Access Statistics for Massimiliano Marcellino

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 1 252 1 2 6 730
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 0 582 1 6 9 1,701
A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 1 5 1 2 5 30
A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 27
A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables 1 2 8 155 3 8 19 288
A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market 0 0 0 571 5 5 6 1,544
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 1 57 1 2 4 173
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 1 1 3 44 3 3 5 175
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 1 91 1 3 12 318
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 1 218 2 2 4 468
A Parametric Estimation Method for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 0 188 0 1 4 619
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 3 5 5 5 22
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 1 8 2 2 4 42
A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting 0 0 1 62 3 4 9 107
A Simple Benchmark for Forecasts of Growth and Inflation 0 0 0 190 2 3 4 601
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 1 3 7 282 4 8 19 608
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 1 1 5 162 4 6 17 356
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 0 37 3 4 7 93
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 2 117 2 6 17 244
Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility 0 1 4 45 2 5 20 110
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 4 206 2 3 19 234
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 0 4 155 3 9 15 249
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 1 1 119 2 3 4 274
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for U.S. Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 0 575 2 3 8 2,414
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for US Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 0 304 1 1 4 1,000
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 1 51 1 2 6 77
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 15 3 3 5 44
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 67 2 3 7 126
Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers 1 4 13 20 4 10 29 37
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 2 133 6 8 17 59
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 1 2 5 8 15 19
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 1 3 186 0 3 9 438
Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy 1 2 4 433 3 9 25 685
Bayesian modelling of VAR precision matrices using stochastic block networks 0 0 2 14 1 5 11 18
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 4 10 30 1 8 22 67
Big Data Econometrics: Now Casting and Early Estimates 1 1 7 210 1 3 17 286
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 0 2 66 1 3 10 54
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 0 2 8 4 4 10 27
Boosting the Forecasting Power of Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models to Account for Covid-19 Outbreaks 0 0 1 87 1 4 7 61
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 1 2 2 0 2 3 16
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 25 2 2 3 106
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 44 0 1 8 76
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 8 1 2 5 33
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 2 213 2 5 14 331
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 7 17 0 0 17 54
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 312 3 4 6 705
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 196 1 1 2 533
Characterizing the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 175 1 3 3 546
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 0 114 1 1 2 354
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 1 5 665 1 3 21 1,568
Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification 0 0 1 35 0 1 3 28
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 116 2 3 8 270
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 40 0 0 2 146
Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 98 3 3 9 282
Cross-sectional Averaging and Instrumental Variable Estimation with Many Weak Instruments 0 0 0 6 2 2 3 28
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 2 347 3 3 7 1,138
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 1 313 0 2 6 1,075
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 1 427 4 6 8 1,349
Econometric analyses with backdated data: unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 63 1 1 2 273
Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts 0 0 0 8 2 2 3 63
Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 46 2 3 4 153
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 1 58 2 2 4 144
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 90 3 3 3 195
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 35 0 0 1 194
Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 1 167 2 2 4 404
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro 0 0 1 62 1 1 3 123
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries 0 0 0 68 4 5 7 154
Ex Post and Ex Ante Analysis of Provisional Data 0 0 0 240 1 2 2 2,047
Explaining the Time-varying Effects Of Oil Market Shocks On U.S. Stock Returns 0 0 0 77 2 3 6 190
Factor Analysis in a Model with Rational Expectations 0 0 1 119 3 4 5 354
Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model 0 0 0 116 2 2 3 479
Factor Based Index Tracking 0 0 0 538 4 4 6 1,322
Factor Based Index Trading 0 0 0 453 2 3 5 1,348
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 191 1 2 2 532
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 161 0 2 3 500
Factor analysis in a New-Keynesian model 0 0 0 198 0 1 4 560
Factor based identification-robust inference in IV regressions 1 1 1 48 1 1 3 94
Factor forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 176 2 4 9 593
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 0 23 2 2 5 111
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 1 4 1 3 6 27
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 0 0 1 144 9 11 14 430
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1 0 0 0 93 2 5 10 406
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP 1 2 2 220 2 4 5 718
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP 0 1 2 201 1 4 5 707
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 175 2 2 2 355
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 2 362 2 3 13 930
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 1 200 2 2 4 522
Firm Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: a Functional VAR model 1 5 25 32 3 11 37 62
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 438
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD, and EC 0 0 1 172 3 4 7 594
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 200 1 1 4 650
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 349
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 289 1 2 3 806
Forecast Pooling for Short Time Series of Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 274 0 0 3 879
Forecast pooling for short time series of macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 421 0 0 7 1,573
Forecasting EMU Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 302 1 1 2 1,849
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 325 1 1 2 1,811
Forecasting Euro-Area Variables with German Pre-EMU Data 0 0 0 54 0 0 1 301
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 11 1 1 6 42
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 174 0 1 7 421
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 75 4 4 5 271
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 10 0 2 6 47
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 2 38 1 3 5 143
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 144 5 7 9 317
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 1 63 0 2 7 216
Forecasting Large Datasets with Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 14
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 141 0 1 3 555
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 1 127 0 6 11 694
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 219 2 5 5 641
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables for the Acceding Countries 0 0 0 120 2 2 3 580
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 1 122 2 2 6 114
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 1 31 0 2 7 93
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 2 5 33 0 4 11 64
Forecasting economic activity with higher frequency targeted predictors 0 0 2 153 0 1 6 256
Forecasting euro-area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 55 0 1 3 196
Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union 0 0 0 192 0 1 4 707
Forecasting the COVID-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 6
Forecasting the Covid-19 Recession and Recovery: Lessons from the Financial Crisis 0 0 0 127 2 2 2 276
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 24 1 1 4 64
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 30 1 5 6 60
Forecasting with Dynamic Models using Shrinkage-based Estimation 0 0 1 3 5 5 6 22
Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 204 3 5 9 371
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 1 1 102 1 2 2 235
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 1 2 62 0 1 4 232
Forecasting with Large Unbalanced Datasets: The Mixed-Frequency Three-Pass Regression Filter 1 2 5 171 2 4 11 311
Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs 0 0 0 48 2 4 7 94
Further Results on MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 62 1 3 5 479
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 2 3 0 0 3 7
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 1 1 153 1 5 8 103
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 43 0 3 4 81
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis? 0 0 0 91 3 5 7 217
Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis? 0 0 0 114 9 12 18 264
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 144 1 1 2 530
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models:A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 348 3 5 6 1,056
Inflation, Attention and Expectations 0 3 13 13 1 5 25 25
Inflation, Attention and Expectations 0 1 16 16 3 6 36 36
Instability and Non-Linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 100 3 4 6 336
Instability and non-linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 122 0 0 2 538
Interpolation and Backdating with A Large Information Set 0 0 1 97 0 1 4 347
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 0 129 3 4 6 430
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 1 36 1 2 4 53
