Access Statistics for Massimiliano Marcellino

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 0 582 0 1 4 1,695
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 1 252 1 1 6 729
A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 1 5 1 1 5 29
A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 27
A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables 0 1 6 153 0 2 13 280
A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market 0 0 0 571 0 1 1 1,539
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 1 1 57 1 2 3 172
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 1 2 43 0 1 6 172
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 1 218 0 0 2 466
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 1 91 1 3 11 316
A Parametric Estimation Method for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 0 188 0 0 3 618
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 17
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 1 8 0 0 2 40
A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting 0 0 1 62 0 0 7 103
A Simple Benchmark for Forecasts of Growth and Inflation 0 0 0 190 0 0 1 598
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 1 1 5 280 2 6 16 602
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 0 1 4 161 0 2 12 350
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 2 117 1 2 13 239
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 2 37 1 2 9 90
Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility 0 0 4 44 0 4 17 105
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 1 5 206 0 1 19 231
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 1 1 1 119 1 1 2 272
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 1 4 155 2 3 9 242
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for U.S. Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 1 575 0 1 6 2,411
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for US Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 0 304 0 1 3 999
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 1 51 0 1 4 75
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 15 0 1 2 41
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 67 0 3 4 123
Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers 3 5 19 19 5 9 32 32
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 2 2 1 1 10 12
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 2 133 1 1 12 52
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 1 1 3 186 1 2 7 436
Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy 0 1 7 431 2 7 27 678
Bayesian modelling of VAR precision matrices using stochastic block networks 0 0 4 14 1 1 10 14
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 3 4 15 29 3 4 24 62
Big Data Econometrics: Now Casting and Early Estimates 0 1 6 209 1 4 17 284
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 0 3 8 0 1 8 23
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 0 2 66 1 1 9 52
Boosting the Forecasting Power of Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models to Account for Covid-19 Outbreaks 0 0 1 87 0 1 4 57
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 15
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 8 0 2 3 31
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 25 0 1 1 104
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 44 0 4 7 75
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 3 213 2 4 12 328
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 1 10 17 0 1 27 54
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 196 0 0 1 532
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 312 0 1 2 701
Characterizing the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 1 175 1 1 2 544
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 1 114 0 0 2 353
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 1 4 664 0 2 21 1,565
Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification 0 0 2 35 1 2 5 28
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 116 0 1 6 267
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 40 0 0 2 146
Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 98 0 0 7 279
Cross-sectional Averaging and Instrumental Variable Estimation with Many Weak Instruments 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 26
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 3 347 0 1 5 1,135
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 2 427 1 1 4 1,344
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 2 313 0 0 8 1,073
Econometric analyses with backdated data: unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 63 0 0 1 272
Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 61
Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 46 0 1 1 150
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 1 58 0 0 2 142
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 90 0 0 0 192
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 35 0 1 2 194
Endogenous Uncertainty 0 1 1 167 0 1 2 402
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro 0 0 2 62 0 1 3 122
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries 0 0 0 68 0 1 2 149
Ex Post and Ex Ante Analysis of Provisional Data 0 0 0 240 1 1 1 2,046
Explaining the Time-varying Effects Of Oil Market Shocks On U.S. Stock Returns 0 0 0 77 0 0 3 187
Factor Analysis in a Model with Rational Expectations 0 0 1 119 0 0 1 350
Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model 0 0 0 116 0 0 1 477
Factor Based Index Tracking 0 0 0 538 0 0 3 1,318
Factor Based Index Trading 0 0 0 453 0 1 2 1,345
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 161 0 1 1 498
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 191 0 0 0 530
Factor analysis in a New-Keynesian model 0 0 0 198 0 2 3 559
Factor based identification-robust inference in IV regressions 0 0 0 47 0 0 3 93
Factor forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 176 1 4 6 590
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 1 1 4 1 3 4 25
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 0 23 0 1 3 109
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 0 0 1 144 1 1 5 420
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1 0 0 0 93 0 2 5 401
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP 1 1 2 219 1 2 3 715
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP 1 2 2 201 1 2 4 704
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 1 1 200 0 1 2 520
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 3 362 0 4 12 927
