Access Statistics for Rob J Hyndman

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review 0 0 2 412 0 5 12 962
25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review 0 1 2 135 0 7 13 616
A Brief History of Forecasting Competitions 0 1 2 86 0 12 20 137
A Feature-Based Framework for Detecting Technical Outliers in Water-Quality Data from In Situ Sensors 0 0 0 26 1 4 4 51
A New Tidy Data Structure to Support Exploration and Modeling of Temporal Data 0 0 0 37 0 5 7 58
A Note on the Validity of Cross-Validation for Evaluating Time Series Prediction 0 0 6 741 1 5 20 1,901
A State Space Framework for Automatic Forecasting Using Exponential Smoothing Methods 0 0 4 615 3 11 20 1,747
A comparison of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates 1 1 2 139 3 11 19 345
A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality 0 1 2 207 7 16 20 543
An Improved Method for Bandwidth Selection when Estimating ROC Curves 0 0 0 138 3 7 9 564
Anomaly Detection in High Dimensional Data 0 1 1 27 2 6 9 89
Anomaly detection in streaming nonstationary temporal data 0 0 0 122 1 2 2 291
Another Look at Measures of Forecast Accuracy 3 9 20 1,534 13 54 113 4,007
Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R 0 2 4 1,604 3 22 41 4,743
Bagging Exponential Smoothing Methods using STL Decomposition and Box-Cox Transformation 0 0 0 58 2 14 22 224
Bandwidth Selection for Kernel Conditional Density Estimation 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3
Bandwidth Selection for Kernel Conditional Density Estimation 0 0 0 0 1 9 11 1,540
Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC 0 0 0 597 0 7 10 2,132
Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC 0 0 0 1,028 1 10 17 3,628
Bayesian Rank Selection in Multivariate Regression 0 0 0 51 1 7 14 107
Boosting multi-step autoregressive forecasts 0 0 0 78 5 11 14 142
Calendar-based Graphics for Visualizing People's Daily Schedules 0 0 0 4 7 16 16 57
Coherent Mortality Forecasting The Product-ratio Method with Functional Time Series Models 0 0 1 55 2 6 10 311
Coherent Probabilistic Forecasts for Hierarchical Time Series 0 0 0 85 3 6 10 199
Coherent mortality forecasting: the product-ratio method with functional time series models 0 0 0 67 2 5 9 196
Conditional Normalization in Time Series Analysis 0 0 2 24 2 6 13 34
Cross-temporal Probabilistic Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 23 3 11 13 27
Density forecasting for long-term peak electricity demand 0 0 1 226 2 6 11 606
Detecting Distributional Differences between Temporal Granularities for Exploratory Time Series Analysis 0 0 0 27 2 5 7 29
Dimension Reduction For Outlier Detection Using DOBIN 0 0 0 19 3 7 9 53
Distributed ARIMA Models for Ultra-long Time Series 0 0 0 115 0 6 13 194
Efficient Identification of the Pareto Optimal Set 0 0 0 13 0 3 4 97
Efficient generation of time series with diverse and controllable characteristics 0 0 1 69 1 9 13 211
Empirical Information Criteria for Time Series Forecasting Model Selection 0 0 0 1,000 2 8 9 3,404
Exponential Smoothing for Inventory Control: Means and Variances of Lead-Time Demand 0 0 0 769 0 4 7 2,853
Exponential smoothing and non-negative data 0 0 0 85 4 9 12 308
FFORMA: Feature-based forecast model averaging 1 2 5 130 3 12 26 571
Fast Forecast Reconciliation Using Linear Models 0 0 0 83 2 5 6 193
Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series 0 0 0 63 1 7 10 148
Forecast Linear AugmentedProjection (FLAP): A Free Lunch to Reduce Forecast Error Variance 0 0 0 20 2 12 16 26
Forecast Reconciliation: A Review 0 1 2 25 3 11 23 51
Forecast Reconciliation: A geometric View with New Insights on Bias Correction 0 0 0 20 0 1 3 53
Forecast Reconciliation: A geometric View with New Insights on Bias Correction 0 0 0 29 1 5 8 42
Forecasting Swiss Exports Using Bayesian Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 45 6 15 21 71
