Working Paper |
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Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
701 |
A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
32 |
Advocacy and Objectivity in Science |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
606 |
An Application of Econometric Models to International Marketing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
41 |
Analyzing Quantitative Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
550 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3,174 |
Analyzing Quantitative Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
23 |
Are Null Results Becoming an Endangered Species in Marketing? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
390 |
Are Student Ratings of Instruction Useful? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
98 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
379 |
Assessing Game Theory, Role Playing, and Unaided Judgment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
21 |
Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
1 |
24 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
31 |
Barriers to Scientific Contributions: The Author’s Formula |
0 |
1 |
1 |
80 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
479 |
Benchmark forecasts for climate change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
229 |
Book Review: Intentional Changes: A Fresh Approach to Helping People Change, by Allen Tough, Chicago: Follette Publishing Co., 1982 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
36 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
301 |
Brand Trial After a Credibility Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
326 |
Brief vs. Comprehensive Descriptions in Measuring Intentions to Purchase |
0 |
0 |
0 |
118 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
440 |
Brief vs. comprehensive descriptions in measuring intentions to purchase |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
46 |
Business School Prestige ^V Research versus Teaching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
511 |
Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time-series Extrapolation |
1 |
1 |
1 |
141 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
809 |
Cheating in Management Science (with Comments by M. K. Starr and M. J. Mahoney) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
358 |
Class of Mail Does Affect Response Rates to Mailed |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
317 |
Class of Mail Does Affect Response Rates to Mailed Questionnaires: Evidence from Meta-analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
Commentary by J. Scott Armstrong on Fildes et al.: Generalizing about univariate forecasting methods: further empirical evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
252 |
Commentary on the Makridakis Time Series Competition (M- Competition) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
526 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1,809 |
Communication of Research on Forecasting: The Journal |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
240 |
Competitor Orientation: Effects of Objectives and Information on Managerial Decisions and Profitability |
0 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
125 |
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share |
0 |
2 |
4 |
232 |
2 |
8 |
16 |
756 |
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
65 |
Correspondence On the Selection of Error Measures for Comparisons Among Forecasting Methods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
433 |
Damped Seasonality Factors: Introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
370 |
Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
151 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
741 |
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1,071 |
1 |
4 |
17 |
5,336 |
Derivation of Theory by Means of Factor Analysis or Tom Swift and His Electric Factor Analysis Machine |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
747 |
Derivation of theory by means of factor analysis or Tom Swift and his electric factor analysis machine |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
25 |
Designing and Using Experiential Exercises |
0 |
0 |
0 |
343 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
2,213 |
Discovery and Communication of Important Marketing Findings: Evidence and Proposals |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
955 |
Does the Need for Agreement Among Reviewers Inhibit the Publication of Controversial Findings? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
223 |
Eclectic Research and Construct Validation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
926 |
Effectiveness of Monetary Incentives: Mail Surveys to Members of Multinational Professional Groups |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
10 |
Effectiveness of Monetary Incentives: Mail Surveys to Members of Multinational Professional Groups |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1,074 |
Effects of Objectives and Information on Managerial Decisions and Profitability |
0 |
0 |
1 |
213 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1,201 |
Effects of Portfolio Planning Methods on Decision Making: Experimental Results* |
0 |
0 |
1 |
264 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
1,188 |
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies |
0 |
0 |
1 |
56 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
188 |
Effects of portfolio planning methods on decision making: experimental results |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
46 |
Escalation Bias: Does It Extend to Marketing? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
1,035 |
Escalation bias: does it extend to marketing? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
20 |
Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys |
0 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
21 |
257 |
Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys |
0 |
0 |
1 |
620 |
1 |
3 |
13 |
2,235 |
Evaluation of Extrapolative Forecasting Methods: Results of a Survey of Academicians and Practitioners |
0 |
0 |
2 |
218 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
983 |
Evidence on the Value of Strategic Planning in Marketing: How Much Planning Should a Marketing Planner Plan? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
39 |
Evidence on the Value of Strategic Planning in Marketing: How Much Planning Should a Marketing Planner Plan? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
419 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
1,399 |
Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
107 |
Exploratory Analysis of Marketing Data: Trees vs. Regression |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
46 |
Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues and Policies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
182 |
Forecasting Methods for Conflict Situations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
718 |
Forecasting Methods for Marketing:* Review of Empirical Research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
