| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of Biased Simulation Schemes for Stochastic Volatility Models |
4 |
13 |
41 |
287 |
17 |
37 |
114 |
621 |
| A Multi-Level Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression for US Sectoral Production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
14 |
39 |
257 |
| A Multivariate STAR Analysis of the Raltionship Between Money and Output |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
13 |
58 |
779 |
| A Multivariate STAR Analysis of the Relationship Between Money and Output |
2 |
9 |
36 |
199 |
8 |
23 |
68 |
501 |
| A Multivariate STAR Analysis of the Relationship Between Money and Output |
2 |
9 |
44 |
259 |
6 |
15 |
70 |
577 |
| A multivariate STAR analysis of the relationship between money and output |
10 |
25 |
85 |
460 |
14 |
37 |
155 |
1,144 |
| A nonlinear long memory model for US unemployment |
0 |
3 |
26 |
352 |
3 |
9 |
67 |
1,162 |
| A simple test for PPP among traded goods |
5 |
10 |
51 |
499 |
26 |
45 |
152 |
1,407 |
| Are statistical reporting agencies getting it right? Data rationality and business cycle asymmetry |
0 |
1 |
6 |
72 |
2 |
9 |
29 |
380 |
| Asymmetric and Common Absorption of Shocks in Nonlinear Autoregressive Models |
2 |
4 |
7 |
82 |
2 |
7 |
12 |
230 |
| Asymmetric and Common Abssorbtion of Shocks in Nonlinear Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
166 |
| Asymmetric and common absorption of shocks in nonlinear autoregressive models |
1 |
4 |
12 |
137 |
3 |
9 |
35 |
462 |
| Changes in Variability of the Business Cycle in the G7 Countries |
1 |
3 |
12 |
79 |
6 |
10 |
32 |
168 |
| Changes in variability of the business cycle in the G7 countries |
0 |
0 |
7 |
142 |
2 |
6 |
20 |
681 |
| Changes in variability of the business cycle in the G7 countries |
0 |
0 |
2 |
50 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
171 |
| Do We Often Find ARCH Because of Neglected Outliers? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
28 |
39 |
678 |
| Do we often find ARCH because of neglected outliers ? |
1 |
2 |
4 |
156 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
537 |
| Does Africa grow slower than Asia and Latin America |
4 |
5 |
13 |
208 |
10 |
16 |
66 |
656 |
| Does the Absence of Cointegration Explain the Typical Findings in Long Horizon Regression? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
13 |
35 |
401 |
| Does the absence of cointegration explain the typical findings in long horizon regressions? |
4 |
7 |
26 |
229 |
8 |
19 |
57 |
615 |
| Forecasting US Inflation Using Model Averaging |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
11 |
53 |
686 |
| Forecasting Volatility with Switching Persistence GARCH Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
30 |
848 |
| Forecasting industrial production with linear, nonlinear and structural change models |
4 |
12 |
59 |
508 |
15 |
32 |
134 |
1,165 |
| Identifying Changes in Mean, Seasonality, Persistence and Volatility for G7 and Euro Area Inflation |
5 |
8 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
19 |
30 |
30 |
| Instability and nonlinearity in the Euro area Phillips curve |
3 |
8 |
23 |
87 |
6 |
16 |
57 |
173 |
| Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A reexamination |
6 |
20 |
67 |
562 |
6 |
23 |
104 |
1,023 |
| Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
240 |
9 |
24 |
109 |
1,119 |
| Macroeconomic Crisis and Individual Firm Performance: The Mexican Experience |
2 |
5 |
22 |
105 |
6 |
15 |
65 |
367 |
| Modeling Asymmetric Volatility in Weekly Dutch Temperature Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
26 |
327 |
| Modeling and Forecasting S&P 500 Volatility: Long Memory, Structural Breaks and Nonlinearity |
5 |
14 |
65 |
661 |
23 |
54 |
197 |
1,843 |
| Modelling Multiple Regimes in the Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
45 |
1,006 |
| Nonlinear Error-Correction Models for Interest rates in the Netherlands |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
22 |
74 |
1,129 |
| Nonlinear error-correction models for interest rates in the Netherlands |
3 |
7 |
36 |
501 |
4 |
13 |
54 |
1,130 |
