Access Statistics for Rob J Hyndman

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review 0 0 2 135 1 5 18 621
25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review 0 0 2 412 3 3 15 965
A Brief History of Forecasting Competitions 0 0 2 86 0 0 19 137
A Feature-Based Framework for Detecting Technical Outliers in Water-Quality Data from In Situ Sensors 0 0 0 26 1 2 5 52
A New Tidy Data Structure to Support Exploration and Modeling of Temporal Data 0 0 0 37 1 1 8 59
A Note on the Validity of Cross-Validation for Evaluating Time Series Prediction 0 0 6 741 6 12 31 1,912
A State Space Framework for Automatic Forecasting Using Exponential Smoothing Methods 0 0 2 615 5 9 24 1,753
A comparison of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates 0 1 2 139 1 6 22 348
A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality 0 0 2 207 2 13 26 549
An Improved Method for Bandwidth Selection when Estimating ROC Curves 0 0 0 138 0 3 8 564
Anomaly Detection in High Dimensional Data 0 0 1 27 1 3 10 90
Anomaly detection in streaming nonstationary temporal data 0 0 0 122 3 5 6 295
Another Look at Measures of Forecast Accuracy 4 8 23 1,539 20 39 134 4,033
Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R 1 2 6 1,606 13 21 59 4,761
Bagging Exponential Smoothing Methods using STL Decomposition and Box-Cox Transformation 0 0 0 58 4 7 27 229
Bandwidth Selection for Kernel Conditional Density Estimation 0 1 1 1 1 3 6 6
Bandwidth Selection for Kernel Conditional Density Estimation 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 1,541
Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC 0 1 1 1,029 2 6 21 3,633
Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC 0 0 0 597 2 3 13 2,135
Bayesian Rank Selection in Multivariate Regression 0 0 0 51 5 6 19 112
Boosting multi-step autoregressive forecasts 0 1 1 79 2 12 21 149
Calendar-based Graphics for Visualizing People's Daily Schedules 0 0 0 4 2 9 18 59
Coherent Mortality Forecasting The Product-ratio Method with Functional Time Series Models 0 0 1 55 4 11 19 320
Coherent Probabilistic Forecasts for Hierarchical Time Series 0 1 1 86 5 9 16 205
Coherent mortality forecasting: the product-ratio method with functional time series models 1 1 1 68 3 9 16 203
Conditional Normalization in Time Series Analysis 0 0 2 24 4 7 18 39
Cross-temporal Probabilistic Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 23 3 8 18 32
Density forecasting for long-term peak electricity demand 0 0 1 226 2 5 14 609
Detecting Distributional Differences between Temporal Granularities for Exploratory Time Series Analysis 0 0 0 27 4 8 13 35
Dimension Reduction For Outlier Detection Using DOBIN 0 0 0 19 4 7 13 57
Distributed ARIMA Models for Ultra-long Time Series 0 0 0 115 6 7 20 201
Efficient Identification of the Pareto Optimal Set 0 0 0 13 0 1 5 98
Efficient generation of time series with diverse and controllable characteristics 0 0 1 69 5 6 18 216
Empirical Information Criteria for Time Series Forecasting Model Selection 0 0 0 1,000 0 3 10 3,405
Exponential Smoothing for Inventory Control: Means and Variances of Lead-Time Demand 0 0 0 769 1 2 9 2,855
Exponential smoothing and non-negative data 0 0 0 85 4 8 16 312
FFORMA: Feature-based forecast model averaging 0 1 5 130 3 9 29 577
Fast Forecast Reconciliation Using Linear Models 0 0 0 83 5 7 11 198
Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series 0 0 0 63 2 4 13 151
Forecast Linear AugmentedProjection (FLAP): A Free Lunch to Reduce Forecast Error Variance 0 0 0 20 1 3 16 27
Forecast Reconciliation: A Review 0 0 2 25 4 8 27 56
Forecast Reconciliation: A geometric View with New Insights on Bias Correction 1 1 1 21 5 5 7 58
Forecast Reconciliation: A geometric View with New Insights on Bias Correction 0 0 0 29 1 3 9 44
Forecasting Swiss Exports Using Bayesian Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 45 2 8 22 73
