Access Statistics for Charles R. Nelson

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 340 0 1 4 652
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 108 0 3 8 433
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 1 1 33 0 6 9 138
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 43 2 2 4 166
A General Approach to Constructing a Valid Test in Weakly Identified Models Where Zero-Limit-Information Condition (ZILC) Holds 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 72
A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market 0 0 0 385 2 8 14 1,092
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis 0 0 1 55 0 6 9 273
A Time-Varying Parameter Model for a Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rule Based on Real-Time Data 0 0 0 111 0 3 7 262
Business cycle detrending of macroeconomic data via a latent business cycle index 0 0 0 152 1 4 7 457
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index 0 0 0 34 0 3 5 99
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 227 1 9 11 954
Does an Interpemporal Trade Off Between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 17 0 2 7 154
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 12 0 4 7 161
Does an Intertemporal Tradeoff between Risk and Return Explain Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? 0 0 0 110 0 5 10 575
Earnings Growth and the Bull Market of the 1990s: Is There a Case for Rational Exuberance? 0 0 0 0 1 3 7 231
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 1 10 15 297
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 0 0 8 17 1,114
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 217
GRANT FUNDING IN ECONOMICS FROM THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION DURING FISCAL YEAR 1987 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 15
Implicit Estimates of Natural, Trend, and Cyclical Components of Real GNP 0 0 0 16 0 1 5 115
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 40 1 8 13 201
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 183 0 5 10 746
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 19 0 2 6 121
Improved Inference for the Instrumental Variables Estimator 0 0 0 104 0 4 7 400
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 74 1 4 8 248
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 274 1 3 4 738
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 105 1 6 11 257
Is There a Structural Break in the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 17 1 5 12 83
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 0 241 2 4 7 565
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 3 7 14 121
MEAN REVERSION IN STOCK PRICES? A REAPPRAISAL OF EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 0 2 7 9 863
Markov regime switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 247 3 9 12 639
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests 0 0 0 534 1 20 24 1,455
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 1 405 4 18 39 1,123
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 301
More on the Exact Small Sample Distribution of the Instrumental Variable Estimator: A Reply to Maddala and Jeong 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 93
Nelson_Plosser 1 1 4 609 3 10 23 1,563
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 2 5 10 259
PREDICTABLE STOCK RETURNS: REALITY OR STATISTICAL ILLUSION? 0 0 0 0 1 3 7 49
Parsimoneous Modeling of Yield Curves for U.S. Treasury Bills 0 0 0 292 1 4 6 794
Pitfalls in the use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 289 0 4 9 1,376
Predictable Stock Returns: Reality or Statistical Illusion? 0 0 0 115 0 4 7 305
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does It Matter Whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 132 0 5 12 299
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 0 4 11 252
SOME FURTHERE RESULTS ON THE EXACT SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR 0 0 0 0 2 3 19 205
SPURIOUS PERIODICITY IN INAPPROPRIATELY DETRENDED TIME SERIES 0 0 0 5 1 7 12 32
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 94 3 6 15 461
Spurious Inference in the GARCH(1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 1 121 0 5 12 181
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 23 1 8 10 449
Spurious Trend and Cycle in the State Space Decomposition of a Time Series with a Unit Root 0 0 0 144 2 8 10 477
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 48 1 4 5 411
State-Space Modeling of the Relationship Between Air Quality and Mortality 0 0 0 23 0 2 5 69
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 1 12 17 258
THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATOR AND ITS T-RATIO WHEN THE INSTRUMENT IS A POOR ONE 0 0 0 0 0 3 9 482
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 1 11 19 177
THE MARKOV MODEL OF HETEROSKEDASTICITY, RISK AND LEARNING IN THE STOCK MARKET 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 1,062
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 1 2 6 275
THE TIME-VARYING-PARAMETER MODEL AS AN ALTERNATIVE TO ARCH FOR MODELING CHANGING CONDITIONAL VARIANCE: THE CASE OF THE LUCAS HYPOTHESIS 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 63
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 1,120
