| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Simple Measure of Anchoring for Short-Run Expected Inflation in FIRE Models |
0 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
2 |
7 |
15 |
27 |
| Anchored Inflation Expectations and the Slope of the Phillips Curve |
0 |
2 |
2 |
118 |
5 |
16 |
22 |
271 |
| Asset pricing with concentrated ownership of capital |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
6 |
8 |
9 |
104 |
| Asset pricing with concentrated ownership of capital |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
59 |
| Capital-Labor Substitution, Equilibrium Indeterminacy, and the Cyclical Behavior of Labor Income |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
185 |
| Capital-labor substitution, equilibrium indeterminacy, and the cyclical behavior of labor income |
0 |
0 |
0 |
140 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
500 |
| Computable general-equilibrium models and monetary policy advice |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
4 |
10 |
12 |
585 |
| Credit-fuelled bubbles |
0 |
0 |
2 |
78 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
220 |
| Demand versus Supply: Which is More Important for Inflation? |
0 |
0 |
15 |
15 |
8 |
17 |
35 |
35 |
| Dynamic optimal fiscal and monetary policy in a business cycle model with income redistribution |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
379 |
| Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
4 |
11 |
12 |
121 |
| Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency? |
1 |
1 |
4 |
47 |
6 |
7 |
21 |
142 |
| Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
3 |
8 |
9 |
582 |
| Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
3 |
9 |
13 |
116 |
| Explaining Exchange Rate Anomalies in a Model with Taylor-Rule Fundamentals and Consistent Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
3 |
10 |
14 |
129 |
| Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
7 |
11 |
12 |
185 |
| Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
97 |
| Fiscal policy and productivity growth in the OECD |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
2 |
8 |
9 |
469 |
| Fiscal policy, increasing returns, and endogenous fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
343 |
5 |
8 |
10 |
1,099 |
| Forward-Looking Behavior and the Optimality of the Taylor Rule |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
5 |
7 |
8 |
52 |
| Growth Effects of Shifting from a Progressive Tax System to a Flat Tax |
0 |
0 |
1 |
89 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
215 |
| Growth effects of a flat tax |
0 |
0 |
0 |
720 |
3 |
11 |
13 |
2,267 |
| House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy |
0 |
0 |
2 |
144 |
6 |
8 |
16 |
325 |
| House Prices, Expectations, and Time-Varying Fundamentals |
0 |
0 |
1 |
67 |
22 |
30 |
34 |
271 |
| House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: Implications for monetary and macroprudential policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
6 |
10 |
12 |
256 |
| House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: implications for monetary and macroprudential policy |
0 |
0 |
2 |
206 |
5 |
7 |
13 |
560 |
| House prices, expectations, and time-varying fundamentals |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
17 |
22 |
24 |
245 |
| Indeterminacy and stabilization policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
189 |
4 |
6 |
8 |
745 |
| Leaning Against the Credit Cycle |
0 |
0 |
1 |
84 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
183 |
| Leaning Against the Credit Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
123 |
| Learning About a Shift in Trend Output: Implications for Monetary Policy and Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
58 |
| Lock-in of Extrapolative Expectations in an Asset Pricing Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
66 |
| Maintenance Expenditures and Indeterminacy under Increasing Returns to Scale |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
338 |
| Optimal fiscal policy when public capital is productive: a business cycle perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
318 |
| Optimal fiscal policy when public capital is productive: a business- cycle perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
4 |
6 |
7 |
183 |
| Optimal fiscal policy, public capital, and the productivity slowdown |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
6 |
8 |
9 |
555 |
| Optimal redistributive capital taxation in a neoclassical growth model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
739 |
| Optimal taxation of capital income in a growth model with monopoly profits |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
6 |
8 |
9 |
511 |
| Optimal taxation of capital income with imperfectly competitive product markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
768 |
| Rational and Near-Rational Bubbles Without Drift |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
5 |
9 |
10 |
121 |
| Rational and near-rational bubbles without drift |
0 |
0 |
1 |
172 |
7 |
9 |
13 |
435 |
| Real Business Cycles, Animal Spirits, and Stock Market Valuation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
4 |
9 |
12 |
83 |
| Replicating Business Cycles and Asset Returns with Sentiment and Low Risk Aversion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
6 |
6 |
8 |
28 |
| Replicating and Projecting the Path of COVID-19 with a Model-Implied Reproduction Number |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
3 |
6 |
9 |
43 |
| Risk aversion and stock price volatility |
0 |
0 |
1 |
175 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
