| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Bayesian panel VAR model to analyze the impact of climate change on high-income economies |
0 |
1 |
3 |
60 |
1 |
5 |
13 |
127 |
| A Flexible Approach to Augmenting a Bayesian VAR with Nonlinear Factors |
0 |
0 |
19 |
19 |
0 |
10 |
43 |
43 |
| A Markov switching factor-augmented VAR model for analyzing US business cycles and monetary policy |
0 |
1 |
2 |
54 |
0 |
6 |
25 |
87 |
| A Markov switching factor-augmented VAR model for analyzing US business cycles and monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
1 |
3 |
20 |
119 |
| A Multi-country Approach to Analysing the Euro Area Output Gap |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
94 |
| A Nonparametric Approach to Augmenting a Bayesian VAR with Nonlinear Factors |
21 |
21 |
21 |
21 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
| A multi-country dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility for euro area business cycle analysis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
33 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
78 |
| A tale of two tails: 130 years of growth-at-risk |
0 |
0 |
1 |
30 |
1 |
3 |
15 |
55 |
| Adaptive Shrinkage in Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
0 |
3 |
20 |
63 |
| Adaptive shrinkage in Bayesian vector autoregressive models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
79 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
127 |
| Approximate Bayesian inference and forecasting in huge-dimensional multi-country VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
1 |
6 |
18 |
71 |
| Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers |
0 |
0 |
15 |
29 |
0 |
2 |
40 |
63 |
| BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
1 |
7 |
25 |
242 |
| Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review |
0 |
2 |
5 |
84 |
0 |
8 |
35 |
113 |
| Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review |
0 |
0 |
2 |
77 |
3 |
7 |
27 |
93 |
| Bayesian Inference in High-Dimensional Time-varying Parameter Models using Integrated Rotated Gaussian Approximations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
38 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
67 |
| Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees |
0 |
0 |
3 |
114 |
2 |
5 |
22 |
76 |
| Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees |
0 |
0 |
1 |
90 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
53 |
| Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
26 |
79 |
| Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
133 |
0 |
5 |
18 |
69 |
| Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
30 |
41 |
| Bayesian Nonlinear Regression using Sums of Simple Functions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
28 |
| Bayesian modelling of VAR precision matrices using stochastic block networks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
4 |
16 |
29 |
| Beware of large shocks! A non-parametric structural inflation model |
0 |
1 |
4 |
15 |
1 |
10 |
43 |
55 |
| Capital Flows and the Stabilizing Role of Macroprudential Policies in CESEE |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
60 |
| Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification |
1 |
1 |
1 |
36 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
39 |
| Coarsened Bayesian VARs. Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
13 |
13 |
| Combining Shrinkage and Sparsity in Conjugate Vector Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
64 |
| Dealing with heterogeneity in panel VARs using sparse finite mixtures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
38 |
| Density Forecasting using Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Common Stochastic Volatility |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
104 |
| Density Forecasting using Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Common Stochastic Volatility |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
51 |
| Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
4 |
18 |
111 |
| Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
4 |
20 |
94 |
| Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Multivariate Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
63 |
| Double Descent and Benign Overfitting in Macroeconomic Forecasting |
6 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
4 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
| Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Regressions using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
46 |
| Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Regressions using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
13 |
20 |
| Dynamic shrinkage in time-varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
5 |
15 |
51 |
| Exchange rate dynamics and monetary policy - Evidence from a non-linear DSGE-VAR approach |
0 |
0 |
2 |
19 |
1 |
3 |
18 |
59 |
| Exchange rate dynamics and monetary policy -- Evidence from a non-linear DSGE-VAR approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
57 |
| Exchange rate dynamics and monetary policy: Evidence from a non-linear DSGE-VAR approach |
0 |
1 |
1 |
62 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
75 |
| Fast and Flexible Bayesian Inference in Time-varying Parameter Regression Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
82 |
| Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
28 |
| Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
23 |
| Forecasting Global Equity Indices Using Large Bayesian VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
31 |
| Forecasting Global Equity Indices using Large Bayesian VARs |
0 |
0 |
1 |
35 |
1 |
4 |
22 |
98 |
| Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time |
0 |
0 |
5 |
19 |
6 |
10 |
56 |
83 |
| Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
