Access Statistics for Michael T. Owyang

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Identification of Technology Shocks 0 0 0 85 0 1 1 360
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 0 59 0 1 3 148
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 1 1 25 0 1 2 68
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law 1 1 1 25 1 2 7 84
A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 45 0 0 1 222
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 1 1 119 0 2 5 307
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications 0 1 1 20 0 1 4 19
A flexible finite-horizon alternative to long-run restrictions with an application to technology shock 0 0 1 166 1 2 8 463
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 46 1 2 4 179
Age and Gender Differentials in Unemployment and Hysteresis 0 0 0 14 0 1 7 31
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 0 77 0 0 5 233
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data 0 0 1 184 1 2 5 414
Are Government Spending Multipliers State Dependent? Evidence from U.S. and Canadian Historical Data 0 0 0 116 0 0 1 237
Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data 0 1 2 169 1 2 7 407
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 48 0 1 1 117
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 0 0 55 0 2 4 72
Business Cycles Across Space and Time 0 0 3 49 0 1 9 78
Business cycle phases in U.S. states 1 1 4 352 2 3 9 2,754
COVID-19: What Do FREDcast Users Think about Economic Growth? 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 57
Clustered Housing Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 78
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 60 0 0 2 138
Contagious Switching 0 0 1 48 0 0 2 74
Could More Progressive Taxes Increase Income Inequality? 1 1 4 5 4 5 8 12
Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 94
Debt and Stabilization Policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 54 0 0 2 100
Did affordable housing legislation contribute to the subprime securities boom? 0 0 0 60 0 0 4 167
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 19 0 0 2 101
Discordant City Employment Cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 97
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 26 0 1 1 92
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 39 0 0 1 100
Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence 0 0 0 127 0 0 1 300
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 0 110 0 0 3 361
Duration dependence in monetary policy: international evidence 0 0 0 41 0 0 2 208
Explaining the Evolution of Pension Structure and Job Tenure 0 0 0 123 1 2 3 478
Explaining the evolution of pension structure and job tenure 0 0 0 82 0 0 0 406
FOMC Actions and Recent Movements in Five-Year Inflation Expectations 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 4
FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications 0 1 2 52 2 3 6 154
Financial stress regimes and the macroeconomy 0 0 0 57 1 1 2 173
Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data 1 2 3 89 3 5 9 80
Forecasting national recessions using state level data 0 0 0 48 0 1 2 112
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data 0 0 1 20 0 2 5 74
How Has Empirical Monetary Policy Analysis Changed After the Financial Crisis? 0 0 1 96 0 0 3 150
Identifying Local Differences in Retirement Patterns 0 0 0 17 0 0 1 65
Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 145
Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain 0 1 2 91 0 1 4 144
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 1 0 0 3 7
Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models 0 0 1 12 0 0 2 11
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 16 2 2 3 41
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 0 0 36 0 0 1 81
Is housing the business cycle? evidence from U.S. cities 1 1 1 121 1 1 3 235
Is the U.S. in a Recession? What Key Economic Indicators Say 0 0 4 6 0 0 7 9
Job Quits, New-Business Applications and the Postpandemic Pace of U.S. Business Formation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Making Sense of Recession Probabilities 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5
Measuring The Effect of Shocks on Inequality: It's All About the Data 0 0 4 4 0 1 11 11
Modeling Volcker as a non-absorbing state: agnostic identification of a Markov-switching VAR 0 0 0 64 0 0 0 303
Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle 0 0 0 452 0 0 0 1,030
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 67
Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing 0 0 0 120 0 1 1 289
Nonlinear Hedonics and the Search for School District Quality 0 0 0 292 0 1 5 1,867
Nonlinear hedonics and the search for school district quality 0 0 0 82 0 0 1 347
Nonlinearities, Smoothing and Countercyclical Monetary Policy 0 0 0 64 0 1 1 96
Patterns of Interstate Migration in the United States from the Survey of Income and Program Participation 0 0 0 8 0 2 4 74
Pension or 401(k)? Retirement Plan Trends in the U.S. Workplace 0 9 10 10 1 7 8 8
Race and Subprime Loan Pricing 0 0 1 13 0 0 4 71
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 118 0 0 0 251
Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage 0 1 2 51 0 2 8 54
Regime Switching and Monetary Policy Measurement 0 0 1 12 0 0 3 83
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 0 1 128 2 2 3 334
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 0 0 130 1 2 2 280
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 295
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage 0 0 0 83 0 0 1 436
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 0 2 136 0 0 7 296
States and the business cycle 0 0 0 135 0 0 2 425
Structural breaks and regional disparities in the transmission of monetary policy 0 0 0 244 0 1 2 730