463 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1,931 |
Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
591 |
Forecasting elections using expert surveys: an application to U.S. presidential elections |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
215 |
Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making |
0 |
0 |
0 |
81 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
285 |
Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making |
0 |
0 |
0 |
145 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
563 |
Forecasting for Marketing |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
31 |
Forecasting for Marketing |
1 |
1 |
3 |
523 |
4 |
4 |
11 |
2,476 |
Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore Versus Fact |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
16 |
Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
168 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
375 |
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative |
0 |
0 |
2 |
86 |
2 |
3 |
44 |
305 |
How Expert Are the Experts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
180 |
How Expert Are the Experts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
384 |
How Serious are Methodological Issues in Surveys? A Reexamination of the Clarence Thomas Polls^T |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
262 |
How to Avoid Exploratory Research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
282 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1,419 |
How to avoid exploratory research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
28 |
Hypotheses in Marketing Science: Literature Review and Publication Audit |
1 |
1 |
1 |
251 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
1,438 |
Illusions in Regression Analysis |
1 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
9 |
40 |
Improving Learning at Universities: Who is Responsible? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
274 |
Incentives for Developing and Communicating Principles: A Reply |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
203 |
Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
145 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
519 |
Is Review By Peers As Fair As It Appears? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
242 |
Learner Responsibility in Management Education, or Ventures into Forbidden Research (with Comments) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
242 |
Market Share Superstition (Letter) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
251 |
Market Share Superstition (Letter) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
305 |
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared |
0 |
1 |
3 |
118 |
1 |
3 |
19 |
451 |
Monetary Incentives in Mail Surveys |
1 |
1 |
1 |
125 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
543 |
Monetary incentives in mail surveys |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
22 |
Moneyball: a Message for Managers |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
24 |
Natural Learning in Higher Education |
0 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
2 |
8 |
11 |
99 |
On the Effectiveness of Marketing Planning |
0 |
0 |
0 |
160 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
563 |
On the Interpretation of Factor Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,303 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
4,525 |
On the interpretation of factor analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
22 |
Peer Review for Journals: Evidence on Quality Control, Fairness, and Innovation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
159 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
769 |
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit |
0 |
0 |
1 |
146 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
1,684 |
Portfolio Planning Methods: Faulty Approach or Faulty Research? A Rejoinder to 'Making Better Decisions' by Wensley |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
593 |
Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
595 |
Predicting The Outcome of Marketing Negotiations: Role-Playing versus Unaided Opinions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
134 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
943 |
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
806 |
Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings* |
0 |
0 |
0 |
226 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1,256 |
Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
42 |
Principles Involving Marketing Policies: An Empirical Assessment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
409 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2,417 |
Publication Bias Against Null Results |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
344 |
Publishing Standards for Research in Forecasting (Editorial) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
256 |
Quality Control Versus Innovation in Research on Marketing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
130 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
702 |
Readability and Prestige in Scientific Journals |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
444 |
Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project, with Reply to Commentators |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
872 |
Relative Accuracy of Judgmental and Extrapolative Methods in Forecasting Annual Earnings |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
380 |
Replications and Extensions in Marketing – Rarely Published But Quite Contrary* |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
445 |
Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960-1984 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
111 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
404 |
Research on Scientific Journals: Implications for Editors and Authors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
393 |
Return Postage in Mail Surveys: A Meta Analysis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
24 |
Return Postage in Mail Surveys: A Meta Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
636 |
Review of Co-opetition by Adam M. Brandenburger and Barry J. Nalebuff |
0 |
0 |
4 |
17 |
2 |
7 |
20 |
97 |
Review of Don A. Dillman's Mail and Telephone Surveys, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1978 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
174 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1,311 |
Review of Peter W. Huber, Liability: The Legal Revolution and Its Consequences, New York: Basic Books, Inc., 1988 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
128 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
795 |
Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
29 |
Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990 (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
396 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
3,004 |
Review of Steven J. Rosenstone, Forecasting Presidential Elections (published by Yale University Press, New Haven, CT, 1983)) |
