Access Statistics for James Mitchell

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence 0 0 0 132 3 9 12 292
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 21 3 5 5 65
A Nonlinear Panel Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 2 4 8 11 24
Are Revisions to State-Level GDP Data in the US Well Behaved? 0 0 25 25 6 12 29 29
Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees 0 2 3 113 3 13 21 69
Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees 0 1 2 90 2 7 10 49
Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees 0 0 0 0 4 9 13 65
Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation 0 0 0 22 5 8 10 38
Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities 0 0 0 39 2 3 3 140
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 233 6 7 9 313
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 0 71 2 2 4 191
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 32 3 4 9 123
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 2 1 3 5 18
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 3 2 5 7 18
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 1 5 0 0 5 20
Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics 0 0 1 35 7 12 13 74
Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models 0 0 2 8 6 11 17 36
Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models 0 0 0 26 5 8 12 41
Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data 0 0 0 74 5 8 9 158
Generalised Density Forecast Combinations 0 0 0 119 2 4 4 183
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 1 1 45 6 10 12 114
Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 1 9 3 6 10 26
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 3 28 3 5 20 39
Insights into Business Confidence from Firm-Level Panel Data 0 0 1 89 3 5 10 441
Macro Modelling with Many Models 0 0 0 108 8 15 17 113
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 0 200 3 11 20 412
Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth 0 0 0 25 3 7 9 119
Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty 1 1 1 86 5 9 14 251
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 106 3 4 5 349
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 54 3 5 6 115
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 20 3 5 6 125
Measuring output gap uncertainty 0 0 0 79 8 12 15 208
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 0 0 102 5 9 10 176
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 0 2 145 2 2 6 482
Monthly GDP Growth Estimates for the U.S. States 0 0 2 5 4 9 23 25
Monthly and Quarterly GDP Estimates for Interwar Britain 0 0 0 143 5 7 7 296
Monthly and quarterly GDP estimates for interwar Britain 0 0 0 1 4 5 8 15
Mortality in the British Panel Household Survey: a Test of a Standard Treatment for Non-Response 0 0 0 18 5 10 11 41
Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic 0 0 0 60 3 4 6 92
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions in real time using qualitative panel survey data 0 0 0 92 3 5 10 316
Optimal combination of density forecasts 0 0 0 96 6 10 12 233
Poverty and Debt 0 0 0 65 3 9 12 394
Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 2 12 2 8 24 40
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 9 2 4 6 15
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 17 3 4 9 23
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 10 1 4 8 23
Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise? 0 0 0 28 7 8 11 84
Qualitative Expectational Data as Predictors of Income and Consumption Growth: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 12 4 6 9 45
Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data 0 0 0 112 10 15 17 368
R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability 0 0 1 64 4 7 9 79
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 133 4 8 10 376
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 74 3 4 7 140
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 0 1 48 9 12 18 131
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 0 0 9 2 7 10 35
Reconsidering the evidence: Are Eurozone business cycles converging 1 1 2 43 3 8 13 206
Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging? 0 0 0 120 5 8 10 341
Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 0 0 2 104 1 5 19 169
Should we be surprised by the unreliability of real-time output gap estimates? Density estimates for the Euro area 0 0 0 39 7 9 12 134
The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations 0 1 1 12 3 5 7 17
The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance 0 0 0 17 4 10 16 43
The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance 0 0 1 5 3 7 8 20
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 0 3 5 141 9 29 40 267
The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales? 0 0 0 31 3 6 11 30
The Rationality and Reliability of Expectations Reported by British Households: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 20 2 8 11 71
The rationality and reliability of expectations reported by British households: micro evidence from the British household panel survey 0 1 4 99 4 5 13 281
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 32 5 10 10 77
UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model 0 0 1 120 2 4 6 104
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector autoregressive model 0 0 1 69 3 3 5 119
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 39 6 6 7 139
Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 18 3 4 6 32
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 52 2 5 8 42
Total Working Papers 2 11 66 4,117 278 521 797 9,779
16 registered items for which data could not be found

