Access Statistics for Massimiliano Marcellino

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 1 252 0 1 5 729
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 0 582 5 5 9 1,700
A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 1 5 0 1 4 29
A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 27
A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables 1 1 7 154 5 5 17 285
A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market 0 0 0 571 0 0 1 1,539
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 1 57 0 1 3 172
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 2 43 0 0 2 172
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 1 218 0 0 2 466
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 1 91 1 4 11 317
A Parametric Estimation Method for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 0 188 1 1 4 619
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 1 8 0 0 2 40
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 17
A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting 0 0 1 62 1 1 7 104
A Simple Benchmark for Forecasts of Growth and Inflation 0 0 0 190 1 1 2 599
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 0 1 4 161 2 4 13 352
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 1 2 6 281 2 7 16 604
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 0 37 0 2 5 90
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 2 117 3 5 16 242
Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility 1 1 4 45 3 4 18 108
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 4 206 1 1 17 232
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 1 1 119 0 1 2 272
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 1 4 155 4 7 13 246
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for U.S. Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 1 575 1 2 7 2,412
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for US Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 0 304 0 0 3 999
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 67 1 3 5 124
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 1 51 1 2 5 76
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 15 0 1 2 41
Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers 0 4 18 19 1 8 30 33
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 2 133 1 2 13 53
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 2 2 2 3 12 14
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 1 3 186 2 4 9 438
Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy 1 1 6 432 4 8 26 682
Bayesian modelling of VAR precision matrices using stochastic block networks 0 0 3 14 3 4 12 17
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 1 4 11 30 4 7 22 66
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2
Big Data Econometrics: Now Casting and Early Estimates 0 1 6 209 1 5 18 285
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 0 2 66 1 2 10 53
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 0 3 8 0 1 8 23
Boosting the Forecasting Power of Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models to Account for Covid-19 Outbreaks 0 0 1 87 3 4 6 60
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 25 0 0 1 104
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 1 2 2 1 2 3 16
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 8 1 2 4 32
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 44 1 4 8 76
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 9 17 0 0 20 54
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 3 213 1 5 13 329
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 196 0 0 1 532
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 312 1 2 3 702
Characterizing the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 175 1 2 2 545
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 0 114 0 0 1 353
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 1 1 5 665 2 2 23 1,567
Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification 0 0 2 35 0 1 4 28
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 40 0 0 2 146
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 116 1 1 6 268
Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 98 0 0 6 279
Cross-sectional Averaging and Instrumental Variable Estimation with Many Weak Instruments 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 26
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 1 313 2 2 7 1,075
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 1 427 1 2 4 1,345
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 2 347 0 1 4 1,135
Econometric analyses with backdated data: unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 63 0 0 1 272
Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 61
Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 46 1 1 2 151
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 1 58 0 0 2 142
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 35 0 0 2 194
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 90 0 0 0 192
Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 1 167 0 0 2 402
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro 0 0 1 62 0 0 2 122
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries 0 0 0 68 1 2 3 150
Ex Post and Ex Ante Analysis of Provisional Data 0 0 0 240 0 1 1 2,046
Explaining the Time-varying Effects Of Oil Market Shocks On U.S. Stock Returns 0 0 0 77 1 1 4 188
