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12 months |
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A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
150 |

A Comparison of FIML and Robust Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconomic Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
151 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1,210 |

A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
374 |
2 |
5 |
30 |
2,587 |

A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
130 |

A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
188 |

A Model of the Balance of Payments |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
311 |

A Model of the World Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
215 |

A Multicountry Econometric Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
144 |

A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
110 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
516 |

A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator |
0 |
0 |
1 |
143 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
402 |

A Theory of Extramarital Affairs |
0 |
0 |
3 |
842 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
3,862 |

An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectationsin the Bond and Stock Markets |
0 |
0 |
2 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
187 |

An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models |
0 |
1 |
1 |
62 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
176 |

An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |

Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability |
0 |
0 |
1 |
120 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
383 |

Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
262 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
664 |

Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
198 |

Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
350 |

Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations |
1 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
122 |

College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency |
0 |
0 |
5 |
180 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
964 |

Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
316 |

Does Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Versus Structural Approaches |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
340 |

Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
394 |

Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
190 |

Effect of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
159 |

Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
187 |

Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
114 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
520 |

Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations |
1 |
2 |
4 |
181 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
1,289 |

Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess |
0 |
0 |
1 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
824 |

Estimated Age Effects in Baseball |
0 |
0 |
0 |
222 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
1,048 |

Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
246 |

Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
202 |

Estimated Effects of the October 1979 Change in Monetary Policy on the 1980 Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
161 |

Estimated Inflation Costs Had European Unemployment Been Reduced in the 1980s by Macro Prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
396 |

Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
283 |

Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
267 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
526 |

Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of the U.S. Stimulus Bill |
0 |
0 |
1 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
217 |

Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
155 |

Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages amongCountries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
396 |

Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
546 |

Estimated Trade-Offs Between Unemployment and Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
231 |

Estimated, Calibrated, and Optimal Interest Rate Rules |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
722 |

Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
209 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1,207 |

Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
257 |

Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
440 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1,617 |

Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconomic Models Using Stochastic Simulation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
509 |

Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
217 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,409 |

Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |

Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables |
0 |
0 |
1 |
135 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
431 |

Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
117 |

Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
202 |

Estimation of Polynomial Distributed Lags and Leads with End Point Constraints |
0 |
0 |
1 |
123 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
672 |

Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules |
0 |
0 |
0 |
224 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
527 |

Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
139 |

Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model |
0 |
0 |
1 |
213 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
472 |

Evaluating the Information Content and Money Making Ability of Forecasts from Exchange Rate Equations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
340 |

Events that Shook the Market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
359 |

Events that Shook the Market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
150 |

Excess Labor and the Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
145 |

Excess Labor and the Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
327 |

Explaining the Labor Force Participation of Women 20-24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
191 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
810 |

Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale |
0 |
0 |
1 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
675 |

Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale |
0 |
0 |
0 |
214 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
761 |

Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |

Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
53 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
223 |

Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
443 |

Has Macro Progressed? |
1 |
1 |
1 |
220 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
359 |

How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
833 |

How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
634 |

Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
414 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,180 |

Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
292 |

Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
169 |

Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
442 |

Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
668 |

Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination |
0 |
0 |
1 |
381 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1,730 |

International Evidence on the Demand for Money |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
218 |

International Evidence on the Demand for Money |
0 |
0 |
2 |
171 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
459 |

Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
234 |

Is Monetary Policy Becoming Less Effective? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
219 |

Is There Empirical Support for the 'Modern' View of Macroeconomics? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
137 |

Is monetary policy becoming less effective? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
470 |

Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
236 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1,205 |

On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections |
1 |
1 |
3 |
70 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
291 |

On Modeling the Economic Linkages among Countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
150 |

On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
239 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
991 |

Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
335 |

Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model |
0 |
0 |
6 |
756 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
3,451 |

Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |

Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |

Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
241 |

Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
266 |

Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
592 |

Presidential and Congressional Vote-share Equations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
521 |

Risk Aversion and Stock Prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
286 |

Risk Aversion and Stock Prices |
1 |
1 |
1 |
219 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
432 |

Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
120 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
394 |

Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models |
1 |
1 |
5 |
126 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
434 |

Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
154 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
941 |

Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model |
0 |
0 |
1 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
398 |

Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
100 |

Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
213 |

Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s |
0 |
0 |
0 |
146 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
843 |

Testing the Standard View of the Long-Run Unemployment-Inflation Relationship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
617 |

The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics |
0 |
0 |
2 |
554 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
2,094 |

The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics |
0 |
0 |
3 |
170 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
894 |

The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
430 |

The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
245 |

The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update |
0 |
0 |
1 |
123 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
714 |

The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President |
0 |
0 |
3 |
311 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
895 |

The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford |
0 |
0 |
0 |
110 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
850 |

The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
530 |

The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
167 |

The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
435 |

The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well |
0 |
0 |
1 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
186 |

The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
205 |

The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
207 |

The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
194 |

The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance |
0 |
0 |
1 |
102 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
569 |

VAR Models as Structural Approximations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
276 |

VAR Models as Structural Approximations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
196 |

Total Working Papers |
6 |
8 |
71 |
14,160 |
16 |
47 |
257 |
64,298 |