Access Statistics for Francesco Ravazzolo

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance 0 0 0 7 0 0 3 31
A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance 0 1 1 48 0 2 5 93
A Bayesian multi-factor model of instability in prices and quantities of risk in U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 129 1 2 3 240
A New Economic Framework: A DSGE Model with Cryptocurrency 0 0 5 379 0 5 28 832
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 73 0 0 0 319
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 259 0 1 3 814
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 99 0 0 3 242
A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 0 56 0 1 6 132
A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 1 1 109 0 1 6 238
A scoring rule for factor and autoregressive models under misspecification 0 0 0 71 0 0 1 161
Adaptive Importance Sampling for DSGE Models 1 1 6 76 5 5 24 235
Are low frequency macroeconomic variables important for high frequency electricity prices? 0 0 0 14 0 1 2 29
Assessing the Predictive Ability of Sovereign Default Risk on Exchange Rate Returns 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 37
Backtesting Value-at-Risk using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann 0 0 0 81 0 0 1 106
Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index 0 0 0 45 0 0 1 150
Bayesian Model Averaging in the Presence of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 35 0 0 1 130
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 32 0 2 4 120
Bayesian near-boundary analysis in basic macroeconomic time series models 0 0 1 90 0 0 1 177
Bayesian nonparametric calibration and combination of predictive distributions 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 111
Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions 0 0 0 67 3 3 4 150
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 19 0 1 3 131
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 58 1 1 2 118
Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment 0 0 0 14 0 2 4 96
Combined Density Nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment 0 0 0 50 0 0 3 100
Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off? 0 0 0 44 0 3 5 106
Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data 0 0 0 41 1 1 4 91
Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data 0 0 0 16 0 0 1 69
Combining inflation density forecasts 0 0 0 112 0 0 0 214
Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economic data 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 167
Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data 0 0 0 67 0 3 5 118
Commodity Futures and Forecasting Commodity Currencies 0 0 0 68 0 2 5 146
Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration 0 0 0 37 0 0 2 38
Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration 0 0 0 41 1 1 2 84
Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach 0 0 1 57 0 0 4 215
Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach 0 0 0 15 2 2 4 124
Corporate CDS spreads from the Eurozone crisis to COVID-19 pandemic: A Bayesian Markov switching model 0 0 2 37 1 3 9 88
Density Forecasting 1 2 9 285 2 5 18 491
Density forecasts with MIDAS models 0 0 0 82 1 5 18 264
Density forecasts with MIDAS models 0 0 0 75 0 0 0 137
Dissecting the 2007-2009 real estate market bust: systematic pricing correction or just a housing fad? 0 0 0 60 0 3 4 160
Dynamic Bayesian forecasting of English Premier League match results with the Skellam distribution 4 5 8 111 7 11 26 288
Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance 0 0 0 76 0 1 1 165
Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance 0 0 0 37 1 1 2 111
Evaluating real-time forecasts in real-time 0 0 0 21 0 0 3 93
Forecast Accuracy and Economic Gains from Bayesian Model Averaging using Time Varying Weights 0 0 0 99 1 2 2 252
Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles 0 0 1 43 1 2 4 116
Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time varying weight 0 0 0 96 0 0 0 163
Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles 0 0 0 94 0 0 1 177
Forecast density combinations with dynamic learning for large data sets in economics and finance 0 0 0 32 0 0 1 55
Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Financial Time Series 0 0 1 234 0 1 6 690
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 104 1 2 2 178
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 1 153 0 0 3 384
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 1 2 4 69 2 5 10 142
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 65 0 0 1 133
Forecasting GDP with Global Components. This Time Is Different 0 0 0 65 0 2 4 94
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 47 1 3 3 139
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 48 0 0 0 74
Forecasting commodity currencies: the role of fundamentals with short-lived predictive content 0 0 0 36 0 1 3 99
Forecasting consumer confidence through semantic network analysis of online news 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 25
Forecasting daily electricity prices with monthly macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 70 0 0 5 153
Forecasting energy commodity prices: a large global dataset sparse approach 0 0 0 46 0 0 0 128
Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID-19 crisis 0 0 1 24 0 1 3 31
Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID—19 crisis 0 0 1 44 0 0 2 96
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data 0 0 0 76 0 0 0 146
Forecasting recessions in real time 0 0 1 69 1 2 4 231
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 54 0 1 3 112
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 65 1 1 2 170
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles 0 0 0 65 0 1 5 125
Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations 1 3 16 351 2 4 24 653
Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations 0 0 1 70 0 0 2 180
Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model 0 0 1 28 0 0 5 112
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 69 0 0 6 203
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 47 0 0 2 172
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 1 63 0 0 1 195
Interconnections between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts using a Bayesian Panel Markov-Switching VAR Mode 0 0 0 96 0 1 2 123
Large Time-Varying Volatility Models for Electricity Prices 0 0 3 55 1 4 11 81
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 0 200 1 3 7 398
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 0 1 4 112 1 3 8 176
Macroeconomic factors strike back: A Bayesian change-point model of time-varying risk exposures and premia in the U.S. cross-section 0 0 0 62 0 0 1 347
Markov Switching Panel with Endogenous Synchronization Effects 0 1 2 94 0 3 14 211
Markov Switching Panel with Network Interaction Effects 1 1 1 73 1 1 3 186
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe 0 0 0 124 0 0 1 201
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe 0 0 0 133 1 2 3 293
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 0 257 0 0 0 643
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 0 59 0 0 2 165
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate. Evidence from Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models of REIT Returns 1 1 1 123 1 2 2 285