Testing for Mean Reversion in Heteroskedastic Data II: Autoregression Tests Based on Gibbs-Sampling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 154
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 112
Testing for Men reversion in Heteroskedastic data Based on Gibbs-Simpling-Augmented Randomization 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 368
The Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition in Retrospect and Prospect 0 0 1 49 0 0 5 121
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-RatioWhen the Instrument is a Poor One 0 0 1 103 1 3 15 504
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 70 1 5 8 247
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 8 0 8 14 69
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model as an Alternative to ARCH for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 182 0 8 12 549
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 247 0 3 8 1,201
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 12 18 1,293
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 0 0 18 28 121
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 19 0 3 8 157
The Uncertain Trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 0 657 1 3 7 6,376
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 130
The Zero-Information-Limit Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 16 0 1 2 81
The Zero-Information-Limit-Condition and Spurious Inference in Weakly Identified Models 0 0 0 15 0 1 4 56
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 0 162 2 6 10 698
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations 0 0 1 152 0 4 11 474
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 63 1 11 15 169
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 72 1 3 6 168
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 1 182 0 2 9 558
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching 0 0 0 34 0 8 10 136
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 6 8 504
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 117
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 5 8 347
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 6 11 143
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 1 1 171 3 11 16 1,112
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 0 3 9 96
Valid Confidence Regions and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 63 1 2 4 445
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 54 0 14 14 135
Valid Inference for a Class of Models Where Standard Inference Performs Poorly: Including Nonlinear Regression, ARMA, GARCH, and Unobserved Components 0 0 0 27 1 7 11 65
Welfare Impacts of Alternative Public Policies for Environmental Protection in Agriculture in an Open Economy: A General Equilibrium Framework 0 0 0 40 0 2 7 181
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 82 0 4 10 289
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 0 0 26 0 5 9 159
Why Are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP So Different? 1 1 2 60 1 4 13 167
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Component Decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 1 338 1 6 15 759
Why are Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-component decompositions of GDP so Different? 0 0 0 0 0 6 12 203
Total Working Papers 2 4 18 8,676 66 497 945 44,514


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Approach to Testing for Markov-Switching in Univariate and Dynamic Factor Models 0 0 0 88 1 6 11 680
A Critique of Some Recent Empirical Research on the Explanation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment 0 0 0 26 0 3 3 125
A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market 0 1 1 114 2 9 20 378
A Reappraisal of Recent Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis [Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence] 0 0 0 46 0 2 3 149
A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle' 0 3 18 2,025 2 13 78 4,041
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon 0 0 0 6 0 2 7 41
Adjustment Lags versus Information Lags: A Test of Alternative Explanations of the Phillips Curve Phenomenon: A Reply 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 31
BUSINESS-CYCLE FILTERING OF MACROECONOMIC DATA VIA A LATENT BUSINESS-CYCLE INDEX 0 0 0 63 0 2 7 260
Book reviews 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 25
Business Cycle Turning Points, A New Coincident Index, And Tests Of Duration Dependence Based On A Dynamic Factor Model With Regime Switching 0 0 4 670 1 7 24 1,446
Comment on "Policy Robustness: Specification and Simulation of a Monthly Money Market Model" 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 46
Discussion of the Zellner and Schwert papers 0 0 0 5 0 1 2 27
Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices? 0 0 0 97 0 14 22 650
Earnings growth and the bull market of the 1990s: Is there a case for rational exuberance? 0 0 0 11 0 1 7 80
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 1 0 4 4 19
Empirical evidence on the recent behavior and usefulness of simple-sum and weighted measures of the money stock (commentary) 0 0 0 4 2 6 8 54
Estimation of Term Premiums from Average Yield Differentials in the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 25 0 2 6 144
