Access Statistics for Mehmet Balcilar

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
"Ripple" Effects in South African House Prices 0 0 0 22 1 1 1 222
A Large-Scale Optimization Model for Replicating Portfolios in the Life Insurance Industry 1 2 2 27 1 4 5 46
A Wavelet Analysis of the Relationship between Oil and Natural Gas Prices 0 0 0 21 1 1 7 76
A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters 0 0 0 33 0 0 5 78
An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa 0 0 0 39 0 0 0 335
Analysing South Africa's Inflation Persistence Using an ARFIMA Model with Markov-Switching Fractional Differencing Parameter 0 0 2 43 0 0 16 136
Analysing South Africa's Inflation Persistence Using an ARFIMA Model with Markov-Switching Fractional Differencing Parameter 0 0 0 33 0 1 2 68
Are Labor Force Participation Rates Really Non-Stationary? Evidence from Three OECD Countries 0 0 1 6 0 0 2 81
Are Labor Force Participation Rates Really Non-Stationary? Evidence from Three OECD Countries 0 0 0 38 0 0 0 108
Are Labor Force Participation Rates Really Non-Stationary? Evidence from Three OECD Countries 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 91
Are Labor Force Participation Rates Really Non-Stationary? Evidence from Three OECD Countries 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 166
Are Labor Force Participation Rates Really Non-Stationary? Evidence from Three OECD Countries 0 0 0 22 0 0 1 70
Are Labor Force Participation Rates Really Non-Stationary? Evidence from Three OECD Countries 0 0 0 35 0 1 3 173
Are there Long-Run Diversification Gains from the Dow Jones Islamic Finance Index? 0 1 3 17 0 1 9 162
Are there Long-Run Diversification Gains from the Dow Jones Islamic Finance Index? 0 0 0 6 0 0 3 72
Asymmetric Dynamics of Insurance Premium: The Impact of Monetary Policy Uncertainty on Insurance Premiums in Japan 1 1 6 57 1 2 14 168
Asymmetric Effects of Inequality on Per Capita Real GDP of the United States 0 0 0 28 1 1 3 174
Can Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Predict US Real Stock Returns? A Boot-strap Rolling-Window Approach 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 132
Can Volume Predict Bitcoin Returns and Volatility? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 0 37 0 2 26 484
Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach 0 0 0 1 1 1 10 80
Carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth: The historical decomposition evidence from G-7 countries 0 0 3 49 0 1 15 268
Causal Effects of the United States and Japan on Pacific-Rim Stock Markets: Nonparametric Quantile Causality Approach 0 0 0 14 0 2 6 106
Causal relationship between asset prices and output in the US: Evidence from state-level panel Granger causality test 0 0 0 31 1 1 4 253
Causality between Exports and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests 0 0 0 89 2 6 15 615
Causality between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in South Africa: Evidence from a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model 0 0 0 26 0 2 8 181
Causality between US Economic Policy and Equity Market Uncertainties: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 191
Characterising the South African Business Cycle: Is GDP Difference-Stationary or Trend-Stationary in a Markov-Switching Setup? 0 0 0 25 0 0 7 153
Characterising the South African Business Cycle: Is GDP Difference-Stationary or Trend-Stationary in a Markov-Switching Setup? 0 0 0 15 0 0 1 72
Climate Risks and Forecasting Stock-Market Returns in Advanced Economies Over a Century 0 0 0 0 4 8 40 40
Common Cycles and Common Trends in the Stock and Oil markets: Evidence from More than 150 Years of Data 0 0 0 10 0 1 4 90
Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa 0 0 0 33 0 1 5 108
Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa 0 0 1 35 0 1 19 252
Components of Economic Policy Uncertainty and Predictability of US Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantile Approach 0 0 0 50 0 3 15 414
Credit Ratings and Predictability of Stock Returns and Volatility of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 0 46 1 1 7 140
Date-stamping US housing market explosivity 0 0 0 31 0 0 5 57
Did Baltic stock markets offer diversification benefits during the recent financial turmoil? Novel evidence from a nonparametric causality in quantiles test 0 0 0 9 0 1 5 115
Differences of Opinion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 75
Do Global Shocks Drive Investor Herds in Oil-Rich Frontier Markets? 0 0 1 5 0 0 4 32
Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation? 0 0 0 35 1 1 2 86
Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation? 0 0 0 7 0 0 10 150
Do Precious Metal Prices Help in Forecasting South African Inflation? 0 0 0 40 0 0 4 92
Do Sustainable Stocks Offer Diversification Benefits for Conventional Portfolios? An Empirical Analysis of Risk Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations 0 0 0 15 0 0 3 86
Do Terror Attacks Affect the Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Analysis 0 0 0 17 1 1 5 138
Does Country Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach 0 0 0 11 0 1 7 83
Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test 0 0 0 57 0 0 4 232
Does Inflation Cause Gold Market Price Changes? Evidence on the G7 Countries from the Tests of Nonparametric Quantile Causality in Mean and Variance 0 0 0 13 0 0 2 41
Does Inflation Cause Gold Prices? Evidence from G7 Countries 0 0 0 78 0 0 7 169