100 |
| Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
1 |
7 |
16 |
126 |
| Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models |
0 |
0 |
3 |
33 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
71 |
| Forecasting euro area inflation using a huge panel of survey expectations |
0 |
0 |
5 |
42 |
0 |
2 |
18 |
54 |
| Forecasting with Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressive Models: A Comparison of Priors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
218 |
0 |
8 |
37 |
717 |
| Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
2 |
154 |
0 |
5 |
19 |
116 |
| Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
12 |
19 |
| General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for modeling government bond yields |
0 |
0 |
2 |
48 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
61 |
| General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
40 |
| General Seemingly Unrelated Local Projections |
1 |
1 |
3 |
15 |
1 |
4 |
28 |
40 |
| Global Prediction of Recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
0 |
3 |
19 |
86 |
| Growing Together? Projecting Income Growth in Europe at the Regional Level |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
82 |
| Growing Together? Projecting Income Growth in Europe at the Regional Level |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
4 |
27 |
46 |
| Hawks vs. Doves: ECB’s Monetary Policy in Light of the Fed’s Policy Stance (Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Thomas Zörner) |
2 |
2 |
2 |
14 |
2 |
7 |
24 |
51 |
| How Important are Global Factors for Understanding the Dynamics of International Capital Flows? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
183 |
| Inducing Sparsity and Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
119 |
| Inducing Sparsity and Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
52 |
| Inducing sparsity and shrinkage in time-varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
41 |
| Inference in Bayesian Additive Vector Autoregressive Tree Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
5 |
21 |
116 |
| International Housing Markets, Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
1 |
5 |
17 |
168 |
| International Housing Markets, Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
4 |
12 |
85 |
| International effects of a compression of euro area yield curves |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
7 |
21 |
104 |
| International housing markets, unconventional monetary policy and the zero lower bound |
0 |
0 |
1 |
101 |
2 |
4 |
11 |
246 |
| Introducing shrinkage in heavy-tailed state space models to predict equity excess returns |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
52 |
| Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
15 |
23 |
| Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
63 |
| Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
19 |
| Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks |
0 |
0 |
3 |
30 |
0 |
7 |
24 |
49 |
| Measuring Shocks to Central Bank Independence using Legal Rulings |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
1 |
6 |
19 |
29 |
| Measuring the Effectiveness of US Monetary Policy during the COVID-19 Recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
154 |
| Measuring the impact of unconventional monetary policy on the US business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
| Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
40 |
| Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
54 |
| Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
50 |
| Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
74 |
| Nonlinearities in Macroeconomic Tail Risk through the Lens of Big Data Quantile Regressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
1 |
5 |
23 |
59 |
| Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model |
0 |
1 |
8 |
54 |
0 |
3 |
33 |
93 |
| Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
156 |
| Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs |
1 |
1 |
1 |
79 |
1 |
6 |
9 |
84 |
| Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
78 |
| Predicting International Equity Returns: Evidence from Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
131 |
| Predicting crypto-currencies using sparse non-Gaussian state space models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
1 |
6 |
12 |
98 |
| Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
18 |
| Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
25 |
| Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
25 |
| Real-time Inflation Forecasting Using Non-linear Dimension Reduction Techniques |
0 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
64 |
| Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
42 |
| Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails |
0 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
0 |
4 |
31 |
37 |
| Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
91 |
| Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
4 |
12 |
69 |
| Should I stay or should I go? Bayesian inference in the threshold time varying parameter (TTVP) model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
1 |
4 |
19 |
57 |
| Should I stay or should I go? Bayesian inference in the threshold time varying parameter (TTVP) model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
0 |
4 |
16 |
87 |
| Small-scale nowcasting models of GDP for selected CESEE countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
143 |
| Sophisticated and small versus simple and sizeable: When does it pay off to introduce drifting coefficients in Bayesian VARs? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
4 |
17 |
43 |
| Sophisticated and small versus simple and sizeable: When does it pay off to introduce drifting coefficients in Bayesian VARs? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
