Access Statistics for Massimiliano Marcellino

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 0 582 1 2 6 1,694
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 1 1 1 252 1 4 8 728
A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 0 4 0 1 4 26
A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 25
A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables 0 1 1 148 0 1 5 270
A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market 0 0 0 571 0 0 1 1,538
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 1 1 2 42 1 1 8 171
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 0 56 0 1 1 170
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 1 6 91 0 4 18 310
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 1 2 218 0 1 3 465
A Parametric Estimation Method for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 0 188 3 3 4 618
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 7 1 1 2 39
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 17
A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting 0 0 1 61 1 3 8 101
A Simple Benchmark for Forecasts of Growth and Inflation 0 0 0 190 1 1 2 598
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 0 2 5 277 1 3 13 592
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 0 1 3 158 2 6 12 345
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 4 37 1 1 9 87
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 1 1 6 116 4 5 25 232
Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility 2 2 10 43 6 6 29 96
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 5 202 2 6 20 221
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 0 0 151 0 0 5 234
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 0 0 118 1 1 2 271
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for U.S. Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 2 575 1 2 6 2,408
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for US Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 1 304 0 1 3 997
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 15 0 1 1 40
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 50 0 2 4 73
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 67 0 0 0 119
Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers 0 3 10 10 2 8 16 16
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 5 131 0 3 15 45
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 1 1 1 5 9 9
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 0 3 183 1 1 7 430
Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy 0 0 5 429 1 5 16 665
Bayesian modelling of VAR precision matrices using stochastic block networks 0 1 13 13 1 3 10 10
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 1 2 22 22 2 5 50 50
Big Data Econometrics: Now Casting and Early Estimates 0 0 4 203 1 1 14 270
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 1 2 5 8 1 3 12 20
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 0 9 64 0 4 22 48
Boosting the Forecasting Power of Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models to Account for Covid-19 Outbreaks 0 0 1 86 0 1 5 55
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 8 1 1 3 29
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 3 44 0 0 8 68
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 25 0 0 3 103
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 13
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 1 5 212 1 3 12 320
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 2 3 6 13 4 6 22 43
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 312 0 1 3 700
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 196 0 1 1 532
Characterizing the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 2 175 0 0 2 543
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 1 114 0 0 1 352
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 1 1 3 661 4 9 26 1,556
Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification 0 0 3 34 0 0 7 25
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 40 0 1 1 145
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 116 3 3 4 265
Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 97 0 2 5 275
Cross-sectional Averaging and Instrumental Variable Estimation with Many Weak Instruments 0 0 0 6 0 1 2 26
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 2 4 347 1 3 5 1,134
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 1 2 427 0 2 3 1,343
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 1 3 313 0 3 8 1,072
Econometric analyses with backdated data: unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 63 1 1 3 272
Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts 0 0 0 8 1 1 2 61
Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 46 0 0 1 149
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 1 1 58 1 2 2 142
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 35 0 0 1 193
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 90 0 0 1 192
Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 0 166 1 1 4 401
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro 0 1 2 62 0 1 2 121
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries 0 0 1 68 0 0 2 147
Ex Post and Ex Ante Analysis of Provisional Data 0 0 0 240 0 0 0 2,045
Explaining the Time-varying Effects Of Oil Market Shocks On U.S. Stock Returns 0 0 4 77 2 3 11 187
Factor Analysis in a Model with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 118 0 0 1 349
Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model 0 0 0 116 1 1 2 477
Factor Based Index Tracking 0 0 0 538 0 0 3 1,316
Factor Based Index Trading 0 0 1 453 1 1 3 1,344
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 1 191 0 0 1 530
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 161 0 0 0 497
Factor analysis in a New-Keynesian model 0 0 0 198 1 1 1 557
Factor based identification-robust inference in IV regressions 0 0 0 47 1 1 3 92
Factor forecasts for the UK 0 0 3 176 0 1 4 585
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 0 23 0 2 5 108
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 0 3 1 1 2 22
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 0 1 1 144 1 2 4 418
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1 0 0 1 93 0 1 5 397
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP 0 0 2 218 0 0 4 713
