Access Statistics for Massimiliano Marcellino

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 0 582 2 5 24 1,718
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 0 252 2 6 18 746
A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 0 5 0 4 15 43
A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK 0 0 0 3 1 4 14 41
A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 6 158 0 1 18 296
A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market 0 0 0 571 0 1 16 1,554
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 2 44 0 2 29 200
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 1 57 1 2 13 183
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 0 218 0 1 9 475
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 0 91 0 2 40 353
A Parametric Estimation Method for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 1 1 1 189 3 3 8 626
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 3 0 1 12 29
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 8 0 1 15 55
A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting 0 0 1 63 1 7 17 120
A Simple Benchmark for Forecasts of Growth and Inflation 1 2 2 192 1 3 13 611
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 0 2 5 165 0 9 29 377
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 1 2 7 286 2 9 40 636
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 1 1 118 3 11 38 275
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 0 37 0 2 16 104
Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility 0 0 1 45 2 6 31 132
An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on the Italian Economy 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 1 1 2 207 2 2 13 243
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 1 3 121 1 4 19 290
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 0 1 155 2 6 24 263
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for U.S. Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 0 575 2 6 18 2,428
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for US Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 1 305 0 0 6 1,004
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 51 0 4 9 83
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 67 0 1 17 137
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 1 16 0 1 14 54
Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers 0 0 15 29 0 2 40 63
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 0 2 0 4 30 41
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 0 133 0 5 18 69
Bayesian Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 1 2 187 1 5 16 450
Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy 0 1 5 435 2 6 33 704
Bayesian modelling of VAR precision matrices using stochastic block networks 0 0 0 14 0 4 16 29
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 0 1 2 15 16
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 2 9 34 1 8 29 87
Big Data Econometrics: Now Casting and Early Estimates 0 0 2 210 2 11 27 307
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 0 0 8 0 2 13 35
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 1 2 68 0 1 16 67
Boosting the Forecasting Power of Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models to Account for Covid-19 Outbreaks 0 1 1 88 2 7 22 78
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 1 2 0 0 9 23
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 25 0 1 9 112
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 8 1 1 11 40
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 44 1 2 13 84
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 0 213 2 6 22 346
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 3 19 0 1 10 63
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 196 2 3 13 545
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 312 2 7 19 719
Characterizing the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 175 0 4 14 557
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 1 115 0 2 11 364
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 4 667 1 7 34 1,597
Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification 1 1 1 36 1 4 13 39
Coarsened Bayesian VARs. Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification 0 0 0 0 0 4 13 13
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 116 0 1 11 277
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 41 0 3 8 154
Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 98 0 2 16 295
Cross-sectional Averaging and Instrumental Variable Estimation with Many Weak Instruments 0 0 0 6 0 2 12 38
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 0 427 0 11 27 1,370
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 0 347 0 9 19 1,153
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 0 0 313 1 10 20 1,093
Direct Gaussian Process Predictive Regressions with Mixed Frequency Data 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Econometric analyses with backdated data: unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 63 2 3 14 286
Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts 0 0 0 8 0 3 13 74
Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 46 0 4 15 164
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 58 0 1 8 150
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 90 1 1 16 208
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 35 1 2 67 260
Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 1 167 0 8 17 418
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro 0 0 0 62 1 2 9 130
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries 0 0 0 68 0 4 22 170
