Access Statistics for Rob J Hyndman

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review 0 0 1 134 0 3 8 607
25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review 0 1 3 412 2 4 8 955
A Brief History of Forecasting Competitions 0 0 2 85 0 1 7 121
A Feature-Based Framework for Detecting Technical Outliers in Water-Quality Data from In Situ Sensors 0 0 0 26 0 0 1 47
A New Tidy Data Structure to Support Exploration and Modeling of Temporal Data 0 0 0 37 0 0 2 52
A Note on the Validity of Cross-Validation for Evaluating Time Series Prediction 2 4 5 740 3 7 12 1,890
A State Space Framework for Automatic Forecasting Using Exponential Smoothing Methods 2 2 5 615 2 2 10 1,732
A comparison of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates 0 1 1 138 1 3 5 329
A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality 0 1 1 206 0 2 3 525
An Improved Method for Bandwidth Selection when Estimating ROC Curves 0 0 0 138 1 1 3 557
Anomaly Detection in High Dimensional Data 0 0 0 26 0 1 3 82
Anomaly detection in streaming nonstationary temporal data 0 0 0 122 0 0 2 289
Another Look at Measures of Forecast Accuracy 1 5 9 1,522 5 16 39 3,923
Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R 1 1 3 1,601 3 4 16 4,708
Bagging Exponential Smoothing Methods using STL Decomposition and Box-Cox Transformation 0 0 1 58 0 2 8 204
Bandwidth Selection for Kernel Conditional Density Estimation 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1,531
Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC 0 0 2 1,028 1 3 8 3,615
Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC 0 0 1 597 1 1 5 2,124
Bayesian Rank Selection in Multivariate Regression 0 0 0 51 0 1 2 94
Boosting multi-step autoregressive forecasts 0 0 1 78 0 0 4 129
Calendar-based Graphics for Visualizing People's Daily Schedules 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 41
Coherent Mortality Forecasting The Product-ratio Method with Functional Time Series Models 0 1 2 55 0 2 5 304
Coherent Probabilistic Forecasts for Hierarchical Time Series 0 0 1 85 1 1 3 190
Coherent mortality forecasting: the product-ratio method with functional time series models 0 0 0 67 0 1 4 189
Conditional Normalization in Time Series Analysis 0 2 3 24 0 4 6 25
Cross-temporal Probabilistic Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 23 0 0 1 14
Density forecasting for long-term peak electricity demand 0 0 1 226 0 1 3 597
Detecting Distributional Differences between Temporal Granularities for Exploratory Time Series Analysis 0 0 0 27 1 1 2 23
Dimension Reduction For Outlier Detection Using DOBIN 0 0 1 19 0 0 2 44
Distributed ARIMA Models for Ultra-long Time Series 0 0 0 115 0 1 6 184
Efficient Identification of the Pareto Optimal Set 0 0 0 13 0 0 2 93
Efficient generation of time series with diverse and controllable characteristics 0 1 2 69 0 2 5 201
Empirical Information Criteria for Time Series Forecasting Model Selection 0 0 1 1,000 0 0 2 3,395
Exponential Smoothing for Inventory Control: Means and Variances of Lead-Time Demand 0 0 1 769 1 3 6 2,849
Exponential smoothing and non-negative data 0 0 0 85 0 1 4 297
FFORMA: Feature-based forecast model averaging 1 1 4 128 1 5 16 557
Fast Forecast Reconciliation Using Linear Models 0 0 1 83 0 0 2 187
Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series 0 0 0 63 0 0 6 138
Forecast Linear AugmentedProjection (FLAP): A Free Lunch to Reduce Forecast Error Variance 0 0 20 20 0 1 12 12
Forecast Reconciliation: A Review 0 0 1 23 1 3 9 35
Forecast Reconciliation: A geometric View with New Insights on Bias Correction 0 0 1 29 0 0 3 35
Forecast Reconciliation: A geometric View with New Insights on Bias Correction 0 0 0 20 0 0 2 51
Forecasting Swiss Exports Using Bayesian Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 45 0 0 3 52
Forecasting Swiss Exports using Bayesian Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 25 0 1 1 34
Forecasting Time-Series with Correlated Seasonality 0 0 0 262 0 0 2 769
Forecasting age-related changes in breast cancer mortality among white and black US women: A functional approach 0 0 0 36 0 0 2 211
Forecasting age-specific breast cancer mortality using functional data models 0 0 0 164 0 0 1 985
Forecasting for Social Good 0 0 0 24 0 1 3 139
Forecasting hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization 0 0 2 89 2 4 11 196
Forecasting the Old-Age Dependency Ratio to Determine a Sustainable Pension Age 1 1 2 28 1 1 5 278
Forecasting time series with complex seasonal patterns using exponential smoothing 0 0 3 221 1 1 13 572
Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies 0 0 2 74 0 1 9 247
Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies 0 0 1 51 0 2 7 147
Generalized Additive Modelling of Mixed Distribution Markov Models with Application to Melbourne's Rainfall 0 0 0 251 0 0 2 1,563
Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates 0 1 2 72 0 1 4 119
Half-Life Estimation based on the Bias-Corrected Bootstrap: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 188 0 0 2 904
Hierarchical Forecasting 0 0 1 106 1 2 8 223
Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism 0 0 0 128 1 1 2 384
Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 13 0 0 2 115
Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 3 1 1 8 104
Improving out-of-sample Forecasts of Stock Price Indexes with Forecast Reconciliation and Clustering 0 0 2 26 0 1 7 30
Invertibility Conditions for Exponential Smoothing Models 0 0 0 417 1 1 2 2,638
Leave-one-out Kernel Density Estimates for Outlier Detection 0 0 2 18 0 1 8 59
Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions 0 0 1 212 0 1 4 788
Local Linear Forecasts Using Cubic Smoothing Splines 0 0 2 561 1 2 5 1,978
Local Linear Multivariate Regression with Variable Bandwidth in the Presence of Heteroscedasticity 0 0 0 199 0 0 1 726
Long-term Forecasts of Age-specific Labour Market Participation Rates with Functional Data Models 0 1 2 25 0 2 5 63
Long-term forecasts of age-specific participation rates with functional data models 0 0 0 37 0 1 3 76
Low-dimensional decomposition, smoothing and forecasting of sparse functional data 0 0 0 71 0 0 3 95
Macroeconomic forecasting for Australia using a large number of predictors 0 0 0 175 0 0 4 303
Manifold Learning with Approximate Nearest Neighbors 0 0 1 37 0 2 6 82
Meta-learning how to forecast time series 0 1 6 213 0 4 16 591
Mixed Model-Based Hazard Estimation 0 0 0 133 0 0 2 644
Modelling and forecasting Australian domestic tourism 0 0 2 380 0 1 7 931
Monitoring Processes with Changing Variances 0 0 0 60 0 0 2 170
Non Parametric Confidence Intervals for Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves 0 0 0 234 1 1 2 1,210
Non-linear exponential smoothing and positive data 0 0 0 118 0 1 3 529
Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models for Time Series Forecasting of Smart Meter Demand 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 41
Nonparametric Estimation and Symmetry Tests for Conditional Density Functions 0 0 0 183 0 0 2 1,026
Nonparametric autocovariance function estimation 0 0 0 69 0 0 2 1,086
Nonparametric estimation and symmetry tests for conditional density functions 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 63
Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating 0 0 0 160 0 1 2 391
On normalization and algorithm selection for unsupervised outlier detection 0 0 0 36 0 0 4 87
Online Conformal Inference for Multi-Step Time Series Forecasting 0 1 55 55 1 5 92 92
Optimal Forecast Reconciliation with Time Series Selection 1 1 23 23 2 2 16 16
Optimal Non-negative Forecast Reconciliation 0 1 1 37 1 3 7 95
Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series 0 1 1 286 0 4 11 683
Optimal forecast reconciliation for hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization 2 3 7 65 3 8 28 153
Prediction Intervals for Exponential Smoothing State Space Models 0 0 2 638 1 2 7 2,146
Principles and Algorithms for Forecasting Groups of Time Series: Locality and Globality 0 0 0 52 0 0 5 43
Probabilisitic forecasts in hierarchical time series 0 0 0 61 0 0 4 133
Probabilistic Forecast Reconciliation: Properties, Evaluation and Score Optimisation 0 0 0 53 0 1 7 108
Probabilistic time series forecasting with boosted additive models: an application to smart meter data 0 0 0 78 0 0 5 176
Rainbow plots, Bagplots and Boxplots for Functional Data 0 0 2 86 1 1 5 363
Rating Forecasts for Television Programs 0 0 0 223 1 1 4 640
Recursive and direct multi-step forecasting: the best of both worlds 1 6 30 454 3 23 124 1,352
Residual Diagnostic Plots for Checking for model Mis-Specification in Time Series Regression 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,724
Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: a functional data approach 0 0 1 429 0 2 9 1,231
STR: A Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Procedure Based on Regression 0 1 3 155 1 8 18 448
Seasonal Functional Autoregressive Models 0 0 1 42 1 1 5 72
Short-term load forecasting based on a semi-parametric additive model 0 1 2 75 0 2 5 227
Some Nonlinear Exponential Smoothing Models are Unstable 0 0 1 217 0 0 2 1,052
Sparse Multiple Index Modelsfor High-dimensional Nonparametric Forecasting 0 0 41 41 0 0 14 14
Spatial modelling of the two-party preferred vote in Australian federal elections: 2001-2016 0 0 1 43 0 1 7 134
Statistical Methodological Issues in Studies of Air Pollution and Respiratory Disease 0 0 0 209 0 0 1 1,049
Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting 0 0 2 2,173 0 0 5 6,638
Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration 0 0 3 265 0 1 7 868
The Australian Macro Database: An Online Resource for Macroeconomic Research in Australia 0 0 0 20 1 1 5 61