Does Oil Predict Gold? A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 0 39 0 0 3 126
Does U.S. News Impact Asian Emerging Markets? Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test 0 0 0 25 1 1 3 122
Does Uncertainty Move the Gold Price? New Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test 0 0 0 17 0 0 5 110
Does speculation in the oil market drive investor herding in net exporting nations? 0 0 0 33 1 1 10 146
Dynamic Relationship between Oil Price and Inflation in South Africa 0 0 0 0 3 4 13 502
Dynamic return and volatility spillovers among S&P 500, crude oil and gold 0 2 2 53 1 3 15 179
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Insurance 0 0 0 29 3 6 25 264
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty 0 0 0 91 0 3 26 240
Effectives of Monetary Policy under the High and Low Economic Uncertainty States: Evidence from the Major Asian Economies 1 1 5 18 1 2 13 29
El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 20
Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies 0 0 0 22 0 1 19 64
Examining the Causal Relationship between Globalization and Insurance Activities in Large Emerging Market (LEM) Economies: Evidence from Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality 0 0 2 35 0 0 6 93
Examining the Interactive Growth Effect of Development Aid and Institutional Quality in Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 29 0 0 8 137
Exchange rate and oil price pass-through to inflation in BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis 1 1 5 48 1 1 12 185
Fed’s Unconventional Monetary Policy and Risk Spillover in the US Financial Markets 0 0 0 55 0 3 9 196
Firm-Level Political Risk and Asymmetric Volatility 0 0 0 10 1 1 3 47
Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience 0 0 0 38 0 0 3 216
Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience 0 0 0 23 1 1 4 180
Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience 0 0 0 38 0 0 11 198
Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience 0 0 0 27 0 0 2 124
Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales: The Case of South Africa 0 1 2 43 0 1 20 222
Forecasting Aggregate Retail Sales: The Case of South Africa 0 0 0 35 0 0 1 322
Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa 0 0 0 29 0 0 3 92
Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa 1 1 2 67 2 8 28 283
Forecasting Nevada Gross Gaming Revenue and Taxable Sales Using Coincident and Leading Employment Indexes 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 162
Forecasting Nevada Gross Gaming Revenue and Taxable Sales Using Coincident and Leading Employment Indexes 0 0 0 35 0 0 0 202
Forecasting Nevada Gross Gaming Revenue and Taxable Sales Using Coincident and Leading Employment Indexes 0 0 0 20 0 2 11 210
Forecasting Nevada Gross Gaming Revenue and Taxable Sales Using Coincident and Leading Employment Indexes 0 0 0 16 0 0 3 165
Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation 0 0 0 66 0 0 1 163
Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation 0 0 2 42 1 1 15 254
Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Data with a Nonlinear DSGE Model 0 0 0 69 0 2 8 243
Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Variables with a Markov-Switching Small Open-Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model 0 0 0 60 1 1 4 150
Forecasting South African Macroeconomic Variables with a Markov-Switching Small Open-Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model 0 0 1 33 0 0 3 83
Forecasting US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using a Large Number of Predictors 0 0 0 47 0 0 4 147
Forecasting the US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using Large Number of Predictors 0 0 0 38 0 0 1 230
Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Dynamics of the BRICS 0 0 0 31 1 1 3 229
High-Frequency Predictability of Housing Market Movements of the United States: The Role of Economic Sentiment 0 0 0 4 0 0 7 30
House Values and Proximity to a Landfill: A Quantile Regression Framework 0 0 0 17 0 1 4 89
House Values and Proximity to a Landfill: A Quantile Regression Framework 0 1 1 25 0 3 11 132
Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa 0 0 0 45 0 1 8 273
Housing and the Business Cycle in South Africa 0 0 0 31 0 0 4 183
Housing and the Great Depression 0 0 3 58 0 0 4 113
Housing and the Great Depression 0 0 0 69 1 1 8 540
Housing and the Great Depression 0 0 2 15 0 2 10 146
How Does the Economic Uncertainty Affect Asset Prices under Normal and Financial Distress Times? 0 0 9 9 1 1 8 8
IS THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MONETARY POLICY AND HOUSE PRICES ASYMMETRIC IN SOUTH AFRICA? EVIDENCE FROM A MARKOV-SWITCHING VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL 0 0 0 20 3 4 8 251
Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity 0 0 0 18 1 1 1 64
Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity 0 1 3 20 0 2 11 119
Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity 0 0 0 7 0 0 2 69
Income Inequality and Economic Growth: A Re-Examination of Theory and Evidence 0 0 0 72 0 2 11 274
Inequality in Carbon Intensity in EU-28: Analysis Based on Club Convergence 0 0 0 19 0 1 3 60
Insurance-Growth Nexus in Africa 0 0 0 57 0 1 8 230
International Labour Force Participation Rates by Gender: Unit Root or Structural Breaks? 0 0 0 27 0 0 1 113
International Labour Force Participation Rates by Gender: Unit Root or Structural Breaks? 0 0 0 8 0 0 2 87
International Labour Force Participation Rates by Gender: Unit Root or Structural Breaks? 0 0 0 92 0 0 2 332
