Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 1 1 1 152
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 0 0 3 1,217
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 374 0 0 3 2,618
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 0 0 1 131
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 190
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 0 1 314
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 216
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 1 1 1 146
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 1 111 0 0 1 519
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 1 1 1 144 3 3 5 410
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 0 0 8 3,884
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 1 47 0 1 2 190
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 0 0 1 178
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 105
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 2 2 3 388
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 1 1 2 669
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 1 1 2 205
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 355
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 123
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 1 2 2 969
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 0 1 1 320
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 0 0 0 347
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 0 1 1 193
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 1 1 2 400
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 1 1 1 161
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 188
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 1 1 1 119 2 3 5 534
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 186 1 2 6 1,303
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 1 1 2 827
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 1 1 223 0 2 2 1,054
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 204
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 0 0 0 255
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 0 1 2 164
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 0 0 0 396
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 1 1 1 288
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 2 2 3 533
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 0 0 84 0 0 1 226
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 0 0 0 159
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 2 2 3 402
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 2 2 3 235
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 0 0 2 550
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 0 0 0 725
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 1 1 3 1,214
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 2 2 3 265
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 0 0 2 1,621
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 0 0 1 513
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 0 1 1 1,412
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 0 0 0 90
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 66 0 0 2 123
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 1 1 1 433
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 0 0 0 206
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 0 0 123 1 2 3 679
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 1 2 2 531
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 0 0 1 475
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 0 2 5 146
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 0 0 0 342
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 2 2 5 159
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 1 2 3 366
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 1 1 2 149
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 0 2 3 331
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 0 0 4 818
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 1 1 2 681
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 1 2 7 771
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 111
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 92 1 1 3 449
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 0 0 2 226
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 1 1 2 364
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 0 2 3 648
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 1 1 1 839
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 415 0 0 4 1,187
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 0 0 2 297
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 172
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 1 36 0 0 2 445
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 2 174 0 0 4 673
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 0 0 1 1,739
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 1 1 2 226
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 1 2 178 1 2 4 470
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 1 2 3 239
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 0 0 1 222
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 1 1 2 142
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 475
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 1 1 1 1,209
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 3 78 0 2 8 307
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 151
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 1 1 1 1,000
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 1 759 1 1 12 3,500
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 0 0 0 337
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 0 1 2 184
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 0 1 1 86
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 0 0 1 243
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 80 3 3 4 273
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 0 0 108 1 2 2 597
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 1 113 0 0 4 525
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 1 1 4 440
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 298
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 0 0 1 397
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 0 131 1 1 3 450
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 0 1 5 956
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 0 0 3 404
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 0 2 3 107
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 0 0 1 846
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 215
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 0 0 0 617
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 2 2 13 916
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 0 0 1 2,102
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 0 0 0 433
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 2 5 7 254
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 716
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 0 0 314 0 1 4 917
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 1 2 2 855
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 1 1 1 172
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 3 3 3 534
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 0 0 1 437
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 1 2 2 189
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 0 0 3 209
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 27 0 0 1 209
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 40 1 1 3 200
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 0 0 0 570
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 0 0 1 201
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 1 1 3 280
Total Working Papers 2 4 20 14,256 63 99 262 65,028

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 0 1 2 74
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 212
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 2 26 0 0 2 122
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 1 600
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 2 2 3 388
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 1 1 5 545 1 2 19 2,469
A model of the balance of payments 1 1 1 8 1 1 2 47
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 1 1 2 1,456
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 53
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 0 1 3 175
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 51 1 1 2 193
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 1 25 1 1 3 81
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 0 1 2 258
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 0 0 2 401 1 2 11 1,331
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 1 1 2 375
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 0 2 167
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 2 2 3 155
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 2 2 3 247 6 6 11 807
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 1 1 3 341 2 3 11 1,375
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 1 43 0 1 2 202
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 0 3 6 155
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 0 1 78
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 1 1 3 67
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 1 1 4 253
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 174
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 199
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 18 1 1 3 98
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 176
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 1 2 4 181
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 54 0 1 6 210
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 3 59 1 1 7 245
Events That Shook the Market 0 0 0 157 0 3 5 562
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 271
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 5 10 15 987
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 1 1 3 271
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 2 2 4 62
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 74 0 1 4 596
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 1 3 4 232
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 1 1 5 463
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 1 1 2 181
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 0 1 2 104
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 1 1 185 2 4 5 587
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 1 1 1 167
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 1 9 0 0 2 70
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 1 1 2 800
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 0 0 3 117
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 0 1 45 0 0 6 234
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 139
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 38
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 142
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 2 3 6 365
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 2 342 2 5 19 1,091
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 2 2 4 152
Testing price equations 0 0 0 22 0 0 3 109
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 1 222 1 2 5 803
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 148 0 1 2 657
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 698
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 0 1 1 198
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 1 11 302 4 12 42 1,018
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 0 0 57 0 1 5 569
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 1 205 2 3 7 616
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 1 1 1 829
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 1 1 3 360
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 0 0 1 208
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 2 2 3 122
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 1 1 5 175
Total Journal Articles 5 7 42 5,354 58 103 307 26,369

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 48
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 1 1 171 1 2 4 397
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 87
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 1 3 4 381
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 1 2 2 135
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 0 1 1 36 0 2 11 105
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 49
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 0 9 1 2 4 70
Total Chapters 0 2 2 406 4 11 29 1,272

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Statistics updated 2025-11-08