Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 32 0 3 3 132
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 108 0 2 4 428
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 0 1 2 650
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 0 1 1 163
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 69
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 2 2 4 1,081
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 1 55 0 2 4 267
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 2 2 3 258
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 1 152 1 3 5 453
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 1 2 96
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 1 1 2 945
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 1 2 2 149
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 1 1 1 566
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 2 2 2 156
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 226
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 1 2 7 1,100
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 284
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 213
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 2 4 114
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 1 2 3 191
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 1 1 2 116
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 3 4 4 740
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 1 1 2 395
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 1 1 1 735
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 3 3 3 243
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 3 3 4 74
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 1 105 0 2 5 249
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 0 241 0 0 3 560
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 1 1 10 111
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 856
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 1 3 4 630
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 1 534 2 3 5 1,434
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 1 405 5 5 7 1,091
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 299
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 92
Nelson_Plosser 0 1 7 608 1 5 19 1,549
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 45
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 252
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 0 0 292 0 0 10 789
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 1 2 3 1,369
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 1 2 5 300
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 132 0 2 4 290
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 2 3 6 245
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 7 9 12 196
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 3 3 4 24
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 1 94 2 6 9 453
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 1 121 3 4 6 174
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 1 2 3 441
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 1 1 2 468
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 3 3 4 67
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 0 0 1 406
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 244
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 476
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 1,057
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 164
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 271
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 60
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 150
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 1,119
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 107
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 364
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 1 1 49 0 4 4 120
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 1 103 2 8 10 498
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 3 3 5 59
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 1 1 1 240
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 0 1 1 538
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 0 2 3 6,371
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 247 1 1 4 1,195
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 19 1 1 4 152
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 1,278
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 101
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 127
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 1 1 2 80
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 1 3 53
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 1 2 152 2 5 8 469
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 1 1 2 690
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 0 1 3 156
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 2 72 2 2 5 165
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 1 182 1 3 4 553
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 0 0 0 126
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 496
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 135
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 170 1 4 5 1,100
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 112
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 341
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 90
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 2 2 2 443
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 1 54 0 0 1 121
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 3 4 5 58
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 0 3 8 179
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 1 82 0 2 4 281
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 1 26 1 2 4 153
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 58 4 5 7 159
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 1 338 1 5 7 750
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 194
Total Working Papers 0 3 27 8,671 117 211 368 43,841


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 0 0 7 672
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 0 0 0 122
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 0 0 2 113 0 4 13 367
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 0 1 147
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 0 0 24 2,020 13 27 90 4,018
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 1 6 2 4 7 39
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 29
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 1 3 4 257
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 24
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 0 2 7 670 2 5 19 1,436
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 44
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 1 1 1 26
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 3 3 5 632
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 3 4 4 77
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 15
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 0 2 3 48
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 1 2 3 141
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 3 8 288 2 5 14 595
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 0 0 224 1 1 1 768
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 6 11 21 1,095
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 27
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 1 1 2 89
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 0 1 7 857 2 4 20 2,560
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 1 1 2 53 1 1 2 275
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 16
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 0 1 217 0 2 5 791
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 1 2 4 427 1 4 9 1,167
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 455
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 2 5 81 3 5 12 229
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 0 0 2 28
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 475
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 0 1 5 791
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 1 3 235 1 4 14 561
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 15 34 208 6,690 34 104 507 13,996
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 353
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 2 2 6 457 4 6 17 986
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 1 3 4 61
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 49
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 1 2 2 84
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 2 3 4 83
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 5 522 2 2 14 1,655
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 2 3 5 152
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 2 4 7 544
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 58 0 0 1 229
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 1 2 4 834
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 1 2 6 72
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 2 2 3 45
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 0 1 3 132
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 1 2 15 158 1 4 23 392
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 0 0 2 177 3 6 11 644
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 4 5 11 440 6 11 26 1,201
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 0 0 33 0 1 2 95
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 214
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 81
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 2 5 6 552
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 3 50 0 1 8 191
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 2 8 1 2 10 21
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 152
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 1 3 10 394 4 7 22 1,183
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 0 1 3 76 0 1 5 247
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 2 3 5 98
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 776
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 1 1 2 545
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 0 0 2 133
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 2 92 1 2 6 384
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 2 2 2 159
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 1 25 5 5 8 99
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 1 3 16 3,523 2 8 70 8,406
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 6 6 372
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 5 484 3 4 18 1,116
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 1 2 10 411
Total Journal Articles 26 62 353 20,004 142 317 1,117 54,763
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Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 9 25 89 10,976
Total Books 0 0 0 0 9 25 89 10,976


Statistics updated 2025-12-06