0 |
0 |
2 |
103 |
1 |
1 |
20 |
586 |
Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
285 |
Role Conflict: Society’s Dilemma with Excellence in Marketing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
150 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
972 |
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
81 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
212 |
Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
257 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1,039 |
Sales Forecasts for Existing Consumer Products and Services: Do Purchase Intentions Contribute to Accuracy? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
9 |
57 |
Should We Redesign Forecasting Competitions? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
217 |
Significance Tests Harm Progress in Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
29 |
Social Irresponsibility in Management |
0 |
0 |
0 |
94 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
659 |
Strategic Planning And Forecasting Fundamentals |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1,492 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
7,252 |
Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance |
0 |
0 |
0 |
283 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
890 |
Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
Strategic Planning and Forecasting Fundamentals |
0 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
59 |
Strategies for Implementing Change: An Experiential Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
247 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1,433 |
Structured Analogies for Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
2 |
161 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
777 |
Structured analogies for forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
270 |
Teacher vs. Learner Responsibility in Management Education |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1,219 |
Teacher vs. Learner Responsibility in Management Education |
0 |
0 |
1 |
103 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
550 |
The Case for Minimum Teaching Standards |
1 |
1 |
1 |
47 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
223 |
The Case for Minimum Teaching Standards |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
227 |
The Case of the Detrimental Drug: Implications for the Stakeholder Theory of Directorship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
347 |
The Case of the Detrimental Drug: Implications for the Stakeholder Theory of Directorship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
418 |
The Devil s Advocate Responds to an MBA Student s Claim that Research Harms Learning |
0 |
0 |
0 |
192 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
725 |
The Graffiti Problem |
1 |
1 |
1 |
370 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
4,001 |
The Graffiti Solution |
0 |
0 |
0 |
168 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1,295 |
The Importance of Objectivity and Falsification in Management Science |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
1,032 |
The Manager’s Dilemma: Role Conflict in Marketing |
0 |
0 |
1 |
180 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
987 |
The Natural Learning Project |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
304 |
The Panalba Role Playing Case |
0 |
1 |
4 |
257 |
1 |
2 |
19 |
1,088 |
The Profitability of Winning |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
312 |
The Seer-Sucker Theory: The Value of Experts in Forecasting |
1 |
1 |
3 |
403 |
4 |
8 |
31 |
2,972 |
The Value of Formal Planning for Strategic Decisions: A Reply |
0 |
1 |
1 |
280 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1,435 |
The Value of Surprising Findings for Research on Marketing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
306 |
The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: review of empirical research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
50 |
The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
416 |
Tom Swift and His Electric Regression Analysis Machine: 1973 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
444 |
Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
283 |
Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
85 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
321 |
Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
81 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
432 |
Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
455 |
Total Working Papers |
8 |
17 |
75 |
20,479 |
185 |
282 |
650 |
107,827 |
Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
"How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus": Batchelor, Roy (2001), Applied Economics, 33, pp. 225-235. E-mail address: R.A.Batchelor@city.bc.uk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
238 |
A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
56 |
A case study of expert judgment: Economists probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts: Phillip A. Braun and Ilan Yaniv, Journal of behavioral decision making, 5 (1992), 217-231 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
77 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
216 |
A cautionary tale about multiple regression: Milton Friedman (the appendix to "Alternative approaches to analyzing economic data' Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz), American Economic Review 81 (1991) 48-49 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
92 |
3 |
5 |
12 |
328 |
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
Accuracy of judgmental forecasts: A comparison: R. Nada Sanders, Omega, 20 (1992) 353-364 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
79 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
249 |
Advocacy and Objectivity in Science |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
64 |
An analysis of the accuracy ot "trial heat" polls during the 1992 presidential election: Richard R. Lau, 1994, Public opinion quarterly, 58, 2-20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
194 |
An application of rule-based forecasting to a situation lacking domain knowledge |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
174 |
Assessing game theory, role playing, and unaided judgment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
180 |
Automatic identification of time series features for rule-based forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
228 |
Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
285 |
Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
366 |
Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote |
1 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
71 |
Combining forecasts: An application to elections |
0 |
1 |
1 |
17 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
86 |
Combining forecasts: The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
128 |
Communication of research on forecasting: The journal |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
50 |
Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task |
