Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Adjustment in EMU: Is Convergence Assured? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
344 |
Adjustment in EMU: Is Convergence Assured? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
125 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
254 |
Analysing Convergence in Europe Using a Non-linear Single Factor Model |
2 |
2 |
2 |
160 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
340 |
Animal Spirits, the Stock Market, and the Unemployment Rate: Some Evidence for German Data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
263 |
Deciphering Professional Forecasters’ Stories - Analyzing a Corpus of Textual Predictions for the German Economy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
132 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
202 |
Declining Output Volatility in Germany: Impulses, Propagation, and the Role of Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
231 |
Declining Output Volatility in Germany: Impulses, Propagation, and the Role of the Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
174 |
Default Option, Risk-Aversion and Household Borrowing Behaviour |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
362 |
Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
381 |
Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries |
0 |
0 |
1 |
94 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
356 |
Do Leading Indicators Help to Predict Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
230 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
813 |
Do Prices in the EMU Converge (Non-linearly)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
239 |
Do Probit Models Help in Forecasting Turning Points in German Business Cycles? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
82 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
294 |
Do probit models help in forecasting turning points of German business cycles? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
365 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,023 |
Does the Dispersion of Unit Labor Cost Dynamics in the EMU Imply Long-Run Divergence?: Results from a Comparison with the United States of America and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
366 |
Does the Dispersion of Unit Labor Cost Dynamics in the EMU Imply Long-run Divergence? Results from a Comparison with the United States of America and Germany |
0 |
0 |
1 |
151 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
494 |
Don't Worry, Be Right! Survey Wording Effects on In flation Perceptions and Expectations |
1 |
1 |
1 |
110 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
279 |
Ergebnisse der ökonometrischen Untersuchung zum Forschungsprojekt Wirtschaftspolitische Regime westlicher Industrienationen |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
1 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
243 |
Estimating Sticky Information Phillips Curve: International Evidence from the Consensus Survey of Forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
184 |
Estimating and Forecasting Aggregate Productivity Growth Trends in the US and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
583 |
Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts |
0 |
0 |
1 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
262 |
European inflation expectations dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
108 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
478 |
Evaluating German Business Cycle Forecasts Under an Asymmetric Loss Function |
0 |
0 |
1 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
340 |
Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
333 |
Evaluating the Link between Consumers' Savings Portfolio Decisions, their Inflation Expectations and Economic News |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
343 |
Forecast Errors and the Macroeconomy: A Non-Linear Relationship? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
213 |
Forecast errors and the macroeconomy — a non-linear relationship? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
306 |
Forecasting the Brazilian Real and the Mexican Peso: Asymmetric Loss, Forecast Rationality, and Forecaster Herding |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
350 |
Forecasting the Euro: Do Forecasters Have an Asymmetric Loss Function? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
181 |
Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Germany: An Assessment of Accuracy and Dispersion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
151 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
551 |
Has Macroeconomic Forecasting changed after the Great Recession? - Panel-based Evidence on Accuracy and Forecaster Behaviour from Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
120 |
How bad is Divergence in the Euro-Zone? Lessons from the United States of America and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
562 |
INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,005 |
Inflation Inequality in Europe |
0 |
0 |
1 |
145 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
389 |
Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
106 |
Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
63 |
Labor Productivity Slowdown in the Developed Economies. Another Productivity Puzzle? |
1 |
1 |
2 |
90 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
127 |
Leading Indicators of Euroland Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
1 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
262 |
Leading Indicators of Euroland Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
1 |
357 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
879 |
Leading Indicators of German Business Cycles: An Assessment of Properties |
