Access Statistics for Barbara Rossi

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A New Approach to Measuring Economic Policy Shocks, with an Application to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy 0 0 2 116 1 1 6 221
A new approach to measuring economic policy shocks, with an application to conventional and unconventional monetary policy 0 0 0 113 1 1 5 328
Advances in Forecasting Under Instability 0 0 1 210 0 3 5 351
Alternative Tests for Correct Specification of Conditional Predictive Densities 0 0 0 117 0 0 3 80
Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities 0 0 1 25 0 1 2 148
Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability 0 3 6 349 0 6 17 737
Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability 0 0 0 758 0 1 2 2,271
CAN EXCHANGE RATES FORECAST COMMODITY PRICES? 0 0 0 657 0 0 2 1,538
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 0 20 0 1 1 96
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 1 313 0 1 6 885
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 1 2 43 2 3 7 227
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 1 204 1 4 5 616
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 0 61 1 2 2 272
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 5 161 0 2 10 354
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 0 118 0 0 3 262
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 0 180 2 3 5 209
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 0 214 0 1 4 566
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? 0 0 1 86 0 1 3 156
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? 0 0 0 108 0 0 2 366
Conditional Predictive Density Evaluation in the Presence of Instabilities 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 77
Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 100
Confidence Intervals for Bias and Size Distortion in IV and Local Projections–IV Models 0 0 1 5 1 1 2 28
Confidence Intervals for Half-life Deviations from Purchasing Power Parity 0 0 0 170 1 1 2 598
Confidence intervals for bias and size distortion in IV and local projections — IV models 0 0 1 49 1 1 4 101
Confidence intervals for bias and size distortion in IV and local projections–IV models 0 0 0 3 1 1 1 38
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns 0 0 0 195 3 3 4 549
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns* 0 0 0 84 0 0 1 289
Detecting and predicting forecast breakdowns 0 0 1 103 0 0 2 414
Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models? 0 0 2 230 1 3 10 866
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? 0 0 0 44 0 0 0 220
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? A Little Evidence From an Agnostic Procedure 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 269
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? A Little Evidence from an Agnostic Procedure 0 0 0 36 0 0 0 224
Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set 0 0 0 37 1 1 1 90
Evaluating predictive densities of U.S. output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set 0 0 0 21 0 0 1 98
Exchange Rate Predictability 0 0 5 199 2 6 16 348
Exchange Rate Predictability 1 1 2 107 2 3 7 227
Exchange rate predictability 3 5 12 260 8 11 34 986
Expectations Hypotheses Tests and Predictive Regressions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 99 0 0 0 194
Forecast Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 6 205 0 2 9 559
Forecast Optimality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities 0 0 0 77 0 0 1 146
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 0 1 28 1 1 2 64
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 0 1 20 0 0 3 63
Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to Federal Reserve and survey forecasts 0 0 0 71 2 2 2 118
Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn’t in Reduced-Form and Structural Models 0 0 0 23 0 0 1 74
Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 115
Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 0 0 2 48 1 1 10 123
Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 0 0 2 47 0 0 3 91
Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them 0 0 1 64 1 1 10 118
From Fixed-Event to Fixed-Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-Horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts 0 0 0 18 1 2 5 70
From Fixed-event to Fixed-horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Foreca 0 1 2 8 2 4 7 34
From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts 1 1 1 24 2 2 3 35
From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts 0 0 0 29 1 2 4 58
Has Economic Modelsí Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When? 0 0 0 62 0 0 0 205
Has Models' Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed over Time, and When? 0 0 0 29 0 1 2 128
Has modelsí forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when? 0 0 0 54 0 0 1 231
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 0 1 39 1 1 3 54
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 52
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 104 0 0 2 198
Has the Phillips curve flattened? 1 5 31 31 6 17 79 79
Has the information channel of monetary policy disappeared? Revisiting the empirical evidence 0 0 0 48 0 0 1 84
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 2 92 1 1 5 320
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 1 1 4 47 2 2 6 90
