Access Statistics for Laurent Ferrara

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Brief History of Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Software Tools 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 14
A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI) 1 1 1 102 1 1 2 297
A factor-augmented probit model for business cycle analysis 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2
A factor-augmented probit model for business cycle analysis 0 0 0 174 0 0 2 267
A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy 0 0 0 16 0 1 1 34
A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy 0 0 0 46 0 1 4 102
A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy 0 0 0 77 0 2 2 214
A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI 0 0 0 57 0 0 1 168
A non-parametric method to nowcast the Euro Area IPI 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 59
A real-time recession indicator for the Euro area 0 0 0 122 0 0 2 385
A turning point chronology for the Euro-zone 0 0 0 137 0 0 5 353
A world trade leading index (WLTI) 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 45
Analyse d'intervention et prévisions. problématique et application à des données de la RATP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
Analyse d’Intervention et Prévisions. Problématique et Application à des données de la RATP 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 65
Analyser les séries chronologiques avec S-Plus: une approche paramétrique 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
Analyser les séries chronologiques avec S-Plus: une approche paramétrique 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23
Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP? 1 1 1 269 1 1 7 873
Business Cycle Analysis with Multivariate Markov Switching Models 0 0 1 476 0 1 8 1,050
Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model 1 3 13 91 4 7 27 224
Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model 1 1 1 12 1 4 5 33
Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model 0 0 3 480 1 4 9 789
Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 52
Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 37
Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models 0 0 0 18 0 1 3 113
Business surveys modelling with seasonal-cyclical long memory models 0 0 0 52 0 0 0 178
Can Fiscal Budget-Neutral Reforms Stimulate Growth? Model-Based Results 0 1 3 191 0 2 10 666
Capturing international influences in U.S. monetary policy through a NLP approach 10 10 10 10 26 26 26 26
Comments on: Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26
Commodity Price Uncertainty Comovement: Does It Matter for Global Economic Growth? 1 1 1 16 1 3 8 50
Commodity currencies revisited: The role of global commodity price uncertainty 0 0 6 99 0 2 13 190
Commodity currencies revisited: The role of global commodity price uncertainty 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3
Commodity price uncertainty comovement: Does it matter for global economic growth? 0 0 0 20 0 0 3 77
Common Factors of Commodity Prices 3 5 7 216 5 9 27 827
Common Factors of Commodity Prices 0 0 1 43 0 0 3 134
Common business and housing market cycles in the Euro area from a multivariate decomposition 0 0 0 188 0 0 3 435
Common factors of commodity prices 0 1 2 74 1 4 13 212
Comparing the shapes of recoveries: France, the UK and the US 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 56
Comparison of parameter estimation methods in cyclical long memory time series 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 31
Cyclical relationships between GDP and housing market in France: Facts and factors at play 2 3 5 497 3 5 10 2,107
Data Preselection in Machine Learning Methods: An Application to Macroeconomic Nowcasting with Google Search Data 0 0 0 0 2 5 19 32
Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology 0 0 0 20 0 2 3 22
Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology 0 0 0 18 1 3 8 52
Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology 0 0 2 62 0 1 11 200
Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2
Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology 0 1 2 2 0 2 6 9
Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology 0 0 0 12 0 2 7 24
Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 10
Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology 0 0 0 22 0 2 3 11
Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2
Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology 0 0 8 8 0 1 8 8
Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology 0 0 0 20 1 3 6 57
Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 10
Detection of the Industrial Business Cycle using SETAR models 0 0 0 28 0 1 1 89
Detection of the industrial business cycle using SETAR models 0 0 0 98 0 1 1 289
Deux indicateurs probabilistes de retournement cyclique pour l conomie française 0 0 0 74 0 0 2 263
Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 28
Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence 0 0 0 69 0 1 2 180
Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2
Does the Great Recession imply the end of the Great Moderation? International evidence 0 0 0 81 0 0 4 245
Dynamic Effects of Weather Shocks on Production in European Economies 2 8 31 46 7 22 61 83
Dynamic Factor Models: A review of the Literature 0 0 4 682 0 0 7 1,270
Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 68