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP 0 0 2 199 0 0 6 702
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 2 175 0 0 2 353
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 2 6 362 1 4 16 921
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 2 199 0 1 6 519
Firm Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: a Functional VAR model 1 16 23 23 2 15 40 40
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 435
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD, and EC 0 0 0 171 1 1 3 588
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 289 0 0 3 803
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 346
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 1 200 0 0 2 646
Forecast Pooling for Short Time Series of Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 274 2 2 3 878
Forecast pooling for short time series of macroeconomic variables 0 1 2 421 0 1 6 1,567
Forecasting EMU Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 302 0 0 0 1,847
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 0 324 0 0 4 1,809
Forecasting Euro-Area Variables with German Pre-EMU Data 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 300
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 10 0 0 8 36
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 173 1 1 6 415
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 2 74 0 0 4 266
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 9 0 1 3 42
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 36 0 0 2 138
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 144 0 0 2 308
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 62 1 1 2 210
Forecasting Large Datasets with Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 2 219 0 0 7 636
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 1 141 2 2 5 554
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 1 126 0 0 2 683
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables for the Acceding Countries 0 0 1 120 1 1 2 578
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 1 6 29 0 2 15 55
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 0 30 0 0 4 86
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 1 3 122 0 1 6 109
Forecasting economic activity with higher frequency targeted predictors 0 0 0 151 0 1 2 251
Forecasting euro-area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 55 0 2 2 195
Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union 0 0 1 192 1 2 6 705
Forecasting the COVID-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 4
Forecasting the Covid-19 Recession and Recovery: Lessons from the Financial Crisis 0 0 0 127 0 0 2 274
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 24 0 0 0 60
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 54
Forecasting with Dynamic Models using Shrinkage-based Estimation 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 17
Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 3 204 1 2 7 364
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 101 0 0 0 233
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 1 60 0 0 1 228
Forecasting with Large Unbalanced Datasets: The Mixed-Frequency Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 2 4 168 1 4 11 304
Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs 0 0 1 48 1 2 3 89
Further Results on MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 62 0 0 1 474
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 1 2 2 3 2 3 4 7
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 3 152 2 2 11 97
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 43 0 0 2 77
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis? 0 0 0 91 0 0 2 210
Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis? 0 0 0 114 1 5 17 251
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 144 1 1 1 529
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models:A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 348 0 0 2 1,050
Instability and Non-Linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 100 0 0 1 330
Instability and non-linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 122 0 0 0 536
Interpolation and Backdating with A Large Information Set 1 1 1 97 2 3 5 346
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 0 129 2 2 3 426
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 1 1 2 36 2 2 5 51
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 8
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 3
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 17
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 75
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 0 152 1 1 3 991
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 2 112 0 0 6 635
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs: A Non-Parametric Approach 0 0 1 85 1 2 5 123
Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 37
Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors 0 0 2 206 0 2 8 374
Large time-varying parameter VARs: a non-parametric approach 0 0 0 121 1 3 9 182
Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 1 343 1 1 5 1,055
Leading Indicators for Euro-area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 2 668 0 1 7 1,844
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 385 1 2 2 628
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 1 234 0 0 2 474
Linear Aggregation with Common Trends and Cycles 0 0 0 63 1 1 1 220
MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area 2 2 5 451 2 6 19 1,117
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 0 1 133 0 0 3 414
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 0 2 120 1 2 11 482
Macro Uncertainty in the Long Run 0 0 1 4 0 1 2 11
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 0 2 67 2 3 6 59
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 0 0 6 2 2 4 20
Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information 1 3 7 681 1 5 14 1,834
Macroeconomic activity and risk indicators: an unstable relationship 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 52
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 178 0 0 3 455
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 145
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 30
Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models 0 0 0 125 0 3 7 281