0 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
146 |
Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
53 |
Conditions under which index models are useful: Reply to bio-index commentaries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
78 |
Damped seasonality factors: Introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
113 |
Decomposition by causal forces: a procedure for forecasting complex time series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
171 |
Decomposition of time-series by level and change |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
39 |
Discovery and communication of important marketing findings: Evidence and proposals |
0 |
1 |
1 |
34 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
250 |
Econometric Forecasting and the Science Court |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
143 |
Editorial |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
19 |
Editorial policies for the publication of controversial findings |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
69 |
Editorial: Reflections on forecasting in the 1980's |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
84 |
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1 |
2 |
21 |
261 |
Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons |
1 |
1 |
4 |
289 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
974 |
Expert opinions about extrapolation and the mystery of the overlooked discontinuities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
146 |
Factors affecting new product forecasting accuracy in new firms: William B. Gartner, and Robert J. Thomas, 1993, Journal of Productive Innovation Management, 10, 35-52 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
133 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
489 |
Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources: Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, Public Opinion Quarterly, 54 (1990), 609-626 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
95 |
Findings from evidence-based forecasting: Methods for reducing forecast error |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
264 |
Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
17 |
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
14 |
67 |
Forecasting of software development work effort: Introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
148 |
Forecasting practices in US corporations: Survey results: Nada Sanders and Karl B. Manrodt, 1994, interfaces, 24, 92-100 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
253 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
646 |
Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore versus Fact |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
315 |
Forecasts of the 2012 US Presidential Election based on Candidates’ Perceived Competence in Handling the Most Important Issue* |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
From the editors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
51 |
Generalization and communication issues in the use of error measures: A reply |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
114 |
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
25 |
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
31 |
Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
115 |
Harvard Business Review: David M. Georgoff and Robert G. Murdick, manager's guide to forecasting, 64 (Jan-Feb.) (1986) 110-120 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
852 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
1,989 |
Heuristics, biases and improvement strategies in judgmental time series: P. Goodwin and G. Wright, 1994, Omega, 22, 553-568 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
49 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
161 |
How We Computed the Pollyvote |
0 |
0 |
1 |
37 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
185 |
Identification of Asymmetric Prediction Intervals through Causal Forces |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
177 |
International journal of public administration: Lance Eliot Brouthers, parties, ideology and elections: The politics of federal revenues and expenditures forecasting, 8 (1986) 289-314 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
260 |
J. Scott Armstrong, Forecasting by extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 years of research, Interfaces 14 (1984), pp. 52-66 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
186 |
Journal of business forecasting: John Hanke and Pam Weigand, 1994, What are business schools doing to educate forecasters, Fall, 10-12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
965 |
Journal of economic literature: Clifford Winston, 1993, Economic deregulation: Days of reckoning for microeconomists, 31, 1263-1289 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
145 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
485 |
Journal of personality and social psychology: Osberg, Timothy M. and J. Sidney Shrauger, Self-prediction: Exploring the parameters of accuracy, 51 (1986), 1044-1057 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
282 |
Judgmental decomposition: when does it work? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
24 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
173 |
Making progress in forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
90 |
Management science: D. Bunn and G. Wright, "Interaction of Judgmental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues and Analysis", 37 (1991) 501-518 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
68 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
190 |
Marketing letters: Barry L., Bayus, (1992), Have diffusion rates been accelerating over time? 3 215-226 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
303 |
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared |
0 |
0 |
1 |
95 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
640 |
Municipal forecasting practice: 'Demand' and 'supply' side perspectives": Howard A. Frank and Jane McCollough, International Journal of Public Administration, 15 (1992) 1669-1696 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
154 |
Omega 21: G.L. Riddington, (1993), Time varying coefficient models and their forecasting performance, 573-583 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
147 |
Organizational behavior and human decision processes: Wagenaar, Willem A. and G.B. Keren, The seat belt paradox: Effect off accepted roles on information seeking,, 38 (1986), 1-6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
177 |
P.E. Tetlock, Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?, Princeton University Press (2006) ISBN 978-0-691-12871-9 Paperback, 352 pp |
0 |
0 |
1 |
103 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
304 |
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
21 |
Predicting Job Performance: The Moneyball Factor |
0 |
0 |
1 |
43 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
196 |
Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things,: Ray C. Fair. Stanford University Press: Stanford, CA, 2002, 168 pp., Hardback, ISBN 0-8047-4509-9, $26.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
