Access Statistics for Scott H. Irwin

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
1995 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 3 0 1 15 71
1996 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 1 0 0 7 70
1997 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 2 0 1 7 52
1998 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 52
1999 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 66
1999 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVIVES FOR WHEAT 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 55
2007 U.S CORN PRODUCTION RISKS: WHAT DOES HISTORY TEACH US? 0 0 0 28 0 1 6 149
2009 Corn Yield Prospects Continue to Improve 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 22
2009 Corn Yield Prospects Improving 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 18
2009 Final Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts 0 0 0 1 1 1 5 13
2009 Soybean Yield Prospects Improving 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 18
A Bayesian Implementation of the Standard Optimal Hedging Model: Parameter Estimation Risk and Subjective Views 0 0 0 14 0 0 12 72
A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in US Futures Markets 2 3 4 135 8 18 72 562
A Speculative Bubble in Commodity Futures Prices? Cross-Sectional Evidence 0 0 0 43 0 1 10 149
ADVISORY SERVICE MARKETING PROFILES FOR CORN OVER 1995-2000 0 0 0 4 1 1 8 73
ADVISORY SERVICE MARKETING PROFILES FOR SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2000 0 0 0 2 0 0 8 59
AN ANALYSIS OF THE PROFILES AND MOTIVATIONS OF HABITUAL COMMODITY SPECULATORS 0 0 0 43 0 0 10 319
AN EVALUATION OF CROP FORECAST ACCURACY FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS: USDA AND PRIVATE INFORMATION SERVICES 0 0 0 68 0 1 19 197
ARE REVISIONS TO USDA CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS SMOOTHED? 0 0 0 19 0 0 5 106
Accounting for Heterogeneity in Hedging Behavior: Comparing & Evaluating Grouping Methods 0 0 0 12 0 1 18 84
Accuracy Trends and Sources of Forecast Errors in WASDE Balance Sheet Categories for Corn and Soybeans 0 1 2 26 0 3 23 180
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn in 2001 0 0 0 3 0 0 12 45
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004 0 0 0 4 0 0 8 59
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 19
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 41
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans in 2001 0 0 0 5 0 0 4 74
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004 0 0 0 6 0 0 8 71
Alternative 2010 Corn Production Scenarios and Policy Implications 0 0 0 1 0 0 12 30
Alternative 2011 Corn Production, Consumption, and Price Scenarios 0 0 0 1 1 2 8 22
An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators 0 0 0 524 0 1 8 1,865
An Investigation of Pricing Models for Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle Options 0 0 0 1 0 1 12 42
Are Corn Trend Yields Increasing at a Faster Rate? 0 0 0 17 0 1 8 80
Are Corn and Soybean Options Too Expensive? 0 0 0 23 0 0 6 198
Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files 0 0 0 48 0 0 13 157
CROP INSURANCE VALUATION UNDER ALTERNATIVE YIELD DISTRIBUTIONS 0 0 1 49 0 0 7 204
Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era 0 0 2 19 0 3 30 94
Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work? 0 0 1 43 0 1 13 198
Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies 0 0 0 54 0 1 10 337
Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services 0 0 0 13 0 1 8 93
DEVELOPMENT OF A MARKET BENCHMARK PRICE FOR AGMAS PERFORMANCE EVALUATIONS 0 0 0 15 1 3 10 188
DO AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES BEAT THE MARKET? EVIDENCE FROM THE CORN AND SOYBEAN MARKETS OVER 1995-1997 0 0 0 4 0 0 9 53
DO AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES BEAT THE MARKET? EVIDENCE FROM THE CORN AND SOYBEAN MARKETS OVER 1995-1998 0 0 0 2 0 1 9 64
DO AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES BEAT THE MARKET? EVIDENCE FROM THE WHEAT MARKET OVER 1995-1998 0 0 0 8 0 1 7 64
DOES THE MARKET ANTICIPATE SMOOTHING IN USDA CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS? 0 0 0 5 0 2 17 81
Dissecting Corn Price Movements with Directed Acyclic Graphs 0 0 0 45 0 1 20 182
Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts 0 0 0 15 0 0 6 145
Do Composite Procedures Really Improve the Accuracy of Outlook Forecasts? 0 0 0 6 0 1 10 81
Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth? 0 0 0 16 0 0 11 107
Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes? 0 0 0 41 0 0 5 168
Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes? 0 0 0 26 1 1 12 154
ESTIMATING FARM-LEVEL YIELD DISTRIBUTIONS FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS IN ILLINOIS 0 0 0 23 2 3 13 157
