| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| Adjustment in EMU: Is Convergence Assured? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
261 |
| Adjustment in EMU: Is Convergence Assured? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
350 |
| Analysing Convergence in Europe Using a Non-linear Single Factor Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
160 |
3 |
10 |
10 |
350 |
| Animal Spirits, the Stock Market, and the Unemployment Rate: Some Evidence for German Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
2 |
7 |
9 |
273 |
| Deciphering Professional Forecasters’ Stories - Analyzing a Corpus of Textual Predictions for the German Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
212 |
| Declining Output Volatility in Germany: Impulses, Propagation, and the Role of Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
4 |
7 |
238 |
| Declining Output Volatility in Germany: Impulses, Propagation, and the Role of the Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
12 |
22 |
24 |
198 |
| Default Option, Risk-Aversion and Household Borrowing Behaviour |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
366 |
| Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
6 |
8 |
390 |
| Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries |
0 |
0 |
1 |
95 |
0 |
13 |
17 |
375 |
| Do Leading Indicators Help to Predict Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
231 |
4 |
12 |
13 |
827 |
| Do Prices in the EMU Converge (Non-linearly)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
247 |
| Do Probit Models Help in Forecasting Turning Points in German Business Cycles? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
82 |
0 |
6 |
9 |
303 |
| Do probit models help in forecasting turning points of German business cycles? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
365 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
1,029 |
| Does the Dispersion of Unit Labor Cost Dynamics in the EMU Imply Long-Run Divergence?: Results from a Comparison with the United States of America and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
93 |
4 |
7 |
12 |
378 |
| Does the Dispersion of Unit Labor Cost Dynamics in the EMU Imply Long-run Divergence? Results from a Comparison with the United States of America and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
151 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
499 |
| Don't Worry, Be Right! Survey Wording Effects on In flation Perceptions and Expectations |
0 |
0 |
4 |
115 |
0 |
5 |
13 |
296 |
| Ergebnisse der ökonometrischen Untersuchung zum Forschungsprojekt Wirtschaftspolitische Regime westlicher Industrienationen |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
57 |
| Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
251 |
| Estimating Sticky Information Phillips Curve: International Evidence from the Consensus Survey of Forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
11 |
196 |
| Estimating and Forecasting Aggregate Productivity Growth Trends in the US and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
588 |
| Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
7 |
7 |
269 |
| European inflation expectations dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
2 |
5 |
13 |
492 |
| Evaluating German Business Cycle Forecasts Under an Asymmetric Loss Function |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
0 |
7 |
9 |
349 |
| Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function |
0 |
0 |
1 |
47 |
0 |
6 |
9 |
344 |
| Evaluating the Link between Consumers' Savings Portfolio Decisions, their Inflation Expectations and Economic News |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
350 |
| Forecast Errors and the Macroeconomy: A Non-Linear Relationship? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
7 |
9 |
222 |
| Forecast errors and the macroeconomy — a non-linear relationship? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
312 |
| Forecasting the Brazilian Real and the Mexican Peso: Asymmetric Loss, Forecast Rationality, and Forecaster Herding |
0 |
1 |
1 |
90 |
0 |
12 |
13 |
364 |
| Forecasting the Euro: Do Forecasters Have an Asymmetric Loss Function? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
187 |
| Going viral: Inflation narratives and the macroeconomy |
0 |
1 |
10 |
28 |
8 |
19 |
53 |
86 |
| Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Germany: An Assessment of Accuracy and Dispersion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
151 |
0 |
8 |
11 |
562 |
| Has Macroeconomic Forecasting changed after the Great Recession? - Panel-based Evidence on Accuracy and Forecaster Behaviour from Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
2 |
13 |
20 |
140 |
| How bad is Divergence in the Euro-Zone? Lessons from the United States of America and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
0 |
5 |
7 |
570 |
| INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
1 |
6 |
6 |
148 |
| Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland |
0 |
1 |
1 |
61 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
1,011 |
| Inflation Inequality in Europe |
0 |
0 |
2 |
150 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
399 |
| Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
111 |
| Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
2 |
6 |
7 |
96 |
| Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
3 |
17 |
20 |
83 |
| Labor Productivity Slowdown in the Developed Economies. Another Productivity Puzzle? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
0 |
4 |
8 |
136 |
| Leading Indicators of Euroland Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
357 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
885 |
| Leading Indicators of Euroland Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
0 |
4 |
7 |
269 |
| Leading Indicators of German Business Cycles: An Assessment of Properties |
0 |
0 |
0 |
113 |
1 |
5 |
7 |
370 |
| Leading Indicators of German Business Cycles: An Assessment of Properties |
0 |
0 |
0 |
520 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