Ex Post and Ex Ante Analysis of Provisional Data 0 0 0 240 0 5 18 2,063
Explaining the Time-varying Effects Of Oil Market Shocks On U.S. Stock Returns 0 0 1 78 0 5 16 203
Factor Analysis in a Model with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 119 1 4 23 373
Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model 0 0 0 116 1 4 13 490
Factor Based Index Tracking 0 0 0 538 0 4 12 1,330
Factor Based Index Trading 0 0 1 454 1 1 29 1,373
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 191 1 5 9 539
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 0 161 0 1 13 510
Factor analysis in a New-Keynesian model 0 0 0 198 4 9 19 576
Factor based identification-robust inference in IV regressions 0 0 2 49 0 0 8 101
Factor forecasts for the UK 1 1 3 179 2 7 21 607
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 0 23 1 1 15 123
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 2 5 0 2 15 37
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 0 0 0 144 0 3 37 456
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1 0 0 0 93 1 3 16 415
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP 0 0 2 220 0 1 13 726
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP 0 0 3 202 0 4 20 722
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 1 200 0 3 12 531
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 175 0 1 7 360
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 362 1 3 17 940
Firm Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: a Functional VAR model 0 1 11 37 0 2 30 77
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 444
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD, and EC 0 0 0 172 0 3 19 608
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 289 0 1 15 819
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 200 0 3 15 661
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 1 1 6 19 366
Forecast Pooling for Short Time Series of Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 274 2 2 12 890
Forecast pooling for short time series of macroeconomic variables 0 0 0 421 2 5 19 1,591
Forecasting EMU Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 302 1 3 12 1,860
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 0 325 0 3 11 1,821
Forecasting Euro-Area Variables with German Pre-EMU Data 0 0 0 54 0 1 6 306
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 174 0 5 12 431
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 11 0 1 7 46
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 1 1 76 0 5 23 290
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 1 2 39 0 5 17 156
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 2 11 0 3 15 58
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 144 0 6 21 329
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 1 63 0 4 15 228
Forecasting Large Datasets with Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 0 0 5 12 23
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 141 0 3 9 563
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 127 1 3 16 703
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 219 0 2 11 647
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables for the Acceding Countries 0 0 1 121 0 4 15 593
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 0 122 1 7 16 126
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 3 33 0 1 14 71
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 1 31 0 3 11 100
Forecasting economic activity with higher frequency targeted predictors 0 0 2 153 0 3 15 268
Forecasting euro-area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 55 0 2 11 206
Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union 1 1 1 193 1 1 15 721
Forecasting the COVID-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 0 1 5 12 16
Forecasting the Covid-19 Recession and Recovery: Lessons from the Financial Crisis 0 0 0 127 0 3 10 284
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 24 0 4 12 75
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 30 0 0 17 71
Forecasting with Dynamic Models using Shrinkage-based Estimation 0 0 0 3 0 1 20 37
Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 204 0 9 23 389
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 1 62 0 5 14 244
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 1 102 0 3 15 248
Forecasting with Large Unbalanced Datasets: The Mixed-Frequency Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 2 171 1 1 12 319
Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs 0 0 0 48 0 5 21 111
Further Results on MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 62 1 2 14 489
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 2 154 0 5 19 116
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 0 3 1 4 12 19
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 43 1 1 14 91
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis? 0 0 0 91 1 3 17 229
Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis? 0 0 0 114 1 3 28 280
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 144 0 2 10 539
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models:A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 348 0 4 20 1,071
Inflation, Attention and Expectations 0 1 9 16 1 9 38 52
Inflation, Attention and Expectations 0 0 2 17 0 8 40 68
Instability and Non-Linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 100 1 2 13 344
Instability and non-linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 122 0 6 12 548
Interpolation and Backdating with A Large Information Set 0 0 0 97 0 0 8 354
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 1 130 1 5 19 445
