Access Statistics for Kesten Charles Green

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations 0 0 0 26 1 1 8 141
Benchmark forecasts for climate change 1 1 1 70 2 2 10 241
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 0 4 1 4 15 83
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 0 233 1 6 22 784
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods 2 4 5 1,081 5 11 46 5,391
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 56 0 0 13 201
Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising 0 0 4 45 0 2 21 131
Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 65 0 0 4 442
Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts 0 0 0 168 0 0 22 397
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative 1 1 3 89 6 10 55 361
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 1 119 0 6 73 527
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 1 1 1 147 1 1 13 1,698
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces 0 0 0 83 0 1 22 828
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 81 4 5 13 225
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 68 2 2 19 290
The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? 0 0 0 69 0 0 4 423
Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 48 1 1 20 303
Total Working Papers 5 7 15 2,452 24 52 380 12,466

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries 0 0 0 2 0 0 7 14
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 16 0 4 19 282
Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call? 0 0 0 5 0 0 8 51
Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement 0 0 0 52 0 2 10 299
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists 0 0 7 13 1 4 36 113
Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence 0 0 0 33 0 1 7 198
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts 0 0 0 4 1 1 13 38
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you 0 0 0 4 0 0 13 47
Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 0 14 0 1 19 136
J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes 0 0 0 5 0 1 5 22
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 95 0 1 19 660
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 2 0 0 10 31
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 20
Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 10 2 4 13 202
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 1 2 2 7 41
Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F? 0 0 0 51 0 0 1 185
Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence 0 0 1 37 0 3 38 234
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 1 2 38 4 10 30 253
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 16
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? 0 0 0 12 0 2 5 131
Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making 0 0 0 13 1 1 12 155
Total Journal Articles 0 1 10 408 12 38 280 3,128

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Statistics updated 2026-09-10