1,297 |
| Makroökonomische Bedingungen für die Rückkehr zur Vollbeschäftigung: Plädoyer für einen mehrdimensionalen Ansatz |
0 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
504 |
| Narratives on the causes of inflation in Germany: First results of a pilot study |
0 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
3 |
9 |
17 |
76 |
| New Keynesian DSGE Models and the IS-LM Paradigm |
0 |
1 |
3 |
494 |
1 |
14 |
32 |
1,284 |
| New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises |
0 |
1 |
3 |
54 |
0 |
8 |
12 |
51 |
| Oil Price Shocks and Protest: Can Shadow Economy Mitigate? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
51 |
1 |
9 |
14 |
150 |
| Oil Price Shocks, Protest and the Shadow Economyː Is there a Mitigation Effect? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
16 |
23 |
| Perceived Inflation under Loss Aversion |
0 |
0 |
1 |
109 |
2 |
5 |
15 |
470 |
| Predicting Recessions With Boosted Regression Trees |
0 |
0 |
0 |
134 |
0 |
37 |
45 |
325 |
| Predicting Recessions in Germany With Boosted Regression Trees |
0 |
0 |
1 |
93 |
3 |
12 |
20 |
202 |
| Prediction of Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
11 |
48 |
| Prospect Theory and Inflation Perceptions - An Empirical Assessment |
0 |
1 |
6 |
307 |
3 |
17 |
32 |
815 |
| Real-time Macroeconomic Data and Uncertainty |
1 |
2 |
4 |
117 |
2 |
11 |
22 |
329 |
| Sharks and minnows in a shoal of words: Measuring latent ideological positions of German economic research institutes based on text mining techniques |
1 |
2 |
6 |
53 |
5 |
13 |
25 |
155 |
| Sharks and minnows in a shoal of words: Measuring latent ideological positions of German economic research institutes based on text mining techniques |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
6 |
13 |
66 |
| Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
5 |
8 |
384 |
| Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
2 |
105 |
0 |
4 |
11 |
376 |
| Sticky information Phillips curves: European evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
180 |
| Structural Unemployment and the Output Gap in Germany: Evidence from an SVAR Analysis within a Hysteresis Framework |
0 |
1 |
2 |
357 |
0 |
6 |
9 |
1,146 |
| The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
446 |
| The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
115 |
3 |
5 |
11 |
396 |
| The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From forecasts to evaluation and comparison |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
3 |
11 |
12 |
20 |
| The New Keynesian Model and the Long-Run Vertical Phillips Curve: Does It Hold for Germany? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
950 |
| The New Keynesian Model and the Long-run Vertical Phillips Curve: Does it hold for Germany? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
2 |
10 |
15 |
876 |
| The Store-of-Value-Function of Money as a Component of Household Risk Management |
0 |
0 |
1 |
119 |
2 |
7 |
13 |
2,078 |
| The Store-of-Value-Function of Money as a Component of Household Risk Management |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
0 |
14 |
25 |
1,858 |
| The euro and prices: changeover-related inflation and price convergence in the euro area |
0 |
1 |
7 |
173 |
2 |
11 |
28 |
654 |
| Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts. Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
16 |
| Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
74 |
| Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
172 |
| Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
1 |
6 |
10 |
60 |
| Too Many Cooks? The German Joint Diagnosis and Its Production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
111 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
269 |
| Transition Paths to Convergence and Convergence Clusters in EMU: Evidence from a Nonlinear Time-Varying Factor Model Framework |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
2 |
6 |
8 |
41 |
| Understanding moral narratives as drivers of polarization about genetically engineered crops |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
7 |
12 |
20 |
| Unit Labor Cost Growth Differentials in the Euro Area, Germany, and the US: Lessons from PANIC and Cluster Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
208 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
947 |
| Unit labor cost growth differentials in the Euro area, Germany, and the US: lessons from PANIC and cluster analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
1 |
5 |
8 |
728 |
| Vergleichende Evaluation der Konjunkturprognosen des Instituts für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung an der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung für den Zeitraum 2005-2014 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
72 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
125 |
| Vorlaufeigenschaften von Ifo-Indikatoren für Westdeutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
0 |
8 |
11 |
319 |
| Total Working Papers |
2 |
14 |
67 |
8,908 |
110 |
579 |
960 |
33,369 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Note on Forecasting the Euro: Do Forecasters Have an Asymmetric Loss Function? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
6 |
9 |
50 |
| Analysing convergence in Europe using the non-linear single factor model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
1 |
6 |
8 |
128 |
| Anhaltende Divergenz bei Inflations- und Lohnentwicklung in der Eurozone: Gefahr für die Währungsunion? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
106 |
1 |
7 |
13 |
443 |
| Anhaltende Divergenz der Lohnstückkostenentwicklung im Euroraum problematisch |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
558 |
| Animal spirits, the stock market, and the unemployment rate: Some evidence for German data |
0 |
0 |
2 |
32 |
1 |
7 |
13 |
104 |
| Argentinien in der Krise |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
5 |
6 |
289 |
| Ausrüstungs- und Bauinvestitionen in der Europäischen Währungsunion deutlich ausgeweitet |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
