Access Statistics for James Morley

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 228
A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change 0 0 0 166 1 1 19 487
A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting 0 0 0 142 0 0 16 335
A Simple Correction for Misspecification in Trend-Cycle Decompositions with an Application to Estimating r* 0 0 1 72 1 1 16 151
A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition 0 0 0 1 0 1 10 429
A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate 0 0 1 27 1 1 15 47
A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate 0 0 1 24 1 1 11 52
A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate 0 0 6 35 1 4 40 128
A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate 0 0 0 10 1 1 9 45
A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes 0 0 1 160 0 1 20 577
Bayesian Analysis of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Purchasing Power Parity Persistence Puzzle 0 0 0 61 0 2 11 103
Cyclical signals from the labor market 0 0 0 11 0 0 13 42
Debt and Financial Market Contagion 0 0 0 51 0 1 27 146
Detecting shift-contagion in currency and bond markets 0 0 0 28 0 1 8 234
Did Marginal Propensities to Consume Change with the Housing Boom and Bust? 0 0 0 4 0 0 10 21
Disagreement over the Nature of Macroeconomic Shocks 0 2 42 42 0 11 56 56
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 0 0 11 955
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 2 4 13 160
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 0 0 11 576
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 0 7 161
Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters Help Predict the Shape of Recessions in Real Time?  0 0 0 50 0 0 10 49
Dutch Disease, Unemployment and Structural Change 0 0 0 9 0 1 15 48
Dutch Disease, Unemployment and Structural Change 0 0 0 18 2 2 9 26
Estimating DSGE models with Zero Interest Rate Policy 0 0 0 101 1 2 11 174
Estimating DSGE models with forward guidance 0 0 0 134 0 1 13 256
Estimating Household Consumption Insurance 0 0 1 96 1 1 16 214
Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 0 151 0 0 18 419
Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 0 121 2 3 12 88
Estimating the Euro Area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic 0 0 1 31 0 1 22 103
Estimating the Expected Duration of the Zero Lower Bound in DSGE Models with Forward Guidance 0 0 0 85 2 2 13 113
Estimating the expected duration of the zero lower bound in DSGE models with forward guidance 0 0 0 88 1 2 13 205
Full Information Estimation of Household Income Risk and Consumption Insurance 0 0 0 63 0 2 8 69
Have the driving forces of inflation changed in advanced and emerging market economies? 0 0 1 26 1 4 27 104
Household Balance Sheets and Consumption Responses to Income Shocks 0 0 1 37 1 1 20 154
How Does Tax and Transfer Progressivity Affect Household Consumption Insurance? 0 0 0 12 0 0 14 37
How Important Is Global R-Star for Open Economies? 0 5 54 124 1 14 161 261
Improving Likelihood-Ratio-Based Confidence Intervals for Threshold Parameters in Finite Samples 0 0 0 91 2 2 14 214
In Search of the Natural Rate of Unemployment 0 0 0 1 0 1 10 307
In search of the natural rate of unemployment 0 0 0 112 0 4 15 461
Inflation in the G7: mind the gap(s)? 0 0 0 69 1 1 15 172
Insurance Effects of Tax-and-Transfer Progressivity 0 0 4 56 1 2 28 90
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 0 0 0 73 1 2 14 146
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 1 1 1 46 1 1 15 99
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 0 0 1 46 0 1 10 73
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 0 0 0 53 1 2 15 105
Intuitive and reliable estimates of the output gap from a Beveridge-Nelson filter 0 0 0 89 1 1 18 176
Inventory Mistakes and the Great Moderation 1 2 2 44 1 3 11 226
Inventory Shocks and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 20 0 3 13 70
Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies? 0 0 0 24 0 1 12 61
Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies? 0 0 0 59 0 1 12 126
Is Inflation Driven by Aggregate or Sectoral Output Gaps? 0 0 34 34 1 2 49 49
Is There a Positive Intertemporal Tradeoff Between Risk and Return After All? 0 0 0 123 0 0 9 469
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 0 2 12 252