The Australian Macro Database: An online resource for macroeconomic research in Australia 0 0 0 38 1 1 4 83
The Road to Recovery from COVID-19 for Australian Tourism 0 0 2 66 0 1 6 144
The price elasticity of electricity demand in South Australia 0 0 0 186 0 1 4 476
The tourism forecasting competition 0 0 1 156 1 3 7 488
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 1 1 60 0 1 2 197
The vector innovation structural time series framework: a simple approach to multivariate forecasting 0 0 0 180 1 1 4 497
Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space 0 0 0 335 0 0 3 1,301
Two-dimensional smoothing of mortality rates 0 0 0 33 0 2 5 102
Unmasking the Theta Method 0 0 2 311 0 1 4 1,221
Using R to Teach Econometrics 0 0 2 2,177 0 0 4 4,407
Visualising forecasting Algorithm Performance using Time Series Instance Spaces 0 1 1 108 0 3 7 143
Visualizing Probability Distributions across Bivariate Cyclic Temporal Granularities 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7
Total Working Papers 12 41 290 25,163 53 193 877 82,208

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
25 years of time series forecasting 0 0 4 259 1 4 24 951
A Bayesian approach to bandwidth selection for multivariate kernel density estimation 0 0 0 107 0 1 2 321
A brief history of forecasting competitions 0 0 1 32 0 0 14 139
A change of editors 0 0 0 7 1 1 2 66
A gradient boosting approach to the Kaggle load forecasting competition 0 0 1 55 3 9 16 317
A multivariate innovations state space Beveridge-Nelson decomposition 0 0 0 33 0 2 4 167
A note on the categorization of demand patterns 0 0 0 5 1 1 4 29
A note on the validity of cross-validation for evaluating autoregressive time series prediction 2 8 25 271 10 34 90 732
A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naïve forecasts 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 42
A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods 3 5 12 264 6 18 46 908
Another Look at Forecast Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demand 0 2 6 401 3 13 45 1,483
Another look at measures of forecast accuracy 3 9 25 451 10 26 82 1,585
Assessing mortality inequality in the U.S.: What can be said about the future? 0 0 0 3 0 1 4 13
Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R 0 0 3 482 5 10 37 2,283
Bagging exponential smoothing methods using STL decomposition and Box–Cox transformation 0 0 1 46 1 5 12 195
Bandwidth selection for kernel conditional density estimation 0 1 7 117 0 6 17 346
Call for Papers: Special issue of the International Journal of Forecasting on tourism forecasting 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 237
Changing of the guard 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 41
Coherent Mortality Forecasting: The Product-Ratio Method With Functional Time Series Models 0 0 0 20 0 0 3 137
Comments on: Exploratory functional data analysis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cross-temporal probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Methodological and practical issues 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 2
Crude oil price forecasting based on internet concern using an extreme learning machine 0 0 0 22 2 5 10 95
Distributed ARIMA models for ultra-long time series 2 2 2 6 3 5 9 24
Dynamic algorithm selection for pareto optimal set approximation 0 0 0 6 0 0 3 29
Early classification of spatio-temporal events using partial information 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 7
Editorial 0 0 0 9 0 0 1 116
Encouraging replication and reproducible research 0 0 0 16 1 2 4 82
Errors on Percentage Errors 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 3
Exploring the sources of uncertainty: Why does bagging for time series forecasting work? 0 0 1 21 0 1 8 88
Exponential smoothing models: Means and variances for lead-time demand 0 0 0 27 1 2 5 165
FFORMA: Feature-based forecast model averaging 1 4 9 47 1 9 31 227
Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series 0 0 0 6 0 0 4 59
Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review 0 3 10 28 0 12 31 66
Forecast reconciliation: A geometric view with new insights on bias correction 1 1 3 12 1 3 13 56
Forecast reconciliation: A review 0 3 5 8 2 14 32 41
Forecasting Swiss exports using Bayesian forecast reconciliation 0 0 0 5 0 1 2 24
Forecasting for social good 0 0 1 3 1 2 6 13
Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art 1 1 1 16 2 3 11 102
Forecasting interrupted time series 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4
Forecasting time series with multiple seasonal patterns 0 0 0 187 1 1 3 664
Forecasting with temporal hierarchies 0 1 7 22 3 11 30 106
Forecasting, causality and feedback 0 0 2 9 0 0 8 22
Free Open-Source Forecasting Using R 0 0 2 168 0 1 6 492
Half-life estimation based on the bias-corrected bootstrap: A highest density region approach 0 0 0 41 0 0 3 223
