| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
187 |
| A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
164 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
443 |
| A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
202 |
| A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
402 |
| A comparison of the real-time performance of business cycle dating methods |
4 |
8 |
40 |
348 |
17 |
43 |
159 |
1,002 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
1 |
1 |
1 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
164 |
| A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
157 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
548 |
| Beyond the numbers: an analysis of optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases |
2 |
5 |
10 |
155 |
4 |
10 |
52 |
746 |
| Business cycle phases in U.S. states |
2 |
2 |
10 |
338 |
4 |
8 |
30 |
2,666 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
487 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
481 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
127 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
1 |
2 |
175 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
669 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
124 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
380 |
| Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
109 |
| Contagious Switching |
11 |
31 |
31 |
31 |
3 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
| Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment |
0 |
2 |
13 |
639 |
5 |
13 |
54 |
2,399 |
| Discordant City Employment Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
89 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
86 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
80 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
87 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
26 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1,057 |
2 |
6 |
15 |
2,486 |
| Explicit inflation objectives and macroeconomic outcomes |
0 |
0 |
1 |
190 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
2,171 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state level data |
1 |
1 |
3 |
46 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
96 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state-level data |
1 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
59 |
| Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
129 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
0 |
1 |
391 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1,049 |
| Inflation in the G7: mind the gap(s)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
146 |
| Inflation: do expectations trump the gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
243 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Inherent in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
400 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
481 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
2 |
3 |
6 |
245 |
3 |
5 |
23 |
754 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
2 |
6 |
243 |
3 |
8 |
19 |
569 |
| Is the response of output to monetary policy asymmetric? evidence from a regime-switching coefficients model |
1 |
3 |
5 |
260 |
2 |
8 |
18 |
557 |
| Markov regime switching and unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
244 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
603 |
| Markov regime-switching and unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
526 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
1,388 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
390 |
| Nowcasting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points with Vector Quantization |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Permanent and transitory components of business cycles: their relative importance and dynamic relationship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
192 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
975 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
76 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
181 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
257 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
308 |
| The Dynamic Relationship Between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
185 |
| The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
196 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
671 |
| The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach |
1 |
2 |
2 |
82 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
266 |
| The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features |
0 |
0 |
1 |
99 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
449 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
159 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
656 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
444 |
| The use and abuse of "real-time" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
236 |
0 |
4 |
8 |
807 |
| The use and abuse of "real-time" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
124 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
557 |
| The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
128 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
403 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
529 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
117 |
| Total Working Papers |
26 |
63 |
145 |
8,039 |
54 |
156 |
537 |
29,718 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of the Real-Time Performance of Business Cycle Dating Methods |
1 |
6 |
20 |
319 |
2 |
20 |
89 |
825 |
| A national recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
75 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
148 |
| Are inflation expectations rising from the ashes? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
179 |
| Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
305 |
| Beyond the Numbers: Measuring the Information Content of Earnings Press Release Language |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
14 |
14 |
| Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States |
0 |
1 |
7 |
343 |
1 |
4 |
26 |
4,046 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
344 |
| Comovement in GDP trends and cycles among trading partners |
0 |
0 |
2 |
29 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
119 |
| Consumer confidence surveys: do they boost forecasters' confidence? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
106 |
| Determinants of foreign direct investment |
2 |
10 |
27 |
153 |
7 |
28 |
94 |
444 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
58 |
| Does inflation targeting make a difference? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
69 |
| EMPLOYMENT AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
1 |
5 |
21 |
603 |
4 |
11 |
42 |
1,792 |
| Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
47 |
| Getting “real” about monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
46 |
| INFLATION IN THE G7: MIND THE GAP(S)? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
30 |
| INTRODUCTION TO “SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, AND INFLATION: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF CHARLES NELSON” |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
0 |
1 |
226 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
732 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time with vector quantization |
1 |
4 |
6 |
19 |
3 |
6 |
25 |
59 |
| Inflation: Do Expectations Trump the Gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
64 |
| International perspectives on the "Great Moderation" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
109 |
| Is all that talk just noise? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
99 |
| Is the Response of Output to Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Evidence from a Regime-Switching Coefficients Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
15 |
27 |
431 |
| Is the business cycle still an inventory cycle? |
0 |
1 |
2 |
84 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
163 |
| Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
461 |
| Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach |
1 |
1 |
1 |
49 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
197 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
271 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
854 |
| Pushing on a string |
0 |
0 |
2 |
31 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
103 |
| Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
76 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
150 |
| The Asymmetric Business Cycle |
0 |
4 |
9 |
120 |
2 |
8 |
29 |
458 |
| The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
321 |
| The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
524 |
| The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
3 |
202 |
2 |
6 |
20 |
662 |
| The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach |
1 |
1 |
1 |
62 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
207 |
| The macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting |
1 |
1 |
29 |
424 |
4 |
9 |
81 |
1,221 |
| Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
3 |
54 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
179 |
| Was the recent economic downturn a recession? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
340 |
| Total Journal Articles |
9 |
36 |
144 |
3,614 |
45 |
142 |
582 |
16,081 |
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