Access Statistics for Michael T. Owyang

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks 0 0 0 85 0 0 0 359
A High-Frequency Measure of Income Inequality 0 1 3 3 2 5 9 9
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 0 59 1 1 3 147
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 66
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law 0 0 0 24 1 4 6 82
A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 45 0 1 1 222
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 0 0 19 1 1 3 18
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 0 2 118 0 0 5 305
A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock 0 0 1 166 0 1 5 460
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 46 1 1 3 177
Age and Gender Differentials in Unemployment and Hysteresis 0 0 1 14 0 0 7 30
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 0 77 1 2 6 232
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data 0 0 2 184 0 1 4 412
Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data 0 0 0 116 0 0 0 236
Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data 0 1 2 168 0 3 6 405
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 48 0 0 2 116
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 0 0 55 0 0 3 70
Business Cycles Across Space and Time 0 0 3 48 1 4 10 76
Business cycle phases in U.S. states 0 0 2 350 1 1 5 2,749
COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth? 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 1 1 78
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 34 0 1 1 57
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 60 0 1 2 138
Contagious Switching 0 0 1 48 1 1 2 74
Could More Progressive Taxes Increase Income Inequality? 0 1 3 4 0 1 6 7
Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions 0 0 0 30 0 0 1 94
Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 54 0 0 2 100
Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom? 0 0 0 60 1 3 3 166
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 19 1 1 1 100
Discordant City Employment Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 97
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 1 39 1 1 2 100
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 26 0 0 1 91
Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence 0 0 0 127 0 1 1 300
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 0 110 1 3 3 361
Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence 0 0 0 41 0 0 1 207
Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure 0 0 0 123 0 0 1 476
Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure 0 0 1 82 0 0 2 406
FOMC Actions and Recent Movements in Five-Year Inflation Expectations 0 0 0 4 1 1 1 4
FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications 0 1 2 51 0 1 7 151
Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy 0 0 0 57 0 0 1 171
Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data 0 0 1 87 2 2 4 74
Forecasting national recessions using state level data 0 0 0 48 1 1 1 111
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data 0 0 1 20 1 1 3 72
How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis? 0 0 2 96 0 1 4 150
Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns 0 0 0 17 1 1 1 65
Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach 0 0 0 29 0 0 0 144
Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain 1 1 1 90 2 2 4 143
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 1 1 12 0 1 6 11
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 6
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 16 0 1 1 39
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 0 36 0 1 1 81
Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities 0 0 0 120 0 0 0 232
Is the U.S. in a Recession? What Key Economic Indicators Say 2 2 3 5 2 4 6 8
Job Quits, New-Business Applications and the Postpandemic Pace of U.S. Business Formation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 303
Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle 0 0 0 452 0 0 3 1,030
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing 0 0 1 13 0 0 1 67
Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing 0 0 0 120 0 0 2 288
Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality 0 0 0 292 0 1 4 1,866
Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality 0 0 0 82 0 1 1 347
Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 95
Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 0 0 0 8 1 1 2 72
Race and Subprime Loan Pricing 0 0 1 13 1 1 2 69
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 118 0 0 4 251
Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage 1 1 3 50 4 5 10 52
Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement 0 1 1 12 1 2 4 83
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 1 1 1 128 1 1 3 332
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 1 130 0 0 2 278
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 295
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage 0 0 0 83 1 1 1 436
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 1 1 3 136 1 2 7 295
States and the business cycle 0 0 0 135 1 1 2 425
Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy 0 0 1 244 0 0 5 729
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 0 260 0 1 1 839
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics 1 1 2 58 2 3 9 223
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 316
The Challenges in Dating the End of Recessions 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves 0 0 1 27 1 2 5 16
The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks 0 0 2 79 1 2 6 194
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 0 79 0 0 2 185
The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach 0 0 0 84 0 0 0 281
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 1 21 0 2 4 139
The local effects of monetary policy 0 0 1 87 0 0 1 208
The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks 0 1 2 55 0 3 5 138
The propagation of regional recessions 0 0 0 147 0 0 3 249
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 0 110 0 0 1 356
What Are the Long-run Trade-offs of Rent-Control Policies? 0 1 12 13 0 2 16 17
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries 0 0 0 76 0 0 0 481
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 95
What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries? 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 250
Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries 0 0 1 55 0 0 1 151
Where is an oil shock? 0 1 1 41 1 2 3 146
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 0 46 0 0 0 170
Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis 0 0 0 76 1 1 3 283
Total Working Papers 7 17 70 6,805 41 91 268 22,535
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Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes 0 0 3 7 1 2 8 30
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks 0 2 10 125 2 8 28 407
A Measure of Price Pressures 1 2 6 25 2 6 17 140
A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998 10 14 21 1,990 22 33 53 5,881
A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks 0 0 0 70 0 0 0 195
A state-level analysis of Okun's law 0 0 4 23 1 3 12 166
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 1 25 1 1 4 168
A time-varying threshold STAR model with applications 0 0 1 1 0 1 3 3
A winning combination? economic theory meets sports 0 0 0 59 0 0 0 176
Age and gender differentials in unemployment and hysteresis 0 0 2 2 0 0 6 6
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 1 8 0 0 1 46
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data 0 0 1 178 2 3 7 541
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 9 0 1 2 34
Barreling down the road to recession? 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 85
