Access Statistics for James Morley

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change 0 0 0 0 1 5 9 228
A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change 0 0 0 166 3 10 19 485
A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting 0 0 0 142 0 5 18 334
A Simple Correction for Misspecification in Trend-Cycle Decompositions with an Application to Estimating r* 0 0 2 72 3 8 17 150
A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition 0 0 0 1 4 5 10 428
A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate 0 0 1 10 0 0 8 43
A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate 0 0 1 27 1 3 16 46
A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate 0 0 2 24 1 4 13 51
A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate 0 0 9 34 3 8 48 123
A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes 0 0 1 160 5 8 19 576
Bayesian Analysis of Nonlinear Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Purchasing Power Parity Persistence Puzzle 0 0 0 61 3 4 9 101
Cyclical signals from the labor market 0 0 0 11 2 3 13 40
Debt and Financial Market Contagion 0 0 0 51 6 12 29 145
Detecting shift-contagion in currency and bond markets 0 0 0 28 0 1 6 232
Did Marginal Propensities to Consume Change with the Housing Boom and Bust? 0 0 0 4 0 2 12 21
Disagreement over the Nature of Macroeconomic Shocks 28 38 38 38 17 40 40 40
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 2 2 9 156
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 1 4 11 955
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 1 1 11 576
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 2 7 161
Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters Help Predict the Shape of Recessions in Real Time?  0 0 0 50 0 1 10 48
Dutch Disease, Unemployment and Structural Change 0 0 0 9 2 4 15 47
Dutch Disease, Unemployment and Structural Change 0 0 0 18 1 2 8 24
Estimating DSGE models with Zero Interest Rate Policy 0 0 0 101 3 4 9 172
Estimating DSGE models with forward guidance 0 0 1 134 1 6 21 255
Estimating Household Consumption Insurance 0 0 1 96 3 5 13 211
Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 0 121 3 5 10 85
Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 0 0 0 151 2 9 17 417
Estimating the Euro Area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic 0 0 1 31 6 6 23 102
Estimating the Expected Duration of the Zero Lower Bound in DSGE Models with Forward Guidance 0 0 0 85 3 5 12 111
Estimating the expected duration of the zero lower bound in DSGE models with forward guidance 0 0 0 88 3 4 12 203
Full Information Estimation of Household Income Risk and Consumption Insurance 0 0 0 63 1 1 7 67
Have the driving forces of inflation changed in advanced and emerging market economies? 0 0 2 26 3 7 27 99
Household Balance Sheets and Consumption Responses to Income Shocks 0 0 1 36 3 7 17 149
How Does Tax and Transfer Progressivity Affect Household Consumption Insurance? 0 0 2 12 1 6 20 36
How Important Is Global R-Star for Open Economies? 2 7 111 116 8 29 222 232
Improving Likelihood-Ratio-Based Confidence Intervals for Threshold Parameters in Finite Samples 0 0 0 91 4 6 12 212
In Search of the Natural Rate of Unemployment 0 0 0 1 2 4 10 306
In search of the natural rate of unemployment 0 0 0 112 1 2 12 456
Inflation in the G7: mind the gap(s)? 0 0 0 69 2 2 14 169
Insurance Effects of Tax-and-Transfer Progressivity 0 0 8 56 1 4 35 87
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 0 0 1 53 2 5 18 103
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 0 0 1 45 3 6 15 98
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 0 1 2 46 1 4 10 72
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 0 0 0 73 5 6 12 144
Intuitive and reliable estimates of the output gap from a Beveridge-Nelson filter 0 0 0 89 4 8 17 174
Inventory Mistakes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 42 4 4 8 223
Inventory Shocks and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 20 1 2 13 67
Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies? 0 0 0 24 1 3 9 58
Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies? 0 0 0 59 0 2 10 123
Is Inflation Driven by Aggregate or Sectoral Output Gaps? 0 0 34 34 1 6 46 46
Is There a Positive Intertemporal Tradeoff Between Risk and Return After All? 0 0 0 123 0 2 10 469
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 2 3 6 740
