Access Statistics for Michael T. Owyang

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks 0 1 1 86 0 1 2 361
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 0 59 1 2 4 150
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 1 25 2 2 4 70
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law 0 0 1 25 1 3 10 87
A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 45 0 0 1 222
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 0 1 119 2 3 6 310
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 1 2 21 3 5 7 24
A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock 0 0 0 166 3 6 12 469
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 46 2 3 6 182
Age and Gender Differentials in Unemployment and Hysteresis 0 0 0 14 2 3 6 35
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 0 77 1 1 5 235
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data 0 0 0 184 2 3 7 417
Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data 0 0 0 116 0 1 2 238
Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data 0 0 2 169 2 3 9 410
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 48 0 1 2 118
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 0 0 55 1 2 5 75
Business Cycles Across Space and Time 0 1 3 50 0 4 11 82
Business cycle phases in U.S. states 0 1 4 354 2 6 14 2,762
COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth? 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 57
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 14 1 1 2 79
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 60 4 5 6 143
Contagious Switching 0 0 0 48 2 3 5 78
Could More Progressive Taxes Increase Income Inequality? 0 0 3 5 1 1 8 13
Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions 0 0 0 30 3 3 3 97
Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 54 1 3 3 103
Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom? 0 0 0 60 1 3 7 170
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 19 2 3 5 104
Discordant City Employment Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 97
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 39 0 0 2 101
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 26 0 0 1 92
Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence 0 0 0 127 1 1 2 301
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 0 110 2 4 7 365
Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence 0 0 0 41 2 3 4 211
Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure 0 0 0 123 0 0 2 478
Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure 0 0 0 82 1 2 2 408
FOMC Actions and Recent Movements in Five-Year Inflation Expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 4
FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications 0 0 2 52 3 6 11 160
Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy 0 0 0 57 5 5 7 178
Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data 0 0 2 89 2 5 15 87
Forecasting national recessions using state level data 0 0 0 48 1 1 3 113
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data 0 0 1 20 1 2 9 79
How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis? 0 0 0 96 2 4 5 154
Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns 0 0 0 17 1 1 3 67
Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach 0 0 0 29 1 1 2 146
Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain 0 0 2 91 1 3 8 148
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 1 0 1 4 8
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 12 0 0 2 11
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 16 1 2 5 43
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 0 36 0 0 1 81
Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities 0 0 1 121 2 2 6 238
Is the U.S. in a Recession? What Key Economic Indicators Say 0 0 4 6 1 4 11 13
Job Quits, New-Business Applications and the Postpandemic Pace of U.S. Business Formation 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Making Sense of Recession Probabilities 0 2 12 12 4 8 13 13
Measuring The Effect of Shocks on Inequality: It's All About the Data 0 0 2 4 2 7 17 20
Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR 0 0 0 64 1 1 1 304
Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle 0 0 0 452 3 4 4 1,034
Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing 0 0 0 120 1 4 6 294
Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality 0 0 0 292 0 0 2 1,867
Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality 0 0 0 82 1 3 4 350
Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy 0 0 0 64 0 1 2 97
Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 0 0 0 8 0 0 3 74
Pension or 401(k)? Retirement Plan Trends in the U.S. Workplace 0 0 10 10 0 1 10 10
Race and Subprime Loan Pricing 0 0 0 13 2 3 6 74
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 118 1 2 2 253
Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage 0 0 2 51 1 3 11 58
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 1 128 0 1 4 335
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 0 130 0 0 2 280
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 22 1 1 2 297
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage 0 0 0 83 1 2 3 438
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 0 1 136 6 7 14 304
States and the business cycle 0 0 1 136 0 0 2 426
Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy 1 1 1 245 2 2 3 732
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 0 260 1 2 6 844
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms and Trickle-Up Economics 0 0 7 7 0 1 11 11
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics 0 0 3 60 4 5 18 238
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 41 1 4 4 320
The Challenges in Dating the End of Recessions 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2
The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves 1 1 5 32 2 3 11 25
The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks 0 0 2 81 4 8 15 206
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 0 79 0 1 2 186
The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach 0 0 0 84 2 2 3 284
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 21 1 1 4 140
The local effects of monetary policy 0 0 0 87 2 3 5 213
The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks 1 1 2 56 3 3 7 142
The propagation of regional recessions 0 0 0 147 1 4 4 253
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 0 110 1 3 4 360
What Are the Long-run Trade-offs of Rent-Control Policies? 0 0 2 13 1 1 5 18
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries 0 0 0 76 0 1 2 483
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 7 0 1 3 98
What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries? 0 0 0 54 1 1 2 252
Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries 0 0 0 55 2 3 3 154
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 1 41 1 1 4 148
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 0 46 1 1 1 171
Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis 0 0 0 76 1 2 7 289
Total Working Papers 3 9 84 6,843 122 221 501 22,772
3 registered items for which data could not be found

