Access Statistics for James Mitchell

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Indicator of Manufacturing Output from Qualitative Business Panel Survey Data 0 0 0 103 0 0 1 410
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence 0 1 2 21 0 1 8 77
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence 0 0 0 130 0 0 1 278
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 21 0 0 1 56
A Nonlinear Panel Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 10
Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees 0 76 78 78 0 11 13 13
Bayesian Modeling of Time-varying Parameters Using Regression Trees 1 3 106 106 1 3 30 30
Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation 0 0 1 21 0 3 8 25
Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities 0 0 0 39 0 0 0 137
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 1 233 0 1 4 303
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 0 71 1 1 1 186
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 30 0 1 3 108
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 2 29 0 1 3 60
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 3 3 1 1 8 8
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 1 2 0 1 3 8
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 1 3 0 0 2 9
Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers, and science 0 0 0 29 2 3 9 90
Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics 2 4 28 28 3 5 28 28
Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts? 0 1 4 46 0 1 4 55
Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data 0 0 1 73 0 0 2 147
Forecasting with Unknown Unknowns: Censoring and Fat Tails on the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee 0 0 4 78 0 0 8 129
Generalised Density Forecast Combinations 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 35
Generalised Density Forecast Combinations 0 0 0 119 0 0 0 177
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 1 42 0 0 1 97
Insights into Business Confidence from Firm-Level Panel Data 0 0 0 87 0 0 2 425
Macro Modelling with Many Models 0 0 0 108 0 0 1 94
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 1 198 0 1 5 383
Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth 0 0 0 22 1 3 5 97
Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth 0 1 5 61 0 3 15 120
Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty 0 0 1 83 1 1 4 232
Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty 0 1 2 13 0 1 2 56
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 106 0 0 3 337
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 54 0 1 1 108
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 20 0 1 2 115
Measuring output gap uncertainty 0 1 2 79 0 1 3 193
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 1 1 141 1 3 4 473
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 1 2 2 100 1 6 6 160
Monthly and Quarterly GDP Estimates for Interwar Britain 0 0 0 143 0 0 1 284
Monthly and quarterly GDP estimates for interwar Britain 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4
Mortality in the British Panel Household Survey: a Test of a Standard Treatment for Non-Response 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 29
Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic 0 1 6 59 0 2 17 80
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions in real time using qualitative panel survey data 0 0 0 89 0 0 1 302
Optimal combination of density forecasts 0 0 0 96 0 0 0 220
Poverty and Debt 0 0 0 65 2 3 5 376
Probability Forecasting for Inflation Warnings from the Federal Reserve 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 36
Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise? 0 1 1 28 0 1 1 73
Qualitative Expectational Data as Predictors of Income and Consumption Growth: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 36
Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data 0 0 0 112 0 0 2 351
R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability 0 0 0 60 0 0 2 65
Real-Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty 1 1 3 93 1 2 11 124
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 73 0 0 0 130
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 133 0 0 1 364
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 1 8 43 0 3 22 104
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 0 2 8 0 0 6 17
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 0 1 57 1 2 10 157
Reconsidering the evidence: Are Eurozone business cycles converging 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 193
Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging? 0 0 0 119 0 0 1 328
Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 1 1 3 58 1 1 5 90
Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 0 2 7 93 1 4 15 126
Should we be surprised by the unreliability of real-time output gap estimates? Density estimates for the Euro area 0 0 0 39 0 0 0 122
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 0 0 2 132 2 4 11 206
The Rationality and Reliability of Expectations Reported by British Households: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 20 0 1 2 59
The Recalibrated and Copula Opinion Pools 0 0 0 13 0 0 2 54
The rationality and reliability of expectations reported by British households: micro evidence from the British household panel survey 0 0 1 93 0 1 3 256
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 66
UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model 0 0 0 116 0 3 7 90
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector autoregressive model 1 2 3 66 1 2 6 108
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 39 0 0 0 131
Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 2 17 17 1 3 17 17
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 2 6 50 0 3 17 32
What univariate models tell us about multivariate macroeconomic models 0 0 0 97 0 0 4 104
Total Working Papers 7 104 307 4,502 22 89 362 10,003
1 registered items for which data could not be found

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A New Measure of Consumers’ (In)Attention to Inflation 1 2 7 7 3 10 27 27
A nonlinear panel data model of cross-sectional dependence 0 1 4 86 0 2 8 238
ARCHITECTS AS NOWCASTERS OF HOUSING CONSTRUCTION 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 28
An Indicator of Monthly GDP and an Early Estimate of Quarterly GDP Growth 0 0 0 279 0 7 12 1,068
Architects as Nowcasters of Housing Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 31 0 0 1 59
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 82 0 1 5 300
Combining density forecasts 1 2 7 215 1 4 14 424
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 1 139 0 0 1 388
Confidence and Leading Indicators: Introduction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession 1 2 4 21 1 2 6 75
Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts? 0 0 3 6 0 0 7 21
EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 77
Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 143
Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation* 0 1 1 86 1 3 6 242
FORECASTING MANUFACTURING OUTPUT GROWTH USING FIRM‐LEVEL SURVEY DATA 0 0 0 34 0 0 0 212
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 1 47 0 1 5 132
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 4 0 1 2 28
Incidence‐based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life‐tables 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 105
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 7
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 7
Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty 1 2 3 35 1 2 4 129
Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain 1 6 11 94 3 20 33 259
NOWCASTING ‘TRUE’ MONTHLY U.S. GDP DURING THE PANDEMIC 0 1 2 6 0 1 2 18
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions using panel survey data 0 0 3 32 0 0 3 92
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise? 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 104
Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data 0 0 0 69 0 0 0 354
R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability 0 0 0 2 0 1 3 14
RECONCILED ESTIMATES AND NOWCASTS OF REGIONAL OUTPUT IN THE UK 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2
Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves 0 0 0 31 1 2 2 138
Reconsidering the Evidence: Are Euro Area Business Cycles Converging? 0 0 0 83 0 3 5 223
Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970 1 1 2 13 2 4 7 51
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 27
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
The drivers of international migration to the UK: A panel‐based Bayesian model averaging approach 0 0 1 49 0 0 1 158
The use of non-normal distributions in quantifying qualitative survey data on expectations 0 0 0 56 0 0 0 298
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 2 29 0 0 3 130
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector auto‐regressive model with entropic tilting 0 1 3 6 0 1 6 23
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 94
WHERE ARE WE NOW? THE UK RECESSION AND NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH USING STATISTICAL MODELS 0 0 0 38 0 0 1 88
Where are we now? The UK Recession and Nowcasting GDP Growth Using Statistical Models 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
Total Journal Articles 6 19 55 1,634 14 68 178 5,800

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Recent Developments in Density Forecasting 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 5
Total Chapters 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 5
1 registered items for which data could not be found
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Statistics updated 2023-05-07