Forecasting Swiss Exports using Bayesian Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 25 0 8 14 47
Forecasting Time-Series with Correlated Seasonality 0 1 1 263 0 9 11 780
Forecasting age-related changes in breast cancer mortality among white and black US women: A functional approach 0 0 0 36 0 2 2 213
Forecasting age-specific breast cancer mortality using functional data models 0 0 0 164 0 6 9 994
Forecasting for Social Good 0 0 0 24 0 7 10 147
Forecasting hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization 0 0 1 90 0 7 14 206
Forecasting the Old-Age Dependency Ratio to Determine a Sustainable Pension Age 0 6 7 34 4 17 22 298
Forecasting time series with complex seasonal patterns using exponential smoothing 0 1 3 222 2 11 30 595
Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies 0 0 0 51 0 11 18 163
Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies 0 0 0 74 0 6 12 257
Generalized Additive Modelling of Mixed Distribution Markov Models with Application to Melbourne's Rainfall 0 0 0 251 0 7 7 1,570
Generalized Additive Modelling of Mixed Distribution Markov Models with Application to Melbourne's Rainfall 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2
Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates 0 0 1 72 0 5 7 124
Half-Life Estimation based on the Bias-Corrected Bootstrap: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 188 0 3 6 910
Hierarchical Forecasting 0 0 0 106 1 9 19 239
Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism 0 0 0 128 6 11 15 398
Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 3 2 7 16 113
Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 13 1 3 3 118
Improving out-of-sample Forecasts of Stock Price Indexes with Forecast Reconciliation and Clustering 0 0 1 27 1 4 11 40
Invertibility Conditions for Exponential Smoothing Models 0 0 1 418 0 7 10 2,647
Leave-one-out Kernel Density Estimates for Outlier Detection 0 0 1 18 10 16 27 82
Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions 0 0 0 212 1 6 10 796
Local Linear Forecasts Using Cubic Smoothing Splines 0 0 2 561 0 4 11 1,985
Local Linear Multivariate Regression with Variable Bandwidth in the Presence of Heteroscedasticity 0 0 0 199 1 8 10 736
Long-term Forecasts of Age-specific Labour Market Participation Rates with Functional Data Models 0 0 1 25 1 2 5 66
Long-term forecasts of age-specific participation rates with functional data models 0 0 0 37 0 8 11 86
Low-dimensional decomposition, smoothing and forecasting of sparse functional data 0 0 0 71 0 2 3 98
Macroeconomic forecasting for Australia using a large number of predictors 0 0 0 175 0 4 11 312
Manifold Learning with Approximate Nearest Neighbors 0 1 1 38 1 7 12 92
Meta-learning how to forecast time series 0 0 3 214 2 16 29 612
Mixed Model-Based Hazard Estimation 0 0 0 133 0 3 3 647
Modelling and forecasting Australian domestic tourism 0 0 2 380 2 7 12 939
Monitoring Processes with Changing Variances 0 0 1 61 1 5 10 180
Non Parametric Confidence Intervals for Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves 0 0 0 234 1 4 7 1,216
Non-linear exponential smoothing and positive data 0 1 1 119 4 8 11 539
Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models for Time Series Forecasting of Smart Meter Demand 0 0 0 24 1 6 7 48
Nonparametric Estimation and Symmetry Tests for Conditional Density Functions 0 0 0 183 1 1 4 1,029
Nonparametric autocovariance function estimation 0 0 0 69 1 2 5 1,090
Nonparametric estimation and symmetry tests for conditional density functions 0 0 0 4 3 7 9 72
Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating 0 0 0 160 0 5 7 397
On normalization and algorithm selection for unsupervised outlier detection 0 0 0 36 0 4 7 93
Online Conformal Inference for Multi-Step Time Series Forecasting 0 3 8 59 1 13 30 112
