Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 0 0 8 159
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 0 1 10 1,227
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 1 375 0 0 17 2,635
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 1 1 6 137
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 0 0 4 194
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 0 2 316
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 2 2 6 222
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 0 0 6 151
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 0 111 1 2 10 529
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 1 144 0 0 10 417
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 3 7 15 3,899
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 47 0 0 4 194
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 0 0 5 183
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 1 1 7 112
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 0 0 12 398
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 0 1 5 209
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 0 0 5 673
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 0 0 11 366
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 0 1 5 128
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 0 1 11 979
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 0 0 3 323
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 0 0 12 359
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 0 0 9 408
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 1 2 8 201
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 0 0 12 172
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 1 1 8 196
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 119 0 0 21 553
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 186 2 3 15 1,317
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 2 3 14 840
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 1 1 1 224 1 1 18 1,072
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 0 0 11 266
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 1 1 6 210
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 0 1 7 171
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 1 1 6 402
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 0 2 11 298
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 0 1 17 548
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 0 1 85 1 1 11 237
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 1 2 17 176
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 1 1 15 415
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 0 1 16 566
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 1 2 13 246
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 0 0 7 732
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 1 1 11 1,224
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 0 1 9 1,630
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 0 2 10 273
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 1 1 12 525
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 0 1 5 95
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 0 1 7 1,419
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 66 1 1 7 130
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 0 0 9 441
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 1 1 9 215
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 0 1 124 0 1 14 692
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 1 1 13 543
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 0 2 10 485
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 0 3 15 161
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 0 0 14 356
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 1 1 9 374
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 0 2 11 168
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 0 0 7 338
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 0 0 10 158
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 0 0 6 824
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 0 0 7 687
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 0 0 8 778
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 0 1 112
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 1 93 0 0 5 453
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 1 2 10 236
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 0 0 9 372
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 0 1 23 671
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 0 1 13 851
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 1 416 0 0 10 1,197
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 1 2 17 314
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 36 0 0 7 452
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 0 0 13 185
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 1 4 9 1,748
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 174 0 0 7 680
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 0 1 13 238
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 1 1 2 180 3 3 21 490
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 0 1 13 251
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 0 0 5 227
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 2 3 10 151
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 0 1 7 482
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 0 0 6 1,214
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 0 78 0 1 9 316
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 0 0 4 155
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 0 0 5 1,004
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 0 0 8 345
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 1 760 2 2 30 3,529
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 1 1 4 188
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 87
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 0 1 11 254
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 81 0 0 15 285
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 0 1 109 1 2 12 608
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 0 113 0 1 9 534
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 0 0 13 311
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 0 0 13 452
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 0 1 10 407
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 132 1 1 24 473
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 0 5 21 977
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 1 2 9 413
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 0 2 6 113
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 0 0 8 854
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 0 0 11 226
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 1 1 10 627
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 1 2 20 934
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 0 1 7 2,109
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 0 0 10 443
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 0 1 11 263
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 0 0 9 725
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 0 3 317 1 1 13 930
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 0 0 9 863
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 0 0 16 187
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 0 0 12 543
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 0 76 87 524
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 1 3 24 212
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 1 1 5 214
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 40 0 1 9 208
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 27 0 0 12 221
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 0 0 9 579
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 0 1 13 214
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 0 0 8 287
Total Working Papers 2 2 17 14,271 46 185 1,325 66,290


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 0 1 3 77
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 0 2 10 222
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 26 0 0 9 131
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 1 601
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 0 1 14 400
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 1 1 4 548 2 11 30 2,498
A model of the balance of payments 0 0 2 9 0 2 6 52
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 0 0 11 1,466
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 6 59
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 1 2 6 181
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 51 0 1 17 209
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 0 25 0 0 3 83
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 0 0 2 260
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 3 3 7 408 6 11 37 1,367
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 0 1 12 386
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 0 1 168
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 0 2 8 161
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 0 2 247 0 0 16 817
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 341 1 2 25 1,398
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 0 43 0 0 4 206
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 1 4 15 170
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 1 4 82
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 0 0 8 74
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 1 1 10 262
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 187
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 0 1 21 220
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 18 0 1 16 113
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 1 1 1 8 1 1 5 181
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 0 0 5 185
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 2 56 0 3 12 222
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 0 59 2 2 16 260
Events That Shook the Market 0 0 1 158 0 1 11 573
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 1 3 17 288
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 0 3 19 1,001
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 0 1 8 278
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 1 2 8 68
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 2 76 0 2 16 612
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 0 0 9 240
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 0 1 11 473
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 0 0 9 189
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 105
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 0 2 187 3 6 22 607
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 0 0 8 174
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 0 9 1 1 6 76
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 0 0 12 811
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 0 0 7 124
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 0 1 46 0 2 18 252
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 0 1 9 148
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 1 1 9 47
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 1 1 4 146
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 0 0 14 377
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 0 342 1 3 29 1,118
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 0 1 9 159
Testing price equations 0 1 2 24 0 1 9 118
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 0 222 0 0 13 815
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 149 0 0 6 663
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 1 1 23 721
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 0 1 6 204
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 1 3 11 313 1 4 35 1,049
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 0 1 58 0 0 11 580
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 0 205 1 2 10 624
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 0 0 2 830
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 1 1 9 368
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 1 2 7 215
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 0 0 11 131
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 0 1 6 180
Total Journal Articles 6 9 40 5,389 29 92 751 27,062


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 0 0 3 51
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 0 0 171 0 0 7 403
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 0 0 6 93
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 1 1 9 389
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 1 1 9 143
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 1 37 0 0 9 114
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 0 0 8 57
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 10 0 2 14 83
Total Chapters 0 0 2 408 2 4 65 1,333


Statistics updated 2026-10-11