| Out-of-sample Comparison of Copula Specifications in Multivariate Density Forecasts |
1 |
3 |
11 |
11 |
4 |
9 |
30 |
30 |
| Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts |
0 |
3 |
20 |
20 |
5 |
13 |
30 |
30 |
| Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts |
3 |
5 |
43 |
43 |
7 |
10 |
52 |
52 |
| Outlier Detection in the GARCH(1,1) Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
21 |
62 |
681 |
| Outlier detection in the GARCH (1,1) model |
3 |
7 |
21 |
384 |
5 |
10 |
37 |
993 |
| Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models |
7 |
13 |
63 |
338 |
16 |
27 |
152 |
680 |
| Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models |
14 |
39 |
157 |
629 |
28 |
88 |
378 |
1,392 |
| Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails |
1 |
5 |
21 |
32 |
2 |
13 |
49 |
79 |
| Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails |
0 |
0 |
5 |
15 |
2 |
12 |
29 |
41 |
| Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails |
2 |
3 |
18 |
45 |
4 |
9 |
64 |
112 |
| Predicting Growth Cycle Regimes for European Countries |
5 |
8 |
13 |
93 |
7 |
15 |
33 |
253 |
| Predicting the Daily Covariance Matrix for S&P 100 Stocks Using Intraday Data - But Which Frequency to Use? |
2 |
13 |
38 |
284 |
14 |
41 |
140 |
946 |
| Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information |
7 |
15 |
55 |
258 |
9 |
24 |
123 |
545 |
| Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information |
3 |
11 |
29 |
88 |
6 |
17 |
60 |
182 |
| SETS, Arbitrage Activity, and Stock Price Dynamics |
1 |
2 |
9 |
292 |
2 |
5 |
40 |
1,241 |
| Seasonal smooth transition autoregression |
5 |
7 |
25 |
236 |
7 |
11 |
48 |
697 |
| Selecting a nonlinear time series model using weighted tests of equal forecast accuracy |
2 |
8 |
24 |
553 |
6 |
21 |
73 |
1,551 |
| Short Patches of Outliers, ARCH and Volatility Modeling |
1 |
1 |
13 |
256 |
4 |
8 |
36 |
912 |
| Short-term Volatility Versus Long-term Growth: Evidence in US Macroeconomic Time Series |
2 |
3 |
6 |
48 |
3 |
6 |
22 |
182 |
| Short-term Volatility versus Long-term Growth: Evidence in US Macroeconomic Time Series |
2 |
2 |
10 |
121 |
3 |
6 |
31 |
362 |
| Short-term Volatility versus Long-term Growth: Evidence in US Macroeconomic Time Series |
1 |
3 |
11 |
39 |
6 |
22 |
80 |
251 |
| Short-term volatility versus long-term growth |
0 |
1 |
7 |
207 |
6 |
15 |
55 |
1,196 |
| Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey of Recent Developments |
18 |
53 |
266 |
1,215 |
23 |
70 |
407 |
2,132 |
| Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments |
16 |
52 |
316 |
1,908 |
25 |
72 |
465 |
2,797 |
| Stock Selection Strategies in Emerging Markets |
4 |
14 |
67 |
667 |
11 |
38 |
195 |
1,456 |
| Structural Breaks in the International Transmission of Inflation |
4 |
13 |
38 |
38 |
9 |
32 |
48 |
48 |
| Structural Differences in Economic Growth |
1 |
4 |
32 |
76 |
4 |
18 |
77 |
89 |
| Testing for ARCH in the Presence of Additive Outliners |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
39 |
1,061 |
| Testing for ARCH in the presence of additive outliers |
1 |
3 |
17 |
240 |
2 |
8 |
41 |
824 |
| Testing for Volatility Changes in US Macroeconomic Time Series |
4 |
8 |
43 |
212 |
6 |
17 |
75 |
389 |
| Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks |
4 |
7 |
22 |
110 |
5 |
12 |
38 |
202 |
| Testing for smooth transition nonlinearity in the presence of outliers |
3 |
4 |
22 |
197 |
4 |
5 |
39 |
653 |
| Testing for stochastic unit roots - Some Monte Carlo evidence |
3 |
5 |
21 |
236 |
4 |
7 |
34 |
569 |
| The Euro Introduction and Non-Euro Currencies |
1 |
3 |
22 |
161 |
3 |
8 |
72 |
647 |
| The Forecasting Performance of Various Models for Seasonality and Nonlinearity for Quarterly Industrial Production |
10 |
18 |
70 |
445 |
34 |
78 |
292 |
1,416 |
| The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctiations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series |
2 |
5 |
12 |
159 |
13 |
29 |
90 |
952 |
| The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series |
2 |
4 |
10 |
164 |
6 |
11 |
38 |
836 |
| Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
175 |
13 |
25 |
117 |
1,638 |
| Total Working Papers |
199 |
