| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
202 |
| A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change |
0 |
0 |
1 |
166 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
456 |
| A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
211 |
| A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
409 |
| A comparison of the real-time performance of business cycle dating methods |
2 |
4 |
22 |
383 |
4 |
14 |
88 |
1,144 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
1 |
1 |
46 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
169 |
| A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
1 |
1 |
2 |
159 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
552 |
| Beyond the numbers: an analysis of optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases |
0 |
3 |
18 |
179 |
4 |
11 |
71 |
844 |
| Business cycle phases in U.S. states |
0 |
0 |
2 |
343 |
1 |
10 |
33 |
2,713 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
494 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
162 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
486 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
131 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
1 |
6 |
15 |
690 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
386 |
| Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners |
0 |
1 |
1 |
34 |
0 |
4 |
10 |
121 |
| Contagious Switching |
0 |
1 |
3 |
37 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
37 |
| Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment |
1 |
3 |
23 |
672 |
10 |
19 |
68 |
2,486 |
| Discordant City Employment Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
96 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
82 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
94 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
100 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
0 |
2 |
19 |
45 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1,063 |
0 |
2 |
18 |
2,510 |
| Explicit inflation objectives and macroeconomic outcomes |
0 |
0 |
1 |
191 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
2,181 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state level data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
103 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state-level data |
0 |
1 |
1 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
66 |
| Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
136 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
0 |
1 |
393 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
1,057 |
| Inflation in the G7: mind the gap(s)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
149 |
| Inflation: do expectations trump the gap? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
70 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
246 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Inherent in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
412 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
496 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
1 |
2 |
3 |
246 |
3 |
11 |
32 |
609 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
0 |
3 |
250 |
2 |
2 |
13 |
777 |
| Is the response of output to monetary policy asymmetric? evidence from a regime-switching coefficients model |
0 |
1 |
4 |
264 |
1 |
4 |
21 |
581 |
| Markov regime switching and unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
1 |
245 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
612 |
| Markov regime-switching and unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
1 |
529 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
1,400 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
3 |
152 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
400 |
| Nowcasting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points with Vector Quantization |
0 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
5 |
15 |
19 |
| Permanent and transitory components of business cycles: their relative importance and dynamic relationship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
193 |
1 |
5 |
11 |
1,000 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
192 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
265 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
314 |
| The Dynamic Relationship Between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
1 |
6 |
9 |
197 |
| The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
682 |
| The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
273 |
| The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features |
0 |
0 |
1 |
102 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
461 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
161 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
670 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
150 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
455 |
| The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
2 |
130 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
421 |
| The use and abuse of \\"real-time\\" data in economic forecasting |
1 |
1 |
4 |
128 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
569 |
| The use and abuse of \\"real-time\\" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
237 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
823 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
540 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
121 |
| Total Working Papers |
6 |
22 |
116 |
8,210 |
41 |
149 |
666 |
30,685 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of the Real-Time Performance of Business Cycle Dating Methods |
0 |
2 |
14 |
342 |
7 |
15 |
71 |
926 |
| A national recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
80 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
155 |
| Are inflation expectations rising from the ashes? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
182 |
| Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation |
0 |
0 |
3 |
89 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
317 |
| Beyond the Numbers: Measuring the Information Content of Earnings Press Release Language |
2 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
3 |
4 |
11 |
34 |
| Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States |
0 |
0 |
2 |
346 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
4,065 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
352 |
| Comovement in GDP trends and cycles among trading partners |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
127 |
| Consumer confidence surveys: do they boost forecasters' confidence? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
111 |
| Determinants of foreign direct investment |
2 |
5 |
14 |
176 |
14 |
27 |
78 |
541 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
62 |
| Does inflation targeting make a difference? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
73 |
| EMPLOYMENT AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
2 |
4 |
9 |
616 |
5 |
12 |
60 |
1,866 |
| Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data |
0 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
0 |
5 |
12 |
61 |
| Getting real about monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
50 |
| INFLATION IN THE G7: MIND THE GAP(S)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
36 |
| INTRODUCTION TO “SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, AND INFLATION: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF CHARLES NELSON†|
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
26 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
0 |
4 |
232 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
750 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time with vector quantization |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
83 |
| Inflation: Do Expectations Trump the Gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
66 |
| International perspectives on the \\"Great Moderation\\" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
114 |
| Is all that talk just noise? |
0 |
1 |
5 |
20 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
109 |
| Is the Response of Output to Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Evidence from a Regime-Switching Coefficients Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
31 |
469 |
| Is the business cycle still an inventory cycle? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
85 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
169 |
| Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
463 |
| Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
211 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
4 |
277 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
878 |
| Pushing on a string |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
109 |
| Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
95 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
153 |
| The Asymmetric Business Cycle |
1 |
3 |
24 |
148 |
2 |
11 |
65 |
541 |
| The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
329 |
| The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
537 |
| The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting |
0 |
2 |
5 |
207 |
0 |
4 |
22 |
687 |
| The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
218 |
| The macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting |
0 |
2 |
8 |
438 |
0 |
7 |
33 |
1,278 |
| Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
2 |
4 |
59 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
194 |
| Was the recent economic downturn a recession? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
343 |
| Total Journal Articles |
7 |
24 |
107 |
3,764 |
42 |
121 |
577 |
16,874 |
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