Access Statistics for Kesten Charles Green

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations 0 0 0 26 0 3 6 139
Benchmark forecasts for climate change 0 0 1 69 2 7 11 239
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 1 4 1 5 10 74
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 1 233 1 7 17 771
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods 1 1 6 1,077 7 16 34 5,369
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 56 2 7 11 198
Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising 1 2 3 44 3 16 21 127
Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 65 0 2 2 440
Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts 0 0 0 168 3 10 18 392
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative 1 1 1 87 7 26 32 335
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 118 3 18 29 479
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 146 5 9 11 1,694
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces 0 0 0 83 1 11 16 821
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 81 1 5 6 217
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 68 1 7 16 285
The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? 0 0 0 69 0 2 7 422
Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 48 4 11 15 297
Total Working Papers 3 4 13 2,442 41 162 262 12,299

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries 0 0 0 2 1 4 6 12
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 16 2 6 14 274
Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call? 0 0 1 5 1 4 6 47
Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement 0 0 0 52 1 6 8 297
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists 1 3 4 9 5 14 34 98
Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence 0 0 0 33 0 3 5 196
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts 0 0 0 4 0 6 8 31
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you 0 0 0 4 0 3 11 41
Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 0 14 4 9 16 130
J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes 0 0 0 5 0 2 6 21
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 95 1 6 14 652
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 2 0 5 7 27
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 17
Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 10 0 5 10 194
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 1 0 2 6 37
Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F? 0 0 0 51 0 0 2 184
Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence 0 0 0 36 4 23 34 226
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 1 37 4 11 16 237
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 14
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? 0 0 0 12 0 2 4 128
Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making 0 0 0 13 2 6 12 152
Total Journal Articles 1 3 6 402 25 119 224 3,015

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Statistics updated 2026-03-04