Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
A Case for Incomplete Markets |
0 |
1 |
3 |
134 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
353 |
A Dynamic Index Model for Large Cross Sections |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
137 |
A Framework for Studying the Monetary and Fiscal History of Latin America, 1960–2017 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
164 |
1 |
4 |
33 |
255 |
A History of U.S. Debt Limits |
1 |
1 |
2 |
98 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
157 |
A Life Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
264 |
A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences |
0 |
0 |
1 |
118 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
100 |
A defence of the FOMC |
0 |
0 |
2 |
213 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
561 |
A defence of the FOMC |
0 |
0 |
1 |
53 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
324 |
A dynamic index model for large cross sections |
0 |
0 |
1 |
269 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
1,263 |
A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
150 |
A model of commodity money |
0 |
0 |
1 |
417 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
1,425 |
A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
524 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1,668 |
A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure |
0 |
0 |
0 |
293 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
613 |
A p Theory of Taxes and Debt Management |
0 |
0 |
3 |
70 |
2 |
3 |
21 |
128 |
A, B, C's (and D)'s for Understanding VARs |
0 |
2 |
6 |
455 |
1 |
5 |
15 |
1,158 |
A, B, C’s (And D’s) For Understanding VARS |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1,081 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
2,499 |
A, B, C’s, (and D’s) for understanding VARs |
0 |
1 |
3 |
242 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
645 |
A,B,C's (and D's)'s for Understanding VARS |
0 |
1 |
1 |
267 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
603 |
A,B,C's (and D's)'s for Understanding VARS |
0 |
0 |
1 |
736 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
1,171 |
Aggregation over time and the inverse optimal predictor problem for adaptive expectations in continuous time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
392 |
Anticipated Utility and Rational Expectations as Approximations of Bayesian Decision Making |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
34 |
Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
244 |
Bayesian fan charts for UK inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system |
1 |
2 |
5 |
650 |
2 |
3 |
11 |
2,095 |
Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
277 |
Beyond demand and supply curves in macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
2 |
419 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
2,009 |
Business cycle modeling without pretending to have too much a priori economic theory |
5 |
8 |
23 |
1,719 |
12 |
23 |
98 |
3,893 |
Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, and Social Security |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
194 |
Convergence of Least Squares Learning in Environments With Private Information |
0 |
0 |
0 |
154 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
269 |
Costs of Financing US Federal Debt: 1791-1933 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
25 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
23 |
Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections |
1 |
3 |
7 |
76 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
113 |
Do Taxes Explain European Employment? Indivisible Labour, Human Capital, Lotteries and Savings |
0 |
1 |
1 |
199 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
573 |
Drifts and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII US |
1 |
2 |
3 |
270 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
1,056 |
Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII U.S |
0 |
0 |
3 |
606 |
1 |
4 |
14 |
1,442 |
Dynamic Programming: Finite States |
0 |
2 |
11 |
21 |
3 |
10 |
32 |
49 |
Dynamic analysis of a Keynesian model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
130 |
Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations: a note |
1 |
1 |
1 |
29 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
118 |
Economic Networks: Theory and Computation |
0 |
0 |
5 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
23 |
110 |
Economic and VAR Shocks: What Can Go Wrong? |
0 |
0 |
2 |
288 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
578 |
Escaping Nash inflation |
0 |
1 |
3 |
385 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
924 |
Estimation of dynamic labor demand schedules under rational expectations |
0 |
0 |
3 |
427 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1,450 |
European Unemployment and Turbulence Revisited in a Matching Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
170 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
458 |
Evolution and Intelligent Design |
0 |
0 |
0 |
323 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
642 |
Evolving Post-World War II U.S. Inflation Dynamics |
0 |
2 |
3 |
800 |
1 |
6 |
14 |
4,644 |
Exact linear rational expectations models: specification and estimation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
455 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
993 |
Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
139 |
Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
157 |
Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars |
0 |
0 |
1 |
220 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
424 |
Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets |
0 |
1 |
4 |
97 |
0 |
5 |
10 |
216 |
Flat rate taxes with adjustment costs and several capital stocks and household types |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