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 175 0 0 0 353
Firm Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: a Functional VAR model 3 4 30 30 4 8 55 55
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 436
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD, and EC 0 0 1 172 0 1 4 590
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 289 0 0 1 804
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 1 200 0 3 5 649
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 1 0 2 5 349
Forecast Pooling for Short Time Series of Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 274 0 1 3 879
Forecast pooling for short time series of macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 421 0 1 8 1,573
Forecasting EMU Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 302 0 0 1 1,848
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 325 0 0 2 1,810
Forecasting Euro-Area Variables with German Pre-EMU Data 0 0 0 54 0 1 1 301
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 174 0 1 8 420
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 11 0 2 5 41
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 75 0 0 2 267
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 1 1 10 1 3 5 46
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 1 2 38 1 2 4 141
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 144 0 2 2 310
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 1 1 63 0 1 5 214
Forecasting Large Datasets with Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 12
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 1 219 0 0 1 636
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 1 127 1 2 6 689
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 141 0 0 4 554
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables for the Acceding Countries 0 0 1 120 0 0 2 578
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 2 3 5 33 2 5 11 62
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 1 1 31 0 2 5 91
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 1 122 0 2 6 112
Forecasting economic activity with higher frequency targeted predictors 0 2 2 153 1 3 6 256
Forecasting euro-area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 55 1 1 3 196
Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union 0 0 0 192 0 0 4 706
Forecasting the COVID-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 5
Forecasting the Covid-19 Recession and Recovery: Lessons from the Financial Crisis 0 0 0 127 0 0 0 274
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 24 0 0 3 63
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 30 2 3 3 57
Forecasting with Dynamic Models using Shrinkage-based Estimation 0 0 2 3 0 0 2 17
Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 204 0 0 4 366
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 101 0 0 0 233
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 1 61 0 1 3 231
Forecasting with Large Unbalanced Datasets: The Mixed-Frequency Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 3 169 1 1 10 308
Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs 0 0 0 48 0 0 3 90
Further Results on MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 62 1 2 3 477
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 2 3 0 0 3 7
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 1 1 1 153 1 2 6 99
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 43 1 2 2 79
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis? 0 0 0 91 1 1 4 213
Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis? 0 0 0 114 1 1 11 253
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 144 0 0 1 529
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models:A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 348 0 0 1 1,051
Inflation, Attention and Expectations 1 4 11 11 1 7 21 21
Inflation, Attention and Expectations 0 0 15 15 2 4 32 32
Instability and Non-Linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 100 0 1 2 332
Instability and non-linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 122 0 2 2 538
Interpolation and Backdating with A Large Information Set 0 0 1 97 0 0 4 346
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 0 129 0 0 2 426
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 8
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 1 36 0 0 2 51
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 1 1 0 0 4 4
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 75
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 0 112 0 0 2 635
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 0 152 1 1 2 992
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs: A Non-Parametric Approach 1 1 2 87 1 2 7 127
Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 38
Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors 0 0 0 206 0 0 4 376
Large time-varying parameter VARs: a non-parametric approach 0 1 2 123 0 1 8 185
Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 0 343 0 1 4 1,058
Leading Indicators for Euro-area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 3 670 0 1 10 1,849
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 1 234 0 1 2 475
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 385 1 1 3 629
Linear Aggregation with Common Trends and Cycles 0 0 0 63 0 0 3 222
MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 2 7 456 1 6 19 1,129
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 0 0 120 0 0 6 485
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 1 1 134 0 2 2 416
Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks 0 1 28 28 0 3 28 28
Macro Uncertainty in the Long Run 0 1 2 5 0 1 4 13
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 0 1 67 0 0 4 59
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 0 0 6 0 1 5 23
Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information 0 0 5 683 0 0 7 1,836
Macroeconomic activity and risk indicators: an unstable relationship 0 0 0 55 1 1 1 53
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 178 1 2 5 458
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 145
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 32
Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models 0 0 2 127 0 1 8 286
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 0 26 0 2 3 119
Markov-switching MIDAS models 0 1 1 116 1 2 7 468
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter 0 0 0 33 1 3 5 102
