Access Statistics for Simon van Norden

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 384 0 3 8 1,413
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 413 2 4 11 1,452
Are We There Yet? Looking for the New Economy 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 132
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Detect Bubbles? 1 1 1 463 2 7 25 1,333
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Detect Bubbles? 0 0 0 153 0 3 10 1,054
Calibration and Resolution Diagnostics for Bank of England Density Forecasts 0 0 0 81 0 1 6 183
Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation 0 0 0 18 0 1 18 79
Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation 0 0 0 26 1 2 14 96
Current Trends in the Analysis of Canadian Productivity Growth 0 0 0 25 0 1 7 79
Data-Driven Learning About Trend Productivity Growth 0 1 16 16 0 7 32 32
Data-Driven Learning About Trend Productivity Growth 0 1 6 6 1 3 16 16
Employment Reconciliation and Nowcasting 0 0 0 17 0 2 17 70
Estimates of Québec’s Growth Uncertainty 0 0 0 12 0 3 10 30
Excess Volatility and Speculative Bubbles in the Canadian Dollar: Real of Imagined? 0 0 0 107 1 2 9 1,607
Exchange Rates and Oil Prices 0 0 2 2,632 0 3 16 8,811
Exchange Rates and Order Flow in the Long Run 0 0 0 144 0 1 10 488
FISCAL SURPRISES AT THE FOMC 0 0 0 54 0 2 9 97
Fads or Bubbles? 0 0 0 698 1 4 16 3,819
Fads or Bubbles? 0 0 0 210 0 5 18 1,507
Filtering for Current Analysis 0 0 0 209 0 1 9 549
Fiscal Forecasts at the FOMC: Evidence from the Greenbooks 0 0 0 41 1 3 10 100
Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC 0 0 0 20 0 2 3 37
Fiscal policy: ex ante and ex post 0 0 0 80 1 4 7 136
How Precise are Our Estimates of the Current Output Gap? New Evidence from Multivariate Estimates for the Euro-Zone 0 0 0 0 2 4 12 290
La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada 0 0 0 98 1 4 11 565
Lessons From the Latest Data on U.S. Productivity 0 0 0 18 0 1 10 102
Lessons From the Latest Data on U.S. Productivity 0 0 0 36 1 2 4 92
Lessons from the latest data on U.S. productivity 0 0 0 24 2 3 8 98
Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada 0 1 1 489 2 8 21 2,444
Modeling Multivariate Data Revisions 0 0 0 34 1 2 14 102
Oil Prices and the Rise and Fall of the U.S. Real Exchange Rate 0 0 0 1,391 2 7 71 4,002
On the Correspondence Between Data Revision and Trend-Cycle Decomposition 0 0 0 66 0 1 6 146
On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition 0 0 0 7 0 5 16 71
QUAND ON A VU UNE CRISE FINANCIÈRE… 0 0 0 1 0 2 6 13
Reconsidering Cointegration in International Finance: Three Case Studies of Size Distortion in Finite Samples 0 0 0 258 2 5 9 1,983
Regime Switching as a Test for Exchange Rate Bubbles 0 0 1 776 1 3 18 2,549
Regime Switching in Stock Market Returns 1 5 14 2,660 8 31 121 7,041
Regime-Switching Models, A guide to the Bank of Canada Gauss Procedures 0 0 0 412 0 2 9 2,154
Regime-Switching Models: A Guide to the Bank of Canada Gauss Procedures 0 0 0 1,092 0 2 11 2,677
Smooth and persistent forecasts of German GDP: Balancing accuracy and stability 1 2 16 16 3 8 19 19
Speculative Behaviour, Regime-Switching and Stock Market Crashes 0 0 0 469 0 3 17 2,788
Speculative Behaviour, Regime-Switching, and Stock Market Crashes 0 0 0 1,209 0 8 17 4,587
THE CALIBRATION OF PROBABILISTIC ECONOMIC FORECASTS 0 0 0 58 1 7 14 111
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms Under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 155 1 4 15 1,042
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 47 0 7 19 269
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 32 0 2 6 139
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 47 0 2 12 256
Testing for Recent Trends in US Productivity Growth 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 242
The Calibration of Probabilistic Economic Forecasts 0 0 0 99 0 1 8 263
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 1 343 1 3 19 807
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 340 0 0 8 1,067
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gaps in Real Time 0 0 0 0 0 5 17 443
The Reliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 422 1 15 24 1,720
The Unreliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 500 1 11 20 1,581
The credibility of monetary policy: a survey of the literature with some simple applications to Caanda 0 0 0 553 1 4 14 2,025
The reliability of Canadian output gap estimates 0 0 0 90 0 4 15 360
The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time 0 0 0 323 2 4 19 911
The reliability of output gap estimates in real time 0 0 1 281 1 11 20 1,319
Trend-Cycle Decomposition: Implications from an Exact Structural Identification 0 0 0 27 0 2 5 59
Trend-cycle decomposition: implications from an exact structural identification 0 0 0 95 1 6 23 185
Unit Root Tests and the Burden of Proof 0 0 0 595 1 4 35 3,082
Unit-Root Test and Excess Returns 0 0 0 155 0 2 16 1,733
WHEN YOU’VE SEEN ONE FINANCIAL CRISIS… 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7
When You've Seen One Financial Crisis… 0 0 0 122 1 2 6 138
Why Is It So Hard to Measure the Current Output Gap? 0 0 0 458 0 7 18 3,083
Total Working Papers 3 11 59 19,607 47 275 1,036 75,685

