Access Statistics for Michael T. Owyang

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks 0 1 1 85 0 4 11 352
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 1 3 55 3 5 16 123
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 1 23 1 3 6 51
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law 1 2 2 23 4 7 13 61
A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 45 1 2 8 211
A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock 0 0 0 160 0 1 7 424
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 1 1 46 0 1 4 169
A time-varying threshold STAR model of unemployment and the natural rate 0 1 9 104 0 2 16 264
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 1 1 2 63 1 3 15 193
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data 0 1 3 169 2 6 27 325
Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data 0 0 3 114 0 1 13 212
Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data 0 0 1 153 1 3 19 326
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 47 1 2 6 108
Binary Conditional Forecasts 1 2 46 48 1 5 31 35
Business Cycles Across Space and Time 0 1 5 37 0 1 16 46
Business cycle phases in U.S. states 0 0 2 343 1 10 33 2,713
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 34 1 2 4 49
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 1 12 0 0 4 66
Clustered housing cycles 1 1 3 56 2 2 7 120
Contagious Switching 0 1 3 37 0 2 14 37
Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions 0 0 1 28 1 1 8 81
Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 2 51 3 6 18 60
Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom? 0 0 0 57 2 2 15 147
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 1 2 19 0 1 10 92
Discordant City Employment Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 1 5 96
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 26 0 1 2 82
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 38 0 1 4 94
Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence 0 0 0 121 2 4 9 280
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 0 107 0 0 2 351
Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence 0 0 0 41 0 1 1 203
Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure 0 1 1 123 0 3 12 459
Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure 0 0 0 81 0 0 5 387
FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications 23 24 24 24 10 15 15 15
Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy 0 0 7 52 1 3 17 122
Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data 48 72 72 72 19 25 25 25
Forecasting national recessions using state level data 0 0 0 46 1 2 4 103
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data 0 1 1 17 0 1 7 66
How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis? 0 1 5 83 3 5 18 130
Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns 0 0 0 17 0 0 5 63
Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach 0 0 1 28 2 2 6 136
Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain 1 1 4 79 2 3 10 119
Individual and Aggregate Constrained Efficient Intertemporal Wedges in Dynamic Mirrleesian Economies 0 0 0 25 3 4 7 36
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 6 35 1 3 21 68
Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities 0 0 4 119 0 0 9 223
Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR 0 0 1 62 1 1 5 296
Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle 1 1 3 449 1 1 4 1,013
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing 0 0 0 9 0 1 6 52
Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing 0 0 3 118 0 1 8 279
Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality 0 0 1 290 1 1 6 1,838
Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality 0 0 0 82 1 1 7 336
Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy 0 1 3 59 3 5 12 56
Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 0 0 1 6 1 1 12 54
Race and Subprime Loan Pricing 0 0 0 12 0 2 6 64
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 103 1 4 22 176
Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement 0 0 0 8 0 1 5 68
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 1 123 0 0 3 322
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 1 120 0 0 5 255
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 22 1 4 9 290
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage 0 0 0 83 2 5 9 428
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 0 2 118 3 5 42 232
States and the business cycle 1 1 1 135 1 1 8 419
Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy 0 2 8 236 0 4 21 698
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 2 255 1 2 10 813
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics 1 3 37 37 6 13 58 58
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 41 0 0 6 314
The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks 0 1 14 66 3 7 45 120
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 1 1 2 74 1 4 11 171
The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach 0 0 0 83 0 0 3 273
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 1 1 20 0 1 5 129
The local effects of monetary policy 0 1 3 83 0 1 4 198
The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks 0 0 5 51 0 0 5 122
The propagation of regional recessions 0 0 0 146 0 2 6 233
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 2 107 4 5 15 344
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries 0 0 1 75 0 0 4 473
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 6 0 1 5 91
What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries? 0 0 0 54 1 3 5 240
Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries 0 0 0 53 0 0 1 146
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 0 38 0 1 9 131
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 1 44 0 2 10 156
Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis 0 0 1 76 1 3 5 270
Total Working Papers 80 126 311 6,301 102 229 902 20,481
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 5
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks 4 7 19 79 11 19 51 255
A Measure of Price Pressures 0 0 0 11 3 3 9 65
A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998 1 1 14 1,921 5 9 78 5,590
A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks 0 0 1 70 0 0 4 187
A state-level analysis of Okun's law 0 0 3 10 4 7 37 113
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 1 23 0 0 5 155
A winning combination? economic theory meets sports 0 0 1 58 3 3 6 169
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 1 1 1 2 2 3 11 20
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data 1 1 3 166 5 9 26 474
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4
Barreling down the road to recession? 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 75
Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States 0 0 2 346 0 3 13 4,065
