Access Statistics for Kesten Charles Green

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations 0 0 0 26 0 0 6 139
Benchmark forecasts for climate change 0 0 1 69 0 2 10 239
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 1 233 4 8 22 778
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 1 4 3 5 12 78
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods 0 1 6 1,077 7 16 42 5,378
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 56 1 4 12 200
Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising 0 1 3 44 1 4 20 128
Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 65 1 1 3 441
Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts 0 0 0 168 4 7 21 396
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative 1 2 2 88 8 18 41 346
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 118 21 36 61 512
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 146 2 7 11 1,696
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces 0 0 0 83 4 6 20 826
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 81 1 3 7 219
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 68 1 3 17 287
The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? 0 0 0 69 1 1 6 423
Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 48 1 6 16 299
Total Working Papers 1 4 14 2,443 60 127 327 12,385

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries 0 0 0 2 2 3 8 14
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 16 2 5 16 277
Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call? 0 0 0 5 0 2 5 48
Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement 0 0 0 52 0 1 8 297
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists 0 2 5 10 3 13 39 106
Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence 0 0 0 33 1 1 6 197
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts 0 0 0 4 2 4 10 35
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you 0 0 0 4 4 4 14 45
Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 0 14 3 8 19 134
J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes 0 0 0 5 0 0 5 21
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 95 2 7 18 658
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 2 4 4 10 31
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm 0 0 0 1 1 3 3 20
Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 10 1 2 11 196
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 1 1 1 4 38
Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F? 0 0 0 51 0 1 2 185
Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence 1 1 1 37 4 8 36 230
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 1 37 0 9 20 242
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 15
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? 0 0 0 12 1 1 4 129
Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making 0 0 0 13 2 4 13 154
Total Journal Articles 1 3 7 404 34 82 255 3,072

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Statistics updated 2026-05-06