Access Statistics for Barbara Rossi

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A New Approach to Measuring Economic Policy Shocks, with an Application to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy 0 1 2 117 1 6 12 230
A new approach to measuring economic policy shocks, with an application to conventional and unconventional monetary policy 0 0 1 114 27 33 38 363
Advances in Forecasting Under Instability 1 1 2 212 1 2 8 355
Alternative Tests for Correct Specification of Conditional Predictive Densities 0 0 0 117 1 1 2 82
Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities 0 0 0 25 3 4 5 152
Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability 0 1 4 350 0 2 12 740
Are Exchange Rates Really Random Walks? Some Evidence Robust to Parameter Instability 0 0 1 759 3 5 8 2,277
CAN EXCHANGE RATES FORECAST COMMODITY PRICES? 0 0 1 658 0 0 1 1,539
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 1 313 0 1 4 886
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 2 43 1 2 9 230
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 0 61 1 1 4 274
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 1 205 1 2 8 620
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 0 0 0 20 0 0 1 96
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 0 180 1 1 5 211
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 1 1 215 0 1 4 568
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 2 161 2 2 9 357
Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates? 0 0 1 119 1 1 2 264
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? 0 0 1 109 0 0 3 367
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? 0 0 0 86 2 2 3 158
Comparing Forecast Performance with State Dependence 0 0 0 19 0 0 2 28
Conditional Predictive Density Evaluation in the Presence of Instabilities 0 0 0 32 0 0 1 78
Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 100
Confidence Intervals for Bias and Size Distortion in IV and Local Projections–IV Models 0 0 2 6 0 0 3 29
Confidence Intervals for Half-life Deviations from Purchasing Power Parity 0 0 0 170 0 0 3 600
Confidence intervals for bias and size distortion in IV and local projections — IV models 0 0 0 49 0 1 4 102
Confidence intervals for bias and size distortion in IV and local projections–IV models 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 38
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns 0 0 0 195 0 0 3 549
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns* 0 0 0 84 2 2 2 291
Detecting and predicting forecast breakdowns 0 0 1 103 0 0 2 415
Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models? 0 0 3 232 1 3 13 873
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? 0 0 0 44 0 0 0 220
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? A Little Evidence From an Agnostic Procedure 0 0 0 54 0 0 1 270
Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? A Little Evidence from an Agnostic Procedure 0 0 0 36 1 1 1 225
Euro Area Monetary Policy Effects. Does the Shape of the Yield Curve Matter? 0 0 4 56 0 2 17 112
Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence 0 0 1 4 1 1 5 9
Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set 0 0 0 37 0 0 2 91
Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence 0 0 1 45 0 0 3 40
Evaluating predictive densities of U.S. output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set 0 0 0 21 1 3 3 101
Exchange Rate Predictability 1 1 6 201 2 3 19 355
Exchange Rate Predictability 0 0 3 108 1 2 8 230
Exchange rate predictability 0 0 7 260 1 5 31 1,000
Expectations Hypotheses Tests and Predictive Regressions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 99 0 1 1 195
Forecast Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 1 3 206 1 2 6 561
Forecast Optimality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities 0 0 0 77 0 0 1 146
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 0 2 21 0 0 7 67
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 1 1 29 1 2 5 68
Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to Federal Reserve and survey forecasts 0 0 0 71 3 4 6 122
Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models 0 1 2 25 1 2 4 78
Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models 0 0 1 65 3 4 5 120
Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 0 0 2 48 0 2 11 127
Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 0 1 1 48 0 2 5 96
Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them 1 1 1 65 2 4 14 125
From Fixed-Event to Fixed-Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-Horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts 0 0 0 18 0 0 5 71
From Fixed-event to Fixed-horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Foreca 0 0 2 8 0 0 7 35
From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts 0 0 1 24 1 2 5 37
From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts 0 0 1 30 0 0 5 60
Has Economic Modelsí Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When? 0 0 0 62 0 0 0 205
Has Models' Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed over Time, and When? 0 0 0 29 0 1 2 129
Has modelsí forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when? 0 0 0 54 1 1 2 232
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 2 2 31 0 2 2 54
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 0 0 39 2 2 5 57
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 1 2 106 0 2 4 201
Has the Phillips Curve Flattened? 0 1 11 11 0 2 22 22
Has the Phillips curve flattened? 1 4 20 40 6 17 67 114
Has the information channel of monetary policy disappeared? Revisiting the empirical evidence 0 0 0 48 0 0 2 85