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 0 26 0 1 2 117
Markov-switching MIDAS models 0 0 2 115 2 3 12 466
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter 0 0 0 33 0 0 1 97
Mean Group Instrumental Variable Estimation of Time-Varying Large Heterogeneous Panels with Endogenous Regressors 0 0 2 17 1 2 9 18
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 0 1 57 0 0 4 123
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 0 1 11 0 0 2 31
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 0 200 1 2 4 356
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 1 74 1 2 13 142
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 0 79 2 2 4 119
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 0 33 3 4 8 105
Mixed frequency structural VARs 0 1 1 196 0 2 6 337
Mixed frequency structural models: estimation, and policy analysis 0 0 0 124 0 0 1 196
Model Selection for Non-Linear Dynamic Models 1 1 1 236 1 1 2 666
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area 0 2 6 305 1 3 9 642
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the euro Area 0 0 0 134 1 5 6 387
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland, and the UK 0 0 0 333 1 1 2 1,477
Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs 0 0 1 122 2 2 3 211
Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes 0 0 0 101 0 0 1 402
No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 72 0 1 1 141
No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 44 2 2 3 42
Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency 0 0 1 37 1 2 6 94
Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators 0 0 0 96 1 2 9 228
Nowcasting distributions: a functional MIDAS model 0 37 44 44 3 44 59 59
Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes 0 0 35 35 1 6 36 37
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price setting 0 0 0 18 0 1 2 71
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 36 1 1 1 129
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 1 71 0 0 1 227
On the importance of sectoral shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 54
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 0 74 0 0 0 181
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 33 1 2 3 88
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 2 13 0 1 5 81
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 1 83 2 3 12 183
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 0 38 0 0 1 65
Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP 0 0 2 122 1 2 4 318
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP 0 0 0 82 0 0 0 284
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP 0 0 0 86 0 0 0 259
Pooling-based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 80 0 0 2 300
Pooling-based data interpolation and backdating 0 0 0 64 0 0 0 325
Principal components at work: The empirical analysis of monetary policy with large datasets 1 1 1 792 1 3 4 2,350
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 1 1 2 459 2 2 4 1,227
Real time estimates of the euro area output gap: reliability and forecasting performance 0 1 1 151 0 3 9 460
Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 0 74 0 1 3 245
Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 2 2 230 0 2 7 460
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-Off 0 0 0 39 0 0 1 163
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-off 0 0 0 46 1 1 1 52
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the US 0 0 0 5 0 1 2 57
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area and a Comparison with the US 0 0 0 125 1 1 2 332
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 0 12 0 0 1 82
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 1 202 0 0 4 712
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 1 1 1 0 3 3 3
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 0 11 11 1 3 28 28
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 11
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 102 0 0 0 539
Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 51 1 1 2 249
Selecting predictors by using Bayesian model averaging in bridge models 0 1 1 71 0 1 2 187
Shadow-rate VARs 0 2 9 31 4 10 31 64
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 0 0 172 1 2 4 420
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 2 9 407 1 3 15 873
Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 251 0 0 0 994
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-Economic Data 0 0 4 438 0 0 5 1,056
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-economic Data 0 0 0 0 2 4 5 478
Some Stylized Facts on Non-Systematic Fiscal Policy in the Euro Area 0 0 1 115 0 0 1 434
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 1 356 0 0 2 960
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 1 7 10 10 4 14 20 20
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 1 4 9 79 1 9 24 77
Stochastic Processes Subject to Time-Scale Transformations: An Application to High-Frequency FX Data 0 0 0 164 0 1 2 772
Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models 0 1 3 87 0 1 3 120
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large-scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 1 90 1 1 3 187
Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators 0 0 0 71 0 0 1 201
Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators 0 0 1 37 0 0 3 165
TFP, Costs, and Public Infrastructure: An Equivocal Relationship 0 0 2 395 0 0 2 1,031
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 0 4 1 1 8 15
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 0 78 1 2 3 89
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 0 0 122 0 0 2 132
Temporal Disaggregation, Missing Observations, Outliers, and Forecasting: A Unifying Non-Model Based Procedures 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 319
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 309 0 0 0 615
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 471 0 0 3 1,586
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time-Varying FAVAR 0 0 2 76 1 1 4 255
The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty 0 1 3 3 0 1 8 8
The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 84
The Global Component of Inflation Volatility 0 0 0 41 0 3 6 154
