| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Bayesian Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Structural Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
221 |
| A Bayesian approach to counterfactual analysis of structural change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
166 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
472 |
| A State-Level Analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
223 |
| A Steady State Approach to Trend / Cycle Decomposition |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
419 |
| A comparison of the real-time performance of business cycle dating methods |
0 |
0 |
2 |
470 |
2 |
7 |
14 |
1,465 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
182 |
| A steady-state approach to trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
1 |
160 |
0 |
5 |
9 |
564 |
| Beyond the numbers: an analysis of optimistic and pessimistic language in earnings press releases |
1 |
1 |
1 |
199 |
3 |
10 |
21 |
974 |
| Business cycle phases in U.S. states |
0 |
0 |
4 |
354 |
1 |
4 |
16 |
2,764 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
509 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
4 |
6 |
7 |
145 |
| Common Stochastic Trends, Common Cycles, and Asymmetry in Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
163 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
497 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
810 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
0 |
6 |
9 |
413 |
| Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
147 |
| Contagious Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
2 |
7 |
10 |
83 |
| Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment |
0 |
0 |
2 |
704 |
8 |
16 |
34 |
2,637 |
| Discordant City Employment Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
100 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
93 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
103 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
116 |
| Employment and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
58 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1,076 |
4 |
6 |
15 |
2,565 |
| Explicit inflation objectives and macroeconomic outcomes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
193 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
2,206 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state level data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
5 |
8 |
10 |
120 |
| Forecasting national recessions using state-level data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
2 |
3 |
10 |
81 |
| Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
148 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
393 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
1,065 |
| Inflation in the G7: mind the gap(s)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
4 |
6 |
10 |
164 |
| Inflation: do expectations trump the gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
255 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Inherent in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
421 |
| Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
510 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
258 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
813 |
| Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
261 |
4 |
6 |
20 |
679 |
| Is the response of output to monetary policy asymmetric? evidence from a regime-switching coefficients model |
1 |
1 |
5 |
284 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
689 |
| Markov regime switching and unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
247 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
630 |
| Markov regime-switching and unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
534 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
1,435 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
157 |
4 |
9 |
11 |
431 |
| Nowcasting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points with Vector Quantization |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
56 |
| Permanent and transitory components of business cycles: their relative importance and dynamic relationship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
196 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
1,020 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: Are Nonlinear Dynamics a Proxy for Multivariate Information? |
0 |
1 |
1 |
88 |
0 |
6 |
7 |
218 |
| Reproducing Business Cycle Features: How Important Is Nonlinearity Versus Multivariate Information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
292 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
321 |
| The Dynamic Relationship Between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
208 |
| The dynamic relationship between permanent and transitory components of U.S. business cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
3 |
8 |
11 |
699 |
| The economic performance of cities: a Markov-switching approach |
0 |
1 |
1 |
85 |
3 |
8 |
9 |
290 |
| The importance of nonlinearity in reproducing business cycle features |
0 |
0 |
1 |
103 |
3 |
9 |
16 |
484 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
162 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
692 |
| The less volatile U.S. economy: a Bayesian investigation of timing, breadth, and potential explanations |
0 |
0 |
2 |
152 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
470 |
| The use and abuse of 'real-time' data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
3 |
8 |
13 |
446 |
| The use and abuse of \"real-time\" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
239 |
8 |
11 |
12 |
845 |
| The use and abuse of \"real-time\" data in economic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
136 |
0 |
4 |
7 |
596 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
128 |
| Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching |
0 |
0 |
1 |
182 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
556 |
| Total Working Papers |
2 |
4 |
27 |
8,510 |
103 |
250 |
441 |
32,528 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of the Real-Time Performance of Business Cycle Dating Methods |
0 |
2 |
6 |
445 |
3 |
12 |
36 |
1,502 |
| A national recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
89 |
| A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
172 |
| AN N-STATE ENDOGENOUS MARKOV-SWITCHING MODEL WITH APPLICATIONS IN MACROECONOMICS AND FINANCE |
0 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
42 |
| Are inflation expectations rising from the ashes? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
186 |
| Are the effects of monetary policy larger in recessions? A reconciliation of the evidence |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
8 |
| Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
338 |
| Beyond the Numbers: Measuring the Information Content of Earnings Press Release Language |
2 |
4 |
11 |
50 |
7 |
21 |
49 |
178 |
| Business Cycle Phases in U.S. States |
1 |
1 |
3 |
364 |
6 |
7 |
14 |
4,127 |
| Common stochastic trends, common cycles, and asymmetry in economic fluctuations |
0 |
1 |
1 |
117 |
2 |
8 |
14 |
394 |
| Comovement in GDP trends and cycles among trading partners |
0 |
0 |
2 |
38 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
158 |
| Consumer confidence surveys: do they boost forecasters' confidence? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
43 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
137 |
| Contagious switching |
0 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
46 |
| Determinants of foreign direct investment |
1 |
5 |
17 |
250 |
12 |
28 |
68 |
857 |
| Determinants of foreign direct investment |
0 |
1 |
4 |
27 |
2 |
7 |
15 |
97 |
| Differences From Differencing: Should Local Projections With Observed Shocks Be Estimated in Levels or Differences? |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
| Discordant city employment cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
76 |
| Does inflation targeting make a difference? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
| EMPLOYMENT AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
48 |
| Estimation of Markov regime-switching regression models with endogenous switching |
0 |
0 |
9 |
670 |
5 |
8 |
36 |
2,049 |
| First Discussant Comment on “The Statistical Behavior of GDP after Financial Crises and Severe Recessions” |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Forecasting National Recessions Using State‐Level Data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
80 |
| Getting real about monetary policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
54 |
| INFLATION IN THE G7: MIND THE GAP(S)? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
52 |
| INTRODUCTION TO “SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF BUSINESS CYCLES, FINANCIAL MARKETS, AND INFLATION: ESSAYS IN HONOR OF CHARLES NELSON” |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
33 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
238 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
796 |
| Identifying business cycle turning points in real time with vector quantization |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
157 |
| Inflation: Do Expectations Trump the Gap? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
3 |
11 |
11 |
87 |
| International perspectives on the \"Great Moderation\" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
121 |
| Is all that talk just noise? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
134 |
| Is the Response of Output to Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Evidence from a Regime-Switching Coefficients Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
6 |
10 |
626 |
| Is the business cycle still an inventory cycle? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
88 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
181 |
| Markov Regime Switching and Unit-Root Tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
476 |
| Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
254 |
| Measuring the Information Content of the Beige Book: A Mixed Data Sampling Approach |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
39 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
286 |
5 |
8 |
13 |
930 |
| Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
17 |
| Pushing on a string |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
118 |
| Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
108 |
| Structural Breaks in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
10 |
17 |
43 |
| The 2001 recession and the states of the Eighth Federal Reserve District |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
162 |
| The Asymmetric Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
3 |
178 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
625 |
| The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
418 |
| The Dynamic Relationship between Permanent and Transitory Components of U.S. Business Cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
19 |
| The Less-Volatile U.S. Economy: A Bayesian Investigation of Timing, Breadth, and Potential Explanations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
7 |
553 |
| The Use and Abuse of Real-Time Data in Economic Forecasting |
1 |
1 |
5 |
227 |
6 |
7 |
15 |
739 |
| The economic performance of cities: A Markov-switching approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
67 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
244 |
| The macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting |
1 |
3 |
14 |
495 |
67 |
75 |
99 |
1,494 |
| Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
218 |
| Was the recent economic downturn a recession? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
351 |
| Total Journal Articles |
7 |
20 |
95 |
4,371 |
172 |
308 |
604 |
19,715 |
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