Hierarchical Probabilistic Forecasting of Electricity Demand With Smart Meter Data 0 2 5 9 1 6 12 30
Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism 0 1 1 100 0 3 5 400
Improved interval estimation of long run response from a dynamic linear model: A highest density region approach 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 125
Improved methods for bandwidth selection when estimating ROC curves 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 83
Improving out-of-sample forecasts of stock price indexes with forecast reconciliation and clustering 0 1 1 1 0 3 3 3
Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions 0 0 0 70 0 0 3 458
LoMEF: A framework to produce local explanations for global model time series forecasts 0 0 0 1 1 2 6 12
MSTL: a seasonal-trend decomposition algorithm for time series with multiple seasonal patterns 0 0 5 5 2 4 17 17
Macroeconomic forecasting for Australia using a large number of predictors 0 1 2 8 1 4 12 47
Minimum Sample Size requirements for Seasonal Forecasting Models 1 1 3 217 3 9 31 1,103
Modern Strategies for Time Series Regression 0 0 1 1 0 1 3 12
Monitoring processes with changing variances 0 0 0 20 0 2 3 123
Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating 0 0 0 3 0 1 2 56
Non‐linear mixed‐effects models for time series forecasting of smart meter demand 0 1 1 4 0 1 4 14
On continuous-time threshold autoregression 0 0 0 51 0 1 3 176
Optimal Forecast Reconciliation for Hierarchical and Grouped Time Series Through Trace Minimization 5 9 14 30 9 17 36 111
Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series 0 0 3 86 5 9 22 380
Optimal forecast reconciliation with time series selection 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3
Optimally Reconciling Forecasts in a Hierarchy 0 0 2 172 0 0 9 432
Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods 0 0 0 20 0 0 1 136
Predicting sediment and nutrient concentrations from high-frequency water-quality data 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 7
Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models 0 0 1 150 0 0 8 581
Principles and algorithms for forecasting groups of time series: Locality and globality 3 3 3 9 14 16 25 68
Probabilistic energy forecasting: Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 and beyond 0 0 20 151 3 10 51 569
Probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Properties, evaluation and score optimisation 0 0 5 9 0 0 15 28
Reconstructing Missing and Anomalous Data Collected from High-Frequency In-Situ Sensors in Fresh Waters 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2
Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach 1 2 14 371 2 6 36 1,001
STR: Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Using Regression 0 0 3 11 1 3 17 67
Seasonal functional autoregressive models 0 0 1 5 0 0 12 29
Smoothing non-Gaussian time series with autoregressive structure 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 182
Some Properties and Generalizations of Non‐negative Bayesian Time Series Models 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 8
Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting 1 1 4 505 2 3 10 1,884
Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration 0 2 7 145 1 5 18 410
The admissible parameter space for exponential smoothing models 0 0 0 89 0 0 3 244
The interaction between trend and seasonality 0 0 0 84 0 0 43 335
The price elasticity of electricity demand in South Australia 0 2 6 120 1 4 14 434
The tourism forecasting competition 0 1 2 27 0 1 10 192
The tourism forecasting competition 0 1 1 55 1 2 10 424
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 0 0 12 1 2 4 133
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 0 0 5 1 1 2 76
Tourism forecasting: An introduction 0 0 0 49 1 1 3 154
Twenty-five years of forecasting 0 0 0 64 1 1 2 182
Understanding links between water-quality variables and nitrate concentration in freshwater streams using high frequency sensor data 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Unmasking the Theta method 0 0 4 81 0 3 11 423
Using R to teach econometrics 0 0 2 1,489 1 3 8 3,480
Visualising forecasting algorithm performance using time series instance spaces 0 0 2 31 0 2 8 150
YULE‐WALKER ESTIMATES FOR CONTINUOUS‐TIME AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS 0 0 1 6 0 0 3 18
Total Journal Articles 26 70 245 7,565 116 339 1,136 27,505

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
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On Sampling Methods for Costly Multi-Objective Black-Box Optimization 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15
Total Chapters 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15

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Statistics updated 2025-10-06