International Labour Force Participation Rates by Gender: Unit Root or Structural Breaks? 0 0 0 12 0 1 5 194
International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying? 0 0 0 28 0 0 7 152
International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying? 0 0 0 21 0 1 2 90
Is Wine a Safe-Haven? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test 0 0 0 22 0 0 2 108
Is the Rand Really Decoupled from Economic Fundamentals? 0 0 0 13 1 1 2 102
Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive mode 0 0 2 21 0 1 6 228
Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive mode 0 0 0 77 0 1 2 280
Kuznets Curve for the US: A Reconsideration Using Cosummability 0 0 0 46 0 0 2 131
LPPLS Bubble Indicators over Two Centuries of the S&P 500 Index 0 0 0 0 1 3 10 190
Linking U.S. State-Level Housing Market Returns and the Consumption-(Dis)Aggregate Wealth Ratio 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 16
Long- and Short-Run Relationships between House and Stock Prices in South Africa: A Nonparametric Approach 0 0 0 13 0 0 5 245
Military Expenditure, Economic Growth and Structural Instability: A Case Study of South Africa 0 0 0 12 1 1 6 216
Mortgage Default Risks and High-Frequency Predictability of the US Housing Market: A Reconsideration 0 0 0 22 0 0 2 53
Oil Price Uncertainty and Movements in the US Government Bond Risk Premia 0 0 0 15 1 2 6 85
Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data 1 1 15 15 3 6 17 17
On Exchange-Rate Movements and Gold-Price Fluctuations: Evidence for Gold-Producing Countries from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test 0 0 0 12 0 0 2 78
On the time-varying links between oil and gold: New insights from the rolling and recursive rolling approaches 0 0 0 52 0 0 9 147
Partisan Conflict and Income Distribution in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 81
Partisan Conflict and Income Distribution in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 0 12 1 1 2 54
Periodically Collapsing Bubbles in the South African Stock Market 0 0 0 26 3 6 11 137
Persistence in Precious Metal Prices: A Fractional Integration Approach with Structural Breaks 0 0 0 9 0 0 1 111
Persistence of precious metal prices: a fractional integration approach with structural breaks 0 0 3 10 1 1 7 65
Point Optimal Invariant Tests of a Unit Root in Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 6 0 1 7 72
Predicting BRICS Stock Returns Using ARFIMA Models 0 0 0 62 0 0 3 326
Predicting South African Equity Premium using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Indices: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Model 0 0 0 16 1 1 1 75
Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility with Investor Sentiment Indices: A Reconsideration using a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test 0 0 0 40 0 1 5 114
Quantile relationship between oil and stock returns: Evidence from emerging and frontier stock markets 0 0 0 41 0 0 7 146
Rare Disaster Risks and Gold over 700 Years: Evidence from Nonparametric Quantile Regressions 0 0 0 0 3 7 28 28
Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013 0 0 2 159 0 0 15 297
Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 191
Revisiting Herding Behavior in REITs: A Regime-Switching Approach 0 0 0 22 0 0 2 156
Revisiting Herding Behavior in REITs: A RegimeSwitching Approach 0 0 1 33 0 1 7 198
Revisiting the Causal Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach 0 0 0 0 2 4 5 150
Revisiting the Causality between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in South Africa: A Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 239
Risk Spillovers across the Energy and Carbon Markets and Hedging Strategies for Carbon Risk 0 0 3 38 0 6 25 255
Sources of Macroeconomic Fluctuations in MENA Countries 0 0 0 35 0 0 3 130
South African Stock Returns Predictability using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 0 14 0 0 2 95
Spillover Dynamics Across Price Inflation and Selected Agricultural Commodity Prices 1 1 1 18 1 3 6 65
Spillover of Mortgage Default Risks in the United States: Evidence from Metropolitan Statistical Areas and States 0 0 0 11 1 1 4 84
THE ROLE OF NEWS-BASED UNCERTAINTY INDICES IN PREDICTING OIL MARKETS: A HYBRID NONPARAMETRIC QUANTILE CAUSALITY METHOD 1 1 2 46 1 3 16 283
Temporal Causality between House Prices and Output in the U. S.: A Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach 0 0 0 15 1 1 3 181
Temporal Causality between House Prices and Output in the U.S.: A Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach 0 0 0 46 1 1 9 258
Terror Attacks and Stock-Market Fluctuations: Evidence Based on a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test for the G7 Countries 0 0 0 9 0 1 8 127
Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Pass-Through in BRICS Countries: Does the state of the economy matter? 0 0 3 59 0 0 15 165
Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions in South Africa: A Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach 0 0 2 25 2 3 14 187
Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions in South Africa: A Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach 0 0 0 76 0 1 10 356
Testing the Asymmetric Effects of Financial Conditions in South Africa: A Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Approach 0 1 2 32 0 2 9 184
The Causal Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling-Window Approach 0 0 0 577 1 5 20 1,233
