Access Statistics for Kesten Charles Green

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations 0 0 1 26 3 3 5 136
Benchmark forecasts for climate change 0 0 1 69 0 1 5 232
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 1 4 0 1 7 69
Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share 0 0 3 233 1 2 16 763
Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods 0 3 5 1,076 2 8 17 5,348
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 56 3 3 5 191
Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising 0 0 0 41 0 0 8 110
Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 65 0 0 1 438
Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts 0 0 0 168 1 6 10 381
Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 1 86 1 2 13 307
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 1 118 1 3 12 457
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 146 0 0 4 1,685
Predicting elections from politicians’ faces 0 0 0 83 4 4 8 810
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 81 0 0 1 212
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 68 1 2 4 272
The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts? 0 0 0 69 0 1 4 419
Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 48 0 0 1 283
Total Working Papers 0 3 13 2,437 17 36 121 12,113


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 7
Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies 0 0 0 16 2 4 8 265
Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call? 0 0 1 5 0 0 2 43
Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement 0 0 0 52 2 2 2 291
Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists 0 0 2 6 2 4 19 80
Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence 0 0 0 33 0 1 2 192
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 25
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you 0 0 0 4 1 3 8 37
Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative 0 0 0 14 1 3 6 118
J. Scott Armstrong (1937 - 2023): Iconoclast and Champion of Science for Practical Purposes 0 0 0 5 0 2 5 19
Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared 0 0 0 95 1 1 6 642
Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 21
Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 17
Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 10 0 4 7 189
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts 0 0 0 1 1 1 4 35
Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F? 0 0 0 51 0 0 5 184
Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence 0 0 3 36 0 3 12 198
Structured analogies for forecasting 0 0 0 36 1 1 8 224
The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 11
The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts? 0 0 0 12 0 0 3 126
Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making 0 0 1 13 1 1 6 144
Total Journal Articles 0 0 7 398 12 31 113 2,868


Statistics updated 2025-11-08