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 2 54 1 1 4 88
Heterogeneous consumers and fiscal policy shocks 0 0 1 26 0 0 3 92
How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Outpot Growth? 0 0 0 166 0 0 1 387
INFORMATION CRITERIA FOR IMPULSE RESPONSE FUNCTION MATCHING ESTIMATION OF DSGE MODELS 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 145
Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Data: How to Do It and What Have We Learned? 0 0 1 113 0 0 5 279
Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: How to Do It And What Have We Learned? 0 0 1 39 0 0 5 64
Identifying and estimating the effects of unconventional monetary policy in the data: How to do It and what have we learned? 0 1 1 111 2 4 7 148
Identifying the Sources of Model Misspecification 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 103
Identifying the Sources of Model Misspecification 0 0 0 57 0 0 1 162
Identifying the sources of model misspecification 0 0 0 20 0 0 1 87
Impulse Response Confidence Intervals for Persistent Data: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 85 0 0 0 425
In-sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 0 0 0 41 0 2 3 78
In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models 0 0 0 60 1 1 6 130
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 59
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 0 0 101 0 0 0 469
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 0 1 34 0 0 1 174
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 1 4 458 0 2 26 1,609
Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models 0 0 0 107 0 0 0 390
Local projections in unstable environments: How effective is fiscal policy? 0 0 0 0 1 3 10 10
Long-Run Trends in Long-Maturity Real Rates 1311-2021 0 0 6 65 1 5 29 115
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices for the Euro Area and Individual Member Countries 0 0 5 104 1 1 11 198
Macroeconomic uncertainty indices based on nowcast and forecast error distributions 1 1 5 91 1 2 10 216
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 3 0 1 2 34
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 89
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 37 0 1 3 120
Model Selection in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43
Model comparisons in unstable environments 0 0 0 6 1 1 2 43
Model comparisons in unstable environments 0 0 0 64 0 0 0 72
Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises 0 0 0 143 0 0 0 401
Optimal Tests for Nested Model Selection with Underlying Parameter Instability 0 0 0 146 1 1 3 826
Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to Window Size Choice 0 0 1 114 0 0 2 221
Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size 0 0 0 47 1 2 11 171
Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size 0 1 1 109 1 2 9 127
Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size 0 0 0 203 0 0 1 580
Predicting Agri-Commodity Prices: an Asset Pricing Approach 0 1 1 129 0 2 4 368
Recursive Predictability Tests for Real-Time Data 0 0 1 110 0 1 2 459
Rethinking Short-Term Real Interest Rates and Term Spreads Using Very Long-Run Data 2 8 24 24 5 21 33 33
Rolling Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters 0 0 1 271 0 1 11 680
Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters 0 0 1 120 1 4 6 193
Small Sample Confidence Intervals for Multivariate Impulse Response Functions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 581
Small Sample Confidence Intervals for Multivariate Impulse Response Functions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 77 0 0 1 339
Small sample confidence intervals for multivariate impulse response functions at long horizons 0 0 0 66 1 1 1 433
Testing Long-horizon Predictive Ability with High Persistence, and the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle 0 0 0 207 1 1 2 669
Testing for Weak Identification in Possibly Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 39 0 0 1 119
Tests for the validity of portfolio or group choice in financial and panel regressions 0 0 0 15 1 1 1 42
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 1 1 43 3 4 6 87
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 0 1 91 0 0 1 187
The changing relationship between commodity prices and equity prices in commodity exporting 0 0 1 52 0 0 4 146
The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates 0 0 1 71 0 0 2 75
Understanding Models' Forecasting Performance 0 0 0 44 0 0 0 187
Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 0 27 0 0 1 85
Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 0 115 0 1 7 354
Understanding the sources of macroeconomic uncertainty 0 0 1 59 0 1 7 150
VAR-Based Granger-Causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities 0 0 1 53 0 3 5 187
VAR-based Granger-causality test in the presence of instabilities 0 1 1 79 0 2 3 166
Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities 0 1 7 21 0 3 11 45
What is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining US Macroeconomic Fluctuations? 0 0 0 126 0 0 2 252
Which Structural Parameters Are "Structural"? Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in Economic Models 0 0 2 184 1 1 5 442
Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters 0 1 1 58 0 1 2 97
Total Working Papers 10 35 172 11,760 75 178 613 33,039


