| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
4 |
17 |
68 |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
58 |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
1 |
4 |
14 |
52 |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
118 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil |
1 |
1 |
1 |
29 |
2 |
3 |
16 |
134 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil |
1 |
2 |
3 |
41 |
3 |
7 |
28 |
127 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
2 |
4 |
21 |
195 |
| A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
245 |
| Advances in Structural Vector Autoregressions with Imperfect Identifying Information |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
32 |
| Advances in Using Vector Autoregressions to Estimate Structural Magnitudes |
0 |
1 |
1 |
39 |
0 |
5 |
13 |
93 |
| Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
6 |
17 |
132 |
| Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
63 |
1 |
8 |
17 |
225 |
| Are There Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? |
0 |
1 |
2 |
50 |
2 |
10 |
19 |
158 |
| Are product spreads useful for forecasting? An empirical evaluation of the Verleger hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
5 |
20 |
175 |
| Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
30 |
2 |
4 |
19 |
107 |
| Changes in the Effects of Monetary Policy on Disaggregate Price Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
199 |
3 |
5 |
20 |
438 |
| Changes in the transmission of monetary policy: evidence from a time-varying factor-augmented VAR |
0 |
1 |
2 |
199 |
1 |
4 |
12 |
437 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
4 |
10 |
69 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
50 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
57 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
59 |
| Did the renewable fuel standard shift market expectations of the price of ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
4 |
21 |
56 |
| Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work |
0 |
1 |
1 |
67 |
0 |
7 |
24 |
235 |
| Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
3 |
118 |
228 |
| Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
7 |
39 |
69 |
254 |
| Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
49 |
1 |
12 |
22 |
175 |
| Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? The MIDAS touch at work |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
2 |
2 |
17 |
269 |
| Do oil price increases cause higher food prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
3 |
15 |
73 |
354 |
| Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
5 |
30 |
86 |
| Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
3 |
33 |
156 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
82 |
0 |
7 |
31 |
216 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
2 |
6 |
17 |
204 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
5 |
13 |
91 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
3 |
10 |
56 |
166 |
| Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time |
0 |
1 |
5 |
19 |
1 |
7 |
53 |
77 |
| Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach |
1 |
2 |
3 |
166 |
2 |
7 |
30 |
379 |
| Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
75 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
190 |
| Forecasting the real price of oil in a changing world: A forecast combination approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
138 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
365 |
| Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us |
0 |
0 |
0 |
209 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
311 |
| Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us |
1 |
2 |
6 |
118 |
3 |
15 |
53 |
433 |
| Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us |
1 |
1 |
1 |
117 |
1 |
8 |
25 |
197 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions When the Identifying Assumptions are Not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role |
0 |
0 |
1 |
62 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
68 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions When the Identifying Assumptions are Not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
115 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions when the Identifying Assumptions are not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
0 |
4 |
21 |
93 |
| Inference in structural vector auto regressions when the identifying assumptions are not fully believed: Re-evaluating the role of monetary policy in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
1 |
6 |
12 |
63 |
| Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump |
0 |
1 |
1 |
49 |
0 |
5 |
29 |
207 |
| Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump |
0 |
0 |
1 |
37 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
120 |
| Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
170 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
93 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
1 |
10 |
17 |
84 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
120 |
| Liquidity, Inflation and Asset Prices in a Time-Varying Framework for the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
1 |
59 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
162 |
| Liquidity, inflation and asset prices in a time-varying framework for the euro area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
226 |
0 |
5 |
14 |
561 |
| Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
78 |
2 |
8 |
20 |
173 |
| Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is this Time Different? |
0 |
1 |
3 |
98 |
2 |
10 |
21 |
252 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
11 |
26 |
58 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
18 |
1 |
5 |
17 |
48 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
91 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
16 |
37 |
| Pandemic, War, Inflation: Oil Markets at a Crossroads? |
0 |
2 |
5 |
35 |
2 |
10 |
25 |
91 |
| Pandemic, War, Inflation: Oil Markets at a Crossroads? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
18 |
21 |
| Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
313 |
| Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios |
0 |
0 |
4 |
135 |
1 |
13 |
29 |
317 |
| Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil |
0 |
0 |
0 |
123 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
264 |
| Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil |
0 |
1 |
5 |
183 |
1 |
13 |
50 |
507 |
| Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
0 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
0 |
7 |
33 |
37 |
| Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
42 |
| Sign Restrictions, Structural Vector Autoregressions, and Useful Prior Information |
0 |
0 |
1 |
154 |
0 |
9 |
29 |
357 |
| Sources of the Volatility Puzzle in the Crude Oil Market |
0 |
0 |
3 |
249 |
1 |
1 |
24 |
551 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Deman |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
2 |
5 |
21 |
97 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks |
3 |
3 |
4 |
55 |
6 |
14 |
51 |
182 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks |
0 |
2 |
5 |
83 |
1 |
4 |
27 |
187 |
| The Economic Consequences of Oil Shocks: Differences Across Countries and Time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
138 |
0 |
5 |
13 |
347 |
| The Role of Time-Varying Price Elasticities in Accounting for Volatility Changes in the Crude Oil Market |
0 |
2 |
3 |
294 |
1 |
11 |
31 |
754 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the U.S. Economy |
0 |
0 |
4 |
208 |
1 |
27 |
50 |
789 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy |
1 |
1 |
1 |
76 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
299 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy |
0 |
2 |
2 |
469 |
8 |
34 |
44 |
1,462 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
3 |
3 |
87 |
131 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
2 |
10 |
42 |
85 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
6 |
17 |
45 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
4 |
12 |
29 |
| Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
2 |
9 |
20 |
74 |
| Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
30 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
50 |
| Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Great Recession: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of a Spread Compression at the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
3 |
326 |
2 |
5 |
28 |
1,101 |
| Unconventional monetary policy and the great recession - Estimating the impact of a compression in the yield spread at the zero lower bound |
0 |
0 |
1 |
387 |
0 |
2 |
19 |
1,011 |
| Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
144 |
0 |
10 |
38 |
362 |
| Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
235 |
3 |
8 |
55 |
537 |
| Understanding the decline in the price of oil since June 2014 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
317 |
0 |
5 |
25 |
580 |
| What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
170 |
0 |
13 |
26 |
442 |
| What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices |
0 |
1 |
1 |
111 |
1 |
6 |
18 |
209 |
| Total Working Papers |
10 |
35 |
107 |
7,751 |
100 |
588 |
2,204 |
21,259 |
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