The Multiscale Causal Dynamics of Foreign Exchange Markets 0 0 0 64 1 1 2 164
The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 32 0 0 1 167
The Role of Search Frictions and Bargaining for Inflation Dynamics 0 0 0 41 0 0 2 175
The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World 0 0 0 134 0 0 0 499
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 88
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 0 178 1 3 5 350
The changing international transmission of financial shocks: evidence from a classical time-varying FAVAR 0 0 2 280 0 2 10 674
The demand and supply of information about inflation 1 1 3 30 3 3 26 66
The demand and supply of information about inflation 1 1 3 20 1 1 5 29
The economic drivers of volatility and uncertainty 0 0 0 68 0 1 5 116
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 12 0 1 1 12
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 25 0 0 2 62
The global component of inflation volatility 1 1 1 148 1 2 5 374
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 0 214 0 0 1 526
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages 0 0 0 59 1 1 2 184
Time Varying Three Pass Regression Filter 0 2 4 4 1 4 7 7
Time variation in macro-financial linkages 0 0 1 172 2 3 4 431
Time-Scale Transformations of Discrete-Time Processes 0 0 0 2 0 1 5 18
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 0 40 0 0 2 97
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 1 1 50 1 6 7 70
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 3 25 580 2 11 77 2,009
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 1 6 99 1 5 21 326
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 0 0 1 53 0 1 5 107
Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 0 22 0 0 1 54
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 0 0 3 141 0 3 18 228
Wages, Prices, Productivity, Inflation and Unemployment in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 1 702 0 0 2 2,892
interpolation with a large information set 0 0 0 55 1 1 1 253
the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap 0 0 0 53 0 0 0 157
Total Working Papers 25 139 509 36,193 179 487 1,639 106,043
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Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Credibility Proxy: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 1 3 102 0 1 5 270
A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market 0 0 0 309 0 1 2 915
A SHRINKAGE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR FOR LARGE DATASETS 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 47
A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series 1 2 12 417 6 24 112 1,204
A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK 0 0 1 57 0 0 2 158
A comparison of mixed frequency approaches for nowcasting Euro area macroeconomic aggregates 1 1 10 177 3 5 32 373
A daily indicator of economic growth for the euro area 0 1 2 44 2 3 4 110
A linear benchmark for forecasting GDP growth and inflation? 0 0 1 194 0 3 7 526
A macroeconometric model for the Euro economy 0 0 2 139 0 0 6 360
A parametric estimation method for dynamic factor models of large dimensions 0 0 0 64 1 1 2 152
A similarity‐based approach for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 28 0 1 6 101
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 1 1 3 3 8 12 43 43
Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth? 0 1 5 204 1 3 12 550
Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects 0 0 1 26 0 0 4 79
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 3 7 120 1 4 14 326
Blended identification in structural VARs 1 2 7 7 5 8 25 25
Business Cycles in the New EU Member Countries and their Conformity with the Euro Area 0 0 0 80 1 1 2 214
CAN MACHINE LEARNING CATCH THE COVID-19 RECESSION? 0 0 0 14 1 1 2 29
Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 1 1 5 5 3 8 18 18
Classical time varying factor-augmented vector auto-regressive models—estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 1 1 1 75 1 1 3 162
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 1 7 56 2 4 20 158
Cross-sectional averaging and instrumental variable estimation with many weak instruments 0 0 0 33 0 1 1 97
Dating Business Cycles: A Methodological Contribution with an Application to the Euro Area 0 0 2 194 1 1 6 563
EUROMIND: a monthly indicator of the euro area economic conditions 0 0 0 0 0 6 14 222
Econometric analyses with backdated data: Unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 19 1 2 2 123
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 2 27 0 0 2 99
EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 67
Explaining the time-varying effects of oil market shocks on US stock returns 0 0 3 42 0 0 5 131
Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged‐Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 3 4 14 206 5 10 44 500
Factor analysis in a model with rational expectations 0 0 0 79 0 1 2 426
Factor based index tracking 1 1 5 158 1 2 14 401
Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments 1 2 6 104 2 4 10 234
Factor‐Based Identification‐Robust Interference in IV Regressions 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 37
Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 12 0 0 2 679
Forecast Bias and MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Forecast Pooling for European Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 32 1 2 2 170
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 1 1 141 0 1 2 554
Forecasting economic activity by Bayesian bridge model averaging 0 0 4 39 0 1 7 106
Forecasting economic activity with targeted predictors 0 1 1 71 0 1 5 158
Forecasting euro area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 44 0 1 2 149
Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR 0 2 6 286 0 2 10 782
Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian vector autoregressions 0 0 3 138 0 0 9 348
Forecasting gross domestic product growth with large unbalanced data sets: the mixed frequency three‐pass regression filter 0 1 3 46 1 4 9 103
Forecasting inflation and GDP growth using heuristic optimisation of information criteria and variable reduction methods 0 0 0 23 0 1 4 71
Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 144
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 2 10 0 1 4 28