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 1 92 0 0 2 320
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 0 54 0 0 3 89
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 2 47 1 2 8 94
Heterogeneous consumers and fiscal policy shocks 0 0 2 27 0 1 5 95
How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Outpot Growth? 0 0 0 166 0 0 0 387
INFORMATION CRITERIA FOR IMPULSE RESPONSE FUNCTION MATCHING ESTIMATION OF DSGE MODELS 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 145
Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Data: How to Do It and What Have We Learned? 0 0 1 113 0 4 7 284
Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: How to Do It And What Have We Learned? 0 0 1 40 0 0 3 66
Identifying and estimating the effects of unconventional monetary policy in the data: How to do It and what have we learned? 0 0 1 111 0 0 6 149
Identifying the Sources of Model Misspecification 0 0 0 60 0 0 1 104
Identifying the Sources of Model Misspecification 0 0 0 57 1 1 3 164
Identifying the sources of model misspecification 0 0 0 20 1 1 3 89
Impulse Response Confidence Intervals for Persistent Data: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 85 0 0 0 425
In-sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 0 0 0 41 0 0 4 79
In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models 0 0 1 61 2 3 6 134
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 60
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 0 0 34 0 0 0 174
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 0 2 459 1 4 23 1,623
Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models 0 0 1 102 2 2 5 474
Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models 0 0 0 107 0 1 1 391
Local Projections in Unstable Environments: How Effective is Fiscal Policy? 1 2 16 102 2 5 29 170
Local projections in unstable environments: How effective is fiscal policy? 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 12
Long-Run Trends in Long-Maturity Real Rates 1311-2021 0 1 2 66 1 3 14 120
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices for the Euro Area and Individual Member Countries 0 0 1 105 0 0 5 201
Macroeconomic uncertainty indices based on nowcast and forecast error distributions 0 1 4 94 0 2 9 222
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 37 0 0 1 120
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 35
Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 14 1 1 2 90
Model Selection in Unstable Environments 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 44
Model comparisons in unstable environments 0 0 0 64 47 50 50 122
Model comparisons in unstable environments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Model comparisons in unstable environments 0 0 0 6 0 0 2 43
Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises 0 0 0 143 0 1 1 402
Optimal Tests for Nested Model Selection with Underlying Parameter Instability 0 0 0 146 0 0 2 827
Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to Window Size Choice 0 0 0 114 0 0 3 223
Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size 0 0 0 47 0 0 6 171
Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size 0 0 0 203 1 3 4 583
Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size 0 1 3 111 3 5 12 134
Predicting Agri-Commodity Prices: an Asset Pricing Approach 0 0 1 129 0 1 4 369
Recursive Predictability Tests for Real-Time Data 0 0 0 110 0 0 1 459
Rethinking Short-Term Real Interest Rates and Term Spreads Using Very Long-Run Data 1 3 27 27 3 5 46 46
Rolling Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters 0 0 1 271 1 7 15 688
Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters 0 1 2 122 19 20 26 214
Small Sample Confidence Intervals for Multivariate Impulse Response Functions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 581
Small Sample Confidence Intervals for Multivariate Impulse Response Functions at Long Horizons 0 0 0 77 0 2 2 341
Small sample confidence intervals for multivariate impulse response functions at long horizons 0 0 0 66 0 0 1 433
Testing Long-horizon Predictive Ability with High Persistence, and the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle 0 0 0 207 0 0 2 669
Testing for Weak Identification in Possibly Nonlinear Models 0 0 0 39 0 0 0 119
Tests for the validity of portfolio or group choice in financial and panel regressions 0 0 0 15 0 0 1 42
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 0 1 43 0 0 6 88
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 0 0 91 0 0 1 188
The changing relationship between commodity prices and equity prices in commodity exporting 0 1 1 53 2 4 5 150
The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates 0 0 1 72 1 1 3 77
Understanding Models' Forecasting Performance 0 0 0 44 2 2 2 189
Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 1 116 0 1 9 358
Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 0 27 1 1 2 87
Understanding the sources of macroeconomic uncertainty 0 0 0 59 1 3 5 154
VAR-Based Granger-Causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities 0 1 3 55 0 2 10 193
VAR-based Granger-causality test in the presence of instabilities 0 0 2 80 0 1 7 170
Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities 0 0 2 21 0 0 4 45
What is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining US Macroeconomic Fluctuations? 0 0 0 126 1 1 3 253
Which Structural Parameters Are "Structural"? Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in Economic Models 0 0 2 185 0 0 3 443
Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters 0 0 2 59 1 2 5 101
Total Working Papers 6 29 184 12,061 171 283 853 33,854