EVALUATION OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICE PERFORMANCE IN HOGS 0 0 0 4 0 2 10 91
EVALUATION OF RISK REDUCTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH MULTI-PERIOL CROP INSURANCE PRODUCTS 0 0 0 17 0 1 4 115
Early Prospects for 2009 Corn Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 26
Early Prospects for 2009 Soybean Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 11
Efficient Portfolios of Market Advisory Services: An Application of Shrinkage Estimators 0 0 0 2 0 1 7 56
Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean and Wheat Prices 0 0 0 17 0 0 13 103
Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices 0 0 0 2 0 0 6 33
Evaluation of Risk Reductions Associated with Multi-Peril Crop Insurance Products 0 0 0 5 0 0 11 58
Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans 0 0 0 11 0 3 19 61
Farmer’s Income Shifting Option in Post-harvest Forward Contracting 0 0 0 7 0 0 6 64
Forecast Performance of Futures Price Models for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat 0 0 0 64 2 3 13 191
Forming Expectations About 2008 U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields — Application of Crop Weather Models that Incorporate Planting Progress 0 0 0 2 0 0 11 25
Grain Stocks Estimates: Can Anything Explain the Market Surprises of Recent Years? 0 0 0 4 0 0 8 25
HOW TO GROUP MARKET PARTICIPANTS? HETEROGENEITY IN HEDGING BEHAVIOR 0 0 0 22 0 1 10 137
Has the Performance of the Hog Options Market Changed? 0 0 0 14 0 0 10 145
How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets 0 0 0 13 0 0 16 114
How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets 0 0 0 30 0 1 12 166
How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets 0 0 0 18 0 3 13 97
How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets Energy Economics 0 0 0 6 0 2 13 37
How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market 0 0 0 35 0 0 13 150
Intraday Bid Ask Spread Variation in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market 0 0 0 26 0 1 6 79
Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Aggregation? 0 0 0 4 0 0 9 44
Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting 0 0 0 8 0 2 11 74
Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers 0 0 0 661 0 0 16 3,871
Market Reaction to Inefficiencies in USDA Crop Production Forecasts 0 0 0 8 0 2 15 49
Modeling Farmers' Use of Market Advisory Services 0 0 0 13 0 0 10 91
NOISE TRADE DEMAND IN FUTURES MARKETS 0 0 0 21 0 0 13 238
NONSTATIONARITY OF SOYBEAN FUTURES PRICE DISTRIBUTIONS: OPTION-BASED EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 36
New Generation Grain Marketing Contracts 0 0 0 40 1 1 17 205
Noise Trader Demand in Futures Markets 0 0 2 401 0 1 8 1,283
Noise Traders, Market Sentiment, and Futures Price Behavior 0 0 0 1,592 0 1 22 5,970
Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies 0 1 2 78 1 6 28 206
OPTIMAL HEDGING WITH VIEWS: A BAYESIAN APPROACH 0 0 0 40 0 0 8 192
Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets 0 0 0 30 0 1 14 171
PORTFOLIOS OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES: HOW MUCH DIVERSIFICATION IS ENOUGH? 0 0 0 7 0 0 13 85
PORTFOLIOS OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES: HOW MUCH DIVERSIFICATION IS ENOUGH? 0 0 0 10 0 4 17 158
PUTTING THE RISK PROTECTION ACT OF 2000 TO WORK: APPLIED MARKETING STRATEGIES (PowerPoint Presentation) 0 0 0 2 0 1 8 67
Plenary Panel: Managing Risk in Today's Markets 0 0 0 12 0 1 11 44
Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions 0 0 0 9 0 3 28 75
Quantile Regression Methods of Estimating Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts 0 0 0 100 0 0 13 316
SURVEYING FARMERS: A RESEARCH NOTE 0 0 0 17 0 2 10 104
Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Bayesian Approach to Performance Evaluation 0 0 0 8 0 2 10 59
Smart Money? The Forecasting Ability of CFTC Large Traders 0 1 1 74 1 5 29 248
So How Do I Make Corn and Soybean Pricing Decisions? 0 0 0 15 0 1 9 53
Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services 0 0 0 12 0 3 15 99
THE 1995 THROUGH 1998 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR WHEAT 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 53
THE COST OF FORWARD CONTRACTING 0 0 1 21 0 0 8 121
THE EFFECTS OF FUTURES TRADING BY LARGE HEDGE FUNDS AND CTAS ON MARKET VOLATILITY 0 0 3 94 0 12 63 457
THE IMPACT OF MARKETING ADVISORY SERVICE RECOMMENDATIONS ON PRODUCERS' MARKETING DECISIONS 0 0 0 16 0 0 5 190
THE MARKETING PERFORMANCE OF ILLINOIS CORN AND SOYBEAN PRODUCERS 0 0 1 15 0 1 10 90
THE MARKETING STYLE OF ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS IN 1995 0 0 0 7 0 1 10 94
THE PERFORMANCE OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 15 0 1 11 133