Mean Group Instrumental Variable Estimation of Time-Varying Large Heterogeneous Panels with Endogenous Regressors 0 0 1 17 0 1 6 19
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 31
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 1 2 58 2 5 10 131
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 1 3 77 3 5 18 154
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 1 2 202 0 2 8 360
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 0 79 0 1 4 120
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 1 34 0 0 8 108
Mixed frequency structural VARs 0 0 1 196 0 1 4 339
Mixed frequency structural models: estimation, and policy analysis 0 0 0 124 0 2 4 200
Model Selection for Non-Linear Dynamic Models 0 0 1 236 0 0 1 666
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area 0 0 3 305 0 0 5 642
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the euro Area 0 0 0 134 0 4 10 392
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland, and the UK 0 0 0 333 0 2 3 1,479
Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs 0 0 0 122 0 2 4 213
Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes 0 0 0 101 0 1 1 403
No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 72 0 1 3 143
No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 44 0 1 4 43
Nonparametric Time Varying IV-SVARs: Estimation and Inference 1 3 21 21 4 7 25 25
Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency 0 0 2 39 0 1 10 100
Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators 0 0 0 96 2 4 8 233
Nowcasting distributions: a functional MIDAS model 1 4 48 48 2 6 69 69
Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes 1 1 4 38 4 6 24 51
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price setting 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 71
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 71 0 3 3 230
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 36 0 0 2 130
On the importance of sectoral shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 55
Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables 0 0 13 13 1 5 36 36
Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables 2 9 36 36 7 19 54 54
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 75 0 0 1 182
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 0 33 0 1 3 89
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 14 1 2 5 85
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 2 40 0 0 3 67
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 1 84 1 2 11 187
Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP 0 0 0 122 0 0 2 318
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP 0 0 1 83 0 2 3 287
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP 1 1 1 87 1 1 2 261
Pooling-based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 80 0 1 2 302
Pooling-based data interpolation and backdating 0 0 0 64 0 1 1 326
Principal components at work: The empirical analysis of monetary policy with large datasets 0 0 1 792 0 0 4 2,351
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 1 1 2 460 1 2 4 1,229
Real time estimates of the euro area output gap: reliability and forecasting performance 0 0 3 153 2 2 9 464
Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 0 74 0 1 2 246
Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 1 1 4 232 2 2 7 464
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-Off 0 0 0 39 0 2 3 166
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-off 0 0 0 46 0 0 3 54
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the US 0 0 1 6 0 3 5 61
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area and a Comparison with the US 0 1 1 126 0 2 3 334
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 1 13 0 0 2 84
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 1 202 1 1 6 715
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 1 3 13 0 1 7 30
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 1 3 3 5 11 17 17
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 102 1 1 1 540
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 12
Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 1 52 0 0 3 251
Selecting predictors by using Bayesian model averaging in bridge models 0 0 1 71 0 1 3 189
Shadow-rate VARs 1 1 8 36 1 1 21 74
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 0 0 172 0 0 2 420
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 0 2 407 0 0 7 876
Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 251 0 1 1 995
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-Economic Data 0 0 0 438 0 4 6 1,062
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-economic Data 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 478
Some Stylized Facts on Non-Systematic Fiscal Policy in the Euro Area 0 0 0 115 0 1 2 436
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 1 2 358 0 3 4 964
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 0 0 7 80 0 1 14 80
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 3 3 15 15 4 6 33 34
Stochastic Processes Subject to Time-Scale Transformations: An Application to High-Frequency FX Data 0 0 0 164 0 0 3 774
Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models 0 0 2 87 1 1 4 122
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large-scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 0 90 0 0 1 187
Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators 0 0 1 72 0 0 1 202
Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators 0 0 1 38 0 0 1 166
TFP, Costs, and Public Infrastructure: An Equivocal Relationship 0 1 3 397 0 1 3 1,033
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 0 78 0 1 4 91
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 2 6 1 1 10 20
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 1 1 1 123 1 2 4 135
Temporal Disaggregation, Missing Observations, Outliers, and Forecasting: A Unifying Non-Model Based Procedures 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 320
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 309 0 0 0 615
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 471 0 2 3 1,589
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time-Varying FAVAR 0 0 0 76 0 0 3 256
The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty 1 3 9 9 2 5 19 19
The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 17 0 0 1 85
The Global Component of Inflation Volatility 0 0 0 41 3 4 10 161
The Multiscale Causal Dynamics of Foreign Exchange Markets 0 0 1 65 0 2 5 168