Estimation of a forward-looking monetary policy rule: A time-varying parameter model using ex post data 0 0 6 288 1 13 24 608
Expectation horizon and the Phillips Curve: the solution to an empirical puzzle 0 0 1 225 1 8 11 778
Friedman's Plucking Model of Business Fluctuations: Tests and Estimates of Permanent and Transitory Components 0 0 0 1 1 7 22 1,102
Gains in efficiency from joint estimation of systems of autoregressive-moving average processes 0 0 0 9 1 5 5 32
Granger Causality and the Natural Rate Hypothesis 0 0 0 22 0 2 3 91
Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle 1 3 7 860 4 10 19 2,570
Hypothesis testing based on goodness-of-fit in the moving average time series model 0 0 2 53 0 1 4 277
Implict Estimates of the Natural and Cyclical Components of Japan's Real GNP 0 0 0 0 1 2 6 18
Inflation and Capital Budgeting 0 1 2 218 1 3 8 795
Inflation and Rates of Return on Common Stocks 0 0 4 427 4 11 19 1,178
Is There a Positive Relationship between Stock Market Volatility and the Equity Premium? 0 0 0 0 1 6 9 461
Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves 0 0 4 81 2 3 14 234
Macroeconomic time-series, business cycles, and macroeconomic policies A comment 0 0 0 7 1 3 4 31
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 479
Mean Reversion in Stock Prices? A Reappraisal of the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 216 2 11 18 804
New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve 0 0 3 235 0 4 19 569
Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves 12 33 186 6,740 28 107 504 14,148
Pitfalls in the Use of Time as an Explanatory Variable in Regression 0 0 0 0 1 7 12 362
Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias 1 2 6 459 3 7 20 996
Pricing Stock Market Volatility: Does it Matter whether the Volatility is Related to the Business Cycle? 0 0 0 12 0 4 8 65
Rational Expectations and the Estimation of Econometric Models 0 0 0 17 1 1 3 52
Rational Expectations and the Predictive Efficiency of Economic Models 0 0 0 23 0 2 4 86
Recursive Structure in U.S. Income, Prices, and Output 0 0 0 14 1 2 5 85
Short-Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation: On Testing the Hypothesis That the Real Rate of Interest is Constant 0 0 3 522 0 5 19 1,663
Sleep and psychological well-being 0 0 0 27 2 14 23 172
Some Further Results on the Exact Small Sample Properties of the Instrumental Variable Estimator 0 0 0 127 0 5 11 549
Spurious Inference in the GARCH (1,1) Model When It Is Weakly Identified 0 0 0 58 0 2 2 231
Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series 0 0 0 270 1 10 14 845
Spurious trend and cycle in the state space decomposition of a time series with a unit root 0 0 0 20 0 5 11 78
Testing a Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in an Error-learning Framework 0 0 0 8 0 2 4 47
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 0 39 0 6 10 141
Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization1 0 0 10 158 3 21 47 425
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition in retrospect and prospect 0 2 2 179 3 13 24 659
The Distribution of the Instrumental Variables Estimator and Its t-Ratio When the Instrument Is a Poor One 0 2 10 443 0 9 35 1,218
The Ex Ante Prediction Performance of the St. Louis and FRB-MIT-PENN Econometric Models and Some Results on Composite Predictors 0 0 0 33 0 5 8 102
The Great Depression and Output Persistence 0 0 0 0 1 4 6 219
The Great Depression and Output Persistence: A Reply to Papell and Prodan 0 0 0 0 0 4 9 87
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations 0 0 0 1 1 8 15 561
The NERC Fan in Retrospect and Lessons for the Future 0 0 0 8 0 7 13 29
The NERC Fan: A Retrospective Analysis of the NERC Summary Forecasts 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 156
The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy 0 1 7 395 1 9 25 1,193
The Stochastic Structure of the Velocity of Money 0 2 4 78 1 8 14 258
The Structural Break in the Equity Premium 0 0 0 28 0 3 7 102
The Time-Varying-Parameter Model for Modeling Changing Conditional Variance: The Case of the Lucas Hypothesis 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 778
The first-order moving average process: Identification, estimation and prediction 0 0 0 166 0 7 9 553
The stochastic properties of velocity and the quantity theory of money 0 0 0 43 1 4 5 138
The uncertain trend in U.S. GDP 0 0 1 92 0 2 9 389
The zero-information-limit condition and spurious inference in weakly identified models 0 0 0 60 0 2 4 161
Trend Inflation and the Nature of Structural Breaks in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve 0 0 0 25 1 4 11 104
Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series: Some evidence and implications 2 3 12 3,526 7 14 58 8,421
Valid Confidence Intervals and Inference in the Presence of Weak Instruments 0 0 0 0 1 6 12 378
Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? 0 1 4 486 1 5 21 1,126
Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? 0 0 0 147 0 1 7 414
Total Journal Articles 16 54 297 20,030 87 489 1,405 55,214
4 registered items for which data could not be found


Book File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications 0 0 0 0 10 34 100 11,024
Total Books 0 0 0 0 10 34 100 11,024


Statistics updated 2026-04-09