Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 1 3 3 154
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 2 3 5 1,220
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 374 1 3 5 2,621
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 1 1 2 132
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 190
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 0 1 314
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 1 1 1 217
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 1 2 2 147
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 1 111 1 2 3 521
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 1 1 144 1 4 5 411
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 1 1 5 3,885
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 1 47 0 0 2 190
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 0 2 3 180
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 105
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 4 7 8 393
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 0 2 3 670
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 1 2 3 206
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 1 2 2 357
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 123
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 3 5 6 973
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 320
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 2 3 3 350
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 1 3 4 196
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 3 5 5 404
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 3 5 5 165
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 1 1 1 189
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 186 6 8 12 1,310
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 1 1 119 5 13 16 545
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 3 4 4 830
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 1 223 1 3 5 1,057
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 1 1 2 205
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 2 4 4 259
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 2 2 4 166
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 2 2 2 398
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 0 1 1 288
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 3 8 9 539
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 0 0 84 0 2 2 228
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 3 5 5 164
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 0 2 3 402
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 2 2 4 552
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 2 4 5 237
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 0 3 3 728
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 2 3 5 1,216
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 2 4 5 267
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 2 3 5 1,624
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 3 4 5 517
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 1 1 1 91
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 0 0 1 1,412
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 66 0 0 2 123
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 2 5 5 437
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 2 3 3 209
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 0 0 123 2 3 5 681
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 3 5 6 535
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 0 1 6 147
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 0 1 2 476
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 4 5 5 347
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 1 3 5 368
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 2 5 8 162
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 2 3 4 151
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 1 1 4 332
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 1 1 5 819
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 1 2 3 682
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 2 3 9 773
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 1 1 1 112
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 1 1 3 227
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 92 0 1 3 449
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 0 2 2 365
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 1 3 3 841
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 2 6 9 654
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 3 4 6 301
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 415 1 1 5 1,188
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 36 0 0 1 445
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 2 3 4 175
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 0 0 1 1,739
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 2 174 1 1 5 674
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 1 3 4 228
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 1 178 2 3 5 472
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 1 3 5 241
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 1 1 2 223
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 1 3 4 144
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 1 1 1 476
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 0 1 1 1,209
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 3 78 3 4 12 311
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 151
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 0 2 2 1,001
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 1 2 760 10 14 23 3,513
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 3 5 5 342
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 0 0 2 184
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 86
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 0 1 2 244
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 1 1 1 81 4 8 8 278
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 0 0 108 1 2 3 598
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 1 113 2 2 5 527
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 1 2 5 441
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 1 1 1 299
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 1 2 3 399
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 1 1 1 132 6 10 11 459
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 4 6 11 962
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 1 3 6 110
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 2 2 4 406
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 1 1 2 216
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 1 2 3 848
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 2 3 3 620
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 1 2 3 2,104
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 2 5 9 919
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 1 4 8 256
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 2 2 2 435
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 1 1 1 717
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 1 1 1 315 5 5 8 922
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 0 2 3 856
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 4 6 6 177
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 3 7 7 538
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 0 4 5 441
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 7 11 12 199
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 2 3 6 212
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 27 4 5 6 214
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 40 2 4 6 203
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 1 1 1 571
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 1 4 6 283
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 2 5 6 206
Total Working Papers 3 6 20 14,260 194 356 526 65,321


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 0 0 2 74
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 2 2 2 214
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 26 0 0 0 122
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 1 600
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 0 2 3 388
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 1 3 545 2 7 20 2,475
A model of the balance of payments 0 1 1 8 0 1 2 47
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 0 1 2 1,456
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 53
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 0 0 3 175
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 51 5 9 10 201
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 1 25 0 1 3 81
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 1 1 3 259
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 1 2 3 403 5 10 18 1,340
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 5 7 8 381
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 0 2 167
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 1 3 4 156
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 2 3 247 0 7 12 808
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 1 2 341 3 8 15 1,381
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 1 43 0 0 2 202
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 1 2 7 157
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 0 1 78
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 0 1 3 67
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 2 4 7 256
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 6 7 9 180
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 200
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 18 5 7 9 104
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 1 1 1 177
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 0 1 4 181
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 1 1 55 1 2 8 212
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 1 59 2 5 9 249
Events That Shook the Market 0 0 0 157 2 3 8 565
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 6 8 10 279
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 0 6 16 988
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 1 4 6 274
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 1 3 5 63
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 74 0 3 7 599
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 1 3 6 234
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 1 4 7 466
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 2 3 4 183
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 0 0 2 104
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 1 2 186 0 4 7 589
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 2 4 4 170
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 1 9 0 0 2 70
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 1 4 4 803
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 1 1 3 118
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 1 2 46 1 6 12 240
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 2 2 2 141
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 38
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 142
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 0 4 7 367
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 342 4 6 19 1,095
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 1 3 5 153
Testing price equations 0 0 0 22 0 1 4 110
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 0 222 1 6 8 808
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 1 1 2 149 2 2 4 659
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 4 4 7 702
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 1 1 2 199
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 1 1 9 303 2 11 38 1,025
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 0 0 57 5 6 11 575
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 1 205 1 3 6 617
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 0 1 1 829
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 1 3 5 362
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 0 2 2 210
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 1 3 3 123
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 1 2 6 176
Total Journal Articles 3 12 36 5,361 87 206 406 26,517


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 1 1 2 49
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 0 1 171 0 3 5 399
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 87
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 1 4 7 384
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 1 2 3 136
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 1 36 1 3 13 108
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 1 1 3 50
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 1 1 1 10 2 3 6 72
Total Chapters 1 1 3 407 7 17 40 1,285


Statistics updated 2026-01-09