Access Statistics for Barbara Rossi

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A New Approach to Measuring Economic Policy Shocks, with an Application to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy 0 0 1 117 3 9 22 242
A new approach to measuring economic policy shocks, with an application to conventional and unconventional monetary policy 0 0 1 114 3 7 44 371
Advances in Forecasting Under Instability 0 0 2 212 15 26 32 383
Alternative Tests for Correct Specification of Conditional Predictive Densities 0 0 0 117 5 7 11 91
Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities 0 0 0 25 9 12 19 167
Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability 0 0 1 350 6 14 18 755
Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability 0 0 1 759 5 6 13 2,284
CAN EXCHANGE RATES FORECAST COMMODITY PRICES? 0 0 1 658 21 51 52 1,590
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 0 20 5 9 10 106
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 1 1 1 314 4 6 9 894
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 1 44 4 12 20 245
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 0 61 2 7 12 283
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 1 205 3 6 15 630
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 1 215 1 4 7 573
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 1 1 2 120 19 20 22 284
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 0 180 5 11 15 222
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 1 1 1 162 21 23 27 381
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? 0 0 0 86 1 11 15 171
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? 0 0 1 109 3 7 9 375
Comparing Forecast Performance with State Dependence 0 0 0 19 4 6 7 35
Conditional Predictive Density Evaluation in the Presence of Instabilities 0 0 0 32 12 14 15 92
Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 18 2 3 4 104
Confidence Intervals for Bias and Size Distortion in IV and Local Projections–IV Models 0 0 1 6 2 6 8 35
Confidence Intervals for Half-life Deviations from Purchasing Power Parity 0 0 0 170 4 5 9 606
Confidence intervals for bias and size distortion in IV and local projections — IV models 0 0 0 49 4 6 9 109
Confidence intervals for bias and size distortion in IV and local projections–IV models 0 0 0 3 3 4 5 42
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns 0 0 0 195 3 7 13 559
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns* 0 0 0 84 3 5 9 298
Detecting and predicting forecast breakdowns 1 1 1 104 4 6 9 423
Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models? 0 1 4 234 8 16 28 893
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? 0 0 0 44 10 13 15 235
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? A Little Evidence From an Agnostic Procedure 0 0 0 54 3 4 5 274
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? A Little Evidence from an Agnostic Procedure 0 0 0 36 4 9 10 234
Euro Area Monetary Policy Effects. Does the Shape of the Yield Curve Matter? 0 1 3 58 6 10 25 129
Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence 1 2 2 6 7 10 12 19
Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set 0 0 0 37 3 6 9 98
Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence 0 0 1 45 5 9 11 49
Evaluating predictive densities of U.S. output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set 0 0 0 21 6 8 11 109
Exchange Rate Predictability 0 1 3 202 7 16 29 375
Exchange Rate Predictability 0 1 3 109 20 28 34 259
Exchange rate predictability 0 1 4 261 8 19 42 1,020
Expectations Hypotheses Tests and Predictive Regressions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 99 6 7 8 202
Forecast Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 3 5 210 10 20 30 589
Forecast Optimality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities 0 0 0 77 6 12 12 158
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 0 1 21 5 6 15 78
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 0 1 29 6 11 20 83
Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to Federal Reserve and survey forecasts 0 0 0 71 1 3 12 128
Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models 0 0 3 26 7 11 16 90
Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models 0 0 1 65 3 5 16 131
Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 0 0 1 49 53 58 65 187
Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 0 0 1 48 3 7 13 104
Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them 0 0 1 65 50 57 66 183
From Fixed-Event to Fixed-Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-Horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts 0 0 0 18 5 7 10 79
From Fixed-event to Fixed-horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Foreca 0 0 1 9 1 7 12 44
From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts 0 0 1 24 4 8 16 49
From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts 0 0 1 30 9 12 16 73
Has Economic Modelsí Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When? 0 0 0 62 3 5 5 210
Has Models' Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed over Time, and When? 0 0 0 29 3 6 7 135
Has modelsí forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when? 0 0 0 54 3 3 7 238
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 0 2 31 2 5 7 59
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 0 2 106 2 4 9 207
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 1 1 40 32 91 98 151
Has the Phillips Curve Flattened? 0 0 4 11 3 6 18 30
Has the Phillips curve flattened? 5 10 21 51 22 44 94 167
Has the information channel of monetary policy disappeared? Revisiting the empirical evidence 0 0 0 48 12 19 22 106
