Access Statistics for James Mitchell

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence 0 0 0 132 0 3 14 296
A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 21 1 5 10 70
A Nonlinear Panel Model of Cross-sectional Dependence 0 0 0 2 1 1 12 26
Are Revisions to State-Level GDP Data in the US Well Behaved? 0 0 1 25 2 4 19 34
Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees 0 1 3 114 0 5 20 74
Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees 0 0 1 90 1 2 13 53
Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees 1 1 1 1 2 9 23 76
Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation 0 0 0 22 1 3 14 43
Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities 0 0 0 39 0 3 11 148
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 233 2 13 23 328
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 0 0 0 71 4 10 13 201
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 32 1 6 13 129
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 1 4 0 0 7 19
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP 0 0 0 2 1 1 8 23
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 0 5 1 1 4 22
Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics 0 0 1 35 0 4 18 79
Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models 0 1 3 9 0 5 23 44
Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models 0 0 0 26 2 9 19 51
Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data 0 0 0 74 2 4 14 163
Generalised Density Forecast Combinations 0 0 0 119 0 4 8 187
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 1 45 0 0 13 115
Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs 3 6 29 29 3 12 40 40
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 0 28 0 3 15 42
Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting 0 0 1 9 0 0 11 28
Insights into Business Confidence from Firm-Level Panel Data 0 0 0 89 0 4 13 445
Macro Modelling with Many Models 0 0 0 108 1 2 24 120
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 0 200 1 4 22 417
Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth 0 1 1 26 0 4 13 124
Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty 0 0 1 86 0 2 16 255
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 106 0 3 8 352
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 20 1 1 7 127
Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty 0 0 0 54 0 2 9 118
Measuring output gap uncertainty 0 0 0 79 0 1 14 209
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 0 1 145 1 4 10 488
Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain 0 0 1 103 0 3 14 180
Monthly GDP Growth Estimates for the U.S. States 0 0 0 5 2 12 31 40
Monthly and Quarterly GDP Estimates for Interwar Britain 0 0 0 143 1 3 12 301
Monthly and quarterly GDP estimates for interwar Britain 0 0 0 1 0 8 16 24
Mortality in the British Panel Household Survey: a Test of a Standard Treatment for Non-Response 0 0 0 18 0 1 12 42
Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic 0 0 0 60 0 3 10 96
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions in real time using qualitative panel survey data 0 0 0 92 1 2 10 318
Optimal combination of density forecasts 0 0 0 96 0 1 12 234
Poverty and Debt 0 0 0 65 9 10 25 407
Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 12 0 2 16 42
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 17 0 1 9 25
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 9 0 1 8 18
Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function 0 0 0 10 0 2 7 25
Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise? 0 0 0 28 0 3 16 90
Qualitative Expectational Data as Predictors of Income and Consumption Growth: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 12 1 3 11 48
Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data 0 0 0 112 0 3 18 371
R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability 0 0 0 64 0 3 12 83
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 74 0 0 4 140
Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves 0 0 0 133 0 3 14 381
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 2 2 3 50 2 7 25 140
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US 0 0 0 9 0 6 15 41
Reconsidering the evidence: Are Eurozone business cycles converging 0 0 1 43 0 0 13 208
Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging? 0 0 0 120 0 0 11 342
Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 0 0 0 104 3 4 18 173
Should we be surprised by the unreliability of real-time output gap estimates? Density estimates for the Euro area 0 0 0 39 0 2 18 140
The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans 0 1 5 5 2 5 11 11
The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations 0 0 1 12 0 3 12 22
The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance 0 0 0 17 1 5 18 48
The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance 0 0 0 5 1 3 10 23
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 0 0 4 141 3 7 49 279
The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales? 0 0 0 31 0 7 19 40
The Rationality and Reliability of Expectations Reported by British Households: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey 0 0 0 20 0 0 10 71
The rationality and reliability of expectations reported by British households: micro evidence from the British household panel survey 0 0 1 99 1 3 15 286
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 32 0 3 13 80
UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model 0 0 1 120 0 4 10 108
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector autoregressive model 0 0 1 69 0 1 8 122
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 39 0 1 8 140
Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 1 19 1 3 11 37
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 52 1 1 10 45
Total Working Papers 6 13 64 4,160 57 263 1,062 10,167
16 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A New Measure of Consumers’ (In)Attention to Inflation 0 0 0 13 0 1 16 78
A nonlinear panel data model of cross-sectional dependence 0 0 1 91 0 7 23 270
ARCHITECTS AS NOWCASTERS OF HOUSING CONSTRUCTION 0 0 0 3 2 5 14 42
An Indicator of Monthly GDP and an Early Estimate of Quarterly GDP Growth 0 0 0 279 1 3 21 1,118
Architects as Nowcasters of Housing Construction 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 11
Are revisions to state-level GDP data in the US well behaved? 0 0 3 3 1 2 26 26
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 31 0 3 5 65
Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques 0 0 0 4 0 5 12 18
CONFIDENCE AND LEADING INDICATORS: INTRODUCTION 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 19
Censored density forecasts: Production and evaluation 0 0 0 4 1 2 12 25
Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities 0 0 0 82 1 3 17 324
Combining density forecasts 0 0 2 231 1 4 28 477
Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities 1 1 1 142 2 8 26 426
Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP 0 0 0 3 1 5 15 25
Confidence and Leading Indicators: Introduction 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 8
Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics 0 0 1 3 0 5 21 36
Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession 0 0 2 27 0 1 9 90
Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts? 0 0 0 14 0 2 18 52
EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA 0 0 0 0 0 4 23 102
Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness 0 0 0 0 1 3 13 161
Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation* 0 0 2 93 3 4 18 273
FORECASTING MANUFACTURING OUTPUT GROWTH USING FIRM‐LEVEL SURVEY DATA 0 0 1 35 0 3 12 225
Forecasting US Recessions in Real-Time Using Regional Economic Sentiment 0 1 1 1 1 3 6 6
Generalised density forecast combinations 0 0 1 49 2 5 18 156
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 11
Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated? 0 0 0 4 1 2 10 41
Incidence‐based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life‐tables 0 0 0 21 0 2 9 116
Introduction: Recent Developments in Economic Forecasting 0 0 0 3 0 6 13 34
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 0 2 1 5 17 30
Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics 0 0 0 6 1 4 5 22
Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty 0 0 0 39 0 6 18 155
Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain 0 1 8 141 0 7 33 361
NOWCASTING ‘TRUE’ MONTHLY U.S. GDP DURING THE PANDEMIC 0 0 1 10 0 4 15 38
Nowcasting and predicting data revisions using panel survey data 0 0 0 32 0 2 10 104
PREDICTIVE DENSITY COMBINATION USING BAYESIAN MACHINE LEARNING 0 1 1 1 2 6 20 20
Practice makes perfect: Learning effects with household point and density forecasts of inflation 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2
Prudence and UK Trend Growth 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 8
Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise? 0 0 0 0 2 2 14 119
Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data 0 0 0 69 0 1 12 373
R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability 0 1 1 5 2 7 16 43
RECONCILED ESTIMATES AND NOWCASTS OF REGIONAL OUTPUT IN THE UK 0 1 1 3 0 1 4 9
Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves 0 0 0 33 1 4 17 163
Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty 0 0 1 5 0 4 16 33
Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the United States 1 1 3 4 1 5 19 32
Reconsidering the Evidence: Are Euro Area Business Cycles Converging? 0 0 0 90 0 3 11 247
Regional Economic Sentiment: Constructing Quantitative Estimates from the Beige Book and Testing Their Ability to Forecast Recessions 0 0 3 7 2 9 36 50
Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970 0 1 4 29 0 3 24 102
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 9 1 3 8 37
The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 17
The drivers of international migration to the UK: A panel‐based Bayesian model averaging approach 0 0 0 49 1 2 13 174
The use of non-normal distributions in quantifying qualitative survey data on expectations 0 0 0 56 1 4 14 314
The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys 0 0 0 30 0 2 6 140
UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector auto‐regressive model with entropic tilting 0 0 0 9 0 8 19 50
Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data 0 0 0 17 0 1 9 106
Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates 0 0 0 2 1 2 11 18
WHERE ARE WE NOW? THE UK RECESSION AND NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH USING STATISTICAL MODELS 0 0 3 43 0 1 12 105
Where are we now? The UK Recession and Nowcasting GDP Growth Using Statistical Models 0 1 1 2 0 2 6 11
Total Journal Articles 2 9 42 1,829 35 195 812 7,119


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Measuring Subregional Economic Activity: Missing Frequencies and Missing Data 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 6
Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth Using Bayesian Quantile Regression 0 0 6 20 0 2 22 51
Recent Developments in Density Forecasting 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 18
Total Chapters 0 0 6 20 1 9 39 75
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Statistics updated 2026-06-04