Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
218 |
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
108 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
424 |
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
129 |
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
340 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
648 |
A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
166 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
466 |
A Markov Switching Model of Congressional Partisan Regimes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
85 |
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
111 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
255 |
Bayesian Inference in Regime-Switching ARMA Models with Absorbing States: The Dynamics of the Ex-Ante Real Interest Rate Under Structural Breaks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
117 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
243 |
Bayesian Inference in Regime-Switching ARMA Models with Absorbing States: The Dynamics of the Ex-Ante Real Interest Rate Under Structural Breaks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
148 |
Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
505 |
Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
495 |
Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
139 |
Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
801 |
Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
404 |
Disappearing Dividends: Implications for the Dividend-Price Ratio and Return Predictability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
389 |
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
147 |
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
227 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
943 |
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
110 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
565 |
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
154 |
Dynamic Linear Models with Markov-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1,747 |
Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,073 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
2,551 |
Exchange Rate Regimes and Monetary Independence in East Asia |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
137 |
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
282 |
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
1,097 |
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
240 |
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
274 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
734 |
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
105 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
246 |
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
71 |
Markov-Switching Models with Evolving Regime-Specific Parameters: Are Post-War Booms or Recessions All Alike? |
0 |
1 |
10 |
340 |
0 |
6 |
18 |
679 |
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
157 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
422 |
Permanent and Transitory Nature of Recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
101 |
Permanent and Transitory Nature of Recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
289 |
Permanent and transitory components of business cycles: their relative importance and dynamic relationship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
196 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1,017 |
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
132 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
286 |
SOURCES OF MONETARY GROWTH UNCERTAINTY: AN ENCOMPASSING APPROACH BASED ON MONTE CARLO EXPERIMENT |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
143 |
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
59 |
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
268 |
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,116 |
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
149 |
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
362 |
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
106 |
The Dynamic Relationship Between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
202 |
The Evolution of the Monetary Policy Regimes in the U.S |
0 |
0 |
0 |
309 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
833 |
The Long-Run U.S./U.K. Real Exchange Rate |
0 |
0 |
2 |
521 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
2,716 |
The Long-Run U.S./U.K. real Exchange Rate |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
280 |
The Long-Run U.S./U.K. real Exchange Rate |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1,142 |
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
182 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
537 |
The `Pile-up Problem' in Trend-Cycle Decomposition of Real GDP: Classical and Bayesian Perspectives |
0 |
1 |
1 |
229 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
676 |
The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
689 |
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
1 |
1 |
151 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
463 |
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
688 |
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
2 |
2 |
72 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
162 |
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
154 |
Unobserved-Component Time-Series Models with Markov- Switching Heteroskedasticity: Changes in Regimes and the Link between Inflation Rates and Inflation Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
485 |
Total Working Papers |
0 |
6 |
23 |
6,544 |
14 |
40 |
116 |
28,449 |
Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
666 |
Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
333 |
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching |
1 |
2 |
21 |
665 |
2 |
4 |
36 |
1,421 |
Capital Accumulation And Trade Policy:The Case Of Korea |
0 |
0 |
1 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
Changes in U.S. Inflation Persistence |
0 |
0 |
1 |
226 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
478 |
Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
116 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
381 |
Dealing with Endogeneity in Regression Models with Dynamic Coefficients |
0 |
0 |
2 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
236 |
Dealing with endogeneity in a time‐varying parameter model: joint estimation and two‐step estimation procedures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
221 |
Disappearing Dividends: Implications for the Dividend-Price Ratio and Return Predictability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
90 |
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
628 |
Dynamic linear models with Markov-switching |
0 |
4 |
14 |
2,400 |
3 |
9 |
34 |
4,240 |
Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
0 |
4 |
661 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
2,016 |
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data |
2 |
2 |
4 |
282 |
2 |
3 |
13 |
584 |
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
1,077 |
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle |
1 |
3 |
16 |
853 |
3 |
8 |
26 |
2,548 |
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
452 |
Is the Backward-Looking Component Important in a New Keynesian Phillips Curve? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
162 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
440 |
Markov-switching and the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition: Has US output persistence changed since 1984? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
111 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
266 |
Markov-switching models with endogenous explanatory variables |
0 |
1 |
1 |
118 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
262 |
Markov-switching models with endogenous explanatory variables II: A two-step MLE procedure |
0 |
0 |
2 |
172 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
407 |
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
1 |
1 |
1 |
286 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
919 |
Permanent and transitory components of recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
462 |
Sources of Monetary Growth Uncertainty and Economic Activity: The Time-Varying-Parameter Model with Heteroskedastic Disturbances |
0 |
0 |
1 |
155 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
377 |
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
131 |
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 |
2 |
5 |
20 |
148 |
3 |
9 |
40 |
378 |
The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
412 |
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
546 |
The Long-Run U.S./U.K. Real Exchange Rate |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1,138 |
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
95 |
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
769 |
The evolution of the monetary policy regimes in the U.S |
0 |
0 |
1 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
134 |
Time-varying parameter models with endogenous regressors |
0 |
0 |
4 |
189 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
343 |
Transient Fads and the Crash of '87 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
728 |
Unobserved-Component Time Series Models with Markov-Switching Heteroscedasticity: Changes in Regime and the Link between Inflation Rates and Inflation Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
741 |
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
147 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
404 |
Total Journal Articles |
7 |
18 |
99 |
7,693 |
29 |
65 |
265 |
24,410 |