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 81 1 2 10 400
Are Underwriting Cycles Real and Forecastable? 0 2 7 35 1 8 27 135
Assessing gross domestic product and inflation probability forecasts derived from Bank of England fan charts 0 0 0 37 0 1 7 88
Asymmetry in unemployment rate forecast errors 0 0 0 15 0 3 10 74
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Reliably Detect Bubbles? 0 0 0 88 0 4 11 327
Can GDP Measurement Be Further Improved? Data Revision and Reconciliation 0 0 3 15 1 2 18 53
Current trends in the analysis of Canadian productivity growth 0 0 0 13 0 0 8 113
Employment reconciliation and nowcasting 0 0 0 4 0 4 17 35
Exchange rate fundamentals and the Canadian dollar 1 1 3 73 1 3 12 261
Exchange rates and order flow in the long run 0 0 0 43 0 1 7 227
Fads or bubbles? 0 0 0 236 2 4 22 1,102
Filtres pour l’analyse courante 0 0 0 6 0 1 8 62
Fiscal Forecasts at the FOMC: Evidence from the Greenbooks 0 0 2 14 0 4 18 98
Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC 0 0 0 3 0 2 10 35
Kernel-based calibration diagnostics for recession and inflation probability forecasts 0 0 0 17 1 3 11 93
Modeling data revisions: Measurement error and dynamics of "true" values 1 1 4 171 1 5 27 457
Oil prices and the rise and fall of the US real exchange rate 1 1 4 659 2 9 34 1,946
On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition 0 0 0 27 0 1 5 120
Regime Switching as a Test for Exchange Rate Bubbles 0 0 0 225 0 3 25 822
Regime switching in stock market returns 1 4 6 417 5 19 52 1,088
TREND IN CYCLE OR CYCLE IN TREND? NEW STRUCTURAL IDENTIFICATIONS FOR UNOBSERVED-COMPONENTS MODELS OF U.S. REAL GDP 0 0 1 30 0 3 13 88
Terms of trade and real exchange rates: the Canadian evidence 1 2 5 792 6 9 30 1,631
The Predictability of Stock Market Regime: Evidence from the Toronto Stock Exchange 0 0 2 334 0 4 14 1,122
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 1 2 4 38 1,457
The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time 2 4 8 962 10 37 86 2,703
The reliability of Canadian output-gap estimates 0 0 0 71 1 3 12 242
Why are initial estimates of productivity growth so unreliable? 0 0 0 9 0 4 13 81
Total Journal Articles 7 15 45 4,378 34 143 545 14,860

Software Item File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A program to compute long-run covariance matrices 0 0 4 711 0 4 25 2,558
GAUSS code for the Hodrick-Prescott filter 0 0 1 1,872 1 6 19 4,450
RESDIAG: RATS module to perform residual diagnostics 0 0 1 581 0 4 10 1,713
ROLLREG: RATS module to perform rolling and moving-window regressions 0 0 0 529 0 4 11 1,431
Total Software Items 0 0 6 3,693 1 18 65 10,152

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Statistics updated 2026-07-10