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 1 1 2 2 4 6 12
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 1 1 3 4 8 8
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 18
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 75
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 1 1 153 1 5 6 996
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 0 112 0 0 0 635
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs: A Non-Parametric Approach 0 1 2 87 5 7 12 133
Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors 0 0 0 6 0 1 2 39
Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors 0 0 0 206 4 5 9 381
Large time-varying parameter VARs: a non-parametric approach 0 0 2 123 2 2 8 187
Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 0 343 3 3 7 1,061
Leading Indicators for Euro-area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 2 670 3 3 9 1,852
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 385 1 2 4 630
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 1 1 1 235 1 1 2 476
Linear Aggregation with Common Trends and Cycles 0 0 0 63 1 1 4 223
MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 0 7 456 3 6 23 1,134
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 0 0 120 0 1 6 486
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 1 1 2 135 3 4 6 420
Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks 0 0 28 28 1 2 30 30
Macro Uncertainty in the Long Run 0 0 1 5 0 1 4 14
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 1 1 1 7 3 3 8 26
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 1 1 68 4 6 9 65
Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information 0 0 5 683 4 5 12 1,841
Macroeconomic activity and risk indicators: an unstable relationship 0 0 0 55 4 5 5 57
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 178 7 8 10 465
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 145
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 0 2 4 6 36
Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models 0 0 2 127 2 3 11 289
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 1 1 1 27 1 1 4 120
Markov-switching MIDAS models 0 2 3 118 2 7 11 474
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter 0 0 0 33 2 5 9 106
Mean Group Instrumental Variable Estimation of Time-Varying Large Heterogeneous Panels with Endogenous Regressors 0 0 0 17 2 2 5 21
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 1 1 12 0 1 1 32
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 0 1 58 1 3 9 132
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 3 77 6 12 23 163
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 2 202 0 4 10 364
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 0 79 2 2 5 122
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 1 34 1 1 8 109
Mixed frequency structural VARs 0 0 1 196 1 1 5 340
Mixed frequency structural models: estimation, and policy analysis 0 0 0 124 1 2 6 202
Model Selection for Non-Linear Dynamic Models 0 0 1 236 1 1 2 667
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area 0 0 2 305 3 3 6 645
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the euro Area 0 0 0 134 3 4 14 396
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland, and the UK 0 0 0 333 0 1 4 1,480
Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs 0 0 0 122 2 2 6 215
Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes 0 0 0 101 1 1 2 404
No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 72 1 2 5 145
No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 44 3 4 7 47
Nonparametric Time Varying IV-SVARs: Estimation and Inference 0 1 21 21 3 8 29 29
Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency 0 0 2 39 1 1 9 101
Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators 0 1 1 97 2 6 11 237
Nowcasting distributions: a functional MIDAS model 0 2 42 49 2 6 58 73
Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes 0 1 3 38 3 10 26 57
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price setting 0 0 0 18 2 5 6 76
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 36 0 0 2 130
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 71 1 1 4 231
On the importance of sectoral shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 7 1 1 2 56
Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables 0 0 13 13 0 4 39 39
Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables 1 5 39 39 7 22 69 69
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 14 0 1 5 85
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 75 0 0 1 182
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 0 33 3 3 6 92
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 2 40 2 2 4 69
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 1 84 3 5 11 191
Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP 0 0 0 122 1 1 3 319
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP 0 0 1 83 2 2 5 289
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP 0 2 2 88 1 3 4 263
Pooling-based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 80 2 4 6 306
Pooling-based data interpolation and backdating 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 326
Principal components at work: The empirical analysis of monetary policy with large datasets 0 0 1 792 0 0 4 2,351
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 1 2 460 3 8 11 1,236
Real time estimates of the euro area output gap: reliability and forecasting performance 0 0 3 153 0 5 10 467
Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 0 74 3 4 6 250
Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 1 4 232 5 11 15 473
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-Off 0 0 0 39 0 0 3 166
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-off 0 0 0 46 1 2 5 56
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the US 0 0 1 6 1 1 6 62
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area and a Comparison with the US 1 1 2 127 1 2 5 336
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 1 13 5 6 8 90
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 0 202 1 4 6 718
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 0 3 3 1 8 20 20
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 0 2 13 2 4 9 34
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 13
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 102 0 2 2 541
Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 1 52 1 1 4 252
Selecting predictors by using Bayesian model averaging in bridge models 0 0 1 71 0 0 3 189
Shadow-rate VARs 0 1 7 36 1 5 24 78
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 2 4 409 1 9 15 885
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 0 0 172 2 7 9 427
Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 251 3 4 5 999
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-Economic Data 0 0 0 438 2 4 10 1,066
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-economic Data 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 479
Some Stylized Facts on Non-Systematic Fiscal Policy in the Euro Area 0 0 0 115 1 1 3 437
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 2 358 3 4 8 968
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 0 0 5 80 0 2 14 82
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 0 4 13 16 5 11 35 41
Stochastic Processes Subject to Time-Scale Transformations: An Application to High-Frequency FX Data 0 0 0 164 0 1 4 775
Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models 0 0 1 87 0 1 3 122
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large-scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 0 90 1 1 2 188
Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators 0 0 1 72 3 3 4 205
Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators 0 0 1 38 2 2 3 168
TFP, Costs, and Public Infrastructure: An Equivocal Relationship 0 0 2 397 3 7 9 1,040
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 0 78 2 3 7 94
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 2 6 2 3 8 22
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 1 1 123 0 1 3 135
Temporal Disaggregation, Missing Observations, Outliers, and Forecasting: A Unifying Non-Model Based Procedures 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 321
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 309 0 2 2 617
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 471 4 5 8 1,594
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time-Varying FAVAR 0 0 0 76 1 2 4 258
The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty 0 3 9 11 2 6 16 23
The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 17 1 2 3 87
The Global Component of Inflation Volatility 0 1 1 42 0 4 11 162
The Multiscale Causal Dynamics of Foreign Exchange Markets 1 1 2 66 2 2 7 170
The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 32 1 2 2 169
The Role of Search Frictions and Bargaining for Inflation Dynamics 0 0 0 41 2 2 2 177
The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World 0 0 0 134 5 5 5 504
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 1 179 2 4 14 361
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 0 29 1 4 5 93
The changing international transmission of financial shocks: evidence from a classical time-varying FAVAR 0 1 1 281 2 6 11 683
The demand and supply of information about inflation 0 1 2 21 2 6 8 36
The demand and supply of information about inflation 0 1 2 31 0 1 7 70
The economic drivers of volatility and uncertainty 0 0 0 68 2 5 6 121
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 25 1 1 3 65
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 12 1 2 6 17
The global component of inflation volatility 0 0 3 150 6 7 12 384
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 0 214 0 0 1 527
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages 0 0 1 60 0 0 4 187
Time Varying Three Pass Regression Filter 1 2 12 14 3 6 27 30
Time variation in macro-financial linkages 0 1 2 174 2 4 10 438
Time-Scale Transformations of Discrete-Time Processes 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 18
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 0 40 1 3 5 102
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 1 50 5 6 15 79
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 1 3 11 588 7 16 47 2,045
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 1 1 3 101 3 4 13 334
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 0 1 1 54 1 5 9 115
Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 1 23 1 1 3 57
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 0 0 0 141 1 2 8 233
Wages, Prices, Productivity, Inflation and Unemployment in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 702 0 0 3 2,895
interpolation with a large information set 0 0 0 55 0 0 2 254
the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap 0 0 0 53 0 3 5 162
