Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
218 |
A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
166 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
466 |
A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
222 |
A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
418 |
A comparison of the real-time performance of business cycle dating methods |
0 |
1 |
11 |
469 |
0 |
2 |
23 |
1,452 |
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
177 |
A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
159 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
555 |
Beyond the numbers: an analysis of optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases |
0 |
0 |
2 |
198 |
0 |
4 |
11 |
956 |
Business cycle phases in U.S. states |
0 |
0 |
2 |
350 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
2,749 |
Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
139 |
Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
495 |
Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
505 |
Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
404 |
Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
801 |
Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners |
0 |
1 |
1 |
36 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
144 |
Contagious Switching |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
74 |
Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment |
0 |
0 |
8 |
702 |
1 |
1 |
30 |
2,604 |
Discordant City Employment Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
97 |
Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
91 |
Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
1 |
39 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
100 |
Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
54 |
Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
109 |
Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,073 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
2,551 |
Explicit inflation objectives and macroeconomic outcomes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
193 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2,197 |
Forecasting national recessions using state level data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
111 |
Forecasting national recessions using state-level data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
72 |
Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
144 |
Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
393 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,060 |
Inflation in the G7: mind the gap(s)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
155 |
Inflation: do expectations trump the gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
251 |
Is Inflation Persistence Inherent in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
416 |
Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
505 |
Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
2 |
2 |
261 |
1 |
8 |
11 |
665 |
Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
257 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
806 |
Is the response of output to monetary policy asymmetric? evidence from a regime-switching coefficients model |
0 |
1 |
3 |
279 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
678 |
Markov regime switching and unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
247 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
627 |
Markov regime-switching and unit root tests |
0 |
1 |
1 |
534 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1,431 |
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
157 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
422 |
Nowcasting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points with Vector Quantization |
0 |
0 |
1 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
50 |
Permanent and transitory components of business cycles: their relative importance and dynamic relationship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
196 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1,017 |
Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
212 |
Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
287 |
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
316 |
The Dynamic Relationship Between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
202 |
The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
689 |
The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
281 |
The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features |
0 |
0 |
0 |
102 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
469 |
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
688 |
The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
1 |
1 |
151 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
463 |
The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
434 |
The use and abuse of \"real-time\" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
3 |
136 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
590 |
The use and abuse of \"real-time\" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
239 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
833 |
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
126 |
Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
181 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
549 |
Total Working Papers |
0 |
7 |
42 |
8,485 |
22 |
50 |
163 |
32,127 |
Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
A Comparison of the Real-Time Performance of Business Cycle Dating Methods |
1 |
2 |
19 |
441 |
2 |
12 |
58 |
1,475 |
A national recession |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
25 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
168 |
AN N-STATE ENDOGENOUS MARKOV-SWITCHING MODEL WITH APPLICATIONS IN MACROECONOMICS AND FINANCE |
0 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
35 |
Are inflation expectations rising from the ashes? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
185 |
Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
333 |
Beyond the Numbers: Measuring the Information Content of Earnings Press Release Language |
1 |
2 |
7 |
41 |
3 |
7 |
21 |
136 |
Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States |
0 |
0 |
7 |
361 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
4,114 |
Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
116 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
381 |
Comovement in GDP trends and cycles among trading partners |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
148 |
Consumer confidence surveys: do they boost forecasters' confidence? |
0 |
1 |
4 |
42 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
131 |
Contagious switching |
0 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
38 |
Determinants of foreign direct investment |
2 |
8 |
23 |
239 |
6 |
22 |
79 |
803 |
Determinants of foreign direct investment |
1 |
3 |
7 |
25 |
1 |
4 |
15 |
85 |
Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
71 |
Does inflation targeting make a difference? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
0 |
4 |
661 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
2,016 |
Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
73 |
Getting real about monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
INFLATION IN THE G7: MIND THE GAP(S)? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
INTRODUCTION TO “SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, AND INFLATION: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF CHARLES NELSON” |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
30 |
Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
1 |
3 |
238 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
786 |
Identifying business cycle turning points in real time with vector quantization |
0 |
0 |
5 |
44 |
1 |
6 |
18 |
148 |
Inflation: Do Expectations Trump the Gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
76 |
International perspectives on the \"Great Moderation\" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
120 |
Is all that talk just noise? |
1 |
1 |
4 |
30 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
132 |
Is the Response of Output to Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Evidence from a Regime-Switching Coefficients Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
616 |
Is the business cycle still an inventory cycle? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
177 |
Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
474 |
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
31 |
Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
250 |
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
1 |
1 |
1 |
286 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
919 |
Pushing on a string |
0 |
0 |
1 |
34 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
118 |
Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
102 |
Structural Breaks in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
26 |
The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
158 |
The Asymmetric Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
5 |
175 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
617 |
The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
412 |
The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
546 |
The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting |
0 |
1 |
3 |
223 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
727 |
The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach |
0 |
0 |
2 |
67 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
235 |
The macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting |
1 |
2 |
8 |
482 |
1 |
6 |
28 |
1,399 |
Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
212 |
Was the recent economic downturn a recession? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
350 |
Total Journal Articles |
8 |
23 |
120 |
4,278 |
34 |
95 |
390 |
19,138 |