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 2 4 10 250
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 2 4 13 259
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 0 1 12 83
Likelihood-Based Confidence Sets for the Timing of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 39 0 1 7 100
Likelihood-Based Confidence Sets for the Timing of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 37 3 3 15 138
Likelihood-Ratio-Based Confidence Sets for the Timing of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 94 4 6 14 252
Marginal propensities to consume before and after the Great Recession 0 0 0 99 4 7 18 303
Measuring Economic Slack: A Forecast-Based Approach with Applications to Economies in Asia and the Pacific 0 0 0 66 10 17 26 145
Measuring the Fiscal Multiplier when Plans Take Time to Implement 0 0 7 41 0 2 19 102
Measuring the fiscal multiplier when plans take time to implement 0 0 0 23 4 9 16 89
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions 0 0 0 157 0 4 17 439
Nowcasting the Output Gap 0 0 1 67 2 2 9 130
Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information? 0 0 1 88 2 2 10 222
Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information? 0 0 0 70 2 3 10 297
Shift Contagion in Asset Markets 0 0 1 157 1 2 11 513
State-Dependent Effects of Fiscal Policy 0 0 0 108 2 7 12 187
Structural Evolution of the Postwar U.S. Economy 0 0 0 28 0 0 8 80
Testing Stationarity for Unobserved Components Models 0 0 0 31 1 2 9 115
Testing for Stationarity and Cointegration in an Unobserved Components Framework 0 0 0 336 0 2 14 1,048
The Adjustment of Prices and the Adjustment of the Exchange Rate 0 0 0 36 1 3 8 139
The Adjustment of Prices and the Adjustment of the Exchange Rate 0 0 2 261 5 8 14 838
The Adjustment of Prices and the Adjustment of the Exchange Rate 0 0 0 130 0 2 13 390
The Australian Real-Time Fiscal Database: An Overview and an Illustration of its Use in Analysing Planned and Realised Fiscal Policies 0 0 0 18 0 4 10 39
The Australian real-time fiscal database: An overview and an illustration of its use in analysing planned and realised fiscal policies 0 0 0 8 2 4 10 72
The Changing Transmission Mechanism of U.S. Monetary Policy 0 0 0 157 0 4 18 389
The Meta Taylor Rule 0 0 0 72 7 11 33 269
The Meta Taylor Rule 0 0 2 11 3 5 13 141
The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features 0 0 0 103 4 4 24 495
Trend-Cycle Decomposition in the Presence of Large Shocks 2 3 17 308 9 24 91 825
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease 0 0 0 12 2 4 14 27
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 1 8 1 3 14 27
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 0 4 2 4 10 20
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 0 43 0 3 7 102
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 0 7 2 6 17 25
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: How Relevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 6
Unemployment in a Commodity-Rich Economy: HowRelevant Is Dutch Disease? 0 0 2 7 3 4 10 27
What Factors Drive the Price-Rent Ratio for the Housing Market? A Modified Present-Value Approach 0 0 0 110 1 2 15 336
When Do Discretionary Changes in Government Spending or Taxes Have Larger Effects? 0 0 0 64 3 4 13 182
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 3 5 12 162
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 1 1 11 290
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 2 60 1 2 14 168
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 3 4 15 206
Why has the U.S. economy stagnated since the Great Recession? 0 0 0 45 2 6 20 127
Why has the US economy stagnated since the Great Recession? 0 0 1 79 0 4 8 269
Total Working Papers 32 50 256 6,831 226 499 1,693 21,019
8 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting 0 0 2 14 4 5 21 56
A Kalman filter approach to characterizing the Canadian term structure of interest rates 1 4 6 144 5 11 23 357
A Simple Correction for Misspecification in Trend-Cycle Decompositions with an Application to Estimating r* 0 0 0 5 3 3 10 19
A state-space approach to calculating the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition 0 1 3 175 1 8 20 359
Bayesian analysis of nonlinear exchange rate dynamics and the purchasing power parity persistence puzzle 0 0 0 20 4 4 15 97
Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation 0 0 0 91 2 6 17 350
Changes in U.S. Inflation Persistence 0 0 0 226 2 5 17 495
Debt and financial market contagion 0 0 0 3 2 5 19 33
Detecting shift-contagion in currency and bond markets 0 0 0 123 1 5 28 382
Did marginal propensities to consume change with the housing boom and bust? 0 1 6 13 1 5 16 35
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 1 3 23 651
Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters help predict the shape of recessions in real time? 0 0 1 3 2 2 13 18
Estimating DSGE models with zero interest rate policy 0 0 2 113 6 8 23 379
Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions 0 0 7 32 0 3 27 126
Estimating household consumption insurance 0 0 1 17 4 5 21 60
Estimating the euro area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic 0 0 1 5 3 8 19 46
INFLATION IN THE G7: MIND THE GAP(S)? 0 0 0 10 0 1 6 54
INTRODUCTION TO “SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, AND INFLATION: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF CHARLES NELSON” 0 0 0 9 1 3 6 36
IS BUSINESS CYCLE ASYMMETRY INTRINSIC IN INDUSTRIALIZED ECONOMIES? 0 1 2 8 2 7 13 38
Improving likelihood-ratio-based confidence intervals for threshold parameters in finite samples 0 0 0 1 1 3 11 22
In search of the natural rate of unemployment 1 2 8 140 2 7 32 522
Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter 0 2 10 140 2 12 57 525
Inventory Shocks and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 10 0 3 6 57
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 2 3 10 463
Likelihood‐ratio‐based confidence sets for the timing of structural breaks 0 0 0 12 2 5 18 98
MACRO-FINANCE LINKAGES 0 0 0 43 2 3 11 132
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions 0 0 1 3 2 4 10 23
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions 0 0 0 286 3 6 21 940
Nowcasting the output gap 0 0 1 19 4 8 22 88
Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information? 0 0 0 24 1 4 14 118
State-dependent effects of fiscal policy 1 1 1 102 3 12 30 394
Structural evolution of the postwar U.S. economy 0 0 0 32 2 5 13 131
TESTING STATIONARITY WITH UNOBSERVED-COMPONENTS MODELS 0 0 2 6 2 2 9 44
THE TWO INTERPRETATIONS OF THE BEVERIDGE–NELSON DECOMPOSITION 0 0 0 47 7 12 21 153
The Asymmetric Business Cycle 0 1 3 179 5 9 16 636
The Australian Real‐Time Fiscal Database: An Overview with Illustrations of Its Use in Analysing Fiscal Policy 0 0 0 8 2 4 11 21
The Econometric Analysis of Recurrent Events in Macroeconomics and Finance 0 0 0 9 1 4 7 48
The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Output 0 0 0 58 1 8 17 149
The Meta Taylor Rule 0 0 1 21 1 10 20 117
The Slow Adjustment of Aggregate Consumption to Permanent Income 0 0 1 8 1 2 13 40
The Slow Adjustment of Aggregate Consumption to Permanent Income 0 0 0 93 2 3 9 344
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 1 3 8 103
The business cycle: periodic pandemic or rollercoaster ride? 0 0 2 29 0 0 6 144
The changing transmission mechanism of US monetary policy 0 0 1 33 1 6 19 159
Time variation of CAPM betas across market volatility regimes 0 1 1 34 3 15 38 245
Trend-cycle decomposition in the presence of large shocks 0 0 3 3 4 8 25 26
Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes 0 0 0 66 4 7 18 230
What factors drive the price–rent ratio for the housing market? A modified present-value analysis 0 0 1 32 2 3 16 163
When is discretionary fiscal policy effective? 0 1 2 9 5 10 29 73
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 3 486 7 9 26 1,133
Why Has the U.S. Economy Stagnated since the Great Recession? 0 0 3 25 3 8 35 126
Zero Interest Policy & the New Abnormal: A Critique 0 0 0 1 6 7 14 18
Total Journal Articles 3 16 75 3,095 128 302 949 11,076


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Factor Model Analysis of the Effects on Inflation Targeting on the Australian Economy 0 0 0 14 0 5 13 75
Discussion of Capital Flow Policies, Monetary Policy and Coordination 0 0 0 8 2 4 9 50
Measuring economic slack in Asia and the Pacific 0 0 0 6 1 1 6 53
The Importance of Nonlinearity in Reproducing Business Cycle Features 0 0 0 0 0 3 11 12
What drives inflation in advanced and emerging market economies? 0 1 2 33 2 7 23 112
Total Chapters 0 1 2 61 5 20 62 302


Statistics updated 2026-05-06