Access Statistics for Michael T. Owyang

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks 0 0 1 86 0 3 6 365
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 1 25 1 10 15 81
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 0 59 1 12 16 163
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law 0 0 1 25 0 6 13 95
A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 45 8 17 18 240
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 0 1 119 1 11 17 322
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 0 2 21 2 8 16 34
A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock 0 1 1 167 2 6 16 476
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 46 0 2 7 184
Age and Gender Differentials in Unemployment and Hysteresis 0 0 0 14 1 4 11 41
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 0 77 4 8 14 246
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data 0 0 0 184 2 3 12 424
Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data 0 0 0 116 1 5 9 245
Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data 0 1 2 170 3 10 21 426
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 48 1 4 8 124
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 0 0 55 1 5 12 82
Business Cycles Across Space and Time 0 0 2 50 0 4 14 90
Business cycle phases in U.S. states 0 0 4 354 0 2 16 2,765
COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth? 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 34 3 7 7 64
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 4 7 85
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 60 0 3 8 146
Contagious Switching 0 0 0 48 0 3 10 84
Could More Progressive Taxes Increase Income Inequality? 0 0 1 5 0 3 9 16
Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions 0 0 0 30 2 12 15 109
Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 54 1 9 13 113
Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom? 0 0 0 60 5 12 16 182
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 19 2 6 13 113
Discordant City Employment Cycles 0 0 0 14 1 9 10 107
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 39 0 4 6 106
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 26 1 10 11 102
Do Government Shutdowns Affect Subsequent Data Revisions? 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence 0 0 0 127 4 7 11 311
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 0 110 0 4 9 370
Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence 0 0 0 41 0 3 13 220
Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure 0 0 0 123 0 3 5 481
Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure 0 0 0 82 0 3 7 413
FOMC Actions and Recent Movements in Five-Year Inflation Expectations 0 0 0 4 0 2 2 6
FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications 0 0 1 52 2 12 22 173
Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy 0 0 0 57 0 5 14 185
Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data 0 0 2 89 9 18 33 107
Forecasting national recessions using state level data 0 0 0 48 1 9 13 124
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data 0 0 0 20 0 10 17 89
How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis? 0 0 0 96 1 5 10 160
Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns 0 0 0 17 0 3 7 72
Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach 1 1 1 30 2 2 6 150
Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain 0 1 2 92 1 5 10 153
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 12 0 9 10 21
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 1 1 9 11 17
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 16 0 6 12 51
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 0 36 2 6 7 88
Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities 0 0 1 121 2 5 12 244
Is the U.S. in a Recession? What Key Economic Indicators Say 0 0 1 6 0 5 11 19
Job Quits, New-Business Applications and the Postpandemic Pace of U.S. Business Formation 0 0 0 0 2 4 5 5
Making Sense of Recession Probabilities 0 0 12 12 0 6 19 19
Measuring The Effect of Shocks on Inequality: It's All About the Data 0 0 1 4 0 5 17 26
Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR 0 0 0 64 0 5 7 310
Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle 0 0 0 452 2 6 10 1,040
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing 0 0 0 13 0 4 5 72
Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing 0 0 0 120 0 20 29 317
Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality 0 1 1 293 5 19 20 1,886
Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality 0 0 0 82 2 4 9 356
Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy 0 0 0 64 2 11 13 108
Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 0 0 0 8 0 6 9 81
Pension or 401(k)? Retirement Plan Trends in the U.S. Workplace 0 0 11 11 2 6 17 17
Race and Subprime Loan Pricing 0 0 0 13 0 2 7 76
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 118 2 5 10 261
Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage 0 0 2 52 1 5 15 67
Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement 0 0 0 12 0 3 3 86
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 0 128 0 9 12 344
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 0 130 1 4 6 284
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 22 0 2 6 301
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage 0 0 0 83 0 12 14 450
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 1 1 137 0 10 20 315
States and the business cycle 0 0 1 136 0 9 10 435
Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy 0 0 1 245 0 7 10 739
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 0 260 0 2 7 846
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms and Trickle-Up Economics 0 0 8 8 1 8 21 21
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics 0 0 2 60 1 5 21 244
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 41 1 5 9 325
The Challenges in Dating the End of Recessions 0 0 0 0 0 7 10 10
The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves 0 0 5 32 0 4 13 29
The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks 1 1 3 82 2 3 16 210
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 0 79 0 5 8 193
The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach 0 0 1 85 1 5 11 292
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 21 0 3 8 147
The local effects of monetary policy 0 0 0 87 2 6 13 221
The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks 1 2 3 58 1 5 11 149
The propagation of regional recessions 0 0 0 147 2 11 17 266
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 0 110 0 4 8 364
What Are the Long-run Trade-offs of Rent-Control Policies? 0 0 0 13 2 6 9 26
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries 0 0 0 76 1 6 9 490
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 7 1 11 14 109
What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries? 0 0 0 54 0 2 5 255
Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries 0 0 0 55 0 3 6 157
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 0 41 0 7 10 156
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 0 46 1 6 7 177
Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis 0 0 0 76 0 3 11 294
Total Working Papers 3 9 76 6,881 104 619 1,130 23,665
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes 0 0 1 8 2 5 7 37
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks 0 2 11 136 1 9 28 435
A Measure of Price Pressures 1 1 4 29 2 10 22 162
A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998 2 4 23 2,013 9 63 132 6,013
A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks 0 0 0 70 0 5 7 202
A state-level analysis of Okun's law 0 1 3 26 4 11 17 183
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 25 0 2 6 174
A time-varying threshold STAR model with applications 1 1 2 3 3 6 10 13
A winning combination? economic theory meets sports 0 0 1 60 0 0 4 180
