| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Simple Measure of Anchoring for Short-Run Expected Inflation in FIRE Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
35 |
| Anchored Inflation Expectations and the Slope of the Phillips Curve |
0 |
1 |
4 |
120 |
2 |
4 |
31 |
285 |
| Asset pricing with concentrated ownership of capital |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
113 |
| Asset pricing with concentrated ownership of capital |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
63 |
| Capital-Labor Substitution and Equilibrium Indeterminacy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
140 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
505 |
| Capital-Labor Substitution, Equilibrium Indeterminacy, and the Cyclical Behavior of Labor Income |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
190 |
| Computable general-equilibrium models and monetary policy advice |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
589 |
| Credit-fuelled bubbles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
226 |
| Demand versus Supply: Which is More Important for Inflation? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
1 |
6 |
56 |
73 |
| Dynamic optimal fiscal and monetary policy in a business cycle model with income redistribution |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
383 |
| Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
2 |
2 |
17 |
127 |
| Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
48 |
1 |
5 |
26 |
160 |
| Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
4 |
20 |
127 |
| Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
585 |
| Explaining Exchange Rate Anomalies in a Model with Taylor-Rule Fundamentals and Consistent Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
134 |
| Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach |
0 |
1 |
1 |
64 |
0 |
3 |
20 |
193 |
| Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
102 |
| Fiscal policy and productivity growth in the OECD |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
476 |
| Fiscal policy, increasing returns, and endogenous fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
343 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
1,107 |
| Forward-Looking Behavior and the Optimality of the Taylor Rule |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
60 |
| From Volcker to the Pandemic Era: History Dependent Anchoring of Short-Run Expected Inflation |
0 |
0 |
15 |
15 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
8 |
| Growth Effects of Shifting from a Progressive Tax System to a Flat Tax |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
226 |
| Growth effects of a flat tax |
0 |
0 |
0 |
720 |
0 |
25 |
46 |
2,300 |
| House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
144 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
338 |
| House Prices, Expectations, and Time-Varying Fundamentals |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
0 |
3 |
41 |
280 |
| House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: Implications for monetary and macroprudential policy |
0 |
0 |
2 |
109 |
3 |
5 |
26 |
272 |
| House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: implications for monetary and macroprudential policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
206 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
565 |
| House prices, expectations, and time-varying fundamentals |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
0 |
1 |
56 |
278 |
| Indeterminacy and stabilization policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
189 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
753 |
| Leaning Against the Credit Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
130 |
| Leaning Against the Credit Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
190 |
| Learning About a Shift in Trend Output: Implications for Monetary Policy and Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
67 |
| Lock-in of Extrapolative Expectations in an Asset Pricing Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
3 |
5 |
19 |
77 |
| Maintenance Expenditures and Indeterminacy under Increasing Returns to Scale |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
344 |
| Measuring Inflation Shock Momentum |
2 |
8 |
21 |
21 |
9 |
23 |
36 |
36 |
| Optimal fiscal policy when public capital is productive: a business cycle perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
322 |
| Optimal fiscal policy when public capital is productive: a business- cycle perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
183 |
| Optimal fiscal policy, public capital, and the productivity slowdown |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
559 |
| Optimal redistributive capital taxation in a neoclassical growth model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
743 |
| Optimal taxation of capital income in a growth model with monopoly profits |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
515 |
| Optimal taxation of capital income with imperfectly competitive product markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
2 |
4 |
10 |
773 |
| Rational and Near-Rational Bubbles Without Drift |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
126 |
| Rational and Near-Rational Bubbles without Drift |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
0 |
1 |
21 |
445 |
| Real Business Cycles, Animal Spirits, and Stock Market Valuation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
87 |
| Replicating Business Cycles and Asset Returns with Sentiment and Low Risk Aversion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
32 |
| Replicating and Projecting the Path of COVID-19 with a Model-Implied Reproduction Number |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
49 |
| Risk aversion and stock price volatility |
0 |
1 |
1 |
176 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
487 |
