Access Statistics for Scott H. Irwin

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
1995 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 3 2 6 8 64
1996 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 1 2 5 6 68
1997 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 2 0 3 3 48
1998 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 2 0 3 4 52
1999 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 4 0 2 2 64
1999 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVIVES FOR WHEAT 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 54
2007 U.S CORN PRODUCTION RISKS: WHAT DOES HISTORY TEACH US? 0 0 0 28 0 2 5 147
2009 Corn Yield Prospects Continue to Improve 0 0 0 0 3 8 11 19
2009 Corn Yield Prospects Improving 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 17
2009 Final Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 10
2009 Soybean Yield Prospects Improving 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 18
A Bayesian Implementation of the Standard Optimal Hedging Model: Parameter Estimation Risk and Subjective Views 0 0 0 14 2 6 12 71
A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in US Futures Markets 0 0 3 132 5 29 42 526
A Speculative Bubble in Commodity Futures Prices? Cross-Sectional Evidence 0 0 0 43 1 5 9 146
ADVISORY SERVICE MARKETING PROFILES FOR CORN OVER 1995-2000 0 0 0 4 0 4 8 71
ADVISORY SERVICE MARKETING PROFILES FOR SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2000 0 0 0 2 1 4 6 57
AN ANALYSIS OF THE PROFILES AND MOTIVATIONS OF HABITUAL COMMODITY SPECULATORS 0 0 0 43 1 5 10 317
AN EVALUATION OF CROP FORECAST ACCURACY FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS: USDA AND PRIVATE INFORMATION SERVICES 0 0 0 68 0 6 11 188
ARE REVISIONS TO USDA CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS SMOOTHED? 0 0 0 19 0 3 5 105
Accounting for Heterogeneity in Hedging Behavior: Comparing & Evaluating Grouping Methods 0 0 0 12 2 9 14 80
Accuracy Trends and Sources of Forecast Errors in WASDE Balance Sheet Categories for Corn and Soybeans 0 0 1 25 0 10 18 174
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn in 2001 0 0 0 3 1 8 10 42
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004 0 0 0 4 1 6 7 58
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 19
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004 0 0 0 0 2 9 10 40
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans in 2001 0 0 0 5 0 3 3 73
Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004 0 0 0 6 1 7 7 70
Alternative 2010 Corn Production Scenarios and Policy Implications 0 0 0 1 0 4 7 25
Alternative 2011 Corn Production, Consumption, and Price Scenarios 0 0 0 1 0 4 4 18
An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators 0 0 0 524 1 4 5 1,861
An Investigation of Pricing Models for Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle Options 0 0 0 1 0 3 8 37
Are Corn Trend Yields Increasing at a Faster Rate? 0 0 0 17 0 4 6 77
Are Corn and Soybean Options Too Expensive? 0 0 0 23 0 4 4 196
Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files 0 0 0 48 0 4 9 153
CROP INSURANCE VALUATION UNDER ALTERNATIVE YIELD DISTRIBUTIONS 0 1 1 49 1 6 7 203
Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era 0 0 5 19 2 12 23 82
Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work? 0 1 2 43 3 10 14 196
Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies 0 0 0 54 0 6 8 334
Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services 0 0 0 13 0 1 6 90
DEVELOPMENT OF A MARKET BENCHMARK PRICE FOR AGMAS PERFORMANCE EVALUATIONS 0 0 0 15 0 5 6 184
DO AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES BEAT THE MARKET? EVIDENCE FROM THE CORN AND SOYBEAN MARKETS OVER 1995-1997 0 0 0 4 0 1 5 48
DO AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES BEAT THE MARKET? EVIDENCE FROM THE CORN AND SOYBEAN MARKETS OVER 1995-1998 0 0 0 2 1 5 8 61
DO AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES BEAT THE MARKET? EVIDENCE FROM THE WHEAT MARKET OVER 1995-1998 0 0 0 8 2 5 5 62
