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A Comparison Of Forecasting Procedures For Macroeconomic Series: The Contribution Of Structural Break Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
81 |
A Comparison of Forecasting Procedures For Macroeconomic Series: The Contribution of Structural Break Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
178 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
217 |
A Comparison of Forecasting Procedures for Macroeconomic Series: the Contribution of Structural Break Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
147 |
A New Index of Financial Conditions |
0 |
0 |
2 |
77 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
722 |
A New Index of Financial Conditions |
0 |
0 |
2 |
143 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
732 |
A comparison of Forecasting Procedures for Macroeconomic Series: The Contribution of Structural Break Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
152 |
A comparison of forecasting procedures for macroeconomic series: the contribution of structural break models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
76 |
A new algorithm for structural restrictions in Bayesian vector autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
121 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
42 |
A new index of financial conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
61 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
156 |
A new index of financial conditions |
0 |
0 |
3 |
114 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
388 |
Adaptive Hierarchical Priors for High-Dimensional Vector Autoregessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
148 |
Adaptive Hierarchical Priors for High-Dimensional Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
76 |
Adaptive Minnesota Prior for High-Dimensional Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
168 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
0 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
6 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
29 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty |
0 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
Assessing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks Using Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
410 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
734 |
Assessing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks Using Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
1 |
3 |
329 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
736 |
Assessing the transmission of monetary policy using dynamic factor models |
0 |
2 |
13 |
517 |
1 |
3 |
25 |
863 |
Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
50 |
Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation |
3 |
3 |
13 |
63 |
3 |
4 |
17 |
109 |
Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
196 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
306 |
Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
93 |
Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
232 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
429 |
Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
70 |
Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
Bayesian Forecasting with Highly Correlated Predictors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
76 |
Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics |
2 |
5 |
25 |
623 |
5 |
14 |
61 |
1,550 |
Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics |
5 |
28 |
122 |
2,758 |
21 |
76 |
283 |
6,466 |
Bayesian Nonparametric Inference in Bank Business Models with Transient and Persistent Cost Inefficiency |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
Bayesian Nonparametric Inference in Bank Business Models with Transient and Persistent Cost Inefficiency |
2 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
Bayesian Nonparametric Inference in Bank Business Models with Transient and Persistent Cost Inefficiency |
0 |
6 |
9 |
9 |
1 |
9 |
11 |
11 |
Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
94 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
180 |
Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
35 |
Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
276 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
354 |
Bayesian methods |
0 |
1 |
4 |
414 |
0 |
3 |
22 |
686 |
Co-Movement, Spillovers and Excess Returns in Global Bond Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
52 |
Co-Movement, Spillovers and Excess Returns in Global Bond Markets? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
81 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
215 |
Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
145 |
Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
61 |
Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients |
1 |
2 |
9 |
283 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
460 |
Decomposing Global Yield Curve Co-Movement |
0 |
0 |
0 |
259 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
481 |
Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
5 |
18 |
0 |
1 |
24 |
78 |
Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
40 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
110 |
Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
0 |
1 |
5 |
29 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
187 |
Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions |
1 |
2 |
6 |
82 |
2 |
3 |
11 |
187 |
Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World |
0 |
0 |
3 |
307 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
571 |
Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World |
0 |
1 |
1 |
108 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
150 |
Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World |
0 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
105 |
Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
91 |
Exchange rate predictability and dynamic Bayesian learning |
0 |
0 |
0 |
117 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
263 |
Exchange rate predictability and dynamic Bayesian learning |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
89 |
Exploring Monetary Policy Shocks with Large-Scale Bayesian VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
24 |
24 |
24 |
Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging |
1 |
1 |
2 |
21 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
117 |
Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging |
0 |
2 |
8 |
613 |
3 |
6 |
23 |
1,223 |
Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging |
0 |
0 |
1 |
92 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
126 |
Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging* |
0 |
0 |
1 |
178 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
356 |
Forecasting With High Dimensional Panel VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
340 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
575 |
Forecasting in vector autoregressions with many predictors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
310 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
587 |
Forecasting with Factor Models: A Bayesian Model Averaging Perspective |
0 |
0 |
4 |
180 |
3 |
3 |
11 |
353 |
Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
59 |
Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
130 |
Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs |
5 |
8 |
17 |
303 |
6 |
9 |
28 |
645 |
Forecasting with many predictors using message passing algorithms |
0 |
0 |
0 |
298 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
670 |
Hierarchical Shrinkage Priors for Dynamic Regressions with Many Predictors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