40 |
| Sophisticated and small versus simple and sizeable: When does it pay off to introduce drifting coefficients in Bayesian VARs? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
39 |
| Sparse Bayesian vector autoregressions in huge dimensions |
1 |
1 |
1 |
39 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
68 |
| Spillovers from US monetary policy: Evidence from a time-varying parameter GVAR model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
4 |
23 |
82 |
| Spillovers from US monetary policy: Evidence from a time-varying parameter GVAR model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
131 |
0 |
5 |
24 |
256 |
| Spreading the word or reducing the term spread? Assessing spillovers from euro area monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
53 |
0 |
4 |
20 |
350 |
| Spreading the word or reducing the term spread? Assessing spillovers from euro area monetary policy |
1 |
2 |
2 |
33 |
1 |
4 |
17 |
102 |
| Spreading the word or reducing the term spread? Assessing spillovers from euro area monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
59 |
0 |
5 |
28 |
150 |
| Stochastic model specification in Markov switching vector error correction models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
2 |
4 |
20 |
58 |
| Stochastic model specification in Markov switching vector error correction models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
5 |
14 |
47 |
| Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
55 |
| Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
39 |
| Subspace Shrinkage in Conjugate Bayesian Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
36 |
| Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
32 |
| Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
0 |
6 |
22 |
112 |
| The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty |
0 |
1 |
6 |
12 |
2 |
6 |
40 |
54 |
| The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| The International Transmission of U.S. Structural Shocks – Evidence from Global Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
2 |
107 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
256 |
| The dynamic impact of monetary policy on regional housing prices in the US: Evidence based on factor-augmented vector autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
40 |
| The dynamic impact of monetary policy on regional housing prices in the US: Evidence based on factor-augmented vector autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
1 |
4 |
22 |
47 |
| The dynamic impact of monetary policy on regional housing prices in the United States |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
48 |
| The dynamic impact of monetary policy on regional housing prices in the United States |
0 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
50 |
| The impact of macroprudential policies on capital flows in CESEE |
0 |
1 |
1 |
21 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
60 |
| The macroeconomic effects of international uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
1 |
6 |
16 |
150 |
| The macroeconomic effects of international uncertainty shocks |
0 |
0 |
1 |
42 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
124 |
| The macroeconomic effects of international uncertainty shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
1 |
4 |
18 |
91 |
| The regional transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality in the United States |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
1 |
3 |
25 |
80 |
| The role of US based FDI flows for global output dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
44 |
| The role of US based FDI flows for global output dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
2 |
22 |
71 |
| The shortage of safe assets in the US investment portfolio: Some international evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
7 |
19 |
65 |
| The shortage of safe assets in the US investment portfolio: Some international evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
62 |
| The transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality: State-level evidence from the United States |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
69 |
| The transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality: State-level evidence from the United States |
0 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
39 |
| The transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality: State-level evidence from the United States |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
42 |
| Threshold cointegration and adaptive shrinkage |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
50 |
| Threshold cointegration and adaptive shrinkage |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
52 |
| Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
96 |
| Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
96 |
| Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
102 |
| Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
6 |
48 |
76 |
| US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
77 |
| US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
167 |
| US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
35 |
| US Monetary Policy in a Globalized World |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
69 |
| Unconventional US Monetary Policy: New Tools Same Channels? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
134 |
| Unconventional US Monetary Policy: New Tools, Same Channels? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
0 |
2 |
19 |
67 |
| Unconventional US Monetary Policy: New Tools, Same Channels? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
135 |
| Total Working Papers |
34 |
55 |
163 |
5,673 |
70 |
512 |
2,411 |
11,936 |