0 |
0 |
1 |
113 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
363 |
Leading Indicators of German Business Cycles: An Assessment of Properties |
0 |
0 |
0 |
520 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1,292 |
Makroökonomische Bedingungen für die Rückkehr zur Vollbeschäftigung: Plädoyer für einen mehrdimensionalen Ansatz |
0 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
496 |
Narratives on the causes of inflation in Germany: First results of a pilot study |
0 |
1 |
16 |
16 |
2 |
5 |
33 |
35 |
New Keynesian DSGE Models and the IS-LM Paradigm |
0 |
1 |
13 |
486 |
1 |
6 |
27 |
1,240 |
New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises |
1 |
1 |
3 |
50 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
38 |
Oil Price Shocks and Protest: Can Shadow Economy Mitigate? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
134 |
Oil Price Shocks, Protest and the Shadow Economyː Is there a Mitigation Effect? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
Perceived Inflation under Loss Aversion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
449 |
Predicting Recessions With Boosted Regression Trees |
0 |
0 |
4 |
134 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
280 |
Predicting Recessions in Germany With Boosted Regression Trees |
0 |
0 |
3 |
92 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
181 |
Prediction of Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
37 |
Prospect Theory and Inflation Perceptions - An Empirical Assessment |
0 |
0 |
4 |
295 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
772 |
Real-time Macroeconomic Data and Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
304 |
Sharks and minnows in a shoal of words: Measuring latent ideological positions of German economic research institutes based on text mining techniques |
0 |
0 |
1 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
125 |
Sharks and minnows in a shoal of words: Measuring latent ideological positions of German economic research institutes based on text mining techniques |
0 |
0 |
1 |
24 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
50 |
Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
376 |
Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
364 |
Sticky information Phillips curves: European evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
171 |
Structural Unemployment and the Output Gap in Germany: Evidence from an SVAR Analysis within a Hysteresis Framework |
0 |
0 |
2 |
354 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
1,133 |
The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
385 |
The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
439 |
The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From forecasts to evaluation and comparison |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
7 |
The New Keynesian Model and the Long-Run Vertical Phillips Curve: Does It Hold for Germany? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
942 |
The New Keynesian Model and the Long-run Vertical Phillips Curve: Does it hold for Germany? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
163 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
858 |
The Store-of-Value-Function of Money as a Component of Household Risk Management |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,832 |
The Store-of-Value-Function of Money as a Component of Household Risk Management |
0 |
0 |
0 |
118 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2,063 |
The euro and prices: changeover-related inflation and price convergence in the euro area |
0 |
1 |
10 |
164 |
1 |
3 |
20 |
623 |
Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts. Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
65 |
Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
164 |
Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
1 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
50 |
Too Many Cooks? The German Joint Diagnosis and Its Production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
111 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
266 |
Transition Paths to Convergence and Convergence Clusters in EMU: Evidence from a Nonlinear Time-Varying Factor Model Framework |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
33 |
Understanding moral narratives as drivers of polarization about genetically engineered crops |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
8 |
Unit Labor Cost Growth Differentials in the Euro Area, Germany, and the US: Lessons from PANIC and Cluster Analysis |
0 |
1 |
1 |
208 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
939 |
Unit labor cost growth differentials in the Euro area, Germany, and the US: lessons from PANIC and cluster analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
720 |
Vergleichende Evaluation der Konjunkturprognosen des Instituts für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung an der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung für den Zeitraum 2005-2014 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
117 |
Vorlaufeigenschaften von Ifo-Indikatoren für Westdeutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
308 |
Total Working Papers |
5 |
10 |
93 |
8,790 |
15 |
47 |
280 |
32,252 |
Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
A Note on Forecasting the Euro: Do Forecasters Have an Asymmetric Loss Function? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
Analysing convergence in Europe using the non-linear single factor model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
120 |
Anhaltende Divergenz bei Inflations- und Lohnentwicklung in der Eurozone: Gefahr für die Währungsunion? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
430 |