482 |
| Some new variance bounds for asset prices: a comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
134 |
| Speculative growth and overreaction to technology shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
4 |
20 |
23 |
394 |
| Tax reform with useful public expenditures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
105 |
| Tax structure, welfare, and the stability of equilibrium in a model of dynamic optimal fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
524 |
| The welfare effects of tax simplification: a general-equilibrium analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
3 |
7 |
8 |
458 |
| Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
327 |
| Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
294 |
| Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
4 |
10 |
13 |
346 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
85 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
3 |
6 |
8 |
94 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
66 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
102 |
| Top incomes, rising inequality, and welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
3 |
6 |
7 |
91 |
| Welfare, stabilization, or growth: a comparison of different fiscal objectives |
0 |
0 |
0 |
202 |
3 |
9 |
10 |
767 |
| Total Working Papers |
1 |
3 |
37 |
5,175 |
247 |
442 |
604 |
19,062 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A simple measure of anchoring for short-run expected inflation in FIRE models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
13 |
13 |
| Assessing Recent Stock Market Valuation with Macro Data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
44 |
| Assessing the Recent Behavior of Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
34 |
| Asset Pricing with Concentrated Ownership of Capital and Distribution Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
108 |
| Asset price bubbles |
0 |
0 |
2 |
217 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
473 |
| Can the Income-Expenditure Discrepancy Improve Forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
24 |
| Can the Phillips curve help forecast inflation? |
0 |
1 |
2 |
163 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
441 |
| Can the stock market save Social Security? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
183 |
| Capital-labor substitution and equilibrium indeterminacy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
3 |
3 |
6 |
141 |
| Computable General Equilibrium Models and Monetary Policy Advice |
0 |
0 |
0 |
126 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
512 |
| Computable general equilibrium models and monetary policy advice |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
353 |
| Consequences of Rising Income Inequality |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
70 |
| Consumers and the economy, part I: Household credit and personal saving |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
127 |
| Discussion of Ling, Ooi, and Le |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
43 |
| Endogenous forecast switching near the zero lower bound |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
8 |
11 |
18 |
79 |
| Examining the Performance of FOMC Inflation Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
4 |
10 |
22 |
45 |
| Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
50 |
| Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
3 |
7 |
8 |
197 |
| Explaining exchange rate anomalies in a model with Taylor-rule fundamentals and consistent expectations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
3 |
4 |
9 |
94 |
| Explaining the Boom–Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse‐Engineering Approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
6 |
7 |
12 |
83 |
| Exploring the causes of the Great Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
402 |
| FISCAL POLICY, INCREASING RETURNS, AND ENDOGENOUS FLUCTUATIONS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
6 |
7 |
9 |
140 |
| Federal Reserve credibility and inflation scares |
0 |
0 |
0 |
137 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
828 |
| Fiscal Policy and Productivity Growth in the OECD |
0 |
0 |
1 |
194 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
647 |
| Forecasting growth over the next year with a business cycle index |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
88 |
| Forward-looking behavior and optimal discretionary monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
156 |
| Gauging the impact of the Great Recession |
0 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
107 |
| Global household leverage, house prices, and consumption |
1 |
1 |
2 |
204 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
487 |
| Globally-Stabilizing Fiscal Policy Rules |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
3 |
7 |
8 |
273 |
| Growth Effects of Shifting from a Graduated-rate Tax System to a Flat Tax |
0 |
0 |
1 |
173 |
6 |
8 |
13 |
568 |
| Growth in the post-bubble economy |
0 |
1 |
1 |
81 |
3 |
7 |
7 |
234 |
| House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy |
0 |
2 |
3 |
229 |
6 |
10 |
17 |
624 |
| House prices, expectations, and time-varying fundamentals |
0 |
1 |
1 |
51 |
3 |
6 |
11 |
227 |
| Housing bubbles and homeownership returns |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
4 |
8 |
10 |
187 |
| Improving the Phillips Curve with an Interaction Variable |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
77 |
| Indeterminacy and Stabilization Policy |
0 |
0 |
2 |
206 |
3 |
4 |
12 |
561 |
| Inflation Expectations, the Phillips Curve, and Stock Prices |