THE PERFORMANCE OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN MARKETING WHEAT 0 0 0 21 0 27 42 164
THE PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2000 0 0 0 6 0 0 10 73
THE PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2001 0 0 0 2 1 1 8 88
THE PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2001: A NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY 0 0 0 3 0 0 9 49
THE PRIVATE SECTOR APPROACH TO GRAIN MARKETING: THE CASE OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES 0 0 0 14 0 2 12 156
THE PROFITABILITY OF TECHNICAL TRADING RULES IN US FUTURES MARKETS: A DATA SNOOPING FREE TEST 0 0 1 42 2 7 53 257
THE ROLE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CROP MARKETING AND RISK MANAGEMENT: A PRELIMINARY REPORT OF SURVEY RESULTS 0 0 0 7 0 0 5 128
THE VALUE OF USDA OUTLOOK INFORMATION: AN INVESTIGATION USING EVENT STUDY ANALYSIS 0 2 2 39 0 4 9 153
TRACKING THE PERFORMANCE OF MARKETING PROFESSIONALS: 1995-2000 RESULTS FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 6 0 0 5 75
Testing for Yield Persistency: Is It Skill or is It Luck? 0 0 0 20 0 0 9 67
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing? 0 0 0 80 0 1 12 270
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets:Too Much of a Good Thing? 0 0 4 61 0 3 21 221
The Impact of Index and Swap Funds on Commodity Futures Markets: Preliminary Results 0 0 1 250 0 3 39 649
The Impact of Measurement Error on Estimates of the Price Reaction to USDA Crop Reports 0 0 0 19 0 2 8 124
The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers 0 0 0 26 0 0 13 148
The New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices 0 0 0 3 0 1 9 25
The Performance of Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts after Recent Changes in Speculative Limits 0 0 1 66 0 1 13 402
The Price of Biodiesel RINs and Economic Fundamentals 0 0 1 30 0 1 7 110
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Cattle Over 1995-2004 0 0 0 1 0 0 7 33
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001 0 0 0 6 0 0 3 86
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2003: A Non-Technical Summary 0 0 0 2 0 0 10 49
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004 0 0 0 11 0 2 14 113
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary 0 0 0 9 0 0 10 69
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003 0 0 0 7 0 3 13 91
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004 0 0 0 2 0 2 16 33
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004 0 0 0 2 0 0 15 37
The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review 2 9 24 1,138 17 92 348 4,688
The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test 0 0 1 119 0 4 19 507
The Relationship between Commodity Investment Flows and Crude Oil Futures Prices: Real or Spurious? 0 0 0 29 0 2 23 90
The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets 0 0 1 16 0 1 16 144
To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond? 0 0 0 9 1 2 12 66
USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings 0 0 0 29 0 0 9 75
USDA INTERVAL FORECASTS OF CORN AND SOYBEAN PRICES: OVERCONFIDENCE OR RATIONAL INACCURACY? 0 0 0 16 1 2 7 87
Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: An Overview of Methods, Performance and Market Impacts 0 0 0 26 1 6 23 144
Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2004 0 0 0 24 0 3 13 138
Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2005 0 0 0 57 0 1 24 242
Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt 0 0 3 94 0 18 46 561
What Happens when Peter can't Pay Paul: Risk Management at Futures Exchange Clearinghouses 0 0 0 23 0 0 14 135
Wheat Forward Contract Pricing: Evidence on Forecast Power and Risk Premia 0 0 1 44 0 0 9 297
When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes? 0 0 0 8 0 0 10 51
Total Working Papers 4 17 60 7,421 43 318 2,201 35,015


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
$25 spring wheat was a bubble, right? 0 0 0 4 0 0 6 28
2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits 0 0 0 0 1 1 8 13
2014: A Tough Year for Biodiesel Producers 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 18
A Reappraisal of Investing in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 0 5 0 0 7 33
A Reappraisal of Investing in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 0 35 1 1 6 100
A note on the factors affecting technical trading system returns 0 0 0 2 0 0 9 23
A reality check on technical trading rule profits in the U.S. futures markets 0 0 0 2 2 4 15 40
A reappraisal of the forecasting performance of corn and soybean new crop futures 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 18
A speculative bubble in commodity futures prices? Cross‐sectional evidence 0 0 0 139 2 2 10 361