386 |
Formulating and estimating continuous time rational expectations models |
0 |
1 |
2 |
295 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
791 |
Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
694 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
1,408 |
Funding the Great War and the beginning of the end for British hegemony |
0 |
0 |
1 |
113 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
133 |
Government debt and taxes |
0 |
0 |
4 |
149 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
333 |
Identification and estimation of a model of hyperinflation with a continuum of \"sunspot\" equilibrium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
229 |
Identification of continuous time rational expectations models from discrete time data |
0 |
0 |
1 |
141 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
420 |
Impacts of priors on convergence and escapes from Nash inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
244 |
Implementing a Ramsey Plan |
0 |
0 |
10 |
10 |
2 |
2 |
20 |
20 |
Indivisible Labor and Its Supply Elasticity: Do Taxes Explain European Employment? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
137 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
345 |
Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary-Fiscal Policy |
0 |
1 |
2 |
68 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
147 |
Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary-Fiscal Policy |
0 |
1 |
2 |
120 |
2 |
5 |
13 |
330 |
Inflation-Gap Persistence in the U.S |
0 |
1 |
2 |
565 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
1,644 |
Instability, Misallocation and Productivity |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
239 |
Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
210 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
514 |
Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII U.S. Government Debt/GDP Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
316 |
2 |
3 |
11 |
891 |
Interest rate risk and other determinants of post WWII U.S. government debt/GDP dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
111 |
Interest rate risk and other determinants of post WWII U.S. government debt/GDP dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
152 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
383 |
Interest rates and prices in the long run: a study of the Gibson paradox |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
266 |
Interpreting economic time series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
258 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
801 |
Interview with the 2011 Laureates in Economic Sciences Thomas J. Sargent and Christopher A. Sims |
0 |
1 |
2 |
254 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
718 |
Is Keynesian economics a dead end? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
194 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
678 |
Israel 1983: A Bout of Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
316 |
Jobs and Unemployment in Macroeconomic Theory: A Turbulence Laboratory |
1 |
1 |
4 |
279 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
1,264 |
Linear rational expectations models for dynamically interrelated variables |
1 |
2 |
7 |
255 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
701 |
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Prices when Beliefs are Tenuous |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
200 |
Managing Public Portfolios |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
2 |
4 |
19 |
55 |
Managing expectations and fiscal policy |
0 |
1 |
2 |
301 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
576 |
Measuring Price-Level Uncertainty and Instability in the U.S., 1850-2012 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
29 |
Mechanics of forming and estimating dynamic linear economies |
1 |
1 |
1 |
489 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
1,246 |
Methods for estimating continuous time Rational Expectations models from discrete time data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
202 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
686 |
Monetary and fiscal policy in a two-sector aggregative model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
480 |
Monetary policies and low-frequency manifestations of the quantity theory |
0 |
0 |
2 |
324 |
4 |
4 |
7 |
565 |
Naive business cycle theory |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
220 |
Observations on improper methods of simulating and teaching Friedman's time series consumption model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
189 |
On the Preservation of Deterministic Cycles when some Agents Perceive them to be Random Fluctuations (Now published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol.17 (1993), pp.705-721.) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
155 |
On the mechanics of forming and estimating dynamic linear economies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
355 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
990 |
Online Appendix to "Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence" |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
Optimal Fiscal-Monetary Policy with Redistribution |
0 |
0 |
4 |
134 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
265 |
Optimal Taxation with Incomplete Markets |
0 |
1 |
2 |
103 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
177 |
Optimal taxation without state-contingent debt |
0 |
0 |
1 |
709 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
2,235 |
Politics and Efficiency of Separating Capital and Ordinary Government Budgets |
0 |
0 |
1 |
165 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
539 |
Politics and Efficiency of Separating Capital and Ordinary Government Budgets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
458 |