Forecasting Swiss Exports using Bayesian Forecast Reconciliation 0 0 0 25 0 0 14 47
Forecasting Time-Series with Correlated Seasonality 0 0 1 263 4 4 15 784
Forecasting age-related changes in breast cancer mortality among white and black US women: A functional approach 0 0 0 36 1 2 4 215
Forecasting age-specific breast cancer mortality using functional data models 0 0 0 164 2 2 11 996
Forecasting for Social Good 0 0 0 24 2 4 13 151
Forecasting hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization 0 0 1 90 6 6 20 212
Forecasting the Old-Age Dependency Ratio to Determine a Sustainable Pension Age 0 0 7 34 5 11 28 305
Forecasting time series with complex seasonal patterns using exponential smoothing 0 0 1 222 5 11 34 604
Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies 0 0 0 74 4 6 18 263
Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies 0 0 0 51 1 1 19 164
Generalized Additive Modelling of Mixed Distribution Markov Models with Application to Melbourne's Rainfall 0 0 0 251 4 4 11 1,574
Generalized Additive Modelling of Mixed Distribution Markov Models with Application to Melbourne's Rainfall 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3
Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates 0 0 1 72 2 2 9 126
Half-Life Estimation based on the Bias-Corrected Bootstrap: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 188 0 0 6 910
Hierarchical Forecasting 0 0 0 106 2 3 21 241
Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism 0 0 0 128 0 8 17 400
Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 13 7 9 11 126
Improved Interval Estimation of Long Run Response from a Dynamic Linear Model: A Highest Density Region Approach 0 0 0 3 2 5 13 116
Improving out-of-sample Forecasts of Stock Price Indexes with Forecast Reconciliation and Clustering 0 0 1 27 5 19 29 58
Invertibility Conditions for Exponential Smoothing Models 0 0 1 418 0 1 11 2,648
Leave-one-out Kernel Density Estimates for Outlier Detection 0 1 2 19 1 13 28 85
Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions 0 0 0 212 4 9 18 804
Local Linear Forecasts Using Cubic Smoothing Splines 0 0 1 561 4 5 15 1,990
Local Linear Multivariate Regression with Variable Bandwidth in the Presence of Heteroscedasticity 0 0 0 199 4 6 15 741
Long-term Forecasts of Age-specific Labour Market Participation Rates with Functional Data Models 0 0 1 25 0 2 6 67
Long-term forecasts of age-specific participation rates with functional data models 0 0 0 37 2 3 14 89
Low-dimensional decomposition, smoothing and forecasting of sparse functional data 0 0 0 71 0 0 3 98
Macroeconomic forecasting for Australia using a large number of predictors 0 0 0 175 0 0 11 312
Manifold Learning with Approximate Nearest Neighbors 0 0 1 38 3 9 20 100
Meta-learning how to forecast time series 0 0 3 214 4 11 35 621
Mixed Model-Based Hazard Estimation 0 0 0 133 1 1 4 648
Modelling and forecasting Australian domestic tourism 0 1 1 381 2 6 14 943
Monitoring Processes with Changing Variances 0 0 1 61 5 7 16 186
Non Parametric Confidence Intervals for Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves 0 0 0 234 3 4 10 1,219
Non-linear exponential smoothing and positive data 0 0 1 119 0 4 11 539
Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models for Time Series Forecasting of Smart Meter Demand 0 0 0 24 3 5 11 52
Nonparametric Estimation and Symmetry Tests for Conditional Density Functions 0 0 0 183 0 1 4 1,029
Nonparametric autocovariance function estimation 0 0 0 69 3 4 7 1,093
Nonparametric estimation and symmetry tests for conditional density functions 0 0 0 4 2 6 12 75
Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating 0 1 1 161 1 2 9 399
On normalization and algorithm selection for unsupervised outlier detection 0 0 0 36 1 2 8 95
Online Conformal Inference for Multi-Step Time Series Forecasting 1 2 8 61 11 15 40 126