DOES THE MARKET ANTICIPATE SMOOTHING IN USDA CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS? 0 0 0 5 3 10 12 76
Dissecting Corn Price Movements with Directed Acyclic Graphs 0 0 1 45 0 7 15 175
Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts 0 0 0 15 1 5 5 144
Do Composite Procedures Really Improve the Accuracy of Outlook Forecasts? 0 0 0 6 1 7 8 79
Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth? 0 0 0 16 1 6 9 104
Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes? 0 0 0 26 1 7 9 150
Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes? 0 0 0 41 0 1 5 167
ESTIMATING FARM-LEVEL YIELD DISTRIBUTIONS FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS IN ILLINOIS 0 0 0 23 0 7 9 152
EVALUATION OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICE PERFORMANCE IN HOGS 0 0 0 4 0 4 5 86
EVALUATION OF RISK REDUCTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH MULTI-PERIOL CROP INSURANCE PRODUCTS 0 0 0 17 1 2 3 113
Early Prospects for 2009 Corn Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa 0 0 0 0 1 5 8 20
Early Prospects for 2009 Soybean Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa 0 0 0 0 1 4 4 8
Efficient Portfolios of Market Advisory Services: An Application of Shrinkage Estimators 0 0 0 2 1 6 6 55
Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean and Wheat Prices 0 0 0 17 2 10 10 100
Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices 0 0 0 2 1 3 6 32
Evaluation of Risk Reductions Associated with Multi-Peril Crop Insurance Products 0 0 0 5 0 4 5 52
Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans 0 0 0 11 3 8 13 55
Farmer’s Income Shifting Option in Post-harvest Forward Contracting 0 0 0 7 0 2 4 62
Forecast Performance of Futures Price Models for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat 0 0 0 64 1 7 7 185
Forming Expectations About 2008 U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields — Application of Crop Weather Models that Incorporate Planting Progress 0 0 1 2 0 8 9 22
Grain Stocks Estimates: Can Anything Explain the Market Surprises of Recent Years? 0 0 1 4 2 6 7 23
HOW TO GROUP MARKET PARTICIPANTS? HETEROGENEITY IN HEDGING BEHAVIOR 0 0 0 22 1 6 7 134
Has the Performance of the Hog Options Market Changed? 0 0 0 14 1 3 9 142
How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets 0 0 0 13 1 9 12 110
How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets 0 0 0 18 0 6 10 93
How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets 0 0 0 30 0 6 11 164
How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets Energy Economics 0 0 0 6 4 10 11 35
How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market 0 0 0 35 2 7 8 145
Intraday Bid Ask Spread Variation in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market 0 0 0 26 0 2 2 75
Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Aggregation? 0 0 0 4 2 6 8 42
Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting 0 0 0 8 0 3 7 70
Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers 0 0 1 661 2 13 16 3,869
Market Reaction to Inefficiencies in USDA Crop Production Forecasts 0 0 1 8 2 7 10 42
Modeling Farmers' Use of Market Advisory Services 0 0 0 13 0 4 8 89
NOISE TRADE DEMAND IN FUTURES MARKETS 0 0 0 21 0 4 10 234
NONSTATIONARITY OF SOYBEAN FUTURES PRICE DISTRIBUTIONS: OPTION-BASED EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 2 9 11 33
New Generation Grain Marketing Contracts 0 0 0 40 1 9 10 198
Noise Trader Demand in Futures Markets 0 1 1 400 1 3 6 1,280
Noise Traders, Market Sentiment, and Futures Price Behavior 0 0 0 1,592 2 12 18 5,962
Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies 0 0 0 76 3 10 19 196
OPTIMAL HEDGING WITH VIEWS: A BAYESIAN APPROACH 0 0 0 40 1 7 10 192
Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets 0 0 0 30 2 4 8 165
PORTFOLIOS OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES: HOW MUCH DIVERSIFICATION IS ENOUGH? 0 0 0 10 0 6 8 149
PORTFOLIOS OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES: HOW MUCH DIVERSIFICATION IS ENOUGH? 0 0 0 7 0 8 10 81
PUTTING THE RISK PROTECTION ACT OF 2000 TO WORK: APPLIED MARKETING STRATEGIES (PowerPoint Presentation) 0 0 0 2 0 3 3 62
