Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 108 0 5 9 433
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 0 1 2 164
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 0 2 4 652
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 1 1 33 0 6 9 138
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 72
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 1 9 13 1,090
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 1 55 3 6 10 273
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 0 4 7 262
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 0 152 2 3 6 456
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 3 5 99
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 0 5 7 154
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 2 8 10 953
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 0 9 10 575
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 2 5 7 161
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 230
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 2 14 17 1,114
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 4 12 14 296
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 15
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 216
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 1 5 115
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 1 9 12 200
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 0 5 7 121
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 0 6 10 746
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 0 5 7 400
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 1 4 7 247
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 0 2 3 737
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 0 8 11 82
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 1 7 10 256
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 0 241 0 3 6 563
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 1 5 8 861
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 1 7 14 118
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 2 6 9 636
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 534 6 20 23 1,454
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 1 405 4 28 35 1,119
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 93
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 301
Nelson_Plosser 0 0 4 608 1 11 22 1,560
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 1 5 8 257
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 48
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 0 0 292 0 4 5 793
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 3 7 10 1,376
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 2 5 7 305
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 132 0 9 13 299
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 7 17 203
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 1 7 11 252
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 0 7 11 31
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 94 1 5 12 458
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 1 121 1 7 12 181
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 1 7 9 448
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 0 7 8 475
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 0 2 5 69
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 2 4 4 410
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 13 16 257
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 482
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 0 5 8 1,062
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 2 12 18 176
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 3 4 63
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 1 3 6 274
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1,120
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 154
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 1 4 6 368
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 1 5 6 112
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 49 0 1 5 121
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 1 103 1 5 14 503
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 3 6 7 246
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 3 10 14 69
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 4 11 12 549
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 1 15 18 1,293
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 19 1 5 8 157
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 247 0 6 8 1,201
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 1 20 28 121
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 1 4 6 6,375
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 130
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 0 1 2 81
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 1 3 6 56
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 0 6 8 696
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 1 152 0 5 11 474
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 5 12 14 168
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 72 1 2 5 167
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 3 10 10 136
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 1 182 1 5 9 558
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 2 7 10 142
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 1 1 1 171 2 9 13 1,109
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 117
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 346
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 503
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 96
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 0 1 3 444
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 2 6 10 64
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 54 3 14 14 135
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 1 2 8 181
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 1 59 0 7 12 166
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 2 6 9 159
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 0 8 11 289
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 1 338 2 8 14 758
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 1 9 12 203
Total Working Papers 1 3 17 8,674 95 607 898 44,448


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 2 7 13 679
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 0 3 3 125
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 1 1 2 114 4 9 19 376
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 2 3 149
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 2 5 20 2,025 4 21 83 4,039
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 0 6 0 2 7 41
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 31
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 1 3 7 260
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 25
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 0 0 5 670 0 9 24 1,445
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 46
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 0 1 2 27
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 2 18 22 650
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 0 3 7 80
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 2 4 6 52
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 0 4 4 19
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 0 3 6 144
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 0 6 288 5 12 23 607
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 1 1 225 1 9 10 777
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 2 6 24 1,101
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 0 4 4 31
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 0 2 3 91
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 2 2 6 859 5 6 18 2,566
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 0 2 53 0 2 4 277
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 17
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 1 1 2 218 2 3 7 794
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 0 0 4 427 2 7 15 1,174
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 0 5 8 460
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 4 81 1 3 13 232
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 1 2 3 30
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 479
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 2 11 16 802
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 0 3 235 1 8 19 569
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 9 38 183 6,728 25 124 499 14,120
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 1 8 11 361
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 0 1 5 458 0 7 18 993
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 0 4 8 65
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 0 2 2 51
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 2 2 4 86
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 1 1 4 84
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 3 522 0 8 19 1,663
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 0 18 21 170
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 2 5 11 549
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 58 0 2 2 231
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 2 10 13 844
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 0 6 12 78
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 0 2 4 47
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 0 9 10 141
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 10 158 6 30 44 422
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 1 2 2 179 2 12 21 656
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 1 3 13 443 5 17 38 1,218
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 0 0 33 1 7 8 102
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 218
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 1 6 9 87
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 3 8 14 560
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 1 8 3 8 15 29
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 2 50 2 7 13 198
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 155
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 1 1 8 395 1 9 26 1,192
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 1 2 4 78 3 10 13 257
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 2 4 7 102
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 778
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 1 8 9 553
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 2 4 4 137
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 92 1 5 9 389
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 1 2 4 161
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 25 1 4 11 103
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 0 1 11 3,524 3 8 52 8,414
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 2 5 11 377
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 1 2 5 486 1 9 21 1,125
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 0 3 10 414
Total Journal Articles 20 60 303 20,064 116 562 1,389 55,325
3 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 10 38 101 11,014
Total Books 0 0 0 0 10 38 101 11,014


Statistics updated 2026-03-04