Politics and efficiency of separating capital and ordinary Government budgets |
0 |
0 |
1 |
126 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
410 |
Projected U.S. demographics and social security |
0 |
0 |
1 |
372 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
1,603 |
Quit Turbulence and Unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
60 |
Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy |
0 |
3 |
6 |
878 |
0 |
5 |
25 |
2,147 |
Rational expectations models and the aliasing phenomenon |
0 |
0 |
0 |
110 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
490 |
Rational expectations, econometric exogeneity and consumption |
0 |
0 |
0 |
291 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
620 |
Recursive Linear Models of Dynamic Economies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
552 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1,526 |
Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
438 |
Returns to Labor Mobility |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
Returns to Labor Mobility: Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
Returns to labor mobility. Layoff costs and quit turbulence |
0 |
2 |
2 |
22 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
42 |
Robust Permanent Income and Pricing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
131 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
504 |
Robust Permanent Income and Pricing |
0 |
0 |
2 |
340 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
944 |
Robustness and US Monetary |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
118 |
Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
140 |
Sets of Models and Prices of Uncertainty |
1 |
1 |
1 |
124 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
273 |
Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
227 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
950 |
Shocks and government beliefs: the rise and fall of American inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
128 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
580 |
Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address |
0 |
0 |
1 |
88 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
120 |
Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy |
1 |
1 |
2 |
62 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
138 |
Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy |
1 |
2 |
2 |
48 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
109 |
Speed of convergence of recursive least squares learning with ARMA perceptions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
242 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
995 |
Stochastic Earnings Growth and Equilibrium Wealth Distributions |
0 |
0 |
2 |
52 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
91 |
Stopping moderate inflations: the methods of Poincaré and Thatcher |
0 |
0 |
9 |
495 |
0 |
2 |
20 |
913 |
Straight Time and Overtime in Equilibrium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
268 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
816 |
Sustaining a Time-Consistent Ramsey Plan with Options |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
222 |
Taxes, Benefits, and Careers: Complete Versus Incomplete Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
288 |
Taxes, Debts, and Redistributions with Aggregate Shocks |
0 |
1 |
2 |
138 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
274 |
Testing for neutrality and rationality |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
108 |
The Case for Incomplete Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
104 |
The Conquest of South American Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
180 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
824 |
The European Employment Experience |
0 |
0 |
0 |
248 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
914 |
The European Unemployment Dilemma |
0 |
0 |
1 |
137 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
561 |
The European Unemployment Dilemma |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
1,549 |
The European Unemployment Dilemma |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,061 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
6,179 |
The European Unemployment Experience: Theoretical Robustness |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
192 |
The European unemployment dilemma |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
876 |
The Fundamental Surplus Strikes Again |
0 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
26 |
The Fundamental Surplus in Matching Models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
126 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
191 |
The Market Price of Risk and the Equity Premium |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
66 |
The Optimal Maturity of Government Debt |
1 |
1 |
13 |
103 |
4 |
6 |
37 |
322 |
The big problem of small change |
0 |
1 |
3 |
442 |
1 |
4 |
14 |
1,270 |
The conquest of South American inflation |
0 |
0 |
2 |
120 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
437 |
The conquest of U.S. inflation: learning and robustness to model uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
394 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
914 |
The demand for money during hyperinflations under rational expectations: II |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
322 |
The dimensionality of the aliasing problem in models with rational spectral densities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
315 |
The ends of four big inflations |
2 |
3 |
14 |
1,185 |
7 |
11 |
37 |
2,609 |
The evolution of small change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
239 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
641 |
The observational equivalence of natural and unnatural rate theories of macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