Subjective probabilities: psychological evidence and economic applications 0 0 0 260 1 2 3 841
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms and Trickle-Up Economics 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 6
Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics 0 1 3 60 0 8 16 233
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 316
The Challenges in Dating the End of Recessions 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves 0 4 4 31 0 5 9 22
The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks 0 1 3 81 1 3 9 198
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 0 79 0 0 2 185
The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach 0 0 0 84 0 0 0 281
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 1 21 0 0 4 139
The local effects of monetary policy 0 0 0 87 0 0 1 209
The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks 0 0 2 55 0 1 6 139
The propagation of regional recessions 0 0 0 147 0 0 1 249
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 0 110 1 1 1 357
What Are the Long-run Trade-offs of Rent-Control Policies? 0 0 2 13 0 0 4 17
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology SHocks in G7-Countries 0 0 0 76 0 0 1 482
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 7 0 2 2 97
What explains the varying monetary response to technology shocks in G-7 countries? 0 0 0 54 0 1 1 251
Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries 0 0 1 55 0 0 1 151
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 0 46 0 0 0 170
Where is an oil shock? 0 0 1 41 1 1 3 147
Who benefits from increased government spending? a state-level analysis 0 0 0 76 1 1 5 286
Total Working Papers 21 44 90 6,856 40 104 313 22,669
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bad Moon Rising? Uncertainty Shocks and Economic Outcomes 1 1 3 8 1 1 8 31
A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks 2 3 11 130 3 5 27 416
A Measure of Price Pressures 0 1 7 27 0 1 16 144
A case study of a currency crisis: the Russian default of 1998 1 7 31 2,003 2 21 77 5,913
A primer on the empirical identification of government spending shocks 0 0 0 70 0 0 0 195
A state-level analysis of Okun's law 0 2 2 25 0 2 8 169
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation 0 0 0 25 1 1 2 169
A time-varying threshold STAR model with applications 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 3
A winning combination? economic theory meets sports 0 0 0 59 0 0 1 177
Age and gender differentials in unemployment and hysteresis 0 0 2 2 0 1 8 8
An endogenously clustered factor approach to international business cycles 0 0 2 9 1 1 3 48
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data 0 1 1 179 1 3 9 544
Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts 0 0 0 9 0 1 3 36
Barreling down the road to recession? 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 85
Binary Conditional Forecasts 0 1 1 7 0 1 2 14
Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States 0 0 4 361 1 1 12 4,116
Business Cycles across Space and Time 1 1 2 3 1 2 7 21
Business cycle measures 0 0 1 222 0 0 1 352
Can a summer hike cause a surprise fall for mortgage rates? 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 106
Changing trends in the labor force: a survey 0 0 1 14 0 0 2 193
China's Economic Data: An Accurate Reflection, or Just Smoke and Mirrors? 0 0 8 89 0 6 23 262
Clustered housing cycles 0 0 0 14 0 0 2 62
Comparing Measures of Potential Output 0 1 4 27 0 2 8 110
Contagious switching 0 0 2 9 0 1 4 39
Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions 0 1 1 7 1 2 3 53
DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 201
Dealing with the Leftovers: Residual Seasonality in GDP 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 33
Debt and stabilization policy: Evidence from a Euro Area FAVAR 0 0 0 20 0 1 3 117
Did Affordable Housing Legislation Contribute to the Subprime Securities Boom? 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 60
Differences in subprime loan pricing across races and neighborhoods 0 0 0 10 0 1 7 108
Discordant city employment cycles 0 0 0 13 0 0 4 71
Discussion of “An approach for identifying and predicting economic recessions in real‐time using time‐frequency functional models”by Holan, Yang, Matteson, and Wikle 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 9
Disentangling diverse measures: a survey of financial stress indexes 3 10 25 132 5 16 46 340
Does consumer sentiment predict regional consumption? 0 0 2 94 0 0 3 391
Does the United States Lead Foreign Business Cycles? 0 0 1 12 0 0 3 49
Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 29
Editor's introduction 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 38
Employment Revision Asymmetries 0 0 1 4 0 0 1 27
Extra credit: the rise of short-term liabilities 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 71
FRED-SD: A real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications 0 1 2 4 1 2 13 21
Financial Stress Regimes and the Macroeconomy 0 2 5 21 0 2 7 116
Financial aid and college choice 0 0 0 18 0 1 1 64
For love or money: why married men make more 0 0 1 93 0 1 4 512
Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data 0 0 0 11 0 1 2 74
Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data 0 1 2 8 0 1 3 17
Forecasting with mixed frequencies 4 14 51 239 4 16 74 581
Hard 'core' inflation 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 92
How Do Local Labor Markets Affect Retirement? 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 21
How has empirical monetary policy analysis in the U.S. changed after the financial crisis? 0 0 0 9 0 0 2 131
Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements 0 0 0 2 0 1 5 8
International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters 0 1 2 5 0 1 4 31
Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure 0 1 2 24 0 1 4 82
