Access Statistics for Francesco Ravazzolo

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance 0 0 0 7 0 0 3 31
A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance 0 1 2 48 0 3 6 93
A Bayesian multi-factor model of instability in prices and quantities of risk in U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 129 0 2 2 239
A New Economic Framework: A DSGE Model with Cryptocurrency 0 1 5 379 2 7 29 832
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 73 0 0 0 319
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 99 0 2 3 242
A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 0 0 259 1 1 3 814
A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 1 1 109 0 2 6 238
A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 0 0 56 1 3 6 132
A scoring rule for factor and autoregressive models under misspecification 0 0 0 71 0 1 1 161
Adaptive Importance Sampling for DSGE Models 0 1 6 75 0 5 20 230
Are low frequency macroeconomic variables important for high frequency electricity prices? 0 0 0 14 0 1 2 29
Assessing the Predictive Ability of Sovereign Default Risk on Exchange Rate Returns 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 37
Backtesting Value-at-Risk using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann 0 0 0 81 0 0 1 106
Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index 0 0 0 45 0 1 1 150
Bayesian Model Averaging in the Presence of Structural Breaks 0 0 0 35 0 1 1 130
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 32 2 3 5 120
Bayesian near-boundary analysis in basic macroeconomic time series models 0 0 1 90 0 0 1 177
Bayesian nonparametric calibration and combination of predictive distributions 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 111
Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions 0 0 0 67 0 1 1 147
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 19 1 1 3 131
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 58 0 0 1 117
Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment 0 0 1 14 1 3 5 96
Combined Density Nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment 0 0 0 50 0 0 3 100
Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off? 0 0 0 44 0 3 6 106
Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data 0 0 0 41 0 1 3 90
Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data 0 0 0 16 0 0 1 69
Combining inflation density forecasts 0 0 0 112 0 0 0 214
Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economic data 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 167
Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data 0 0 0 67 3 5 5 118
Commodity Futures and Forecasting Commodity Currencies 0 0 0 68 1 2 5 146
Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration 0 0 0 41 0 0 1 83
Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration 0 0 0 37 0 0 2 38
Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach 0 0 1 57 0 2 4 215
Contagion between Real Estate and Financial Markets: A Bayesian Quantile-on-Quantile Approach 0 0 0 15 0 0 2 122
Corporate CDS spreads from the Eurozone crisis to COVID-19 pandemic: A Bayesian Markov switching model 0 0 4 37 1 2 10 87
Density Forecasting 1 3 8 284 3 5 18 489
Density forecasts with MIDAS models 0 0 0 75 0 0 0 137
Density forecasts with MIDAS models 0 0 0 82 1 7 19 263
Dissecting the 2007-2009 real estate market bust: systematic pricing correction or just a housing fad? 0 0 0 60 2 3 4 160
Dynamic Bayesian forecasting of English Premier League match results with the Skellam distribution 1 1 5 107 3 8 21 281
Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance 0 0 0 76 1 1 1 165
Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 110
Evaluating real-time forecasts in real-time 0 0 0 21 0 0 3 93
Forecast Accuracy and Economic Gains from Bayesian Model Averaging using Time Varying Weights 0 0 0 99 0 1 1 251
Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles 0 0 1 43 0 1 3 115
Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time varying weight 0 0 0 96 0 0 1 163
Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles 0 0 0 94 0 0 1 177
Forecast density combinations with dynamic learning for large data sets in economics and finance 0 0 0 32 0 1 1 55
Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Financial Time Series 0 0 2 234 0 1 7 690
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 65 0 0 1 133
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 1 1 153 0 1 3 384
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 1 1 3 68 2 3 8 140
Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach 0 0 0 104 0 1 1 177
Forecasting GDP with Global Components. This Time Is Different 0 0 0 65 2 2 4 94
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 47 1 2 3 138
Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different 0 0 0 48 0 0 0 74
Forecasting commodity currencies: the role of fundamentals with short-lived predictive content 0 0 0 36 0 1 3 99