An Evaluation of Crop Forecast Accuracy for Corn and Soybeans: USDA and Private Information Agencies 0 0 0 46 0 0 11 151
An Evaluation of Crop Forecast Accuracy for Corn and Soybeans: USDA and Private Information Agencies 0 0 0 0 1 1 8 12
An Examination of Option-Implied S&P 500 Futures Price Distributions 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 180
An analysis of the profiles and motivations of habitual commodity speculators 0 0 0 1 0 0 14 36
Angell, George. Agricultural Options: Trading Puts and Calls in the New Grain and Livestock Futures Markets. New York: American Management Association, 1986, ix + 230 pp., $22.95 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 17
Are Agricultural Options Overpriced? 0 0 0 26 1 1 12 118
Are Gasoline Prices Still High Relative to Crude Oil Prices? 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 19
Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed? 0 0 0 9 1 1 7 78
Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time? 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 21
Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time? 0 0 0 1 0 1 7 18
Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence 0 1 3 90 1 4 26 337
Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work? 0 1 1 4 0 2 8 44
Commodity index investment and food prices: does the “Masters Hypothesis” explain recent price spikes? 0 0 0 16 0 0 3 56
Composite and Outlook Forecast Accuracy 0 0 0 16 0 0 16 135
Crop Insurance Valuation under Alternative Yield Distributions 0 0 1 65 0 1 12 301
Devil or Angel? The Role of Speculation in the Recent Commodity Price Boom (and Bust) 0 0 4 390 0 0 20 959
Devil or Angel? The Role of Speculation in the Recent Commodity Price Boom (and Bust) 0 0 0 20 1 1 9 89
Do Big Corn Crops Always Get Bigger? 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 10
Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts 0 0 0 7 1 1 15 74
Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts 0 0 0 1 0 2 10 27
Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger? 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 11
Do Falling Gasoline Prices Threaten the Competitiveness of Ethanol? 0 0 0 0 1 2 8 19
Does the Performance of Illinois Corn and Soybean Farmers Lag the Market? 0 0 0 14 0 0 3 89
Economic evaluation of commodity price forecasting models 0 0 2 560 0 1 11 939
Empirical confidence intervals for USDA commodity price forecasts 0 0 2 19 1 2 12 88
Energy futures prices and commodity index investment: New evidence from firm-level position data 0 0 0 9 2 2 11 78
Ethanol Production Profits Hit the Wall 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 19
Ethanol Production Profits: The Risk from Lower Prices of Distillers Grains 0 0 0 2 0 1 15 23
Evaluation of USDA Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices 0 0 0 38 1 3 12 150
FORECASTING FED CATTLE, FEEDER CATTLE, AND CORN CASH PRICE VOLATILITY: THE ACCURACY OF TIME SERIES, IMPLIED VOLATILITY, AND COMPOSITE APPROACHES 0 0 0 46 0 0 16 162
Farmland: A Good Investment? 0 0 0 2 0 2 10 26
Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 0 100 1 3 21 316
Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 0 5 1 3 18 60
Forecast performance of WASDE price projections for U.S. corn 0 0 1 9 0 1 8 64
Forecasting Fed Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Corn Cash Price Volatility: The Accuracy of Time Series, Implied Volatility, and Composite Approaches 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 21
Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields: What about El Niño Transitions? 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 13
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us? 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 17
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us? 0 0 0 1 0 0 13 21
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? 0 0 0 0 0 2 12 27
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? 0 0 0 0 1 1 13 18
Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño? 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 14
Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño? 0 0 0 1 1 6 12 16
Further Evidence on Soybean Marketing Strategies: The Role of Options 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 14
Further Evidence on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends 0 0 0 1 1 1 10 19
Future price responses to USDA's Cold Storage report 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 43
Futures Market Failure? 0 0 2 29 0 0 10 144
Hedging Effectiveness in a Vertical Marketing Channel for Two Periods 0 0 0 8 0 0 8 56
Heterogeneity in the likelihood of market advisory service use by U.S. crop producers 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 44
