| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series |
3 |
9 |
19 |
121 |
7 |
26 |
68 |
326 |
| A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series |
9 |
25 |
76 |
1,028 |
19 |
54 |
164 |
2,776 |
| A Probability Model of The Coincident Economic Indicators |
14 |
27 |
135 |
613 |
30 |
88 |
338 |
1,319 |
| A Procedure for Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience |
8 |
19 |
69 |
477 |
15 |
40 |
128 |
1,149 |
| A Relationship Between Regression Tests and Volatility Tests of Market ncy |
4 |
8 |
20 |
58 |
11 |
43 |
134 |
295 |
| A Simple MLE of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems |
0 |
7 |
22 |
74 |
2 |
12 |
40 |
280 |
| A procedure for predicting recessions with leading indicators: econometric issues and recent performance |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
30 |
410 |
| A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
16 |
41 |
105 |
751 |
| Asymptotically Median Unbiased Estimation of Coefficient Variance in a Time Varying Parameter Model |
5 |
16 |
50 |
315 |
21 |
59 |
197 |
2,011 |
| Asymptotics for GMM Estimators with Weak Instruments |
3 |
5 |
25 |
203 |
7 |
18 |
64 |
856 |
| Business Cycle Properties of Selected U.S. Economic Time Series, 1959-1988 |
1 |
4 |
27 |
115 |
6 |
24 |
105 |
366 |
| Confidence Intervals for the Largest Autoresgressive Root in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series |
1 |
5 |
31 |
112 |
2 |
12 |
62 |
322 |
| Deciding Between I(1) and I(0) |
0 |
1 |
8 |
49 |
2 |
7 |
20 |
238 |
| Diffusion Indexes |
13 |
31 |
137 |
772 |
20 |
50 |
215 |
1,617 |
| Drawing Inferences From Statistics Based on Multi-Year Asset Returns |
3 |
8 |
44 |
144 |
8 |
30 |
153 |
455 |
| Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root |
6 |
28 |
113 |
408 |
11 |
55 |
227 |
1,159 |
| Efficient Windows and Labor Force Reduction |
1 |
3 |
7 |
39 |
6 |
17 |
53 |
238 |
| Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors |
1 |
5 |
18 |
180 |
3 |
15 |
58 |
457 |
| Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors |
1 |
5 |
17 |
242 |
3 |
22 |
68 |
918 |
| Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations |
6 |
17 |
77 |
488 |
13 |
39 |
128 |
1,161 |
| Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic times series relations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
10 |
48 |
323 |
| Forecasting Inflation |
31 |
95 |
350 |
2,173 |
54 |
185 |
721 |
5,016 |
| Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices |
4 |
15 |
39 |
445 |
7 |
28 |
92 |
836 |
| Growing in Debt: The 'Farm Crisis' and Public Policy |
0 |
1 |
7 |
22 |
4 |
12 |
48 |
137 |
| Heteroskedasticity-Robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression |
10 |
45 |
132 |
338 |
48 |
222 |
626 |
1,336 |
| How Precise are Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment? |
6 |
21 |
56 |
863 |
15 |
42 |
131 |
3,617 |
| Implications of Dynamic Factor Models for VAR Analysis |
7 |
26 |
109 |
524 |
19 |
61 |
248 |
1,083 |
| Inference in Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
41 |
274 |
| Inference in Time Series Regression When the Order of Integration of a Regressor is Unknown |
1 |
8 |
21 |
84 |
7 |
36 |
75 |
519 |
| Inference with Weak Instruments |
2 |
6 |
20 |
84 |
4 |
11 |
48 |
265 |
| Inference with Weak Instruments |
6 |
14 |
67 |
189 |
12 |
45 |
150 |
413 |
| Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments |
20 |
70 |
205 |
961 |
48 |
180 |
556 |
2,843 |
| Integrated Regressors and Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis |
1 |
3 |
6 |
38 |
4 |
13 |
23 |
103 |
| Interpreting Evidence on Money-Income Causality |
1 |
10 |
37 |
164 |
5 |
26 |
79 |
320 |
| Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information |
5 |
19 |
51 |
348 |
12 |
35 |
109 |