Estimation and Applications of Gegenbauer Processes 0 0 0 49 1 1 2 109
Evaluation of Nonlinear time-series models for real-time business cycle analysis of the Euro 0 0 0 113 0 0 2 244
Evaluation of Nonlinear time-series models for real-time business cycle analysis of the Euro area 0 0 0 68 0 0 0 120
Evaluation of Regime Switching Models for Real-Time Business Cycle Analysis of the Euro Area 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Evaluation of Regime Switching Models for Real-Time Business Cycle Analysis of the Euro Area 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 47
Explaining US employment growth after the Great Recession: the role of output-employment non-linearities 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 45
Explaining the Recent Slump in Investment: the Role of Expected Demand and Uncertainty 0 1 6 395 1 8 38 1,076
Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 36
Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession 0 0 1 515 1 1 4 1,713
Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2
Forecasting Euro-area recessions using time-varying binary response models for financial 0 0 1 239 1 1 5 579
Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient? 0 0 0 111 0 1 2 235
Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient? 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 2
Forecasting business cycles 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22
Forecasting business cycles 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 33
Forecasting financial time series with generalized long memory processes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13
Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient? 0 0 0 131 0 0 2 259
Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient? 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 25
Forecasting with k-factor Gegenbauer Processes: Theory and Applications 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 34
Fractional and seasonal filtering 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 32
Fractional and seasonal filtering 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Fractional and seasonal filtering 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 6
Fractional seasonality: Models and Application to Economic Activity in the Euro Area 0 0 0 19 1 1 2 86
GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: A semi-parametric modelling 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 130
GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: A semi-parametric modelling 0 0 0 101 1 1 3 277
GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 12
GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling 0 0 0 47 0 1 1 99
Global Financial interconnectedness: A non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Global financial interconnectedness: A Non-Linear Assessment of the Uncertainty Channel 0 0 3 36 0 0 8 143
Global financial interconnectedness: A non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel 0 0 3 11 0 1 5 46
Global financial interconnectedness: a non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 17
High-Frequency Monitoring of Growth-at-Risk 1 2 8 159 2 7 36 539
High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 33
Housing Cycles In The Major Euro Area Countries 0 0 1 89 0 0 1 281
Housing cycles in the major euro area countries 0 0 1 176 0 0 5 595
Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy 0 0 1 233 0 1 5 693
Identification of slowdowns and accelerations for the euro area economy 0 0 1 82 0 0 5 269
Impact of uncertainty shocks on the global economy 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 114
Impact of uncertainty shocks on the global economy 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 98
International Macroeconomics in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12
Les cycles économiques de la France: une datation de référence 0 0 4 39 0 1 6 81
Les cycles économiques de la France: une datation de référence 0 0 0 16 0 3 5 21
Les cycles économiques de la France: une datation de référence 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3
Les cycles économiques de la France: une datation de référence 0 0 0 40 0 3 9 94
Les cycles économiques de la France: une datation de référence 0 0 0 21 0 2 5 46
Macro-financial linkages and business cycles: A factor-probit approach 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 145
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 178 0 1 4 456
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 31
Marché du travail et politique monétaire aux Etats-Unis: débats actuels et enjeux 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 23
Measuring Exchange Rate Risks During Periods of Uncertainty 0 0 3 56 0 4 8 127
Monthly GDP forecasting using bridge models: Comparison from the supply and demand sides for the French economy 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 33
Monthly forecasting of French GDP: A revised version of the OPTIM model 0 0 0 249 1 1 6 925
Méthodes de prévision en finance 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 38
Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach 0 0 3 281 3 4 20 662
Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 66
Post-Recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-Linear Okun's Law 0 0 0 54 0 1 1 167
Post-recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-linear Okun's law 0 0 0 121 1 3 4 252
