| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
47 |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
118 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil |
0 |
0 |
3 |
56 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
174 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil |
0 |
0 |
2 |
38 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
99 |
| A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
105 |
| A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
235 |
| Advances in Structural Vector Autoregressions with Imperfect Identifying Information |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
25 |
| Advances in Using Vector Autoregressions to Estimate Structural Magnitudes |
0 |
1 |
3 |
37 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
78 |
| Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
114 |
| Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
207 |
| Are There Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
135 |
| Are product spreads useful for forecasting? An empirical evaluation of the Verleger hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
154 |
| Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
87 |
| Changes in the Effects of Monetary Policy on Disaggregate Price Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
199 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
418 |
| Changes in the transmission of monetary policy: evidence from a time-varying factor-augmented VAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
425 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
48 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
53 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
59 |
| Did the renewable fuel standard shift market expectations of the price of ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
35 |
| Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
110 |
| Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
211 |
| Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
| Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
86 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
181 |
| Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? The MIDAS touch at work |
0 |
1 |
1 |
100 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
252 |
| Do oil price increases cause higher food prices? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
141 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
281 |
| Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
55 |
| Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
123 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
1 |
1 |
40 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
109 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
1 |
2 |
5 |
79 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
181 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
2 |
7 |
18 |
4 |
9 |
31 |
76 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
1 |
2 |
5 |
28 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
184 |
| Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time |
10 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
7 |
15 |
20 |
20 |
| Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
346 |
| Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach |
0 |
0 |
2 |
74 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
171 |
| Forecasting the real price of oil in a changing world: A forecast combination approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
137 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
350 |
| Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us |
0 |
0 |
0 |
209 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
297 |
| Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us |
2 |
4 |
7 |
109 |
2 |
8 |
25 |
361 |
| Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us |
1 |
1 |
1 |
115 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
171 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions When the Identifying Assumptions are Not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
49 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions When the Identifying Assumptions are Not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
101 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions when the Identifying Assumptions are not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
1 |
2 |
49 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
69 |
| Inference in structural vector auto regressions when the identifying assumptions are not fully believed: Re-evaluating the role of monetary policy in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
51 |
| Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
178 |
| Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
107 |
| Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
158 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
87 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
105 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
| Liquidity, Inflation and Asset Prices in a Time-Varying Framework for the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
152 |
| Liquidity, inflation and asset prices in a time-varying framework for the euro area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
226 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
546 |
| Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
153 |
| Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is this Time Different? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
95 |
2 |
3 |
16 |
230 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
21 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
32 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
31 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
3 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
78 |
| Pandemic, War, Inflation: Oil Markets at a Crossroads? |
1 |
1 |
6 |
30 |
3 |
4 |
17 |
61 |
| Pandemic, War, Inflation: Oil Markets at a Crossroads? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios |
0 |
0 |
4 |
129 |
2 |
8 |
15 |
283 |
| Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios |
0 |
0 |
1 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
304 |
| Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil |
2 |
3 |
14 |
174 |
6 |
10 |
41 |
447 |
| Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil |
1 |
1 |
3 |
123 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
255 |
| Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
| Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
0 |
0 |
11 |
11 |
1 |
3 |
28 |
28 |
| Sign Restrictions, Structural Vector Autoregressions, and Useful Prior Information |
0 |
0 |
3 |
152 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
325 |
| Sources of the Volatility Puzzle in the Crude Oil Market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
246 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
526 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Deman |
0 |
0 |
1 |
36 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
74 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks |
0 |
1 |
4 |
78 |
2 |
4 |
12 |
159 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks |
0 |
1 |
1 |
51 |
2 |
4 |
11 |
131 |
| The Economic Consequences of Oil Shocks: Differences Across Countries and Time |
0 |
1 |
2 |
137 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
330 |
| The Role of Time-Varying Price Elasticities in Accounting for Volatility Changes in the Crude Oil Market |
0 |
0 |
2 |
290 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
721 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the U.S. Economy |
1 |
1 |
7 |
202 |
3 |
4 |
22 |
729 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
467 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1,415 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
287 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
1 |
1 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
42 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
| Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions |
0 |
0 |
2 |
18 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
53 |
| Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
38 |
| Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Great Recession: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of a Spread Compression at the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
0 |
323 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
1,072 |
| Unconventional monetary policy and the great recession - Estimating the impact of a compression in the yield spread at the zero lower bound |
1 |
1 |
1 |
386 |
2 |
3 |
11 |
990 |
| Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
233 |
3 |
6 |
26 |
476 |
| Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
133 |
0 |
2 |
22 |
319 |
| Understanding the decline in the price of oil since June 2014 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
315 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
552 |
| What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
169 |
0 |
5 |
12 |
413 |
| What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices |
1 |
1 |
2 |
109 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
190 |
| Total Working Papers |
24 |
47 |
155 |
7,609 |
72 |
164 |
566 |
18,904 |
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