Factor Analysis in a Model with Rational Expectations 0 0 1 119 1 1 2 351
Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model 0 0 0 116 0 0 1 477
Factor Based Index Tracking 0 0 0 538 0 0 3 1,318
Factor Based Index Trading 0 0 0 453 1 2 3 1,346
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 191 1 1 1 531
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 161 2 3 3 500
Factor analysis in a New-Keynesian model 0 0 0 198 1 3 4 560
Factor based identification-robust inference in IV regressions 0 0 0 47 0 0 2 93
Factor forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 176 1 5 7 591
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 1 4 1 2 5 26
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 0 23 0 1 3 109
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 0 0 1 144 1 2 5 421
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1 0 0 0 93 3 3 8 404
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP 0 1 1 219 1 2 3 716
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP 0 1 2 201 2 3 4 706
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 1 200 0 0 2 520
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 3 362 1 4 13 928
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 175 0 0 0 353
Firm Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: a Functional VAR model 1 4 31 31 4 9 59 59
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 438
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD, and EC 0 0 1 172 1 2 5 591
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 289 1 1 2 805
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 349
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 1 200 0 0 5 649
Forecast Pooling for Short Time Series of Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 274 0 0 3 879
Forecast pooling for short time series of macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 421 0 0 7 1,573
Forecasting EMU Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 302 0 0 1 1,848
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 325 0 0 2 1,810
Forecasting Euro-Area Variables with German Pre-EMU Data 0 0 0 54 0 1 1 301
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 11 0 1 5 41
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 174 1 1 8 421
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 75 0 0 1 267
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 1 1 10 1 4 6 47
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 1 2 38 1 3 5 142
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 144 2 4 4 312
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 1 63 2 2 7 216
Forecasting Large Datasets with Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 13
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 141 1 1 3 555
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 219 3 3 3 639
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 1 127 5 7 11 694
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables for the Acceding Countries 0 0 0 120 0 0 1 578
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 1 122 0 0 5 112
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 1 1 31 2 3 7 93
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 3 5 33 2 5 13 64
Forecasting economic activity with higher frequency targeted predictors 0 0 2 153 0 1 6 256
Forecasting euro-area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 55 0 1 3 196
Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union 0 0 0 192 1 1 5 707
Forecasting the COVID-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 6
Forecasting the Covid-19 Recession and Recovery: Lessons from the Financial Crisis 0 0 0 127 0 0 0 274
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 24 0 0 3 63
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 30 2 5 5 59
Forecasting with Dynamic Models using Shrinkage-based Estimation 0 0 2 3 0 0 2 17
Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 204 2 2 6 368
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 1 1 1 102 1 1 1 234
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 1 1 2 62 1 2 4 232
Forecasting with Large Unbalanced Datasets: The Mixed-Frequency Three-Pass Regression Filter 1 1 4 170 1 2 11 309
Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs 0 0 0 48 2 2 5 92
Further Results on MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 62 1 2 4 478
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 2 3 0 0 3 7
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 1 1 153 3 5 9 102
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 43 2 4 4 81
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis? 0 0 0 91 1 2 4 214
Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis? 0 0 0 114 2 3 12 255
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 144 0 0 1 529
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models:A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 348 2 2 3 1,053
Inflation, Attention and Expectations 1 1 16 16 1 3 33 33
Inflation, Attention and Expectations 2 5 13 13 3 8 24 24
Instability and Non-Linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 100 1 2 3 333
Instability and non-linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 122 0 2 2 538
Interpolation and Backdating with A Large Information Set 0 0 1 97 1 1 5 347
