| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Multivariate Analysis of Forecast Disagreement: Confronting Models of Disagreement with SPF Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
63 |
| Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
67 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
227 |
| Aid and growth accelerations: An alternative approach to assess the effectiveness of aid |
0 |
0 |
1 |
149 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
369 |
| Are they really rational? Assessing professional macro-economic forecasts from the G7-countries |
0 |
1 |
2 |
86 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
215 |
| Aufschwung in Deutschland bleibt kräftig |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
| Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich nur wenig verlangsamt fort |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
47 |
| Aufschwung lässt auf sich warten |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
95 |
| Das hohe Leistungsbilanzdefizit der Vereinigten Staaten: Ein Risiko für die Weltwirtschaft und für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
| Deutlich verlangsamte Expansion der Weltwirtschaft |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
| Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
6 |
32 |
| Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2010 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
96 |
| Deutsche Konjunktur: Aufschwungskräfte behalten die Oberhand |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
43 |
| Deutsche Konjunktur: leichte Rezession absehbar |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
88 |
| Deutschland: Gegenwind für Konjunktur und Potentialwachstum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
56 |
| Deutschland: Konjunkturelle Erholung setzt sich in verlangsamtem Tempo fort - Gefahr eines Rückschlags durch die Schuldenkrise |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
112 |
| Deutschland: Robuste Binnenkonjunktur - Dämpfer aus dem Ausland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
66 |
| Deutschland: Stabilisierung der Produktion auf niedrigen Niveau |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
67 |
| Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995 -2005 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
154 |
| Die deutsche Wirtschaft im Sog der Weltrezession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
77 |
| Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
386 |
| Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries |
0 |
0 |
1 |
95 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
364 |
| Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
3 |
6 |
7 |
81 |
| Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
101 |
| Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Multivariate Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
56 |
| Droht in Deutschland eine Kreditklemme? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
146 |
| Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
| Erholung der Weltkonjunktur ohne große Dynamik |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
5 |
7 |
98 |
| Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
249 |
| Estimating Pass-Through Rates for the 2022 Tax Reduction on Fuel Prices in Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
29 |
| Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
263 |
| Estimating the shape of economic crises under heterogeneity |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
162 |
| European inflation expectations dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
2 |
9 |
10 |
489 |
| Euroraum in der Rezession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
79 |
| Expectation Dispersion, Uncertainty, and the Reaction to News |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
3 |
6 |
6 |
37 |
| Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
37 |
| Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
20 |
| Firm-Level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the Covid-19 Crisis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
43 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
120 |
| Firm-level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the COVID-19 Crisis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
71 |
| Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
71 |
| Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
2 |
6 |
8 |
98 |
| Global Prediction of Recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
72 |
| Gute Chancen auf einen langanhaltenden Aufschwung in Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
73 |
| Herausforderung Climate Engineering: Bewertung neuer Optionen für den Klimaschutz |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
| How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
62 |
| How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-scale Business Survey |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
34 |
| How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
214 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
597 |
| INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
143 |
| Immobilienkrise in den Vereinigten Staaten: Historischer Vergleich und Implikationen für den Konjunkturverlauf |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
85 |
| Indicators for monitoring sustainable development goals: An application to oceanic development in the EU |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
138 |
| Indicators for monitoring sustainable development goals: An application to oceanic development in the European Union |
0 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
3 |
5 |
9 |
47 |
| Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
110 |
| Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
91 |
| Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
66 |
| International transmission of financial stress: Evidence from a GVAR |
0 |
0 |
2 |
163 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
359 |
| Konjunktur in Deutschland schwächt sich deutlich ab |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
81 |
| Konjunktur in den Industrieländern bleibt vorerst kräftig |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
21 |
| Konjunktureinbruch im Euroraum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
67 |
| Konjunktureller Höhepunkt in Deutschland wird überschritten |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
31 |
| Kräftiger, aber nur kurzer Aufschwung in Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
67 |
| Local Information and Firm Expectations about Aggregates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
23 |
| Lohnanstieg und Konjunktur in Deutschland 2004 - 2008 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
50 |
| Macroeconomic aspects of structural labor market reforms in Germany |
0 |
0 |
1 |
121 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
479 |
| Moderate Erholung in Deutschland - Arbeitsmarkt in erstaunlich guter Verfassung |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
159 |
| Nachhaltigkeitspotenzial deutscher Städte |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
57 |
| Nachhaltigkeitspotenzial deutscher Städte |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
70 |
| Nachlassende konjunkturelle Dynamik im Euroraum ohne Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
35 |
| Order Invariant Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
47 |
| Order Invariant Tests for Proper Calibration of Multivariate Density Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
37 |
| Order Invariant Tests for Proper Calibration of Multivariate Density Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
61 |
| Predicting GDP components: do leading indicators increase predictability? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
341 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
1,613 |
| Predicting growth rates and recessions: assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
317 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
781 |
| Radiation Management: Gezielte Beeinflussung des globalen Strahlungshaushalts zur Kontrolle des anthropogenen Klimawandels |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
78 |
| Recessions and Instable Estimates of Potential Output |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
37 |
| Revisions of potential output estimates in the EU after the Great Recession |
0 |
0 |
1 |
33 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
63 |
| Robust Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
40 |
| Schleppende Erholung der Konjunktur in Deutschland, kein Einbruch auf dem Arbeitsmarkt |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
4 |
9 |
12 |
95 |