Optimal Forecast Reconciliation with Time Series Selection 0 0 2 24 4 6 15 29
Optimal Non-negative Forecast Reconciliation 0 1 3 39 2 7 26 118
Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series 0 0 1 286 3 7 26 703
Optimal forecast reconciliation for hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization 0 0 6 68 9 14 52 189
Prediction Intervals for Exponential Smoothing State Space Models 0 0 2 639 2 10 24 2,166
Principles and Algorithms for Forecasting Groups of Time Series: Locality and Globality 0 1 1 53 0 3 8 51
Probabilisitic forecasts in hierarchical time series 0 0 1 62 1 5 12 144
Probabilistic Forecast Reconciliation: Properties, Evaluation and Score Optimisation 0 0 0 53 3 5 22 127
Probabilistic time series forecasting with boosted additive models: an application to smart meter data 0 0 0 78 2 2 6 182
Rainbow plots, Bagplots and Boxplots for Functional Data 0 0 2 87 3 6 15 376
Rating Forecasts for Television Programs 0 0 0 223 2 2 11 649
Recursive and direct multi-step forecasting: the best of both worlds 2 4 27 469 13 41 141 1,446
Residual Diagnostic Plots for Checking for Model Mis-Specification in Time Series Regression 0 0 0 0 4 4 5 5
Residual Diagnostic Plots for Checking for model Mis-Specification in Time Series Regression 0 0 0 0 3 3 8 1,732
Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: a functional data approach 0 0 2 431 5 6 20 1,247
STR: A Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Procedure Based on Regression 0 0 2 156 5 8 28 466
Seasonal Functional Autoregressive Models 0 0 1 42 1 2 15 84
Short-term load forecasting based on a semi-parametric additive model 0 1 2 76 4 9 17 242
Some Nonlinear Exponential Smoothing Models are Unstable 0 0 0 217 0 1 14 1,066
Sparse Multiple Index Modelsfor High-dimensional Nonparametric Forecasting 0 0 1 42 0 1 6 20
Spatial modelling of the two-party preferred vote in Australian federal elections: 2001-2016 0 1 1 44 1 4 9 141
Statistical Methodological Issues in Studies of Air Pollution and Respiratory Disease 0 0 0 209 1 1 4 1,053
Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting 0 0 0 2,173 2 13 25 6,663
Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration 0 0 4 267 1 5 18 881
The Australian Macro Database: An Online Resource for Macroeconomic Research in Australia 0 0 0 20 1 2 10 69
The Australian Macro Database: An online resource for macroeconomic research in Australia 0 0 0 38 2 3 8 90
The Road to Recovery from COVID-19 for Australian Tourism 0 0 3 67 3 5 15 156
The price elasticity of electricity demand in South Australia 0 0 1 187 3 6 15 490
The tourism forecasting competition 0 1 1 157 2 6 22 506
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 0 1 60 1 1 18 214
The vector innovation structural time series framework: a simple approach to multivariate forecasting 0 0 0 180 0 1 9 505
Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space 0 0 0 335 2 8 15 1,316
Two-dimensional smoothing of mortality rates 0 0 1 34 2 2 13 111
Unmasking the Theta Method 0 0 1 311 1 2 18 1,237
Using R to Teach Econometrics 0 0 1 2,177 4 6 20 4,426
Visualising forecasting Algorithm Performance using Time Series Instance Spaces 0 0 1 108 4 6 18 158
Visualizing Probability Distributions across Bivariate Cyclic Temporal Granularities 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 14
Total Working Papers 10 32 167 25,262 346 738 2,193 84,100

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
25 years of time series forecasting 1 1 2 261 7 11 37 981
A Bayesian approach to bandwidth selection for multivariate kernel density estimation 0 0 0 107 0 5 11 331
A brief history of forecasting competitions 0 1 2 33 2 3 15 149
A change of editors 0 0 0 7 2 4 10 75
A gradient boosting approach to the Kaggle load forecasting competition 0 0 1 56 3 5 29 335