888 |
| Measuring Money Growth When Financial Markets Are Changing |
0 |
0 |
7 |
110 |
4 |
13 |
38 |
748 |
| NEW INDEXES OF COINCIDENT AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
17 |
57 |
220 |
1,780 |
| Optimal Invariant Similar Tests for Instrumental Variables Regression |
2 |
4 |
15 |
93 |
6 |
17 |
59 |
307 |
| Optimal Invariant Similar Tests for Instrumental Variables Regression |
0 |
2 |
6 |
47 |
3 |
15 |
41 |
267 |
| PENSIONS, THE OPTION VALUE OF WORK, AND RETIREMENT |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
15 |
48 |
605 |
| Pension Plan Provisions and Retirement: Men & Women, Medicare, and Models |
1 |
5 |
13 |
59 |
16 |
30 |
117 |
870 |
| Pensions, The Option Value of Work, and Retirement |
2 |
5 |
31 |
193 |
9 |
26 |
108 |
536 |
| Phillips Curve Inflation Forecasts |
13 |
32 |
182 |
182 |
19 |
59 |
219 |
219 |
| Prices, Wages and the U.S. NAIRU in the 1990s |
2 |
10 |
40 |
277 |
6 |
28 |
92 |
771 |
| Regression vs. Volatility Tests of the Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
17 |
168 |
| Retirement Incentives: The Interaction between Employer-Provided Pensions, Social Security, and Retiree Health Benefits |
2 |
4 |
9 |
77 |
10 |
22 |
61 |
763 |
| Robust Monetary Policy Under Model Uncertainty in a Small Model of the U.S. Economy |
2 |
5 |
23 |
204 |
4 |
15 |
50 |
509 |
| Searching for Prosperity |
2 |
4 |
10 |
118 |
3 |
12 |
37 |
563 |
| Semiparametric estimation of weighted average derivatives |
4 |
7 |
19 |
58 |
4 |
10 |
29 |
109 |
| Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations |
5 |
25 |
91 |
599 |
12 |
56 |
177 |
1,398 |
| Stochastic trends and economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
31 |
96 |
958 |
| THE PENSION INDUCEMENT TO RETIRE: AN OPTION VALUE ANALYSIS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
310 |
| Testing for Weak Instruments in Linear IV Regression |
43 |
114 |
363 |
1,384 |
78 |
264 |
791 |
2,857 |
| The Pension Inducement to Retire: An Option Value Analysis |
0 |
3 |
20 |
128 |
3 |
9 |
54 |
272 |
| The Use of Monetary Aggregate to Target Nominal GDP |
0 |
7 |
24 |
98 |
10 |
43 |
134 |
511 |
| Three Models of Retirement: Computational Complexity Versus Predictive Validity |
1 |
3 |
18 |
122 |
5 |
13 |
49 |
258 |
| Understanding Changes in International Business Cycle Dynamics |
10 |
27 |
72 |
359 |
17 |
51 |
168 |
969 |
| Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast? |
7 |
31 |
83 |
311 |
19 |
68 |
199 |
633 |
| Why are Retirement Rates So High at Age 65? |
0 |
6 |
15 |
196 |
9 |
27 |
90 |
1,372 |
| caschool |
2 |
20 |
63 |
257 |
4 |
37 |
126 |
627 |
| oj |
0 |
13 |
21 |
89 |
1 |
30 |
63 |
334 |
| Total Working Papers |
271 |
883 |
3,120 |
16,655 |
719 |
2,530 |
8,452 |
53,791 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Reexamination of Friedman's Consumption Puzzle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
25 |
124 |
| A Reexamination of Friedman's Consumption Puzzle: Reply |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
55 |
| A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems |
19 |
58 |
142 |
646 |
31 |
90 |
249 |
1,497 |
| A Survey of Weak Instruments and Weak Identification in Generalized Method of Moments |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
38 |
151 |
982 |
| A dynamic factor model framework for forecast combination |
0 |
6 |
27 |
335 |
1 |
16 |
62 |
917 |
| Asymptotic Properties of Least Squares Estimators of Cointegrating Vectors |
2 |
11 |
51 |
202 |
4 |
20 |
144 |
718 |
| Asymptotic properties of the Hahn-Hausman test for weak-instruments |
12 |
17 |
53 |
114 |
12 |
34 |
106 |
276 |
| Bayesian Approaches to the 'Unit Root' Problem: A Comment |
0 |
0 |
7 |
43 |
1 |
2 |
23 |
156 |
| Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set |
