| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| "Dollarization," seignorage, and the demand for money |
0 |
0 |
0 |
85 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
226 |
| "Tobin's Q" and the rate of investment in general equilibrium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
618 |
2 |
5 |
14 |
1,366 |
| A Case for Incomplete Markets |
0 |
1 |
4 |
138 |
1 |
5 |
21 |
373 |
| A Dynamic Index Model for Large Cross Sections |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
147 |
| A Framework for Studying the Monetary and Fiscal History of Latin America, 1960–2017 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
171 |
1 |
4 |
20 |
274 |
| A History of U.S. Debt Limits |
0 |
0 |
1 |
98 |
3 |
10 |
15 |
171 |
| A Life Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
2 |
3 |
18 |
281 |
| A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences |
0 |
0 |
0 |
118 |
3 |
4 |
13 |
113 |
| A defence of the FOMC |
0 |
0 |
1 |
214 |
1 |
4 |
22 |
583 |
| A defence of the FOMC |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
329 |
| A dynamic index model for large cross sections |
0 |
0 |
0 |
269 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
1,281 |
| A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
3 |
4 |
9 |
159 |
| A model of commodity money |
1 |
1 |
1 |
418 |
4 |
5 |
17 |
1,441 |
| A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
526 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
1,681 |
| A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure |
0 |
0 |
0 |
293 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
627 |
| A p Theory of Taxes and Debt Management |
0 |
0 |
2 |
72 |
3 |
8 |
32 |
158 |
| A, B, C's (and D)'s for Understanding VARs |
0 |
1 |
2 |
457 |
8 |
13 |
33 |
1,190 |
| A, B, C’s (And D’s) For Understanding VARS |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1,086 |
6 |
7 |
22 |
2,521 |
| A, B, C’s, (and D’s) for understanding VARs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
242 |
4 |
5 |
17 |
661 |
| A,B,C's (and D's)'s for Understanding VARS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
267 |
8 |
8 |
12 |
615 |
| A,B,C's (and D's)'s for Understanding VARS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
736 |
6 |
8 |
24 |
1,194 |
| Aggregation over time and the inverse optimal predictor problem for adaptive expectations in continuous time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
397 |
| Anticipated Utility and Rational Expectations as Approximations of Bayesian Decision Making |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
5 |
9 |
16 |
50 |
| Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection |
0 |
0 |
2 |
107 |
2 |
10 |
21 |
265 |
| Bayesian fan charts for UK inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system |
0 |
1 |
2 |
651 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
2,107 |
| Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
3 |
5 |
10 |
287 |
| Beyond demand and supply curves in macroeconomics |
0 |
1 |
1 |
420 |
4 |
8 |
24 |
2,033 |
| Business cycle modeling without pretending to have too much a priori economic theory |
0 |
2 |
19 |
1,733 |
5 |
30 |
113 |
3,994 |
| Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, and Social Security |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
206 |
| Convergence of Least Squares Learning in Environments With Private Information |
0 |
0 |
0 |
154 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
281 |
| Costs of Financing US Federal Debt: 1791-1933 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
5 |
11 |
20 |
41 |
| Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections |
0 |
1 |
3 |
78 |
2 |
6 |
23 |
135 |
| Do Taxes Explain European Employment? Indivisible Labour, Human Capital, Lotteries and Savings |
0 |
0 |
0 |
199 |
4 |
7 |
15 |
588 |
| Drifts and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII US |
0 |
2 |
6 |
275 |
11 |
14 |
32 |
1,087 |
| Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII U.S |
0 |
1 |
3 |
609 |
10 |
15 |
31 |
1,472 |
| Dynamic Programming: Finite States |
2 |
3 |
15 |
36 |
6 |
14 |
61 |
107 |
| Dynamic analysis of a Keynesian model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
138 |
| Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations: a note |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
129 |
| Economic Networks: Theory and Computation |
1 |
2 |
4 |
46 |
7 |
13 |
34 |
143 |
| Economic and VAR Shocks: What Can Go Wrong? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
288 |
0 |
4 |
11 |
589 |
| Efficiency, Insurance, and Redistribution Effects of Government Policies |
1 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
| Escaping Nash inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
385 |
3 |
7 |
19 |
943 |
| Estimation of dynamic labor demand schedules under rational expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
427 |
10 |
13 |
29 |
1,479 |
| European Unemployment and Turbulence Revisited in a Matching Model |
0 |
0 |
1 |
171 |
0 |
7 |
13 |
471 |
| Evolution and Intelligent Design |
0 |
0 |
0 |
323 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
650 |
| Evolving Post-World War II U.S. Inflation Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
1 |
801 |
3 |
3 |
17 |
4,660 |
| Exact linear rational expectations models: specification and estimation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
456 |
2 |
3 |
18 |
1,010 |
| Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars |
0 |
0 |
0 |
220 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
434 |
| Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
144 |
| Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
165 |
| Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets |
0 |
0 |
5 |
102 |
5 |
7 |
26 |
242 |
| Flat rate taxes with adjustment costs and several capital stocks and household types |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
