| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
8 |
194 |
| A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change |
0 |
2 |
2 |
166 |
0 |
4 |
8 |
450 |
| A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
203 |
| A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
405 |
| A comparison of the real-time performance of business cycle dating methods |
4 |
11 |
44 |
369 |
13 |
36 |
169 |
1,082 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
166 |
| A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
157 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
549 |
| Beyond the numbers: an analysis of optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases |
2 |
3 |
14 |
163 |
8 |
26 |
69 |
789 |
| Business cycle phases in U.S. states |
0 |
4 |
9 |
343 |
3 |
14 |
35 |
2,687 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
129 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
489 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
482 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
1 |
3 |
177 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
677 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
124 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
383 |
| Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners |
0 |
0 |
2 |
33 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
112 |
| Contagious Switching |
0 |
2 |
36 |
36 |
0 |
4 |
26 |
26 |
| Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment |
0 |
7 |
21 |
654 |
1 |
13 |
58 |
2,427 |
| Discordant City Employment Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
91 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
91 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
1 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
30 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
1 |
1 |
67 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
93 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1,059 |
1 |
3 |
17 |
2,494 |
| Explicit inflation objectives and macroeconomic outcomes |
0 |
0 |
1 |
190 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
2,177 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state level data |
0 |
0 |
3 |
46 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
99 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state-level data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
62 |
| Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach |
1 |
1 |
1 |
28 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
132 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
1 |
2 |
393 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
1,053 |
| Inflation in the G7: mind the gap(s)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
147 |
| Inflation: do expectations trump the gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
244 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Inherent in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
406 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
489 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
1 |
7 |
247 |
0 |
4 |
20 |
764 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
0 |
3 |
243 |
2 |
8 |
21 |
581 |
| Is the response of output to monetary policy asymmetric? evidence from a regime-switching coefficients model |
0 |
1 |
6 |
261 |
4 |
6 |
20 |
565 |
| Markov regime switching and unit root tests |
1 |
1 |
1 |
245 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
610 |
| Markov regime-switching and unit root tests |
0 |
1 |
2 |
528 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
1,395 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
395 |
| Nowcasting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points with Vector Quantization |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
8 |
| Permanent and transitory components of business cycles: their relative importance and dynamic relationship |
0 |
0 |
1 |
193 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
990 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
77 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
185 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
258 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
309 |
| The Dynamic Relationship Between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
188 |
| The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles |
0 |
0 |
1 |
197 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
675 |
| The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach |
0 |
0 |
3 |
83 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
271 |
| The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features |
1 |
1 |
4 |
102 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
453 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
149 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
451 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
159 |
1 |
6 |
10 |
663 |
| The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting |
2 |
2 |
2 |
130 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
409 |
| The use and abuse of \\"real-time\\" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
237 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
817 |
| The use and abuse of \\"real-time\\" data in economic forecasting |
1 |
1 |
1 |
125 |
3 |
5 |
12 |
564 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
540 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
118 |
| Total Working Papers |
13 |
42 |
183 |
8,123 |
59 |
218 |
722 |
30,147 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of the Real-Time Performance of Business Cycle Dating Methods |
3 |
9 |
27 |
334 |
10 |
23 |
88 |
872 |
| A national recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
78 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
150 |
| Are inflation expectations rising from the ashes? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
180 |
| Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
310 |
| Beyond the Numbers: Measuring the Information Content of Earnings Press Release Language |
0 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
21 |
24 |
| Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States |
0 |
2 |
4 |
345 |
1 |
5 |
19 |
4,055 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
348 |
| Comovement in GDP trends and cycles among trading partners |
0 |
1 |
1 |
30 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
122 |
| Consumer confidence surveys: do they boost forecasters' confidence? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
30 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
109 |
| Determinants of foreign direct investment |
0 |
2 |
25 |
163 |
3 |
13 |
83 |
472 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
60 |
| Does inflation targeting make a difference? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
69 |
| EMPLOYMENT AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
9 |
11 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
2 |
13 |
607 |
2 |
10 |
39 |
1,813 |
| Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
51 |
| Getting real about monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
47 |
| INFLATION IN THE G7: MIND THE GAP(S)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
32 |
| INTRODUCTION TO “SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, AND INFLATION: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF CHARLES NELSON†|
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
25 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
1 |
1 |
4 |
229 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
739 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time with vector quantization |
0 |
0 |
5 |
19 |
2 |
7 |
22 |
71 |
| Inflation: Do Expectations Trump the Gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
65 |
| International perspectives on the \\"Great Moderation\\" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
112 |
| Is all that talk just noise? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
102 |
| Is the Response of Output to Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Evidence from a Regime-Switching Coefficients Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
6 |
31 |
443 |
| Is the business cycle still an inventory cycle? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
84 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
167 |
| Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
463 |
| Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
49 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
201 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
1 |
2 |
273 |
2 |
6 |
11 |
864 |
| Pushing on a string |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
103 |
| Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
23 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
88 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
152 |
| The Asymmetric Business Cycle |
3 |
9 |
19 |
131 |
7 |
21 |
46 |
488 |
| The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
1 |
75 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
326 |
| The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
528 |
| The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
202 |
2 |
4 |
14 |
668 |
| The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
62 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
211 |
| The macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting |
1 |
5 |
14 |
431 |
2 |
15 |
56 |
1,249 |
| Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
2 |
55 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
184 |
| Was the recent economic downturn a recession? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
341 |
| Total Journal Articles |
8 |
35 |
128 |
3,675 |
44 |
175 |
586 |
16,393 |
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