Access Statistics for Robert J. Shiller

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Scorecard for Indexed Government Data 0 0 0 0 1 4 33 650
A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt 2 3 21 176 5 10 57 562
A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt 0 1 13 377 0 4 50 1,600
A Simple Account of the Behavior of Long-Term Interest Rates 0 3 20 148 1 11 56 385
Actual and Warranted Relations Between Asset Prices 0 0 6 15 2 3 15 49
Actual and Warranted Relations Between Asset Prices 0 1 9 52 0 6 36 571
Aggregate Income Risks and Hedging Mechanisms 0 0 4 24 8 14 33 264
Aggregate Income Risks and Hedging Mechanisms 1 4 9 50 2 8 31 307
Alternative Prior Representations of Smoothness for Distributed Lag Estimation 1 1 6 32 4 5 20 260
Alternative Tests of Rational Expectations Models: The Case of the Term Structure 0 3 13 75 2 16 40 288
Arithmetic Repeat Sales Price Estimators 4 18 76 247 13 48 175 967
Behavioral Economics and Institutional Innovation 3 13 54 441 9 33 134 914
Bubbles, Human Judgment, and Expert Opinion 1 6 40 573 4 15 120 1,146
Can the Fed Control Real Interest Rates? 0 1 16 104 14 27 129 569
Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models 4 18 99 502 10 38 185 1,214
Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models 5 19 63 247 11 39 140 532
Comovements in Stock Prices and Comovements in Dividends 2 4 12 94 4 10 35 228
Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market Versus the Housing Market 7 10 65 616 19 38 173 1,466
Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market versus The Housing Market 5 19 120 697 15 48 340 1,859
Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market versus the Housing Market 5 20 121 834 16 58 304 2,078
Consumption Correlatedness and Risk Measurement in Economies with Non trade Assets and Heterogeneous Information 4 9 24 87 10 27 63 181
Consumption, Asset Markets, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations 4 12 36 169 5 22 61 323
Conventional Valuation and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 2 5 7 42 7 22 51 142
Conversation, Information, and Herd Behavior 11 19 54 356 22 52 138 901
Coupon and Tax Effects on New and Seasoned Bond Yields and the Measurement of the Cost of Debt Capital 0 0 0 0 10 18 80 790
Defining Residual Risk-Sharing Opportunities: Pooling World Income Components 0 1 4 18 8 15 45 208
Derivatives Markets for Home Prices 5 11 75 75 13 35 111 111
Designing Indexed Units of Account 0 0 3 83 2 6 20 347
Designing Indexed Units of Account 0 1 2 24 1 5 16 235
Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? 8 28 147 704 24 74 297 1,232
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 3 10 1 5 22 60
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 3 11 51 2 6 27 258
Estimating the Continuous Time Consumption Based Asset Pricing Model 10 15 41 135 16 32 124 589
Estimation of the investment and price equations of a macroeconometric model 0 0 0 3 0 0 5 184
Evaluating Real Estate Valuation Systems 0 0 0 1 19 34 129 1,265
Expanding the Scope of Expectations Data Collection: The U.S. and Japanese Stock Markets 0 1 2 21 2 13 35 380
Expanding the Scope of Individual Risk Management: Moral Hazard and Other Behavioral Considerations 2 6 23 158 12 31 103 542
Forecasting Prices and Excess Returns in the Housing Market 5 57 226 686 11 149 493 1,384
Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates 5 21 129 447 16 55 322 1,300
From Efficient Market Theory to Behavioral Finance 34 78 309 5,315 77 201 794 10,433
Hedging inflation and income risks 0 0 0 1 2 5 40 546
Home Equity Insurance 3 6 38 182 11 27 120 936
Home Equity Insurance 6 9 29 263 16 49 156 1,504
Household Reaction to Changes in Housing Wealth 2 5 25 208 6 13 54 378
Human Behavior and the Efficiency of the Financial System 10 17 79 751 23 66 252 1,597