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 36 2 6 12 63
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 1 2 1 3 15 23
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 1 0 3 15 19
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 6 10 23
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 82
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 23
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 1 153 0 5 16 1,007
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 0 112 1 5 13 648
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs: A Non-Parametric Approach 0 0 1 87 0 1 18 143
Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors 0 1 1 7 0 6 12 50
Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors 0 0 0 206 0 6 21 397
Large time-varying parameter VARs: a non-parametric approach 0 0 1 123 0 1 11 195
Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 0 343 2 4 13 1,070
Leading Indicators for Euro-area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 0 670 2 7 23 1,871
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 1 1 1 386 2 4 11 639
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 1 235 0 1 6 480
Linear Aggregation with Common Trends and Cycles 0 0 0 63 1 1 13 235
MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 2 4 458 2 11 39 1,162
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 0 0 120 0 1 11 496
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 1 2 4 137 1 5 16 430
Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Machine Learning the Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks 0 0 3 30 0 7 24 49
Macro Uncertainty in the Long Run 0 1 3 7 0 4 14 26
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 0 1 68 0 2 18 77
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 0 2 8 0 3 12 34
Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information 0 0 0 683 1 5 16 1,852
Macroeconomic activity and risk indicators: an unstable relationship 0 0 0 55 0 2 22 74
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 178 0 2 31 487
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 58 0 1 6 151
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 0 0 1 13 45
Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models 0 0 2 129 0 2 18 303
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 1 27 0 2 20 137
Markov-switching MIDAS models 0 1 5 120 0 4 32 498
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter 0 0 0 33 0 2 18 117
Mean Group Instrumental Variable Estimation of Time-Varying Large Heterogeneous Panels with Endogenous Regressors 0 0 0 17 1 2 17 35
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 0 1 12 1 9 21 52
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 0 1 58 1 8 21 147
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 1 202 1 4 12 370
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 1 77 1 2 34 183
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 0 79 0 3 8 127
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 1 35 2 7 23 131
Mixed frequency structural VARs 0 1 3 199 1 4 16 354
Mixed frequency structural models: estimation, and policy analysis 0 0 0 124 1 2 15 213
Model Selection for Non-Linear Dynamic Models 0 0 0 236 2 3 9 675
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area 0 0 0 305 0 3 19 661
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the euro Area 0 0 0 134 1 1 21 409
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland, and the UK 0 0 0 333 0 7 16 1,493
Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs 0 0 0 122 0 1 10 221
Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes 0 0 0 101 1 5 13 415
No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 72 0 3 11 153
No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 1 1 45 0 3 22 64
Nonparametric Mixed Frequency Monitoring Macro-at-Risk 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nonparametric Time Varying IV-SVARs: Estimation and Inference 0 2 7 25 0 3 28 46
Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency 0 0 0 39 1 1 11 110
Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators 0 0 1 97 0 5 22 251
Nowcasting distributions: a functional MIDAS model 0 0 6 50 2 4 23 86
Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes 0 1 2 39 2 14 38 83
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price setting 0 0 0 18 0 4 21 92
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 36 0 2 8 138
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 71 0 1 15 242
On the importance of sectoral shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 7 1 2 13 68
Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables 2 4 23 50 8 29 98 133
Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables 0 0 1 14 1 6 24 55
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 0 33 0 1 12 100
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 0 75 0 4 14 196
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 15 0 5 22 105
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 1 41 0 0 10 77
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 0 84 0 1 21 206
Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP 0 0 0 122 2 4 9 327
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP 0 0 0 83 0 2 8 293
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP 0 0 2 88 0 3 12 272
Pooling-based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 80 3 5 15 316
Pooling-based data interpolation and backdating 0 0 0 64 1 3 10 335
Principal components at work: The empirical analysis of monetary policy with large datasets 0 0 2 794 0 3 18 2,369
