Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 0 0 7 169
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 1 1 109 1 2 12 438
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 1 33 1 2 11 141
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 1 2 7 657
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 74
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 1 4 21 1,100
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 0 55 1 1 12 278
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 0 1 9 265
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 0 152 1 2 14 465
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 0 3 99
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 0 0 11 955
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 0 3 12 160
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 0 7 161
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 1 1 12 577
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 234
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 1,117
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 1 2 19 302
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 219
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 0 4 116
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 0 3 14 750
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 1 2 18 207
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 0 1 9 124
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 0 2 11 405
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 0 0 12 252
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 1 1 8 742
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 0 0 14 85
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 0 0 12 259
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 1 1 242 0 2 9 569
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 0 1 15 125
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 1 3 19 873
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 0 1 13 640
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 534 0 1 29 1,460
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 405 0 1 40 1,126
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 93
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 302
Nelson_Plosser 1 1 4 611 2 4 32 1,577
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 262
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 1 1 13 55
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 1 1 293 1 3 11 800
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 0 1 12 1,379
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 0 0 11 309
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 1 133 0 1 15 304
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 1 17 259
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 1 3 23 210
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 1 1 17 38
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 94 2 2 24 472
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 121 0 1 13 183
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 0 2 16 455
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 1 1 15 482
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 0 1 8 414
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 0 0 8 72
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 270
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 1 20 493
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 1,069
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 0 2 21 181
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 64
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 1 7 277
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 155
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 1,122
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 369
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 113
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 49 0 0 7 124
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 0 103 0 1 22 512
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 0 0 10 249
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 0 0 13 69
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 2 3 18 555
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 123
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 19 0 0 8 159
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 247 0 0 7 1,201
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 1,294
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 1 1 13 6,383
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 133
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 1 1 5 84
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 0 4 56
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 152 0 1 13 479
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 0 2 13 702
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 0 1 19 174
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 1 1 1 73 1 2 12 175
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 0 1 13 139
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 182 0 1 14 565
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 2 16 149
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 510
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 1 2 172 3 11 33 1,131
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 3 15 354
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 122
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 0 1 9 450
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 98
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 54 0 1 17 138
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 0 0 12 66
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 1 3 10 186
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 0 0 11 290
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 2 60 1 1 16 170
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 0 1 13 164
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 338 0 0 16 763
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 3 5 18 211
Total Working Papers 2 6 15 8,684 34 112 1,266 44,916


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 0 2 11 683
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 0 0 5 127
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 0 0 2 115 0 5 29 393
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 0 5 152
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 2 6 17 2,037 6 13 74 4,070
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 0 6 0 0 7 42
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 33
Adjustment lags vs. information lags: a test of alternative explanations of the Phillips curve phenomenon 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 26
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 0 1 8 262
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 26
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 3 7 9 677 3 7 31 1,462
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 0 1 6 48
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 0 1 4 29
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 3 3 26 655
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 0 1 11 85
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 0 0 9 56
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 1 1 11 26
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 1 1 6 145
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 0 3 289 1 2 20 611
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 0 1 225 0 3 18 785
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 0 0 18 1,106
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 0 0 6 33
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 0 0 5 93
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 1 3 9 865 1 5 24 2,580
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 0 1 53 0 0 3 277
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 1 2 8 21
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 0 1 218 1 1 12 801
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 0 1 3 429 1 2 16 1,182
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 2 3 13 467
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 0 81 0 3 13 239
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 0 0 4 32
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 479
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 0 3 21 811
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 0 1 236 0 1 15 573
Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? comments 0 0 0 43 0 1 7 272
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 7 23 120 6,784 23 64 363 14,287
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 366
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 0 2 7 462 0 5 25 1,005
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 0 0 8 66
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 0 1 5 54
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 0 0 3 86
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 0 0 8 88
Recursive structure in U.S. income, prices and output 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 37
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 0 522 1 2 17 1,670
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 0 0 28 178
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 0 1 17 557
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 1 1 1 59 1 1 9 238
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 2 3 19 851
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 1 1 17 87
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 0 0 7 50
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 0 0 10 142
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 3 160 0 1 43 432
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 1 1 6 183 2 2 33 671
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 0 0 8 444 2 4 41 1,233
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 0 1 34 0 0 12 106
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 220
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 89
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 0 1 18 566
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 0 8 0 0 12 31
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 158
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 0 0 7 398 1 3 24 1,201
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 0 0 2 78 0 1 13 260
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 0 0 8 103
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 1 2 14 785
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 0 0 11 555
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 0 0 7 140
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 92 1 1 11 394
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 0 0 9 166
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 25 1 7 21 115
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 2 4 14 3,534 5 15 59 8,457
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 381
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 1 4 6 490 1 5 29 1,141
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 0 0 8 417
Total Journal Articles 18 52 222 20,173 64 184 1,430 56,065
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 4 18 121 11,079
Total Books 0 0 0 0 4 18 121 11,079


Statistics updated 2026-10-11