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 0 0 7 741
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 0 0 12 259
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 0 0 14 85
Likelihood-Based Confidence Sets for the Timing of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 37 0 0 15 139
Likelihood-Based Confidence Sets for the Timing of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 39 0 1 8 101
Likelihood-Ratio-Based Confidence Sets for the Timing of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 94 2 4 18 256
Marginal propensities to consume before and after the Great Recession 0 0 0 99 0 0 16 304
Measuring Economic Slack: A Forecast-Based Approach with Applications to Economies in Asia and the Pacific 0 0 0 66 1 2 26 147
Measuring the Fiscal Multiplier when Plans Take Time to Implement 0 0 5 41 1 2 26 115
Measuring the fiscal multiplier when plans take time to implement 0 0 0 23 2 4 20 93
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions 0 0 1 158 2 3 21 443
Nowcasting the Output Gap 1 1 1 68 2 2 11 133
Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information? 0 0 1 88 1 3 15 227
Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information? 0 0 0 70 0 0 11 299
Shift Contagion in Asset Markets 0 0 1 157 0 0 10 513
State-Dependent Effects of Fiscal Policy 0 0 0 108 3 5 17 192
Structural Evolution of the Postwar U.S. Economy 0 0 0 28 2 3 11 83
Testing Stationarity for Unobserved Components Models 0 0 0 31 3 6 16 122
Testing for Stationarity and Cointegration in an Unobserved Components Framework 0 0 0 336 1 1 14 1,049
The Adjustment of Prices and the Adjustment of the Exchange Rate 0 0 0 36 0 0 8 139
The Adjustment of Prices and the Adjustment of the Exchange Rate 0 0 1 261 1 2 15 841
The Adjustment of Prices and the Adjustment of the Exchange Rate 0 0 0 130 0 0 12 390
The Australian Real-Time Fiscal Database: An Overview and an Illustration of its Use in Analysing Planned and Realised Fiscal Policies 0 0 0 18 1 1 11 41
The Australian real-time fiscal database: An overview and an illustration of its use in analysing planned and realised fiscal policies 0 0 0 8 2 3 11 75
The Changing Transmission Mechanism of U.S. Monetary Policy 0 0 0 157 3 5 22 394
The Meta Taylor Rule 0 0 2 11 0 0 13 141
The Meta Taylor Rule 0 0 0 72 4 5 40 277
The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features 0 0 0 103 0 1 21 496
Trend-Cycle Decomposition in the Presence of Large Shocks 0 1 14 310 1 6 80 833
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease 0 0 0 12 2 2 14 29
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 0 7 0 0 17 25
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 0 4 0 0 9 21
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 1 8 0 0 14 28
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 0 43 1 2 10 106
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: HowRelevant Is Dutch Disease? 1 1 3 8 2 2 13 31
What Factors Drive the Price-Rent Ratio for the Housing Market? A Modified Present-Value Approach 0 0 0 110 0 1 14 337
When Do Discretionary Changes in Government Spending or Taxes Have Larger Effects? 0 0 0 64 1 2 13 184
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 2 60 0 0 15 169
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 1 2 13 164
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 0 0 11 290
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 2 2 15 208
Why has the U.S. economy stagnated since the Great Recession? 0 0 0 45 2 3 20 131
Why has the US economy stagnated since the Great Recession? 0 0 0 79 1 1 6 270
Total Working Papers 4 13 184 6,853 74 171 1,698 21,278
8 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting 0 0 1 14 1 2 21 60
A Kalman filter approach to characterizing the Canadian term structure of interest rates 0 0 5 144 1 2 24 359
A Simple Correction for Misspecification in Trend-Cycle Decompositions with an Application to Estimating r* 0 0 0 5 0 0 10 21
A state-space approach to calculating the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition 0 0 1 175 0 5 22 364
Bayesian analysis of nonlinear exchange rate dynamics and the purchasing power parity persistence puzzle 0 0 0 20 0 2 17 100
Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation 0 0 0 91 0 0 16 350
