Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 1 33 0 1 10 139
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 108 0 3 11 436
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 1 3 7 655
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 1 4 6 168
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 73
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 2 6 18 1,096
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 0 55 1 3 11 276
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 2 2 8 264
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 0 152 1 6 12 462
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 0 5 99
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 0 2 9 156
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 0 2 11 955
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 0 7 161
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 0 1 11 576
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 1 4 10 234
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 4 17 300
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 3 19 1,117
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 219
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 1 6 116
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 0 1 11 747
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 0 5 16 205
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 0 1 7 122
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 0 2 9 402
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 1 4 7 741
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 0 3 10 250
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 2 3 14 85
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 0 3 13 259
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 0 241 0 4 9 567
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 0 5 16 123
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 1 7 14 868
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 0 3 12 639
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 534 0 5 28 1,459
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 405 0 6 39 1,125
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 302
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 93
Nelson_Plosser 0 2 4 610 3 13 30 1,573
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 4 11 261
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 0 6 12 54
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 0 0 292 1 4 9 797
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 0 2 11 1,378
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 0 4 11 309
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 1 1 1 133 1 4 16 303
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 4 21 207
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 6 17 258
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 2 6 17 37
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 94 0 12 23 470
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 121 0 1 12 182
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 0 4 13 452
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 0 6 14 481
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 1 3 7 413
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 1 2 7 71
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 1 9 18 491
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 1 11 27 268
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 0 2 20 178
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 1 5 13 1,067
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 2 7 276
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 64
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 1 2 6 1,122
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 154
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 369
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 113
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 49 1 3 8 124
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 1 103 0 6 20 509
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 0 0 14 69
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 2 3 10 249
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 2 3 15 552
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 19 0 1 7 158
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 0 7 13 6,382
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 1 2 29 123
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 1 18 1,294
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 247 0 0 7 1,201
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 132
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 0 2 4 83
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 0 4 56
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 1 152 1 2 12 476
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 0 4 12 700
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 72 0 6 10 173
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 2 5 19 173
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 1 182 2 6 15 564
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 1 2 12 138
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 1 171 2 10 23 1,119
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 5 12 351
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 6 13 509
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 5 15 147
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 5 11 122
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 98
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 0 4 7 448
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 0 2 12 66
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 54 0 2 16 137
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 0 2 9 183
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 2 60 1 3 15 169
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 0 3 12 162
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 0 1 11 290
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 338 1 5 18 763
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 0 3 14 206
Total Working Papers 1 4 13 8,678 44 330 1,185 44,778


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 0 2 11 681
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 1 2 5 127
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 1 1 2 115 5 12 28 388
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 3 6 152
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 5 5 19 2,030 6 13 77 4,052
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 0 6 0 1 8 42
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 1 2 5 33
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 1 1 8 261
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 26
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 0 0 3 670 3 6 26 1,451
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 1 1 5 47
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 0 1 3 28
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 1 2 23 652
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 0 4 11 84
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 0 4 10 56
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 0 6 10 25
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 0 0 5 144
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 1 4 289 0 2 22 609
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 0 1 225 0 5 15 782
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 1 3 22 1,104
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 0 2 6 33
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 1 2 5 93
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 1 2 5 861 2 7 18 2,573
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 0 1 53 0 0 3 277
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 18
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 0 2 218 1 5 12 799
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 0 0 3 427 1 5 19 1,179
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 0 3 10 463
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 2 81 0 3 13 235
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 0 2 5 32
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 479
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 0 6 22 808
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 0 1 235 0 2 17 571
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 8 28 151 6,756 25 84 450 14,204
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 2 5 16 366
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 0 1 4 459 0 6 20 999
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 0 1 9 66
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 0 2 4 53
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 0 0 4 86
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 0 4 8 88
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 0 522 2 3 17 1,666
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 1 6 27 176
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 0 7 17 556
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 58 3 6 8 237
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 0 4 17 848
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 1 8 19 86
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 0 2 6 49
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 0 1 11 142
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 1 1 7 159 4 8 48 430
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 1 2 4 181 3 9 29 665
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 0 0 9 443 1 8 40 1,226
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 0 0 33 0 3 11 105
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 220
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 88
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 1 3 17 563
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 0 8 0 1 13 30
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 158
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 2 3 9 398 2 5 24 1,197
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 0 0 4 78 0 2 15 259
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 0 1 8 103
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 0 5 13 783
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 1 2 11 555
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 0 3 7 140
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 92 0 3 11 392
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 1 5 9 166
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 25 1 5 14 108
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 1 3 10 3,527 6 22 62 8,436
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 4 15 381
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 3 486 2 10 26 1,135
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 0 3 9 417
Total Journal Articles 20 47 244 20,061 81 356 1,485 55,483
4 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 16 40 119 11,054
Total Books 0 0 0 0 16 40 119 11,054


Statistics updated 2026-06-04