Access Statistics for James Mitchell

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence 0 0 0 132 2 4 14 296
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 21 1 4 9 69
A Nonlinear Panel Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 2 0 1 11 25
Are Revisions to State-Level GDP Data in the US Well Behaved? 0 0 12 25 1 3 25 32
Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees 0 1 3 114 3 5 20 74
Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees 0 0 1 90 1 3 12 52
Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees 0 0 0 0 5 9 21 74
Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation 0 0 0 22 2 4 13 42
Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities 0 0 0 39 1 8 11 148
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 233 11 13 21 326
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 0 71 4 6 9 197
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 32 4 5 12 128
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 1 1 4 0 1 8 19
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 2 0 4 7 22
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 1 5 0 1 5 21
Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics 0 0 1 35 2 5 18 79
Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models 0 1 3 9 3 8 24 44
Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models 0 0 0 26 5 8 18 49
Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data 0 0 0 74 2 3 12 161
Generalised Density Forecast Combinations 0 0 0 119 4 4 8 187
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 1 45 0 1 13 115
Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs 1 26 26 26 4 37 37 37
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 0 28 3 3 16 42
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 1 9 0 2 11 28
Insights into Business Confidence from Firm-Level Panel Data 0 0 0 89 4 4 13 445
Macro Modelling with Many Models 0 0 0 108 1 6 23 119
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 0 200 3 4 21 416
Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth 1 1 1 26 3 5 13 124
Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty 0 0 1 86 2 4 16 255
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 106 3 3 8 352
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 54 2 3 9 118
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 20 0 1 6 126
Measuring output gap uncertainty 0 0 0 79 0 1 15 209
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 0 1 145 3 5 9 487
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 1 1 103 3 4 14 180
Monthly GDP Growth Estimates for the U.S. States 0 0 1 5 4 13 32 38
Monthly and Quarterly GDP Estimates for Interwar Britain 0 0 0 143 2 4 11 300
Monthly and quarterly GDP estimates for interwar Britain 0 0 0 1 4 9 17 24
Mortality in the British Panel Household Survey: a Test of a Standard Treatment for Non-Response 0 0 0 18 1 1 12 42
Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic 0 0 0 60 3 4 10 96
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions in real time using qualitative panel survey data 0 0 0 92 0 1 9 317
Optimal combination of density forecasts 0 0 0 96 1 1 12 234
Poverty and Debt 0 0 0 65 1 4 16 398
Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 12 2 2 17 42
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 10 2 2 7 25
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 9 1 3 8 18
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 17 0 2 10 25
Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise? 0 0 0 28 1 6 16 90
Qualitative Expectational Data as Predictors of Income and Consumption Growth: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 12 2 2 11 47
Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data 0 0 0 112 2 3 18 371
R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability 0 0 0 64 2 4 12 83
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 74 0 0 4 140
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 133 2 5 14 381
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 0 0 9 3 6 15 41
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 0 1 48 5 7 23 138
Reconsidering the evidence: Are Eurozone business cycles converging 0 0 1 43 0 2 14 208
Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging? 0 0 0 120 0 1 11 342
Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 0 0 0 104 1 1 17 170
Should we be surprised by the unreliability of real-time output gap estimates? Density estimates for the Euro area 0 0 0 39 2 6 18 140
The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans 1 5 5 5 3 9 9 9
The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations 0 0 1 12 1 5 12 22
The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance 0 0 0 17 2 4 18 47
The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance 0 0 0 5 2 2 9 22
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 0 0 4 141 4 9 46 276
The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales? 0 0 0 31 4 10 19 40
The Rationality and Reliability of Expectations Reported by British Households: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 20 0 0 10 71
The rationality and reliability of expectations reported by British households: micro evidence from the British household panel survey 0 0 2 99 2 4 15 285
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 32 1 3 13 80
UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model 0 0 1 120 3 4 10 108
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector autoregressive model 0 0 1 69 1 3 8 122