| Schwache Konjunktur im Euroraum: Nur langsamer Abbau der Ungleichgewichte |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
68 |
| Schwellenländer tragen die Expansion der Weltwirtschaft |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
82 |
| Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
381 |
| Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
2 |
105 |
1 |
5 |
8 |
373 |
| Sticky information Phillips curves: European evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
176 |
| Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
1,058 |
| Systematische Prognosefehler in unterschiedlichen Konjunkturphasen |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
29 |
| Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
| Testing for differences in survey-based density expectations: A compositional data approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
| Testing for differences in survey-based density expectations: a compositional data approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
11 |
| Testing with Vectors of Statistics: Revisiting Combined Hypothesis Tests with an Application to Specification Testing |
0 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
18 |
| The Causal Effects of Trump's Reelection on Business Expectations of German Firms |
1 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
| The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
115 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
393 |
| The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
443 |
| The Effect of Recessions on Potential Output Estimates: Size, Timing, and Determinants |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
88 |
| The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has changed since the great recession? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
62 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
155 |
| The rich, the clean, and the kind - a comprehensive wealth index for cities applied to the case of Germany |
0 |
0 |
1 |
44 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
141 |
| Uncertainty and rounding in expectation surveys |
1 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
| Ursachen der Wachstumsschwäche in Deutschland 1995-2005 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
81 |
| Ursachen der Wachstumsschwäche in Deutschland 1995-2005 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
50 |
| Verbessertes Arbeitsmarktumfeld stärkt Wachstum des Produktionspotentials in Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
98 |
| Weltkonjunktur im Frühjahr 2010 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
90 |
| Weltkonjunktur kommt nach kräftiger Erholung in schwierigeres Fahrwasser |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
81 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2006 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
55 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2007 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
116 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2008 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
101 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2006 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
41 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2007 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2008 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
117 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
54 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2006 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
43 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2007 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
45 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2008 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
75 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2010 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
75 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2006 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
38 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2007 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
65 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2008 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
77 |
| Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
82 |
| Weltkonjunktur verliert an Fahrt |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
41 |
| Weltwirtschaft im Abschwung |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
63 |
| Weltwirtschaftliche Dynamik flaut ab |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
55 |
| What macroeconomic shocks affect the German banking system? Analysis in an integrated micro-macro model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
130 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
394 |
| Total Working Papers |
2 |
9 |
36 |
3,822 |
142 |
337 |
497 |
16,399 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
197 |
| Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
21 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
102 |
| Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
71 |
3 |
8 |
14 |
268 |
| Aid and Growth Accelerations: An Alternative Approach to Assessing the Effectiveness of Aid |
0 |
0 |
1 |
43 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
141 |
| Anchoring Inflation Expectations in Unconventional Times: Micro Evidence for the Euro Area |
0 |
1 |
2 |
42 |
2 |
3 |
10 |
99 |
| Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995–2005 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
| Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries |
1 |
2 |
9 |
178 |
9 |
17 |
47 |
574 |
| Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
95 |
| Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
| Estimating pass-through rates for the 2022 tax reduction on fuel prices in Germany |
0 |
0 |
4 |
7 |
0 |
11 |
27 |
44 |
| Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news |
1 |
4 |
4 |
9 |
2 |
9 |
15 |
24 |
| Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
108 |
| Global prediction of recessions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
75 |
| How economic crises damage potential output – Evidence from the Great Recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
4 |
4 |
8 |
58 |
| How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
93 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
295 |
| Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
160 |
| International transmission and business-cycle effects of financial stress |
0 |
1 |
3 |
95 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
335 |
| Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
39 |
| Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
| Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
61 |
| Local information and firm expectations about aggregates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
46 |
| Muss das hohe US-Leistungsbilanzdefizit zu einer massiven Aufwertung der europäischen Währungen führen? Eine andere Sicht |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
| Order‐invariant tests for proper calibration of multivariate density forecasts |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
24 |
| Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
199 |
| Prognosen in verschiedenen Konjunkturphasen |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
20 |
| Recessions and Potential Output: Disentangling Measurement Errors, Supply Shocks, and Hysteresis Effects |
0 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
25 |
| Rückkehr des Vertrauens beflügelt Konjunktur in Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
34 |
| Sentiment and firm behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
20 |
23 |
39 |
| Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
224 |
| Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
| Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
4 |
6 |
11 |
130 |
| Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach |
0 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
12 |
12 |
| The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
1 |
2 |
131 |
7 |
12 |
15 |
421 |
| What macroeconomic shocks affect the German banking system? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
249 |
| When are GDP forecasts updated? Evidence from a large international panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
141 |
| Wie die Wahl Donald Trumps die Stimmung in der Industrie verändert |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Zur Reaktion von Unternehmen auf die Coronakrise: Welche Rolle spielen die erwartete Krisendauer und die Geschäftslage vor der Krise? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
| Total Journal Articles |
2 |
11 |
39 |
1,127 |
68 |
140 |
286 |
4,398 |
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