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 0 1 460 0 3 20 1,247
Real time estimates of the euro area output gap: reliability and forecasting performance 0 0 0 153 1 6 22 484
Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 0 74 1 6 18 263
Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 1 2 233 2 7 28 490
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-Off 0 0 0 39 3 8 17 181
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-off 0 0 0 46 0 3 8 62
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the US 0 0 0 6 0 4 15 73
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area and a Comparison with the US 0 0 3 128 1 3 18 350
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 0 202 5 8 21 735
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 0 13 2 2 12 96
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 1 3 5 0 4 31 37
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 0 1 13 0 0 13 42
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 1 0 4 13 24
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 102 0 2 8 547
Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 52 0 1 9 260
Selecting predictors by using Bayesian model averaging in bridge models 0 0 0 71 0 4 11 199
Severe Weather and Financial (In)stability 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Severe weather and financial (in)stability 1 20 20 20 1 4 4 4
Shadow-rate VARs 0 0 1 36 3 5 22 95
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 1 1 173 0 6 19 439
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 0 3 410 1 6 23 899
Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 251 0 1 11 1,005
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-Economic Data 0 0 0 438 2 9 24 1,082
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-economic Data 0 0 0 0 2 7 14 492
Some Stylized Facts on Non-Systematic Fiscal Policy in the Euro Area 0 0 0 115 0 2 8 443
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 1 358 0 4 21 982
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 0 0 5 17 0 3 27 55
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 0 0 2 82 2 4 12 91
Stochastic Processes Subject to Time-Scale Transformations: An Application to High-Frequency FX Data 0 0 0 164 1 3 13 787
Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models 0 0 0 87 1 1 11 132
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large-scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 0 90 1 6 12 199
Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators 0 0 0 72 1 5 17 219
Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators 0 0 0 38 0 1 10 176
TFP, Costs, and Public Infrastructure: An Equivocal Relationship 0 0 1 397 1 3 18 1,050
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 0 78 0 6 22 112
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 0 6 0 2 13 32
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 0 1 123 0 1 10 143
Temporal Disaggregation, Missing Observations, Outliers, and Forecasting: A Unifying Non-Model Based Procedures 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 325
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 471 0 4 15 1,602
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 309 1 4 10 625
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time-Varying FAVAR 0 0 0 76 0 3 12 268
The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty 0 1 6 12 2 6 40 54
The Distributional Effects of Economic Uncertainty 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 17 0 0 11 96
The Global Component of Inflation Volatility 0 0 1 42 0 8 28 185
The Multiscale Causal Dynamics of Foreign Exchange Markets 0 0 1 66 0 2 11 177
The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 32 0 1 11 178
The Role of Search Frictions and Bargaining for Inflation Dynamics 0 0 0 41 0 0 7 182
The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World 0 0 0 134 0 3 16 515
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 0 29 0 2 12 101
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 1 2 180 9 13 28 380
The changing international transmission of financial shocks: evidence from a classical time-varying FAVAR 0 0 2 282 2 6 23 699
The demand and supply of information about inflation 0 1 4 24 1 6 26 56
The demand and supply of information about inflation 0 0 2 32 1 8 18 87
The economic drivers of volatility and uncertainty 0 0 1 69 1 6 23 139
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 25 0 3 11 74
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 12 0 1 8 21
The global component of inflation volatility 0 0 2 150 1 7 85 460
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 0 214 0 3 7 534
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages 0 0 1 60 2 2 13 198
Time Varying Three Pass Regression Filter 0 0 4 16 0 2 18 41
Time variation in macro-financial linkages 0 0 3 175 0 2 21 452
Time-Scale Transformations of Discrete-Time Processes 0 0 0 2 0 2 16 34
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 0 40 0 0 9 107
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 0 50 0 5 22 93
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 0 2 101 0 8 44 371
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 0 9 594 3 6 57 2,079
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 1 1 3 56 1 7 22 131
Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty 1 1 2 25 2 6 23 78
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 0 0 1 142 1 6 13 243
Wages, Prices, Productivity, Inflation and Unemployment in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 702 0 2 13 2,906
interpolation with a large information set 0 0 0 55 1 4 7 260
