| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Generalized Time Iteration Method for Solving Dynamic Optimization Problems with Occasionally Binding Constraints |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
1 |
1 |
18 |
77 |
| A History of U.S. Tariffs: Quantifying Strategic Trade-Offs in Tariff Policy Design |
0 |
0 |
9 |
23 |
1 |
2 |
39 |
55 |
| A Matter of Perspective: Mapping Linear Rational Expectations Models into Finite-Order VAR Form |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
2 |
2 |
25 |
77 |
| A contribution to the chronology of turning points in global economic activity (1980-2012) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
2 |
2 |
13 |
103 |
| A cross-country quarterly database of real house prices: a methodological note |
0 |
0 |
4 |
300 |
1 |
4 |
27 |
938 |
| A monetary model of the exchange rate with informational frictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
1 |
3 |
13 |
313 |
| A redux of the workhorse NOEM model with capital accumulation and incomplete asset markets |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
122 |
| Are trade deficits good or bad, and can tariffs reduce them? |
0 |
3 |
11 |
11 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
| Assessing Bayesian model comparison in small samples |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
102 |
| Bayesian estimation of NOEM models: identification and inference in small samples |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
224 |
| Bubble thought: What beliefs can reveal about housing market risks |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
| Bubbling Up? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
23 |
| Bubbling Up? What Consumer Expectations Reveal About U.S. Housing Market Exuberance |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
21 |
| COVID-19 Risks Expose Vulnerabilities, Downside Risks to U.S. Outlook |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
| Checking the Path Towards Recovery from the COVID-19 Isolation Response |
0 |
0 |
2 |
81 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
137 |
| Database of global economic indicators (DGEI): a methodological note |
1 |
1 |
1 |
87 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
512 |
| Detecting Periods of Exuberance: A Look at the Role of Aggregation with an Application to House Prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
97 |
| Disparate supply-side forces gave U.S. economy an edge |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
| Drilling Down: The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Housing Prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
4 |
9 |
89 |
171 |
| Episodes of Exuberance in Housing Markets: In Search of the Smoking Gun |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
1 |
5 |
32 |
313 |
| Episodes of exuberance in housing markets |
0 |
1 |
2 |
46 |
0 |
2 |
19 |
172 |
| Exploring the Nexus Between Inflation and Globalization Under Inflation Targeting Through the Lens of New Zealand’s Experience |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
61 |
| Exploring the Nexus between Inflation and Globalization under Inflation Targeting through the Lens of New Zealand’s Experience |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
106 |
| Explosive Dynamics in House Prices? An Exploration of Financial Market Spillovers in Housing Markets Around the World |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
88 |
| Fed’s New Inflation Targeting Policy Seeks to Maintain Well-Anchored Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
| Fed’s forecasting edge ebbed prepandemic, persisted in downside inflation surprises |
0 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
10 |
13 |
13 |
| Finite-Order VAR Representation of Linear Rational Expectations Models: With Some Lessons for Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
64 |
| Flexible Average Inflation Targeting: How Much Is U.S. Monetary Policy Changing? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
19 |
3 |
10 |
48 |
95 |
| Forecasting local inflation in Open Economies: What Can a NOEM Model Do? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
148 |
| Gazing at r-star: Gauging U.S. monetary policy via the natural rate of interest |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Get the Lowdown: The International Side of the Fall in the U.S. Natural Rate of Interest |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
5 |
5 |
16 |
62 |
| Global Institute presentation: Steve Kamin on the dollar’s status |
0 |
1 |
8 |
8 |
1 |
5 |
7 |
7 |
| Global slack as a determinant of U.S. inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
117 |
| Globalization and monetary policy: an introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
348 |
| Good Policies or Good Luck? New Insights on Globalization and the International Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism |
0 |
0 |
1 |
71 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
68 |
| How USMCA compliance cushioned the 2025 tariff shock |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| How the U.S. might outgrow pandemic-era housing (un)affordability problems |
0 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
| Inflation as a Global Phenomenon—Some Implications for Policy Analysis and Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
175 |
| Inflation as a global phenomenon - some implications for policy analysis and forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
97 |
| Investment and trade patterns in a sticky-price, open-economy model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
312 |
| Just Do IT? An Assessment of Inflation Targeting in a Global Comparative Case Study |
0 |
0 |
1 |
53 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
91 |
| Living Up to Expectations: Central Bank Credibility, the Effectiveness of Forward Guidance, and Inflation Dynamics Post-Global Financial Crisis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
1 |
1 |
19 |
43 |
| Living Up to Expectations: Central Bank Credibility, the Effectiveness of Forward Guidance, and Inflation Dynamics Post-Global Financial Crisis |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
24 |
| Living Up to Expectations: The Effectiveness of Forward Guidance and Inflation Dynamics Post-Global Financial Crisis |
0 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
0 |
3 |
19 |
42 |