Forecasting consumer confidence through semantic network analysis of online news 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 25
Forecasting daily electricity prices with monthly macroeconomic variables 0 0 1 70 0 1 6 153
Forecasting energy commodity prices: a large global dataset sparse approach 0 0 0 46 0 0 1 128
Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID-19 crisis 0 0 1 24 0 1 3 31
Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID—19 crisis 0 0 1 44 0 0 2 96
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data 0 0 0 76 0 0 0 146
Forecasting recessions in real time 0 0 1 69 0 1 3 230
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 65 0 0 1 169
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 54 1 2 3 112
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles 0 0 0 65 1 1 6 125
Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations 1 2 16 350 1 3 25 651
Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations 0 0 1 70 0 0 2 180
Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model 0 0 1 28 0 2 5 112
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 1 63 0 0 1 195
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 47 0 0 2 172
Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model 0 0 0 69 0 1 6 203
Interconnections between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts using a Bayesian Panel Markov-Switching VAR Mode 0 0 0 96 0 1 2 123
Large Time-Varying Volatility Models for Electricity Prices 0 1 4 55 1 4 11 80
Macro modelling with many models 0 0 0 200 2 2 7 397
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 1 2 4 112 2 4 7 175
Macroeconomic factors strike back: A Bayesian change-point model of time-varying risk exposures and premia in the U.S. cross-section 0 0 0 62 0 0 1 347
Markov Switching Panel with Endogenous Synchronization Effects 1 1 2 94 3 3 14 211
Markov Switching Panel with Network Interaction Effects 0 0 0 72 0 0 2 185
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe 0 0 0 124 0 0 1 201
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe 0 0 0 133 0 1 2 292
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 0 59 0 0 2 165
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 0 0 0 257 0 0 0 643
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate. Evidence from Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models of REIT Returns 0 0 0 122 1 1 1 284
Myths and facts about the alleged over-pricing of U.S. real estate. Evidence from multi-factor asset pricing models of REIT returns 0 0 0 71 0 0 4 142
Oil and Fiscal Policy Regimes 0 0 0 15 0 1 2 43
Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination 0 0 0 78 0 0 0 282
Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination 0 0 0 87 0 0 1 233
Oil and fiscal policy regimes 0 0 0 26 0 0 4 42
Oil price density forecasts: Exploring the linkages with stock markets 0 0 0 163 0 0 1 297
Oil price density forecasts: exploring the linkages with stock markets 0 0 1 29 1 1 3 121
Oil-Price Density Forecasts of U.S. GDP 0 0 1 45 0 0 2 66
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 32 0 0 2 91
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 22 1 1 1 60
Optimal portfolio choice under decision-based model combinations 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 82
Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments 0 1 2 107 0 2 12 329
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 119 0 0 2 481
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 79 0 1 2 179
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox 0 0 0 34 0 1 1 121
Parallel sequential Monte Carlo for efficient density combination: The DeCo MATLAB toolbox 0 0 1 38 0 2 3 136
Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information 0 0 0 356 1 1 6 909
Predicting the Volatility of Cryptocurrency Time Series 0 0 1 242 1 1 7 663
Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information 0 0 0 141 0 0 2 366
Predictive gains from forecast combinations using time-varying model weights 0 0 0 29 0 3 3 112
Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting 0 0 0 19 0 0 2 19
Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting 0 0 0 13 0 1 1 23
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 0 0 0 73 0 0 0 160
Real-time inflation forecasting in a changing world 0 0 2 80 0 3 9 276
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination 0 0 1 100 0 1 13 300
Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination 0 0 2 156 0 0 7 331
The Bank-Sovereign Nexus: Evidence from a non-Bailout Episode 0 0 0 53 0 1 3 96
The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics 0 1 3 138 0 4 13 234
The Power of Weather: Some Empirical Evidence on Predicting Day-ahead Power Prices through Day-ahead Weather Forecasts 0 0 0 125 0 0 0 425
The macroeconomic forecasting performance of autoregressive models with alternative specifications of time-varying volatility 0 0 1 92 0 0 3 223
The macroeconomic forecasting performance of autoregressive models with alternative specifications of time-varying volatility 0 0 0 101 0 0 1 193