Human Behavior and the Efficiency of the Financial System 0 2 36 538 2 15 102 1,367
Hunting for Homo Sovieticus: Situational versus Attitudinal Factors in Economic Behavior 0 0 0 0 3 14 66 493
Index-Based Futures and Options Markets in Real Estate 3 28 163 608 16 100 377 1,940
Indexed Units of Account: Theory and Assessment of Historical Experience 0 0 4 57 1 1 23 338
Indexed Units of Account: Theory and Assessment of Historical Experience 2 3 8 87 8 23 57 699
Indexed Units of Account: Theory and Assessment of Historical Experience 0 0 2 119 3 10 55 570
Initial Public Offerings: Investor Behavior and Underpricing 3 8 33 211 3 12 66 480
Interpreting Cointegrated Models 4 12 61 120 9 34 129 256
Investor Behavior in the 1987-10 Stock Market Crash: Survey Evidence 6 9 27 225 13 33 104 1,051
Investor Behavior in the October 1987 Stock Market Crash: Survey Evidence 9 37 119 407 57 125 394 1,158
Investor Behavior in the October 1987 Stock Market Crash: The Case of Japan 4 7 25 116 19 35 111 778
Labor Income Indices Designed for Use in Contracts Promoting Income Risk Management 0 0 1 42 1 5 8 359
Labor Income Indices Designed for Use in Contracts Promoting Income Risk Management 0 0 2 50 1 5 17 308
Labor Income Indices Designed for Use in Contracts Promoting Income Risk Management 0 0 0 0 0 2 13 125
Low Interest Rates and High Asset Prices: An Interpretation in Terms of Changing Popular Economic Models 2 6 52 52 4 12 89 89
Measuring Asset Values for Cash Settlement in Derivative Markets: Hedonic Repeated Measures Indices and Perpetual Futures 0 1 12 78 1 8 62 347
Measuring Asset Values for Cash Settlement in Derivative Markets: Hedonic Repeated Measures indices and Perpetual Futures 0 1 8 41 3 12 55 188
Measuring Bubble Expectations and Investor Confidence 0 2 28 490 5 13 75 845
Measuring Bubble Expectations and Investor Confidence 1 3 49 543 12 25 136 1,754
Moral Hazard in Home Equity Conversion 1 1 9 132 1 11 50 1,028
Moral Hazard in Home Equity Conversion 0 4 13 214 2 12 53 1,117
Mortgage Default Risk and Real Estate Prices: The Use of Index-Based Futures and Options in Real Estate 4 11 49 477 15 50 170 1,884
Mortgage Default Risk and Real Estate Prices: The Use of Index-Based Futures and Options in Real Estate 3 9 33 295 7 24 116 846
One Simple Test of Samuelson's Dictum for the Stock Market 1 4 12 358 3 10 38 773
One Simple Test of Samuelson's Dictum for the Stock Market 2 7 20 81 11 29 95 291
One Simple Test of Samuelson's Dictum for the Stock Market 2 4 10 200 4 15 35 513
Popular Attitudes Towards Free Markets: The Soviet Union and the United States Compared 1 3 24 102 7 17 151 713
Popular Attitudes Towards Free Markets: The Soviet Union and the United States Compared 0 1 3 19 3 8 28 113
Prices of Single Family Homes Since 1970: New Indexes for Four Cities 6 24 87 348 14 44 160 1,130
Prices of Single Family Homes Since 1970: New Indexes for Four Cities 2 13 51 155 14 45 146 612
Radical Financial Innovation 1 3 29 276 5 13 70 413
Rational Expectations and the Dynamic Structure of Macroeconomic Models:A Critical Review 3 5 29 197 3 9 54 573
STOCK PRICES, EARNINGS AND EXPECTED DIVIDENDS 0 0 0 3 13 29 175 1,539
Smoothness Priors and Nonlinear Regression 0 1 7 23 1 4 26 267
Social Security and Institutions for Intergenerational, Intragenerational and International Risk Sharing 1 6 14 261 2 10 32 527
Social Security and Institutions for Intergenerational, Intragenerational, and International Risk Sharing 1 4 18 75 2 11 63 258
Social Security and Institutions for Intergenerational, Intragenerational, and International Risk Sharing 1 2 2 88 1 4 16 519
Speculative Behavior in the Stock Markets: Evidence from the United States and Japan 0 1 12 132 2 3 24 211
Speculative Behavior of Institutional Investors 2 3 12 97 9 11 41 201