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 0 129 1 1 3 427
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 1 36 1 1 3 52
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 10
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 1 1 1 1 5 5
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 75
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 1 1 1 153 3 4 5 995
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 0 112 0 0 1 635
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs: A Non-Parametric Approach 0 1 2 87 1 2 7 128
Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors 0 0 0 6 1 1 2 39
Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors 0 0 0 206 1 1 5 377
Large time-varying parameter VARs: a non-parametric approach 0 0 2 123 0 0 7 185
Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 0 343 0 1 4 1,058
Leading Indicators for Euro-area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 2 670 0 0 9 1,849
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 234 0 1 1 475
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 385 0 1 3 629
Linear Aggregation with Common Trends and Cycles 0 0 0 63 0 0 3 222
MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 1 7 456 2 4 20 1,131
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 0 0 120 1 1 6 486
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 0 1 134 1 2 3 417
Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks 0 0 28 28 1 2 29 29
Macro Uncertainty in the Long Run 0 0 1 5 1 1 4 14
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 0 0 6 0 1 5 23
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 1 1 1 68 2 2 5 61
Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information 0 0 5 683 1 1 8 1,837
Macroeconomic activity and risk indicators: an unstable relationship 0 0 0 55 0 1 1 53
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 145
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 178 0 1 4 458
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 0 2 2 4 34
Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models 0 0 2 127 1 2 9 287
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 0 26 0 1 3 119
Markov-switching MIDAS models 2 3 3 118 4 6 9 472
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter 0 0 0 33 2 3 7 104
Mean Group Instrumental Variable Estimation of Time-Varying Large Heterogeneous Panels with Endogenous Regressors 0 0 0 17 0 1 4 19
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 1 1 58 0 3 8 131
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 32
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 2 202 4 5 11 364
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 3 77 3 7 17 157
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 0 79 0 0 3 120
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 1 34 0 0 8 108
Mixed frequency structural VARs 0 0 1 196 0 0 4 339
Mixed frequency structural models: estimation, and policy analysis 0 0 0 124 1 1 5 201
Model Selection for Non-Linear Dynamic Models 0 0 1 236 0 0 1 666
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area 0 0 3 305 0 0 4 642
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the euro Area 0 0 0 134 1 4 11 393
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland, and the UK 0 0 0 333 1 3 4 1,480
Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs 0 0 0 122 0 2 4 213
Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes 0 0 0 101 0 1 1 403
No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 72 1 2 4 144
No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 44 1 2 4 44
Nonparametric Time Varying IV-SVARs: Estimation and Inference 0 3 21 21 1 8 26 26
Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency 0 0 2 39 0 0 10 100
Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators 1 1 1 97 2 5 10 235
Nowcasting distributions: a functional MIDAS model 1 3 49 49 2 6 71 71
Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes 0 1 4 38 3 8 26 54
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price setting 0 0 0 18 3 3 4 74
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 36 0 0 2 130
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 71 0 2 3 230
On the importance of sectoral shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 55
Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables 0 0 13 13 3 4 39 39
Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables 2 5 38 38 8 18 62 62
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 0 33 0 0 3 89
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 14 0 2 5 85
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 75 0 0 1 182
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 1 84 1 2 10 188
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 2 40 0 0 2 67
Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP 0 0 0 122 0 0 2 318
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP 0 0 1 83 0 2 3 287
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP 1 2 2 88 1 2 3 262
Pooling-based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 80 2 2 4 304
Pooling-based data interpolation and backdating 0 0 0 64 0 1 1 326
Principal components at work: The empirical analysis of monetary policy with large datasets 0 0 1 792 0 0 4 2,351
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 1 2 460 4 6 8 1,233
