| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
188 |
| A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
164 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
445 |
| A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
202 |
| A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
402 |
| A comparison of the real-time performance of business cycle dating methods |
5 |
12 |
43 |
356 |
19 |
48 |
169 |
1,033 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
1 |
1 |
45 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
165 |
| A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
157 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
549 |
| Beyond the numbers: an analysis of optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases |
1 |
6 |
13 |
159 |
5 |
16 |
58 |
758 |
| Business cycle phases in U.S. states |
0 |
2 |
9 |
338 |
2 |
7 |
29 |
2,669 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
488 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
481 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
175 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
670 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
382 |
| Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners |
1 |
1 |
2 |
33 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
110 |
| Contagious Switching |
1 |
13 |
33 |
33 |
4 |
11 |
19 |
19 |
| Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment |
3 |
6 |
18 |
645 |
5 |
15 |
58 |
2,409 |
| Discordant City Employment Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
89 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
80 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
89 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
26 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
87 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
1 |
2 |
4 |
1,059 |
1 |
5 |
16 |
2,489 |
| Explicit inflation objectives and macroeconomic outcomes |
0 |
0 |
1 |
190 |
0 |
5 |
9 |
2,176 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state level data |
0 |
1 |
3 |
46 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
97 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state-level data |
0 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
59 |
| Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
130 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
1 |
2 |
392 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
1,050 |
| Inflation in the G7: mind the gap(s)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
146 |
| Inflation: do expectations trump the gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
243 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Inherent in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
401 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
486 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
0 |
6 |
243 |
2 |
6 |
18 |
572 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
1 |
3 |
7 |
246 |
3 |
7 |
24 |
758 |
| Is the response of output to monetary policy asymmetric? evidence from a regime-switching coefficients model |
0 |
1 |
5 |
260 |
2 |
4 |
17 |
559 |
| Markov regime switching and unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
244 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
603 |
| Markov regime-switching and unit root tests |
1 |
1 |
1 |
527 |
3 |
4 |
12 |
1,392 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
391 |
| Nowcasting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points with Vector Quantization |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
| Permanent and transitory components of business cycles: their relative importance and dynamic relationship |
1 |
1 |
1 |
193 |
9 |
13 |
16 |
988 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information? |
0 |
1 |
2 |
77 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
182 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
257 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
308 |
| The Dynamic Relationship Between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
186 |
| The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles |
0 |
1 |
1 |
197 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
674 |
| The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach |
0 |
1 |
2 |
82 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
266 |
| The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features |
0 |
2 |
3 |
101 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
451 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
159 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
656 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
446 |
| The use and abuse of "real-time" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
124 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
559 |
| The use and abuse of "real-time" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
1 |
1 |
237 |
4 |
5 |
12 |
812 |
| The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
128 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
404 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
535 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
118 |
| Total Working Papers |
15 |
59 |
166 |
8,072 |
82 |
201 |
610 |
29,865 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of the Real-Time Performance of Business Cycle Dating Methods |
1 |
4 |
19 |
322 |
6 |
17 |
89 |
840 |
| A national recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
75 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
148 |
| Are inflation expectations rising from the ashes? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
179 |
| Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
306 |
| Beyond the Numbers: Measuring the Information Content of Earnings Press Release Language |
0 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
17 |
18 |
| Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States |
0 |
0 |
5 |
343 |
2 |
3 |
23 |
4,048 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
344 |
| Comovement in GDP trends and cycles among trading partners |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
119 |
| Consumer confidence surveys: do they boost forecasters' confidence? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
107 |
| Determinants of foreign direct investment |
1 |
7 |
28 |
158 |
3 |
16 |
93 |
453 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
58 |
| Does inflation targeting make a difference? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
69 |
| EMPLOYMENT AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
2 |
18 |
604 |
3 |
10 |
41 |
1,798 |
| Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
48 |
| Getting “real” about monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
46 |
| INFLATION IN THE G7: MIND THE GAP(S)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
30 |
| INTRODUCTION TO “SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, AND INFLATION: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF CHARLES NELSON” |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
23 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
1 |
2 |
227 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
735 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time with vector quantization |
0 |
1 |
5 |
19 |
2 |
7 |
26 |
63 |
| Inflation: Do Expectations Trump the Gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
64 |
| International perspectives on the "Great Moderation" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
109 |
| Is all that talk just noise? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
99 |
| Is the Response of Output to Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Evidence from a Regime-Switching Coefficients Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
32 |
437 |
| Is the business cycle still an inventory cycle? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
84 |
2 |
2 |
9 |
165 |
| Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
461 |
| Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach |
0 |
1 |
1 |
49 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
198 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
271 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
854 |
| Pushing on a string |
0 |
0 |
2 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
103 |
| Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
80 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
151 |
| The Asymmetric Business Cycle |
1 |
2 |
11 |
122 |
2 |
7 |
27 |
463 |
| The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
1 |
1 |
75 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
323 |
| The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
524 |
| The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
2 |
202 |
1 |
3 |
18 |
663 |
| The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach |
0 |
1 |
1 |
62 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
207 |
| The macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting |
0 |
2 |
23 |
425 |
2 |
9 |
75 |
1,226 |
| Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
3 |
54 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
180 |
| Was the recent economic downturn a recession? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
340 |
| Total Journal Articles |
3 |
23 |
132 |
3,628 |
37 |
122 |
573 |
16,158 |
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