the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap 0 0 0 53 0 2 15 173
Total Working Papers 14 68 319 36,749 193 1,090 5,019 111,643
11 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Credibility Proxy: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 1 4 106 0 5 23 298
A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market 0 0 0 309 0 1 13 928
A SHRINKAGE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR FOR LARGE DATASETS 0 0 0 1 1 2 9 57
A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series 4 4 8 429 7 16 103 1,323
A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK 0 0 1 58 0 1 11 170
A comparison of mixed frequency approaches for nowcasting Euro area macroeconomic aggregates 0 3 15 196 0 6 38 418
A daily indicator of economic growth for the euro area 0 0 1 47 0 2 16 131
A linear benchmark for forecasting GDP growth and inflation? 2 3 3 198 3 6 21 550
A macroeconometric model for the Euro economy 0 0 0 139 1 3 23 384
A parametric estimation method for dynamic factor models of large dimensions 1 1 1 65 2 4 14 166
A similarity‐based approach for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 1 29 0 3 12 117
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 1 2 14 18 1 12 60 114
An empirical investigation of the effects of monetary policy shocks on the Italian economy 0 0 1 1 0 1 6 6
Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth? 0 0 1 205 0 0 12 564
Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects 0 0 2 30 0 2 16 97
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 1 1 3 127 1 5 22 355
Bayesian neural networks for macroeconomic analysis 1 1 4 4 6 13 91 94
Blended identification in structural VARs 0 1 4 12 1 20 43 74
Business Cycles in the New EU Member Countries and their Conformity with the Euro Area 0 0 0 80 0 1 12 229
CAN MACHINE LEARNING CATCH THE COVID-19 RECESSION? 0 0 1 16 1 1 16 46
Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 1 12 19 1 7 45 74
Classical time varying factor-augmented vector auto-regressive models—estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 3 79 0 2 14 177
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 1 1 3 59 1 6 40 199
Cross-sectional averaging and instrumental variable estimation with many weak instruments 0 0 1 34 0 8 33 130
Dating Business Cycles: A Methodological Contribution with an Application to the Euro Area 0 1 1 196 0 3 18 582
EUROMIND: a monthly indicator of the euro area economic conditions 0 0 0 0 0 4 17 242
Econometric analyses with backdated data: Unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 19 0 1 13 136
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 27 2 4 11 110
EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries 0 0 0 11 0 0 10 77
Explaining the time-varying effects of oil market shocks on US stock returns 0 0 0 42 0 4 10 141
Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged‐Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 1 2 11 219 4 8 46 559
Factor analysis in a model with rational expectations 0 0 0 79 0 2 7 434
Factor based index tracking 0 0 2 161 0 1 11 413
Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments 0 0 0 104 1 5 32 267
Factor‐Based Identification‐Robust Interference in IV Regressions 1 1 2 13 2 5 17 56
Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 12 0 3 13 694
Forecast Bias and MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 0 1 5 14 23
Forecast Pooling for European Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 33 0 0 8 179
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 142 0 3 16 571
Forecasting economic activity by Bayesian bridge model averaging 0 0 1 41 2 4 18 126
Forecasting economic activity with targeted predictors 0 0 4 76 0 4 20 179
Forecasting euro area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 44 0 4 14 164
Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR 0 0 2 289 0 3 19 804
Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian vector autoregressions 0 0 2 141 0 2 25 375
Forecasting gross domestic product growth with large unbalanced data sets: the mixed frequency three‐pass regression filter 0 0 3 50 0 1 15 120
Forecasting inflation and GDP growth using heuristic optimisation of information criteria and variable reduction methods 0 0 5 28 0 5 12 84
Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models 0 0 0 0 0 3 12 156
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 10 3 8 17 45
Forecasting with a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union 0 0 0 33 0 2 8 118
Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models 0 1 4 93 0 5 25 260
Forecasting with shadow rate VARs 0 0 0 0 0 2 33 33
Foreword 0 0 0 6 0 2 9 51
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 1 1 2 9 31 39
Guest Editors’ Introduction to Special Issue on Encompassing 0 0 0 14 0 4 14 75
Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 1 16 0 2 18 122
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 0 77 0 5 19 241
Introduction to advances in business cycle analysis and forecasting 0 0 0 43 0 0 3 120
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Nonparametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 0 0 2 20 24
LSM: A DSGE model for Luxembourg 0 0 1 50 0 3 19 213
Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors 0 2 10 174 3 10 60 525
Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach 0 0 0 17 0 2 18 102
Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth* 0 0 0 251 1 6 21 907
Linear aggregation with common trends and cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 8 90
