Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 108 3 5 9 433
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 0 1 2 164
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 1 2 4 652
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 1 1 1 33 6 6 9 138
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 72
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 5 10 12 1,089
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 1 55 3 3 7 270
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 3 6 7 262
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 0 152 1 2 5 454
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 3 3 5 99
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 2 6 7 154
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 6 7 8 951
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 2 5 5 159
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 5 10 10 575
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 2 4 6 230
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 6 13 17 1,112
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 5 9 11 292
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 15
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 2 4 4 216
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 1 1 5 115
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 6 9 11 199
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 5 9 10 746
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 2 6 7 121
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 4 6 7 400
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 2 6 6 246
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 2 3 3 737
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 4 11 11 82
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 4 6 10 255
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 0 241 2 3 6 563
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 4 4 7 860
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 3 7 14 117
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 4 5 7 634
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 534 13 16 18 1,448
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 1 405 10 29 31 1,115
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 93
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 300
Nelson_Plosser 0 0 4 608 6 11 23 1,559
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 2 3 6 48
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 2 5 8 256
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 0 0 292 3 4 5 793
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 1 5 7 1,373
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 2 4 5 303
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 132 5 9 13 299
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 1 14 18 203
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 3 8 12 251
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 6 10 11 31
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 94 2 6 12 457
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 1 121 4 9 11 180
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 6 7 8 447
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 6 8 8 475
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 1 2 2 408
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 2 5 5 69
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 3 8 9 482
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 11 14 16 257
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 2 6 9 1,062
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 8 14 16 174
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 2 5 273
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 1 4 5 63
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 2 5 5 154
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1,120
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 1 5 6 367
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 3 4 5 111
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 49 0 1 5 121
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 1 103 1 6 13 502
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 5 10 11 66
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 1 4 4 243
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 4 7 8 545
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 17 25 27 120
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 247 3 7 9 1,201
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 19 2 5 7 156
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 11 15 17 1,292
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 1 3 6 6,374
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 129
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 1 2 3 81
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 2 5 55
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 4 7 8 696
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 1 152 4 7 11 474
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 5 7 9 163
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 72 1 3 4 166
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 1 182 1 5 8 557
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 5 7 7 133
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 117
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 3 7 8 140
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 5 7 7 503
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 3 6 6 345
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 170 6 8 12 1,107
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 3 9 9 96
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 1 3 3 444
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 54 11 11 11 132
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 4 7 9 62
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 1 1 8 180
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 4 8 11 289
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 1 59 3 11 14 166
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 3 5 7 157
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 1 338 3 7 13 756
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 5 9 11 202
Total Working Papers 1 2 16 8,673 336 629 829 44,353


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 3 5 11 677
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 3 3 3 125
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 0 0 1 113 3 5 16 372
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 2 2 3 149
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 1 3 20 2,023 7 30 88 4,035
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 1 6 2 4 9 41
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 29
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 1 3 6 259
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 25
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 0 0 6 670 6 11 26 1,445
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 2 4 4 46
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 1 2 2 27
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 12 19 21 648
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 1 6 7 80
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 4 4 4 19
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 2 2 5 50
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 2 4 6 144
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 0 8 288 7 9 20 602
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 1 1 225 6 9 9 776
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 4 10 23 1,099
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 4 4 4 31
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 2 3 4 91
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 0 0 5 857 1 3 16 2,561
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 1 2 53 1 3 4 277
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 17
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 0 1 217 0 1 5 792
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 0 1 4 427 5 6 13 1,172
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 5 6 9 460
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 4 81 0 5 13 231
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 1 1 2 29
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 478
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 7 9 14 800
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 0 3 235 3 8 20 568
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 12 44 206 6,719 54 133 535 14,095
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 5 8 10 360
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 1 3 5 458 4 11 19 993
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 4 5 8 65
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 0 2 2 51
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 0 1 2 84
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 0 2 3 83
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 3 522 5 10 20 1,663
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 12 20 23 170
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 3 5 10 547
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 58 2 2 2 231
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 7 9 11 842
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 5 7 12 78
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 2 4 4 47
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 6 9 11 141
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 1 12 158 12 25 41 416
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 1 1 1 178 8 13 19 654
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 1 6 13 442 4 18 35 1,213
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 0 0 33 4 6 8 101
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 217
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 3 6 8 86
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 4 7 11 557
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 1 8 4 6 13 26
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 2 50 5 5 11 196
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 154
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 0 1 9 394 7 12 29 1,191
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 1 1 3 77 4 7 11 254
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 1 4 7 100
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 2 5 9 778
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 6 8 8 552
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 1 2 3 135
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 2 92 1 5 10 388
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 1 3 3 160
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 25 2 8 10 102
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 1 2 13 3,524 4 7 58 8,411
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 3 4 9 375
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 5 485 3 11 23 1,124
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 1 4 10 414
Total Journal Articles 18 66 331 20,044 293 588 1,397 55,209
3 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 14 37 102 11,004
Total Books 0 0 0 0 14 37 102 11,004


Statistics updated 2026-02-12