Forecasting with a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union 0 0 1 33 0 2 13 108
Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models 0 1 5 89 0 2 14 230
Foreword 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 42
Guest Editors’ Introduction to Special Issue on Encompassing 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 61
Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 15 1 1 4 103
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 1 1 1 77 1 1 2 222
Introduction to advances in business cycle analysis and forecasting 0 0 0 43 0 0 2 117
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Nonparametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2
LSM: A DSGE model for Luxembourg 0 0 2 49 0 1 8 191
Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors 3 4 20 159 4 12 53 455
Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach 1 1 2 17 2 2 6 81
Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth* 0 0 1 250 0 2 7 882
Linear aggregation with common trends and cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 81
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 1 2 3 69 1 6 10 326
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 3 12 187 2 10 36 697
MIXED‐FREQUENCY STRUCTURAL MODELS: IDENTIFICATION, ESTIMATION, AND POLICY ANALYSIS 0 0 1 26 0 0 3 72
MODELING HIGH-FREQUENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE DATA DYNAMICS 0 0 2 19 0 1 3 75
Macro uncertainty in the long run 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 3
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 1 3 39 1 2 6 150
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context 0 1 5 14 0 1 9 32
Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information 1 1 2 335 2 2 5 832
Markov-Switching MIDAS Models 0 0 2 208 2 2 17 716
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 2 35 1 3 8 107
Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models 0 1 3 86 3 4 12 315
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 2 6 19 189 5 18 61 586
Mixed frequency structural vector auto-regressive models 0 0 2 47 0 0 6 109
Mixed‐frequency models with moving‐average components 0 1 1 13 2 4 4 56
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 2 31 1 1 3 129
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area* 0 0 0 86 0 1 2 278
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 203
Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs 0 0 3 70 1 6 14 227
NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY 0 1 6 25 1 3 20 74
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency 4 6 10 30 7 10 20 73
No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 29
On the Importance of Sectoral and Regional Shocks for Price‐Setting 0 0 0 20 0 1 2 118
POOLING VERSUS MODEL SELECTION FOR NOWCASTING GDP WITH MANY PREDICTORS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR SIX INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES 0 0 0 0 3 4 10 182
Path forecast evaluation 0 1 1 64 1 4 7 262
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time varying parameter models 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 60
Pooling‐Based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 87
Principal components at work: the empirical analysis of monetary policy with large data sets 0 0 1 456 6 6 11 1,342
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 0 0 0 2 4 9 301
ROBUST DECISION THEORY AND THE LUCAS CRITIQUE 0 0 0 11 0 3 4 69
Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 0 0 48 1 1 6 210
Regime switches in the risk–return trade-off 0 0 0 32 0 0 3 114
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the United States 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 8
Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 80
Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility 1 2 10 47 2 3 21 150
Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 164 0 0 0 847
Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Empirical Analysis 0 0 0 0 3 3 11 538
Some cautions on the use of panel methods for integrated series of macroeconomic data 0 0 0 285 0 1 7 793
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 0 103 0 1 1 259
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 2 25 0 0 3 83
Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models 0 0 0 43 2 2 4 199
Survey data as coincident or leading indicators 0 0 0 58 0 1 4 176
TAIL FORECASTING WITH MULTIVARIATE BAYESIAN ADDITIVE REGRESSION TREES 0 0 3 7 1 1 10 24
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 0 2 18 0 0 6 76
Testing for PPP: Should we use panel methods? 0 0 2 364 0 0 3 1,055
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time‐Varying FAVAR 0 0 4 71 0 0 14 209
The effects of the monetary policy stance on the transmission mechanism 3 5 11 121 3 7 20 255
The global component of inflation volatility 0 0 2 9 0 2 5 30
The multiscale causal dynamics of foreign exchange markets 0 1 1 51 0 1 4 180
The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap 0 0 1 89 0 2 4 344
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 1 1 1 175 1 2 4 532
Time Variation in Macro‐Financial Linkages 0 0 4 28 0 0 7 115
Time-varying instrumental variable estimation 0 1 2 18 1 2 5 57
Time‐scale transformations of discrete time processes 1 1 1 31 1 2 2 247
Unrestricted mixed data sampling (MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 1 2 7 155 1 5 21 399
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 0 2 10 101 0 4 21 396
Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty 0 0 3 28 0 1 9 70
Total Journal Articles 31 73 297 8,841 113 284 1,074 29,551
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 0 17 1 2 6 68
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 1 1 1 0 6 6 6
Chapter 4 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 4
Leading Indicators 0 0 12 318 1 1 25 754
Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply 0 0 2 3 0 0 10 14
Non-linearity and Instability in the Euro Area 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 4
TEMPORAL DISAGGREGATION, MISSING OBSERVATIONS, OUTLIERS, AND FORECASTING 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2
Total Chapters 0 1 15 339 5 15 53 852
5 registered items for which data could not be found


Statistics updated 2025-03-03