The power of weather. Some empirical evidence on predicting day-ahead power prices through weather forecasts 0 0 1 42 0 0 3 155
Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering 0 0 0 79 1 3 4 148
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 0 0 0 53 0 2 6 110
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 1 179 0 1 6 192
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 0 31 0 1 6 71
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts 0 0 0 30 0 1 3 150
Why do people give less weight to advice the further it is from their initial opinion? 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 78
World Steel Production: A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 0 1 2 197 1 6 9 404
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 0 1 1 90 1 4 9 375
Total Working Papers 6 20 94 10,344 47 160 519 25,174
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Bayesian DSGE Approach to Modelling Cryptocurrency" 1 1 7 14 4 6 29 59
A Scoring Rule for Factor and Autoregressive Models Under Misspecification 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 73
Alternative econometric implementations of multi-factor models of the U.S. financial markets 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 129
Assessing the predictive ability of sovereign default risk on exchange rate returns 0 0 2 12 0 2 7 73
Bayesian Calibration of Generalized Pools of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 6 0 1 2 58
Bayesian Econometrics 0 0 0 8 0 0 2 42
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 23
Combination schemes for turning point predictions 0 0 0 26 0 0 2 106
Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment 0 0 0 6 0 0 2 70
Combining inflation density forecasts 0 0 1 65 1 1 3 186
Comment 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 22
Comparing the forecasting performances of linear models for electricity prices with high RES penetration 0 0 1 8 0 2 6 28
Computational Complexity and Parallelization in Bayesian Econometric Analysis 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 47
Contagion between real estate and financial markets: A Bayesian quantile-on-quantile approach 0 0 1 21 0 1 11 70
Density Forecasts With Midas Models 0 0 0 16 0 2 3 96
Dissecting the 2007–2009 Real Estate Market Bust: Systematic Pricing Correction or Just a Housing Fad? 0 0 0 29 1 1 1 65
Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time-varying weights 0 0 0 47 0 1 3 220
Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles 0 0 1 40 0 0 1 125
Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different 0 0 0 20 0 1 3 122
Forecasting cryptocurrencies under model and parameter instability 3 4 12 95 4 8 27 246
Forecasting macroeconomic variables using disaggregate survey data 0 0 1 30 1 3 5 116
Forecasting the intraday market price of money 0 0 0 4 0 1 1 82
Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles 0 0 10 41 0 0 24 128
Identification of Financial Factors in Economic Fluctuations 1 5 29 104 5 13 52 239
Interconnections Between Eurozone and us Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Panel Markov‐Switching VAR Model 0 0 0 16 0 2 4 61
Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change-Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross-Section 1 1 1 26 1 2 5 148
Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance under Alternative Specifications of Time‐Varying Volatility 0 0 4 64 1 1 8 157
Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe 1 1 5 47 1 3 9 192
Myths and Facts about the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate 0 0 1 26 0 1 3 115
Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination 0 0 0 17 0 0 2 116
Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 14
Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP 0 0 1 15 0 1 3 104
On the correlation between commodity and equity returns: Implications for portfolio allocation 0 0 1 34 0 0 9 157
Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations 0 0 0 5 0 1 2 49
Optimism in Financial Markets: Stock Market Returns and Investor Sentiments 0 0 0 11 0 0 6 76
Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox 0 0 0 6 1 2 3 64
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 0 0 0 114 0 1 8 318
The bank-sovereign nexus: Evidence from a non-bailout episode 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 45
The power of weather 0 0 2 36 1 2 5 124
Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering 0 0 0 52 2 8 13 218
Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts 0 0 0 11 0 0 5 72
Why do people place lower weight on advice far from their own initial opinion? 0 0 0 9 0 2 3 59
World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity 1 2 4 334 2 5 9 412
Total Journal Articles 8 14 85 1,483 25 74 287 4,926


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 140
Total Chapters 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 140


Statistics updated 2025-09-05