Stock Prices and Bond Yields: Can Their Co-Movements Be Explained in Terms of Present Value Models? 0 5 26 156 3 19 97 505
Stock Prices and Bond Yields: Can Their Comovements Be Explained in Terms of Present Value Models? 4 13 57 158 14 48 205 484
Stock Prices and Social Dynamics 16 36 139 625 26 51 236 1,090
Stock Prices, Earnings and Expected Dividends 14 50 229 1,105 36 103 494 3,256
Stock Prices, Earnings and Expected Dividends 11 25 85 321 39 105 352 889
Survey Evidence on Diffusion of Interest Among Institutional Investors 2 6 22 113 2 8 32 245
Survey Evidence on Diffusion of Investment Among Institutional Investors 2 4 5 54 4 8 9 137
Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis: Power Versus Frequency of Observation 10 32 135 563 22 67 416 2,141
Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis: Power versus Frequency of Observation 3 11 38 429 10 43 141 2,013
The Behavior of Home Buyers in Boom and Post-Boom Markets 0 7 47 227 3 15 93 430
The Behavior of Home Buyers in Boom and Post-Boom Markets 8 36 129 271 14 95 306 533
The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Market Price 0 0 0 0 7 17 70 452
The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Market Prices 4 14 90 548 17 57 281 1,212
The Dividend Ratio Model and Small Sample Bias: A Monte Carlo Study 3 7 39 126 7 20 94 716
The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors 11 36 175 743 52 142 710 2,906
The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors 4 15 56 217 10 36 161 638
The Efficiency of the Market for Single-Family Homes 2 13 70 171 11 36 148 410
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 3 3 4 10 4 8 16 59
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 1 6 43 1 3 14 370
The Invention of Inflation-Indexed Bonds in Early America 4 6 19 180 9 15 59 502
The Invention of Inflation-Indexed Bonds in Early America 0 1 5 79 1 6 31 241
The Life-Cycle Personal Accounts Proposal for Social Security: A Review 0 0 3 43 3 8 26 164
The Life-Cycle Personal Accounts Proposal for Social Security: An Evaluation 1 2 14 103 6 16 89 338
The Significance of the Market Portfolio 1 6 18 257 29 59 148 1,568
The Significance of the Market Portfolio 2 7 24 47 8 30 90 208
The Significance of the Market Portfolio 4 9 17 127 11 25 51 428
The Term Structure of Interest Rates 10 48 159 452 18 115 392 816
The Term Structure of Interest Rates. U.S. Government Term Structure Data 5 8 21 212 11 21 89 914
The Use of Volatility Measures in Assessing Market Efficiency 6 13 75 211 16 43 192 544
Ultimate Sources of Aggregate Variability 0 0 1 13 2 2 13 79
Ultimate Sources of Aggregate Variability 0 0 5 20 1 1 10 97
Understanding Recent Trends in House Prices and Home Ownership 5 6 69 69 13 28 133 133
Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook: An Update 4 11 43 668 12 33 132 2,020
Valuation Ratios and the Long-run Stock Market Outlook: An Update 3 20 91 1,052 12 44 223 2,792
Why Do People Dislike Inflation? 2 8 26 291 5 21 98 924
Why Do People Dislike Inflation? 0 3 21 240 18 43 148 1,096
World Income Components: Measuring And Exploiting International Risk Sharing Opportunities 3 7 14 51 8 18 45 221
World Income Components: Measuring and Exploiting International Risk Sharing Opportunities 0 0 0 103 0 3 13 766
World Income Components: Measuring and Exploiting International Risk Sharing Opportunities 0 0 3 38 0 1 9 287
World Income Components: Measuring and Exploiting Risk-Sharing Opportunities 0 2 11 83 3 6 24 336
World Income Components: Measuring and Exploting International Risk Sharing Opportunities 0 0 0 0 2 11 35 180
Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird's Eye View 7 16 81 593 22 55 234 1,494
Total Working Papers 370 1,160 5,170 33,223 1,228 3,725 15,305 103,042

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Distributed Lag Estimator Derived from Smoothness Priors 0 1 5 33 3 10 31 149