142 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
305 |
Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
127 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
323 |
Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
135 |
Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models |
0 |
1 |
5 |
261 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
460 |
Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
121 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
166 |
Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
176 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
312 |
Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
138 |
High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
25 |
High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
68 |
High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms |
0 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
74 |
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs |
0 |
1 |
2 |
64 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
165 |
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs |
0 |
0 |
2 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
233 |
Large time-varying parameter VARs |
0 |
1 |
7 |
833 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
1,491 |
Large time-varying parameter VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
154 |
Machine Learning Econometrics: Bayesian algorithms and methods |
0 |
0 |
2 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
81 |
Machine Learning Econometrics: Bayesian algorithms and methods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
Machine Learning Econometrics: Bayesian algorithms and methods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
46 |
Machine Learning Econometrics: Bayesian algorithms and methods |
0 |
0 |
2 |
30 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
76 |
Machine Learning Macroeconometrics A Primer |
0 |
0 |
3 |
628 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1,031 |
Machine Learning Macroeconometrics: A Primer |
2 |
5 |
24 |
323 |
3 |
8 |
52 |
643 |
Measuring Dynamic Connectedness with Large Bayesian VAR Models |
1 |
2 |
16 |
543 |
6 |
25 |
72 |
1,353 |
Measuring Dynamic Connectedness with Large Bayesian VAR Models |
4 |
7 |
32 |
410 |
9 |
24 |
85 |
1,098 |
Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
54 |
Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
68 |
Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models |
0 |
1 |
1 |
111 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
121 |
Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models |
1 |
2 |
7 |
272 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
445 |
Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
85 |
Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
26 |
Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk |
0 |
0 |
1 |
64 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
33 |
Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
12 |
Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
10 |
On Regional Unemployment: An Empirical Examination of the Determinants of Geographical Differentials in the UK |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
307 |
On regional unemployment: an empirical examination of the determinants of geographical differentials in the UK |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
114 |
On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
38 |
On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
116 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
191 |
On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability |
0 |
0 |
3 |
324 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
610 |
Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
49 |
Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
92 |
Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions |
5 |
6 |
11 |
290 |
7 |
11 |
26 |
422 |
Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
25 |
Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
Quantile forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
Quantile forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
49 |
Quantile forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty |
0 |
1 |
8 |
338 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
570 |
Sign restrictions in high-dimensional vector autoregressions |
1 |
1 |
5 |
35 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
124 |
Sign restrictions in high-dimensional vector autoregressions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
121 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
214 |
Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
77 |
Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
49 |
Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
147 |
Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
172 |
The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Series |
0 |
0 |
3 |
382 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
686 |
The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecating Macroeconomic Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
44 |
The Dynamic Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on State Unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
150 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
305 |
The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
185 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
543 |
The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
106 |
The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
151 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
400 |
The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
73 |
The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
76 |
The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
85 |
The dynamic effects of U.S. monetary policy on state unemployment |
0 |
0 |
1 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
222 |
The effect of news shocks and monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
109 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
194 |
The effect of news shocks and monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
89 |
The time-varying evolution of inflation risks |
0 |
6 |
38 |
365 |
1 |
11 |
74 |
686 |
UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So? |
0 |
0 |
3 |
119 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
246 |
UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
283 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
610 |
UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
72 |
UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?* |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
157 |
VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection |
0 |
0 |
1 |
136 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
297 |
VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection |
0 |
0 |
1 |
342 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
568 |
VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection |
0 |
0 |
2 |
306 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
649 |
Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
361 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
733 |
Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
49 |
Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
5 |
59 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
201 |
Where do they care? The ECB in the media and inflation expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
Total Working Papers |
35 |
113 |
495 |
21,524 |
127 |
359 |
1,390 |
44,131 |