using a long-term interest rate as the monetary policy instrument |
3 |
3 |
13 |
72 |
6 |
9 |
33 |
217 |
| What are the lags in monetary policy? |
1 |
5 |
23 |
139 |
7 |
19 |
58 |
602 |
| Total Journal Articles |
125 |
400 |
1,625 |
8,822 |
311 |
1,024 |
4,275 |
27,840 |