The Co-Movement and Causality between the U.S. Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains 0 0 0 40 0 0 1 214
The Co-Movement and Causality between the U.S. Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains 0 0 1 54 0 0 3 106
The Co-Movement and Causality between the U.S. Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains 0 0 1 62 0 0 6 193
The Dynamics of Energy Intensity Convergence in the EU-28 Countries 0 2 4 50 1 3 11 150
The Effect of Gold Market Speculation on REIT Returns in South Africa: A Behavioral Perspective 0 0 0 5 0 1 3 138
The Effect of Investor Sentiment on Gold Market Dynamics 0 0 0 31 2 7 16 174
The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in South Africa under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model 0 0 0 48 2 3 10 221
The Growth-Inflation Nexus for the US over 1801-2013: A Semiparametric Approach 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 106
The Growth-Inflation Nexus for the US over 1801-2013: A Semiparametric Approach 0 0 0 56 0 0 2 77
The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes 0 0 0 9 0 2 16 80
The Links between Crude Oil Prices and GCC Stock Markets: Evidence from Time-Varying Granger Causality Tests 0 0 0 28 1 1 3 131
The Long-run Effect of Geopolitical Risks on Insurance Premiums 1 2 4 56 4 7 33 274
The Migration of Fear: An Analysis of Migration Choices of Syrian Refugees 0 0 4 99 1 1 15 296
The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US 0 0 0 57 0 0 3 161
The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US 0 1 1 57 0 1 12 165
The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US 0 0 0 39 1 2 4 93
The Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Non-Linear Models of Regional Housing Prices in the US 0 0 0 43 1 1 1 220
The Predictability of cay and cayMS for Stock and Housing Returns: A Nonparametric Causality in Quantile Test 0 0 0 23 0 0 1 96
The Predictive Power of the Term Spread on Inequality in the United Kingdom: An Empirical Analysis 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 38
The Relationship between Oil and Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Quantile Causality Approach 0 0 0 38 0 2 4 203
The Relationship between the Inflation Rate and Inequality across U.S. States: A Semiparametric Approach 0 1 2 27 0 3 6 86
The Relationship between the Inflation Rate and Inequality across US States: A Semiparametric Approach 0 0 0 24 0 0 2 140
The Risk Exposures of Safe Havens to Global and Regional Stock Market Shocks: A Novel Approach 0 0 0 8 1 1 5 52
The Role of Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainties in Predicting Stock Returns and their Volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 0 24 0 1 1 108
The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model 0 0 2 45 0 0 11 151
The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model 0 0 0 56 0 1 4 92
The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach 0 0 0 19 2 2 6 76
The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting U.S. Recessions: A Mixed-Frequency Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Approach 0 0 0 21 1 2 10 136
The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test 0 0 0 31 0 1 2 115
The Role of News-Based Uncertainty Indices in Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method 0 0 0 19 2 2 10 160
The South African Economic Response to Monetary Policy Uncertainty 0 0 0 61 0 0 2 84
The Synergistic Effect of Insurance and Banking Sector Activities on Economic Growth in Africa 0 0 0 41 1 1 7 140
The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis 1 1 2 95 1 2 17 380
The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis 0 0 0 38 0 0 3 135
The links between crude oil prices and GCC stock markets: Evidence from time-varying Granger causality tests 0 1 1 55 1 2 13 158
The nexus between the oil price and its volatility in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters 0 0 0 55 0 0 3 88
The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand 0 0 0 31 0 1 4 148
The renewable energy consumption and growth in the G-7 countries: Evidence from historical decomposition method 1 1 1 52 1 1 1 70
The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach 0 0 0 65 0 1 4 71
The volatility effect on precious metals prices in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters 0 0 4 69 1 1 17 264
Time-Varying Causality between Research Output and Economic Growth in the US 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 123
Time-Varying Evidence of Predictability of Financial Stress in the United States over a Century: The Role of Inequality 0 0 1 6 1 2 8 38
Time-Varying Impact of Pandemics on Global Output Growth 0 0 0 11 0 0 10 68
Time-Varying Linkages between Tourism Receipts and Economic Growth in South Africa 0 0 0 16 0 1 2 125
Time-Varying Relationship between Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies and Risk Aversion: International Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains 0 0 0 31 2 3 9 90
Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times 0 0 6 30 0 1 22 94
Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning 0 0 1 38 1 2 22 77
Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable? 0 0 0 81 0 0 2 155
Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable? 0 0 0 46 0 0 1 78
Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable? 0 0 0 71 0 0 0 182
Wealth-to-Income Ratio and Stock Market Movements: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality Test 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 64
