Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 0 3 8 159
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 0 2 9 1,226
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 1 1 375 2 7 17 2,635
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 0 1 6 136
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 0 1 4 194
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 0 3 316
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 0 2 4 220
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 0 4 6 151
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 0 111 1 4 8 527
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 1 144 1 2 10 417
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 0 1 8 3,892
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 47 0 1 5 194
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 0 0 6 183
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 1 3 6 111
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 0 1 12 398
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 0 1 5 673
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 0 0 4 208
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 0 2 11 366
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 0 2 5 127
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 0 2 11 978
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 0 2 4 323
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 0 3 12 359
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 0 3 7 199
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 1 1 9 408
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 0 1 12 172
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 0 1 7 195
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 119 0 4 23 553
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 186 1 3 13 1,314
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 1 3 11 837
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 1 223 0 9 19 1,071
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 0 1 11 266
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 0 2 6 209
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 1 2 7 170
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 0 1 5 401
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 0 5 9 296
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 0 4 16 547
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 0 1 85 0 3 10 236
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 0 1 15 174
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 0 3 15 414
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 0 6 15 565
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 0 3 11 244
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 0 1 7 732
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 0 3 11 1,223
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 1 2 8 1,629
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 0 1 9 271
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 0 3 11 524
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 0 1 4 94
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 1 4 7 1,418
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 0 3 9 441
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 66 0 1 6 129
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 0 0 8 214
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 0 1 124 0 2 14 691
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 0 2 13 542
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 1 3 15 158
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 0 2 8 483
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 1 5 14 356
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 0 2 10 166
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 0 3 10 373
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 1 2 10 158
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 0 1 9 338
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 0 1 6 824
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 0 3 7 687
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 0 1 9 778
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 0 1 112
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 1 1 93 0 3 5 453
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 0 3 9 234
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 0 0 9 372
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 1 7 24 670
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 1 4 12 850
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 0 7 15 312
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 1 1 1 416 1 5 11 1,197
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 1 3 13 185
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 36 1 3 8 452
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 174 0 3 7 680
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 0 3 5 1,744
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 2 179 0 4 19 487
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 0 5 12 237
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 0 6 13 250
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 0 1 5 227
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 1 3 7 148
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 0 0 6 481
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 0 2 6 1,214
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 0 78 1 3 10 315
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 0 1 4 155
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 0 2 5 1,004
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 1 760 1 7 28 3,527
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 0 0 8 345
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 0 0 4 187
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 0 1 2 87
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 1 5 10 253
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 81 0 1 15 285
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 0 1 109 1 3 11 606
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 0 113 0 2 10 533
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 0 3 13 452
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 0 2 13 311
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 1 4 9 406
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 132 0 6 23 472
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 1 4 17 972
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 0 2 7 411
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 0 0 6 111
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 0 4 11 226
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 0 2 8 854
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 1 3 9 626
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 1 1 6 2,108
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 1 8 18 932
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 0 5 10 443
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 1 3 13 262
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 1 3 9 725
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 1 1 3 317 3 6 13 929
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 0 2 10 863
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 0 2 12 543
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 0 5 16 187
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 0 2 11 448
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 1 4 22 209
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 0 0 4 213
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 40 0 1 8 207
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 27 1 2 12 221
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 1 4 9 579
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 0 2 13 213
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 0 0 8 287
Total Working Papers 2 4 17 14,269 37 313 1,194 66,105


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 0 0 3 76
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 0 4 8 220
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 26 0 3 9 131
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 1 1 601
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 0 3 13 399
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 1 3 547 1 4 20 2,487
A model of the balance of payments 0 0 2 9 0 0 4 50
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 0 5 11 1,466
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 1 3 6 59
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 0 1 6 179
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 51 0 2 16 208
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 0 25 0 1 4 83
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 0 0 4 260
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 1 1 4 405 4 9 28 1,356
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 0 0 11 385
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 1 1 168
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 1 2 7 159
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 0 2 247 0 4 18 817
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 341 2 3 25 1,396
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 1 43 0 2 6 206
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 0 3 14 166
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 1 3 81
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 0 4 10 74
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 1 1 12 261
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 0 2 16 187
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 1 3 20 219
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 18 0 2 16 112
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 0 0 4 180
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 0 1 7 185
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 1 2 56 1 6 10 219
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 0 59 1 2 15 258
Events That Shook the Market 0 0 1 158 0 3 14 572
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 0 3 16 285
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 0 2 22 998
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 0 0 8 277
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 0 2 7 66
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 1 2 76 1 4 15 610
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 0 1 12 240
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 0 1 11 472
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 0 1 9 189
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 0 0 3 105
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 1 3 187 1 2 18 601
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 1 3 8 174
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 0 9 0 2 5 75
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 0 2 12 811
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 0 3 7 124
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 0 1 46 2 4 18 250
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 0 4 8 147
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 1 2 9 46
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 1 3 145
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 0 5 16 377
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 0 342 4 11 31 1,115
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 0 1 9 158
Testing price equations 0 1 1 23 0 1 9 117
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 0 222 1 1 14 815
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 149 0 2 7 663
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 0 2 22 720
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 0 3 6 203
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 1 5 9 310 1 10 41 1,045
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 0 1 58 0 1 12 580
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 0 205 0 1 10 622
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 0 0 2 830
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 0 1 10 367
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 0 1 5 213
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 0 5 11 131
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 0 1 7 179
Total Journal Articles 2 11 34 5,380 25 159 745 26,970


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 0 1 3 51
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 0 1 171 3 4 8 403
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 1 4 6 93
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 0 1 11 388
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 0 2 9 142
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 0 1 2 37 0 3 13 114
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 0 5 8 57
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 10 0 3 13 81
Total Chapters 0 1 4 408 4 23 71 1,329


Statistics updated 2026-07-10