Optimal Forecast Reconciliation with Time Series Selection 0 0 3 24 2 8 12 25
Optimal Non-negative Forecast Reconciliation 0 1 2 38 2 11 21 113
Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series 0 0 1 286 2 10 22 698
Optimal forecast reconciliation for hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization 0 2 8 68 2 14 43 177
Prediction Intervals for Exponential Smoothing State Space Models 0 0 2 639 3 9 17 2,159
Principles and Algorithms for Forecasting Groups of Time Series: Locality and Globality 0 0 0 52 2 6 8 50
Probabilisitic forecasts in hierarchical time series 0 1 1 62 3 7 10 142
Probabilistic Forecast Reconciliation: Properties, Evaluation and Score Optimisation 0 0 0 53 0 7 18 122
Probabilistic time series forecasting with boosted additive models: an application to smart meter data 0 0 0 78 0 4 4 180
Rainbow plots, Bagplots and Boxplots for Functional Data 0 0 3 87 1 5 12 371
Rating Forecasts for Television Programs 0 0 0 223 0 4 9 647
Recursive and direct multi-step forecasting: the best of both worlds 0 7 27 465 6 38 122 1,411
Residual Diagnostic Plots for Checking for Model Mis-Specification in Time Series Regression 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Residual Diagnostic Plots for Checking for model Mis-Specification in Time Series Regression 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 1,729
Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: a functional data approach 0 1 2 431 1 7 17 1,242
STR: A Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Procedure Based on Regression 0 1 2 156 3 9 23 461
Seasonal Functional Autoregressive Models 0 0 1 42 0 7 13 82
Short-term load forecasting based on a semi-parametric additive model 1 1 2 76 5 7 13 238
Some Nonlinear Exponential Smoothing Models are Unstable 0 0 0 217 1 11 14 1,066
Sparse Multiple Index Modelsfor High-dimensional Nonparametric Forecasting 0 0 1 42 0 2 6 19
Spatial modelling of the two-party preferred vote in Australian federal elections: 2001-2016 1 1 1 44 1 3 7 138
Statistical Methodological Issues in Studies of Air Pollution and Respiratory Disease 0 0 0 209 0 3 3 1,052
Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting 0 0 2 2,173 9 19 25 6,659
Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration 0 1 4 267 1 5 14 877
The Australian Macro Database: An Online Resource for Macroeconomic Research in Australia 0 0 0 20 1 6 9 68
The Australian Macro Database: An online resource for macroeconomic research in Australia 0 0 0 38 1 5 6 88
The Road to Recovery from COVID-19 for Australian Tourism 0 0 3 67 1 3 11 152
The price elasticity of electricity demand in South Australia 0 0 1 187 3 8 13 487
The tourism forecasting competition 0 0 0 156 1 6 18 501
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 0 1 60 0 10 17 213
The vector innovation structural time series framework: a simple approach to multivariate forecasting 0 0 0 180 1 8 9 505
Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space 0 0 0 335 1 8 8 1,309
Two-dimensional smoothing of mortality rates 0 1 1 34 0 5 11 109
Unmasking the Theta Method 0 0 1 311 0 6 16 1,235
Using R to Teach Econometrics 0 0 1 2,177 2 14 16 4,422
Visualising forecasting Algorithm Performance using Time Series Instance Spaces 0 0 1 108 1 7 14 153
Visualizing Probability Distributions across Bivariate Cyclic Temporal Granularities 0 0 0 0 3 6 7 14
Total Working Papers 7 49 163 25,237 205 976 1,742 83,567

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
25 years of time series forecasting 0 1 2 260 3 12 31 973
A Bayesian approach to bandwidth selection for multivariate kernel density estimation 0 0 0 107 3 7 9 329
A brief history of forecasting competitions 0 0 1 32 0 5 15 146
A change of editors 0 0 0 7 1 5 7 72
A gradient boosting approach to the Kaggle load forecasting competition 0 1 1 56 1 10 26 331