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 2 6 196 5 12 49 754
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 1 1 71 2 9 22 351
MIXED‐FREQUENCY STRUCTURAL MODELS: IDENTIFICATION, ESTIMATION, AND POLICY ANALYSIS 0 0 1 27 0 1 12 84
MODELING HIGH-FREQUENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE DATA DYNAMICS 0 0 0 19 0 0 6 81
Machine learning the macroeconomic effects of financial shocks 1 2 7 11 2 10 26 30
Macro uncertainty in the long run 0 0 1 3 0 2 13 17
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 40 0 2 11 164
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context 0 1 6 21 0 2 22 56
Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information 0 0 1 336 0 6 20 855
Markov-Switching MIDAS Models 0 0 6 215 0 2 26 744
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 3 39 1 2 12 121
Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models 0 1 5 91 2 12 51 367
Mean group instrumental variable estimation of time-varying large heterogeneous panels with endogenous regressors 0 0 0 0 1 6 9 9
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 1 4 25 221 3 14 79 685
Mixed frequency structural vector auto-regressive models 0 0 0 47 1 5 9 118
Mixed‐frequency models with moving‐average components 0 0 2 15 0 3 15 72
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 0 31 0 2 17 147
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area* 0 0 0 86 0 3 12 292
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK 0 0 0 60 0 3 23 226
Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs 0 0 2 72 0 0 16 244
NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY 0 0 1 27 4 6 21 97
Nonparametric mixed frequency monitoring macro-at-risk 0 0 1 1 0 1 13 13
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency 1 1 5 35 2 4 23 99
No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 7 1 5 20 49
On the Importance of Sectoral and Regional Shocks for Price‐Setting 0 0 0 20 0 0 12 130
POOLING VERSUS MODEL SELECTION FOR NOWCASTING GDP WITH MANY PREDICTORS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR SIX INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES 0 0 0 0 1 2 8 190
Path forecast evaluation 0 0 0 65 0 1 13 277
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time varying parameter models 0 0 0 14 0 3 11 72
Pooling‐Based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 12 0 2 14 101
Predicting Tail-Risks for the Italian Economy 0 0 2 2 0 5 24 24
Principal components at work: the empirical analysis of monetary policy with large data sets 0 0 1 457 0 2 14 1,357
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 0 0 0 1 3 17 322
ROBUST DECISION THEORY AND THE LUCAS CRITIQUE 0 0 0 11 0 2 11 80
Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 1 1 50 2 4 15 228
Regime switches in the risk–return trade-off 0 1 1 34 0 7 15 132
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the United States 0 0 0 3 0 2 12 21
Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 0 0 1 17 99
Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility 0 1 1 48 0 1 27 179
Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 165 0 1 12 860
Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Empirical Analysis 0 0 0 0 2 4 32 574
Some cautions on the use of panel methods for integrated series of macroeconomic data 0 0 0 285 0 8 21 816
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 1 104 0 0 14 274
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 0 0 6 7 0 4 24 33
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 1 26 0 1 15 99
Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models 0 0 2 46 0 4 17 218
Survey data as coincident or leading indicators 0 0 0 58 1 2 15 191
TAIL FORECASTING WITH MULTIVARIATE BAYESIAN ADDITIVE REGRESSION TREES 0 1 1 9 0 8 19 45
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 0 4 23 0 2 27 104
Testing for PPP: Should we use panel methods? 1 1 1 365 2 4 19 1,077
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time‐Varying FAVAR 0 0 0 72 0 9 34 247
The effects of the monetary policy stance on the transmission mechanism 0 0 1 124 0 1 14 274
The global component of inflation volatility 0 0 3 13 0 2 11 44
The multiscale causal dynamics of foreign exchange markets 0 0 2 53 1 6 22 203
The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap 0 1 2 91 0 4 19 365
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 0 175 0 1 9 543
Time Variation in Macro‐Financial Linkages 0 0 1 29 0 4 27 142
Time-varying instrumental variable estimation 1 2 6 24 1 2 20 77
Time‐scale transformations of discrete time processes 0 0 0 32 1 3 9 267
Unrestricted mixed data sampling (MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 2 6 9 166 4 16 40 446
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 0 0 5 110 0 10 43 444
Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty 0 0 2 31 0 5 27 101
Total Journal Articles 20 52 261 9,182 87 511 2,621 32,489
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 0 17 0 12 19 89
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 1 2 1 2 14 21
Chapter 4 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 0 1 4 10 16
Leading Indicators 1 3 8 326 3 15 38 794
Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply 0 1 6 9 0 2 15 32
Non-linearity and Instability in the Euro Area 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7
TEMPORAL DISAGGREGATION, MISSING OBSERVATIONS, OUTLIERS, AND FORECASTING 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 7
Total Chapters 1 4 15 354 5 36 102 966
5 registered items for which data could not be found


Statistics updated 2026-07-10