| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
47 |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
| A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
118 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil |
0 |
0 |
3 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
174 |
| A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil |
0 |
0 |
2 |
38 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
99 |
| A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
106 |
| A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
236 |
| Advances in Structural Vector Autoregressions with Imperfect Identifying Information |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
25 |
| Advances in Using Vector Autoregressions to Estimate Structural Magnitudes |
0 |
0 |
3 |
37 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
79 |
| Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
115 |
| Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
207 |
| Are There Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? |
1 |
1 |
1 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
137 |
| Are product spreads useful for forecasting? An empirical evaluation of the Verleger hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
154 |
| Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
88 |
| Changes in the Effects of Monetary Policy on Disaggregate Price Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
199 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
418 |
| Changes in the transmission of monetary policy: evidence from a time-varying factor-augmented VAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
425 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
49 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
59 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
53 |
| Did the Renewable Fuel Standard Shift Market Expectations of the Price of Ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
| Did the renewable fuel standard shift market expectations of the price of ethanol? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
35 |
| Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
110 |
| Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
211 |
| Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
86 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
183 |
| Do Oil Price Increases Cause Higher Food Prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
| Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? The MIDAS touch at work |
0 |
0 |
1 |
100 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
252 |
| Do oil price increases cause higher food prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
281 |
| Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
123 |
| Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
55 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
109 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
1 |
2 |
5 |
29 |
2 |
4 |
12 |
187 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
1 |
3 |
6 |
81 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
185 |
| Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
6 |
18 |
0 |
5 |
29 |
77 |
| Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time |
0 |
11 |
14 |
14 |
0 |
9 |
22 |
22 |
| Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach |
0 |
0 |
2 |
74 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
172 |
| Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
346 |
| Forecasting the real price of oil in a changing world: A forecast combination approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
137 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
350 |
| Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us |
0 |
0 |
0 |
209 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
298 |
| Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us |
1 |
4 |
9 |
111 |
3 |
14 |
35 |
373 |
| Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us |
0 |
2 |
2 |
116 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
172 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions When the Identifying Assumptions are Not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
50 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions When the Identifying Assumptions are Not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
103 |
| Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions when the Identifying Assumptions are not Fully Believed: Re-evaluating the Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
1 |
3 |
50 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
70 |
| Inference in structural vector auto regressions when the identifying assumptions are not fully believed: Re-evaluating the role of monetary policy in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51 |
| Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
178 |
| Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
107 |
| Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump |
1 |
1 |
1 |
66 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
159 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
67 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
87 |
| Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
105 |
| Liquidity, Inflation and Asset Prices in a Time-Varying Framework for the Euro Area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
152 |
| Liquidity, inflation and asset prices in a time-varying framework for the euro area |
0 |
0 |
0 |
226 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
547 |
| Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
153 |
| Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is this Time Different? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
95 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
230 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
79 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
31 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
21 |
| Measuring Market Expectations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
32 |
| Pandemic, War, Inflation: Oil Markets at a Crossroads? |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
| Pandemic, War, Inflation: Oil Markets at a Crossroads? |
0 |
1 |
6 |
30 |
2 |
7 |
17 |
65 |
| Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios |
0 |
0 |
1 |
104 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
305 |
| Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios |
1 |
1 |
4 |
130 |
2 |
5 |
16 |
286 |
| Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil |
0 |
1 |
2 |
123 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
255 |
| Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil |
2 |
4 |
13 |
176 |
6 |
12 |
40 |
453 |
| Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
| Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
1 |
1 |
12 |
12 |
1 |
2 |
29 |
29 |
| Sign Restrictions, Structural Vector Autoregressions, and Useful Prior Information |
1 |
1 |
1 |
153 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
327 |
| Sources of the Volatility Puzzle in the Crude Oil Market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
246 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
527 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Deman |
0 |
0 |
1 |
36 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
76 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks |
0 |
0 |
2 |
78 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
160 |
| Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
131 |
| The Economic Consequences of Oil Shocks: Differences Across Countries and Time |
1 |
1 |
2 |
138 |
3 |
4 |
11 |
334 |
| The Role of Time-Varying Price Elasticities in Accounting for Volatility Changes in the Crude Oil Market |
1 |
1 |
3 |
291 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
722 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the U.S. Economy |
0 |
2 |
8 |
203 |
1 |
10 |
25 |
736 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
287 |
| Time-Varying Effects of Oil Supply Shocks on the US Economy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
467 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
1,417 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
43 |
| Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
| Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
53 |
| Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
39 |
| Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Great Recession: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of a Spread Compression at the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
0 |
323 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
1,073 |
| Unconventional monetary policy and the great recession - Estimating the impact of a compression in the yield spread at the zero lower bound |
0 |
1 |
1 |
386 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
991 |
| Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
134 |
2 |
4 |
25 |
323 |
| Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
233 |
1 |
8 |
29 |
481 |
| Understanding the decline in the price of oil since June 2014 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
316 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
554 |
| What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
169 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
415 |
| What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices |
0 |
2 |
3 |
110 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
191 |
| Total Working Papers |
15 |
46 |
156 |
7,631 |
45 |
169 |
580 |
19,001 |
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