Real time estimates of the euro area output gap: reliability and forecasting performance 0 0 3 153 3 5 10 467
Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 0 74 1 2 3 247
Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 1 4 232 4 6 10 468
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-Off 0 0 0 39 0 1 3 166
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-off 0 0 0 46 1 1 4 55
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the US 0 0 1 6 0 1 5 61
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area and a Comparison with the US 0 0 1 126 1 1 4 335
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 1 13 1 1 3 85
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 0 202 2 3 5 717
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 0 3 3 2 12 19 19
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 1 2 13 2 3 7 32
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 12
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 102 1 2 2 541
Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 1 52 0 0 3 251
Selecting predictors by using Bayesian model averaging in bridge models 0 0 1 71 0 0 3 189
Shadow-rate VARs 0 1 8 36 3 4 24 77
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 2 2 4 409 8 8 15 884
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 0 0 172 5 5 7 425
Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 251 1 2 2 996
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-Economic Data 0 0 0 438 2 5 8 1,064
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-economic Data 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 478
Some Stylized Facts on Non-Systematic Fiscal Policy in the Euro Area 0 0 0 115 0 0 2 436
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 2 358 1 2 5 965
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 0 0 7 80 2 2 16 82
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 1 4 16 16 2 7 35 36
Stochastic Processes Subject to Time-Scale Transformations: An Application to High-Frequency FX Data 0 0 0 164 1 1 4 775
Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models 0 0 1 87 0 1 3 122
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large-scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 0 90 0 0 1 187
Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators 0 0 1 72 0 0 1 202
Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators 0 0 1 38 0 0 1 166
TFP, Costs, and Public Infrastructure: An Equivocal Relationship 0 0 3 397 4 4 7 1,037
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 2 6 0 1 9 20
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 0 78 1 1 5 92
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 1 1 123 0 1 3 135
Temporal Disaggregation, Missing Observations, Outliers, and Forecasting: A Unifying Non-Model Based Procedures 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 321
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 309 2 2 2 617
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 471 1 3 4 1,590
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time-Varying FAVAR 0 0 0 76 1 1 4 257
The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty 2 3 11 11 2 4 21 21
The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 17 1 1 2 86
The Global Component of Inflation Volatility 1 1 1 42 1 5 11 162
The Multiscale Causal Dynamics of Foreign Exchange Markets 0 0 1 65 0 1 5 168
The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 32 1 1 1 168
The Role of Search Frictions and Bargaining for Inflation Dynamics 0 0 0 41 0 0 1 175
The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World 0 0 0 134 0 0 0 499
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 0 29 3 3 4 92
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 1 179 2 3 12 359
The changing international transmission of financial shocks: evidence from a classical time-varying FAVAR 0 1 1 281 2 5 11 681
The demand and supply of information about inflation 1 1 2 21 2 4 6 34
The demand and supply of information about inflation 1 1 2 31 1 1 13 70
The economic drivers of volatility and uncertainty 0 0 0 68 2 3 4 119
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 12 1 2 5 16
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 25 0 0 2 64
The global component of inflation volatility 0 2 3 150 1 3 6 378
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 0 214 0 0 1 527
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages 0 0 1 60 0 0 4 187
Time Varying Three Pass Regression Filter 1 1 11 13 2 3 25 27
Time variation in macro-financial linkages 1 2 2 174 2 4 8 436
Time-Scale Transformations of Discrete-Time Processes 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 18
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 0 40 2 3 4 101
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 1 50 1 1 10 74
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 1 2 100 1 4 11 331
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 2 2 12 587 5 11 44 2,038
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 0 1 1 54 3 4 10 114
Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 1 23 0 0 2 56
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 0 0 1 141 1 2 9 232
Wages, Prices, Productivity, Inflation and Unemployment in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 702 0 1 3 2,895
interpolation with a large information set 0 0 0 55 0 1 2 254
