Working Paper |
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Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
A Dynamic Factor Model of the Yield Curve as a Predictor of the Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
174 |
A Joint Dynamic Bi-Factor Model of the Yield Curve and the Economy as a Predictor of Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
1 |
221 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
478 |
A comparison of the real-time performance of business cycle dating methods |
0 |
1 |
11 |
469 |
0 |
2 |
23 |
1,452 |
Consumers' Sunspots, Animal Spirits, and Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,315 |
Dating Business Cycle Turning Points |
0 |
1 |
11 |
433 |
4 |
8 |
28 |
1,217 |
Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
54 |
Forecasting Brazilian Output in Real Time in the Presence of breaks: a Comparison Of Linear and Nonlinear Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
Forecasting Brazilian output in the presence of breaks: a comparison of linear and nonlinear models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
463 |
Forecasting recessions using the yield curve |
0 |
0 |
1 |
638 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1,865 |
How Better Monetary Statistics Could Have Signaled the Financial Crisis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
211 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
528 |
How better monetary statistics could have signaled the financial crisis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
92 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
260 |
Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
393 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,060 |
Incomplete Price Adjustment and Inflation Persistence |
1 |
1 |
1 |
38 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
59 |
International Financial Aggregation and Index Number Theory: A Chronological Half-Century Empirical Overview |
0 |
0 |
1 |
72 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
374 |
International Financial Aggregation and Index Number Theory: A Chronological Half-Century Empirical Overview |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
165 |
Leading Indicators of Inflation for Brazil |
0 |
1 |
2 |
150 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
437 |
Markov switching in disaggregate unemployment rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
115 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
510 |
Measurement Error in Monetary Aggregates: A Markov Switching Factor Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
Measurement Error in Monetary Aggregates: A Markov Switching Factor Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
261 |
Measurement Error in Monetary Aggregates: A Markov Switching Factor Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
163 |
Measurement Error in Monetary Aggregates: A Markov Switching Factor Approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
91 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
425 |
Microfoundations of Inflation Persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
165 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
413 |
Microfoundations of inflation persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
89 |
Monitoring Business Cycles with Structural Breaks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
140 |
Nonlinear relationship between permanent and transitory components of monetary aggregates and the economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
263 |
Nonlinear risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
262 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
956 |
Nowcasting Nominal GDP with the Credit-Card Augmented Divisia Monetary |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
Nowcasting Nominal GDP with the Credit-Card Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates |
0 |
0 |
1 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
256 |
Nowcasting nominal gdp with the credit-card augmented Divisia monetary aggregates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
89 |
Real Time Changes in Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
232 |
Real-Time Nowcasting Nominal GDP Under Structural Break |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
116 |
Real-Time Nowcasting of Nominal GDP Under Structural Breaks |
0 |
1 |
1 |
64 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
110 |
Recent changes in the U.S. business cycle |
0 |
0 |
1 |
338 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1,602 |
The Brazilian Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
305 |
The Credit-Card-Services Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates |
0 |
0 |
1 |
61 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
213 |
The End of the Great Moderation: “We told you so.” |
0 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
255 |
The End of the Great Moderation? |
0 |
0 |
3 |
413 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
1,500 |
The Future of Oil: Geology Versus Technology |
0 |
0 |
0 |
238 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
524 |
The credit-card-services augmented Divisia monetary aggregates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
67 |
Transfer Learning for Business Cycle Identification |
0 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
82 |
What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations? |
0 |
2 |
2 |
73 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
85 |
What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
161 |
What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
144 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
321 |
Total Working Papers |
1 |
7 |
44 |
6,025 |
13 |
38 |
157 |
19,296 |