Access Statistics for Michael T. Owyang

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks 0 1 1 86 1 2 3 362
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 0 59 1 3 5 151
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 1 25 1 3 5 71
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law 0 0 1 25 2 4 11 89
A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 45 1 1 2 223
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 0 1 119 1 4 6 311
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 1 2 21 2 7 9 26
A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock 0 0 0 166 1 6 11 470
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 46 0 3 6 182
Age and Gender Differentials in Unemployment and Hysteresis 0 0 0 14 2 4 7 37
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 0 77 3 4 8 238
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data 0 0 0 184 4 7 10 421
Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data 0 0 0 116 2 2 4 240
Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data 0 0 2 169 6 8 14 416
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 48 2 3 4 120
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 0 0 55 2 4 7 77
Business Cycles Across Space and Time 0 0 2 50 4 6 14 86
Business cycle phases in U.S. states 0 0 4 354 1 4 15 2,763
COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth? 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 14 2 3 4 81
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 57
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 60 0 5 6 143
Contagious Switching 0 0 0 48 3 6 8 81
Could More Progressive Taxes Increase Income Inequality? 0 0 2 5 0 1 7 13
Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions 0 0 0 30 0 3 3 97
Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 54 1 3 4 104
Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom? 0 0 0 60 0 3 7 170
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 19 3 6 8 107
Discordant City Employment Cycles 0 0 0 14 1 1 1 98
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 39 1 1 3 102
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 26 0 0 1 92
Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence 0 0 0 127 3 4 5 304
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 0 110 1 4 8 366
Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence 0 0 0 41 6 8 10 217
Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure 0 0 0 123 0 0 2 478
Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure 0 0 0 82 2 4 4 410
FOMC Actions and Recent Movements in Five-Year Inflation Expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 4
FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications 0 0 2 52 1 7 11 161
Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy 0 0 0 57 2 7 9 180
Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data 0 0 2 89 2 6 17 89
Forecasting national recessions using state level data 0 0 0 48 2 3 5 115
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data 0 0 0 20 0 2 8 79
How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis? 0 0 0 96 1 4 6 155
Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns 0 0 0 17 2 3 5 69
Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach 0 0 0 29 2 3 4 148
Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain 0 0 2 91 0 2 7 148
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 8
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 12 1 1 2 12
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 16 2 3 7 45
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 0 36 1 1 2 82
Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities 0 0 1 121 1 3 7 239
Is the U.S. in a Recession? What Key Economic Indicators Say 0 0 3 6 1 5 10 14
Job Quits, New-Business Applications and the Postpandemic Pace of U.S. Business Formation 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Making Sense of Recession Probabilities 0 0 12 12 0 4 13 13
Measuring The Effect of Shocks on Inequality: It's All About the Data 0 0 2 4 1 6 17 21
Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR 0 0 0 64 1 2 2 305
Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle 0 0 0 452 0 4 4 1,034
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing 0 0 0 13 0 1 1 68
Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing 0 0 0 120 3 5 9 297
Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality 0 0 0 292 0 0 2 1,867
Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality 0 0 0 82 2 5 6 352
Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy 0 0 0 64 0 1 2 97
Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 0 0 0 8 1 1 4 75
Pension or 401(k)? Retirement Plan Trends in the U.S. Workplace 1 1 11 11 1 1 11 11
Race and Subprime Loan Pricing 0 0 0 13 0 2 6 74
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 118 3 5 5 256
Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage 1 1 3 52 4 6 15 62
Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement 0 0 1 12 0 0 2 83
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 1 128 0 1 4 335
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 0 130 0 0 2 280
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 22 2 3 4 299
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage 0 0 0 83 0 2 3 438
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 0 1 136 1 8 12 305
States and the business cycle 0 0 1 136 0 0 2 426
Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy 0 1 1 245 0 2 3 732
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 0 260 0 2 6 844
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms and Trickle-Up Economics 1 1 8 8 2 2 13 13
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics 0 0 3 60 1 6 19 239
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 41 0 3 4 320
The Challenges in Dating the End of Recessions 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3
The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves 0 1 5 32 0 3 11 25
The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks 0 0 2 81 1 8 15 207
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 0 79 2 2 3 188
The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach 1 1 1 85 3 5 6 287
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 21 4 5 7 144
The local effects of monetary policy 0 0 0 87 2 4 7 215
The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks 0 1 2 56 2 5 9 144
The propagation of regional recessions 0 0 0 147 2 5 6 255
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 0 110 0 2 4 360
What Are the Long-run Trade-offs of Rent-Control Policies? 0 0 1 13 2 3 5 20
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries 0 0 0 76 1 2 3 484
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 7 0 1 3 98
What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries? 0 0 0 54 1 2 3 253
Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries 0 0 0 55 0 3 3 154
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 0 46 0 1 1 171
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 1 41 1 2 5 149
Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis 0 0 0 76 2 4 9 291
Total Working Papers 4 9 84 6,872 123 308 602 23,046
1 registered items for which data could not be found