What can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures tell us about Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 41
Total Working Papers 11 25 129 7,017 98 247 1,438 31,909


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparative Analysis of Productivity Growth, Catch-Up, and Convergence in Transition Economies 0 0 0 122 0 0 0 313
A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters 0 0 3 4 0 1 5 19
A regime-dependent assessment of the information transmission dynamics between oil prices, precious metal prices and exchange rates 1 1 2 18 1 6 20 119
A wavelet analysis of the relationship between oil and natural gas prices 0 0 4 20 0 0 9 67
Adversities in Syria and their relation to their physical and mental health conditions as Syrian refugees in Turkey 1 1 3 3 1 2 9 9
An in-sample and out-of-sample empirical investigation of the nonlinearity in house prices of South Africa 0 0 0 35 0 0 3 234
Analyzing South Africa’s inflation persistence using an ARFIMA model with Markov-switching fractional differencing parameter 0 0 0 15 0 0 2 72
Are long-run income and price elasticities of oil demand time-varying? New evidence from BRICS countries 1 1 2 2 1 1 8 20
Are there long-run diversification gains from the Dow Jones Islamic finance index? 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 61
Are there really bubbles in oil prices? 0 0 3 20 0 0 7 77
Asymmetric and Time-Varying Causality between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in G-7 Countries 1 1 3 32 1 1 6 95
Asymmetric effects of inequality on real output levels of the United States 0 1 2 7 0 1 8 36
Can debt ceiling and government shutdown predict us real stock returns? A bootstrap rolling window approach. - Gli effetti sui rendimenti azionari reali negli USA del tetto del debito pubblico e del blocco della spesa 0 0 0 16 0 0 1 112
Can economic policy uncertainty and investors sentiment predict commodities returns and volatility? 0 0 1 31 0 1 7 203
Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach 3 4 43 229 10 28 147 714
Causal Relationship between Asset Prices and Output in the United States: Evidence from the State-Level Panel Granger Causality Test 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 23
Causal effects of the United States and Japan on Pacific-Rim stock markets: nonparametric quantile causality approach 0 0 0 5 0 1 10 61
Causality Between Us Economic Policy and Equity Market Uncertainties: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
Causality between US economic policy and equity market uncertainties: Evidence from linear and nonlinear tests 0 1 2 30 0 2 3 108
Causality between exports and economic growth in South Africa: evidence from linear and nonlinear tests 0 3 5 168 2 8 27 473
Causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South Africa: Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model 0 0 2 38 0 3 11 163
Characterising the South African business cycle: is GDP difference-stationary or trend-stationary in a Markov-switching setup? - Il ciclo economico del Sud Africa: il PIL è stazion ario alle differenze o stazionario nel trend in un modello Markov-switching? 0 0 0 6 0 0 2 105
Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data 0 0 2 20 1 1 11 97
Comparing the forecasting ability of financial conditions indices: The case of South Africa 0 0 2 9 1 1 7 67
Credit ratings and predictability of stock return dynamics of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach 0 1 1 1 0 1 7 11
Crude Oil futures contracts and commodity markets: New evidence from a TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach 7 11 26 26 16 36 97 103
Current account sustainability in G7 and BRICS: Evidence from a long-memory model with structural breaks 0 0 3 14 0 0 4 68
Date-stamping US housing market explosivity 1 1 2 5 1 2 5 47
Did Baltic stock markets offer diversification benefits during the recent financial turmoil? Novel evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test 0 0 1 6 0 0 5 57
Differences of opinion and stock market volatility: evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach 0 0 0 4 0 0 5 39
Distribution specific dependence and causality between industry-level U.S. credit and stock markets 0 0 2 9 1 2 5 49
Do Sustainable Stocks Offer Diversification Benefits for Conventional Portfolios? An Empirical Analysis of Risk Spillovers and Dynamic Correlations 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 80
Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test 0 0 0 6 1 1 4 52
Do oil prices and exchange rates account for agricultural commodity market spillovers? Evidence from the Diebold and Yilmaz Index 0 0 1 5 1 1 7 19
Do precious metal prices help in forecasting South African inflation? 0 0 0 2 0 1 4 49
Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test 0 1 8 74 3 5 25 278
Does country risks predict stock returns and volatility? Evidence from a nonparametric approach 0 0 3 11 0 0 6 61
Does inflation cause gold market price changes? evidence on the G7 countries from the tests of nonparametric quantile causality in mean and variance 0 0 2 7 0 1 6 53
Does institutional trading drive commodities prices away from their fundamentals: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test 0 0 1 8 0 1 2 31
Does oil predict gold? A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach 0 0 5 17 0 0 11 89
Does speculation in the oil market drive investor herding in emerging stock markets? 1 2 7 20 1 5 14 107
