Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 0 2 4 155
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 0 6 8 1,224
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 374 1 8 11 2,628
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 0 4 5 135
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 1 3 3 193
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 2 3 316
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 0 2 2 218
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 0 1 2 147
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 1 111 0 3 5 523
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 1 144 1 4 7 414
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 0 3 5 3,887
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 1 47 0 2 4 192
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 1 3 6 183
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 1 3 3 108
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 1 7 11 396
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 0 2 4 672
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 0 3 5 208
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 2 8 9 364
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 0 2 3 125
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 0 6 9 976
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 1 1 2 321
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 3 8 9 356
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 1 6 8 407
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 0 1 4 196
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 0 9 11 171
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 1 6 6 194
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 119 3 9 20 549
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 186 0 7 13 1,311
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 2 6 7 833
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 1 223 1 6 10 1,062
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 1 8 10 265
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 0 3 4 207
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 0 3 5 167
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 0 4 4 400
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 0 3 4 291
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 0 7 13 543
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 0 0 84 1 4 6 232
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 1 11 13 172
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 2 8 11 410
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 1 6 9 241
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 0 8 10 558
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 1 3 6 731
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 0 6 8 1,220
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 0 4 7 1,626
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 0 5 8 270
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 0 7 8 521
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 1 3 3 93
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 0 2 3 1,414
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 1 3 6 438
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 66 2 3 5 126
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 1 7 8 214
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 1 1 1 124 3 9 11 688
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 0 6 9 538
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 0 4 5 480
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 1 7 12 154
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 1 8 9 351
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 0 4 8 164
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 0 3 7 370
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 0 5 7 336
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 0 6 8 155
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 0 5 7 823
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 0 3 4 684
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 2 6 12 777
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 1 1 112
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 92 0 1 2 450
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 0 5 6 231
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 1 6 8 371
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 2 5 7 845
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 1 10 16 662
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 415 1 3 5 1,190
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 1 7 9 305
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 36 1 3 4 448
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 2 9 11 182
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 2 174 1 4 7 677
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 0 2 2 1,741
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 0 3 5 230
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 1 1 2 179 3 12 15 482
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 0 2 6 242
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 0 4 5 226
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 0 1 3 144
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 0 5 5 480
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 0 3 4 1,212
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 3 78 1 4 13 312
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 1 3 3 154
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 0 1 3 1,002
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 2 760 3 15 27 3,518
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 0 5 7 344
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 1 2 3 186
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 86
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 0 4 6 248
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 1 1 81 1 10 14 284
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 1 1 1 109 1 6 8 603
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 1 113 0 6 9 531
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 4 11 11 309
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 1 8 11 448
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 0 3 5 401
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 1 1 132 0 13 18 466
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 2 9 15 967
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 0 2 6 111
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 2 5 7 409
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 1 5 6 852
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 1 7 8 222
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 0 4 5 622
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 0 3 4 2,106
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 0 7 11 924
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 1 5 5 438
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 0 4 11 259
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 1 5 5 721
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 2 2 316 0 6 9 923
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 0 5 8 861
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 1 6 10 541
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 0 9 11 182
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 0 3 8 444
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 0 12 17 204
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 0 3 5 213
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 27 1 9 11 219
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 40 0 5 8 206
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 0 5 5 575
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 1 5 8 287
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 1 7 11 211
Total Working Papers 3 7 24 14,264 77 615 903 65,742


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 1 2 3 76
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 1 3 3 215
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 26 2 6 6 128
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 0 600
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 5 7 10 395
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 1 3 546 0 8 23 2,481
A model of the balance of payments 1 1 2 9 2 3 4 50
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 0 4 6 1,460
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 1 3 3 56
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 0 3 6 178
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 51 0 9 14 205
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 0 25 0 1 3 82
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 0 2 4 260
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 0 2 3 404 3 12 23 1,347
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 1 9 12 385
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 0 2 167
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 0 2 5 157
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 0 3 247 2 5 16 813
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 341 0 9 19 1,387
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 1 43 0 2 4 204
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 2 7 13 163
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 2 2 80
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 0 3 6 70
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 0 6 11 260
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 1 10 13 184
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 1 15 16 215
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 18 1 10 14 109
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 0 4 4 180
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 1 3 6 184
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 1 55 0 2 8 213
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 1 59 1 9 15 256
Events That Shook the Market 0 0 0 157 0 5 11 568
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 1 8 12 281
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 1 7 23 995
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 0 4 8 277
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 0 2 5 64
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 1 1 75 3 6 12 605
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 1 6 11 239
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 0 5 10 470
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 1 6 8 187
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 0 1 3 105
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 0 2 186 4 7 13 596
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 0 3 5 171
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 1 9 0 3 5 73
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 1 3 6 805
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 0 4 4 121
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 0 1 46 0 7 16 246
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 0 4 4 143
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 0 4 5 42
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 144
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 0 5 12 372
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 342 1 10 22 1,101
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 1 5 8 157
Testing price equations 0 0 0 22 2 6 9 116
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 0 222 3 6 13 813
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 1 2 149 1 3 5 660
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 4 19 19 717
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 0 2 3 200
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 1 2 8 304 2 8 35 1,031
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 1 1 1 58 3 9 13 579
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 0 205 1 5 9 621
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 1 1 2 830
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 1 5 9 366
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 0 2 4 212
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 0 4 6 126
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 0 3 7 178
Total Journal Articles 3 9 34 5,367 57 341 613 26,771


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 0 2 2 50
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 0 1 171 0 0 4 399
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 0 2 3 89
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 0 3 9 386
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 2 5 7 140
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 1 36 0 4 14 111
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 0 3 4 52
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 1 1 10 1 8 12 78
Total Chapters 0 1 3 407 3 27 55 1,305


Statistics updated 2026-03-04