Access Statistics for Francesco Ravazzolo

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance 0 0 3 47 0 1 10 90
A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance 0 0 0 7 1 1 1 29
A Bayesian multi-factor model of instability in prices and quantities of risk in U.S. financial markets 0 0 1 129 0 0 1 237
A New Economic Framework: A DSGE Model with Cryptocurrency 1 1 15 375 6 8 45 812
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 99 0 0 1 239
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 73 0 0 0 319
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 259 0 0 0 811
A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 0 56 0 2 4 129
A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 0 108 1 2 5 235
A scoring rule for factor and autoregressive models under misspecification 0 0 1 71 0 0 1 160
Adaptive Importance Sampling for DSGE Models 1 1 5 71 3 5 24 217
Are low frequency macroeconomic variables important for high frequency electricity prices? 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 28
Assessing the Predictive Ability of Sovereign Default Risk on Exchange Rate Returns 0 0 0 25 0 0 1 37
Backtesting Value-at-Risk using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann 0 0 0 81 0 0 2 106
Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index 0 0 0 45 0 0 0 149
Bayesian Model Averaging in the Presence of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 35 0 0 0 129
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 32 0 0 1 116
Bayesian near-boundary analysis in basic macroeconomic time series models 0 1 1 90 0 1 1 177
Bayesian nonparametric calibration and combination of predictive distributions 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 111
Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions 0 0 0 67 0 0 0 146
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 1 58 1 1 3 117
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 19 0 2 2 130
Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment 0 0 1 14 0 0 3 93
Combined Density Nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment 0 0 1 50 2 3 4 100
Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off? 0 0 0 44 0 0 5 102
Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 87
Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data 0 0 0 16 1 1 1 69
Combining inflation density forecasts 0 0 0 112 0 0 1 214
Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economic data 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 167
Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data 0 0 0 67 0 0 0 113
Commodity Futures and Forecasting Commodity Currencies 0 0 0 68 1 2 3 143
Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration 0 0 0 37 1 2 2 38
Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration 0 0 1 41 0 1 2 83
Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach 0 0 0 15 0 0 6 122
Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach 0 1 1 57 0 2 4 213
Corporate CDS spreads from the Eurozone crisis to COVID-19 pandemic: A Bayesian Markov switching model 0 0 5 36 1 1 8 82
Density Forecasting 1 3 10 280 1 5 23 480
Density forecasts with MIDAS models 0 0 1 82 3 5 17 253
Density forecasts with MIDAS models 0 0 0 75 0 0 0 137
Dissecting the 2007-2009 real estate market bust: systematic pricing correction or just a housing fad? 0 0 0 60 0 0 1 157
Dynamic Bayesian forecasting of English Premier League match results with the Skellam distribution 0 0 2 104 3 6 16 269
Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance 0 0 0 76 0 0 1 164
Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance 0 0 2 37 1 1 3 110
Evaluating real-time forecasts in real-time 0 0 1 21 0 1 3 92
Forecast Accuracy and Economic Gains from Bayesian Model Averaging using Time Varying Weights 0 0 1 99 0 0 1 250
Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles 0 1 1 43 0 2 3 114
Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time varying weight 0 0 0 96 0 0 2 163
Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles 0 0 0 94 0 0 0 176
Forecast density combinations with dynamic learning for large data sets in economics and finance 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 54
Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Financial Time Series 0 0 5 233 0 0 15 685
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 65 1 1 3 133
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 1 104 0 0 9 176
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 65 1 1 3 133
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 65 1 1 1 91
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 48 0 0 0 74
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 47 0 0 1 136
Forecasting commodity currencies: the role of fundamentals with short-lived predictive content 0 0 3 36 1 2 6 98
Forecasting consumer confidence through semantic network analysis of online news 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 24
Forecasting daily electricity prices with monthly macroeconomic variables 0 0 0 69 1 1 5 150
Forecasting energy commodity prices: A large global dataset sparse approach 0 0 0 152 0 0 1 382
Forecasting energy commodity prices: a large global dataset sparse approach 0 0 0 46 0 0 1 128
Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID-19 crisis 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 28
Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID—19 crisis 0 0 1 44 0 1 2 96
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data 0 0 0 76 0 0 0 146
Forecasting recessions in real time 0 0 1 69 0 0 3 229
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 109
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 65 0 0 2 169
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles 0 0 0 65 0 0 6 123
Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations 0 0 3 70 0 0 5 180
Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations 4 5 13 343 5 7 25 640
Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model 1 1 1 28 1 1 2 109
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 62 0 0 0 194
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 69 1 2 5 202
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 47 0 0 1 170
Interconnections between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts using a Bayesian Panel Markov-Switching VAR Mode 0 0 2 96 0 0 4 121
Large Time-Varying Volatility Models for Electricity Prices 0 1 4 53 0 2 12 73
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 0 200 1 1 4 393
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 1 1 5 109 1 1 9 169
Macroeconomic factors strike back: A Bayesian change-point model of time-varying risk exposures and premia in the U.S. cross-section 0 0 0 62 0 0 1 346
Markov Switching Panel with Endogenous Synchronization Effects 0 1 3 93 0 3 14 207
Markov Switching Panel with Network Interaction Effects 0 0 0 72 0 2 2 185
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe 0 0 0 124 0 0 1 201
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe 0 0 0 133 0 0 2 290
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 0 257 0 0 0 643
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 0 59 1 2 2 165
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate. Evidence from Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models of REIT Returns 0 0 0 122 0 0 1 283
