Access Statistics for Ray Fair

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture 0 0 0 16 1 2 2 153
A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model 0 0 0 152 1 1 4 1,218
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 374 2 2 5 2,620
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models 0 0 0 31 0 0 1 131
A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 190
A Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 75 0 0 1 314
A Model of the World Economy 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 216
A Multicountry Econometric Model 0 0 0 17 0 1 1 146
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) 0 0 1 111 1 1 2 520
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 1 1 144 0 3 5 410
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 0 0 846 0 0 7 3,884
An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 1 47 0 0 2 190
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 62 2 2 3 180
An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 105
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability 0 0 0 120 1 3 4 389
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 263 1 2 3 670
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 77 0 1 2 205
Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later 0 0 0 58 1 1 1 356
Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 123
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 180 1 2 3 970
Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 320
Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches 0 0 0 92 1 1 1 348
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 34 2 2 3 195
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation 0 0 0 87 1 2 3 401
Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 14 1 2 2 162
Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 188
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 1 186 1 2 7 1,304
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 1 1 119 6 8 11 540
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess 0 0 0 142 0 1 1 827
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 1 1 223 2 4 4 1,056
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 204
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares 0 0 0 27 2 2 2 257
Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 28 0 1 2 164
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices 0 0 0 83 0 0 0 396
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting 0 0 0 31 0 1 1 288
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation 0 0 0 267 3 5 6 536
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill 0 0 0 84 2 2 3 228
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries 0 0 0 40 2 2 2 161
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries 0 0 0 78 0 2 3 402
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 39 0 2 3 235
Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation 0 0 0 84 0 0 2 550
Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules 0 0 0 181 3 3 3 728
Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations 0 0 0 210 0 1 3 1,214
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 441 1 1 3 1,622
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 59 0 2 3 265
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 50 1 1 2 514
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 31 0 0 0 90
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations 0 0 0 217 0 0 1 1,412
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 135 2 3 3 435
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 66 0 0 2 123
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 0 38 1 1 1 207
Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints 0 0 0 123 0 1 3 679
Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules 0 0 0 224 1 2 3 532
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 213 1 1 2 476
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 45 1 2 6 147
Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations 0 0 0 89 1 1 1 343
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 122 1 2 4 367
Events that Shook the Market 0 0 0 28 1 3 6 160
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 29 0 1 2 149
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 64 0 1 3 331
Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 0 0 0 192 0 0 4 818
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 214 0 1 7 771
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale 0 0 0 100 0 1 2 681
Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 111
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 92 0 1 3 449
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 53 0 0 2 226
Has Macro Progressed? 0 0 0 221 1 2 2 365
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 124 1 2 2 840
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 86 4 6 7 652
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 415 0 0 4 1,187
Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change 0 0 0 56 1 1 3 298
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 36 0 0 1 445
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 18 1 1 2 173
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 0 385 0 0 1 1,739
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination 0 0 2 174 0 0 4 673
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 1 2 178 0 2 4 470
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 73 1 2 3 227
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections 0 0 0 52 1 2 4 240
Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? 0 0 0 63 0 0 1 222
Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? 0 0 0 36 1 2 3 143
Is monetary policy becoming less effective? 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 475
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics 0 0 0 236 0 1 1 1,209
On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections 0 0 3 78 1 2 9 308
On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 151
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 239 1 2 2 1,001
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 96 2 2 2 339
Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model 1 1 2 760 3 4 13 3,503
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 68 0 1 2 184
Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 86
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 42 1 1 2 244
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 0 80 1 4 4 274
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data 0 0 0 108 0 2 2 597
Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations 0 0 1 113 0 0 4 525
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 220 0 1 4 440
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 298
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates 0 0 0 120 1 1 2 398
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 0 131 3 4 6 453
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models 0 0 0 158 2 2 7 958
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 13 2 3 5 109
Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model 0 0 0 68 0 0 2 404
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 215
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s 0 0 0 146 1 1 2 847
Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship 0 0 0 104 1 1 1 618
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 173 1 3 14 917
The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics 0 0 0 556 1 1 2 2,103
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 66 0 0 0 433
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update 0 0 0 42 1 5 8 255
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 716
The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 0 0 314 0 1 3 917
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 110 1 2 3 856
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 30 1 2 2 173
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 89 1 4 4 535
The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well 0 0 0 103 4 4 5 441
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well 0 0 0 41 3 4 5 192
The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 24 1 1 4 210
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 27 1 1 2 210
The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 40 1 2 4 201
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 102 0 0 0 570
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 67 2 3 5 282
VAR Models as Structural Approximations 0 0 0 82 3 3 4 204
Total Working Papers 1 5 19 14,257 99 177 352 65,127

