| Working Paper | 
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          12 months | 
          Total | 
          Last month | 
          3 months | 
          12 months | 
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            | 'If You Only Have a Hammer': Optimal Dynamic Prevention Policy | 
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            18 | 
            18 | 
            0 | 
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            30 | 
            30 | 
          
          
            | Access to Power, Political Institutions and Ethnic Favoritism | 
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            49 | 
            3 | 
            4 | 
            6 | 
            148 | 
          
          
            | Building Bridges to Peace: A Quantitative Evaluation of Power-Sharing Agreements | 
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            | Building Bridges to Peace: A Quantitative Evaluation of Power-Sharing Agreements | 
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            | Building Bridges to Peace: A Quantitative Evaluation of Power-Sharing Agreements | 
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            | Building Bridges to Peace: A Quantitative Evaluation of Power-Sharing Agreements | 
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            0 | 
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            10 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            16 | 
          
          
            | Can Power-sharing Foster Peace? Evidence From Northern Ireland | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            19 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            4 | 
            24 | 
          
          
            | Caught in a Trap: Simulating the Economic Consequences of Internal Armed Conflict | 
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            0 | 
            2 | 
            8 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            12 | 
            23 | 
          
          
            | Conflict and Poverty | 
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            0 | 
            3 | 
            23 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            27 | 
            130 | 
          
          
            | Cultural Leaders and the Clash of Civilizations | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            61 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            5 | 
            172 | 
          
          
            | Dynamic Early Warning and Action Model | 
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            0 | 
            3 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            11 | 
          
          
            | Dynamic Early Warning and Action Model | 
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            0 | 
            2 | 
            8 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            6 | 
            33 | 
          
          
            | Dynamic Early Warning and Action Model | 
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            0 | 
            1 | 
            17 | 
            4 | 
            4 | 
            6 | 
            35 | 
          
          
            | Economic Uncertainty and Divisive Politics: Evidence from the "dos Españas" | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            9 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            28 | 
          
          
            | Economic Uncertainty and Divisive Politics: Evidence from the dos Españas | 
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            0 | 
            1 | 
            14 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            6 | 
            25 | 
          
          
            | Economic uncertainty and divisive politics: evidence from the dos Españas | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            21 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            8 | 
            57 | 
          
          
            | Estimating the Peace Dividend:The Impact of Violence on HousePrices in Northern Ireland | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            133 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            8 | 
            590 | 
          
          
            | Estimating the peace dividend: the impact of violence on house prices in Northern Ireland | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            12 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            4 | 
            75 | 
          
          
            | Estimating the peace dividend: the impact of violence on house prices in Northern Ireland | 
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            2 | 
            2 | 
            42 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            4 | 
            269 | 
          
          
            | Executive Constraints as Robust Control | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            43 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            7 | 
            107 | 
          
          
            | Feeling Useless: The Effect of Unemployment on Mental Health in the Great Recession | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            87 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            10 | 
            132 | 
          
          
            | Feeling Useless: The Effect of Unemployment on Mental Health in the Great Recession | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            6 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            7 | 
            55 | 
          
          
            | Feeling Useless: The Effect of Unemployment on Mental Health in the Great Recession | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            54 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            4 | 
            82 | 
          
          
            | Feeling Useless: The Effect of Unemployment on Mental Health in the Great Recession | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            72 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            5 | 
            114 | 
          
          
            | Growth and Violence: Argument for a Per Capita Measure of Civil War | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            79 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            88 | 
          
          
            | How Big Is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            4 | 
            2 | 
            5 | 
            10 | 
            28 | 
          
          
            | How Big is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data | 
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            0 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            7 | 
            8 | 
          
          
            | How Big is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            9 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            12 | 
          
          
            | How Big is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            2 | 
          
          
            | How Much Is Prevention Worth? | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            5 | 
          
          
            | How big is the media multiplier? Evidence from dyadic news data | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            3 | 
            7 | 
          
          
            | Institutions, Volatility and Investment | 
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            0 | 
            1 | 
            209 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            608 | 
          
          
            | Institutions, volatility and investment | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            4 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            18 | 
          
          
            | Introducing a Global Dataset on Conflict Forecasts and News Topics | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            7 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            7 | 
            15 | 
          
          
            | Introducing a Global Dataset on Conflict Forecasts and News Topics | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            4 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
          
          
            | Monitoring War Destruction from Space Using Machine Learning | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            26 | 
            6 | 
            6 | 
            14 | 
            65 | 
          
