Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 0 1 7 169
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 1 33 1 1 11 140
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 1 1 7 656
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 1 1 1 109 1 1 11 437
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 74
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 1 3 20 1,099
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 0 55 0 1 12 277
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 0 1 9 265
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 0 152 1 2 14 464
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 0 4 99
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 0 0 11 955
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 2 4 13 160
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 0 0 11 576
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 0 7 161
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 234
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 1,117
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 1 1 18 301
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 219
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 0 4 116
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 1 2 9 124
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 2 3 14 750
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 1 1 17 206
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 1 3 11 405
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 0 2 12 252
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 0 0 7 741
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 0 0 12 259
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 0 0 14 85
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 1 1 1 242 2 2 9 569
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 2 4 18 872
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 1 2 15 125
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 0 1 13 640
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 534 1 1 29 1,460
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 405 0 1 40 1,126
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 302
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 93
Nelson_Plosser 0 0 3 610 1 2 31 1,575
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 262
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 54
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 1 1 293 1 2 10 799
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 1 1 12 1,379
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 0 0 11 309
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 1 133 0 1 16 304
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 2 2 22 209
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 1 17 259
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 0 0 16 37
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 94 0 0 23 470
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 121 1 1 13 183
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 2 3 16 455
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 0 0 14 481
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 0 1 8 72
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 1 1 8 414
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 1 2 20 493
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 2 28 270
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 0 3 22 181
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 1 2 14 1,069
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 64
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 1 1 7 277
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 154
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 1,122
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 369
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 113
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 49 0 0 8 124
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 0 103 1 3 22 512
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 0 0 13 69
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 0 0 10 249
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 1 1 16 553
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 19 0 1 8 159
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 0 0 13 6,382
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 1,294
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 123
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 247 0 0 7 1,201
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 133
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 0 0 4 83
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 0 4 56
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 1 152 1 3 15 479
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 2 2 13 702
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 72 1 1 11 174
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 1 1 19 174
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 182 1 1 15 565
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 1 1 13 139
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 122
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 510
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 2 3 15 354
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 2 16 149
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 1 1 2 172 5 9 32 1,128
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 0 2 9 450
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 98
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 54 1 1 17 138
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 0 0 12 66
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 2 2 9 185
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 2 60 0 0 15 169
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 1 2 13 164
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 0 0 11 290
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 338 0 0 18 763
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 2 2 15 208
Total Working Papers 3 4 14 8,682 56 104 1,252 44,882


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 1 2 11 683
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 0 0 5 127
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 0 0 2 115 2 5 30 393
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 0 5 152
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 2 5 15 2,035 4 12 73 4,064
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 0 6 0 0 7 42
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 33
Adjustment lags vs. information lags: a test of alternative explanations of the Phillips curve phenomenon 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 25
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 1 1 8 262
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 26
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 3 4 6 674 3 8 28 1,459
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 0 1 6 48
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 0 1 4 29
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 0 0 23 652
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 0 1 12 85
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 0 0 10 25
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 0 0 10 56
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 0 0 5 144
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 0 4 289 0 1 20 610
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 0 1 225 2 3 18 785
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 0 2 22 1,106
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 0 0 6 33
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 0 0 5 93
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 2 3 8 864 3 6 23 2,579
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 0 1 53 0 0 3 277
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 1 2 7 20
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 0 1 218 0 1 11 800
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 0 2 4 429 0 2 18 1,181
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 1 2 11 465
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 2 81 1 4 15 239
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 0 0 4 32
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 479
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 3 3 21 811
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 1 2 236 1 2 16 573
Output fluctuations in the United States: what has changed since the early 1980s? comments 0 0 0 43 0 1 7 272
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 9 21 121 6,777 21 60 372 14,264
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 366
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 1 3 7 462 3 6 25 1,005
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 0 0 8 66
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 1 1 5 54
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 0 0 4 86
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 0 0 8 88
Recursive structure in U.S. income, prices and output 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 37
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 0 522 1 3 16 1,669
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 0 2 29 178
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 1 1 17 557
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 58 0 0 8 237
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 0 1 17 849
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 0 0 16 86
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 0 1 7 50
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 0 0 11 142
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 1 4 160 1 2 44 432
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 0 1 5 182 0 4 31 669
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 0 1 9 444 2 5 41 1,231
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 1 1 34 0 1 12 106
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 220
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 89
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 1 3 19 566
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 0 8 0 1 12 31
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 158
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 0 0 7 398 1 3 24 1,200
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 0 0 3 78 1 1 14 260
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 0 0 8 103
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 1 1 13 784
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 0 0 11 555
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 0 0 7 140
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 92 0 1 11 393
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 0 0 9 166
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 25 1 6 20 114
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 2 5 12 3,532 6 16 54 8,452
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 381
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 3 3 5 489 4 5 28 1,140
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 0 0 8 417
Total Journal Articles 22 51 220 20,155 68 185 1,429 56,001
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Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 6 21 124 11,075
Total Books 0 0 0 0 6 21 124 11,075


Statistics updated 2026-09-10