102 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
331 |
The real bills doctrine vs. the quantity theory: a reconsideration |
0 |
0 |
0 |
406 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
1,336 |
Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber |
0 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
22 |
Turbulence and Unemployment in Matching Models |
0 |
0 |
3 |
30 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
44 |
Turbulence and Unemployment in Matching Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
35 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
115 |
Turbulence and Unemployment in Matching Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
33 |
Turbulence and unemployment in matching models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
58 |
US Federal Debt 1776 -1960: Quantities and Prices |
0 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
41 |
US Federal Debt 1776-1960: Quantities and Prices |
2 |
9 |
36 |
275 |
3 |
19 |
87 |
564 |
Unemployment and stabilization policy in a two-sector, two-country aggregative model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
135 |
United States Then, Europe Now |
0 |
0 |
1 |
113 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
235 |
Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
44 |
Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs |
0 |
0 |
1 |
89 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
243 |
Welfare Cost of Business Cycles in Economies with Individual Consumption Risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
55 |
Welfare cost of business cycles in economies with individual consumption risk |
0 |
1 |
1 |
170 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
269 |
\"Dollarization,\" seignorage, and the demand for money |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
218 |
\\"Tobin's Q\\" and the rate of investment in general equilibrium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
618 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,352 |
Total Working Papers |
22 |
71 |
294 |
32,172 |
91 |
322 |
1,117 |
97,852 |
Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
"Rational Expectations": A Correction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
127 |
"Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule |
1 |
5 |
40 |
2,145 |
7 |
21 |
112 |
5,602 |
"Tobin's q" and the rate of investment in general equilibrium |
0 |
2 |
3 |
212 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
475 |
A Classical Macroeconometric Model for the United States |
0 |
0 |
0 |
487 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
1,118 |
A DEFENSE OF THE FOMC |
0 |
0 |
3 |
60 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
218 |
A Labor Supply Elasticity Accord? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
59 |
0 |
6 |
9 |
297 |
A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
386 |
A Note on the 'Accelerationist' Controversy |
2 |
4 |
8 |
378 |
3 |
7 |
16 |
992 |
A Quartet of Semigroups for Model Specification, Robustness, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection |
1 |
2 |
5 |
232 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
624 |
A case for incomplete markets |
0 |
1 |
2 |
19 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
96 |
A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
112 |
A model of commodity money |
0 |
1 |
3 |
153 |
2 |
4 |
15 |
407 |
A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
350 |
A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure |
0 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
370 |
A primer on monetary and fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
355 |
0 |
5 |
10 |
666 |
A reply to Darby |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
234 |
A supply-side explanation of European unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
158 |
ABCs (and Ds) of Understanding VARs |
0 |
2 |
7 |
997 |
0 |
3 |
21 |
2,571 |
ALTERNATIVE MONETARY POLICIES IN A TURNPIKE ECONOMY |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
214 |
ANTICIPATED UTILITY AND RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS AS APPROXIMATIONS OF BAYESIAN DECISION MAKING |
0 |
0 |
0 |
217 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
683 |
Accounting for the federal government's cost of funds |
0 |
1 |
4 |
203 |
0 |
4 |
16 |
906 |
Acknowledgement Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory |
1 |
1 |
2 |
23 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
442 |
Acknowledging Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory |
0 |
0 |
1 |
289 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
1,386 |
After Keynesian macroeconomics |
3 |
4 |
17 |
1,804 |
4 |
15 |
60 |
3,675 |
Aggregation over Time and the Inverse Optimal Predictor Problem for Adaptive Expectations in Conginuous Time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
150 |
Ambiguity in American monetary and fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
141 |
Anticipated Inflation and the Nominal Rate of Interest |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
484 |
Asset Princes and Wealth Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs - Varlýk Fiyatlarý ve Heterojen Düþünceler ile Servet Dinamikleri |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
79 |
Autoregressions, Expectations, and Advice |
0 |
0 |
1 |
141 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
331 |
Bayesian fan charts for U.K. inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system |
0 |
0 |
2 |
363 |
5 |
6 |
19 |
1,007 |
Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson and Solow and Lucas |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson and Solow and Lucas |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
287 |
Benefits from U.S. monetary policy experimentation in the days of Samuelson and Solow and Lucas |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