| Mexico nearshoring yet to yield big investment despite global trade tensions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Mind the Gap!—A Monetarist View of the Open-Economy Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
57 |
| Mitigating tariffs via USMCA may have limited 2025 price increases |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Modeling Time-Variation Over the Business Cycle (1960-2017): An International Perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
2 |
2 |
35 |
97 |
| Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations at the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
2 |
22 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
46 |
| Monetary Policy and Economic Performance Since the Financial Crisis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
3 |
4 |
20 |
63 |
| Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
62 |
| Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
2 |
2 |
14 |
47 |
| Monetary Policy at a Crossroads: Donald Kohn on Controlling Inflation, Ukraine Effects, Volcker-Era Lessons |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
| Monetary policy expectations and economic fluctuations at the zero lower bound |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
69 |
| New Perspectives on Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Assessment |
0 |
0 |
3 |
135 |
1 |
4 |
30 |
224 |
| On the Nexus of Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Novel Asset Market Monitoring Tools for Building Economic Resilience and Mitigating Financial Risks |
0 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
| On the sustainability of exchange rate target zones with central parity realignments |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
67 |
| Pandemic and War Inflation: Lessons from the International Experience |
0 |
1 |
14 |
14 |
0 |
3 |
64 |
64 |
| Pandemic and War Inflation: Lessons from the International Experience |
0 |
0 |
16 |
16 |
1 |
3 |
31 |
31 |
| Policymakers’ Response to COVID-19 Can Draw on Great Recession Lessons |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Private Forecasters’ COVID-19 Global Growth Outlook Takes Shape |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
| Quantitative assessment of the role of incomplete asset markets on the dynamics of the real exchange rate |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
2 |
2 |
13 |
53 |
| Real-Time Market Monitoring Finds Signs of Brewing U.S. Housing Bubble |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
| Real-time house price model shows U.S. housing market firming |
0 |
1 |
17 |
17 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
9 |
| Russia’s War on Ukraine Will Leave Scars on U.S., World Economies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| Se Habla Español: U.S. Yet to Realize Many Benefits of a Growing Bilingual Population |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
| Skimming U.S. Housing Froth a Delicate, Daunting Task |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
| Spanish-Speaking Growth in Texas Reinforces Need to Close Education Gaps |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
| Systemic Risks, Interdependencies Weigh on 2021 Global Outlook |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Taking the Global Housing Market’s Temperature: Is It Running a Fever (Again)? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
| Technical note on "The real exchange rate in sticky price models: does investment matter?" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
160 |
| Technical note on "assessing Bayesian model comparison in small samples" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
81 |
| Tempting FAIT: Flexible Average Inflation Targeting and the Post-COVID U.S. Inflation Surge |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
31 |
32 |
| The Balance Sheet Channel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
254 |
| The Contribution of Foreign Holdings of U.S. Treasury Securities to the U.S. Long-Term Interest Rate: An Empirical Investigation of the Impact of the Zero Lower Bound |
0 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
4 |
7 |
40 |
49 |
| The Effect of Central Bank Credibility on Forward Guidance in an Estimated New Keynesian Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
1 |
3 |
23 |
110 |
| The Market Resources Method for Solving Dynamic Optimization Problems |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
2 |
3 |
22 |
156 |
| The balance sheet channel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
203 |
1 |
1 |
19 |
644 |
| The global component of local inflation: revisiting the empirical content of the global slack hypothesis with Bayesian methods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
54 |
| The market resources method for solving dynamic optimization problems |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
116 |
| The real exchange rate in sticky price models: does investment matter? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
170 |
2 |
2 |
12 |
530 |
| The real exchange rate in sticky-price models: does investment matter? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
215 |
| Threat of global housing slide looms amid rising rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
| Ties That Bind: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest for Small Open Economies |
0 |
0 |
2 |
112 |
2 |
2 |
23 |
256 |
| U.S. business cycles, monetary policy and the external finance premium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
2 |
2 |
10 |
80 |
| U.S. housing: Unaffordable to buy, but wealth-building to own |
0 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
7 |
| U.S. tariff outcomes dependent on trading partner responses |
0 |
2 |
7 |
7 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
7 |
| Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Credit Frictions and Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
1 |
55 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
137 |
| What Helps Forecast U.S. Inflation?—Mind the Gap! |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
4 |
6 |
22 |
154 |
| What Imports to Import Prices? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
21 |
| exuber: Recursive Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing with R |
0 |
0 |
1 |
50 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
138 |
| Total Working Papers |
3 |
21 |
143 |
3,498 |
85 |
182 |
1,293 |
9,574 |
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