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes 0 0 1 8 1 1 4 32
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks 2 3 11 134 3 8 27 426
A Measure of Price Pressures 0 0 5 28 3 7 18 152
A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998 2 6 33 2,009 15 31 102 5,950
A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks 0 0 0 70 2 2 2 197
A state-level analysis of Okun's law 0 0 2 25 0 1 9 172
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 25 0 1 5 172
A time-varying threshold STAR model with applications 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 7
A winning combination? economic theory meets sports 0 1 1 60 0 3 4 180
Age and gender differentials in unemployment and hysteresis 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 9
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 1 9 5 5 7 53
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data 1 1 2 180 3 4 12 550
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 9 1 1 5 38
Barreling down the road to recession? 0 0 0 7 2 2 2 87
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 1 2 8 1 4 5 18
Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States 0 0 2 363 1 2 8 4,121
Business Cycles across Space and Time 0 0 1 3 1 1 6 23
Business cycle measures 0 0 1 222 0 0 1 352
Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates? 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 108
Changing trends in the labor force: a survey 0 0 1 14 1 1 2 194
China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors? 2 4 8 93 3 6 22 270
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 14 0 1 5 65
Comparing Measures of Potential Output 0 0 2 27 1 1 6 112
Contagious switching 0 1 3 11 1 3 8 44
Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions 0 0 1 7 2 4 8 58
DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 201
Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP 0 0 0 3 1 1 2 34
Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 20 0 2 5 120
Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom? 0 0 0 4 0 4 6 65
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 10 2 2 10 112
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 13 0 3 7 75
Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 9
Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes 2 3 24 137 6 11 48 355
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 1 94 1 2 4 394
Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles? 0 0 0 12 2 2 2 51
Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector 0 0 1 11 0 1 3 31
Editor's introduction 0 0 0 10 1 1 1 39
Employment Revision Asymmetries 0 0 1 5 1 1 2 29
Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 71
FRED-SD: A real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications 0 1 2 5 0 1 11 24
Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy 0 0 3 21 0 1 6 117
Financial aid and college choice 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 64
For love or money: why married men make more 1 1 1 94 1 2 5 514
Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data 0 0 1 12 2 3 5 78
Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data 0 0 2 9 0 1 3 19
Forecasting with mixed frequencies 1 5 55 258 3 10 75 607
Hard 'core' inflation 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 92
How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement? 0 1 3 6 1 5 7 28
How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis? 0 0 0 9 2 5 8 138
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 9
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 1 5 0 1 5 34
Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure 0 0 2 24 1 2 6 85
Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities 0 0 0 134 2 2 5 443
Keep your résumé current 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 132
Look who's still working now 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 64
Look who's working now 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 57
Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks? 0 0 0 20 1 2 5 147
Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages? 0 0 2 89 0 1 7 353
Measuring Potential Output 0 0 0 3 1 1 2 17
Measuring Trends in Income Inequality 0 0 0 14 1 1 1 78
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 2 10 0 0 6 37
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 0 49 0 0 5 254
Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes 0 0 0 19 1 2 3 81
Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle 0 0 0 83 2 4 4 185
Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary 0 0 0 34 0 0 2 145
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing 0 0 2 67 2 4 12 222
Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices 1 1 2 43 1 2 21 192
Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy 0 0 0 12 0 2 3 96
Not your father's oil shock 0 0 0 10 1 1 3 37
Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans 0 0 3 418 0 2 10 1,401
Okun's law in recession and recovery 0 0 0 29 0 1 3 97
Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different? 0 1 9 106 3 8 33 421
On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts 0 0 1 10 2 3 7 26
Output and unemployment: how do they relate today? 0 2 5 67 0 2 7 176
Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation 0 1 1 18 2 3 9 174
Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation 0 0 0 68 0 0 2 251
Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k) 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 64
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 1 4 17 1 5 19 82
Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage 1 2 6 6 3 5 12 12
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 4 151 0 1 13 398
Regional Gasoline Price Dynamics 0 0 1 5 0 1 4 25
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 2 75 1 2 13 209
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District 0 0 0 10 1 2 4 79
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District 0 0 0 4 0 2 4 75
Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days? 0 2 6 84 0 3 13 196
Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices? 0 0 2 33 1 2 5 117
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 33 2 2 7 706
So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance 0 0 0 113 0 1 4 440
Social changes lead married women into labor force 1 2 2 98 1 3 5 298
Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce 0 0 0 20 0 0 2 79
States and the business cycle 0 0 1 87 3 4 9 322
Subject to revision 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 56
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 0 46 0 0 3 378
Survey says 0 0 0 6 1 1 1 59
Symmetric inflation risk 0 0 0 8 1 1 1 63
Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 82
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 18 0 2 6 162
The Local Effects of Monetary Policy 0 0 2 94 0 2 11 319
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 1 138 3 10 16 470
The baby-boom boom 0 0 1 10 1 2 4 74
The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach 0 0 0 67 0 3 5 238
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 13 3 5 6 100
The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts 0 0 0 6 0 1 1 55
The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks 1 4 21 54 1 7 47 150
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 1 91 0 1 3 342
Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998 0 0 0 6 1 3 3 43
Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place 0 0 0 13 0 1 2 66
Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 83
WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES 0 0 0 38 0 2 4 119
WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK? 0 0 0 12 1 1 4 58
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 136
What are the chances? 0 0 1 12 1 3 5 73
What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names 0 2 2 56 0 3 4 237
When do recessions begin and end? 0 0 0 11 0 1 3 53
Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire 0 0 0 7 1 1 2 61
Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis 1 1 1 41 1 1 7 213
Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States 0 0 0 47 1 1 3 218
Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages 0 0 1 13 0 1 4 86
Your current job probably won't be your last 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 61
Total Journal Articles 17 48 261 7,176 120 280 919 29,028

Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 0 2 58 1 4 12 176
Total Chapters 0 0 2 58 1 4 12 176

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Statistics updated 2025-12-06