Plenary Panel: Managing Risk in Today's Markets 0 0 0 12 0 6 6 39
Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions 0 0 0 9 6 16 20 65
Quantile Regression Methods of Estimating Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts 0 0 0 100 1 10 12 313
SURVEYING FARMERS: A RESEARCH NOTE 0 0 0 17 0 5 6 100
Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Bayesian Approach to Performance Evaluation 0 0 0 8 1 3 5 54
Smart Money? The Forecasting Ability of CFTC Large Traders 0 0 4 73 3 14 26 237
So How Do I Make Corn and Soybean Pricing Decisions? 0 0 0 15 0 3 4 47
Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services 0 0 0 12 2 6 12 94
THE 1995 THROUGH 1998 PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES FOR WHEAT 0 0 0 0 4 8 8 49
THE COST OF FORWARD CONTRACTING 0 0 1 21 1 3 5 118
THE EFFECTS OF FUTURES TRADING BY LARGE HEDGE FUNDS AND CTAS ON MARKET VOLATILITY 0 0 4 93 3 13 23 411
THE IMPACT OF MARKETING ADVISORY SERVICE RECOMMENDATIONS ON PRODUCERS' MARKETING DECISIONS 0 0 0 16 1 4 4 189
THE MARKETING PERFORMANCE OF ILLINOIS CORN AND SOYBEAN PRODUCERS 0 0 1 15 3 7 9 89
THE MARKETING STYLE OF ADVISORY SERVICES FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS IN 1995 0 0 0 7 1 6 7 91
THE PERFORMANCE OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 1 15 1 4 5 126
THE PERFORMANCE OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN MARKETING WHEAT 0 0 0 21 4 13 13 135
THE PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2000 0 0 0 6 1 4 7 70
THE PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2001 0 0 0 2 2 4 4 84
THE PRICING PERFORMANCE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CORN AND SOYBEANS OVER 1995-2001: A NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY 0 0 0 3 1 6 6 46
THE PRIVATE SECTOR APPROACH TO GRAIN MARKETING: THE CASE OF AGRICULTURAL MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES 0 0 0 14 3 8 9 153
THE PROFITABILITY OF TECHNICAL TRADING RULES IN US FUTURES MARKETS: A DATA SNOOPING FREE TEST 0 0 1 42 7 25 41 238
THE ROLE OF MARKET ADVISORY SERVICES IN CROP MARKETING AND RISK MANAGEMENT: A PRELIMINARY REPORT OF SURVEY RESULTS 0 0 0 7 0 3 5 127
THE VALUE OF USDA OUTLOOK INFORMATION: AN INVESTIGATION USING EVENT STUDY ANALYSIS 0 0 0 37 1 2 6 148
TRACKING THE PERFORMANCE OF MARKETING PROFESSIONALS: 1995-2000 RESULTS FOR CORN AND SOYBEANS 0 0 0 6 0 4 4 74
Testing for Yield Persistency: Is It Skill or is It Luck? 0 0 2 20 0 4 9 65
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing? 0 0 1 80 0 4 10 266
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets:Too Much of a Good Thing? 0 1 3 59 1 10 16 215
The Impact of Index and Swap Funds on Commodity Futures Markets: Preliminary Results 0 0 2 250 5 19 33 639
The Impact of Measurement Error on Estimates of the Price Reaction to USDA Crop Reports 0 0 0 19 1 3 5 121
The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers 0 0 0 26 3 7 10 145
The New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices 0 0 0 3 1 3 5 21
The Performance of Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts after Recent Changes in Speculative Limits 0 0 2 66 0 4 7 394
The Price of Biodiesel RINs and Economic Fundamentals 1 1 1 30 2 2 7 109
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Cattle Over 1995-2004 0 0 0 1 1 3 5 31
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001 0 0 0 6 0 2 2 85
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2003: A Non-Technical Summary 0 0 0 2 0 3 6 44
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004 0 0 0 11 0 6 10 109
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary 0 0 0 9 1 6 7 66
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003 0 0 0 7 0 6 7 85
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004 0 0 0 2 4 11 13 29
The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004 0 0 0 2 0 6 14 35
The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review 0 2 16 1,125 26 116 216 4,523
The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test 0 0 0 118 2 5 6 494
