Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
"Go wild for a while!": A new asymptotically Normal test for forecast evaluation in nested models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
80 |
A Bunch of Models, a Bunch of Nulls and Inference About Predictive Ability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
91 |
A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability |
0 |
1 |
1 |
91 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
119 |
A Real Time Evaluation of the Central Bank of Chile GDP Growth Forecasts |
0 |
1 |
2 |
109 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
502 |
A Simple Out-of-Sample Test for the Martingale Difference Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
80 |
Are Forecast Combinations Efficient? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
181 |
Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile |
0 |
1 |
3 |
152 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
203 |
Chilean Nominal Exchange Rate: Forecasting Based Upon Technical Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
241 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
764 |
Combining Tests of Predictive Ability Theory and Evidence for Chilean and Canadian Exchange Rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
264 |
Communicational Bias In Monetary Policy: Can Words Forecast Deeds? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
206 |
Communicational bias in monetary policy: can words forecast deeds? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Conditional Evaluation of Exchange Rate Predictive Ability in Long Run Regressions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
249 |
Convergence and Long Run Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
210 |
Cooperative and Area Yield Insurance: A Theoretical Analysis |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
83 |
Cooperatives and Area Yield Insurance:A Theoretical Analysis |
0 |
1 |
2 |
55 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
201 |
Correlation Based Tests of Predictability |
0 |
1 |
1 |
83 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
63 |
Evaluation of Short Run Inflation Forecasts in Chile |
0 |
0 |
0 |
87 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
251 |
External Imbalances, Valuation Adjustments and Real Exchange Rate: Evidence of Predictability in an Emerging Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
183 |
Forecasting Aluminum Prices with Commodity Currencies |
0 |
0 |
1 |
72 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
110 |
Forecasting Base Metal Prices with Commodity Currencies |
0 |
0 |
3 |
184 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
325 |
Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index |
1 |
1 |
1 |
43 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
76 |
Forecasting Chilean Inflation with International Factors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
161 |
3 |
4 |
9 |
275 |
Forecasting Inflation Forecast Errors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
157 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
328 |
Forecasting Inflation With a Random Walk |
0 |
1 |
6 |
382 |
3 |
4 |
18 |
1,029 |
Forecasting Inflation in Chile With an Accurate Benchmark |
0 |
0 |
0 |
184 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
420 |
Forecasting Inflation in Latin America with Core Measures |
0 |
0 |
2 |
138 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
154 |
Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: a Cross-Country Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
189 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
365 |
Forecasting Unemployment Rates with International Factors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
41 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
55 |
Hidden Predictability in Economics: The Case of the Chilean Exchange Rate |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
186 |
Interventions and Inflation Expectations in an Inflation Targeting Economy |
1 |
1 |
1 |
77 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
176 |
Interventions and inflation expectations in an inflation targeting economy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
81 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
93 |
Jaque Mate a las Proyecciones de Consenso |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
153 |
Nowcasting Building Permits with Google Trends |
0 |
0 |
1 |
134 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
285 |
Oil Shocks and Inflation The Case of Chile and a Sample of Industrial Countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
220 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
492 |
Predicción del Empleo Sectorial y Total en Base a Indicadores de Confianza Empresarial |
0 |
0 |
1 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
123 |
Shrinkage Based Tests of the Martingale Difference Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
335 |
Summary of the Paper Entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
62 |
The Dynamics of Inflation Persistence in Chile |
0 |
0 |
2 |
122 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
217 |
The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
182 |
The Evasive Predictive Ability of Core Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
103 |
The Long-Term Divergence Between Your CPI and Mine, The Case of Chile |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
202 |
The Low Predictive Power of Simple Phillips Curves in Chile: A Real-Time Evaluation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
93 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
198 |
The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox |
0 |
1 |
3 |
99 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
110 |
The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox: A summary |
1 |
1 |
1 |
66 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
83 |
The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
64 |
The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
96 |
The effects of intraday foreign exchange market operations in Latin America: results for Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru |
0 |
0 |
1 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
185 |
The effects of intraday foreign exchange market operations in Latin America: results for Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
113 |
The effects of intraday foreign exchange market operations in Latin America: results for Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru |
0 |
0 |
0 |
135 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
223 |
The evasive predictive ability of core inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
121 |
The predictive relationship between exchange rate expectations and base metal prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
190 |
Un Test Conjunto de Superioridad Predictiva para los Pronósticos de Inflación Chilena |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
169 |
Total Working Papers |
3 |
10 |
43 |
5,133 |
20 |
48 |
193 |
11,029 |