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes 0 0 2 8 0 0 6 31
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks 0 2 11 132 1 6 29 423
A Measure of Price Pressures 0 0 6 28 3 4 17 149
A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998 2 4 33 2,007 5 19 90 5,935
A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks 0 0 0 70 0 0 0 195
A state-level analysis of Okun's law 0 0 2 25 0 1 10 172
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 25 1 2 5 172
A time-varying threshold STAR model with applications 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 5
A winning combination? economic theory meets sports 0 1 1 60 0 3 4 180
Age and gender differentials in unemployment and hysteresis 0 0 2 2 0 0 7 9
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 1 9 0 0 2 48
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data 0 0 1 179 1 2 9 547
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 9 0 0 4 37
Barreling down the road to recession? 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 85
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 1 2 8 1 3 4 17
Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States 0 0 2 363 0 1 8 4,120
Business Cycles across Space and Time 0 0 2 3 0 1 6 22
Business cycle measures 0 0 1 222 0 0 1 352
Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates? 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 108
Changing trends in the labor force: a survey 0 0 1 14 0 0 2 193
China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors? 1 2 8 91 2 3 24 267
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 14 1 1 5 65
Comparing Measures of Potential Output 0 0 3 27 0 0 6 111
Contagious switching 1 2 3 11 2 4 7 43
Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions 0 0 1 7 1 3 6 56
DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 201
Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 33
Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 20 2 2 5 120
Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom? 0 0 0 4 4 4 6 65
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 10 0 1 8 110
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 13 1 3 7 75
Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 9
Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes 0 3 23 135 3 8 45 349
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 1 94 1 2 3 393
Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles? 0 0 1 12 0 0 1 49
Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector 0 1 1 11 1 2 3 31
Editor's introduction 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 38
Employment Revision Asymmetries 0 1 1 5 0 1 1 28
Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 71
FRED-SD: A real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications 1 1 3 5 1 3 13 24
Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy 0 0 3 21 1 1 6 117
Financial aid and college choice 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 64
For love or money: why married men make more 0 0 0 93 1 1 4 513
Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data 0 0 1 12 1 1 3 76
Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data 0 0 2 9 1 1 3 19
Forecasting with mixed frequencies 3 11 58 257 5 14 79 604
Hard 'core' inflation 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 92
How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement? 1 1 3 6 2 4 6 27
How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis? 0 0 0 9 3 3 6 136
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 2 0 0 5 9
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 1 5 1 1 6 34
Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure 0 0 2 24 1 2 5 84
Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities 0 0 0 134 0 1 4 441
Keep your résumé current 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 132
Look who's still working now 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 64
Look who's working now 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 57
Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks? 0 0 0 20 0 1 4 146
Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages? 0 0 2 89 1 2 7 353
Measuring Potential Output 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 16
Measuring Trends in Income Inequality 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 77
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 0 49 0 2 6 254
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 2 10 0 2 7 37
Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes 0 0 0 19 0 1 2 80
Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle 0 0 0 83 1 2 2 183
Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary 0 0 0 34 0 0 2 145
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing 0 0 3 67 2 2 13 220
Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices 0 0 1 42 1 1 20 191
Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy 0 0 0 12 2 2 5 96
Not your father's oil shock 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 36
Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans 0 0 3 418 2 4 10 1,401
Okun's law in recession and recovery 0 0 0 29 1 1 4 97
Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different? 1 2 13 106 2 8 37 418
On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts 0 0 1 10 1 1 5 24
Output and unemployment: how do they relate today? 1 2 6 67 1 2 8 176
Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation 0 1 1 18 0 2 8 172
Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation 0 0 0 68 0 0 3 251
Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k) 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 64
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 1 1 4 17 2 5 19 81
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 4 151 1 4 13 398
Regional Gasoline Price Dynamics 0 0 1 5 1 1 4 25
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 1 2 75 1 3 12 208
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District 0 0 0 10 1 1 3 78
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District 0 0 0 4 2 2 4 75
Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days? 1 2 6 84 1 4 13 196
Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices? 0 1 2 33 0 2 4 116
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 33 0 1 6 704
So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance 0 0 0 113 1 1 4 440
Social changes lead married women into labor force 1 1 1 97 2 3 4 297
Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce 0 0 1 20 0 1 3 79
States and the business cycle 0 0 1 87 0 1 6 319
Subject to revision 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 56
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 0 46 0 1 3 378
Survey says 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 58
Symmetric inflation risk 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 62
Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market 0 0 0 11 0 1 3 82
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 18 2 2 7 162
The Local Effects of Monetary Policy 0 1 2 94 1 5 11 319
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 1 3 138 3 10 15 467
The baby-boom boom 0 0 1 10 1 1 3 73
The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach 0 0 1 67 2 3 6 238
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 13 2 2 4 97
The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts 0 0 0 6 1 1 1 55
The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks 1 6 21 53 2 11 48 149
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 1 1 91 1 2 5 342
Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998 0 0 0 6 1 2 2 42
Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place 0 0 0 13 1 1 2 66
Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 83
WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES 0 0 0 38 2 2 4 119
WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK? 0 0 0 12 0 1 3 57
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 21 0 0 2 136
What are the chances? 0 0 1 12 2 3 5 72
What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names 0 2 2 56 1 3 4 237
When do recessions begin and end? 0 0 0 11 1 1 3 53
Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 60
Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis 0 0 0 40 0 1 6 212
Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States 0 0 0 47 0 1 2 217
Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages 0 1 1 13 1 3 5 86
Your current job probably won't be your last 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 61
Total Journal Articles 15 53 269 7,154 97 228 870 28,899

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 0 2 58 2 3 13 175
Total Chapters 0 0 2 58 2 3 13 175

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