The Relationship between Commodity Investment Flows and Crude Oil Futures Prices: Real or Spurious? 0 0 0 29 3 12 13 80
The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets 0 0 1 16 1 7 13 139
To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond? 0 0 0 9 0 6 7 61
USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings 0 0 0 29 1 5 8 74
USDA INTERVAL FORECASTS OF CORN AND SOYBEAN PRICES: OVERCONFIDENCE OR RATIONAL INACCURACY? 0 0 0 16 0 4 6 85
Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: An Overview of Methods, Performance and Market Impacts 0 0 0 26 2 8 11 131
Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2004 0 0 0 24 2 8 8 133
Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2005 0 0 0 57 3 16 19 237
Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt 0 0 3 93 4 10 17 529
What Happens when Peter can't Pay Paul: Risk Management at Futures Exchange Clearinghouses 0 0 0 23 1 7 9 129
Wheat Forward Contract Pricing: Evidence on Forecast Power and Risk Premia 0 0 1 44 1 4 8 295
When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes? 0 0 0 8 0 7 9 50
Total Working Papers 1 7 62 7,393 194 998 1,505 34,163


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
$25 spring wheat was a bubble, right? 0 0 0 4 0 3 5 27
2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 12
2014: A Tough Year for Biodiesel Producers 0 0 0 0 1 4 7 15
A Reappraisal of Investing in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 0 35 0 3 4 98
A Reappraisal of Investing in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 0 5 0 6 6 32
A note on the factors affecting technical trading system returns 0 0 0 2 1 6 8 22
A reality check on technical trading rule profits in the U.S. futures markets 0 0 0 2 0 7 9 34
A reappraisal of the forecasting performance of corn and soybean new crop futures 0 0 0 0 1 3 6 17
A speculative bubble in commodity futures prices? Cross‐sectional evidence 0 0 0 139 0 3 4 354
An Evaluation of Crop Forecast Accuracy for Corn and Soybeans: USDA and Private Information Agencies 0 0 0 46 0 3 6 145
An Evaluation of Crop Forecast Accuracy for Corn and Soybeans: USDA and Private Information Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 10
An Examination of Option-Implied S&P 500 Futures Price Distributions 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 173
An analysis of the profiles and motivations of habitual commodity speculators 0 0 0 1 2 11 12 34
Angell, George. Agricultural Options: Trading Puts and Calls in the New Grain and Livestock Futures Markets. New York: American Management Association, 1986, ix + 230 pp., $22.95 0 0 0 4 0 1 1 16
Are Agricultural Options Overpriced? 0 0 0 26 3 10 10 116
Are Gasoline Prices Still High Relative to Crude Oil Prices? 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 15
Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed? 0 0 0 9 0 3 5 75
Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time? 0 0 0 0 2 6 7 18
Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time? 0 0 0 1 1 4 6 15
Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence 0 0 3 89 4 7 20 327
Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work? 0 0 0 3 0 3 4 40
Commodity index investment and food prices: does the “Masters Hypothesis” explain recent price spikes? 0 0 0 16 0 1 1 54
Composite and Outlook Forecast Accuracy 0 0 0 16 1 8 12 130
Crop Insurance Valuation under Alternative Yield Distributions 0 1 1 65 2 8 9 298
Devil or Angel? The Role of Speculation in the Recent Commodity Price Boom (and Bust) 0 0 0 20 0 5 7 87
Devil or Angel? The Role of Speculation in the Recent Commodity Price Boom (and Bust) 0 1 7 390 4 12 25 957
Do Big Corn Crops Always Get Bigger? 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 10
Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts 0 0 0 1 0 2 6 22
Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts 0 0 0 7 2 10 14 70
Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger? 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 9
