Access Statistics for Michael T. Owyang

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks 1 1 1 86 1 1 2 361
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 0 59 1 1 3 149
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 1 25 0 0 2 68
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law 0 0 1 25 1 2 9 86
A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 45 0 0 1 222
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 0 1 119 1 1 5 308
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 1 1 2 21 2 2 5 21
A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock 0 0 0 166 2 3 10 466
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 46 1 1 5 180
Age and Gender Differentials in Unemployment and Hysteresis 0 0 0 14 0 2 6 33
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 0 77 0 1 5 234
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data 0 0 1 184 1 1 6 415
Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data 0 0 0 116 0 1 2 238
Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data 0 0 2 169 0 1 8 408
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 48 1 1 2 118
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 0 0 55 1 2 5 74
Business Cycles Across Space and Time 0 1 3 50 2 4 12 82
Business cycle phases in U.S. states 0 2 4 354 1 6 13 2,760
COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth? 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 78
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 57
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 60 1 1 2 139
Contagious Switching 0 0 0 48 1 2 3 76
Could More Progressive Taxes Increase Income Inequality? 0 0 4 5 0 0 8 12
Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 94
Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 54 1 2 4 102
Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom? 0 0 0 60 2 2 6 169
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 19 1 1 3 102
Discordant City Employment Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 97
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 26 0 0 1 92
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 39 0 1 2 101
Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence 0 0 0 127 0 0 1 300
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 0 110 1 2 5 363
Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence 0 0 0 41 0 1 2 209
Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure 0 0 0 123 0 0 2 478
Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure 0 0 0 82 1 1 1 407
FOMC Actions and Recent Movements in Five-Year Inflation Expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 4
FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications 0 0 2 52 3 3 9 157
Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy 0 0 0 57 0 0 2 173
Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data 0 0 2 89 2 5 13 85
Forecasting national recessions using state level data 0 0 0 48 0 0 2 112
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data 0 0 1 20 1 4 8 78
How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis? 0 0 0 96 1 2 3 152
Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns 0 0 0 17 0 1 2 66
Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 145
Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain 0 0 2 91 1 3 7 147
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 12 0 0 2 11
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 1 0 1 4 8
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 16 0 1 4 42
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 0 36 0 0 1 81
Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities 0 0 1 121 0 1 4 236
Is the U.S. in a Recession? What Key Economic Indicators Say 0 0 4 6 3 3 10 12
Job Quits, New-Business Applications and the Postpandemic Pace of U.S. Business Formation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Making Sense of Recession Probabilities 0 2 12 12 0 4 9 9
Measuring The Effect of Shocks on Inequality: It's All About the Data 0 0 2 4 3 7 16 18
Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR 0 0 0 64 0 0 0 303
Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle 0 0 0 452 1 1 1 1,031
Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing 0 0 0 120 1 4 5 293
Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality 0 0 0 292 0 0 3 1,867
Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality 0 0 0 82 2 2 3 349
Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy 0 0 0 64 1 1 2 97
Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 0 0 0 8 0 0 4 74
Pension or 401(k)? Retirement Plan Trends in the U.S. Workplace 0 0 10 10 0 2 10 10
Race and Subprime Loan Pricing 0 0 0 13 0 1 4 72
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 118 1 1 1 252
Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage 0 0 2 51 1 3 11 57
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 1 128 1 1 4 335
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 0 130 0 0 2 280
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 22 0 1 1 296
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage 0 0 0 83 1 1 2 437
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 0 2 136 1 2 9 298
States and the business cycle 0 1 1 136 0 1 2 426
Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy 0 0 0 244 0 0 1 730
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 0 260 1 2 5 843
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms and Trickle-Up Economics 0 1 7 7 0 5 11 11
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics 0 0 3 60 1 1 16 234
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 41 2 3 3 319
The Challenges in Dating the End of Recessions 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2
The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves 0 0 4 31 1 1 9 23
The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks 0 0 2 81 3 4 11 202
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 0 79 0 1 2 186
The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach 0 0 0 84 0 1 1 282
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 21 0 0 3 139
The local effects of monetary policy 0 0 0 87 0 2 3 211
The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks 0 0 1 55 0 0 5 139
The propagation of regional recessions 0 0 0 147 2 3 3 252
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 0 110 1 2 3 359
What Are the Long-run Trade-offs of Rent-Control Policies? 0 0 2 13 0 0 4 17
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries 0 0 0 76 1 1 2 483
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 7 1 1 3 98
What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries? 0 0 0 54 0 0 1 251
Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries 0 0 0 55 1 1 1 152
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 0 46 0 0 0 170
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 1 41 0 0 3 147
Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis 0 0 0 76 1 2 7 288
Total Working Papers 2 9 84 6,840 62 131 404 22,650
3 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes 0 0 2 8 0 0 6 31
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks 1 2 11 132 4 6 29 422
A Measure of Price Pressures 0 1 7 28 1 2 15 146
A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998 2 2 33 2,005 11 17 92 5,930
A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks 0 0 0 70 0 0 0 195
A state-level analysis of Okun's law 0 0 2 25 1 3 10 172
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 25 0 2 4 171
A time-varying threshold STAR model with applications 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 5
A winning combination? economic theory meets sports 1 1 1 60 3 3 4 180
Age and gender differentials in unemployment and hysteresis 0 0 2 2 0 1 9 9
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 2 9 0 0 3 48