A multivariate innovations state space Beveridge-Nelson decomposition 0 0 0 33 2 8 10 175
A note on the categorization of demand patterns 1 1 1 6 5 11 17 43
A note on the validity of cross-validation for evaluating autoregressive time series prediction 3 10 30 284 22 82 158 832
A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naïve forecasts 0 0 0 2 1 3 3 45
A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods 3 4 14 272 8 25 71 952
Another Look at Forecast Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demand 1 2 6 403 3 13 41 1,499
Another look at measures of forecast accuracy 5 13 33 469 19 66 148 1,688
Assessing mortality inequality in the U.S.: What can be said about the future? 0 0 0 3 2 5 11 21
Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R 0 1 2 483 7 24 54 2,316
Bagging exponential smoothing methods using STL decomposition and Box–Cox transformation 1 1 3 48 2 12 32 220
Bandwidth selection for kernel conditional density estimation 0 0 7 119 0 4 27 360
Call for Papers: Special issue of the International Journal of Forecasting on tourism forecasting 0 0 0 28 0 2 3 240
Changing of the guard 0 0 0 3 2 4 5 46
Coherent Mortality Forecasting: The Product-Ratio Method With Functional Time Series Models 0 0 0 20 3 11 13 150
Comments on: Exploratory functional data analysis 0 0 0 0 1 9 10 10
Cross-temporal probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Methodological and practical issues 0 1 1 2 1 8 11 13
Crude oil price forecasting based on internet concern using an extreme learning machine 0 0 0 22 0 4 10 99
Distributed ARIMA models for ultra-long time series 0 0 2 6 1 2 9 26
Dynamic algorithm selection for pareto optimal set approximation 0 0 0 6 3 11 16 42
Early classification of spatio-temporal events using partial information 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 12
Editorial 0 0 0 9 0 2 2 118
Encouraging replication and reproducible research 0 0 0 16 1 3 7 86
Errors on Percentage Errors 1 1 4 4 3 8 15 15
Exploring the sources of uncertainty: Why does bagging for time series forecasting work? 0 1 2 23 0 12 18 103
Exponential smoothing models: Means and variances for lead-time demand 0 0 0 27 2 6 10 172
FFORMA: Feature-based forecast model averaging 0 2 12 51 2 15 44 248
Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series 0 0 0 6 2 6 8 66
Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review 1 1 11 33 5 33 70 118
Forecast reconciliation: A geometric view with new insights on bias correction 1 1 3 13 4 16 27 75
Forecast reconciliation: A review 0 0 7 12 5 21 59 77
Forecasting Swiss exports using Bayesian forecast reconciliation 0 0 0 5 0 7 10 32
Forecasting for social good 0 1 2 4 1 10 19 28
Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art 0 3 7 22 6 18 29 125
Forecasting interrupted time series 0 1 2 2 2 11 19 19
Forecasting time series with multiple seasonal patterns 0 0 1 188 2 7 11 674
Forecasting with temporal hierarchies 0 2 5 25 1 13 38 128
Forecasting, causality and feedback 0 0 0 9 1 3 4 25
Free Open-Source Forecasting Using R 0 0 1 168 0 4 8 498
Half-life estimation based on the bias-corrected bootstrap: A highest density region approach 0 0 0 41 0 5 7 229
Hierarchical Probabilistic Forecasting of Electricity Demand With Smart Meter Data 1 1 5 10 4 9 23 44
Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism 0 0 2 101 2 14 24 421
Improved interval estimation of long run response from a dynamic linear model: A highest density region approach 0 0 0 11 0 7 12 137
Improved methods for bandwidth selection when estimating ROC curves 0 0 0 11 0 7 7 90
Improving out-of-sample forecasts of stock price indexes with forecast reconciliation and clustering 0 0 1 1 0 3 8 8
Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions 0 0 0 70 1 7 8 465
LoMEF: A framework to produce local explanations for global model time series forecasts 0 0 0 1 1 5 10 19