          
            | Monitoring War Destruction from Space: A Machine Learning Approach | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            16 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            68 | 
          
          
            | One Kind of Lawlessness: Estimating the Welfare Cost of Somali Piracy | 
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            0 | 
            1 | 
            42 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            6 | 
            203 | 
          
          
            | One Kind of Lawlessness: Estimating the Welfare Cost of Somali Piracy | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            203 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            4 | 
            697 | 
          
          
            | Political Support and Candidate Choice | 
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            0 | 
            0 | 
            112 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            720 | 
          
          
            | Predation, Protection and Productivity: A Firm-Level Perspective | 
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            0 | 
            1 | 
            69 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            4 | 
            176 | 
          
          
            | Predation, protection, and productivity: a firm-level perspective | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            10 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            51 | 
          
          
            | Primaries: The Unifying Force | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            31 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            90 | 
          
          
            | Primaries: the unifying force | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            28 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            4 | 
            78 | 
          
          
            | Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            50 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            92 | 
          
          
            | Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            78 | 
            2 | 
            3 | 
            7 | 
            200 | 
          
          
            | Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            24 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            5 | 
            69 | 
          
          
            | Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            14 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            50 | 
          
          
            | Recovery from conflict: lessons of success | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            14 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            36 | 
          
          
            | Road Investment and Violence in DRC: Perishable Peace Dividends | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            3 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            9 | 
            9 | 
          
          
            | Stop fighting and wealth will follow | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            34 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            95 | 
          
          
            | Tectonic Boundaries and Strongholds: The Religious Geography of Violence in Northern Ireland | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            32 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            5 | 
            254 | 
          
          
            | Terror and Tourism: The Economic Consequences of Media Coverage | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            67 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            5 | 
            281 | 
          
          
            | Terror and Tourism: The Economic Consequences of Media Coverage | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            5 | 
            50 | 
            0 | 
            4 | 
            20 | 
            173 | 
          
          
            | Terror and Tourism: The Economic Consequences of Media Coverage | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            4 | 
            21 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            10 | 
            45 | 
          
          
            | Terror and Tourism: The Economic Consequences of Media Coverage | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            17 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            5 | 
            47 | 
          
          
            | Thanks for Nothing? Not-for-Profits and Motivated Agents | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            20 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            106 | 
          
          
            | Thanks for Nothing? Not-for-Profits and Motivated Agents | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            49 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            337 | 
          
          
            | The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            20 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            4 | 
            68 | 
          
          
            | The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            33 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            75 | 
          
          
            | The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            24 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            6 | 
            75 | 
          
          
            | The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            35 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            5 | 
            143 | 
          
          
            | The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            10 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            26 | 
          
          
            | The Impacts of Armed Conflict on Human Development | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            21 | 
            21 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            24 | 
            24 | 
          
          
            | The Impacts of Armed Conflict on Human Development | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            24 | 
            24 | 
            0 | 
            7 | 
            94 | 
            94 | 
          
          
            | The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            9 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            4 | 
            9 | 
          
          
            | The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            4 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            5 | 
            8 | 
          
          
            | The Peace Dividend of Distance: Violence as Interaction Across Space | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            29 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            4 | 
            115 | 
          
          
            | The Urgency of Conflict Prevention – A Macroeconomic Perspective | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            3 | 
            3 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            15 | 
            15 | 
          
          
            | The hard problem of prediction for conflict prevention | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            16 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            26 | 
          
          
            | The impacts of armed conflict on human development: a review of the literature | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            6 | 
            6 | 
          
          
            | The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            19 | 
            0 | 
            2 | 
            9 | 
            27 | 
          
          
            | The welfare cost of lawlessness: evidence from Somali piracy | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            42 | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            2 | 
            82 | 
          
          
            | Using Past Violence and Current News to Predict Changes in Violence | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            1 | 
            18 | 
            0 | 
            0 | 
            3 | 
            26 | 
          
          
            | Using Past Violence and Current News to Predict Changes in Violence | 
            1 | 
            2 | 
            2 | 
            23 | 
            2 | 
            4 | 
            7 | 
            41 | 
          
          
            | Volatility and Political Institutions: Theory and Application to Economic Growth | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            1 | 
            136 | 
            2 | 
            2 | 
            6 | 
            321 | 
          
          
            | Total Working Papers | 
            3 | 
            13 | 
            122 | 
            2,517 | 
            36 | 
            114 | 
            531 | 
            8,095 |