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Alternative Estimators of Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 20 0 1 2 74
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 212
A Criticism of One Class of Macroeconomic Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 1 26 0 0 1 122
A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program 0 0 0 49 0 0 1 600
A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator 0 0 0 95 0 2 3 388
A Theory of Extramarital Affairs 0 1 5 545 4 5 22 2,473
A model of the balance of payments 0 1 1 8 0 1 2 47
Actual Federal Reserve policy behavior and interest rate rules 0 0 0 178 0 1 2 1,456
Aggregate price changes and price expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 53
An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets 0 0 0 43 0 1 3 175
An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 51 3 4 5 196
An Evaluation of a Short-Run Forecasting Model 0 0 1 25 0 1 3 81
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 91 0 0 2 258
Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models 1 1 3 402 4 6 14 1,335
Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 0 31 1 2 3 376
Disequilibrium in Housing Models 0 0 0 46 0 0 2 167
Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics? 0 0 0 24 0 2 3 155
Econometrics and Presidential Elections 0 2 3 247 1 7 12 808
Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations 0 1 3 341 3 6 14 1,378
Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations with Auto-Regressive Errors by Instrumental Variables 0 0 1 43 0 1 2 202
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball 0 0 0 31 1 3 7 156
Estimated Effects of the Oct. 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy 0 0 0 9 0 0 1 78
Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Policies 0 0 0 4 0 1 3 67
Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages among Countries 0 0 0 42 1 2 5 254
Estimated tradeoffs between unemployment and inflation 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 174
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 200
Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models 0 0 1 18 1 2 4 99
Estimating the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 176
Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints 0 0 0 35 0 1 4 181
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model 1 1 1 55 1 1 7 211
Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules 0 0 2 59 2 3 8 247
Events That Shook the Market 0 0 0 157 1 1 6 563
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle 0 0 0 10 2 2 4 273
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale 0 0 0 146 1 6 16 988
Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 50 2 3 5 273
Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model 0 0 0 9 0 2 4 62
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? 0 0 0 74 3 3 7 599
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior 0 0 0 20 1 2 5 233
International Evidence on the Demand for Money 0 0 0 135 2 3 6 465
Labor Force Participation, Wage Rates, and Money Illusion 0 0 0 26 0 1 2 181
Macro Simulations for PCs in the Classroom 0 0 0 13 0 0 2 104
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium 1 1 2 186 2 4 7 589
Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study 0 0 0 42 1 2 2 168
On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies 0 0 1 9 0 0 2 70
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks 0 0 0 97 2 3 4 802
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 23 0 0 3 117
Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model 1 1 2 46 5 5 11 239
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 139
Properties of a multicountry econometric model 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 38
Response [Econometrics and Presidential Elections] 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 142
Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates 0 0 0 101 2 5 8 367
Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models 0 0 2 342 0 3 18 1,091
Testing Macroeconomic Models 0 0 0 63 0 2 4 152
Testing price equations 0 0 0 22 1 1 4 110
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United States 0 0 1 222 4 6 9 807
Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models 0 0 1 148 0 0 2 657
The Cowles Commission approach, real business cycles theories, and New- Keynesian economics 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 698
The Determination of Yield Differentials between Debt Instruments of the Same Maturity 0 0 0 44 0 0 1 198
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President 0 1 9 302 5 14 37 1,023
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1980 Results 0 0 0 57 1 1 6 570
The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors 0 0 1 205 0 3 5 616
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford 0 0 0 107 0 1 1 829
The Informational Context of Ex Ante Forecasts 0 0 0 72 1 2 4 361
The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 23 2 2 3 210
The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance 0 0 0 22 0 2 2 122
The production-smoothing model is alive and well 0 0 0 21 0 1 5 175
Total Journal Articles 4 10 42 5,358 61 135 348 26,430

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Announcement: A Program to Solve an Econometric Model 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 48
Computational methods for macroeconometric models 0 0 1 171 2 3 5 399
Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 87
Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models 0 0 0 120 2 4 6 383
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Linear Equation Systems with Auto-Regressive Residuals 0 0 0 23 0 1 2 135
On the Robust Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 1 36 2 3 12 107
On the Solution of Optimal Control Problems as Maximization Problems 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 49
Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits 0 0 0 9 0 1 4 70
Total Chapters 0 0 2 406 6 12 33 1,278

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Statistics updated 2025-12-06