Access Statistics for Francesco Ravazzolo

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance 0 0 1 48 0 0 4 95
A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance 0 0 0 7 0 1 6 37
A Bayesian multi-factor model of instability in prices and quantities of risk in U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 129 1 6 14 252
A New Economic Framework: A DSGE Model with Cryptocurrency 0 2 7 386 0 9 60 887
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 99 0 0 8 250
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 259 1 5 16 829
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 73 1 1 20 339
A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 1 109 0 6 21 258
A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 0 56 0 2 18 149
A scoring rule for factor and autoregressive models under misspecification 0 0 0 71 0 5 19 180
Adaptive Importance Sampling for DSGE Models 0 1 4 79 1 11 34 264
Are low frequency macroeconomic variables important for high frequency electricity prices? 0 0 0 14 0 2 9 37
Assessing the Predictive Ability of Sovereign Default Risk on Exchange Rate Returns 0 0 0 25 0 6 13 50
Backtesting Value-at-Risk using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann 0 0 0 81 0 4 8 114
Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index 0 0 0 45 0 5 6 156
Bayesian Model Averaging in the Presence of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 35 1 1 9 139
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 32 1 3 10 128
Bayesian near-boundary analysis in basic macroeconomic time series models 0 0 0 90 0 2 11 188
Bayesian nonparametric calibration and combination of predictive distributions 0 0 0 32 0 2 12 123
Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions 0 0 0 67 0 0 9 156
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 19 0 7 17 147
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 58 0 2 16 133
Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment 0 0 0 14 0 1 16 110
Combined Density Nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment 0 0 0 50 0 2 11 111
Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off? 0 0 1 45 2 5 22 125
Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data 0 0 0 41 0 1 12 102
Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data 0 0 0 16 0 2 14 83
Combining inflation density forecasts 0 0 1 113 0 4 19 233
Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economic data 0 0 0 55 0 3 15 182
Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data 0 0 0 67 0 1 11 126
Commodity Futures and Forecasting Commodity Currencies 0 0 2 70 0 2 12 156
Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration 0 0 0 41 0 1 18 101
Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration 0 0 0 37 0 1 12 50
Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach 0 0 0 57 0 3 6 221
Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach 0 0 0 15 1 6 21 143
Corporate CDS spreads from the Eurozone crisis to COVID-19 pandemic: A Bayesian Markov switching model 0 0 1 38 0 0 6 91
Density Forecasting 2 2 5 288 2 4 35 521
Density forecasts with MIDAS models 0 0 0 82 3 7 48 307
Density forecasts with MIDAS models 0 1 1 76 0 2 30 167
Dissecting the 2007-2009 real estate market bust: systematic pricing correction or just a housing fad? 0 0 0 60 0 7 21 178
Dynamic Bayesian forecasting of English Premier League match results with the Skellam distribution 0 1 6 112 4 16 55 332
Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance 0 0 1 77 0 4 14 178
Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance 0 0 0 37 0 4 15 125
Evaluating real-time forecasts in real-time 0 0 0 21 0 0 6 99
Forecast Accuracy and Economic Gains from Bayesian Model Averaging using Time Varying Weights 0 0 0 99 0 8 24 274
Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles 0 0 0 43 0 3 16 130
Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time varying weight 0 0 0 96 0 4 18 181
Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles 0 0 0 94 0 3 17 194
Forecast density combinations with dynamic learning for large data sets in economics and finance 0 0 0 32 1 4 9 64
Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Financial Time Series 2 3 7 241 2 11 34 723
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 1 4 71 0 6 25 162
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 104 0 2 8 184
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 153 0 3 18 402
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 65 0 5 47 180
Forecasting GDP with Global Components. This Time Is Different 0 0 0 65 0 6 15 107
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 48 0 3 11 85
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 47 1 10 32 168
Forecasting commodity currencies: the role of fundamentals with short-lived predictive content 0 1 1 37 0 8 13 111