Hog Options: Contract Redesign and Market Efficiency 0 0 1 7 0 0 16 80
Hog Options: Contract Redesign and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 14
How Much Will Falling Gasoline Prices Affect Ethanol and Corn Demand? 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 16
How market efficiency and the theory of storage link corn and ethanol markets 0 0 0 50 0 1 22 224
IMPROVING THE RELEVANCE OF RESEARCH ON PRICE FORECASTING AND MARKETING STRATEGIES 0 0 0 47 0 0 9 196
Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets 0 1 2 43 1 2 18 159
Improving the Relevance of Research on Price Forecasting and Marketing Strategies 0 0 0 2 1 1 10 26
Improving the accuracy of outlook price forecasts 0 0 0 0 1 1 8 64
Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets 0 1 6 27 2 8 34 129
Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets 2 3 14 314 5 11 57 804
Informational Content of Government Hogs and Pigs Reports: Comment 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 12
Investment performance of public commodity pools: 1979‐1990 0 0 0 2 1 1 3 15
Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Spatial Aggregation? 0 0 0 25 0 1 13 137
Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting 0 0 0 28 1 3 17 201
Long-Term Corn Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice 0 0 0 1 0 2 12 20
Long-Term Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice 0 0 0 1 1 1 8 23
Managed futures, positive feedback trading, and futures price volatility 0 0 0 4 0 1 9 26
Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers 0 0 0 3 0 1 9 30
Market Instability in a New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices 0 0 0 14 0 2 7 88
Monte Carlo Analysis of Mean Reversion in Commodity Futures Prices 0 0 1 47 1 3 19 183
More on the Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 15
New Evidence on the Impact of Index Funds in U.S. Grain Futures Markets 0 0 1 62 2 3 8 241
New Evidence that Index Traders Did Not Drive Bubbles in Grain Futures Markets 0 1 3 19 0 2 13 69
O Excesso de Confiança dos Produtores de Milho no Brasil e o Uso de Contratos Futuros 0 0 0 0 2 2 8 36
Optimal Hedging with a Subjective View: An Empirical Bayesian Approach 0 0 1 35 0 3 12 155
Option‐based evidence of the nonstationarity of expected S&P 500 futures price distributions 0 0 0 0 1 2 9 18
Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets 0 0 0 10 1 1 14 87
Owning Corn and Soybeans beyond Harvest in 2014/15 0 0 0 1 0 1 9 23
PRE-HARVEST PRICING STRATEGIES IN OHIO CORN MARKETS: THEIR EFFECT ON RETURNS AND CASH FLOW 0 0 0 17 1 1 9 132
Portfolios of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification Is Enough? 0 0 0 1 2 3 18 27
Portfolios of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification is Enough? 0 0 0 9 1 3 8 76
Pre-Harvest Pricing Strategies in Ohio Corn Markets: Their Effect on Returns and Cash Flow 0 0 0 2 1 1 7 14
Price Explosiveness, Speculation, and Grain Futures Prices 0 0 3 52 0 4 13 181
Pricing of 2014 Biodiesel RINs under Alternative Policy Scenarios 0 0 0 1 0 0 7 14
Producers' complex risk management choices 0 0 0 12 1 1 19 98
Progression of USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Prospects for Final Estimates for 2015 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 16
Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 20
Prospects for Ethanol Production Profits Dim as Gasoline Prices Plummet 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 12
Public futures funds 0 0 0 3 0 0 8 19
Public futures funds 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 21
Quantile Regression Estimates of Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts 0 0 0 36 0 0 7 180
RINs Gone Wild? (round 2) 0 0 0 0 1 1 8 12
Rational Expectations in Agriculture? A Review of the Issues and the Evidence 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 19
Reaction of Wheat, Corn, and Soybean Futures Prices to USDA "Export Inspections" Reports 0 0 0 9 0 0 4 26
Recent Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts 0 0 0 23 0 0 11 107
Release of iFarm Premium Calculator and iFarm Payment Evaluator 0 0 0 1 0 0 22 32
Returns to Farm Real Estate Revisited 0 0 0 4 2 2 11 33
Returns to individual traders in agricultural futures markets: skill or luck? 0 0 0 11 1 2 10 75
Rolling Back the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate for 2014: The RINs Market Rings the Bell Again 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 24
Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Estimation of Expected Performance 0 0 0 4 0 0 5 46
Similarity of computer guided technical trading systems 0 1 1 8 0 1 11 32
Smart Money: The Forecasting Ability of CFTC Large Traders in Agricultural Futures Markets 0 0 3 133 3 11 45 468
