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A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
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0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
51 |
A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
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0 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
46 |
A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil |
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0 |
1 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
118 |
A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil |
1 |
1 |
2 |
38 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
98 |
A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil |
1 |
1 |
3 |
55 |
2 |
2 |
11 |
171 |
A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth |
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0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
105 |
A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil |
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0 |
0 |
95 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
233 |
Advances in Structural Vector Autoregressions with Imperfect Identifying Information |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
23 |
Advances in Using Vector Autoregressions to Estimate Structural Magnitudes |
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1 |
1 |
35 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
74 |
Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis |
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0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
113 |
Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis |
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0 |
1 |
62 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
207 |
Are There Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? |
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0 |
1 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
135 |
Are product spreads useful for forecasting? An empirical evaluation of the Verleger hypothesis |
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0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
85 |
Changes in the Effects of Monetary Policy on Disaggregate Price Dynamics |
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0 |
0 |
199 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
417 |
Changes in the transmission of monetary policy: evidence from a time-varying factor-augmented VAR |
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0 |
0 |
197 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
425 |
Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
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0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
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0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
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0 |
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11 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
53 |
Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
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0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
Did the renewable fuel standard shift market expectations of the price of ethanol? |
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0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
35 |
Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work |
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32 |
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0 |
4 |
109 |
Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work |
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0 |
2 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
210 |
Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? |
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0 |
1 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
178 |
Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? |
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0 |
1 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
153 |
Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? The MIDAS touch at work |
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0 |
0 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
250 |
Do oil price increases cause higher food prices? |
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0 |
1 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
279 |
Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions |
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0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
123 |
Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions |
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0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
54 |
Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
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2 |
4 |
26 |
2 |
4 |
13 |
182 |
Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
3 |
5 |
16 |
2 |
11 |
25 |
66 |
Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
1 |
7 |
77 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
177 |
Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
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0 |
0 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
108 |
Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach |
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0 |
2 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
170 |
Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach |
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0 |
0 |
163 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
344 |
Forecasting the real price of oil in a changing world: A forecast combination approach |
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0 |
0 |
137 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
348 |
Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us |
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0 |
1 |
209 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
296 |
Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us |
1 |
1 |
2 |
103 |
2 |
7 |
17 |
347 |
Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us |
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0 |
1 |
114 |
4 |
5 |
9 |
170 |
Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions When the Identifying Assumptions are Not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role |
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0 |
0 |
61 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
48 |
Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions When the Identifying Assumptions are Not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Fluctuations |
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0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
100 |
Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions when the Identifying Assumptions are not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
67 |
Inference in structural vector auto regressions when the identifying assumptions are not fully believed: Re-evaluating the role of monetary policy in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
51 |
Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump |
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0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
176 |
Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
107 |
Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump |
0 |
0 |
1 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
158 |
Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
103 |
Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
86 |
Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
66 |
Liquidity, Inflation and Asset Prices in a Time-Varying Framework for the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
151 |
Liquidity, inflation and asset prices in a time-varying framework for the euro area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
226 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
543 |
Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
151 |
Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is this Time Different? |
0 |
2 |
4 |
95 |
1 |
6 |
16 |
227 |
Measuring Market Expectations |
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0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
21 |
Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
6 |
28 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
77 |
Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
31 |
Pandemic, War, Inflation: Oil Markets at a Crossroads? |
0 |
2 |
13 |
29 |
0 |
2 |
36 |
56 |
Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
303 |
Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios |
0 |
1 |
4 |
129 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
274 |
Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil |
1 |
3 |
12 |
169 |
5 |
10 |
36 |
434 |
Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil |
0 |
1 |
2 |
122 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
252 |
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
1 |
4 |
11 |
11 |
2 |
10 |
25 |
25 |
Sign Restrictions, Structural Vector Autoregressions, and Useful Prior Information |
0 |
0 |
3 |
152 |
0 |
4 |
13 |
324 |
Sources of the Volatility Puzzle in the Crude Oil Market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
246 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
525 |
Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Deman |
0 |
1 |
1 |
36 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
73 |
Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
126 |
Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks |
0 |
1 |
5 |
77 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
155 |
The Economic Consequences of Oil Shocks: Differences Across Countries and Time |
0 |
0 |
1 |
136 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
325 |
The Role of Time-Varying Price Elasticities in Accounting for Volatility Changes in the Crude Oil Market |
1 |
1 |
1 |
289 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
716 |
Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the U.S. Economy |
2 |
4 |
7 |
201 |
4 |
9 |
20 |
724 |
Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
286 |
Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy |
0 |
1 |
1 |
467 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
1,415 |
Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
40 |
Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
17 |
Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions |
0 |
0 |
6 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
51 |
Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
38 |
Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Great Recession: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of a Spread Compression at the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
5 |
323 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
1,070 |
Unconventional monetary policy and the great recession - Estimating the impact of a compression in the yield spread at the zero lower bound |
0 |
0 |
1 |
385 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
987 |
Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
231 |
1 |
8 |
15 |
464 |
Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
130 |
0 |
4 |
20 |
313 |
Understanding the decline in the price of oil since June 2014 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
314 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
551 |
What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices |
0 |
0 |
3 |
169 |
3 |
4 |
13 |
408 |
What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices |
0 |
1 |
2 |
108 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
189 |
Total Working Papers |
9 |
36 |
143 |
7,549 |
45 |
135 |
546 |
18,691 |