A multivariate innovations state space Beveridge-Nelson decomposition 0 0 0 33 1 5 13 178
A note on the categorization of demand patterns 1 2 2 7 4 9 19 47
A note on the validity of cross-validation for evaluating autoregressive time series prediction 7 16 41 297 23 76 205 886
A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naïve forecasts 0 0 0 2 0 1 3 45
A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods 0 6 16 275 5 22 80 966
Another Look at Forecast Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demand 0 2 5 404 2 7 37 1,503
Another look at measures of forecast accuracy 9 21 47 485 40 83 205 1,752
Assessing mortality inequality in the U.S.: What can be said about the future? 0 0 0 3 3 6 14 25
Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R 3 3 4 486 6 15 56 2,324
Bagging exponential smoothing methods using STL decomposition and Box–Cox transformation 1 3 4 50 7 10 39 228
Bandwidth selection for kernel conditional density estimation 1 1 8 120 3 5 30 365
Call for Papers: Special issue of the International Journal of Forecasting on tourism forecasting 0 0 0 28 2 2 5 242
Changing of the guard 0 0 0 3 1 3 6 47
Coherent Mortality Forecasting: The Product-Ratio Method With Functional Time Series Models 0 0 0 20 3 7 17 154
Comments on: Exploratory functional data analysis 0 0 0 0 2 3 12 12
Cross-temporal probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Methodological and practical issues 0 1 2 3 4 9 19 21
Crude oil price forecasting based on internet concern using an extreme learning machine 0 0 0 22 2 2 12 101
Distributed ARIMA models for ultra-long time series 0 0 2 6 4 6 13 31
Dynamic algorithm selection for pareto optimal set approximation 0 0 0 6 2 5 17 44
Early classification of spatio-temporal events using partial information 0 0 0 0 1 1 7 13
Editorial 0 0 0 9 5 6 8 124
Encouraging replication and reproducible research 0 0 0 16 2 4 10 89
Errors on Percentage Errors 0 1 4 4 1 4 16 16
Exploring the sources of uncertainty: Why does bagging for time series forecasting work? 0 0 2 23 4 5 22 108
Exponential smoothing models: Means and variances for lead-time demand 0 0 0 27 1 4 12 174
FFORMA: Feature-based forecast model averaging 1 1 13 52 4 12 49 258
Fast computation of reconciled forecasts for hierarchical and grouped time series 0 0 0 6 1 3 8 67
Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review 1 2 11 34 6 12 75 125
Forecast reconciliation: A geometric view with new insights on bias correction 0 1 2 13 6 14 34 85
Forecast reconciliation: A review 2 4 11 16 16 26 77 98
Forecasting Swiss exports using Bayesian forecast reconciliation 0 0 0 5 1 2 11 34
Forecasting for social good 0 0 1 4 6 9 26 36
Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art 0 0 7 22 1 7 29 126
Forecasting interrupted time series 1 1 3 3 5 8 25 25
Forecasting time series with multiple seasonal patterns 0 0 1 188 3 6 15 678
Forecasting with temporal hierarchies 0 0 5 25 3 8 43 135
Forecasting, causality and feedback 0 0 0 9 0 2 5 26
Free Open-Source Forecasting Using R 0 0 0 168 2 3 10 501
Half-life estimation based on the bias-corrected bootstrap: A highest density region approach 0 0 0 41 4 6 13 235
Hierarchical Probabilistic Forecasting of Electricity Demand With Smart Meter Data 1 2 5 11 5 10 27 50
Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism 0 0 2 101 2 5 27 424
Improved interval estimation of long run response from a dynamic linear model: A highest density region approach 0 0 0 11 2 3 15 140
Improved methods for bandwidth selection when estimating ROC curves 0 0 0 11 3 3 10 93
Improving out-of-sample forecasts of stock price indexes with forecast reconciliation and clustering 0 0 1 1 1 3 11 11
Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions 0 0 0 70 1 7 14 471
LoMEF: A framework to produce local explanations for global model time series forecasts 0 0 0 1 1 3 11 21
