Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 1 3 4 155
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 4 7 9 1,224
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 374 6 9 10 2,627
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 3 4 5 135
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 2 2 2 192
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 2 2 3 316
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 1 2 2 218
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 0 1 2 147
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 1 111 2 4 5 523
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 1 144 2 3 7 413
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 2 3 7 3,887
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 1 47 2 2 4 192
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 2 4 5 182
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 2 2 2 107
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 2 7 10 395
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 2 3 5 208
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 2 3 4 672
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 5 7 7 362
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 2 2 3 125
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 3 7 9 976
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 320
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 3 6 6 353
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 2 6 7 406
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 0 3 4 196
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 6 10 11 171
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 4 5 5 193
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 186 1 8 13 1,311
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 119 1 12 17 546
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 1 4 5 831
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 1 223 4 7 9 1,061
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 2 3 4 207
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 5 9 9 264
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 1 3 5 167
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 2 4 4 400
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 3 3 4 291
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 4 10 13 543
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 0 0 84 3 5 5 231
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 7 12 12 171
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 6 6 9 408
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 3 5 8 240
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 6 8 10 558
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 2 5 5 730
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 4 6 9 1,220
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 2 5 7 1,626
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 3 5 8 270
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 4 8 8 521
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 2 2 3 1,414
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 1 2 2 92
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 66 1 1 3 124
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 0 4 5 437
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 4 7 7 213
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 0 0 123 4 6 8 685
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 3 7 9 538
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 6 7 11 153
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 4 5 5 480
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 3 8 8 350
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 2 4 7 370
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 2 5 9 164
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 4 5 8 336
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 4 6 8 155
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 4 5 7 823
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 2 4 10 775
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 2 3 5 684
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 1 1 112
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 4 5 6 231
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 92 1 1 2 450
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 5 6 7 370
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 7 13 16 661
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 2 4 5 843
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 415 1 2 4 1,189
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 3 7 8 304
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 5 8 9 180
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 36 2 2 3 447
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 2 2 2 1,741
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 2 174 2 3 6 676
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 1 178 7 9 12 479
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 2 4 6 230
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 1 3 6 242
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 3 4 5 226
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 0 2 4 144
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 4 5 5 480
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 3 3 4 1,212
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 3 78 0 4 12 311
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 2 2 2 153
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 1 2 3 1,002
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 1 2 760 2 15 24 3,515
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 2 7 7 344
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 1 1 3 185
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 86
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 4 5 6 248
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 1 1 81 5 10 13 283
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 0 0 108 4 5 7 602
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 1 113 4 6 9 531
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 6 7 7 305
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 6 7 11 447
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 2 4 5 401
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 1 1 132 7 16 18 466
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 3 9 13 965
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 1 4 7 111
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 1 3 5 407
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 3 5 5 851
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 5 6 7 221
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 2 5 5 622
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 2 4 5 2,106
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 5 8 13 924
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 3 5 11 259
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 2 4 4 437
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 3 4 4 720
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 1 2 2 316 1 6 9 923
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 5 6 8 861
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 5 10 11 182
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 2 6 9 540
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 3 7 8 444
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 5 15 17 204
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 1 4 6 213
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 40 3 6 8 206
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 27 4 9 10 218
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 4 5 5 575
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 3 6 7 286
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 4 9 10 210
Total Working Papers 1 5 21 14,261 344 637 844 65,665

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 1 1 3 75
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 0 2 2 214
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 26 4 4 4 126
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 1 600
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 2 2 5 390
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 1 1 4 546 6 12 26 2,481
A model of the balance of payments 0 0 1 8 1 1 3 48
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 4 4 6 1,460
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 2 2 2 55
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 3 3 6 178
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 51 4 12 14 205
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 0 25 1 1 3 82
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 1 2 4 260
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 1 3 3 404 4 13 20 1,344
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 3 9 11 384
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 0 2 167
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 1 2 5 157
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 0 3 247 3 4 15 811
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 2 341 6 12 21 1,387
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 1 43 2 2 4 204
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 4 6 11 161
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 2 2 3 80
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 3 3 6 70
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 4 7 11 260
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 3 9 12 183
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 14 15 15 214
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 18 4 10 13 108
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 3 4 4 180
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 2 2 5 183
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 1 1 55 1 3 9 213
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 1 59 6 10 15 255
Events That Shook the Market 0 0 0 157 3 6 11 568
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 1 9 11 280
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 6 7 22 994
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 3 6 8 277
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 1 2 6 64
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 1 1 1 75 3 6 10 602
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 4 6 10 238
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 4 7 11 470
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 3 5 7 186
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 1 1 3 105
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 1 2 186 3 5 10 592
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 1 4 5 171
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 1 9 3 3 5 73
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 1 4 5 804
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 3 4 5 121
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 1 1 46 6 12 16 246
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 2 4 4 143
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 4 4 5 42
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 144
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 5 7 12 372
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 342 5 9 24 1,100
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 3 4 8 156
Testing price equations 0 0 0 22 4 5 8 114
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 0 222 2 7 10 810
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 1 2 149 0 2 4 659
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 11 15 16 713
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 1 2 3 200
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 1 8 303 4 11 37 1,029
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 0 0 57 1 7 10 576
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 1 205 3 4 9 620
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 0 0 1 829
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 3 5 8 365
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 2 4 4 212
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 3 4 6 126
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 2 3 8 178
Total Journal Articles 3 10 35 5,364 197 345 585 26,714

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 1 2 3 50
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 0 1 171 0 2 5 399
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 2 2 3 89
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 2 5 9 386
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 2 3 5 138
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 1 36 3 6 16 111
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 2 3 5 52
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 1 1 10 5 7 11 77
Total Chapters 0 1 3 407 17 30 57 1,302

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Statistics updated 2026-02-12