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Review of Economic Forecasting 0 0 2 18 0 0 2 28
A new approach to measuring economic policy shocks, with an application to conventional and unconventional monetary policy 1 2 6 19 2 4 21 63
ARE EXCHANGE RATES REALLY RANDOM WALKS? SOME EVIDENCE ROBUST TO PARAMETER INSTABILITY 0 0 2 165 0 0 3 414
Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities 0 1 5 55 0 2 11 172
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? 1 5 16 650 4 19 56 1,731
Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? An empirical analysis of the relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates 0 0 4 216 2 3 13 587
Comment 0 0 0 7 1 1 1 39
Comment 0 0 0 2 0 1 3 16
Comment 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 37
Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 31 0 2 3 88
Confidence Intervals for Bias and Size Distortion in IV and Local Projections-IV Models 0 0 1 11 3 3 4 38
Confidence Intervals for Half-Life Deviations From Purchasing Power Parity 0 0 0 76 0 1 2 260
DO TECHNOLOGY SHOCKS DRIVE HOURS UP OR DOWN? A LITTLE EVIDENCE FROM AN AGNOSTIC PROCEDURE 0 0 0 39 0 0 2 169
Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns 1 1 2 128 1 5 13 415
Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence 0 1 3 6 0 3 12 17
Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set 0 0 2 30 0 0 6 95
Exchange Rate Predictability 2 2 9 322 4 6 35 834
Expectations hypotheses tests at Long Horizons 0 0 0 26 0 1 4 198
Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, with Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts 0 0 2 31 0 1 8 91
Forecast comparisons in unstable environments 2 4 16 225 5 11 43 634
Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models 0 0 2 19 0 0 3 102
Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 1 1 2 37 3 5 9 98
From Fixed‐Event to Fixed‐Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multihorizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 6
Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence 0 1 7 16 1 3 17 53
Have economic models' forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when? 0 1 3 73 1 3 9 215
Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks 0 0 2 33 0 2 15 127
How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Output Growth?* 0 0 0 119 0 6 8 323
Identifying and estimating the effects of unconventional monetary policy: How to do it and what have we learned? 0 1 1 7 1 3 4 30
Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in Macroeconomic Fluctuations 0 0 2 88 3 7 11 275
Identifying the sources of model misspecification 0 1 5 41 2 4 11 167
Implementing tests for forecast evaluation in the presence of instabilities 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 87
Impulse response confidence intervals for persistent data: What have we learned? 0 0 0 65 0 2 2 218
In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 1 1 3 13 2 3 7 57
Local projections in unstable environments 0 4 8 8 3 9 21 21
Long-Run Trends in Long-Maturity Real Rates, 1311–2022 2 4 14 20 2 11 50 69
MODEL COMPARISONS IN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENTS 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 19
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices Based on Nowcast and Forecast Error Distributions 0 0 2 97 3 4 12 409
Macroeconomic uncertainty indices for the Euro Area and its individual member countries 0 1 4 87 2 5 16 239
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 0 31 0 2 4 132
Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises 0 0 0 98 0 0 2 267
Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6
OPTIMAL TESTS FOR NESTED MODEL SELECTION WITH UNDERLYING PARAMETER INSTABILITY 0 0 1 53 0 0 2 171
Parameter path estimation in unstable environments: The tvpreg command 1 5 5 5 4 11 11 11
Recursive Predictability Tests for Real-Time Data 0 0 0 50 0 0 1 166
Rejoinder: In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models 0 0 1 5 0 1 3 26
Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters 1 2 5 109 3 8 28 425
Small-sample confidence intervals for multivariate impulse response functions at long horizons 0 0 0 74 0 1 4 385
Small‐sample confidence intervals for multivariate impulse response functions at long horizons 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 8
TESTING LONG-HORIZON PREDICTIVE ABILITY WITH HIGH PERSISTENCE, AND THE MEESE-ROGOFF PUZZLE 0 0 0 101 0 0 2 346
Testing for weak identification in possibly nonlinear models 0 0 0 56 0 0 2 202
The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates 2 2 16 119 2 11 42 440
Uncertainty and deviations from uncovered interest rate parity 1 3 6 81 5 8 20 308
Understanding models' forecasting performance 0 0 1 86 0 1 3 292
Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities 0 1 3 34 0 2 7 90
What Is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining U.S. Macroeconomic Fluctuations? 0 0 0 8 2 5 7 29
What Is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining U.S. Macroeconomic Fluctuations? 0 1 3 135 1 2 10 504
Total Journal Articles 16 45 166 3,858 63 183 597 12,249


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Advances in Forecasting under Instability 1 1 3 101 4 9 17 380
Comment on "Exchange Rate Models Are Not As Bad As You Think" 0 1 1 9 0 2 2 122
Comment on "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis" 0 1 1 9 0 3 4 38
Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-Of-Sample than VAR Models?☆The views expressed in this article are those of the authors 0 0 2 3 0 0 4 9
Forecasting in macroeconomics 3 5 11 82 6 8 27 190
Markov Switching Rationality 1 1 1 2 1 3 7 16
Recent developments in forecast evaluation 1 7 18 18 2 11 27 27
The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 37
Total Chapters 6 16 37 224 13 36 91 819


Software Item File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
FOREC_INSTAB: Stata module to perform forecast comparison and forecast rationality tests 2 9 44 469 8 21 96 1,100
GCROBUSTVAR: Stata module to compute a VAR-based Granger-causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities 0 1 15 124 1 8 40 432
TVPREG: Stata module to perform parameter path estimation in unstable environments 3 17 55 55 10 37 173 173
Total Software Items 5 27 114 648 19 66 309 1,705


Statistics updated 2025-09-05