| Some new variance bounds for asset prices: a comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
136 |
| Speculative Growth, Overreaction, and the Welfare Cost of Technology-Driven Bubbles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
1 |
3 |
33 |
407 |
| Tax reform with useful public expenditures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
108 |
| Tax structure, welfare, and the stability of equilibrium in a model of dynamic optimal fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
529 |
| The welfare effects of tax simplification: a general-equilibrium analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
465 |
| Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
1 |
4 |
15 |
338 |
| Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
348 |
| Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
300 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
97 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
87 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
69 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
106 |
| Top incomes, rising inequality, and welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
97 |
| Welfare, stabilization, or growth: a comparison of different fiscal objectives |
0 |
0 |
0 |
202 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
770 |
| Total Working Papers |
2 |
11 |
49 |
5,220 |
40 |
142 |
988 |
19,575 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A simple measure of anchoring for short-run expected inflation in FIRE models |
2 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
24 |
28 |
| Anchored inflation expectations and the slope of the Phillips curve |
1 |
2 |
10 |
12 |
2 |
8 |
49 |
53 |
| Assessing Recent Stock Market Valuation with Macro Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
51 |
| Assessing the Recent Behavior of Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
36 |
| Asset Pricing with Concentrated Ownership of Capital and Distribution Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
113 |
| Asset price bubbles |
0 |
0 |
1 |
217 |
2 |
4 |
16 |
484 |
| Can the Income-Expenditure Discrepancy Improve Forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
25 |
| Can the Phillips curve help forecast inflation? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
163 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
443 |
| Can the stock market save Social Security? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
187 |
| Capital-labor substitution and equilibrium indeterminacy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
144 |
| Computable General Equilibrium Models and Monetary Policy Advice |
0 |
0 |
0 |
126 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
514 |
| Computable general equilibrium models and monetary policy advice |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
363 |
| Consequences of Rising Income Inequality |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
77 |
| Consumers and the economy, part I: Household credit and personal saving |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
131 |
| Discussion of Ling, Ooi, and Le |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
46 |
| Endogenous forecast switching near the zero lower bound |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
4 |
24 |
90 |
| Examining the Performance of FOMC Inflation Forecasts |
0 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
0 |
1 |
35 |
69 |
| Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
20 |
65 |
| Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
1 |
2 |
18 |
208 |
| Explaining exchange rate anomalies in a model with Taylor-rule fundamentals and consistent expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
102 |
| Explaining the Boom–Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse‐Engineering Approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
0 |
1 |
21 |
94 |
| Exploring the causes of the Great Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
406 |
| FISCAL POLICY, INCREASING RETURNS, AND ENDOGENOUS FLUCTUATIONS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
146 |
| Federal Reserve credibility and inflation scares |
0 |
0 |
0 |
137 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
836 |
| Fiscal Policy and Productivity Growth in the OECD |
0 |
0 |
0 |
194 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
654 |
| Forecasting growth over the next year with a business cycle index |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
94 |
| Forward-looking behavior and optimal discretionary monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
161 |
| Gauging the impact of the Great Recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
109 |
| Global household leverage, house prices, and consumption |
0 |
0 |
1 |
204 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
490 |
| Globally-Stabilizing Fiscal Policy Rules |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
276 |
| Growth Effects of Shifting from a Graduated-rate Tax System to a Flat Tax |
0 |
0 |
0 |
173 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
576 |
| Growth in the post-bubble economy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
81 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
235 |
| House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy |
1 |
2 |
10 |
237 |
1 |
2 |
29 |
642 |
| House prices, expectations, and time-varying fundamentals |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
236 |
| Housing bubbles and homeownership returns |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
187 |
| Improving the Phillips Curve with an Interaction Variable |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
81 |
| Indeterminacy and Stabilization Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
206 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
567 |
| Inflation Expectations, the Phillips Curve, and Stock Prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
