Access Statistics for Kesten Charles Green

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations 0 0 0 26 0 1 7 140
Benchmark forecasts for climate change 0 0 0 69 0 0 8 239
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 0 4 2 4 14 82
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 0 233 0 5 22 783
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods 2 2 6 1,079 5 8 46 5,386
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 56 0 1 13 201
Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising 0 1 4 45 1 3 21 131
Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 65 0 1 4 442
Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts 0 0 0 168 0 1 22 397
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 2 88 3 9 50 355
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 1 1 119 1 15 73 527
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 146 0 1 12 1,697
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces 0 0 0 83 0 2 22 828
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 81 1 2 9 221
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 68 0 1 18 288
The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? 0 0 0 69 0 0 5 423
Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 48 0 3 19 302
Total Working Papers 2 4 13 2,447 13 57 365 12,442


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries 0 0 0 2 0 0 8 14
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 16 3 5 21 282
Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call? 0 0 0 5 0 3 8 51
Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement 0 0 0 52 1 2 10 299
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists 0 3 7 13 0 6 36 112
Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence 0 0 0 33 1 1 7 198
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts 0 0 0 4 0 2 12 37
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you 0 0 0 4 0 2 13 47
Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 0 14 0 2 21 136
J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes 0 0 0 5 1 1 5 22
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 95 0 2 19 660
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 2 0 0 10 31
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 20
Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 10 2 4 15 200
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 39
Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F? 0 0 0 51 0 0 1 185
Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence 0 0 1 37 2 4 39 234
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 1 2 38 2 7 26 249
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 15
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? 0 0 0 12 2 2 5 131
Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making 0 0 0 13 0 0 11 154
Total Journal Articles 0 4 10 408 14 44 279 3,116


Statistics updated 2026-08-07