the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap 0 0 0 53 3 4 5 162
Total Working Papers 36 94 560 36,565 306 587 1,966 107,362
11 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Credibility Proxy: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 2 103 1 3 11 279
A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market 0 0 0 309 3 3 4 918
A SHRINKAGE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR FOR LARGE DATASETS 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 49
A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series 1 3 9 424 17 29 96 1,259
A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK 0 0 1 57 0 1 3 160
A comparison of mixed frequency approaches for nowcasting Euro area macroeconomic aggregates 1 5 10 186 2 10 22 390
A daily indicator of economic growth for the euro area 0 0 3 46 0 1 9 116
A linear benchmark for forecasting GDP growth and inflation? 0 0 1 195 4 4 10 533
A macroeconometric model for the Euro economy 0 0 0 139 1 1 2 362
A parametric estimation method for dynamic factor models of large dimensions 0 0 0 64 1 1 2 153
A similarity‐based approach for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 28 1 2 7 107
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 1 4 7 9 8 17 53 76
Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth? 0 0 3 204 0 0 8 552
Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects 0 1 4 30 0 2 6 85
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 0 7 124 4 5 17 338
Bayesian neural networks for macroeconomic analysis 0 1 1 1 3 9 13 13
Blended identification in structural VARs 0 1 6 10 4 7 26 41
Business Cycles in the New EU Member Countries and their Conformity with the Euro Area 0 0 0 80 1 3 7 220
CAN MACHINE LEARNING CATCH THE COVID-19 RECESSION? 0 0 2 16 0 2 6 34
Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 2 8 11 0 5 29 38
Classical time varying factor-augmented vector auto-regressive models—estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 2 76 1 1 4 165
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 56 3 7 16 170
Cross-sectional averaging and instrumental variable estimation with many weak instruments 0 1 1 34 2 3 6 102
Dating Business Cycles: A Methodological Contribution with an Application to the Euro Area 0 0 1 195 1 2 6 566
EUROMIND: a monthly indicator of the euro area economic conditions 0 0 0 0 1 5 22 232
Econometric analyses with backdated data: Unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 19 1 1 4 125
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 1 27 0 1 2 100
EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 67
Explaining the time-varying effects of oil market shocks on US stock returns 0 0 0 42 0 0 2 133
Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged‐Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 1 4 11 213 3 9 38 524
Factor analysis in a model with rational expectations 0 0 0 79 3 3 6 430
Factor based index tracking 1 1 4 161 2 2 6 405
Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments 0 0 3 104 3 3 10 238
Factor‐Based Identification‐Robust Interference in IV Regressions 0 0 1 11 0 0 3 40
Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 12 2 2 4 683
Forecast Bias and MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 11
Forecast Pooling for European Macroeconomic Variables 0 1 1 33 0 2 6 174
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 141 1 1 3 556
Forecasting economic activity by Bayesian bridge model averaging 0 0 1 40 0 0 5 110
Forecasting economic activity with targeted predictors 1 1 4 74 2 4 8 165
Forecasting euro area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 44 2 2 5 152
Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR 0 0 3 287 3 4 11 791
Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian vector autoregressions 0 0 2 140 2 6 9 357
Forecasting gross domestic product growth with large unbalanced data sets: the mixed frequency three‐pass regression filter 0 0 2 47 0 0 8 105
Forecasting inflation and GDP growth using heuristic optimisation of information criteria and variable reduction methods 1 2 2 25 1 3 5 75
Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 144
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 10 0 1 2 29
Forecasting with a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union 0 0 0 33 0 1 6 111
Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models 1 1 3 91 2 4 15 241
Forecasting with shadow rate VARs 0 0 0 0 2 8 8 8
Foreword 0 0 0 6 1 2 2 44
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 0 0 1 4 13 13
Guest Editors’ Introduction to Special Issue on Encompassing 0 0 0 14 1 3 5 66
Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 15 2 2 4 106
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 1 77 2 2 4 225
Introduction to advances in business cycle analysis and forecasting 0 0 0 43 0 0 0 117
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Nonparametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5
LSM: A DSGE model for Luxembourg 1 1 1 50 1 3 8 198
Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors 2 3 17 168 10 13 46 482
Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach 0 0 2 17 0 0 8 86
Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth* 0 0 1 251 2 4 11 890
Linear aggregation with common trends and cycles 0 0 0 14 1 1 3 83