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data 0 0 1 179 0 2 8 546
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 9 0 1 4 37
Barreling down the road to recession? 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 85
Binary Conditional Forecasts 1 1 2 8 2 2 4 16
Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States 0 2 4 363 1 4 11 4,120
Business Cycles across Space and Time 0 0 2 3 0 1 7 22
Business cycle measures 0 0 1 222 0 0 1 352
Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates? 0 0 0 4 0 2 2 108
Changing trends in the labor force: a survey 0 0 1 14 0 0 2 193
China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors? 1 1 7 90 1 3 24 265
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 14 0 2 4 64
Comparing Measures of Potential Output 0 0 3 27 0 1 7 111
Contagious switching 0 1 2 10 0 2 5 41
Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions 0 0 1 7 1 2 5 55
DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 201
Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 33
Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 20 0 1 4 118
Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom? 0 0 0 4 0 1 2 61
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 10 0 2 8 110
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 13 2 3 6 74
Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 9
Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes 1 3 28 135 2 6 47 346
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 2 94 0 1 4 392
Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles? 0 0 1 12 0 0 3 49
Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector 0 1 1 11 0 1 2 30
Editor's introduction 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 38
Employment Revision Asymmetries 0 1 1 5 0 1 1 28
Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 71
FRED-SD: A real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications 0 0 2 4 0 2 12 23
Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy 0 0 3 21 0 0 5 116
Financial aid and college choice 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 64
For love or money: why married men make more 0 0 0 93 0 0 3 512
Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data 0 1 1 12 0 1 2 75
Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data 0 1 2 9 0 1 2 18
Forecasting with mixed frequencies 1 15 65 254 2 18 87 599
Hard 'core' inflation 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 92
How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement? 0 2 2 5 2 4 4 25
How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis? 0 0 0 9 0 2 4 133
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 2 0 1 5 9
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 2 5 0 2 6 33
Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure 0 0 2 24 0 1 4 83
Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities 0 0 0 134 0 2 4 441
Keep your résumé current 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 132
Look who's still working now 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 64
Look who's working now 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 57
Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks? 0 0 0 20 1 3 4 146
Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages? 0 0 2 89 0 1 6 352
Measuring Potential Output 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 16
Measuring Trends in Income Inequality 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 77
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 2 10 0 2 7 37
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 0 49 0 3 7 254
Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes 0 0 0 19 1 1 2 80
Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle 0 0 0 83 1 1 1 182
Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary 0 0 0 34 0 1 2 145
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing 0 0 3 67 0 1 11 218
Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices 0 0 2 42 0 0 20 190
Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy 0 0 0 12 0 1 3 94
Not your father's oil shock 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 36
Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans 0 1 3 418 0 3 8 1,399
Okun's law in recession and recovery 0 0 1 29 0 0 4 96
Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different? 0 2 14 105 3 9 38 416
On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts 0 0 2 10 0 0 5 23
Output and unemployment: how do they relate today? 1 2 5 66 1 3 7 175
Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation 1 1 1 18 1 3 10 172
Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation 0 0 0 68 0 1 3 251
Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k) 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 64
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 3 16 2 7 18 79
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 4 151 0 3 12 397
Regional Gasoline Price Dynamics 0 0 1 5 0 0 3 24
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 1 3 75 0 2 12 207
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 77
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 73
Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days? 1 2 6 83 2 4 14 195
Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices? 0 1 2 33 1 2 4 116
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 33 0 1 6 704
So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance 0 0 0 113 0 0 4 439
Social changes lead married women into labor force 0 0 1 96 0 1 3 295
Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce 0 0 1 20 0 1 3 79
States and the business cycle 0 1 1 87 1 3 6 319
Subject to revision 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 56
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 1 46 0 2 5 378
Survey says 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 58
Symmetric inflation risk 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 62
Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market 0 0 1 11 0 1 4 82
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 18 0 0 5 160
The Local Effects of Monetary Policy 0 1 2 94 1 4 10 318
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 1 3 138 4 7 12 464
The baby-boom boom 0 0 1 10 0 0 2 72
The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach 0 0 1 67 1 1 4 236
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 13 0 0 3 95
The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 54
The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks 2 5 22 52 4 11 49 147
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 1 1 91 0 1 5 341
Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998 0 0 0 6 1 1 1 41
Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 65
Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices 0 0 1 29 0 0 2 83
WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES 0 0 0 38 0 2 2 117
WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK? 0 0 0 12 0 2 3 57
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 21 0 0 2 136
What are the chances? 0 0 1 12 0 1 3 70
What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names 2 2 4 56 2 2 6 236
When do recessions begin and end? 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 52
Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 60
Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis 0 0 0 40 0 2 6 212
Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States 0 0 0 47 0 1 2 217
Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages 0 1 1 13 0 2 4 85
Your current job probably won't be your last 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 61
Total Journal Articles 15 57 292 7,139 61 206 845 28,802


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 0 2 58 1 1 11 173
Total Chapters 0 0 2 58 1 1 11 173


Statistics updated 2025-10-06