220 |
Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method |
0 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
62 |
Predicting insurance agent turnover using a video-based judgement test: Anthony T. Dalessio, 1994, Journal of Business an Psychology, 9, 23-32 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
261 |
Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
142 |
Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
453 |
Public opinion quarterly: Jacob Shamir, preelection polls in Israel: Structural constraints on accuracy, 50 (1986) 62-75 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
94 |
Public opinion quarterly: James B. Lemert, picking the winners: Politician vs. voter predictions of two controversial ballot measures, 50 (1986) 208-221 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
108 |
Public opinion quarterly: Steven J. Rosenstone, John Mark Hansen, and Donald R. Kinder, measuring change in personal economic well-being, 50 (1986) 176-192 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
154 |
Public opinion quarterly: Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, "Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources" 54 (1990) 609-626 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
185 |
Public opinion quarterly: William Buchanan, election predictions: An empirical assessment, 50 (1986) 222-227 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
74 |
Publication of research on controversial topics: The early acceptance procedure |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
195 |
Replication research's disturbing trend |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
187 |
Replications of forecasting research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
81 |
Research Report—Principles for Examining Predictive Validity: The Case of Information Systems Spending Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
17 |
Research with In-built replications: Comment and further suggestions for replication research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
42 |
Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
185 |
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
34 |
Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
88 |
Sales forecasts for existing consumer products and services: Do purchase intentions contribute to accuracy? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
70 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
371 |
Should the Forecasting Process Eliminate Face-to-Face Meetings? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
254 |
Significance tests harm progress in forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
132 |
Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence |
0 |
1 |
3 |
36 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
193 |
Social irresponsibility in management |
0 |
0 |
2 |
43 |
1 |
2 |
18 |
240 |
Statistical significance tests are unnecessary even when properly done and properly interpreted: Reply to commentaries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
225 |
Structured analogies for forecasting |
0 |
0 |
3 |
36 |
1 |
2 |
19 |
222 |
The Forecasting Canon: Nine Generalizations to Improve Forecast Accuracy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
115 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
319 |
The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
103 |
1 |
2 |
23 |
502 |
The Ombudsman: Are Top Executives Paid Enough? An Evidence-Based Review |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
28 |
The Ombudsman: Business School Prestige—Research versus Teaching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
17 |
The Ombudsman: Cheating in Management Science |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
The Ombudsman: Is Review By Peers As Fair As It Appears? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
The Ombudsman: Is the Evidence Sufficient to Take Action on Executive Pay? Reply to Commentators |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
The Ombudsman: Learner Responsibility in Management Education, or Ventures into Forbidden Research |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
11 |
The Ombudsman: Management Folklore and Management Science—On Portfolio Planning, Escalation Bias, and Such |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
The Ombudsman: Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
The Ombudsman: Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960--1984 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
18 |
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
11 |
The Ombudsman: Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
61 |
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
125 |
The fertile field of meta-analysis: Cumulative progress in agricultural forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
63 |
The forecasting accuracy of market share models using predicted values of competitive marketing behavior: Karel J. Alsem, Peter S.H. Leeflang and Jan C. Reuyl, International Journal of Research in Marketing 6 (1989) 183-198 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
426 |
The great depression of 1990: Ravi Batra, (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) pp. 235, $14.95 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
263 |
The impact of empirical accuracy studies on time series analysis and forecasting: R. Fildes and S. Makridakis, 1995, International Statistical Review, 63, 289-308 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
95 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
240 |
The uses and abuses of consensus forecasts: Stephen K. McNees,Journal of forecasting, 11 (1992) 703-710 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
136 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
308 |
The validity of employment interviews: A comprehensive review and meta-analysis: Michael A. McDaniel, D.L. Whetzel, F.L. Schmidt and S.D. Maurer, 994, Journal of Applied Psychology, 79, 599-615 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
329 |
2 |
4 |
15 |
930 |
The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Reply |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
16 |
The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Review of empirical research |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
27 |
The value of surprising findings for research on marketing |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
106 |
Unintelligible Management Research and Academic Prestige |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
21 |
Validity of an honeesty test in predicting theft among convenience store employees: H. John Bernardin and D.K. Cooke, 1993 Academy of Management Journal, 36, 1097-1108 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
30 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
193 |
Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
141 |
Total Journal Articles |
4 |
13 |
75 |
5,233 |
144 |
208 |
516 |
23,038 |