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Review of Economic Forecasting 1 2 2 18 1 2 2 28
ARE EXCHANGE RATES REALLY RANDOM WALKS? SOME EVIDENCE ROBUST TO PARAMETER INSTABILITY 0 1 2 164 0 1 4 413
Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities 1 2 3 53 2 5 10 167
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 1 7 639 5 12 34 1,695
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? An empirical analysis of the relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates 1 2 4 215 1 3 17 582
Comment 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 38
Comment 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 15
Comment 0 0 0 4 0 1 1 37
Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 31 0 1 1 86
Confidence Intervals for Half-Life Deviations From Purchasing Power Parity 0 0 1 76 0 1 3 259
DO TECHNOLOGY SHOCKS DRIVE HOURS UP OR DOWN? A LITTLE EVIDENCE FROM AN AGNOSTIC PROCEDURE 0 0 0 39 0 1 2 169
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns 0 0 2 127 1 1 5 406
Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set 0 1 1 29 0 3 5 93
Exchange Rate Predictability 2 3 5 316 2 11 30 818
Expectations hypotheses tests at Long Horizons 0 0 0 26 0 1 4 197
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, with Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 0 1 29 1 2 9 88
Forecast comparisons in unstable environments 1 3 15 216 3 10 48 612
Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models 0 0 2 19 0 0 2 101
Have economic models' forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when? 1 2 3 72 2 4 8 212
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 5 33 3 7 18 123
How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Output Growth?* 0 0 0 119 1 1 1 316
Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in Macroeconomic Fluctuations 1 1 7 87 1 2 8 266
Identifying the sources of model misspecification 0 1 4 40 1 2 8 163
Implementing tests for forecast evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 24 0 1 3 87
Impulse response confidence intervals for persistent data: What have we learned? 0 0 0 65 0 0 1 216
In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 0 1 1 11 1 3 4 53
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices Based on Nowcast and Forecast Error Distributions 1 1 2 96 1 2 6 402
Macroeconomic uncertainty indices for the Euro Area and its individual member countries 0 0 2 84 1 1 8 228
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 2 31 1 1 3 129
Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises 0 0 0 98 1 2 2 267
OPTIMAL TESTS FOR NESTED MODEL SELECTION WITH UNDERLYING PARAMETER INSTABILITY 0 0 0 52 0 1 3 170
Recursive Predictability Tests for Real-Time Data 0 0 1 50 0 0 4 165
Rejoinder: In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 0 0 1 4 0 0 2 24
Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters 1 1 3 105 3 8 21 409
Small-sample confidence intervals for multivariate impulse response functions at long horizons 0 0 0 74 1 1 2 383
TESTING LONG-HORIZON PREDICTIVE ABILITY WITH HIGH PERSISTENCE, AND THE MEESE-ROGOFF PUZZLE 0 0 0 101 0 0 2 345
Testing for weak identification in possibly nonlinear models 0 0 2 56 1 1 10 202
The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates 0 6 21 115 7 15 51 426
Uncertainty and deviations from uncovered interest rate parity 0 0 1 76 1 3 11 295
Understanding models' forecasting performance 0 0 1 86 0 1 4 291
Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities 1 1 2 33 1 1 6 88
What Is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining U.S. Macroeconomic Fluctuations? 1 1 4 133 3 3 7 498
Total Journal Articles 12 30 107 3,655 48 117 372 11,562


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Advances in Forecasting under Instability 0 0 3 99 1 3 11 367
Comment on "Exchange Rate Models Are Not As Bad As You Think" 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 120
Comment on "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis" 0 0 0 8 1 1 1 35
Forecasting in macroeconomics 0 2 4 75 1 4 13 174
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 36
Total Chapters 0 2 7 190 3 8 30 732


Software Item File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
FOREC_INSTAB: Stata module to perform forecast comparison and forecast rationality tests 1 6 36 450 10 23 98 1,061
GCROBUSTVAR: Stata module to compute a VAR-based Granger-causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities 2 8 21 120 5 13 44 417
TVPREG: Stata module to perform parameter path estimation in unstable environments 11 21 23 23 30 82 97 97
Total Software Items 14 35 80 593 45 118 239 1,575


Statistics updated 2025-03-03