Changes in U.S. Inflation Persistence 1 1 1 227 1 3 18 498
Debt and financial market contagion 0 0 0 3 2 3 20 37
Detecting shift-contagion in currency and bond markets 0 0 0 123 0 0 25 383
Did marginal propensities to consume change with the housing boom and bust? 0 0 5 13 1 2 17 38
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 0 0 23 652
Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters help predict the shape of recessions in real time? 0 0 1 3 0 2 14 21
Estimating DSGE models with zero interest rate policy 0 0 1 113 1 2 20 382
Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions 0 0 3 32 1 1 20 127
Estimating household consumption insurance 0 0 1 17 2 2 20 62
Estimating the euro area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic 0 0 0 5 0 3 21 50
INFLATION IN THE G7: MIND THE GAP(S)? 0 0 0 10 2 3 10 58
INTRODUCTION TO “SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, AND INFLATION: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF CHARLES NELSON” 0 0 0 9 0 0 6 36
IS BUSINESS CYCLE ASYMMETRY INTRINSIC IN INDUSTRIALIZED ECONOMIES? 0 0 2 8 0 0 13 39
Improving likelihood-ratio-based confidence intervals for threshold parameters in finite samples 0 0 0 1 2 5 17 29
In search of the natural rate of unemployment 1 2 7 142 3 7 31 530
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 1 1 7 141 4 7 49 533
Inventory Shocks and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 10 1 1 8 59
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 1 2 11 465
Likelihood‐ratio‐based confidence sets for the timing of structural breaks 0 0 0 12 1 2 19 101
MACRO-FINANCE LINKAGES 0 0 0 43 1 1 12 133
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions 0 0 0 286 0 0 19 940
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions 0 0 1 3 2 2 12 25
Nowcasting the output gap 1 1 2 20 24 25 45 115
Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information? 0 0 0 24 0 0 14 118
State-dependent effects of fiscal policy 0 0 2 103 2 4 32 400
Structural evolution of the postwar U.S. economy 0 0 0 32 0 0 11 131
TESTING STATIONARITY WITH UNOBSERVED-COMPONENTS MODELS 0 0 2 6 1 1 11 46
THE TWO INTERPRETATIONS OF THE BEVERIDGE–NELSON DECOMPOSITION 1 1 1 48 1 1 18 154
The Asymmetric Business Cycle 0 0 1 179 1 1 16 638
The Australian Real‐Time Fiscal Database: An Overview with Illustrations of Its Use in Analysing Fiscal Policy 0 0 1 9 0 0 12 22
The Econometric Analysis of Recurrent Events in Macroeconomics and Finance 0 0 0 9 0 0 6 48
The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Output 0 0 0 58 0 0 17 150
The Meta Taylor Rule 0 0 1 21 0 2 22 120
The Slow Adjustment of Aggregate Consumption to Permanent Income 0 0 0 93 0 0 8 345
The Slow Adjustment of Aggregate Consumption to Permanent Income 0 0 1 8 1 2 15 42
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 0 0 8 103
The business cycle: periodic pandemic or rollercoaster ride? 0 0 1 29 0 1 5 145
The changing transmission mechanism of US monetary policy 0 0 1 33 4 6 22 166
Time variation of CAPM betas across market volatility regimes 0 0 1 34 3 7 44 252
Trend-cycle decomposition in the presence of large shocks 0 0 2 4 1 2 20 29
Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes 0 0 0 66 0 0 18 233
What factors drive the price–rent ratio for the housing market? A modified present-value analysis 0 0 0 32 0 0 11 165
When is discretionary fiscal policy effective? 0 0 1 9 2 4 31 78
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 3 3 5 489 4 5 28 1,140
Why Has the U.S. Economy Stagnated since the Great Recession? 0 0 3 26 1 2 33 131
Zero Interest Policy & the New Abnormal: A Critique 0 0 0 1 0 0 12 19
Total Journal Articles 8 9 61 3,108 72 122 974 11,242


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Factor Model Analysis of the Effects on Inflation Targeting on the Australian Economy 0 0 0 14 0 0 14 76
Discussion of Capital Flow Policies, Monetary Policy and Coordination 0 0 0 8 0 0 9 50
Measuring economic slack in Asia and the Pacific 0 0 0 6 0 0 5 54
The Importance of Nonlinearity in Reproducing Business Cycle Features 0 0 0 0 1 1 11 13
What drives inflation in advanced and emerging market economies? 0 0 1 33 0 0 22 112
Total Chapters 0 0 1 61 1 1 61 305


Statistics updated 2026-09-10