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 0 92 7 7 9 328
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 2 48 2 7 14 102
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 0 54 2 3 5 92
Heterogeneous consumers and fiscal policy shocks 0 0 1 27 0 3 9 101
How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Outpot Growth? 0 0 0 166 5 7 7 394
INFORMATION CRITERIA FOR IMPULSE RESPONSE FUNCTION MATCHING ESTIMATION OF DSGE MODELS 0 0 0 17 2 4 4 149
Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Data: How to Do It and What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 113 2 6 15 294
Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: How to Do It And What Have We Learned? 0 0 1 40 3 6 8 72
Identifying and estimating the effects of unconventional monetary policy in the data: How to do It and what have we learned? 0 1 1 112 3 5 9 155
Identifying the Sources of Model Misspecification 0 0 0 57 2 6 11 173
Identifying the Sources of Model Misspecification 0 0 0 60 1 2 5 108
Identifying the sources of model misspecification 0 0 0 20 2 4 8 95
Impulse Response Confidence Intervals for Persistent Data: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 85 3 4 5 430
In-sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 0 0 0 41 4 6 9 87
In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models 0 0 1 61 5 8 13 142
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation 0 0 0 0 9 13 14 73
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 1 3 461 7 10 26 1,635
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 0 1 102 6 10 17 486
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 0 0 34 3 4 4 178
Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models 0 0 0 107 0 0 3 393
Local Projections in Unstable Environments: How Effective is Fiscal Policy? 2 3 14 107 4 10 28 183
Local projections in unstable environments: How effective is fiscal policy? 0 0 0 0 9 12 17 26
Long-Run Trends in Long-Maturity Real Rates 1311-2021 0 0 2 67 3 10 21 135
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices for the Euro Area and Individual Member Countries 0 1 2 106 7 8 12 209
Macroeconomic uncertainty indices based on nowcast and forecast error distributions 0 0 6 96 3 4 18 233
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 37 1 1 1 121
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 14 7 7 9 98
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 3 6 6 8 42
Model Selection in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 0 2 4 6 49
Model comparisons in unstable environments 0 0 0 64 9 11 67 139
Model comparisons in unstable environments 0 0 0 6 4 8 9 51
Model comparisons in unstable environments 0 0 0 0 1 4 4 4
Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises 0 0 0 143 5 6 7 408
Optimal Tests for Nested Model Selection with Underlying Parameter Instability 0 0 0 146 4 9 11 836
Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to Window Size Choice 0 0 0 114 1 5 8 229
Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size 0 0 0 47 11 31 32 202
Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size 0 1 4 113 6 8 23 149
Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size 0 0 0 203 3 7 12 592
Predicting Agri-Commodity Prices: an Asset Pricing Approach 0 0 1 130 1 5 8 376
Recursive Predictability Tests for Real-Time Data 0 0 0 110 2 3 3 462
Rethinking Short-Term Real Interest Rates and Term Spreads Using Very Long-Run Data 1 2 8 30 3 6 28 56
Rolling Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters 2 2 3 274 6 18 35 715
Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters 0 0 2 122 12 16 42 234
Small Sample Confidence Intervals for Multivariate Impulse Response Functions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 124 3 5 7 588
Small Sample Confidence Intervals for Multivariate Impulse Response Functions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 77 3 6 9 348
Small sample confidence intervals for multivariate impulse response functions at long horizons 0 0 0 66 1 2 3 435
Testing Long-horizon Predictive Ability with High Persistence, and the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle 0 0 0 207 3 5 6 674
Testing for Weak Identification in Possibly Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 39 1 4 4 123
Tests for the validity of portfolio or group choice in financial and panel regressions 0 0 0 15 5 5 6 47
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 0 1 44 6 9 17 101
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 0 0 91 2 7 8 195
The changing relationship between commodity prices and equity prices in commodity exporting 0 0 1 53 5 6 13 159
The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates 0 0 1 72 5 13 18 93
Understanding Models' Forecasting Performance 0 0 0 44 1 2 4 191
Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 1 116 6 13 19 373
Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 0 27 2 6 10 95
Understanding the sources of macroeconomic uncertainty 0 0 1 60 2 6 12 162
VAR-Based Granger-Causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities 0 1 3 56 4 8 14 201
VAR-based Granger-causality test in the presence of instabilities 0 0 1 80 6 8 13 179
Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 21 7 10 11 56
What is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining US Macroeconomic Fluctuations? 0 0 0 126 2 3 5 257
Which Structural Parameters Are "Structural"? Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in Economic Models 0 0 1 185 4 6 9 450
Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters 1 1 2 60 7 12 16 113
Total Working Papers 16 38 148 12,120 767 1,322 2,093 35,401