MSTL: a seasonal-trend decomposition algorithm for time series with multiple seasonal patterns 1 1 6 8 3 9 27 36
Macroeconomic forecasting for Australia using a large number of predictors 0 0 2 8 2 7 25 65
Minimum Sample Size requirements for Seasonal Forecasting Models 0 2 8 222 4 14 56 1,140
Modern Strategies for Time Series Regression 0 0 0 1 2 5 13 24
Monitoring processes with changing variances 0 0 0 20 3 4 12 133
Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating 0 0 0 3 1 3 14 69
Non‐linear mixed‐effects models for time series forecasting of smart meter demand 0 0 2 5 1 4 11 24
On continuous-time threshold autoregression 0 0 0 51 0 2 6 181
Optimal Forecast Reconciliation for Hierarchical and Grouped Time Series Through Trace Minimization 4 6 18 39 11 26 69 162
Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series 0 0 3 87 7 15 48 416
Optimal forecast reconciliation with time series selection 0 0 1 1 2 8 32 32
Optimally Reconciling Forecasts in a Hierarchy 0 0 0 172 0 1 15 444
Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods 0 0 0 20 2 2 18 154
Predicting sediment and nutrient concentrations from high-frequency water-quality data 0 0 0 0 1 2 8 14
Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models 0 0 1 151 3 4 16 596
Principles and algorithms for forecasting groups of time series: Locality and globality 1 3 9 15 7 17 73 118
Probabilistic energy forecasting: Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 and beyond 2 8 21 164 13 37 87 632
Probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Properties, evaluation and score optimisation 1 1 1 10 4 5 20 48
Reconstructing Missing and Anomalous Data Collected from High-Frequency In-Situ Sensors in Fresh Waters 0 0 1 1 1 3 9 11
Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach 0 3 11 375 1 22 61 1,045
STR: Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Using Regression 2 2 4 15 9 13 34 96
Seasonal functional autoregressive models 0 0 1 5 3 7 14 39
Smoothing non-Gaussian time series with autoregressive structure 0 0 0 29 0 1 7 189
Some Properties and Generalizations of Non‐negative Bayesian Time Series Models 0 0 0 0 1 4 12 20
Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting 0 0 2 506 2 3 22 1,903
Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration 0 0 6 149 5 8 28 433
The admissible parameter space for exponential smoothing models 0 0 0 89 3 4 20 264
The interaction between trend and seasonality 0 0 0 84 2 2 8 343
The price elasticity of electricity demand in South Australia 0 0 2 120 4 6 17 447
The tourism forecasting competition 0 0 1 27 3 8 18 207
The tourism forecasting competition 0 1 2 56 8 11 30 448
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 0 0 5 2 2 7 82
The value of feedback in forecasting competitions 0 0 0 12 2 3 13 144
Tourism forecasting: An introduction 0 0 1 50 1 8 20 173
Twenty-five years of forecasting 0 0 0 64 8 8 19 200
Understanding links between water-quality variables and nitrate concentration in freshwater streams using high frequency sensor data 0 0 0 0 2 3 9 9
Unmasking the Theta method 2 2 3 84 5 10 22 441
Using R to teach econometrics 0 0 1 1,489 2 6 17 3,493
Visualising forecasting algorithm performance using time series instance spaces 0 0 1 31 1 7 15 161
YULE‐WALKER ESTIMATES FOR CONTINUOUS‐TIME AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS 0 0 0 6 2 3 6 24
Total Journal Articles 42 98 312 7,759 348 787 2,472 29,465

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
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On Sampling Methods for Costly Multi-Objective Black-Box Optimization 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 23
Total Chapters 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 23

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Statistics updated 2026-05-06