Post-recession US employment through the lens of a non-linear Okun 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 50
Post-recession US employment through the lens of a non-linear Okun’s law 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2
Post-recession US employment through the lens of a non-linear Okun’s law 0 0 0 127 0 3 4 218
Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 5
Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences 0 0 0 7 0 1 1 43
Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, exchange rate and inflation 0 0 3 75 1 2 12 335
Questioning the puzzle: fiscal policy, real exchange rate and inflation 0 0 4 35 0 2 12 94
Real-time detection of the business cycle using SETAR models 0 0 0 22 0 0 1 67
Testing Fractional Order of Long Memory Processes: A Monte Carlo Study 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
Testing Fractional Order of Long Memory Processes: A Monte Carlo Study 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 5
Testing Fractional Order of Long Memory Processes: A Monte Carlo Study 0 0 0 17 0 0 1 65
Testing fractional order of long memory processes: a Monte Carlo study 0 0 0 73 0 1 1 192
Testing fractional order of long memory processes: a Monte Carlo study 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 51
Testing the Number of Factors: An Empirical Assessment for a Forecasting Purpose 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Testing the number of factors: An empirical assessment for forecasting purposes 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 26
The European Way Out of Recessions 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 73
The European Way out of Recession 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 10
The European way out of recession 0 0 0 218 0 1 4 691
The New Fama Puzzle 0 0 0 0 1 3 10 15
The New Fama Puzzle 0 0 4 97 2 2 11 519
The Possible Shapes of Recoveries in Markov-Switching Models 0 0 0 44 0 1 2 111
The Predictive Power of the Term Spread and Financial Variables for Economic Activity across Countries 0 0 3 20 0 0 11 33
The possible shapes of recoveries in Markov-Switching models 0 0 0 79 0 0 0 164
The possible shapes of recoveries in Markov-switching models 0 0 1 156 0 0 4 473
The way out of recessions: A forecasting analysis for some Euro area countries 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 12
The way out of recessions: Evidence from a bounce-back augmented threshold regression 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 16
Un indicateur d'entrée et sortie de récession: application aux Etats-Unis 0 0 0 71 1 2 2 355
Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges 0 2 5 66 0 3 11 238
Understanding the weakness in global trade - What is the new normal? 0 0 1 203 1 2 9 792
Une revue de la littérature des modèles à facteurs dynamiques 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 38
What Are The Macroeconomic Effects of High-Frequency Uncertainty Shocks? 0 0 1 1 0 1 3 5
What Are The Macroeconomic Effects of High-Frequency Uncertainty Shocks? 0 0 1 364 1 3 12 908
What Are the Macroeconomic Effects of High-Frequency Uncertainty Shocks 0 1 1 80 0 1 3 272
What are the macroeconomic effects of high-frequency uncertainty shocks? 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 21
When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage 0 0 2 24 0 1 6 22
When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage 0 0 2 162 0 2 11 471
When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage 0 1 1 23 0 1 3 45
When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage 0 0 1 70 1 1 4 207
When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage 0 2 9 163 1 6 28 368
When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage 0 0 1 1 0 2 3 3
Total Working Papers 23 45 180 10,756 84 250 806 31,503
2 registered items for which data could not be found

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A SYSTEM FOR DATING AND DETECTING TURNING POINTS IN THE EURO AREA 0 0 0 87 0 1 4 243
A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI) 1 2 2 18 2 3 6 75
A new monthly chronology of the US industrial cycles in the prewar economy 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 66
A three-regime real-time indicator for the US economy 0 0 0 97 0 0 1 262
Are disaggregate data useful for factor analysis in forecasting French GDP? 1 1 1 81 2 4 5 264
Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 32
Caractérisation et datation des cycles économiques en zone euro 0 0 1 77 0 0 4 206
Commodity currencies revisited: The role of global commodity price uncertainty 0 0 3 3 0 0 8 8
Common factors of commodity prices 0 0 0 50 0 0 3 247
Common factors of commodity prices 4 11 22 72 8 21 69 217
Comparing the shape of recoveries: France, the UK and the US 0 0 0 50 0 0 2 152
DOES THE GREAT RECESSION IMPLY THE END OF THE GREAT MODERATION? INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 4 0 1 3 117
Detecting Cyclical Turning Points: The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators 1 3 4 122 1 5 7 379
Detection of the Industrial Business Cycle using SETAR Models 0 0 1 34 0 0 3 123
Does the Phillips curve still exist? 2 5 7 116 3 9 12 271
Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature 0 0 2 128 7 10 17 352
Evaluation of Regime Switching Models for Real‐Time Business Cycle Analysis of the Euro Area 0 0 0 26 0 0 0 88
Explaining US employment growth after the great recession: The role of output–employment non-linearities 0 0 0 24 1 3 6 121
