Access Statistics for James Mitchell

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence 0 0 0 132 1 1 14 297
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 21 3 4 14 74
A Nonlinear Panel Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 2 2 2 13 29
Are Revisions to State-Level GDP Data in the US Well Behaved? 0 0 0 25 1 2 20 37
Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees 0 0 3 114 3 6 28 84
Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees 0 0 1 90 1 1 12 54
Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees 0 0 1 1 3 5 28 84
Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation 0 0 0 22 2 2 16 46
Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities 0 0 0 39 1 1 13 150
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 233 0 3 25 331
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 1 72 1 3 18 207
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 32 0 0 10 129
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 1 4 1 4 11 24
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 2 0 2 10 25
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 0 5 4 5 7 27
Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics 1 3 3 38 3 5 26 88
Consumers' Attention to Monetary Policy: The Importance of Having "Skin in the Game" 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models 0 0 0 26 2 3 21 54
Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models 0 1 2 10 11 14 33 58
Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data 0 0 0 74 2 2 16 166
Generalised Density Forecast Combinations 0 0 0 119 0 2 10 189
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 1 45 2 3 14 118
Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs 0 0 29 29 5 6 49 49
Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models using Pseudo VARs 0 3 3 3 3 10 10 10
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 0 9 3 3 14 34
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 0 28 1 1 11 45
Insights into Business Confidence from Firm-Level Panel Data 0 0 0 89 1 1 12 448
Macro Modelling with Many Models 0 0 0 108 3 3 25 123
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 0 200 3 6 22 423
Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth 0 1 2 27 1 5 17 129
Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty 0 0 1 86 4 8 21 263
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 20 2 2 10 130
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 106 1 1 8 353
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 54 1 1 10 120
Measuring Sub-Regional Economic Activity: Missing Frequencies and Missing Data 0 14 14 14 1 10 10 10
Measuring output gap uncertainty 0 0 0 79 2 3 17 213
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 0 1 103 4 5 18 185
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 0 0 145 0 0 8 488
Monthly GDP Growth Estimates for the U.S. States 1 1 2 7 2 4 32 48
Monthly and Quarterly GDP Estimates for Interwar Britain 0 0 0 143 5 11 24 313
Monthly and quarterly GDP estimates for interwar Britain 0 0 0 1 0 0 14 24
Mortality in the British Panel Household Survey: a Test of a Standard Treatment for Non-Response 0 0 0 18 2 2 13 44
Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic 0 0 0 60 1 2 11 99
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions in real time using qualitative panel survey data 0 0 1 93 4 6 14 325
Optimal combination of density forecasts 0 0 0 96 1 1 12 235
Poverty and Debt 0 0 0 65 3 5 29 414
Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 1 13 0 3 14 46
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 10 4 6 12 31
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 17 1 1 8 27
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 9 2 2 10 21
Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise? 0 0 0 28 3 4 21 97
Qualitative Expectational Data as Predictors of Income and Consumption Growth: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 12 4 4 13 52
Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data 0 0 0 112 3 4 22 375
R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability 0 0 1 65 0 2 16 88
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 74 1 3 7 143
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 133 2 5 18 386
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 0 0 9 4 7 20 48
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 1 3 51 4 6 28 147
Reconsidering the evidence: Are Eurozone business cycles converging 0 0 1 43 1 1 12 210
Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging? 0 0 0 120 1 2 11 344
Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 0 0 0 104 0 1 12 176
Should we be surprised by the unreliability of real-time output gap estimates? Density estimates for the Euro area 0 0 0 39 0 0 15 140
The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans 1 1 6 6 1 6 18 18
The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations 0 0 1 12 2 3 14 26
The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance 0 0 0 17 3 4 21 54
The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance 0 0 0 5 2 4 15 28
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 0 2 5 143 1 3 45 283
The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales? 0 1 1 32 3 5 21 45
The Rationality and Reliability of Expectations Reported by British Households: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 20 1 2 10 73
The rationality and reliability of expectations reported by British households: micro evidence from the British household panel survey 0 0 1 99 3 3 15 291
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 32 1 1 16 83
UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model 0 0 0 120 2 3 12 112
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector autoregressive model 0 0 0 69 2 3 9 125
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 39 1 1 9 142
Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 1 19 1 1 11 39
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 52 3 4 12 49
Total Working Papers 3 28 87 4,193 153 263 1,241 10,499
16 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A New Measure of Consumers’ (In)Attention to Inflation 0 0 0 13 3 4 14 82
A nonlinear panel data model of cross-sectional dependence 0 0 0 91 2 2 21 272
ARCHITECTS AS NOWCASTERS OF HOUSING CONSTRUCTION 0 0 0 3 3 4 17 46
An Indicator of Monthly GDP and an Early Estimate of Quarterly GDP Growth 0 0 0 279 2 3 23 1,124
Architects as Nowcasters of Housing Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 11
Are revisions to state-level GDP data in the US well behaved? 1 1 3 4 2 3 23 29
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 4 0 0 10 18
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 31 0 0 5 65
CONFIDENCE AND LEADING INDICATORS: INTRODUCTION 0 0 0 0 5 6 9 25
Censored density forecasts: Production and evaluation 0 0 0 4 1 1 13 27
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 82 3 6 18 333
Combining density forecasts 2 2 3 233 2 4 28 482
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 2 143 1 3 20 431
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 0 3 0 1 15 27
Confidence and Leading Indicators: Introduction 0 0 0 0 3 4 8 12
Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics 0 0 0 3 5 6 20 42
Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession 0 0 0 27 1 1 6 92
Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts? 0 0 0 14 4 4 22 59
EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA 0 0 0 0 1 1 24 103
Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness 0 0 0 0 1 2 12 164
Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation* 0 1 2 94 1 6 25 282
FORECASTING MANUFACTURING OUTPUT GROWTH USING FIRM‐LEVEL SURVEY DATA 0 0 1 35 2 4 15 229
Forecasting US Recessions in Real-Time Using Regional Economic Sentiment 0 0 1 1 5 8 17 17
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 0 49 2 3 20 161
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 4 2 2 11 44
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 11
Incidence‐based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life‐tables 1 1 1 22 4 5 13 122
Introduction: Recent Developments in Economic Forecasting 0 0 0 3 1 1 14 35
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 0 2 3 6 22 36
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 0 6 0 0 5 22
Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty 0 2 2 41 2 5 19 161
Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain 1 1 6 142 4 6 36 369
NOWCASTING ‘TRUE’ MONTHLY U.S. GDP DURING THE PANDEMIC 0 0 0 10 1 2 14 41
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions using panel survey data 0 0 0 32 3 4 13 108
PREDICTIVE DENSITY COMBINATION USING BAYESIAN MACHINE LEARNING 1 1 2 2 4 8 28 29
Practice makes perfect: Learning effects with household point and density forecasts of inflation 0 1 1 1 0 2 3 3
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 2 2 6 10
Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise? 0 0 0 0 4 5 17 125
Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data 0 0 0 69 3 3 14 376
R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability 0 0 1 5 2 2 16 45
RECONCILED ESTIMATES AND NOWCASTS OF REGIONAL OUTPUT IN THE UK 0 0 1 3 2 2 6 11
Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves 0 0 0 33 5 6 18 170
Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty 0 0 1 5 0 0 15 33
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the United States 0 0 2 4 0 1 18 34
Reconsidering the Evidence: Are Euro Area Business Cycles Converging? 0 0 0 90 2 3 14 251
Regional Economic Sentiment: Constructing Quantitative Estimates from the Beige Book and Testing Their Ability to Forecast Recessions 0 0 4 8 1 3 36 54
Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970 0 0 2 29 0 1 16 103
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 0 1 2 16 20
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 9 3 3 11 40
The drivers of international migration to the UK: A panel‐based Bayesian model averaging approach 0 0 0 49 2 4 17 179
The use of non-normal distributions in quantifying qualitative survey data on expectations 0 0 0 56 1 1 16 317
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 30 0 1 7 141
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector auto‐regressive model with entropic tilting 0 0 0 9 2 3 18 53
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 17 3 3 13 111
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 2 2 3 14 22
WHERE ARE WE NOW? THE UK RECESSION AND NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH USING STATISTICAL MODELS 0 0 0 43 3 4 12 109
Where are we now? The UK Recession and Nowcasting GDP Growth Using Statistical Models 0 0 1 2 4 4 11 16
Total Journal Articles 6 10 36 1,841 116 174 889 7,337


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Measuring Subregional Economic Activity: Missing Frequencies and Missing Data 0 0 0 0 1 3 10 10
Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth Using Bayesian Quantile Regression 0 0 3 20 2 2 17 53
Recent Developments in Density Forecasting 0 0 0 0 2 3 13 21
Total Chapters 0 0 3 20 5 8 40 84
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Statistics updated 2026-11-12