Age and gender differentials in unemployment and hysteresis 0 0 0 2 0 6 9 15
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 3 4 12 1 9 16 62
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data 0 0 2 180 1 9 18 559
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 1 1 1 10 1 8 12 46
Barreling down the road to recession? 0 0 0 7 0 2 4 89
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 0 2 8 0 6 11 24
Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States 0 1 3 364 0 10 17 4,131
Business Cycles across Space and Time 0 1 2 4 1 7 12 30
Business cycle measures 0 0 0 222 1 3 3 355
Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates? 0 0 0 4 0 1 3 109
Changing trends in the labor force: a survey 0 0 1 14 1 4 6 198
China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors? 0 0 7 93 3 21 39 291
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 14 1 5 8 70
Comparing Measures of Potential Output 0 0 1 27 1 5 10 117
Contagious switching 0 0 2 11 0 4 10 48
Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions 0 0 1 7 1 5 12 63
DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 64 1 5 5 206
Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP 0 0 0 3 0 5 7 39
Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 20 0 1 5 121
Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom? 0 0 0 4 3 7 13 72
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 10 4 11 18 123
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 13 1 5 9 80
Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle 0 0 0 4 1 4 4 13
Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes 4 9 25 146 7 15 48 370
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 0 94 0 3 6 397
Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles? 0 0 0 12 0 5 7 56
Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector 0 0 1 11 1 7 9 38
Editor's introduction 0 0 0 10 0 2 3 41
Employment Revision Asymmetries 0 1 2 6 0 5 7 34
Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 71
FRED-SD: A real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications 0 0 2 5 2 8 15 32
Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy 0 1 3 22 2 5 9 122
Financial aid and college choice 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 64
For love or money: why married men make more 0 0 1 94 0 3 7 517
Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data 0 0 1 12 1 6 11 84
Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data 0 0 2 9 1 7 10 26
Forecasting with mixed frequencies 2 10 45 268 7 32 78 639
Hard 'core' inflation 0 0 0 11 1 3 4 95
How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement? 0 0 3 6 0 3 10 31
How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis? 0 0 0 9 0 5 12 143
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 2 2 3 5 12
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 1 2 6 1 5 9 39
Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure 0 0 1 24 1 4 8 89
Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities 0 1 1 135 10 34 39 477
Keep your résumé current 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 132
Look who's still working now 0 0 0 10 1 4 4 68
Look who's working now 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 57
Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks? 0 0 0 20 0 4 9 151
Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages? 0 1 3 90 0 6 11 359
Measuring Potential Output 0 0 0 3 0 1 3 18
Measuring Trends in Income Inequality 0 0 0 14 1 1 2 79
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 0 49 1 2 6 256
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 2 10 1 8 14 45
Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes 0 0 0 19 1 2 5 83
Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle 0 0 0 83 2 10 14 195
Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary 0 0 0 34 0 1 2 146
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing 0 1 3 68 0 6 17 228
Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices 0 1 3 44 0 4 23 196
Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy 0 0 0 12 0 3 6 99
Not your father's oil shock 0 0 0 10 1 2 4 39
Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans 0 0 3 418 0 2 11 1,403
Okun's law in recession and recovery 0 0 0 29 0 3 5 100
Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different? 1 3 11 109 7 21 46 442
On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts 0 0 0 10 4 12 18 38
Output and unemployment: how do they relate today? 0 0 5 67 4 5 12 181
Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation 0 0 1 18 4 4 11 178
Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation 0 0 0 68 1 6 7 257
Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k) 0 0 0 7 0 2 2 66
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 1 1 5 18 1 13 29 95
Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage 0 0 5 6 2 5 15 17
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 4 151 1 3 14 401
Regional Gasoline Price Dynamics 0 0 0 5 0 9 11 34
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 2 75 2 3 10 212
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District 0 0 0 10 0 3 6 82
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District 0 0 0 4 1 7 9 82
Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days? 0 0 4 84 1 6 14 202
Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices? 0 0 2 33 1 11 15 128
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 33 2 9 13 715
So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance 0 1 1 114 0 3 6 443
Social changes lead married women into labor force 0 0 2 98 0 5 9 303
Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce 0 0 0 20 0 1 2 80
States and the business cycle 1 1 2 88 4 6 13 328
Subject to revision 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 56
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 0 46 0 4 6 382
Survey says 0 0 0 6 2 6 7 65
Symmetric inflation risk 0 0 0 8 0 0 1 63
Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market 0 0 0 11 0 4 5 86
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 18 3 4 8 166
The Local Effects of Monetary Policy 1 2 3 96 4 12 21 331
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 1 1 2 139 2 7 22 477
The baby-boom boom 0 0 0 10 0 1 3 75
The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach 0 0 0 67 1 14 17 252
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 13 0 3 8 103
The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts 0 0 0 6 0 1 2 56
The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks 0 0 19 54 4 9 48 159
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 1 91 0 7 9 349
Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998 0 0 0 6 0 2 5 45
Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place 0 0 0 13 1 5 7 71
Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices 0 0 0 29 0 4 5 87
WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES 0 0 0 38 1 6 10 125
WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK? 0 0 0 12 0 5 8 63
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 21 1 5 5 141
What are the chances? 0 0 1 12 0 1 6 74
What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names 0 0 2 56 0 2 6 239
When do recessions begin and end? 0 0 0 11 0 4 6 57
Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire 0 0 0 7 1 5 6 66
Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis 0 0 1 41 1 4 10 217
Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States 0 0 0 47 0 2 4 220
Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages 0 0 1 13 0 0 3 86
Your current job probably won't be your last 0 0 0 11 0 1 1 62
Total Journal Articles 16 50 248 7,226 143 720 1,419 29,748


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 3 4 61 1 9 17 185
Total Chapters 0 3 4 61 1 9 17 185


Statistics updated 2026-03-04