Myths and facts about the alleged over-pricing of U.S. real estate. Evidence from multi-factor asset pricing models of REIT returns 0 0 0 71 1 1 5 143
Oil and Fiscal Policy Regimes 0 0 0 15 1 1 3 44
Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination 0 0 0 78 0 0 0 282
Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination 0 0 0 87 0 0 1 233
Oil and fiscal policy regimes 0 0 0 26 0 0 3 42
Oil price density forecasts: Exploring the linkages with stock markets 0 0 0 163 0 0 1 297
Oil price density forecasts: exploring the linkages with stock markets 0 0 1 29 0 1 3 121
Oil-Price Density Forecasts of U.S. GDP 0 0 1 45 0 0 2 66
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 22 0 1 1 60
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 32 0 0 2 91
Optimal portfolio choice under decision-based model combinations 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 82
Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments 0 1 2 107 0 1 11 329
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 119 0 0 2 481
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 121
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 79 0 1 2 179
Parallel sequential Monte Carlo for efficient density combination: The DeCo MATLAB toolbox 0 0 1 38 0 1 3 136
Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information 0 0 0 356 0 1 5 909
Predicting the Volatility of Cryptocurrency Time Series 0 0 0 242 2 3 8 665
Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information 0 0 0 141 1 1 3 367
Predictive gains from forecast combinations using time-varying model weights 0 0 0 29 1 2 4 113
Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting 0 0 0 19 0 0 2 19
Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting 0 0 0 13 0 1 1 23
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 0 0 0 73 0 0 0 160
Real-time inflation forecasting in a changing world 0 0 2 80 1 3 10 277
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination 1 1 2 101 1 1 12 301
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination 0 0 2 156 0 0 7 331
The Bank-Sovereign Nexus: Evidence from a non-Bailout Episode 0 0 0 53 0 1 3 96
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 0 0 3 138 0 2 12 234
The Power of Weather: Some Empirical Evidence on Predicting Day-ahead Power Prices through Day-ahead Weather Forecasts 0 0 0 125 0 0 0 425
The macroeconomic forecasting performance of autoregressive models with alternative specifications of time-varying volatility 0 0 1 92 1 1 3 224
The macroeconomic forecasting performance of autoregressive models with alternative specifications of time-varying volatility 0 0 0 101 1 1 2 194
The power of weather. Some empirical evidence on predicting day-ahead power prices through weather forecasts 0 0 1 42 0 0 3 155
Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering 0 0 0 79 0 1 4 148
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 1 1 1 54 1 2 7 111
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 1 179 0 1 6 192
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 0 30 1 1 4 151
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 0 31 0 1 6 71
Why do people give less weight to advice the further it is from their initial opinion? 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 78
World Steel Production: A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 1 2 197 0 4 9 404
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 1 90 0 3 9 375
Total Working Papers 12 23 96 10,356 54 152 540 25,228
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Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian DSGE Approach to Modelling Cryptocurrency" 0 1 6 14 2 7 28 61
A Scoring Rule for Factor and Autoregressive Models Under Misspecification 0 0 0 16 1 1 1 74
Alternative econometric implementations of multi-factor models of the U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 129
Assessing the predictive ability of sovereign default risk on exchange rate returns 0 0 1 12 2 3 7 75
Bayesian Calibration of Generalized Pools of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 6 0 1 2 58
Bayesian Econometrics 1 1 1 9 1 1 3 43
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 25
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 26 0 0 2 106
Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment 1 1 1 7 2 2 3 72
Combining inflation density forecasts 0 0 1 65 0 1 2 186
Comment 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 22
Comparing the forecasting performances of linear models for electricity prices with high RES penetration 0 0 0 8 0 1 5 28
Computational Complexity and Parallelization in Bayesian Econometric Analysis 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 47
Contagion between real estate and financial markets: A Bayesian quantile-on-quantile approach 0 0 1 21 1 1 8 71
Density Forecasts With Midas Models 0 0 0 16 0 1 3 96
Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad? 0 0 0 29 0 1 1 65
Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time-varying weights 0 0 0 47 0 0 3 220
Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles 0 0 1 40 0 0 1 125
Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different 0 0 0 20 1 2 3 123
Forecasting cryptocurrencies under model and parameter instability 0 3 11 95 1 7 26 247
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data 0 0 1 30 0 2 5 116
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 4 0 1 1 82
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles 2 2 3 43 3 3 11 131
Identification of Financial Factors in Economic Fluctuations 0 3 29 104 2 10 53 241
Interconnections Between Eurozone and us Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Panel Markov‐Switching VAR Model 0 0 0 16 0 1 4 61
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 0 1 1 26 0 2 5 148
Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance under Alternative Specifications of Time‐Varying Volatility 0 0 4 64 0 1 7 157
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 1 5 47 0 1 9 192
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate 0 0 0 26 0 1 2 115
Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination 0 0 0 17 0 0 2 116
Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 14
Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP 0 0 1 15 0 1 3 104
On the correlation between commodity and equity returns: Implications for portfolio allocation 0 0 1 34 0 0 8 157
Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 5 0 1 2 49
Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments 0 0 0 11 0 0 5 76
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox 0 0 0 6 0 1 3 64
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 1 1 1 115 1 2 9 319
The bank-sovereign nexus: Evidence from a non-bailout episode 0 0 0 4 1 1 2 46
The power of weather 0 0 2 36 0 1 5 124
Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering 0 0 0 52 0 4 13 218
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts 0 0 0 11 1 1 6 73
Why do people place lower weight on advice far from their own initial opinion? 0 0 0 9 0 2 3 59
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 1 3 5 335 2 6 11 414
Total Journal Articles 6 17 77 1,489 23 73 274 4,949


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles 0 0 0 37 0 0 0 140
Total Chapters 0 0 0 37 0 0 0 140


Statistics updated 2025-10-06