0 |
0 |
2 |
29 |
3 |
3 |
10 |
53 |
| Inflation dynamics and adaptive expectations in an estimated DSGE model |
0 |
0 |
6 |
85 |
5 |
8 |
21 |
230 |
| Inflation-Induced Valuation Errors in the Stock Market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
3 |
4 |
11 |
198 |
| Inflation-induced valuation errors in the stock market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
360 |
| Is Demand or Supply More Important for Inflation? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
13 |
13 |
| Is public capital productive? A review of the evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
147 |
| LOCK-IN OF EXTRAPOLATIVE EXPECTATIONS IN AN ASSET PRICING MODEL |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
7 |
13 |
14 |
469 |
| Leaning Against the Credit Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
103 |
| Maintenance expenditures and indeterminacy under increasing returns to scale |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
31 |
47 |
50 |
187 |
| Monetary policy and asset prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
195 |
| Monetary policy and asset prices with belief-driven fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
2 |
7 |
7 |
221 |
| On variance bounds for asset price changes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
22 |
22 |
59 |
| Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model with Public Capital |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
978 |
| Optimal fiscal policy, public capital, and the productivity slowdown |
0 |
0 |
1 |
112 |
6 |
11 |
15 |
279 |
| Optimal redistributive capital taxation in a neoclassical growth model |
0 |
3 |
4 |
148 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
320 |
| Optimal taxation of capital income with imperfectly competitive product markets |
0 |
0 |
4 |
234 |
5 |
5 |
12 |
539 |
| Output and inflation: a 100-year perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
240 |
| Persistent overoptimism about economic growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
74 |
| Projecting the Long-Run Natural Rate of Interest |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
53 |
| R-star, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
97 |
| Rates of return from Social Security |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
116 |
| Rational and Near-Rational Bubbles Without Drift |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
172 |
| Real business cycles, animal spirits, and stock market valuation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
9 |
22 |
| Real-time estimation of trend output and the illusion of interest rate smoothing |
1 |
1 |
1 |
128 |
13 |
18 |
23 |
580 |
| Reducing Inflation along a Nonlinear Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
3 |
23 |
4 |
12 |
19 |
62 |
| Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
15 |
16 |
32 |
| Return of the Original Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
7 |
8 |
14 |
69 |
| Risk aversion, investor information and stock market volatility |
0 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
8 |
10 |
14 |
96 |
| Searching for value in the U.S. stock market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
115 |
| Should the Fed react to the stock market? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
176 |
| Social Security: are we getting our money's worth? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
151 |
| Speculative Bubbles and Overreaction to Technological Innovation |
1 |
1 |
7 |
117 |
7 |
12 |
27 |
339 |
| Speculative bubbles and overreaction to technological innovation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
7 |
20 |
25 |
138 |
| Speculative growth, overreaction, and the welfare cost of technology-driven bubbles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
4 |
12 |
13 |
284 |
| Spendthrift nation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
220 |
| Stock Market Valuation and the Macroeconomy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
102 |
| Tax Reform with Useful Public Expenditures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
156 |
| Tax structure and welfare in a model of optimal fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
238 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
1,002 |
| Tax structure, optimal fiscal policy, and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
420 |
| Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
2 |
383 |
32 |
43 |
53 |
1,175 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
5 |
7 |
11 |
68 |
| U.S. household deleveraging and future consumption growth |
0 |
0 |
4 |
307 |
2 |
6 |
13 |
655 |
| Uncertainties in projecting federal budget surpluses |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
69 |
| Untangling Persistent versus Transitory Shocks to Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
5 |
8 |
10 |
45 |
| Using Sentiment and Momentum to Predict Stock Returns |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
0 |
6 |
12 |
127 |
| What’s different about the latest housing boom? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
66 |
| Will Rising Rents Push Up Future Inflation? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
37 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
87 |
| Will moderating growth reduce inflation? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
96 |
| Wringing the Overoptimism from FOMC Growth Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
23 |
| Total Journal Articles |
3 |
12 |
66 |
5,541 |
344 |
583 |
873 |
20,198 |
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