Does uncertainty move the gold price? New evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test 0 2 8 43 0 3 20 128
Dynamic Relationship Between Oil Price And Inflation In South Africa 1 1 5 56 2 2 8 168
Dynamic return and volatility spillovers among S&P 500, crude oil, and gold 0 2 3 7 2 4 12 24
Economic growth and energy consumption causal nexus viewed through a bootstrap rolling window 3 7 23 187 4 10 48 517
Effect of Global Shocks and Volatility on Herd Behavior in an Emerging Market: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul 0 0 1 3 1 1 4 26
Effectiveness of Inflation Targeting in Turkey 0 0 1 68 0 0 4 177
Effectiveness of monetary policy under the high and low economic uncertainty states: evidence from the major Asian economies 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
Effects of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency and emerging market connectedness: Empirical evidence from quantile, frequency, and lasso networks 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
El Niño, La Niña, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements 0 1 1 2 1 2 3 7
EuroConference 2013 Symposium: International Conference on Business, Economics and Finance 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 41
Evolution of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the US: the Role of Asset Returns 0 0 0 13 0 0 3 80
Evolving United States stock market volatility: The role of conventional and unconventional monetary policies 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 3
Examining the Effect of Globalization on Insurance Activities in Large Emerging Market Economies 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 39
Examining the interactive growth effect of development aid and institutional quality in Sub-Saharan Africa 1 1 1 6 1 1 4 18
Exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries: Evidence from the spillover index and rolling-sample analysis 1 1 6 6 1 2 12 23
Fed’s unconventional monetary policy and risk spillover in the US financial markets 0 0 4 6 2 3 16 39
Financial integration in small Islands: The case of Cyprus 0 0 1 18 0 0 2 54
Firm-level political risk and asymmetric volatility 0 1 2 6 0 2 12 38
Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices 0 0 0 13 0 1 1 31
Flexible Time-Varying Betas in a Novel Mixture Innovation Factor Model with Latent Threshold 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 11
Forecasting Nevada gross gaming revenue and taxable sales using coincident and leading employment indexes 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 114
Forecasting South African inflation using non-linearmodels: a weighted loss-based evaluation 0 0 1 11 0 0 2 54
Forecasting South African macroeconomic variables with a Markov-switching small open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model 0 2 5 40 2 5 13 150
Forecasting US real private residential fixed investment using a large number of predictors 0 0 0 12 1 7 11 90
Forecasting aggregate retail sales: The case of South Africa 1 2 3 20 1 3 13 115
Forecasting core inflation: the case of South Africa 0 0 1 4 0 0 1 20
Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model 0 3 11 69 2 11 35 234
Geopolitical risks and stock market dynamics of the BRICS 3 7 22 81 4 14 58 333
Global risk exposures and industry diversification with Shariah-compliant equity sectors 0 0 3 14 0 0 4 70
Herding behavior in real estate markets: Novel evidence from a Markov-switching model 0 0 0 15 2 2 6 64
High-Frequency Predictability of Housing Market Movements of the United States: The Role of Economic Sentiment 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 4
Housing and the Great Depression 0 0 1 10 2 3 17 109
Housing and the business cycle in South Africa 0 0 1 21 0 1 6 124
Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty: A GMM panel VAR approach 0 2 13 13 0 4 37 37
INTERNATIONAL LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATES BY GENDER: UNIT ROOT OR STRUCTURAL BREAKS? 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 68
IS WINE A SAFE-HAVEN? EVIDENCE FROM A NONPARAMETRIC CAUSALITY-IN-QUANTILES TEST 0 0 4 17 1 1 16 75
Impact of macroeconomic factors and country risk ratings on GCC stock markets: evidence from a dynamic panel threshold model with regime switching 0 0 1 16 0 0 5 53
Income inequality and economic growth: A re‐examination of theory and evidence 0 0 4 7 0 0 15 26
Insurance and economic policy uncertainty 0 4 14 22 1 9 43 88
Insurance-growth nexus in Africa 0 0 3 10 1 5 17 60
Interactions between real economic and financial sides of the US economy in a regime-switching environment 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 39
International stock return predictability: Is the role of U.S. time-varying? 0 0 1 10 0 0 4 59
Investor herds and regime-switching: Evidence from Gulf Arab stock markets 2 2 4 65 4 6 17 236
Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model 1 1 5 66 1 1 9 238
Is there a role for Islamic bonds in global diversification strategies? 0 0 1 11 0 0 3 52
Kuznets Curve for the US: A Reconsideration Using Cosummability 0 0 1 11 0 1 5 59
LPPLS bubble indicators over two centuries of the S&P 500 index 0 1 3 18 0 4 8 75
Linking U.S. State-level housing market returns, and the consumption-(Dis)Aggregate wealth ratio 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 22
Long memory, economic policy uncertainty and forecasting US inflation: a Bayesian VARFIMA approach 1 2 2 9 2 5 9 46
