Access Statistics for Kesten Charles Green

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations 0 0 1 26 0 0 2 133
Benchmark forecasts for climate change 0 1 1 69 0 2 4 231
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 1 1 4 233 3 5 18 761
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 1 1 2 4 1 2 10 68
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods 1 2 5 1,073 2 4 14 5,340
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 56 0 0 2 188
Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising 0 0 0 41 0 2 9 110
Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 65 0 0 1 438
Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts 0 0 0 168 0 0 4 375
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 2 86 0 0 28 305
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 1 118 1 3 9 454
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 1 146 0 0 5 1,685
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces 0 0 0 83 0 0 4 806
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 81 0 0 1 212
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 68 0 0 2 270
The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? 0 0 0 69 1 1 3 418
Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 1 48 0 0 2 283
Total Working Papers 3 5 18 2,434 8 19 118 12,077


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 6
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 16 0 0 11 261
Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call? 0 0 1 5 0 0 4 43
Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement 0 0 0 52 0 0 2 289
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists 1 1 2 6 3 9 19 76
Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence 0 0 0 33 0 0 1 191
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts 0 0 1 4 0 0 5 25
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you 0 0 0 4 3 3 6 34
Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 0 14 0 0 5 115
J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes 0 0 0 5 1 1 3 17
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 95 1 1 5 641
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 21
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 17
Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 1 10 0 0 4 185
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 34
Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F? 0 0 0 51 0 1 7 184
Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence 0 0 3 36 1 1 9 195
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 36 0 1 11 223
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 11
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? 0 0 0 12 1 1 3 126
Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making 0 0 1 13 0 2 5 143
Total Journal Articles 1 1 9 398 10 20 109 2,837


Statistics updated 2025-08-05