Total Working Papers 21 93 532 36,586 491 932 2,297 107,853
11 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Credibility Proxy: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 2 103 1 2 11 280
A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market 0 0 0 309 1 4 5 919
A SHRINKAGE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR FOR LARGE DATASETS 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 49
A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series 1 4 10 425 15 37 94 1,274
A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK 1 1 1 58 3 4 5 163
A comparison of mixed frequency approaches for nowcasting Euro area macroeconomic aggregates 2 5 12 188 3 10 25 393
A daily indicator of economic growth for the euro area 1 1 4 47 2 2 11 118
A linear benchmark for forecasting GDP growth and inflation? 0 0 1 195 4 8 14 537
A macroeconometric model for the Euro economy 0 0 0 139 0 1 2 362
A parametric estimation method for dynamic factor models of large dimensions 0 0 0 64 2 3 4 155
A similarity‐based approach for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 28 0 1 7 107
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 3 7 10 12 8 21 53 84
Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth? 0 0 1 204 3 3 8 555
Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects 0 0 4 30 2 3 8 87
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 2 2 9 126 5 9 21 343
Bayesian neural networks for macroeconomic analysis 1 1 2 2 9 13 22 22
Blended identification in structural VARs 0 1 5 10 2 9 26 43
Business Cycles in the New EU Member Countries and their Conformity with the Euro Area 0 0 0 80 3 4 10 223
CAN MACHINE LEARNING CATCH THE COVID-19 RECESSION? 0 0 2 16 1 3 7 35
Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 2 7 11 10 14 38 48
Classical time varying factor-augmented vector auto-regressive models—estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 1 1 3 77 2 3 6 167
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 1 1 2 57 4 9 20 174
Cross-sectional averaging and instrumental variable estimation with many weak instruments 0 1 1 34 1 4 7 103
Dating Business Cycles: A Methodological Contribution with an Application to the Euro Area 0 0 1 195 2 4 6 568
EUROMIND: a monthly indicator of the euro area economic conditions 0 0 0 0 3 6 19 235
Econometric analyses with backdated data: Unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 19 0 1 4 125
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 27 0 0 1 100
EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 67
Explaining the time-varying effects of oil market shocks on US stock returns 0 0 0 42 0 0 2 133
Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged‐Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 1 2 12 214 4 10 38 528
Factor analysis in a model with rational expectations 0 0 0 79 1 4 6 431
Factor based index tracking 0 1 4 161 1 3 7 406
Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments 0 0 2 104 4 7 12 242
Factor‐Based Identification‐Robust Interference in IV Regressions 0 0 1 11 1 1 4 41
Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 12 1 3 5 684
Forecast Bias and MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 13
Forecast Pooling for European Macroeconomic Variables 0 1 1 33 1 2 7 175
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 141 4 5 7 560
Forecasting economic activity by Bayesian bridge model averaging 0 0 1 40 0 0 5 110
Forecasting economic activity with targeted predictors 0 1 4 74 0 3 8 165
Forecasting euro area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 44 0 2 4 152
Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR 0 0 3 287 1 5 12 792
Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian vector autoregressions 0 0 2 140 3 5 12 360
Forecasting gross domestic product growth with large unbalanced data sets: the mixed frequency three‐pass regression filter 0 0 2 47 0 0 6 105
Forecasting inflation and GDP growth using heuristic optimisation of information criteria and variable reduction methods 0 2 2 25 1 3 6 76
Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 145
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 10 2 3 4 31
Forecasting with a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union 0 0 0 33 0 1 5 111
Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models 1 2 4 92 1 3 14 242
Forecasting with shadow rate VARs 0 0 0 0 6 13 14 14
Foreword 0 0 0 6 3 4 5 47
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 1 1 1 1 3 5 16 16
Guest Editors’ Introduction to Special Issue on Encompassing 0 0 0 14 0 3 5 66
Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 15 2 4 6 108
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 1 77 1 3 5 226
Introduction to advances in business cycle analysis and forecasting 0 0 0 43 1 1 1 118
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Nonparametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 0 3 3 7 8
LSM: A DSGE model for Luxembourg 0 1 1 50 0 3 8 198
Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors 0 2 13 168 12 22 51 494
Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach 0 0 1 17 2 2 9 88
Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth* 0 0 1 251 1 4 11 891
Linear aggregation with common trends and cycles 0 0 0 14 0 1 2 83
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 0 3 70 3 6 16 336