The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 167
The Role of Search Frictions and Bargaining for Inflation Dynamics 0 0 0 41 0 0 1 175
The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World 0 0 0 134 0 0 0 499
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 1 1 179 0 5 10 357
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 89
The changing international transmission of financial shocks: evidence from a classical time-varying FAVAR 1 1 1 281 2 3 10 679
The demand and supply of information about inflation 0 0 1 30 0 0 16 69
The demand and supply of information about inflation 0 0 1 20 2 2 5 32
The economic drivers of volatility and uncertainty 0 0 0 68 1 1 2 117
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 12 0 2 4 15
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 25 0 1 3 64
The global component of inflation volatility 0 2 3 150 0 2 5 377
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 0 214 0 0 1 527
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages 0 1 1 60 0 2 5 187
Time Varying Three Pass Regression Filter 0 0 11 12 1 2 24 25
Time variation in macro-financial linkages 0 1 1 173 0 3 6 434
Time-Scale Transformations of Discrete-Time Processes 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 18
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 1 50 0 2 9 73
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 0 40 0 1 2 99
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 1 2 100 0 3 10 330
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 0 12 585 4 11 46 2,033
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 1 1 1 54 1 2 7 111
Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 1 23 0 1 2 56
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 0 0 1 141 0 1 11 231
Wages, Prices, Productivity, Inflation and Unemployment in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 1 702 0 2 4 2,895
interpolation with a large information set 0 0 0 55 0 1 2 254
the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap 0 0 0 53 0 1 2 159
Total Working Papers 36 99 561 36,529 135 432 1,789 107,056
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Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Credibility Proxy: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 1 3 103 0 3 11 278
A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market 0 0 0 309 0 0 1 915
A SHRINKAGE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR FOR LARGE DATASETS 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 48
A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series 2 2 10 423 5 22 101 1,242
A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK 0 0 1 57 1 1 3 160
A comparison of mixed frequency approaches for nowcasting Euro area macroeconomic aggregates 2 4 9 185 5 8 22 388
A daily indicator of economic growth for the euro area 0 0 3 46 0 1 9 116
A linear benchmark for forecasting GDP growth and inflation? 0 0 1 195 0 0 7 529
A macroeconometric model for the Euro economy 0 0 1 139 0 0 3 361
A parametric estimation method for dynamic factor models of large dimensions 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 152
A similarity‐based approach for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 28 0 1 7 106
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 3 4 7 8 5 14 57 68
Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth? 0 0 3 204 0 0 8 552
Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects 0 2 4 30 1 4 6 85
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 0 7 124 0 1 15 334
Bayesian neural networks for macroeconomic analysis 0 1 1 1 1 7 10 10
Blended identification in structural VARs 1 2 7 10 3 6 30 37
Business Cycles in the New EU Member Countries and their Conformity with the Euro Area 0 0 0 80 0 2 6 219
CAN MACHINE LEARNING CATCH THE COVID-19 RECESSION? 0 1 2 16 2 4 6 34
Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 2 4 11 11 4 9 34 38
Classical time varying factor-augmented vector auto-regressive models—estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 2 76 0 1 4 164
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 56 2 8 15 167
Cross-sectional averaging and instrumental variable estimation with many weak instruments 1 1 1 34 1 3 4 100
Dating Business Cycles: A Methodological Contribution with an Application to the Euro Area 0 0 1 195 1 1 5 565
EUROMIND: a monthly indicator of the euro area economic conditions 0 0 0 0 2 6 23 231
Econometric analyses with backdated data: Unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 19 0 1 3 124
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 1 27 0 1 2 100
EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 67
Explaining the time-varying effects of oil market shocks on US stock returns 0 0 0 42 0 2 2 133
Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged‐Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 0 4 11 212 3 8 39 521
Factor analysis in a model with rational expectations 0 0 0 79 0 0 3 427
Factor based index tracking 0 1 3 160 0 1 5 403
Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments 0 0 3 104 0 0 8 235
Factor‐Based Identification‐Robust Interference in IV Regressions 0 0 1 11 0 1 3 40
Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 12 0 0 2 681
Forecast Bias and MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 10
Forecast Pooling for European Macroeconomic Variables 1 1 1 33 1 3 6 174
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 141 0 0 2 555
Forecasting economic activity by Bayesian bridge model averaging 0 0 2 40 0 2 6 110
Forecasting economic activity with targeted predictors 0 1 3 73 1 4 6 163
Forecasting euro area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 44 0 0 3 150
Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR 0 0 3 287 1 3 9 788
Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian vector autoregressions 0 1 2 140 0 5 8 355
Forecasting gross domestic product growth with large unbalanced data sets: the mixed frequency three‐pass regression filter 0 0 2 47 0 0 8 105
Forecasting inflation and GDP growth using heuristic optimisation of information criteria and variable reduction methods 1 1 1 24 1 2 5 74
Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 144
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 10 1 1 2 29
Forecasting with a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union 0 0 0 33 1 1 7 111
Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models 0 1 3 90 0 4 16 239