Forecasting consumer confidence through semantic network analysis of online news 0 0 0 11 0 7 16 41
Forecasting daily electricity prices with monthly macroeconomic variables 0 0 0 70 1 4 16 169
Forecasting energy commodity prices: a large global dataset sparse approach 0 0 0 46 1 5 20 148
Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID-19 crisis 0 0 0 24 0 2 10 40
Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID—19 crisis 0 0 0 44 1 5 11 107
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data 0 0 0 76 1 7 13 159
Forecasting recessions in real time 0 0 0 69 0 1 18 247
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 65 0 1 8 177
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 54 0 0 7 118
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles 0 0 0 65 1 3 15 139
Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations 0 0 0 70 1 4 13 193
Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations 0 0 9 357 1 2 23 672
Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model 0 0 0 28 1 11 13 125
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 63 1 4 14 209
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 69 1 1 18 221
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 47 0 0 13 185
Interconnections between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts using a Bayesian Panel Markov-Switching VAR Mode 0 0 0 96 0 4 16 138
Large Time-Varying Volatility Models for Electricity Prices 0 2 2 57 1 10 32 109
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 0 200 0 4 22 417
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 0 1 3 114 1 4 19 192
Macroeconomic factors strike back: A Bayesian change-point model of time-varying risk exposures and premia in the U.S. cross-section 0 0 1 63 0 3 10 357
Markov Switching Panel with Endogenous Synchronization Effects 0 0 1 94 2 4 34 242
Markov Switching Panel with Network Interaction Effects 0 0 1 73 0 2 14 199
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe 0 0 0 124 1 10 22 223
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe 0 0 0 133 1 3 17 308
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 0 59 0 3 29 194
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 0 257 0 7 31 674
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate. Evidence from Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models of REIT Returns 0 0 1 123 2 3 22 305
Myths and facts about the alleged over-pricing of U.S. real estate. Evidence from multi-factor asset pricing models of REIT returns 0 0 0 71 0 4 10 152
Oil and Fiscal Policy Regimes 0 0 0 15 0 2 12 55
Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination 0 0 0 78 0 5 12 294
Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination 0 0 0 87 2 6 30 263
Oil and fiscal policy regimes 0 0 0 26 0 2 12 54
Oil price density forecasts: Exploring the linkages with stock markets 0 0 0 163 0 6 14 311
Oil price density forecasts: exploring the linkages with stock markets 0 0 0 29 0 3 13 133
Oil-Price Density Forecasts of U.S. GDP 0 1 1 46 1 11 21 87
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 22 0 0 6 65
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 32 0 3 13 104
Optimal portfolio choice under decision-based model combinations 0 0 0 30 0 1 13 95
Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments 0 0 1 107 1 10 31 359
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 119 1 2 9 490
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 34 2 5 15 136
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 79 2 6 13 191
Parallel sequential Monte Carlo for efficient density combination: The DeCo MATLAB toolbox 0 0 1 39 0 6 16 151
Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information 0 0 1 357 1 3 11 919
Predicting the Volatility of Cryptocurrency Time Series 0 0 1 243 0 4 18 680
Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information 0 0 0 141 1 3 11 377
Predictive gains from forecast combinations using time-varying model weights 0 0 0 29 0 3 9 120
Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting 0 0 0 13 0 3 14 36
Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting 0 0 0 19 1 5 8 27
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 0 0 0 73 0 2 12 172
Real-time inflation forecasting in a changing world 0 0 0 80 0 5 19 293
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination 0 0 1 157 0 5 16 347
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination 0 0 1 101 0 3 21 321
The Bank-Sovereign Nexus: Evidence from a non-Bailout Episode 0 0 0 53 0 3 12 107
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 0 0 3 141 1 8 48 280
The Power of Weather: Some Empirical Evidence on Predicting Day-ahead Power Prices through Day-ahead Weather Forecasts 0 0 0 125 1 4 12 437
The macroeconomic forecasting performance of autoregressive models with alternative specifications of time-varying volatility 0 2 2 94 1 8 18 241