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A New Measure of Consumers’ (In)Attention to Inflation 0 0 0 13 5 7 18 75
A nonlinear panel data model of cross-sectional dependence 0 0 1 91 7 11 15 262
ARCHITECTS AS NOWCASTERS OF HOUSING CONSTRUCTION 0 0 0 3 3 8 9 37
An Indicator of Monthly GDP and an Early Estimate of Quarterly GDP Growth 0 0 0 279 2 10 16 1,111
Architects as Nowcasters of Housing Construction 0 0 0 0 3 5 5 10
Are revisions to state-level GDP data in the US well behaved? 0 1 2 2 8 17 23 23
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 31 1 2 2 62
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 1 4 3 5 9 13
CONFIDENCE AND LEADING INDICATORS: INTRODUCTION 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 17
Censored density forecasts: Production and evaluation 0 0 0 4 5 9 11 23
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 82 2 6 14 321
Combining density forecasts 0 1 4 231 6 16 24 470
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 0 141 0 6 19 417
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 0 3 5 5 8 17
Confidence and Leading Indicators: Introduction 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 5
Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics 0 0 1 3 7 8 20 30
Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession 0 0 2 27 0 3 8 89
Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts? 0 0 0 14 7 12 16 49
EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA 0 0 0 0 10 11 11 90
Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness 0 0 0 0 1 5 11 157
Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation* 0 0 1 92 5 9 12 266
FORECASTING MANUFACTURING OUTPUT GROWTH USING FIRM‐LEVEL SURVEY DATA 0 0 0 34 2 6 7 220
Forecasting US Recessions in Real-Time Using Regional Economic Sentiment 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 1 49 4 7 10 148
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 4 3 5 8 38
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 0 3 6 7 11
Incidence‐based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life‐tables 0 0 0 21 1 4 6 113
Introduction: Recent Developments in Economic Forecasting 0 0 0 3 4 4 4 25
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 0 6 0 1 1 18
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 1 2 3 7 10 21
Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty 0 0 0 39 4 7 12 149
Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain 0 1 14 137 9 13 36 346
NOWCASTING ‘TRUE’ MONTHLY U.S. GDP DURING THE PANDEMIC 0 0 1 10 3 4 8 31
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions using panel survey data 0 0 0 32 4 5 7 100
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 6
Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise? 0 0 0 0 4 6 9 114
Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data 0 0 0 69 8 8 10 370
R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability 0 0 0 4 6 7 11 36
RECONCILED ESTIMATES AND NOWCASTS OF REGIONAL OUTPUT IN THE UK 0 0 1 2 0 3 4 8
Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves 0 0 0 33 4 7 18 159
Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty 0 0 0 4 5 8 11 26
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the United States 0 1 2 3 4 11 16 27
Reconsidering the Evidence: Are Euro Area Business Cycles Converging? 0 0 2 90 3 5 9 242
Regional Economic Sentiment: Constructing Quantitative Estimates from the Beige Book and Testing Their Ability to Forecast Recessions 0 2 4 6 5 15 21 33
Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970 0 1 4 28 5 8 19 95
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 0 6 8 9 12
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 9 2 5 5 34
The drivers of international migration to the UK: A panel‐based Bayesian model averaging approach 0 0 0 49 6 8 9 170
The use of non-normal distributions in quantifying qualitative survey data on expectations 0 0 0 56 6 9 10 310
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 30 1 4 4 138
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector auto‐regressive model with entropic tilting 0 0 0 9 5 7 13 42
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 17 3 7 8 105
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 2 4 7 12 15
WHERE ARE WE NOW? THE UK RECESSION AND NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH USING STATISTICAL MODELS 0 0 3 43 2 7 12 104
Where are we now? The UK Recession and Nowcasting GDP Growth Using Statistical Models 0 0 0 1 2 4 4 9
Total Journal Articles 0 7 45 1,812 206 375 591 6,822

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth Using Bayesian Quantile Regression 0 3 9 20 3 12 22 48
Recent Developments in Density Forecasting 0 0 0 0 4 6 7 14
Total Chapters 0 3 9 20 7 18 29 62
1 registered items for which data could not be found
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