Forecasting with shadow rate VARs 0 0 0 0 5 6 6 6
Foreword 0 0 0 6 0 1 1 43
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 0 0 1 4 12 12
Guest Editors’ Introduction to Special Issue on Encompassing 0 0 0 14 2 4 4 65
Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 15 0 0 3 104
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 1 77 0 1 2 223
Introduction to advances in business cycle analysis and forecasting 0 0 0 43 0 0 1 117
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Nonparametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 5
LSM: A DSGE model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 49 2 3 7 197
Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors 0 2 16 166 0 7 39 472
Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach 0 0 2 17 0 2 9 86
Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth* 0 0 1 251 1 2 9 888
Linear aggregation with common trends and cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 2 82
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 1 2 10 192 3 9 29 714
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 0 3 70 2 3 12 332
MIXED‐FREQUENCY STRUCTURAL MODELS: IDENTIFICATION, ESTIMATION, AND POLICY ANALYSIS 0 0 1 26 1 2 3 74
MODELING HIGH-FREQUENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE DATA DYNAMICS 0 0 1 19 0 0 2 75
Machine learning the macroeconomic effects of financial shocks 1 1 5 5 2 2 6 6
Macro uncertainty in the long run 0 1 2 3 1 2 3 6
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 2 40 1 1 6 154
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context 0 1 3 16 1 3 6 37
Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information 0 0 1 335 0 2 7 837
Markov-Switching MIDAS Models 0 3 6 212 0 6 17 724
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 1 36 1 3 8 112
Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models 1 1 2 87 2 3 11 319
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 4 17 200 5 12 55 618
Mixed frequency structural vector auto-regressive models 0 0 0 47 0 0 0 109
Mixed‐frequency models with moving‐average components 0 0 1 13 0 1 6 58
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 0 31 0 2 4 132
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area* 0 0 0 86 0 0 3 280
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK 0 0 0 60 0 3 3 206
Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs 0 0 1 70 0 5 15 233
NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY 1 1 3 27 2 5 11 81
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency 0 3 10 33 0 5 21 81
No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 7 1 3 4 32
On the Importance of Sectoral and Regional Shocks for Price‐Setting 0 0 0 20 0 1 2 119
POOLING VERSUS MODEL SELECTION FOR NOWCASTING GDP WITH MANY PREDICTORS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR SIX INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 183
Path forecast evaluation 0 0 2 65 1 2 8 266
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time varying parameter models 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 61
Pooling‐Based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 12 1 2 2 89
Predicting Tail-Risks for the Italian Economy 0 1 1 1 2 4 4 4
Principal components at work: the empirical analysis of monetary policy with large data sets 0 0 1 456 1 2 11 1,345
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 0 0 0 1 2 12 307
ROBUST DECISION THEORY AND THE LUCAS CRITIQUE 0 0 0 11 0 0 3 69
Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 0 1 49 0 0 4 213
Regime switches in the risk–return trade-off 0 0 1 33 0 1 5 118
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the United States 0 0 0 3 0 2 4 11
Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 83
Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility 0 0 3 47 0 3 10 155
Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 1 165 0 0 1 848
Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Empirical Analysis 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 545
Some cautions on the use of panel methods for integrated series of macroeconomic data 0 0 0 285 0 1 5 796
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 0 103 0 0 2 260
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 0 1 2 2 0 1 10 10
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models 1 1 1 26 1 2 3 86
Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models 0 0 1 44 0 3 7 204
Survey data as coincident or leading indicators 0 0 0 58 0 0 1 176
TAIL FORECASTING WITH MULTIVARIATE BAYESIAN ADDITIVE REGRESSION TREES 0 0 1 8 1 1 5 27
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 1 1 4 20 1 7 11 84
Testing for PPP: Should we use panel methods? 0 0 0 364 0 0 3 1,058
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time‐Varying FAVAR 0 0 3 72 0 1 12 214
The effects of the monetary policy stance on the transmission mechanism 0 1 12 124 0 2 20 262
The global component of inflation volatility 0 1 2 11 0 1 6 34
The multiscale causal dynamics of foreign exchange markets 1 2 3 53 3 4 7 185
The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap 0 1 2 90 1 4 9 350
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 1 175 0 0 4 534
Time Variation in Macro‐Financial Linkages 0 1 2 29 2 5 7 120
Time-varying instrumental variable estimation 0 1 3 19 0 3 6 60
Time‐scale transformations of discrete time processes 0 0 2 32 0 0 13 258
Unrestricted mixed data sampling (MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 0 6 157 0 2 20 408
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 1 2 10 107 2 6 17 407
Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty 0 1 2 30 1 6 11 80
Total Journal Articles 21 65 268 8,986 95 318 1,135 30,186
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 0 17 0 0 4 70
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 1 1 2 2 1 1 8 8
Chapter 4 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 7
Leading Indicators 0 1 3 319 1 2 8 758
Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply 0 1 2 4 0 1 6 18
Non-linearity and Instability in the Euro Area 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5
TEMPORAL DISAGGREGATION, MISSING OBSERVATIONS, OUTLIERS, AND FORECASTING 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
Total Chapters 1 3 7 342 3 5 37 869
5 registered items for which data could not be found


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