514 |
2,212 |
15,912 |
551 |
1,397 |
5,746 |
50,556 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A multi-level panel STAR model for US manufacturing sectors |
3 |
8 |
27 |
122 |
7 |
21 |
78 |
354 |
| A nonlinear long memory model, with an application to US unemployment |
1 |
2 |
13 |
58 |
3 |
5 |
21 |
122 |
| A simple test for PPP among traded goods |
0 |
1 |
10 |
61 |
2 |
6 |
25 |
194 |
| A unified approach to nonlinearity, structural change, and outliers |
2 |
4 |
14 |
68 |
3 |
6 |
28 |
128 |
| Absorption of shocks in nonlinear autoregressive models |
1 |
1 |
7 |
18 |
2 |
3 |
14 |
31 |
| Are Statistical Reporting Agencies Getting It Right? Data Rationality and Business Cycle Asymmetry |
0 |
2 |
11 |
28 |
1 |
9 |
32 |
133 |
| Can Tests for Stochastic Unit Roots Provide Useful Portmanteau Tests for Persistence? |
0 |
1 |
3 |
33 |
0 |
5 |
9 |
134 |
| Does Africa grow slower than Asia, Latin America and the Middle East? Evidence from a new data-based classification method |
0 |
1 |
4 |
67 |
0 |
4 |
13 |
144 |
| Forecast comparison of principal component regression and principal covariate regression |
0 |
2 |
8 |
46 |
1 |
6 |
19 |
104 |
| Forecasting S&P 500 volatility: Long memory, level shifts, leverage effects, day-of-the-week seasonality, and macroeconomic announcements |
5 |
17 |
32 |
32 |
13 |
37 |
82 |
82 |
| Forecasting aggregates using panels of nonlinear time series |
0 |
0 |
1 |
36 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
90 |
| Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models |
6 |
24 |
53 |
53 |
11 |
41 |
113 |
113 |
| Instability and Nonlinearity in the Euro-Area Phillips Curve |
2 |
7 |
9 |
9 |
3 |
14 |
17 |
17 |
| Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination |
1 |
7 |
26 |
203 |
4 |
13 |
47 |
394 |
| MULTIVARIATE STAR ANALYSIS OF MONEY OUTPUT RELATIONSHIP |
2 |
8 |
12 |
12 |
5 |
13 |
24 |
24 |
| Macroeconomic forecasting with matched principal components |
2 |
2 |
13 |
16 |
4 |
7 |
45 |
63 |
| Measuring volatility with the realized range |
3 |
8 |
26 |
70 |
5 |
15 |
53 |
202 |
| On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting |
4 |
9 |
23 |
150 |
6 |
11 |
46 |
475 |
| On the dynamics of business cycle analysis: editors' introduction |
2 |
3 |
5 |
45 |
3 |
5 |
15 |
150 |
| Paul D. McNelis, Neural networks in finance--gaining predictive edge in the market, Elsevier Academic Press (2005) ISBN 0-12-485967-4 hardcover, 243 pages |
4 |
7 |
26 |
140 |
7 |
17 |
67 |
356 |
| Predicting the Daily Covariance Matrix for S&P 100 Stocks Using Intraday Data - But Which Frequency to Use? |
4 |
7 |
38 |
56 |
12 |
21 |
142 |
209 |
| Reply |
2 |
2 |
4 |
14 |
2 |
3 |
10 |
41 |
| SMOOTH TRANSITION AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS - A SURVEY OF RECENT DEVELOPMENTS |
28 |
91 |
391 |
944 |
49 |
156 |
653 |
1,562 |
| Sample size, lag order and critical values of seasonal unit root tests |
1 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
2 |
5 |
23 |
50 |
| Short patches of outliers, ARCH and volatility modelling |
0 |
0 |
6 |
30 |
1 |
2 |
19 |
115 |
| Stock selection strategies in emerging markets |
0 |
2 |
11 |
171 |
5 |
10 |
38 |
482 |
| Testing for ARCH in the Presence of Additive Outliers |
1 |
3 |
28 |
168 |
1 |
5 |
44 |
620 |
| Testing for Smooth Transition Nonlinearity in the Presence of Outliers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
25 |
344 |
| Testing for Volatility Changes in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series |
2 |
5 |
26 |
164 |
4 |
9 |
49 |
449 |
| Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks |
0 |
1 |
5 |
40 |
1 |
3 |
13 |
108 |
| The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series |
0 |
0 |
4 |
69 |
3 |
3 |
52 |
357 |
| The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production |
1 |
3 |
11 |
41 |
3 |
6 |
26 |
146 |
| The success of stock selection strategies in emerging markets: Is it risk or behavioral bias? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
120 |
| Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
18 |
30 |
180 |
1,149 |
| Total Journal Articles |
77 |
230 |
853 |
3,033 |
186 |
497 |
2,033 |
9,062 |