Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 1 3 7 169
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 108 0 3 11 436
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 0 3 7 655
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 1 33 0 1 10 139
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 73
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 0 4 18 1,096
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 0 55 1 4 12 277
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 0 2 8 264
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 0 152 1 6 13 463
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 0 5 99
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 1 3 10 157
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 0 1 11 955
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 0 1 11 576
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 0 7 161
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 0 3 10 234
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 3 17 300
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 3 19 1,117
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 219
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 1 5 116
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 1 2 8 123
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 0 1 11 747
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 0 4 16 205
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 1 3 10 403
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 2 4 12 252
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 0 3 7 741
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 0 2 14 85
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 0 2 12 259
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 0 241 0 2 8 567
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 2 7 16 870
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 1 3 16 124
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 0 0 12 639
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 534 0 4 28 1,459
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 405 0 2 39 1,125
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 93
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 302
Nelson_Plosser 0 1 3 610 0 10 29 1,573
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 261
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 5 12 54
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 0 0 292 0 3 9 797
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 0 2 11 1,378
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 0 4 11 309
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 1 1 133 0 4 15 303
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 6 17 258
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 2 21 207
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 0 5 17 37
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 94 0 9 23 470
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 121 0 1 12 182
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 1 4 14 453
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 0 4 14 481
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 1 3 8 72
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 0 2 7 413
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 2 12 28 270
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 1 10 19 492
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 1 2 21 179
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 0 5 13 1,067
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 64
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 1 7 276
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 2 6 1,122
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 154
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 113
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 369
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 49 0 3 8 124
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 1 103 2 7 22 511
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 0 0 14 69
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 0 2 10 249
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 0 3 15 552
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 247 0 0 7 1,201
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 2 29 123
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 1 17 1,294
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 0 6 13 6,382
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 19 1 2 8 159
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 132
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 0 2 4 83
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 0 4 56
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 1 152 2 4 14 478
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 0 2 12 700
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 72 0 5 10 173
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 0 4 19 173
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 1 182 0 6 15 564
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 0 2 12 138
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 1 171 1 8 24 1,120
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 5 11 122
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 6 14 510
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 4 12 351
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 4 14 147
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 1 4 8 449
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 98
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 0 1 12 66
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 54 0 2 16 137
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 0 2 8 183
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 2 60 0 2 15 169
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 1 4 13 163
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 0 1 11 290
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 338 0 4 18 763
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 0 3 14 206
Total Working Papers 0 2 12 8,678 26 290 1,201 44,804


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 0 1 11 681
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 0 2 5 127
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 0 1 2 115 0 10 27 388
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 3 6 152
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 1 6 16 2,031 5 16 72 4,057
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 0 6 0 1 7 42
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 0 2 5 33
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 0 1 7 261
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 26
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 0 0 2 670 4 9 27 1,455
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 47
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 0 1 3 28
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 0 2 23 652
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 0 4 11 84
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 0 6 10 25
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 0 2 10 56
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 0 0 5 144
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 1 4 289 0 1 21 609
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 0 1 225 0 4 15 782
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 2 4 23 1,106
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 0 1 6 33
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 0 2 5 93
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 1 2 6 862 2 5 19 2,575
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 0 1 53 0 0 3 277
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 1 1 7 19
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 0 1 218 1 5 12 800
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 1 1 4 428 1 2 18 1,180
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 464
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 2 81 1 2 13 236
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 0 1 4 32
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 479
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 0 4 22 808
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 1 1 2 236 1 3 18 572
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 5 21 131 6,761 19 75 412 14,223
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 0 4 16 366
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 1 1 5 460 1 4 21 1,000
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 0 1 8 66
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 0 1 4 53
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 0 0 4 86
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 0 3 8 88
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 0 522 2 5 18 1,668
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 2 6 29 178
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 0 7 17 556
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 58 0 6 8 237
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 0 3 16 848
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 0 8 19 86
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 1 3 7 50
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 0 1 11 142
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 1 2 6 160 1 6 47 431
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 1 3 5 182 4 10 32 669
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 1 1 10 444 3 11 41 1,229
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 1 1 1 34 1 4 12 106
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 220
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 88
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 2 4 19 565
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 0 8 1 2 14 31
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 158
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 0 3 7 398 1 5 23 1,198
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 0 0 4 78 0 1 15 259
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 0 1 8 103
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 0 5 13 783
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 0 2 11 555
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 0 2 7 140
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 92 1 4 12 393
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 0 5 9 166
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 25 0 4 14 108
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 3 4 12 3,530 6 21 62 8,442
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 3 15 381
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 2 486 1 10 26 1,136
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 0 3 9 417
Total Journal Articles 17 48 224 20,078 65 334 1,451 55,548
4 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 7 37 125 11,061
Total Books 0 0 0 0 7 37 125 11,061


Statistics updated 2026-07-10