The macroeconomic forecasting performance of autoregressive models with alternative specifications of time-varying volatility 0 0 2 103 0 3 16 209
The power of weather. Some empirical evidence on predicting day-ahead power prices through weather forecasts 0 0 0 42 0 0 6 161
Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering 0 0 0 79 1 4 15 162
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 1 1 3 56 1 7 22 131
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 0 31 0 2 16 86
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 1 180 0 3 17 208
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 0 30 1 5 16 166
Why do people give less weight to advice the further it is from their initial opinion? 0 0 0 30 0 4 9 87
World Steel Production: A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 2 198 0 1 15 415
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 0 90 0 1 18 390
Total Working Papers 5 19 81 10,414 58 507 2,161 27,237
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian DSGE Approach to Modelling Cryptocurrency" 0 1 5 18 0 10 47 101
A Scoring Rule for Factor and Autoregressive Models Under Misspecification 0 0 0 16 0 6 15 88
Alternative econometric implementations of multi-factor models of the U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 37 0 4 12 141
Assessing the predictive ability of sovereign default risk on exchange rate returns 0 0 1 13 0 4 15 87
Bayesian Calibration of Generalized Pools of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 6 1 4 11 68
Bayesian Econometrics 1 1 2 10 1 3 11 53
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 2 0 4 10 33
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 26 0 4 18 124
Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment 0 0 1 7 0 2 20 90
Combining inflation density forecasts 0 0 0 65 0 1 12 197
Comment 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 26
Comparing the forecasting performances of linear models for electricity prices with high RES penetration 0 0 1 9 0 0 15 42
Computational Complexity and Parallelization in Bayesian Econometric Analysis 0 0 0 6 0 6 13 60
Contagion between real estate and financial markets: A Bayesian quantile-on-quantile approach 0 0 0 21 1 4 21 91
Density Forecasts With Midas Models 0 0 0 16 0 0 12 107
Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad? 0 0 0 29 0 5 17 81
Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time-varying weights 0 0 0 47 2 3 14 234
Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles 0 0 0 40 0 5 12 137
Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different 0 0 1 21 0 4 15 136
Forecasting cryptocurrencies under model and parameter instability 1 1 9 101 4 7 36 276
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data 0 0 0 30 1 5 14 128
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 4 1 4 9 90
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles 0 1 3 44 0 5 21 149
Identification of Financial Factors in Economic Fluctuations 1 3 12 113 1 8 43 274
Interconnections Between Eurozone and us Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Panel Markov‐Switching VAR Model 0 0 0 16 1 1 14 74
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 0 0 2 27 0 3 17 163
Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance under Alternative Specifications of Time‐Varying Volatility 0 1 1 65 0 4 18 174
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 1 47 1 5 25 216
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate 0 0 0 26 0 3 7 121
Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination 0 0 0 17 0 3 10 126
Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination 0 0 0 2 0 6 10 24
Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP 0 0 1 16 2 12 21 124
On the correlation between commodity and equity returns: Implications for portfolio allocation 0 0 0 34 0 2 11 168
Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 5 0 3 20 68
Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments 0 0 0 11 0 3 6 82
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox 0 1 2 8 0 8 29 92
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 0 0 1 115 0 4 13 330
The bank-sovereign nexus: Evidence from a non-bailout episode 0 0 0 4 1 3 17 62
The power of weather 0 0 0 36 0 4 12 135
Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering 0 0 2 54 2 12 31 245
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts 0 0 1 12 1 3 17 89
Why do people place lower weight on advice far from their own initial opinion? 0 0 0 9 0 4 7 64
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 1 8 340 0 3 27 435
Total Journal Articles 3 10 54 1,526 20 186 729 5,605


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles 0 0 0 37 0 1 9 149
Total Chapters 0 0 0 37 0 1 9 149


Statistics updated 2026-07-10