Do Falling Gasoline Prices Threaten the Competitiveness of Ethanol? 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 16
Does the Performance of Illinois Corn and Soybean Farmers Lag the Market? 0 0 0 14 1 3 4 89
Economic evaluation of commodity price forecasting models 0 0 1 559 1 3 6 932
Empirical confidence intervals for USDA commodity price forecasts 0 0 1 18 2 5 12 85
Energy futures prices and commodity index investment: New evidence from firm-level position data 0 0 0 9 0 5 6 73
Ethanol Production Profits Hit the Wall 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 18
Ethanol Production Profits: The Risk from Lower Prices of Distillers Grains 0 0 0 2 3 10 10 18
Evaluation of USDA Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices 0 0 0 38 1 5 8 145
FORECASTING FED CATTLE, FEEDER CATTLE, AND CORN CASH PRICE VOLATILITY: THE ACCURACY OF TIME SERIES, IMPLIED VOLATILITY, AND COMPOSITE APPROACHES 0 0 0 46 0 8 14 159
Farmland: A Good Investment? 0 0 0 2 0 6 7 23
Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 1 100 0 11 14 308
Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 1 5 0 7 15 55
Forecast performance of WASDE price projections for U.S. corn 0 1 1 9 0 5 7 63
Forecasting Fed Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Corn Cash Price Volatility: The Accuracy of Time Series, Implied Volatility, and Composite Approaches 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 20
Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields: What about El Niño Transitions? 0 0 0 0 2 4 4 11
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us? 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 16
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us? 0 0 0 1 3 8 10 18
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? 0 0 0 0 1 7 8 23
Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? 0 0 0 0 0 7 10 15
Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño? 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 12
Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño? 0 0 0 1 1 4 4 8
Further Evidence on Soybean Marketing Strategies: The Role of Options 0 0 0 1 0 4 4 13
Further Evidence on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends 0 0 0 1 0 8 8 17
Future price responses to USDA's Cold Storage report 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 37
Futures Market Failure? 0 1 2 28 2 5 11 142
Hedging Effectiveness in a Vertical Marketing Channel for Two Periods 0 0 0 8 3 7 8 56
Heterogeneity in the likelihood of market advisory service use by U.S. crop producers 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 40
Hog Options: Contract Redesign and Market Efficiency 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 12
Hog Options: Contract Redesign and Market Efficiency 0 0 1 7 1 10 13 76
How Much Will Falling Gasoline Prices Affect Ethanol and Corn Demand? 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 15
How market efficiency and the theory of storage link corn and ethanol markets 0 0 0 50 3 7 15 215
IMPROVING THE RELEVANCE OF RESEARCH ON PRICE FORECASTING AND MARKETING STRATEGIES 0 0 0 47 0 5 8 194
Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets 0 0 1 42 2 5 11 152
Improving the Relevance of Research on Price Forecasting and Marketing Strategies 0 0 2 2 2 6 10 23
Improving the accuracy of outlook price forecasts 0 0 0 0 1 4 4 60
Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets 0 1 10 309 3 11 42 779
Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets 1 1 5 25 2 11 21 114
Informational Content of Government Hogs and Pigs Reports: Comment 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 9
Investment performance of public commodity pools: 1979‐1990 0 0 1 2 0 1 3 14
Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Spatial Aggregation? 0 0 0 25 1 11 12 135
Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting 0 0 0 28 4 10 12 196
Long-Term Corn Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice 0 0 0 1 0 5 6 14
Long-Term Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice 0 0 0 1 0 5 7 21
Managed futures, positive feedback trading, and futures price volatility 0 0 0 4 2 6 7 24
Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers 0 0 0 3 2 5 10 28
Market Instability in a New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices 0 0 0 14 0 2 4 85
Measuring Index Investment in Commodity Futures Markets 0 0 0 15 2 9 14 70
Monte Carlo Analysis of Mean Reversion in Commodity Futures Prices 0 1 1 47 4 11 12 176
More on the Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer 0 0 0 0 1 5 5 13
New Evidence on the Impact of Index Funds in U.S. Grain Futures Markets 0 1 1 62 2 5 6 238
New Evidence that Index Traders Did Not Drive Bubbles in Grain Futures Markets 1 1 2 18 1 7 11 66
O Excesso de Confiança dos Produtores de Milho no Brasil e o Uso de Contratos Futuros 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 32
Optimal Hedging with a Subjective View: An Empirical Bayesian Approach 0 0 0 34 0 5 6 148
Option‐based evidence of the nonstationarity of expected S&P 500 futures price distributions 0 0 0 0 1 5 6 15
Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets 0 0 0 10 2 7 10 82
Owning Corn and Soybeans beyond Harvest in 2014/15 0 0 0 1 2 6 6 20
PRE-HARVEST PRICING STRATEGIES IN OHIO CORN MARKETS: THEIR EFFECT ON RETURNS AND CASH FLOW 0 0 0 17 1 6 8 130
Portfolios of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification Is Enough? 0 0 0 1 5 9 13 22
Portfolios of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification is Enough? 0 0 0 9 0 2 4 72
Pre-Harvest Pricing Strategies in Ohio Corn Markets: Their Effect on Returns and Cash Flow 0 0 0 2 0 4 5 12
Price Explosiveness, Speculation, and Grain Futures Prices 0 0 2 50 1 3 9 174
Pricing of 2014 Biodiesel RINs under Alternative Policy Scenarios 0 0 0 1 0 4 6 13
Producers' complex risk management choices 0 0 0 12 4 14 17 95
Progression of USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Prospects for Final Estimates for 2015 0 0 0 0 0 6 8 14
Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications 0 0 0 1 1 5 7 19
Prospects for Ethanol Production Profits Dim as Gasoline Prices Plummet 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 10
Public futures funds 0 0 0 3 0 7 7 18
Public futures funds 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 19
Quantile Regression Estimates of Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts 0 0 0 36 0 3 5 178
RINs Gone Wild? (round 2) 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 10
Rational Expectations in Agriculture? A Review of the Issues and the Evidence 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 15
Reaction of Wheat, Corn, and Soybean Futures Prices to USDA "Export Inspections" Reports 0 0 0 9 1 4 6 26
Recent Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts 0 0 0 23 2 8 10 106
Release of iFarm Premium Calculator and iFarm Payment Evaluator 0 0 0 1 2 19 20 30
Returns to Farm Real Estate Revisited 0 0 0 4 1 5 8 30
Returns to individual traders in agricultural futures markets: skill or luck? 0 0 0 11 0 4 6 70
Rolling Back the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate for 2014: The RINs Market Rings the Bell Again 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20
Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Estimation of Expected Performance 0 0 0 4 0 2 3 44
Similarity of computer guided technical trading systems 0 0 0 7 1 6 7 28
Smart Money: The Forecasting Ability of CFTC Large Traders in Agricultural Futures Markets 0 0 4 133 8 19 35 453
Solving the Commodity Markets’ Non-Convergence Puzzle 0 0 0 6 1 6 7 35
Spreads and Non-Convergence in Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures: Are Index Funds to Blame? 0 0 0 32 1 9 11 167
Spreads and Non-Convergence in Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures: Are Index Funds to Blame? 0 0 0 10 1 2 3 37
Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services 0 0 0 8 2 4 6 94
Surveying Farmers: A Case Study 0 0 0 9 0 2 3 33
Surveying Farmers: A Case Study 0 0 0 14 1 5 7 80
THE THEORY OF CONTRARY OPINION: A TEST USING SENTIMENT INDICES IN FUTURES MARKETS 0 0 0 185 4 21 34 1,458
Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets 0 2 9 281 2 16 43 886
The "Necessity" of New Position Limits in Agricultural Futures Markets: The Verdict from Daily Firm-level Position Data 0 0 0 6 0 5 8 44
The 2014 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: Headed for a New Record? 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 15
The Acreage Puzzle 0 0 0 1 3 7 8 15
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing? 0 0 0 22 2 5 9 121
The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing? 0 0 0 10 0 4 10 61
The Behavior of Bid-Ask Spreads in the Electronically-Traded Corn Futures Market 0 0 1 10 0 5 12 44
The Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer 0 0 0 1 0 5 5 10
The Cost of Post‐Harvest Forward Contracting in Corn and Soybeans 0 0 0 9 0 5 7 48
The Crop Acreage Puzzle Revisited--With Implications for 2016 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 9
The Distribution of Futures Prices: A Test of the Stable Paretian and Mixture of Normals Hypotheses 0 0 0 34 1 1 1 121
The Farmdoc Project: This Is Still Your Father's Extension Program 0 0 0 18 1 3 5 170
The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions 0 0 0 27 0 3 5 141
The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports 0 0 0 0 1 3 8 20
The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports 0 0 0 48 2 10 13 189
The Market Timing Value of Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Models Within the Soybean Complex 0 0 0 11 1 2 4 45
The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers 0 0 0 14 0 4 4 137
The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 16
The New Upside-Down Relationship of Ethanol and Gasoline Prices 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 11
The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2014 0 0 0 2 2 6 8 21
The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2015 0 0 0 1 4 8 9 19
The Profitability of Ethanol Production in 2015 0 0 0 2 0 3 4 15
The Reaction of Live Hog Futures Prices to USDA Hogs and Pigs Reports 0 1 1 5 1 9 12 33
The Real Price of Natural Gas 0 0 0 7 0 6 9 28
The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn Prices Revisited 0 0 0 3 0 9 10 18
The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets 0 0 0 32 2 7 10 180
The forecasting performance of livestock futures prices: A comparison to USDA expert predictions 0 0 0 3 1 4 5 23
The performance of alternative VAR models in forecasting exchange rates 0 0 0 92 2 8 8 193
The soybean complex spread: An examination of market efficiency from the viewpoint of a production process 0 0 0 7 1 3 5 34
The value of public information in commodity futures markets 0 0 0 79 1 9 13 254
To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond? 0 0 0 1 1 2 6 15
To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond? 0 0 0 14 0 2 4 70
Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts 0 0 0 2 0 5 10 22
Understanding the Behavior of Biodiesel RINs Prices 0 0 0 6 3 8 10 30
Using FSA Acreage Data to Project NASS January Planted Acreage Estimates for Corn and Soybeans 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 12
Weak- and Strong-Form Rationality Tests of Market Analysts' Expectations of USDA Hogs and Pigs Reports 0 0 0 1 1 6 7 24
What Can We Learn About Corn and Soybean Yields From Crop Tours? 0 0 0 0 2 6 7 25
What if the EPA Implements RFS Mandates for Renewable Fuels at Statutory Levels? 0 0 0 1 0 8 10 22
When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes? 0 0 0 10 0 5 9 46
Where Are Diesel Prices Headed? 0 0 0 1 0 3 4 11
Why Isn't the Price of Ethanol RINs Plummeting? 0 0 0 0 2 5 7 11
Why are Gasoline and Diesel Prices So High? (Relative to Crude Oil Prices) 0 0 0 1 2 7 8 16
Why is the Price of Biodiesel RINs Plummeting? 0 0 0 2 0 5 9 21
farmdoc daily Turns Five Today! 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 22
Total Journal Articles 2 12 59 3,826 171 899 1,337 15,450
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files 0 0 3 62 1 5 13 226
Total Chapters 0 0 3 62 1 5 13 226


Statistics updated 2026-03-04