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 1 9 192 4 11 32 718
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 0 3 70 1 4 13 333
MIXED‐FREQUENCY STRUCTURAL MODELS: IDENTIFICATION, ESTIMATION, AND POLICY ANALYSIS 0 0 0 26 0 1 2 74
MODELING HIGH-FREQUENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE DATA DYNAMICS 0 0 0 19 1 1 2 76
Machine learning the macroeconomic effects of financial shocks 0 1 5 5 0 2 6 6
Macro uncertainty in the long run 0 0 2 3 0 1 3 6
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 2 40 1 2 7 155
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context 0 0 3 16 2 3 8 39
Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information 0 0 1 335 2 4 9 839
Markov-Switching MIDAS Models 1 2 6 213 2 6 14 726
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 1 36 0 2 8 112
Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models 1 2 3 88 2 5 10 321
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 4 5 21 204 10 18 64 628
Mixed frequency structural vector auto-regressive models 0 0 0 47 0 0 0 109
Mixed‐frequency models with moving‐average components 1 1 2 14 1 1 7 59
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 0 31 0 0 4 132
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area* 0 0 0 86 0 0 3 280
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK 0 0 0 60 3 4 6 209
Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs 0 0 0 70 0 2 14 233
NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY 0 1 3 27 0 2 11 81
Nonparametric mixed frequency monitoring macro-at-risk 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency 0 0 9 33 2 3 21 83
No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 7 1 4 4 33
On the Importance of Sectoral and Regional Shocks for Price‐Setting 0 0 0 20 0 0 2 119
POOLING VERSUS MODEL SELECTION FOR NOWCASTING GDP WITH MANY PREDICTORS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR SIX INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 183
Path forecast evaluation 0 0 2 65 0 1 8 266
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time varying parameter models 0 0 0 14 2 2 3 63
Pooling‐Based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 12 0 2 2 89
Predicting Tail-Risks for the Italian Economy 0 0 1 1 3 6 7 7
Principal components at work: the empirical analysis of monetary policy with large data sets 0 0 1 456 0 2 11 1,345
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 307
ROBUST DECISION THEORY AND THE LUCAS CRITIQUE 0 0 0 11 1 1 4 70
Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 0 1 49 0 0 4 213
Regime switches in the risk–return trade-off 0 0 1 33 0 0 5 118
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the United States 0 0 0 3 1 2 5 12
Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 84
Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility 0 0 3 47 2 4 12 157
Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 1 165 0 0 1 848
Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Empirical Analysis 0 0 0 0 5 6 16 550
Some cautions on the use of panel methods for integrated series of macroeconomic data 0 0 0 285 1 1 5 797
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 0 103 0 0 2 260
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 1 1 3 3 4 4 14 14
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models 0 1 1 26 2 3 5 88
Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models 1 1 2 45 2 3 9 206
Survey data as coincident or leading indicators 0 0 0 58 2 2 3 178
TAIL FORECASTING WITH MULTIVARIATE BAYESIAN ADDITIVE REGRESSION TREES 0 0 1 8 0 1 5 27
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 1 2 3 21 1 2 9 85
Testing for PPP: Should we use panel methods? 0 0 0 364 1 1 4 1,059
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time‐Varying FAVAR 0 0 2 72 1 1 8 215
The effects of the monetary policy stance on the transmission mechanism 0 1 11 124 2 3 20 264
The global component of inflation volatility 0 0 2 11 2 2 8 36
The multiscale causal dynamics of foreign exchange markets 0 2 3 53 1 5 7 186
The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap 0 1 2 90 3 5 12 353
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 1 175 1 1 5 535
Time Variation in Macro‐Financial Linkages 0 0 1 29 1 3 6 121
Time-varying instrumental variable estimation 0 1 3 19 1 4 7 61
Time‐scale transformations of discrete time processes 0 0 2 32 0 0 13 258
Unrestricted mixed data sampling (MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 0 4 157 2 3 18 410
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 1 3 10 108 5 9 21 412
Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty 0 0 2 30 1 5 12 81
Total Journal Articles 22 58 263 9,008 191 382 1,208 30,377
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 0 17 0 0 4 70
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 1 2 2 1 2 9 9
Chapter 4 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 0 2 3 8 9
Leading Indicators 0 0 3 319 1 2 8 759
Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply 0 0 1 4 1 1 6 19
Non-linearity and Instability in the Euro Area 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5
TEMPORAL DISAGGREGATION, MISSING OBSERVATIONS, OUTLIERS, AND FORECASTING 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
Total Chapters 0 1 6 342 5 8 40 874
5 registered items for which data could not be found


Statistics updated 2025-11-08