Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 0 2 7 169
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 1 33 0 0 10 139
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 0 1 7 655
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 108 0 0 11 436
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 73
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 2 4 19 1,098
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 0 55 0 2 12 277
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 1 3 9 265
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 0 152 0 2 13 463
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 0 5 99
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 0 0 11 955
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 1 2 11 158
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 0 0 11 576
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 0 7 161
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 234
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 1,117
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 300
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 219
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 0 5 116
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 0 1 8 123
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 1 1 12 748
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 0 0 16 205
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 1 2 11 404
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 0 1 7 741
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 0 2 12 252
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 0 0 12 259
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 0 2 14 85
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 0 241 0 0 8 567
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 0 1 16 124
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 0 3 16 870
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 1 1 13 640
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 534 0 0 28 1,459
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 405 1 1 40 1,126
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 302
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 93
Nelson_Plosser 0 0 3 610 1 4 30 1,574
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 54
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 1 1 12 262
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 1 1 1 293 1 2 9 798
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 0 0 11 1,378
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 0 0 11 309
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 1 1 133 1 2 16 304
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 1 1 17 259
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 207
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 0 2 17 37
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 94 0 0 23 470
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 121 0 0 12 182
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 0 1 14 453
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 0 0 14 481
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 0 2 8 72
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 0 1 7 413
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 2 19 492
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 3 28 270
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 1 2 13 1,068
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 2 3 23 181
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 276
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 64
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 1,122
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 154
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 369
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 113
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 49 0 1 8 124
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 1 103 0 2 22 511
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 0 0 14 69
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 0 2 10 249
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 0 2 15 552
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 1,294
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 0 0 13 6,382
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 247 0 0 7 1,201
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 19 0 1 8 159
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 1 29 123
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 132
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 0 0 4 83
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 0 4 56
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 1 152 0 3 14 478
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 0 0 12 700
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 72 0 0 10 173
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 0 2 19 173
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 182 0 2 14 564
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 0 1 12 138
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 1 171 3 6 27 1,123
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 2 15 148
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 1 13 352
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 122
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 510
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 1 2 9 450
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 98
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 0 0 12 66
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 54 0 0 16 137
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 0 0 7 183
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 0 1 12 163
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 2 60 0 1 15 169
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 0 0 11 290
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 338 0 1 18 763
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 206
Total Working Papers 1 2 12 8,679 22 92 1,212 44,826


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 1 1 10 682
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 0 1 5 127
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 0 1 2 115 3 8 30 391
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 0 5 152
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 2 8 16 2,033 3 14 72 4,060
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 0 6 0 0 7 42
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 0 1 5 33
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 0 1 7 261
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 26
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 1 1 3 671 1 8 27 1,456
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 1 2 6 48
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 1 1 4 29
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 0 1 23 652
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 1 1 12 85
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 0 0 10 25
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 0 0 10 56
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 0 0 5 144
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 0 4 289 1 1 21 610
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 0 1 225 1 1 16 783
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 0 3 22 1,106
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 0 0 6 33
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 0 1 5 93
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 0 2 6 862 1 5 20 2,576
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 0 1 53 0 0 3 277
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 19
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 0 1 218 0 2 11 800
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 1 2 5 429 1 3 19 1,181
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 464
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 2 81 2 3 15 238
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 0 0 4 32
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 479
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 0 0 19 808
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 1 2 236 0 1 17 572
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 7 20 122 6,768 20 64 391 14,243
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 0 2 15 366
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 1 2 6 461 2 3 22 1,002
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 0 0 8 66
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 0 0 4 53
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 0 0 4 86
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 0 0 8 88
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 0 522 0 4 17 1,668
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 0 3 29 178
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 0 0 17 556
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 58 0 3 8 237
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 1 1 17 849
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 0 1 16 86
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 0 1 7 50
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 0 0 11 142
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 2 4 160 0 5 43 431
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 0 2 5 182 0 7 31 669
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 0 1 10 444 0 4 41 1,229
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 1 1 34 0 1 12 106
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 220
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 1 1 10 89
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 0 3 19 565
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 0 8 0 1 12 31
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 158
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 0 2 7 398 1 4 23 1,199
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 0 0 3 78 0 0 13 259
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 0 0 8 103
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 783
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 0 1 11 555
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 0 0 7 140
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 92 0 1 12 393
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 0 1 9 166
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 25 5 6 19 113
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 0 4 12 3,530 4 16 58 8,446
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 381
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 2 486 0 3 24 1,136
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 0 0 9 417
Total Journal Articles 12 49 215 20,090 51 197 1,417 55,599
4 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 8 31 124 11,069
Total Books 0 0 0 0 8 31 124 11,069


Statistics updated 2026-08-07