Is housing the business cycle? Evidence from US cities 0 0 0 134 0 0 4 439
Keep your résumé current 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 132
Look who's still working now 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 64
Look who's working now 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 57
Low unemployment: old dogs or new tricks? 0 0 0 20 0 1 1 143
Marriage, motherhood and money: how do women's life decisions influence their wages? 0 2 2 89 0 3 6 351
Measuring Potential Output 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 15
Measuring Trends in Income Inequality 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 77
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 0 0 0 49 1 1 5 251
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach 1 1 2 10 3 3 5 35
Measuring the effect of school choice on economic outcomes 0 0 0 19 0 0 1 79
Monetary Policy in a Markov-Switching Vector Error-Correction Model: Implications for the Cost of Disinflation and the Price Puzzle 0 0 0 83 0 0 1 181
Monetary policy: the whole country gets the same treatment, but results vary 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 144
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing 0 1 6 67 0 3 14 217
Nonlinear effects of school quality on house prices 0 1 3 42 2 6 22 190
Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy 0 0 0 12 0 0 3 93
Not your father's oil shock 0 0 0 10 1 1 2 36
Not your father's pension plan: the rise of 401K and other defined contribution plans 1 1 2 417 2 2 6 1,396
Okun's law in recession and recovery 0 0 1 29 1 1 4 96
Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different? 2 4 13 103 4 10 33 407
On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts 0 0 2 10 1 1 6 23
Output and unemployment: how do they relate today? 1 1 3 64 1 2 5 172
Patterns of interstate migration in the United States from the survey of income and program participation 0 0 0 17 1 1 8 169
Persistence, excess volatility, and volatility clusters in inflation 0 0 0 68 0 0 2 250
Putting off retirement: the rise of the 401(k) 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 64
Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR 1 3 4 16 2 5 13 72
Regime switching and monetary policy measurement 0 2 6 151 1 4 12 394
Regional Gasoline Price Dynamics 0 0 1 5 0 0 5 24
Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy 0 1 3 74 0 3 11 205
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve's Eighth District 0 0 0 10 1 1 2 77
Regional aggregation in forecasting: an application to the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 73
Regional vs. Global: How Are Countries' Business Cycles Moving Together These Days? 0 1 5 81 0 2 13 191
Rockets and Feathers: Why Don't Gasoline Prices Always Move in Sync with Oil Prices? 0 1 1 32 0 1 4 114
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 1 33 0 1 6 703
So much for that merit raise: the link between wages and appearance 0 0 0 113 0 1 4 439
Social changes lead married women into labor force 0 0 2 96 0 0 6 294
Splitsville: the economics of unilateral divorce 0 0 1 20 0 0 2 78
States and the business cycle 0 0 0 86 1 1 3 316
Subject to revision 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 56
Subjective probabilities: psychological theories and economic applications 0 0 1 46 0 0 4 376
Survey says 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 58
Symmetric inflation risk 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 62
Taking Stock: Income Inequality and the Stock Market 0 0 1 11 0 0 3 81
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District 0 0 0 18 0 2 5 160
The Local Effects of Monetary Policy 0 0 1 93 1 3 6 314
The Propagation of Regional Recessions 0 0 3 137 2 2 7 457
The baby-boom boom 0 0 1 10 0 0 2 72
The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach 0 0 1 67 0 0 3 235
The information content of regional employment data for forecasting aggregate conditions 0 0 1 13 0 0 5 95
The long and the short of the federal funds target cuts 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 54
The nonlinear effects of uncertainty shocks 3 10 18 47 5 21 45 136
The use of long-run restrictions for the identification of technology shocks 0 0 0 90 0 0 4 340
Un estudio de caso de una crisis monetaria: el incumplimiento ruso de 1998 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 40
Unconventional oil production: stuck in a rock and a hard place 0 0 0 13 0 1 1 65
Using Brent and WTI oil prices to predict gasoline prices 0 0 2 29 0 0 4 83
WHATEVER HAPPENED TO THE BUSINESS CYCLE? A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF JOBLESS RECOVERIES 0 0 1 38 0 0 1 115
WHERE IS AN OIL SHOCK? 0 0 0 12 0 0 2 55
What Explains the Varying Monetary Response to Technology Shocks in G-7 Countries? 0 0 0 21 0 0 2 136
What are the chances? 0 1 1 12 0 1 2 69
What's in a name? reconciling conflicting evidence on ethnic names 0 0 2 54 0 0 4 234
When do recessions begin and end? 0 0 0 11 0 0 2 52
Where there’s a smoking ban, there’s still fire 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 60
Who benefits from increased government spending? A state-level analysis 0 0 0 40 1 3 4 210
Working hard or hardly working? the evolution of leisure in the United States 0 0 0 47 0 0 2 216
Worth your weight? re-examining the link between obesity and wages 0 0 0 12 0 0 2 83
Your current job probably won't be your last 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 61
Total Journal Articles 21 79 268 7,082 53 185 746 28,596


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Specification and Estimation of Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Analysis with an Application to Global House Price Comovement 0 1 3 58 0 2 11 172
Total Chapters 0 1 3 58 0 2 11 172


Statistics updated 2025-07-04