A Scott-Type Regression Test of the Dividend Ratio Model 0 0 3 23 3 3 15 143
A Simple Account of the Behavior of Long-Term Interest Rates 0 2 9 100 4 6 33 360
A decade of boom and bust in the prices of single-family homes: Boston and Los Angeles, 1983 to 1993 0 0 0 0 1 6 53 441
Actual and Warranted Relations between Asset Prices 0 0 1 18 0 3 9 85
Aggregate income risks and hedging mechanisms 0 0 3 15 3 7 19 73
Causes of changing financial market volatility 0 0 0 0 1 3 39 463
Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models 9 42 158 1,014 22 86 289 3,391
Comments [Behavioral Rationality in Finance: The Case of Dividends] [Anomalies in Financial Economics: Blueprint for Change?] 0 2 3 65 1 3 11 170
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 5 12 30 192 7 17 59 765
Conversation, Information, and Herd Behavior 0 0 12 213 1 10 47 482
Defining residual risk-sharing opportunities: Pooling world income components 0 0 2 6 1 2 8 71
Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to Be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?: Reply 0 1 4 79 0 2 10 189
Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? 9 27 124 813 18 59 256 1,789
Estimating the Continuous-Time Consumption-Based Asset-Pricing Model 0 0 0 0 1 2 19 168
Evaluating Real Estate Valuation Systems 7 12 55 239 10 17 119 574
From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance 15 38 221 1,538 45 107 644 3,659
Hedging Inflation and Income Risks 0 0 0 0 0 2 17 156
Home Equity Insurance 1 7 46 196 5 29 223 875
Inflation, Rational Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 5 16 124 7 13 34 282
Labor Income Indices Designed for Use in Contracts Promoting Income Risk Management 0 0 0 0 1 3 12 92
Macro markets and financial security 0 2 20 157 5 15 65 451
Market Volatility and Investor Behavior 1 5 31 371 4 14 63 728
Popular Attitudes toward Free Markets: The Soviet Union and the United States Compared 0 0 0 1 4 13 36 241
Prices of single-family homes since 1970: new indexes for four cities 0 0 0 0 8 18 62 1,003
Rational Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 2 15 0 0 4 51
Samuelson's Dictum and the Stock Market 1 2 15 77 3 10 39 250
Shiller Comments on Geanakoplos 1 1 8 30 1 1 15 85
Social Security and Individual Accounts as Elements of Overall Risk-Sharing 1 1 2 20 1 6 16 76
Speculative Prices and Popular Models 3 8 58 465 6 21 114 1,000
Stock prices and bond yields: Can their comovements be explained in terms of present value models? 1 5 13 65 3 20 56 212
The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Market Prices 6 18 83 657 12 31 172 1,596
The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors 12 46 171 820 45 130 445 2,571
The Efficiency of the Market for Single-Family Homes 11 27 133 609 19 49 259 1,778
The Gibson Paradox and Historical Movements in Real Interest Rates 0 5 20 154 4 30 109 740
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 22 0 3 10 127
The Marsh-Merton Model of Managers' Smoothing of Dividends 1 4 11 74 2 8 23 179
The Probability of Gross Violations of a Present Value Variance Inequality 1 3 7 27 2 7 38 123
The Significance of the Market Portfolio 0 0 0 0 3 10 31 198
The Volatility of Long-Term Interest Rates and Expectations Models of the Term Structure 1 11 58 681 6 29 121 2,356
The behavior of home buyers in boom and post-boom markets 0 0 0 2 2 11 63 634
Ultimate 0 0 1 4 0 0 6 30
Why Did the Nikkei Crash? Expanding the Scope of Expectations Data Collection 6 11 46 222 30 58 185 803
World Income Components: Measuring and Exploiting Risk-Sharing Opportunities 3 3 8 71 3 9 40 293
Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird's Eye View 9 22 113 705 16 50 264 1,690
Total Journal Articles 104 323 1,492 9,917 313 933 4,183 31,592

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Statistics updated 2008-10-02