Military expenditure, economic growth and structural instability: a case study of South Africa 0 0 0 25 0 0 2 115
Modelling the Dynamic Interaction between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Commodity Prices in India: The Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach 0 0 6 6 1 1 13 13
Modelling the employment, income and price elasticities of outbound tourism demand in OECD countries 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 5
Moving out of the linear rut: A period-specific and regime-dependent exchange rate and oil price pass-through in the BRICS countries 0 0 2 3 1 1 18 28
Multifractality of the Istanbul and Moscow Stock Market Returns 0 0 0 45 1 1 2 193
Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia 0 0 1 7 1 3 15 97
On exchange-rate movements and gold-price fluctuations: evidence for gold-producing countries from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test 1 1 1 8 1 1 5 54
On the Determinants of Green Technology Diffusion: An Empirical Analysis of Economic, Social, Political, and Environmental Factors 1 1 2 2 2 5 16 16
On the Dynamic Connectedness of the Stock, Oil, Clean Energy, and Technology Markets 0 1 2 2 1 3 11 11
On the Nonlinear Causality Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the G3 Countries 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
On the nexus among carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in G-7 countries: new insights from the historical decomposition approach 0 0 1 5 0 0 5 35
On the nonlinear causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the G3 countries 0 0 0 83 0 0 1 216
On the risk spillover across the oil market, stock market, and the oil related CDS sectors: A volatility impulse response approach 0 1 5 19 0 1 10 105
On the time‐varying links between oil and gold: New insights from the rolling and recursive rolling approaches 0 0 1 12 0 0 7 54
Openness and financial development: time series evidence for Turkey 0 0 0 44 2 2 5 136
PREDICTING STOCK RETURNS AND VOLATILITY WITH INVESTOR SENTIMENT INDICES: A RECONSIDERATION USING A NONPARAMETRIC CAUSALITY†IN†QUANTILES TEST 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 26
Partisan Conflict and Income Inequality in the United States: A Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach 0 0 1 30 0 1 18 132
Periodically collapsing bubbles in the South African stock market 1 1 2 16 1 2 6 86
Persistence in Inflation: Does Aggregation Cause Long Memory? 0 0 1 43 0 0 2 135
Persistence of precious metal prices: A fractional integration approach with structural breaks 0 0 1 16 0 1 7 96
Predicting BRICS stock returns using ARFIMA models 0 0 1 54 0 1 4 160
Quantile relationship between oil and stock returns: Evidence from emerging and frontier stock markets 0 0 3 7 1 2 9 38
Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013 1 1 6 86 2 3 25 290
Regional and global spillovers and diversification opportunities in the GCC equity sectors 1 1 2 14 1 2 6 78
Revisiting the Exchange Rate Pass‐Through to Inflation in Africa’s Two Largest Economies: Nigeria and South Africa 1 2 2 8 1 4 7 34
Revisiting the causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in South Africa: a bootstrap rolling-window approach 0 0 0 29 0 0 7 110
Risk spillovers across the energy and carbon markets and hedging strategies for carbon risk 0 0 0 19 5 9 21 119
Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets 0 1 5 5 1 3 17 18
South Africa’s economic response to monetary policy uncertainty 0 0 1 13 0 0 7 47
Spillover dynamics across price inflation and selected agricultural commodity prices 0 0 0 1 1 1 7 17
Spillover effects in oil-related CDS markets during and after the sub-prime crisis 0 0 4 6 1 1 10 16
Spillover of mortgage default risks in the United States: Evidence from metropolitan statistical areas and states 0 0 1 3 0 0 2 13
Structural Breaks, Long Memory, or Unit Roots in Stock Prices: Evidence from Emerging Markets 0 0 2 57 0 0 5 201
THE EFFECTS OF FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT ON INVESTMENT IN TURKEY 1 1 3 12 1 1 7 41
Temporal causality between house prices and output in the US: A bootstrap rolling-window approach 0 0 1 16 1 1 9 118
Terorizmin Turkiye Finansal Piyasalari Uzerine Etkisi: Ampirik Bir Calisma 0 0 1 15 1 3 4 64
Terror attacks and stock-market fluctuations: evidence based on a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test for the G7 countries 0 0 0 3 0 2 6 35
Testing the asymmetric effects of exchange rate pass‐through in BRICS countries: Does the state of the economy matter? 0 1 1 6 0 1 7 23
Testing the asymmetric effects of financial conditions in South Africa: A nonlinear vector autoregression approach 0 1 4 22 0 2 12 99
Testing the dependency theory on small island economies: The case of Cyprus 0 2 4 67 1 6 19 268
The COVID-19 effects on agricultural commodity markets 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2
The Causal Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach 0 0 5 82 1 1 14 250
The Effect of Global Shocks and Volatility on Herd Behavior in Borsa Istanbul 1 1 1 28 2 10 21 145
The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy In South Africa Under Inflation Targeting: Evidence from a Time-Varying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model 1 5 9 64 5 19 46 337
The Growth-Inflation Nexus for the U.S. from 1801 to 2013: A Semiparametric Approach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
The Impact of Energy Market Uncertainty Shocks on Energy Transition in Europe 1 1 1 36 2 2 7 111