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 0 1 6 0 0 3 13
Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States 0 0 7 361 1 1 15 4,114
Business Cycles across Space and Time 0 0 1 2 0 1 6 18
Business cycle measures 0 1 1 222 0 1 1 352
Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates? 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 106
Changing trends in the labor force: a survey 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 192
China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors? 0 1 6 86 0 4 23 252
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 1 14 1 2 5 62
Comparing Measures of Potential Output 1 1 3 26 1 1 5 107
Contagious switching 0 1 3 9 0 2 8 38
Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions 0 0 0 6 0 1 2 51
DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 64 0 1 1 201
Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 32
Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 20 1 1 3 116
Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom? 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 59
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 10 1 3 7 105
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 2 13 2 3 7 71
Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 9
Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes 2 8 17 121 4 15 35 322
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 1 1 2 94 1 1 3 391
Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles? 0 0 2 12 0 0 5 49
Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector 0 0 0 10 0 1 2 29
Editor's introduction 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 38
Employment Revision Asymmetries 0 0 1 4 0 0 1 27
Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 71
FRED-SD: A real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications 0 0 1 3 3 4 12 17
Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy 0 1 3 19 0 2 6 113
Financial aid and college choice 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 63
For love or money: why married men make more 0 0 1 93 1 1 5 510
Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data 0 0 1 11 0 0 2 73
Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data 0 0 1 7 0 0 3 16
Forecasting with mixed frequencies 9 20 37 223 11 29 65 561
Hard 'core' inflation 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 91
How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement? 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 21
How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis? 0 0 0 9 0 1 2 131
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 1 2 2 2 6 7
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 1 4 0 1 3 30
Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure 0 1 1 23 0 2 3 81
Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities 0 0 0 134 0 0 3 438
Keep your résumé current 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 132
Look who's still working now 0 0 0 10 1 1 1 64
Look who's working now 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 57
Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks? 0 0 0 20 0 0 0 142
Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages? 0 0 2 87 0 2 6 348
Measuring Potential Output 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 15
Measuring Trends in Income Inequality 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 77
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 0 49 1 1 5 250
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 0 8 0 0 2 31
Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 78
Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle 0 0 0 83 0 0 2 181
Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary 0 0 0 34 1 1 1 144
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing 0 0 8 65 1 1 16 211
Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices 0 0 2 41 1 2 5 173
Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy 0 0 0 12 0 0 7 93
Not your father's oil shock 0 0 0 10 0 1 1 35
Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans 0 0 0 415 1 1 2 1,392
Okun's law in recession and recovery 0 0 1 29 0 1 4 95
Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different? 0 1 9 98 4 8 30 396
On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts 0 1 2 10 0 1 3 20
Output and unemployment: how do they relate today? 0 0 4 62 0 0 11 169
Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation 0 0 0 17 1 2 7 167
Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation 0 0 0 68 0 1 2 250
Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k) 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 64
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 3 13 0 3 15 66
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 3 147 1 2 10 387
Regional Gasoline Price Dynamics 1 1 2 5 1 2 7 23
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 3 73 3 6 15 202
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District 0 0 0 10 0 1 1 76
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District 0 0 0 4 0 2 3 73
Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days? 1 2 4 80 3 5 11 188
Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices? 0 0 2 31 1 1 9 113
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 1 33 1 3 5 702
So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance 0 0 0 113 1 1 3 437
Social changes lead married women into labor force 0 0 3 96 0 1 15 294
Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce 0 0 1 20 1 1 2 78
States and the business cycle 0 0 2 86 0 2 6 315
Subject to revision 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 56
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 1 46 1 1 4 376
Survey says 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 58
Symmetric inflation risk 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 62
Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market 0 0 2 11 1 1 7 81
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 18 2 2 3 158
The Local Effects of Monetary Policy 1 1 3 93 1 2 7 310
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 5 137 1 1 8 455
The baby-boom boom 0 1 1 10 1 2 2 72
The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach 0 0 2 67 1 2 6 235
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 1 13 0 1 5 95
The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 54
The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks 2 2 10 35 4 8 25 111
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 0 90 0 1 6 340
Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 40
Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 64
Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices 0 0 2 29 0 0 4 82
WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES 0 0 1 38 0 0 1 115
WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK? 0 0 0 12 1 1 3 55
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 21 0 0 2 136
What are the chances? 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 68
What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names 0 0 3 54 0 0 5 233
When do recessions begin and end? 0 0 0 11 1 1 1 51
Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire 0 0 0 7 0 1 1 60
Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis 0 0 0 40 0 1 2 207
Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States 0 0 0 47 0 1 2 216
Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages 0 0 0 12 1 1 3 83
Your current job probably won't be your last 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 61
Total Journal Articles 29 62 227 6,977 98 218 694 28,327


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 1 1 3 57 1 4 9 168
Total Chapters 1 1 3 57 1 4 9 168


Statistics updated 2025-03-03