Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 1 2 5 156
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 0 4 7 1,224
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 374 0 7 11 2,628
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 0 3 5 135
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 0 3 3 193
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 2 3 316
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 0 1 2 218
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 0 0 2 147
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 1 111 0 2 5 523
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 1 144 1 4 8 415
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 4 6 8 3,891
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 1 47 1 3 5 193
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 0 3 6 183
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 0 3 3 108
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 1 4 11 397
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 0 2 4 672
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 0 2 4 208
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 0 7 9 364
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 0 2 3 125
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 0 3 9 976
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 0 1 2 321
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 0 6 9 356
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 0 0 4 196
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 0 3 8 407
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 0 6 11 171
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 0 5 6 194
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 119 0 4 19 549
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 186 0 1 11 1,311
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 1 4 8 834
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 1 223 0 5 10 1,062
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 0 2 4 207
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 0 6 10 265
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 1 2 5 168
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 0 2 4 400
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 0 3 4 291
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 0 4 13 543
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 1 1 1 85 1 5 7 233
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 1 9 14 173
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 1 9 12 411
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 1 7 11 559
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 0 4 9 241
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 0 3 6 731
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 0 4 8 1,220
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 1 3 7 1,627
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 0 3 8 270
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 0 4 8 521
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 0 2 3 93
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 0 2 3 1,414
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 66 2 5 7 128
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 0 1 6 438
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 0 5 8 214
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 1 1 124 1 8 12 689
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 2 5 11 540
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 1 5 6 481
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 1 8 13 155
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 0 4 9 351
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 0 2 7 370
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 0 2 8 164
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 1 5 8 337
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 1 5 9 156
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 0 4 6 823
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 0 2 4 684
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 0 4 12 777
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 0 1 112
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 92 0 1 2 450
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 0 4 6 231
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 1 7 9 372
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 1 5 8 846
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 1 9 17 663
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 0 4 9 305
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 415 2 4 7 1,192
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 36 1 4 5 449
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 0 7 10 182
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 2 174 0 3 6 677
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 0 2 2 1,741
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 1 2 179 1 11 16 483
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 2 4 7 232
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 2 3 7 244
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 0 3 4 226
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 1 1 4 145
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 1 5 6 481
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 0 3 4 1,212
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 3 78 0 1 13 312
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 0 3 3 154
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 0 1 3 1,002
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 1 3 8 345
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 1 760 2 7 26 3,520
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 1 3 4 187
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 86
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 0 4 5 248
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 81 0 6 14 284
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 1 1 109 0 5 8 603
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 1 113 0 4 9 531
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 0 10 11 309
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 1 8 11 449
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 1 3 5 402
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 132 0 7 18 466
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 1 6 16 968
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 0 3 7 409
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 0 1 6 111
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 0 6 8 222
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 0 4 6 852
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 1 3 6 623
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 0 5 11 924
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 1 3 5 2,107
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 0 3 5 438
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 0 3 11 259
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 1 5 6 722
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 1 2 316 0 1 7 923
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 0 5 8 861
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 0 3 10 541
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 0 5 11 182
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 2 5 10 446
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 1 6 18 205
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 0 1 5 213
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 40 0 3 8 206
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 27 0 5 11 219
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 0 4 5 575
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 0 5 11 211
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 0 4 8 287
Total Working Papers 1 5 24 14,265 50 471 931 65,792


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 0 2 3 76
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 1 2 4 216
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 26 0 6 6 128
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 0 600
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 1 8 11 396
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 1 3 546 2 8 21 2,483
A model of the balance of payments 0 1 2 9 0 3 4 50
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 1 5 7 1,461
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 0 3 3 56
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 0 3 6 178
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 51 1 5 15 206
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 0 25 0 1 3 82
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 0 1 4 260
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 0 1 3 404 0 7 23 1,347
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 0 4 12 385
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 0 2 167
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 0 1 5 157
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 0 3 247 0 5 16 813
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 341 6 12 25 1,393
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 1 43 0 2 4 204
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 0 6 12 163
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 2 2 80
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 0 3 6 70
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 0 4 11 260
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 1 5 14 185
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 1 16 17 216
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 18 1 6 15 110
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 0 3 4 180
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 0 3 6 184
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 1 55 0 1 6 213
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 0 59 0 7 14 256
Events That Shook the Market 1 1 1 158 1 4 12 569
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 1 3 13 282
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 1 8 24 996
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 0 3 8 277
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 0 1 5 64
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 1 1 75 1 7 13 606
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 0 5 11 239
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 1 5 11 471
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 1 5 9 188
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 0 1 3 105
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 0 0 2 186 3 10 16 599
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 0 1 5 171
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 1 9 0 3 4 73
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 4 6 10 809
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 0 3 4 121
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 0 0 1 46 0 6 15 246
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 0 2 4 143
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 2 6 7 44
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 144
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 0 5 11 372
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 1 342 3 9 25 1,104
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 0 4 8 157
Testing price equations 0 0 0 22 0 6 9 116
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 0 222 1 6 13 814
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 2 149 1 2 6 661
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 1 16 20 718
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 0 1 3 200
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 1 2 8 305 4 10 38 1,035
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 1 1 58 0 4 13 579
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 0 205 0 4 9 621
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 0 1 2 830
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 0 4 9 366
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 0 2 4 212
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 0 3 6 126
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 0 2 7 178
Total Journal Articles 2 8 34 5,369 40 294 640 26,811


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 0 1 2 50
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 0 1 171 0 0 4 399
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 0 2 2 89
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 1 3 10 387
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 0 4 7 140
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 1 36 0 3 12 111
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 0 2 4 52
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 1 10 0 6 12 78
Total Chapters 0 0 3 407 1 21 53 1,306


Statistics updated 2026-04-09