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Review of Economic Forecasting 0 0 1 18 5 5 6 33
A new approach to measuring economic policy shocks, with an application to conventional and unconventional monetary policy 0 0 8 22 5 12 33 82
ARE EXCHANGE RATES REALLY RANDOM WALKS? SOME EVIDENCE ROBUST TO PARAMETER INSTABILITY 0 0 1 165 4 9 10 423
Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities 0 0 3 55 6 7 18 183
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 2 14 653 16 21 67 1,757
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? An empirical analysis of the relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates 1 1 4 218 6 6 15 596
Comment 0 0 0 2 1 3 6 19
Comment 0 0 0 4 4 5 5 42
Comment 0 0 0 7 20 37 38 76
Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 31 2 2 4 90
Confidence Intervals for Bias and Size Distortion in IV and Local Projections-IV Models 0 0 1 12 2 3 7 42
Confidence Intervals for Half-Life Deviations From Purchasing Power Parity 0 1 1 77 31 44 47 306
DO TECHNOLOGY SHOCKS DRIVE HOURS UP OR DOWN? A LITTLE EVIDENCE FROM AN AGNOSTIC PROCEDURE 0 0 0 39 9 11 12 181
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns 0 0 1 128 5 14 26 431
Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence 0 0 3 7 5 8 17 28
Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set 0 0 1 30 3 11 14 107
Exchange Rate Predictability 1 1 11 325 6 17 39 855
Expectations hypotheses tests at Long Horizons 0 0 0 26 8 10 12 209
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, with Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 0 2 31 67 107 118 205
Forecast comparisons in unstable environments 1 5 19 234 8 21 57 666
Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models 0 0 1 20 6 12 15 116
Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 0 1 2 38 6 13 21 113
From Fixed‐Event to Fixed‐Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multihorizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts 0 0 0 0 5 12 19 19
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 1 1 4 17 4 5 15 60
Have economic models' forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when? 0 0 2 73 2 2 8 218
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 0 33 1 2 12 132
How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Output Growth?* 1 1 1 120 9 11 19 334
Identifying and estimating the effects of unconventional monetary policy: How to do it and what have we learned? 0 0 2 8 3 4 8 35
Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in Macroeconomic Fluctuations 0 0 2 88 3 5 15 280
Identifying the sources of model misspecification 1 1 2 42 7 12 19 181
Implementing tests for forecast evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 24 5 7 8 95
Impulse response confidence intervals for persistent data: What have we learned? 0 0 1 66 5 7 11 227
In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 0 1 3 14 6 8 16 68
Local projections in unstable environments 2 4 13 14 10 20 44 46
Long-Run Trends in Long-Maturity Real Rates, 1311–2022 1 4 10 26 16 29 55 105
MODEL COMPARISONS IN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENTS 0 0 0 4 3 5 6 25
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices Based on Nowcast and Forecast Error Distributions 0 0 2 97 3 4 17 418
Macroeconomic uncertainty indices for the Euro Area and its individual member countries 2 2 5 89 5 11 28 255
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 0 31 9 10 14 142
Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises 0 0 0 0 3 6 7 13
Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises 0 0 0 98 4 5 6 272
OPTIMAL TESTS FOR NESTED MODEL SELECTION WITH UNDERLYING PARAMETER INSTABILITY 0 0 1 53 5 8 10 180
Parameter path estimation in unstable environments: The tvpreg command 0 1 9 9 4 9 24 24
Recursive Predictability Tests for Real-Time Data 0 0 1 51 5 8 10 175
Rejoinder: In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 0 0 1 5 3 3 5 29
Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters 1 3 8 112 8 20 46 452
Small-sample confidence intervals for multivariate impulse response functions at long horizons 0 0 0 74 4 6 9 391
Small‐sample confidence intervals for multivariate impulse response functions at long horizons 0 0 0 1 3 6 9 15
TESTING LONG-HORIZON PREDICTIVE ABILITY WITH HIGH PERSISTENCE, AND THE MEESE-ROGOFF PUZZLE 0 0 0 101 2 4 5 350
Testing for weak identification in possibly nonlinear models 0 0 0 56 2 4 5 206
The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates 0 0 5 120 5 10 37 456
Uncertainty and deviations from uncovered interest rate parity 3 6 12 88 4 11 29 323
Understanding models' forecasting performance 0 0 0 86 5 7 9 300
Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities 0 1 3 35 3 11 14 101
What Is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining U.S. Macroeconomic Fluctuations? 0 0 4 136 7 7 17 512
What Is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining U.S. Macroeconomic Fluctuations? 0 0 0 8 2 8 16 40
Total Journal Articles 15 36 164 3,921 390 665 1,159 13,039


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Advances in Forecasting under Instability 0 0 3 102 16 32 49 415
Comment on "Exchange Rate Models Are Not As Bad As You Think" 0 0 1 9 5 7 10 130
Comment on "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis" 0 0 1 9 3 5 9 43
Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-Of-Sample than VAR Models?☆The views expressed in this article are those of the authors 0 2 4 5 4 9 13 19
Forecasting in macroeconomics 0 0 7 82 6 11 29 202
Markov Switching Rationality 0 2 3 4 1 5 10 21
Recent developments in forecast evaluation 1 6 29 33 4 12 43 50
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 0 0 0 8 12 14 50
Total Chapters 1 10 48 244 47 93 177 930


Software Item File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
FOREC_INSTAB: Stata module to perform forecast comparison and forecast rationality tests 0 2 28 477 3 10 84 1,135
GCROBUSTVAR: Stata module to compute a VAR-based Granger-causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities 0 0 7 125 4 7 32 444
TVPREG: Stata module to perform parameter path estimation in unstable environments 3 12 59 71 29 52 190 257
Total Software Items 3 14 94 673 36 69 306 1,836


Statistics updated 2026-02-12