MSTL: a seasonal-trend decomposition algorithm for time series with multiple seasonal patterns 0 0 7 7 2 5 27 29
Macroeconomic forecasting for Australia using a large number of predictors 0 0 2 8 5 12 25 63
Minimum Sample Size requirements for Seasonal Forecasting Models 0 1 6 220 7 25 51 1,133
Modern Strategies for Time Series Regression 0 0 1 1 3 9 12 22
Monitoring processes with changing variances 0 0 0 20 0 5 8 129
Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating 0 0 0 3 1 4 12 67
Non‐linear mixed‐effects models for time series forecasting of smart meter demand 0 0 2 5 3 8 11 23
On continuous-time threshold autoregression 0 0 0 51 2 5 7 181
Optimal Forecast Reconciliation for Hierarchical and Grouped Time Series Through Trace Minimization 0 0 14 33 10 24 58 146
Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series 0 1 3 87 3 14 36 404
Optimal forecast reconciliation with time series selection 0 0 1 1 4 23 28 28
Optimally Reconciling Forecasts in a Hierarchy 0 0 1 172 1 9 17 444
Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods 0 0 0 20 0 12 16 152
Predicting sediment and nutrient concentrations from high-frequency water-quality data 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 12
Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models 0 0 1 151 0 7 12 592
Principles and algorithms for forecasting groups of time series: Locality and globality 0 1 6 12 5 20 61 106
Probabilistic energy forecasting: Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 and beyond 0 2 17 156 8 25 66 603
Probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Properties, evaluation and score optimisation 0 0 2 9 1 9 21 44
Reconstructing Missing and Anomalous Data Collected from High-Frequency In-Situ Sensors in Fresh Waters 0 0 1 1 2 6 8 10
Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach 0 1 11 372 13 26 58 1,036
STR: Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Using Regression 0 2 3 13 1 14 25 84
Seasonal functional autoregressive models 0 0 1 5 1 3 15 33
Smoothing non-Gaussian time series with autoregressive structure 0 0 0 29 1 7 7 189
Some Properties and Generalizations of Non‐negative Bayesian Time Series Models 0 0 0 0 3 9 12 19
Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting 0 0 3 506 1 11 24 1,901
Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration 0 1 8 149 2 11 24 427
The admissible parameter space for exponential smoothing models 0 0 0 89 1 15 17 261
The interaction between trend and seasonality 0 0 0 84 0 5 6 341
The price elasticity of electricity demand in South Australia 0 0 5 120 2 5 19 443
The tourism forecasting competition 0 0 1 55 0 7 19 437
The tourism forecasting competition 0 0 1 27 2 9 13 201
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 0 0 5 0 3 5 80
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 0 0 12 1 6 11 142
Tourism forecasting: An introduction 0 0 1 50 7 16 19 172
Twenty-five years of forecasting 0 0 0 64 0 9 12 192
Understanding links between water-quality variables and nitrate concentration in freshwater streams using high frequency sensor data 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 6
Unmasking the Theta method 0 1 1 82 4 9 17 435
Using R to teach econometrics 0 0 1 1,489 2 7 13 3,489
Visualising forecasting algorithm performance using time series instance spaces 0 0 1 31 2 5 10 156
YULE‐WALKER ESTIMATES FOR CONTINUOUS‐TIME AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS 0 0 0 6 1 2 4 22
Total Journal Articles 18 59 269 7,679 236 1,006 2,058 28,914

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
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On Sampling Methods for Costly Multi-Objective Black-Box Optimization 0 0 0 0 2 6 8 23
Total Chapters 0 0 0 0 2 6 8 23

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Statistics updated 2026-03-04