Anhaltende Divergenz der Lohnstückkostenentwicklung im Euroraum problematisch |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
553 |
Animal spirits, the stock market, and the unemployment rate: Some evidence for German data |
0 |
1 |
3 |
30 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
91 |
Argentinien in der Krise |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
283 |
Ausrüstungs- und Bauinvestitionen in der Europäischen Währungsunion deutlich ausgeweitet |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
255 |
Business Cycle Research in the European Economic and Monetary Union: An Introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
Declining output volatility in Germany: impulses, propagation, and the role of monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
Did the ECB Overstep Its Mandate? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
64 |
Die doppelte Währungsunion: Deutschland und Europa im wirtschaftlichen Integrationsprozess; ein Rückblick und ein Vergleich |
0 |
0 |
1 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
494 |
Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries |
2 |
5 |
9 |
161 |
4 |
8 |
21 |
512 |
Divergierende Lohn- und Inflationsentwicklungen im Euroraum: Ursachen und Folgen |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
Does the dispersion of unit labor cost dynamics in the EMU imply long-run divergence? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
139 |
Editorial to the special issue |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
170 |
Forecasting the Brazilian real and the Mexican peso: Asymmetric loss, forecast rationality, and forecaster herding |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
100 |
Growth and inflation forecasts for Germany a panel-based assessment of accuracy and efficiency |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
186 |
Has macroeconomic forecasting changed after the Great Recession? Panel-based evidence on forecast accuracy and forecaster behavior from Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
33 |
How bad is divergence in the euro zone? Lessons from the United States and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
273 |
Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel |
0 |
0 |
1 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
156 |
Introduction: Digital History |
0 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
13 |
Konzeptionelle Schwächen von IWF-Stabilisierungsprogrammen im Kontext der Asienkrise |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
82 |
Krise, Arbeitsmarkt, Erholung: Was kommt auf uns zu? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
Leading Indicators of German Business Cycles. An Assessment of Properties / Frühindikatoren der deutschen Konjunktur. Eine Beurteilung ihrer Eigenschaften |
0 |
0 |
1 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
226 |
Mehr Beschäftigung durch weitere Arbeitsmarktreformen? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
82 |
On the directional accuracy of survey forecasts: the case of gold and silver |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
Perceived inflation under loss aversion |
0 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
110 |
Predicting recessions with boosted regression trees |
1 |
1 |
10 |
52 |
1 |
4 |
20 |
171 |
Prediction of Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany / Prognose konjunktureller Wendepunkte in Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
190 |
Productivity Growth in Germany: No Sustainable Economic Recovery in Sight |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
394 |
Productivity Growth in the United States and Germany: Is Germany Falling Further behind? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
515 |
Produktivitätswachstum in Deutschland: kein nachhaltiger Aufschwung in Sicht |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
272 |
Produktivitätswachstum in den USA und Deutschland: fällt Deutschland weiter zurück? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
87 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
497 |
Schwaches Produktivitätswachstum — zyklisches oder strukturelles Phänomen? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
Sharks and minnows in a shoal of words: Measuring latent ideological positions based on text mining techniques |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
Shocking! Do forecasters share a common belief? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
Stabilisierungspolitik in Euroland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
224 |
Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
1 |
1 |
129 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
406 |
The Global Productivity Slowdown: Diagnosis, Causes and Remedies |
0 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
44 |
Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
Treffgenauigkeit, Rationalität und Streuung von Konjunkturprognosen für Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
330 |
US-Wirtschaft im Abschwung - Wirtschaftspolitik steuert massiv gegen |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
USA: Geschichte einer ungewöhnlichen Rezession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
367 |
Warum Konjunkturprognosen? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
221 |
When do forecasters disagree? An assessment of German growth and inflation forecast dispersion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
172 |
Zinserhöhung der EZB: ein vergeblicher Schritt zur Stabilisierung des Euro |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
614 |
Zur Zukunft des Stabilitäts- und Wachstumspaktes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
Total Journal Articles |
3 |
9 |
35 |
1,898 |
6 |
22 |
119 |
9,642 |