58 |
| Inflation dynamics and adaptive expectations in an estimated DSGE model |
0 |
0 |
2 |
86 |
0 |
2 |
20 |
241 |
| Inflation-Induced Valuation Errors in the Stock Market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
210 |
| Inflation-induced valuation errors in the stock market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
104 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
363 |
| Is Demand or Supply More Important for Inflation? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
26 |
| Is public capital productive? A review of the evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
148 |
| LOCK-IN OF EXTRAPOLATIVE EXPECTATIONS IN AN ASSET PRICING MODEL |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
483 |
| Leaning Against the Credit Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
110 |
| Learning about a shift in trend output: implications for monetary policy and inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
432 |
| Maintenance expenditures and indeterminacy under increasing returns to scale |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
1 |
53 |
191 |
| Monetary policy and asset prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
198 |
| Monetary policy and asset prices with belief-driven fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
225 |
| On variance bounds for asset price changes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
61 |
| Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model with Public Capital |
0 |
1 |
1 |
31 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
983 |
| Optimal fiscal policy, public capital, and the productivity slowdown |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
282 |
| Optimal redistributive capital taxation in a neoclassical growth model |
0 |
0 |
4 |
149 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
329 |
| Optimal taxation of capital income with imperfectly competitive product markets |
0 |
0 |
1 |
234 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
547 |
| Output and inflation: a 100-year perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
242 |
| Persistent overoptimism about economic growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
79 |
| Projecting the Long-Run Natural Rate of Interest |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
53 |
| R-star, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
104 |
| Rates of return from Social Security |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
118 |
| Rational and Near-Rational Bubbles Without Drift |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
172 |
| Real business cycles, animal spirits, and stock market valuation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
24 |
| Real-time estimation of trend output and the illusion of interest rate smoothing |
0 |
0 |
1 |
128 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
582 |
| Reducing Inflation along a Nonlinear Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
76 |
| Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
38 |
| Return of the Original Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
2 |
8 |
23 |
84 |
| Risk aversion, investor information and stock market volatility |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
1 |
1 |
19 |
105 |
| Searching for value in the U.S. stock market |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
117 |
| Should the Fed react to the stock market? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
183 |
| Social Security: are we getting our money's worth? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
155 |
| Speculative Bubbles and Overreaction to Technological Innovation |
0 |
1 |
5 |
119 |
0 |
3 |
24 |
347 |
| Speculative bubbles and overreaction to technological innovation |
0 |
1 |
2 |
43 |
0 |
2 |
32 |
149 |
| Speculative growth, overreaction, and the welfare cost of technology-driven bubbles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
286 |
| Spendthrift nation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
222 |
| Stock Market Valuation and the Macroeconomy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
109 |
| Tax Reform with Useful Public Expenditures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
0 |
4 |
10 |
162 |
| Tax structure and welfare in a model of optimal fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
238 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
1,006 |
| Tax structure, optimal fiscal policy, and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
1 |
105 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
430 |
| Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
383 |
0 |
1 |
59 |
1,190 |
| Top Incomes, Rising Inequality and Welfare |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
74 |
| U.S. household deleveraging and future consumption growth |
0 |
0 |
1 |
307 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
657 |
| Uncertainties in projecting federal budget surpluses |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
70 |
| Untangling Persistent versus Transitory Shocks to Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
1 |
2 |
32 |
68 |
| Using Inflation Shock Patterns to Help Forecast Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
| Using Sentiment and Momentum to Predict Stock Returns |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
1 |
2 |
23 |
142 |
| What’s different about the latest housing boom? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
66 |
| Will Rising Rents Push Up Future Inflation? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
92 |
| Will moderating growth reduce inflation? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
100 |
| Wringing the Overoptimism from FOMC Growth Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
23 |
| Total Journal Articles |
4 |
10 |
50 |
5,659 |
31 |
117 |
1,268 |
21,240 |
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