Beyond Demand and Supply Curves in Macroeconomics |
0 |
1 |
5 |
172 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
833 |
Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, Taxes, and Social Security |
0 |
0 |
1 |
148 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
498 |
Causality, Exogeneity, and Natural Rate Models: Reply to C. R. Nelson and B. T. McCallum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
333 |
Certainty equivalence and model uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
2 |
206 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
647 |
Coinage, debasements, and Gresham's laws |
1 |
1 |
5 |
132 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
709 |
Comment on "Stopping Inflation, Big and Small." |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
226 |
Comment on Fiscal Consequences for Mexico of Adopting the Dollar |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
348 |
Commentary on \\"Long-run risks and financial markets\\" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
126 |
Commentary: the evolution of economic understanding and postwar stabilization policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
291 |
Commodity Price Expectations and the Interest Rate |
1 |
1 |
3 |
197 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
649 |
Commodity and Token Monies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
3 |
13 |
74 |
Convergence of Least-Squares Learning in Environments with Hidden State Variables and Private Information |
0 |
1 |
2 |
286 |
4 |
6 |
10 |
805 |
Convergence of least squares learning mechanisms in self-referential linear stochastic models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
509 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
1,026 |
Costs of Financing U.S. Federal Debt Under a Gold Standard: 1791-1933* |
0 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
Critique and consequence |
0 |
1 |
6 |
19 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
56 |
Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
18 |
39 |
Diverse Beliefs, Survival and the Market Price of Risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
260 |
Diverse Beliefs, Survival and the Market Price of Risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
Doubts or variability? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
144 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
457 |
Drift and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII U.S |
6 |
9 |
30 |
2,121 |
10 |
22 |
89 |
5,230 |
Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations: A note |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
87 |
Equilibrium with signal extraction from endogenous variables |
0 |
0 |
0 |
368 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
665 |
Escaping Nash Inflation |
0 |
0 |
5 |
53 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
768 |
Estimating vector autoregressions using methods not based on explicit economic theories |
0 |
1 |
4 |
146 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
315 |
Estimation of Dynamic Labor Demand Schedules under Rational Expectations |
0 |
0 |
4 |
326 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
985 |
European Unemployment and Turbulence Revisited in a Matching Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
218 |
Evolution and Intelligent Design |
0 |
0 |
1 |
234 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
1,056 |
Expectations and the nonneutrality of Lucas |
0 |
1 |
2 |
286 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
568 |
Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets |
0 |
1 |
8 |
127 |
1 |
7 |
23 |
550 |
Fiscal discriminations in three wars |
1 |
2 |
2 |
76 |
2 |
7 |
16 |
349 |
Flat rate taxes with adjustment costs and several capital stocks and household types |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
308 |
Foreword |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
50 |
Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
439 |
0 |
4 |
11 |
1,134 |
Four types of ignorance |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
588 |
Fragile beliefs and the price of uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
1 |
44 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
154 |
Harrod 1939 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
137 |
Impacts of Priors on Convergence and Escapes from Nash Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
158 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
422 |
Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary‐Fiscal Policy |
0 |
1 |
4 |
68 |
2 |
7 |
19 |
166 |
Inflation-Gap Persistence in the US |
2 |
3 |
7 |
554 |
2 |
3 |
11 |
1,382 |
Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
222 |
Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII US Government Debt/GDP Dynamics |
1 |
2 |
16 |
474 |
2 |
8 |
55 |
1,210 |
Interest Rates and Prices in the Long Run: A Study of the Gibson Paradox |
0 |
0 |
0 |
158 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
437 |
Interest on reserves |
0 |
0 |
1 |
130 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
313 |
Interpreting Economic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
1 |
173 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
461 |
Interpreting new evidence about China and U.S. silver purchases |
0 |
1 |
3 |
156 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
507 |
Interpreting the Reagan deficits |
0 |
1 |
3 |
231 |
3 |
6 |
16 |
929 |
Introduction to model uncertainty and robustness |
0 |
1 |
1 |
135 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
307 |
Irrelevance of Open Market Operations in Some Economies with Government Currency Being Dominated in Rate of Return |
0 |
1 |
4 |
127 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
497 |