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 39 1 1 8 140
Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 1 1 19 2 4 10 36
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 52 0 2 9 44
Total Working Papers 3 37 72 4,154 149 331 1,032 10,110
16 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A New Measure of Consumers’ (In)Attention to Inflation 0 0 0 13 1 3 16 78
A nonlinear panel data model of cross-sectional dependence 0 0 1 91 4 8 23 270
ARCHITECTS AS NOWCASTERS OF HOUSING CONSTRUCTION 0 0 0 3 3 3 12 40
An Indicator of Monthly GDP and an Early Estimate of Quarterly GDP Growth 0 0 0 279 1 6 20 1,117
Architects as Nowcasters of Housing Construction 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 11
Are revisions to state-level GDP data in the US well behaved? 0 1 3 3 1 2 25 25
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 4 5 5 13 18
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 31 2 3 5 65
CONFIDENCE AND LEADING INDICATORS: INTRODUCTION 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 19
Censored density forecasts: Production and evaluation 0 0 0 4 0 1 11 24
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 82 1 2 16 323
Combining density forecasts 0 0 4 231 3 6 29 476
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 0 141 6 7 24 424
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 0 3 3 7 15 24
Confidence and Leading Indicators: Introduction 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 8
Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics 0 0 1 3 3 6 22 36
Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession 0 0 2 27 1 1 9 90
Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts? 0 0 0 14 2 3 18 52
EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA 0 0 0 0 3 12 23 102
Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness 0 0 0 0 2 3 12 160
Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation* 0 1 2 93 1 4 15 270
FORECASTING MANUFACTURING OUTPUT GROWTH USING FIRM‐LEVEL SURVEY DATA 0 1 1 35 3 5 12 225
Forecasting US Recessions in Real-Time Using Regional Economic Sentiment 1 1 1 1 2 3 5 5
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 1 49 3 6 16 154
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 4 1 2 9 40
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 11
Incidence‐based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life‐tables 0 0 0 21 0 3 9 116
Introduction: Recent Developments in Economic Forecasting 0 0 0 3 3 9 13 34
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 0 6 3 3 4 21
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 1 2 2 8 17 29
Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty 0 0 0 39 5 6 18 155
Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain 0 4 12 141 3 15 40 361
NOWCASTING ‘TRUE’ MONTHLY U.S. GDP DURING THE PANDEMIC 0 0 1 10 3 7 15 38
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions using panel survey data 0 0 0 32 1 4 10 104
PREDICTIVE DENSITY COMBINATION USING BAYESIAN MACHINE LEARNING 1 1 1 1 1 7 18 18
Practice makes perfect: Learning effects with household point and density forecasts of inflation 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 7
Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise? 0 0 0 0 0 3 12 117
Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data 0 0 0 69 0 3 12 373
R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability 1 1 1 5 5 5 14 41
RECONCILED ESTIMATES AND NOWCASTS OF REGIONAL OUTPUT IN THE UK 1 1 2 3 1 1 5 9
Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves 0 0 0 33 2 3 16 162
Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty 0 1 1 5 2 7 16 33
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the United States 0 0 2 3 3 4 19 31
Reconsidering the Evidence: Are Euro Area Business Cycles Converging? 0 0 1 90 2 5 12 247
Regional Economic Sentiment: Constructing Quantitative Estimates from the Beige Book and Testing Their Ability to Forecast Recessions 0 1 4 7 4 15 35 48
Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970 1 1 5 29 3 7 25 102
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 0 2 5 14 17
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 9 2 2 7 36
The drivers of international migration to the UK: A panel‐based Bayesian model averaging approach 0 0 0 49 1 3 12 173
The use of non-normal distributions in quantifying qualitative survey data on expectations 0 0 0 56 1 3 13 313
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 30 1 2 6 140
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector auto‐regressive model with entropic tilting 0 0 0 9 6 8 19 50
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 17 1 1 9 106
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 2 1 2 10 17
WHERE ARE WE NOW? THE UK RECESSION AND NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH USING STATISTICAL MODELS 0 0 3 43 0 1 13 105
Where are we now? The UK Recession and Nowcasting GDP Growth Using Statistical Models 1 1 1 2 2 2 6 11
Total Journal Articles 6 15 51 1,827 116 251 796 7,084


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Measuring Subregional Economic Activity: Missing Frequencies and Missing Data 0 0 0 0 4 4 6 6
Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth Using Bayesian Quantile Regression 0 0 7 20 2 3 23 51
Recent Developments in Density Forecasting 0 0 0 0 2 3 10 17
Total Chapters 0 0 7 20 8 10 39 74
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Statistics updated 2026-05-06