257 |
| Business Cycle Research in the European Economic and Monetary Union: An Introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
54 |
| Declining output volatility in Germany: impulses, propagation, and the role of monetary policy |
0 |
1 |
1 |
37 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
178 |
| Did the ECB Overstep Its Mandate? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
1 |
5 |
7 |
73 |
| Die doppelte Währungsunion: Deutschland und Europa im wirtschaftlichen Integrationsprozess; ein Rückblick und ein Vergleich |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
8 |
10 |
504 |
| Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries |
0 |
1 |
7 |
178 |
4 |
18 |
50 |
583 |
| Divergierende Lohn- und Inflationsentwicklungen im Euroraum: Ursachen und Folgen |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
12 |
| Does the dispersion of unit labor cost dynamics in the EMU imply long-run divergence? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
6 |
7 |
146 |
| Editorial to the special issue |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
7 |
| Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function |
0 |
0 |
1 |
37 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
177 |
| Forecasting the Brazilian real and the Mexican peso: Asymmetric loss, forecast rationality, and forecaster herding |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
111 |
| Growth and inflation forecasts for Germany a panel-based assessment of accuracy and efficiency |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
191 |
| Has macroeconomic forecasting changed after the Great Recession? Panel-based evidence on forecast accuracy and forecaster behavior from Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
42 |
| How bad is divergence in the euro zone? Lessons from the United States and Germany |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
277 |
| Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
162 |
| Introduction: Digital History |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
| Konzeptionelle Schwächen von IWF-Stabilisierungsprogrammen im Kontext der Asienkrise |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
88 |
| Krise, Arbeitsmarkt, Erholung: Was kommt auf uns zu? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
67 |
| Leading Indicators of German Business Cycles. An Assessment of Properties / Frühindikatoren der deutschen Konjunktur. Eine Beurteilung ihrer Eigenschaften |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
235 |
| Mehr Beschäftigung durch weitere Arbeitsmarktreformen? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
87 |
| New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises |
0 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
2 |
25 |
47 |
55 |
| On the directional accuracy of survey forecasts: the case of gold and silver |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
73 |
| Perceived inflation under loss aversion |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
128 |
| Predicting recessions with boosted regression trees |
0 |
1 |
2 |
55 |
1 |
6 |
11 |
186 |
| Prediction of Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany / Prognose konjunktureller Wendepunkte in Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
9 |
9 |
200 |
| Productivity Growth in Germany: No Sustainable Economic Recovery in Sight |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
1 |
9 |
12 |
406 |
| Productivity Growth in the United States and Germany: Is Germany Falling Further behind? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
3 |
9 |
15 |
533 |
| Produktivitätswachstum in Deutschland: kein nachhaltiger Aufschwung in Sicht |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
274 |
| Produktivitätswachstum in den USA und Deutschland: fällt Deutschland weiter zurück? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
0 |
5 |
8 |
506 |
| Schwaches Produktivitätswachstum — zyklisches oder strukturelles Phänomen? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
58 |
| Sharks and minnows in a shoal of words: Measuring latent ideological positions based on text mining techniques |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
30 |
| Shocking! Do forecasters share a common belief? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
93 |
| Stabilisierungspolitik in Euroland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
98 |
| Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
229 |
| Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
5 |
18 |
| The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
131 |
5 |
13 |
21 |
427 |
| The Global Productivity Slowdown: Diagnosis, Causes and Remedies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
7 |
13 |
59 |
| The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From Forecasts to Evaluation and Comparison |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
15 |
| Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
7 |
17 |
| Treffgenauigkeit, Rationalität und Streuung von Konjunkturprognosen für Deutschland |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
336 |
| US-Wirtschaft im Abschwung - Wirtschaftspolitik steuert massiv gegen |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
111 |
| USA: Geschichte einer ungewöhnlichen Rezession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
371 |
| Warum Konjunkturprognosen? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
223 |
| When do forecasters disagree? An assessment of German growth and inflation forecast dispersion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
6 |
8 |
183 |
| Zinserhöhung der EZB: ein vergeblicher Schritt zur Stabilisierung des Euro |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
620 |
| Zur Zukunft des Stabilitäts- und Wachstumspaktes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
78 |
| Total Journal Articles |
0 |
6 |
25 |
1,947 |
38 |
251 |
439 |
10,167 |
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