Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 2 3 7 158
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 1 1 8 1,225
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 1 1 1 375 4 5 14 2,632
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 1 1 6 136
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 1 2 4 194
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 0 3 316
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 2 2 4 220
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 4 4 6 151
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 0 111 3 3 7 526
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 1 144 1 3 9 416
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 0 4 8 3,891
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 47 1 2 5 194
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 0 1 6 183
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 2 3 5 110
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 0 2 11 397
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 1 1 5 673
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 0 0 4 208
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 1 3 10 365
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 2 2 5 127
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 2 2 11 978
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 2 3 4 323
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 2 5 11 358
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 3 3 7 199
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 0 1 8 407
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 1 1 12 172
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 1 2 7 195
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 119 4 7 23 553
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 186 2 2 13 1,313
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 2 5 10 836
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 1 223 9 10 19 1,071
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 2 2 6 209
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 1 2 11 266
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 1 2 6 169
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 1 1 5 401
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 5 5 9 296
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 3 3 15 546
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 1 1 85 3 5 10 236
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 0 2 14 173
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 2 5 14 413
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 6 7 17 565
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 2 3 11 243
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 1 2 7 732
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 3 3 11 1,223
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 0 1 7 1,627
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 1 1 9 271
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 3 3 11 524
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 3 3 6 1,417
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 0 1 3 93
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 3 4 9 441
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 66 1 5 6 129
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 0 1 8 214
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 1 1 124 2 6 14 691
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 2 4 13 542
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 2 3 8 483
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 2 4 14 157
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 4 5 13 355
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 2 2 10 166
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 3 3 10 373
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 1 2 9 338
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 1 2 10 157
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 1 1 7 824
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 3 3 7 687
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 1 3 13 778
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 0 1 112
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 92 1 1 3 451
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 3 3 9 234
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 0 2 9 372
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 4 6 21 667
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 3 6 11 849
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 415 3 6 9 1,195
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 7 8 16 312
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 36 2 4 7 451
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 2 4 12 184
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 2 2 4 1,743
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 1 174 1 2 6 678
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 5 7 12 237
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 1 2 179 3 7 19 486
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 5 7 12 249
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 1 1 5 227
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 2 3 6 147
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 0 1 6 481
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 1 1 5 1,213
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 1 78 2 3 12 314
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 1 2 4 155
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 2 2 5 1,004
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 1 760 4 9 30 3,524
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 0 1 8 345
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 0 2 4 187
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 1 1 2 87
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 3 3 8 251
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 81 1 2 15 285
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 1 1 109 2 3 10 605
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 1 113 0 0 9 531
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 3 5 13 452
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 1 5 12 310
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 3 4 8 405
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 132 6 6 23 472
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 1 4 17 969
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 2 4 7 411
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 0 0 6 111
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 3 4 10 225
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 2 3 8 854
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 1 2 7 624
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 3 3 13 927
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 0 1 5 2,107
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 4 5 9 442
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 2 2 12 261
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 2 4 8 724
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 0 2 316 3 3 10 926
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 2 2 10 863
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 1 2 11 542
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 4 4 15 186
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 1 3 10 447
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 3 4 21 208
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 0 0 4 213
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 40 0 0 7 206
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 27 1 2 11 220
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 3 3 8 578
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 0 1 8 287
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 2 3 13 213
Total Working Papers 1 5 17 14,266 233 360 1,141 66,025


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 0 1 3 76
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 3 5 7 219
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 26 3 5 9 131
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 0 600
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 3 9 13 399
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 1 1 4 547 1 3 22 2,484
A model of the balance of payments 0 1 2 9 0 2 4 50
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 2 3 9 1,463
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 2 3 5 58
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 1 1 6 179
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 51 1 2 15 207
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 0 25 1 1 4 83
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 0 0 4 260
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 0 0 3 404 4 7 26 1,351
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 0 1 12 385
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 1 1 3 168
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 1 1 6 158
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 0 3 247 2 4 17 815
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 341 0 6 23 1,393
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 1 43 2 2 6 206
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 3 5 15 166
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 1 1 3 81
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 3 3 9 73
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 0 0 11 260
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 1 3 15 186
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 2 4 19 218
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 18 1 3 15 111
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 0 0 4 180
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 1 2 7 185
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 1 1 2 56 5 5 10 218
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 0 59 0 1 14 256
Events That Shook the Market 0 1 1 158 1 2 12 570
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 2 4 15 284
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 2 4 26 998
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 0 0 8 277
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 1 1 6 65
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 1 1 2 76 2 6 15 608
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 1 2 12 240
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 0 1 11 471
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 1 3 9 189
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 0 0 3 105
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 0 2 186 0 7 16 599
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 1 1 6 172
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 0 9 2 2 5 75
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 2 7 12 811
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 2 2 6 123
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 0 1 46 2 2 17 248
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 4 4 8 147
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 0 2 7 44
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 1 1 3 145
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 3 3 14 375
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 0 342 6 10 28 1,110
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 1 2 9 158
Testing price equations 1 1 1 23 1 3 9 117
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 0 222 0 4 13 814
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 149 2 4 7 663
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 2 7 22 720
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 1 1 4 201
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 2 5 305 3 9 36 1,038
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 1 1 58 1 4 13 580
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 0 205 0 1 9 621
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 0 1 2 830
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 1 2 10 367
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 1 1 5 213
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 5 5 11 131
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 0 0 7 178
Total Journal Articles 4 9 30 5,373 95 192 712 26,906


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 0 0 2 50
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 0 1 171 1 1 5 400
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 3 3 5 92
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 1 2 11 388
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 2 4 9 142
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 1 1 2 37 2 2 12 113
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 4 4 8 56
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 10 3 4 15 81
Total Chapters 1 1 4 408 16 20 67 1,322


Statistics updated 2026-05-06