2 |
4 |
30 |
118 |
6 |
16 |
74 |
325 |
| Confidence intervals for autoregressive coefficients near one |
0 |
1 |
3 |
34 |
0 |
5 |
15 |
124 |
| Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U.S. macroeconomic time series |
0 |
12 |
48 |
174 |
1 |
17 |
70 |
299 |
| Deciding between I(1) and I(0) |
2 |
2 |
7 |
35 |
3 |
4 |
10 |
67 |
| Demand Disturbances and Aggregate Fluctuations: The Implications of Near Rationality |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
44 |
| Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root |
16 |
42 |
137 |
751 |
31 |
83 |
255 |
1,689 |
| Efficient windows and labor force reduction |
0 |
2 |
7 |
14 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
65 |
| Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
15 |
66 |
395 |
| Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
27 |
56 |
188 |
764 |
| Forecasting inflation |
21 |
39 |
154 |
462 |
26 |
69 |
341 |
963 |
| Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices |
6 |
19 |
68 |
335 |
9 |
24 |
105 |
767 |
| GMM with Weak Identification |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
13 |
45 |
441 |
| Has the business cycle changed? |
3 |
15 |
60 |
354 |
9 |
31 |
127 |
711 |
| How did leading indicator forecasts perform during the 2001 recession? |
2 |
15 |
52 |
243 |
5 |
21 |
94 |
648 |
| Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots |
16 |
35 |
128 |
665 |
24 |
69 |
265 |
1,687 |
| Inference in a nearly integrated autoregressive model with nonnormal innovations |
0 |
0 |
6 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
62 |
| Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
34 |
107 |
487 |
2,475 |
| Macro-econometrics |
2 |
11 |
25 |
69 |
5 |
19 |
51 |
144 |
| Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
73 |
194 |
1,063 |
| Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information |
3 |
6 |
17 |
125 |
4 |
12 |
44 |
299 |
| Measuring Business Cycle Time |
1 |
1 |
26 |
214 |
9 |
22 |
133 |
1,084 |
| Measuring money growth when financial markets are changing |
2 |
3 |
6 |
30 |
4 |
5 |
12 |
86 |
| Pensions, the Option Value of Work, and Retirement |
5 |
19 |
49 |
366 |
10 |
30 |
96 |
1,288 |
| Recursive and Sequential Tests of the Unit-Root and Trend-Break Hypotheses: Theory and International Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
24 |
86 |
597 |
| Robust monetary policy under model uncertainty in a small model of the U.S. economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
31 |
210 |
| Searching for prosperity |
2 |
2 |
8 |
42 |
3 |
6 |
28 |
129 |
| Semiparametric Estimation of Index Coefficients |
2 |
13 |
91 |
240 |
3 |
19 |
129 |
552 |
| Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations |
17 |
65 |
184 |
972 |
41 |
142 |
466 |
2,629 |
| Structural Stability and Models of the Business Cycle |
0 |
2 |
11 |
56 |
0 |
2 |
18 |
114 |
| Testing for and Dating Common Breaks in Multivariate Time Series |
3 |
10 |
52 |
263 |
8 |
21 |
86 |
603 |
| The NAIRU, Unemployment and Monetary Policy |
5 |
25 |
104 |
1,092 |
21 |
66 |
352 |
4,562 |
| Understanding Changes In International Business Cycle Dynamics |
4 |
9 |
54 |
213 |
18 |
36 |
175 |
647 |
| Unit roots in real GNP: Do we know and do we care?: A comment |
3 |
3 |
10 |
19 |
3 |
3 |
18 |
59 |
| VAR, Error Correction and Pretest Forecasts at Long Horizons |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
19 |
61 |
298 |
| Variable Trends in Economic Time Series |
4 |
31 |
82 |
515 |
7 |
46 |
145 |
852 |
| Vector Autoregressions |
12 |
53 |
130 |
965 |
24 |
85 |
217 |
1,678 |
| Who Invented Instrumental Variable Regression? |
2 |
7 |
19 |
84 |
8 |
20 |
76 |
486 |
| Total Journal Articles |
168 |
538 |
1,849 |
9,841 |
453 |
1,401 |
5,360 |
33,631 |