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 1 2 9 193 3 10 34 721
MIXED‐FREQUENCY STRUCTURAL MODELS: IDENTIFICATION, ESTIMATION, AND POLICY ANALYSIS 1 1 1 27 1 2 3 75
MODELING HIGH-FREQUENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE DATA DYNAMICS 0 0 0 19 0 1 2 76
Machine learning the macroeconomic effects of financial shocks 0 1 5 5 0 2 6 6
Macro uncertainty in the long run 0 0 2 3 1 2 4 7
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 2 40 1 3 8 156
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context 1 1 4 17 2 5 10 41
Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information 0 0 1 335 2 4 11 841
Markov-Switching MIDAS Models 1 2 6 214 3 5 15 729
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 1 1 2 37 2 3 10 114
Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models 0 2 3 88 1 5 11 322
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 1 5 22 205 6 21 66 634
Mixed frequency structural vector auto-regressive models 0 0 0 47 0 0 0 109
Mixed‐frequency models with moving‐average components 0 1 2 14 0 1 7 59
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 0 31 0 0 4 132
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area* 0 0 0 86 2 2 5 282
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK 0 0 0 60 3 6 9 212
Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs 0 0 0 70 1 1 13 234
NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY 0 1 3 27 2 4 12 83
Nonparametric mixed frequency monitoring macro-at-risk 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency 0 0 9 33 5 7 25 88
No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 7 1 3 5 34
On the Importance of Sectoral and Regional Shocks for Price‐Setting 0 0 0 20 0 0 2 119
POOLING VERSUS MODEL SELECTION FOR NOWCASTING GDP WITH MANY PREDICTORS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR SIX INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 183
Path forecast evaluation 0 0 2 65 1 2 9 267
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time varying parameter models 0 0 0 14 2 4 5 65
Pooling‐Based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 12 2 3 4 91
Predicting Tail-Risks for the Italian Economy 0 0 1 1 2 7 9 9
Principal components at work: the empirical analysis of monetary policy with large data sets 0 0 0 456 1 2 10 1,346
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 0 0 0 3 4 13 310
ROBUST DECISION THEORY AND THE LUCAS CRITIQUE 0 0 0 11 0 1 4 70
Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 0 1 49 2 2 6 215
Regime switches in the risk–return trade-off 0 0 1 33 2 2 6 120
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the United States 0 0 0 3 0 1 5 12
Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 85
Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility 0 0 2 47 4 6 14 161
Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 1 165 3 3 4 851
Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Empirical Analysis 0 0 0 0 4 10 19 554
Some cautions on the use of panel methods for integrated series of macroeconomic data 0 0 0 285 3 4 8 800
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 0 103 0 0 2 260
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 2 3 5 5 6 10 20 20
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models 0 1 1 26 0 3 5 88
Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models 0 1 2 45 1 3 10 207
Survey data as coincident or leading indicators 0 0 0 58 3 5 6 181
TAIL FORECASTING WITH MULTIVARIATE BAYESIAN ADDITIVE REGRESSION TREES 0 0 1 8 1 2 5 28
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 2 3 21 2 4 11 87
Testing for PPP: Should we use panel methods? 0 0 0 364 4 5 8 1,063
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time‐Varying FAVAR 0 0 1 72 4 5 10 219
The effects of the monetary policy stance on the transmission mechanism 0 0 8 124 2 4 18 266
The global component of inflation volatility 0 0 2 11 1 3 9 37
The multiscale causal dynamics of foreign exchange markets 0 1 3 53 0 4 7 186
The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap 0 0 1 90 0 4 11 353
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 1 175 0 1 5 535
Time Variation in Macro‐Financial Linkages 0 0 1 29 0 3 6 121
Time-varying instrumental variable estimation 1 1 3 20 2 3 8 63
Time‐scale transformations of discrete time processes 0 0 2 32 1 1 14 259
Unrestricted mixed data sampling (MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 1 1 5 158 4 6 20 414
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 0 2 9 108 2 9 22 414
Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty 0 0 2 30 2 4 14 83
Total Journal Articles 27 70 267 9,035 254 540 1,364 30,631
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 0 17 1 1 5 71
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 1 2 2 3 5 12 12
Chapter 4 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 0 0 3 8 9
Leading Indicators 2 2 3 321 4 6 10 763
Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply 2 2 3 6 2 3 7 21
Non-linearity and Instability in the Euro Area 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5
TEMPORAL DISAGGREGATION, MISSING OBSERVATIONS, OUTLIERS, AND FORECASTING 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
Total Chapters 4 5 8 346 10 18 47 884
5 registered items for which data could not be found


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