Myths and facts about the alleged over-pricing of U.S. real estate. Evidence from multi-factor asset pricing models of REIT returns 0 0 0 71 0 0 1 139
Oil and Fiscal Policy Regimes 0 0 1 15 0 0 1 41
Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination 0 0 1 78 0 0 1 282
Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination 0 0 0 87 0 0 2 233
Oil and fiscal policy regimes 0 0 0 26 0 0 2 40
Oil price density forecasts: Exploring the linkages with stock markets 0 0 1 163 1 1 3 297
Oil price density forecasts: exploring the linkages with stock markets 0 0 0 28 1 1 2 119
Oil-Price Density Forecasts of U.S. GDP 0 1 1 45 0 1 1 65
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 59
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 32 2 2 2 91
Optimal portfolio choice under decision-based model combinations 0 0 0 30 0 0 2 82
Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments 0 0 0 105 1 2 7 320
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 119 0 2 2 481
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 79 0 0 0 177
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 34 0 0 0 120
Parallel sequential Monte Carlo for efficient density combination: The DeCo MATLAB toolbox 0 0 0 37 0 0 2 133
Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information 0 0 0 356 1 2 4 906
Predicting the Volatility of Cryptocurrency Time Series 0 0 5 242 1 2 9 659
Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information 0 0 0 141 0 0 2 365
Predictive gains from forecast combinations using time-varying model weights 0 0 1 29 0 0 1 109
Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting 0 0 0 19 0 1 2 19
Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 22
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 0 0 0 73 0 0 1 160
Real-time inflation forecasting in a changing world 0 0 3 79 0 1 9 270
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination 0 0 0 154 1 2 4 327
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination 0 0 4 99 1 3 13 292
The Bank-Sovereign Nexus: Evidence from a non-Bailout Episode 0 0 0 53 1 1 1 94
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 1 2 4 137 3 7 13 230
The Power of Weather: Some Empirical Evidence on Predicting Day-ahead Power Prices through Day-ahead Weather Forecasts 0 0 0 125 0 0 1 425
The macroeconomic forecasting performance of autoregressive models with alternative specifications of time-varying volatility 0 1 2 92 0 1 7 223
The macroeconomic forecasting performance of autoregressive models with alternative specifications of time-varying volatility 0 0 0 101 0 0 2 193
The power of weather. Some empirical evidence on predicting day-ahead power prices through weather forecasts 1 1 1 42 1 1 2 154
Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering 0 0 0 79 0 0 2 145
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 0 0 1 53 0 1 5 107
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 0 31 1 3 7 68
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 1 179 1 4 5 191
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 0 30 0 2 2 149
Why do people give less weight to advice the further it is from their initial opinion? 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 78
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 3 195 0 0 4 395
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 1 89 0 0 4 369
Total Working Papers 11 22 126 10,293 57 123 488 24,879
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Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian DSGE Approach to Modelling Cryptocurrency" 0 2 5 11 3 8 29 44
A Scoring Rule for Factor and Autoregressive Models Under Misspecification 0 0 0 16 0 0 2 73
Alternative econometric implementations of multi-factor models of the U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 37 1 1 1 129
Assessing the predictive ability of sovereign default risk on exchange rate returns 0 0 1 11 0 0 2 68
Bayesian Calibration of Generalized Pools of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 6 0 1 1 57
Bayesian Econometrics 0 0 0 8 1 1 2 41
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 23
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 1 26 2 2 4 106
Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment 0 0 0 6 0 0 2 69
Combining inflation density forecasts 0 0 2 64 0 0 3 184
Comment 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 22
Comparing the forecasting performances of linear models for electricity prices with high RES penetration 0 0 1 8 0 2 4 25
Computational Complexity and Parallelization in Bayesian Econometric Analysis 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 47
Contagion between real estate and financial markets: A Bayesian quantile-on-quantile approach 0 0 3 21 0 1 18 68
Density Forecasts With Midas Models 0 0 0 16 0 1 4 94
Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad? 0 0 0 29 0 0 0 64
Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time-varying weights 0 0 0 47 0 1 1 218
Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles 0 0 1 40 0 0 1 125
Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different 0 0 0 20 0 1 2 121
Forecasting cryptocurrencies under model and parameter instability 2 4 13 90 2 8 30 233
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data 0 0 1 29 0 0 1 111
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 81
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles 0 0 10 41 2 4 22 125
Identification of Financial Factors in Economic Fluctuations 4 5 30 88 7 12 57 210
Interconnections Between Eurozone and us Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Panel Markov‐Switching VAR Model 0 0 2 16 0 0 3 57
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 0 0 0 25 0 1 5 145
Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance under Alternative Specifications of Time‐Varying Volatility 1 3 6 64 1 3 11 155
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 1 3 5 46 1 3 13 189
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate 0 0 1 26 1 1 2 114
Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination 0 0 0 17 1 1 1 115
Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination 0 1 1 2 1 2 2 13
Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP 0 1 2 15 0 2 3 103
On the correlation between commodity and equity returns: Implications for portfolio allocation 0 1 2 34 0 2 14 155
Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 5 0 1 1 48
Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments 0 0 1 11 2 3 9 75
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox 0 0 0 6 0 1 1 62
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 0 0 3 114 0 1 9 313
The bank-sovereign nexus: Evidence from a non-bailout episode 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 44
The power of weather 0 1 3 35 0 1 6 120
Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering 0 0 3 52 1 1 15 207
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts 0 0 1 11 3 4 7 72
Why do people place lower weight on advice far from their own initial opinion? 0 0 0 9 1 1 3 57
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 4 331 0 0 7 405
Total Journal Articles 8 21 103 1,450 30 72 300 4,787


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles 0 0 0 37 0 0 2 140
Total Chapters 0 0 0 37 0 0 2 140


Statistics updated 2025-03-03