Israel 1983: A bout of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
129 |
2 |
3 |
10 |
563 |
Knowing the Forecasts of Others |
0 |
0 |
0 |
247 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
679 |
Learning from Lucas |
1 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
21 |
Les États-Unis naguère, l'Europe aujourd'hui. Conférence Nobel prononcée à Stockholm le 8 décembre 2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
36 |
Macroeconomic Features of the French Revolution |
0 |
1 |
7 |
652 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
3,094 |
Macroeconomic uncertainty prices when beliefs are tenuous |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
70 |
Managing government debt |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
Market Prices of Risk with Diverse Beliefs, Learning, and Catastrophes |
0 |
1 |
1 |
52 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
259 |
Market Transaction Costs, Asset Demand Functions, and the Relative Potency of Monetary and Fiscal Policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
86 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
531 |
Measuring Price-Level Uncertainty and Instability in the United States, 1850–2012 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
42 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
159 |
Models of business cycles: A review essay |
0 |
1 |
1 |
180 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
548 |
Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Two-Sector Aggregative Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
246 |
Money Within the General Framework of the Economic System: Discussion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
138 |
Money as a medium of exchange in an economy with artificially intelligent agents |
1 |
3 |
11 |
489 |
1 |
6 |
20 |
1,263 |
Money-Market Rates, the Discount Rate, and Borrowing from the Federal Reserve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
878 |
Nobel Lecture: United States Then, Europe Now |
0 |
0 |
1 |
373 |
1 |
3 |
13 |
1,184 |
Observations on Improper Methods of Simulating and Teaching Friedman's Time Series Consumption Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
125 |
On the preservation of deterministic cycles when some agents perceive them to be random fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
207 |
Optimal Taxation without State-Contingent Debt |
0 |
3 |
15 |
1,171 |
3 |
11 |
67 |
2,960 |
Price and investment dynamics: theory and plant level data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
81 |
Price-level uncertainty and instability in the United Kingdom |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
210 |
Projected U.S. Demographics and Social Security |
0 |
0 |
3 |
564 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
4,527 |
Public debt in economies with heterogeneous agents |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
1 |
4 |
18 |
329 |
ROBUST PERMANENT INCOME AND PRICING WITH FILTERING |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
134 |
Rational Expectations and Ambiguity (corrected) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Rational Expectations and the Dynamics of Hyperinflation |
0 |
4 |
8 |
618 |
2 |
9 |
21 |
1,437 |
Rational Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
4 |
244 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
720 |
Rational Expectations, Econometric Exogeneity, and Consumption |
0 |
0 |
2 |
201 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
514 |
Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment |
2 |
3 |
9 |
495 |
7 |
12 |
40 |
1,496 |
Rational expectations and the reconstruction of macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
151 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
301 |
Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy |
2 |
3 |
13 |
1,166 |
3 |
7 |
56 |
2,716 |
Recursive linear models of dynamic economies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
765 |
Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
155 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
420 |
Regression with Non-Gaussian Stable Disturbances: Some Sampling Results |
0 |
0 |
3 |
125 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
441 |
Response to Rodney Jacobs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
126 |
Returns to Labour Mobility |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
Risk, ambiguity, and misspecification: Decision theory, robust control, and statistics |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
Robert E. Lucas Jr.'s Collected Papers on Monetary Theory |
0 |
1 |
4 |
145 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
415 |
Robust Control and Model Uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
7 |
894 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
1,962 |
Robust Permanent Income and Pricing |
0 |
1 |
3 |
440 |
0 |
4 |
13 |
964 |
Robust control and model misspecification |
0 |
0 |
2 |
266 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
650 |
Robust control of forward-looking models |
1 |
1 |
2 |
217 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
588 |
Robust estimation and control under commitment |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
188 |
Robust hidden Markov LQG problems |
0 |
1 |
2 |
58 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
282 |
Robustness and Pricing with Uncertain Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
377 |
Robustness and U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
Robustness and U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
266 |
Robustness and ambiguity in continuous time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
170 |
Saving and pension reform in general equilibrium models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
227 |
Seasonality and approximation errors in rational expectations models |
0 |