Business cycle measures 0 0 2 219 0 0 7 346
Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates? 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 104
Changing trends in the labor force: a survey 0 0 1 13 1 4 5 181
China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors? 1 2 7 31 3 15 36 110
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 1 9 0 1 6 47
Comparing Measures of Potential Output 0 0 6 14 2 7 38 59
Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions 0 0 0 2 1 1 5 15
DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE 1 1 1 59 1 2 4 170
Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP 1 1 1 2 2 4 7 14
Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 2 3 6 16 5 7 29 73
Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom? 0 0 0 3 0 0 10 50
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 2 3 7 0 3 11 65
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 10 0 0 3 62
Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle 0 0 1 2 1 1 3 4
Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes 0 0 6 84 2 3 17 225
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 1 91 0 0 4 384
Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles? 0 0 0 8 1 2 7 35
Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector 0 0 1 2 1 1 6 7
Editor's introduction 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 37
Employment Revision Asymmetries 0 0 0 3 0 2 3 23
Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities 0 0 0 9 1 1 5 62
Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy 0 0 7 12 1 1 24 38
Financial aid and college choice 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 60
For love or money: why married men make more 0 1 2 90 0 1 7 473
Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data 0 1 3 9 0 5 12 61
Forecasting with mixed frequencies 2 10 44 121 2 12 71 354
Hard 'core' inflation 0 0 0 10 0 0 6 84
How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement? 0 0 0 2 1 2 6 13
How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis? 0 0 0 0 2 5 14 14
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 1 2 2 0 2 4 4
Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure 1 1 4 6 1 5 15 44
Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities 0 0 1 126 0 3 16 397
Keep your résumé current 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 127
Look who's still working now 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 57
Look who's working now 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 53
Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks? 0 0 0 20 0 0 2 141
Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages? 0 1 3 77 1 3 12 303
Measuring Potential Output 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 7
Measuring Trends in Income Inequality 0 0 0 9 0 1 8 54
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 0 49 2 5 11 211
Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes 0 0 2 12 0 2 8 60
Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle 0 0 0 81 0 0 3 171
Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary 0 0 0 33 0 0 4 133
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing 1 1 9 43 1 1 19 149
Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices 0 0 2 36 0 2 8 139
Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy 0 0 1 7 1 1 13 34
Not your father's oil shock 0 0 0 10 0 0 2 33
Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans 0 0 1 414 0 1 4 1,380
Okun's law in recession and recovery 1 2 4 26 2 9 25 83
Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different? 1 1 1 60 1 2 12 253
Output and unemployment: how do they relate today? 0 0 1 51 1 1 12 115
Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation 0 0 1 17 2 2 13 94
Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation 0 0 0 67 0 0 4 244
Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k) 0 0 0 6 0 0 2 46
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 1 1 5 126 1 4 18 335
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 0 58 0 1 8 158
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District 0 0 1 10 0 1 5 73
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District 0 0 0 4 0 1 2 64
Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days? 0 1 3 58 0 5 25 147
Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices? 0 0 1 15 0 1 11 57
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 31 1 2 9 688
So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance 0 0 3 108 1 1 9 405
Social changes lead married women into labor force 1 2 9 68 3 4 23 213
Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce 0 0 0 19 0 0 4 72
States and the business cycle 0 1 2 81 0 2 8 293
Subject to revision 0 0 0 3 0 1 2 49
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 0 42 1 2 8 344
Survey says 0 0 0 6 0 0 8 53
Symmetric inflation risk 0 1 1 8 0 1 8 60
Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market 1 1 1 7 2 7 20 45
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 153
The Local Effects of Monetary Policy 0 2 13 74 1 7 37 251
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 1 4 7 120 4 11 30 388
The baby-boom boom 0 0 0 8 7 7 9 61
The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach 0 0 1 63 0 0 9 218
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 0 10 0 1 3 85
The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts 0 0 0 6 0 0 6 48
The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks 1 2 2 2 3 9 9 9
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 1 85 0 0 4 313
Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998 0 0 0 4 1 1 5 37
Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place 0 0 0 13 0 0 6 57
Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices 0 0 1 26 0 1 5 74
WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES 1 1 1 37 2 2 5 110
WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK? 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 45
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 21 0 2 7 130
What are the chances? 0 0 0 11 0 0 3 65
What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names 0 0 2 44 1 2 7 206
When do recessions begin and end? 1 1 3 9 2 2 9 40
Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire 0 0 1 7 1 1 4 56
Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis 0 1 3 35 1 3 7 187
Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States 0 0 2 45 1 1 11 202
Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages 0 0 0 12 0 2 6 67
Your current job probably won't be your last 0 0 0 11 0 0 5 58
Total Journal Articles 27 58 235 6,067 111 269 1,161 24,597


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 2 5 13 37 5 12 43 112
Total Chapters 2 5 13 37 5 12 43 112


Statistics updated 2020-11-03