Access Statistics for Kesten Charles Green

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations 0 0 0 26 1 1 7 140
Benchmark forecasts for climate change 0 0 0 69 0 0 8 239
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 1 4 1 5 12 79
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 1 233 0 7 21 778
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods 0 0 5 1,077 2 11 43 5,380
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 56 1 3 13 201
Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising 1 1 4 45 1 2 19 129
Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 65 1 2 4 442
Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts 0 0 0 168 1 5 22 397
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative 0 1 2 88 5 16 46 351
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 1 1 1 119 9 42 70 521
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 146 1 3 12 1,697
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces 0 0 0 83 1 6 21 827
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 81 1 3 8 220
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 68 1 3 18 288
The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? 0 0 0 69 0 1 6 423
Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 48 3 5 19 302
Total Working Papers 2 3 14 2,445 29 115 349 12,414


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries 0 0 0 2 0 2 8 14
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 16 1 4 17 278
Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call? 0 0 0 5 3 4 8 51
Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement 0 0 0 52 0 0 8 297
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists 3 4 8 13 3 11 39 109
Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence 0 0 0 33 0 1 6 197
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts 0 0 0 4 2 6 12 37
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you 0 0 0 4 2 6 16 47
Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 0 14 1 5 20 135
J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 21
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 95 1 7 19 659
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 2 0 4 10 31
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 20
Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 10 2 4 13 198
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 1 1 2 5 39
Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F? 0 0 0 51 0 1 2 185
Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence 0 1 1 37 1 5 37 231
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 1 37 1 6 21 243
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 15
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? 0 0 0 12 0 1 4 129
Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making 0 0 0 13 0 2 11 154
Total Journal Articles 3 5 10 407 18 75 268 3,090


Statistics updated 2026-06-04