The Impact of Oil Price on South African GDP Growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis 0 1 1 11 0 1 3 72
The Long-Run and Short-Run Exchange Rate Pass-Through during the Period of Economic Reforms in Nigeria: Is it Complete or Incomplete? 0 1 8 31 3 10 34 138
The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach 1 1 3 3 2 2 7 7
The Time-Varying Effect of Asset Prices on Turkey’s Circular Economy 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6
The causal nexus between oil prices and equity market in the U.S.: A regime switching model 0 1 5 91 0 1 11 344
The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains 0 1 5 35 0 2 19 131
The dynamic response of the rand real exchange rate to fundamental shocks 0 1 1 5 0 2 3 30
The effect of global and regional stock market shocks on safe haven assets 0 0 3 6 0 0 6 16
The effect of gold market speculation on REIT returns in South Africa: a behavioral perspective 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 45
The effect of investor sentiment on gold market return dynamics: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach 0 0 2 37 0 2 8 119
The export-output growth nexus in Japan: a bootstrap rolling window approach 0 0 3 54 1 2 10 253
The growth-inflation nexus for the U.S. from 1801 to 2013: A semiparametric approach 0 0 1 19 1 1 3 66
The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area 0 1 9 30 0 6 29 133
The impact of oil prices on the stock returns in Turkey: A TVP-VAR approach 1 2 10 36 3 6 28 103
The investment volatility-dampening role of foreign aid in poor sub-Saharan African countries 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
The migration of fear: An analysis of migration choices of Syrian refugees 1 1 10 18 2 4 26 74
The nexus between the oil price and its volatility risk in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 30
The out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear models of real exchange rate behaviour: The case of the South African Rand 0 0 1 31 0 0 3 124
The out-of-sample forecasting performance of nonlinear models of regional housing prices in the US 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 11
The predictive power of the term spread on inequality in the United Kingdom: An empirical analysis 0 1 2 2 0 2 5 5
The relationship between oil and agricultural commodity prices in South Africa: A quantile causality approach 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 24
The relationship between oil and agricultural commodity prices in south africa: a quantile causality approach 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 66
The relationship between the inflation rate and inequality across U.S. states: a semiparametric approach 0 1 5 13 1 5 29 98
The renewable energy consumption and growth in the G-7 countries: Evidence from historical decomposition method 0 0 2 14 1 2 8 67
The role of economic and financial uncertainties in predicting commodity futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test 0 0 1 11 0 1 4 72
The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea 0 0 3 24 0 0 17 136
The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach 0 1 4 21 1 3 13 101
The role of news-based uncertainty indices in predicting oil markets: a hybrid nonparametric quantile causality method 2 2 8 32 4 7 23 114
The synergistic effect of insurance and banking sector activities on economic growth in Africa 0 0 0 14 2 2 9 121
The time-varying causality between spot and futures crude oil prices: A regime switching approach 0 0 2 26 0 1 5 134
The volatility effect on precious metals price returns in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters 0 0 1 4 0 0 2 29
Time-varying causality between research output and economic growth in US 0 0 1 6 1 1 5 39
Time-varying evidence of predictability of financial stress in the United States over a century: The role of inequality 0 0 3 4 0 0 9 16
Time-varying impact of pandemics on global output growth 0 0 4 6 0 0 9 18
Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in South Africa 0 0 1 17 1 1 4 95
Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in a small open economy 1 2 6 73 2 3 20 286
Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in a small open economy 0 0 0 41 0 2 9 180
Time-varying relationship between conventional and unconventional monetary policies and risk aversion: international evidence from time- and frequency-domains 1 1 2 2 1 1 9 9
Turkiye’nin Ihracat Performansi: Ihracat Hacminin Temel Belirleyicilerinin Incelenmesi (1995-2012) 0 2 3 30 0 2 7 149
U.S. monetary policy and the predictability of global economic synchronization patterns 0 2 2 2 0 4 4 4
Uncertainty and forecastability of regional output growth in the UK: Evidence from machine learning 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable? 0 0 1 17 0 1 4 101
Wealth‐to‐Income Ratio and Stock Market Movements: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality Test 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 23
What Can Fifty-Two Collateralizable Wealth Measures Tell Us About Future Housing Market Returns? Evidence from U.S. State-Level Data 0 0 2 4 0 0 4 15
What drives herding in oil-rich, developing stock markets? Relative roles of own volatility and global factors 0 0 2 25 3 3 13 116
‘Ripple’ Effects in South African House Prices 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 22
Total Journal Articles 52 120 506 3,990 158 414 1,902 16,527


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