Solving the Commodity Markets’ Non-Convergence Puzzle 0 0 0 6 0 3 13 42
Spreads and Non-Convergence in Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures: Are Index Funds to Blame? 0 0 0 10 0 0 7 42
Spreads and Non-Convergence in Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures: Are Index Funds to Blame? 0 0 0 32 1 2 14 170
Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services 0 0 0 8 0 1 8 96
Surveying Farmers: A Case Study 0 0 0 9 0 1 5 35
Surveying Farmers: A Case Study 0 1 1 15 1 3 13 87
THE THEORY OF CONTRARY OPINION: A TEST USING SENTIMENT INDICES IN FUTURES MARKETS 0 0 0 185 0 4 46 1,474
Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets 0 2 9 287 2 5 44 906
The "Necessity" of New Position Limits in Agricultural Futures Markets: The Verdict from Daily Firm-level Position Data 0 0 0 6 0 0 6 44
The 2014 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: Headed for a New Record? 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 16
The Acreage Puzzle 0 0 0 1 0 1 11 18
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing? 0 0 0 10 0 1 16 67
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing? 0 0 0 22 0 0 14 126
The Behavior of Bid-Ask Spreads in the Electronically-Traded Corn Futures Market 0 0 1 10 0 1 13 48
The Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 13
The Cost of Post‐Harvest Forward Contracting in Corn and Soybeans 0 0 0 9 0 1 10 51
The Crop Acreage Puzzle Revisited--With Implications for 2016 0 0 0 0 3 3 14 16
The Distribution of Futures Prices: A Test of the Stable Paretian and Mixture of Normals Hypotheses 0 0 0 34 3 3 5 125
The Farmdoc Project: This Is Still Your Father's Extension Program 0 0 0 18 0 2 9 175
The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions 0 0 0 27 0 1 6 143
The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports 0 1 1 1 0 1 9 22
The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports 0 1 2 50 0 2 20 198
The Market Timing Value of Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Models Within the Soybean Complex 0 0 0 11 0 1 5 46
The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers 0 0 0 1 1 1 11 20
The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers 0 0 0 14 0 0 5 138
The New Upside-Down Relationship of Ethanol and Gasoline Prices 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 12
The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2014 0 0 0 2 0 0 8 21
The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2015 0 0 0 1 0 0 12 22
The Profitability of Ethanol Production in 2015 0 0 0 2 0 0 7 18
The Reaction of Live Hog Futures Prices to USDA Hogs and Pigs Reports 0 0 2 6 0 1 19 40
The Real Price of Natural Gas 0 0 0 7 0 2 12 31
The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn Prices Revisited 0 0 0 3 0 1 19 28
The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets 0 0 0 32 0 0 23 193
The forecasting performance of livestock futures prices: A comparison to USDA expert predictions 0 0 0 3 0 2 7 25
The performance of alternative VAR models in forecasting exchange rates 0 0 0 92 0 1 12 197
The soybean complex spread: An examination of market efficiency from the viewpoint of a production process 1 1 1 8 1 1 9 38
The value of public information in commodity futures markets 0 0 0 79 0 0 15 257
To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond? 0 0 0 14 0 0 14 80
To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond? 0 0 0 1 0 2 9 18
Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts 0 0 0 2 0 0 14 26
Understanding the Behavior of Biodiesel RINs Prices 0 0 0 6 0 0 14 34
Using FSA Acreage Data to Project NASS January Planted Acreage Estimates for Corn and Soybeans 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 15
Weak- and Strong-Form Rationality Tests of Market Analysts' Expectations of USDA Hogs and Pigs Reports 0 0 0 1 0 0 10 27
What Can We Learn About Corn and Soybean Yields From Crop Tours? 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 27
What if the EPA Implements RFS Mandates for Renewable Fuels at Statutory Levels? 0 0 0 1 0 0 12 25
When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes? 0 0 0 10 0 2 11 49
Where Are Diesel Prices Headed? 0 0 0 1 0 2 10 17
Why Isn't the Price of Ethanol RINs Plummeting? 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 14
Why are Gasoline and Diesel Prices So High? (Relative to Crude Oil Prices) 0 0 0 1 0 0 10 18
Why is the Price of Biodiesel RINs Plummeting? 0 0 0 2 0 0 10 22
farmdoc daily Turns Five Today! 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 26
Total Journal Articles 3 15 69 3,841 68 196 1,817 16,000
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files 0 0 1 62 0 0 11 229
Total Chapters 0 0 1 62 0 0 11 229


Statistics updated 2026-08-07