Explaining the recent slump in investment: the role of expected demand and uncertainty 0 0 0 46 1 3 7 169
Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession 0 0 0 86 0 0 1 233
Fiscal consolidation episodes in OECD countries: the role of tax compliance and fiscal space 0 0 0 17 0 0 1 61
Forecasting euro area recessions by combining financial information 0 0 0 13 0 0 2 39
Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient? 0 0 0 38 0 0 1 124
Forecasting the business cycle. Summary of the 8th International Institute of Forecasters workshop hosted by the Banque de France on 1-2 December 2011 in Paris 0 0 0 22 0 0 1 94
Forecasting with k-Factor Gegenbauer Processes: Theory and Applications 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 505
GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling 0 0 1 21 0 0 5 148
Global financial interconnectedness: a non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel 0 0 3 12 1 2 9 32
Global imbalances: build-up, unwinding and financial aspects 0 0 0 13 1 2 3 95
Global imbalances: build-up, unwinding and financial aspects 0 0 0 11 0 1 1 73
Guest editorial: Economic forecasting in times of COVID-19 0 0 0 5 2 3 5 24
High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk 1 3 5 13 1 6 21 58
Housing markets after the crisis: lessons for the macroeconomy 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 87
Identification of Slowdowns and Accelerations for the Euro Area Economy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 108
Impact des chocs d’incertitude sur l’économie mondiale – Synthèse de conférence 0 1 2 47 0 1 4 156
Impact of uncertainty shocks on the global economy Summary of the workshop 12-13 May organised by the Banque de France and University College of London 0 0 0 47 0 0 4 137
La localisation des entreprises industrielles: comment apprecier l'attractivite des territoires ? 0 0 1 100 0 10 12 456
Les cycles économiques de la France: une datation de référence 0 1 2 3 1 4 32 38
Les marchés immobiliers après la crise: quelles leçons pour la macroéconomie ? 1 1 1 31 1 2 4 103
Les variables financières sont-elles utiles pour anticiper la croissance économique ?. Quelques évidences économétriques 0 0 1 80 0 0 2 189
L’apport des indicateurs de retournement cyclique à l’analyse conjoncturelle 0 0 1 30 0 0 1 120
MONTHLY GDP FORECASTING USING BRIDGE MODELS: APPLICATION FOR THE FRENCH ECONOMY 0 0 1 37 0 1 4 118
Macro-financial linkages and business cycles: A factor-augmented probit approach 0 1 1 37 0 1 2 128
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 1 3 40 1 3 7 153
Marché du travail et politique monétaire aux États-Unis: débats actuels et enjeux 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 53
Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty 0 0 0 6 0 1 5 23
Measuring exchange rate risks during periods of uncertainty 0 0 2 2 0 0 4 7
Nowcasting global economic growth 0 1 1 54 0 2 5 123
Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor‐augmented mixed‐frequency approach 0 0 2 51 0 1 4 222
OPTIM: a quarterly forecasting tool for French GDP 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 150
OPTIM: un outil de prévision trimestrielle du PIB de la France 0 1 2 39 0 1 4 202
Oil jump tail risk as a driver of inflation dynamics 1 1 2 2 1 1 4 4
Point and interval nowcasts of the Euro area IPI 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 62
Prévoir le cycle économique. Synthèse du huitième séminaire de l’International Institute of Forecasters organisé par la Banque de France les 1er et 2 décembre 2011 à Paris 0 0 1 46 0 0 2 141
Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, real exchange rate and inflation 1 2 7 26 3 5 23 91
Testing the Number of Factors: An Empirical Assessment for a Forecasting Purpose 0 0 1 32 0 0 1 99
The New Fama Puzzle 0 0 6 30 2 5 33 122
The contribution of cyclical turning point indicators to business cycle analysis 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 130
The way out of recessions: A forecasting analysis for some Euro area countries 0 0 0 23 0 2 4 107
US labour market and monetary policy: current debates and challenges 0 0 1 22 0 0 2 97
Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d'accélération pour l'économie française 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26
Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d’accélération pour l’économie française 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 70
Uncertainty and macroeconomics: transmission channels and policy implications 0 0 1 42 1 3 7 116
Une revue de la littérature des modèles à facteurs dynamiques 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 25
What are the macroeconomic effects of high‐frequency uncertainty shocks? 0 2 4 61 0 4 10 252
When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage 1 2 4 5 2 5 15 22
Épisodes d’assainissement budgétaire dans les pays de l’OCDE: rôle du respect des règles fiscales et des marges budgétaires 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 37
Total Journal Articles 14 39 99 2,309 42 127 414 8,852

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Introduction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Uncertainty Fluctuations: Measures, Effects and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 32
Total Chapters 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 37

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Statistics updated 2025-06-06