Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 151
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 0 0 3 1,217
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 374 0 0 3 2,618
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 0 1 1 131
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 1 20 0 0 1 190
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 1 1 314
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 216
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 145
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 1 111 0 0 1 519
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 143 0 0 2 407
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 2 846 0 0 11 3,884
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 1 47 1 1 2 190
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 0 1 1 178
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 105
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 0 0 1 386
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 0 0 1 668
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 0 0 1 204
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 355
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 0 1 1 123
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 1 1 1 968
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 1 1 1 320
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 0 0 0 347
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 0 0 1 399
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 1 1 1 193
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 160
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 188
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 118 1 2 4 532
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 186 1 1 5 1,302
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 0 0 1 826
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 222 0 0 0 1,052
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 0 0 1 255
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 0 1 1 204
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 163
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 0 0 0 396
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 0 0 0 287
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 0 0 1 531
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 0 0 84 0 0 1 226
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 0 0 0 159
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 0 1 1 400
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 0 1 2 550
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 0 0 1 233
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 0 0 0 725
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 0 1 2 1,213
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 0 1 2 1,621
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 0 1 2 263
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 0 0 1 513
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 0 0 0 90
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 1 1 1 1,412
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 66 0 0 2 123
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 0 0 0 432
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 0 0 0 206
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 0 0 123 1 1 2 678
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 1 1 1 530
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 0 0 1 475
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 1 2 4 145
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 0 0 0 342
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 0 1 4 157
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 1 2 2 365
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 148
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 1 1 2 330
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 1 192 0 1 5 818
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 1 4 6 770
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 0 0 1 680
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 111
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 0 1 2 226
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 92 0 0 2 448
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 0 0 1 363
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 838
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 0 0 2 646
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 415 0 1 4 1,187
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 0 0 2 297
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 1 36 0 1 2 445
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 172
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 1 385 0 0 2 1,739
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 2 174 0 0 4 673
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 0 0 1 225
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 2 177 0 1 3 468
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 1 1 2 238
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 0 0 1 222
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 0 0 1 141
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 475
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 0 0 0 1,208
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 3 78 1 2 8 306
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 151
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 0 0 0 999
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 0 0 0 337
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 1 759 0 5 11 3,499
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 0 0 1 183
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 1 1 1 86
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 0 0 1 243
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 80 0 0 1 270
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 0 0 108 0 0 0 595
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 1 113 0 2 4 525
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 0 0 1 298
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 0 0 3 439
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 0 0 1 397
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 131 0 0 3 449
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 1 1 5 956
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 1 1 2 106
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 0 0 3 404
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 215
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 0 0 1 846
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 0 0 0 617
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 0 0 1 2,102
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 0 0 11 914
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 1 1 3 250
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 0 0 0 433
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 716
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 0 0 314 0 0 5 916
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 1 1 1 854
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 171
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 0 0 0 531
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 0 0 1 437
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 1 1 1 188
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 0 0 3 209
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 27 0 0 1 209
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 40 0 0 3 199
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 0 0 0 570
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 0 0 2 279
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 0 1 1 201
Total Working Papers 0 0 24 14,252 21 52 202 64,950

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 0 0 1 73
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 212
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 2 26 0 0 2 122
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 1 600
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 0 0 1 386
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 1 4 544 1 5 22 2,468
A model of the balance of payments 0 0 0 7 0 0 2 46
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 0 0 1 1,455
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 53
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 0 1 3 174
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 51 0 0 1 192
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 1 25 0 1 2 80
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 1 2 3 258
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 0 0 4 401 0 3 14 1,329
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 0 1 1 374
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 2 2 167
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 0 1 1 153
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 0 1 245 0 2 6 801
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 2 340 0 2 9 1,372
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 1 1 43 0 1 1 201
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 1 1 4 153
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 0 1 78
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 0 2 2 66
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 0 3 3 252
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 173
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 199
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 18 0 1 2 97
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 176
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 1 2 3 180
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 54 1 1 6 210
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 3 59 0 2 8 244
Events That Shook the Market 0 0 0 157 3 4 5 562
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 0 2 2 271
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 5 10 10 982
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 0 1 2 270
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 0 1 2 60
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 74 1 2 6 596
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 2 3 3 231
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 0 1 4 462
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 0 0 2 180
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 1 2 2 104
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 1 1 1 185 2 2 3 585
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 0 0 0 166
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 1 9 0 0 2 70
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 0 0 2 799
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 0 0 3 117
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 0 1 45 0 3 6 234
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 139
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 38
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 142
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 0 1 4 362
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 3 342 2 6 19 1,088
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 0 1 2 150
Testing price equations 0 0 1 22 0 1 4 109
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 1 222 0 0 3 801
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 148 1 1 3 657
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 698
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 1 1 1 198
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 0 13 301 3 6 44 1,009
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 0 0 57 1 2 6 569
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 1 205 0 1 4 613
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 0 0 0 828
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 0 2 2 359
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 0 0 1 208
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 0 0 1 120
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 0 3 4 174
Total Journal Articles 1 3 43 5,348 29 92 271 26,295

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 48
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 1 1 3 171 1 1 6 396
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 87
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 1 120 1 2 4 379
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 1 1 1 134
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 1 1 1 36 1 3 10 104
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 49
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 0 9 1 1 3 69
Total Chapters 2 2 5 406 5 8 28 1,266

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Statistics updated 2025-09-05