1 |
3 |
147 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
363 |
Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
770 |
Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
192 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
841 |
Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address |
0 |
0 |
1 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
344 |
Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
82 |
Singles, couples, time-averaging, and taxation |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
Small noise methods for risk-sensitive/robust economies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
181 |
Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic |
23 |
52 |
196 |
6,602 |
68 |
178 |
722 |
15,314 |
Sources of artificial intelligence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
11 |
11 |
Speculations about the speculation against the Hong Kong dollar |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
213 |
Straight time and overtime in equilibrium |
1 |
1 |
2 |
141 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
480 |
Structured ambiguity and model misspecification |
1 |
1 |
3 |
22 |
2 |
2 |
12 |
51 |
THE TIMING OF TAX COLLECTIONS AND THE STRUCTURE OF “IRRELEVANCE” THEOREMS IN A CASH-IN-ADVANCE MODEL |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
132 |
TWO COMPUTATIONS TO FUND SOCIAL SECURITY |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
207 |
Taxes, benefits, and careers: Complete versus incomplete markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
244 |
The Big Problem of Small Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
1,367 |
The Conquest of South American Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
229 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
979 |
The Demand for Money During Hyperinflations under Rational Expectations: I |
0 |
0 |
2 |
172 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
454 |
The Demand for Money during Hyperinflation under Rational Expectations: II |
0 |
0 |
0 |
106 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
372 |
The Dimensionality of the Aliasing Problem in Models with Rational Spectral Densities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
254 |
The Elasticity of Substitution and Cyclical Behavior of Productivity, Wages, and Labor's Share |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
270 |
The European Unemployment Dilemma |
0 |
0 |
3 |
1,633 |
2 |
6 |
20 |
5,518 |
The Fate of Systems with "Adaptive" Expectations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
172 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
412 |
The Fundamental Surplus |
0 |
1 |
3 |
74 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
332 |
The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
270 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
673 |
The Optimum Monetary Instrument Variable in a Linear Economic Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
390 |
The Real-Bills Doctrine versus the Quantity Theory: A Reconsideration |
0 |
0 |
3 |
438 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
1,289 |
The Stability of Models of Money and Growth with Perfect Foresight |
0 |
1 |
3 |
559 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
1,164 |
The Swedish unemployment experience |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
372 |
The Term Structure of Interest Rates in Canada |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
364 |
The analytics of German monetary unification |
0 |
2 |
2 |
117 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
351 |
The conquest of US inflation: Learning and robustness to model uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
449 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
1,174 |
The evolution of monetary policy rules |
0 |
0 |
1 |
72 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
158 |
The fundamental surplus strikes again |
0 |
0 |
1 |
38 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
273 |
The market price of risk and the equity premium: A legacy of the Great Depression? |
0 |
1 |
3 |
376 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
942 |
The response of interest rates to expected inflation in the MPS model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
84 |
Three types of ambiguity |
0 |
0 |
2 |
106 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1,056 |
Three world wars: Fiscal–monetary consequences |
1 |
2 |
11 |
31 |
2 |
6 |
25 |
75 |
Twisted probabilities, uncertainty, and prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
3 |
6 |
43 |
Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals |
0 |
0 |
6 |
415 |
1 |
4 |
17 |
1,035 |
Two Models of Measurements and the Investment Accelerator |
1 |
2 |
9 |
592 |
2 |
3 |
18 |
1,776 |
Two Questions about European Unemployment |
0 |
0 |
6 |
281 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
896 |
Understanding European unemployment with a representative family model |
0 |
1 |
2 |
106 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
241 |
Understanding European unemployment with matching and search-island models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
185 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
469 |
Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
129 |
Welfare Cost of Business Cycles with Idiosyncratic Consumption Risk and a Preference for Robustness |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
160 |
Welfare States and Unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
553 |
Where to Draw Lines: Stability Versus Efficiency |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
218 |
[Robust Control and Model Uncertainty], Belirsizlik Modeli ve Saðlamlýlýk Kontrolü |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
92 |
Total Journal Articles |
54 |
146 |
609 |
42,088 |
184 |
635 |
2,351 |
128,598 |