391 |
| Formulating and estimating continuous time rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
297 |
3 |
5 |
14 |
805 |
| Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
694 |
8 |
10 |
20 |
1,428 |
| Funding the Great War and the beginning of the end for British hegemony |
0 |
0 |
0 |
113 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
147 |
| Government debt and taxes |
0 |
1 |
1 |
150 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
339 |
| Identification and estimation of a model of hyperinflation with a continuum of "sunspot" equilibrium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
237 |
| Identification of continuous time rational expectations models from discrete time data |
0 |
1 |
1 |
142 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
430 |
| Impacts of priors on convergence and escapes from Nash inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
248 |
| Implementing a Ramsey Plan |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
1 |
6 |
22 |
40 |
| Indivisible Labor and Its Supply Elasticity: Do Taxes Explain European Employment? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
138 |
2 |
4 |
10 |
355 |
| Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary-Fiscal Policy |
1 |
1 |
4 |
124 |
5 |
6 |
38 |
366 |
| Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary-Fiscal Policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
69 |
4 |
5 |
13 |
160 |
| Inflation-Gap Persistence in the U.S |
0 |
0 |
0 |
565 |
6 |
9 |
17 |
1,660 |
| Instability, Misallocation and Productivity |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
13 |
251 |
| Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models |
0 |
1 |
2 |
212 |
1 |
6 |
20 |
534 |
| Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII U.S. Government Debt/GDP Dynamics |
0 |
1 |
1 |
317 |
1 |
5 |
22 |
911 |
| Interest rate risk and other determinants of post WWII U.S. government debt/GDP dynamics |
0 |
0 |
1 |
153 |
2 |
7 |
24 |
406 |
| Interest rate risk and other determinants of post WWII U.S. government debt/GDP dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
15 |
126 |
| Interest rates and prices in the long run: a study of the Gibson paradox |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
3 |
5 |
9 |
274 |
| Interpreting economic time series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
258 |
4 |
7 |
14 |
815 |
| Interview with the 2011 Laureates in Economic Sciences Thomas J. Sargent and Christopher A. Sims |
0 |
0 |
1 |
255 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
726 |
| Is Keynesian economics a dead end? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
195 |
2 |
7 |
15 |
693 |
| Israel 1983: A Bout of Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
0 |
6 |
12 |
328 |
| Jobs and Unemployment in Macroeconomic Theory: A Turbulence Laboratory |
0 |
0 |
1 |
279 |
4 |
6 |
13 |
1,276 |
| Linear rational expectations models for dynamically interrelated variables |
1 |
1 |
3 |
257 |
4 |
9 |
27 |
727 |
| Macroeconomic Uncertainty Prices when Beliefs are Tenuous |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
5 |
9 |
16 |
216 |
| Managing Public Portfolios |
0 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
2 |
4 |
24 |
77 |
| Managing expectations and fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
301 |
6 |
9 |
18 |
594 |
| Measuring Price-Level Uncertainty and Instability in the U.S., 1850-2012 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
44 |
| Mechanics of forming and estimating dynamic linear economies |
0 |
0 |
1 |
489 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
1,259 |
| Methods for estimating continuous time Rational Expectations models from discrete time data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
202 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
697 |
| Monetary and fiscal policy in a two-sector aggregative model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
488 |
| Monetary policies and low-frequency manifestations of the quantity theory |
0 |
0 |
0 |
324 |
1 |
6 |
27 |
588 |
| Naive business cycle theory |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
223 |
| Observations on improper methods of simulating and teaching Friedman's time series consumption model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
4 |
11 |
200 |
| On the Preservation of Deterministic Cycles when some Agents Perceive them to be Random Fluctuations (Now published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol.17 (1993), pp.705-721.) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
159 |
| On the mechanics of forming and estimating dynamic linear economies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
355 |
2 |
7 |
16 |
1,006 |
| Online Appendix to "Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
9 |
17 |
23 |
| Optimal Fiscal-Monetary Policy with Redistribution |
0 |
0 |
1 |
135 |
2 |
4 |
14 |
278 |
| Optimal Taxation with Incomplete Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
4 |
9 |
19 |
195 |
| Optimal taxation without state-contingent debt |
0 |
0 |
0 |
709 |
3 |
8 |
21 |
2,256 |
| Politics and Efficiency of Separating Capital and Ordinary Government Budgets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
469 |
| Politics and Efficiency of Separating Capital and Ordinary Government Budgets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
165 |
3 |
67 |
79 |
618 |
| Politics and efficiency of separating capital and ordinary Government budgets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
126 |
3 |
52 |
57 |
467 |
| Projected U.S. demographics and social security |
0 |
0 |
0 |
372 |
2 |
4 |
15 |
1,618 |
| Quit Turbulence and Unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
2 |
5 |
13 |
72 |
| Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy |
1 |
1 |
6 |
884 |
6 |
7 |
27 |
2,174 |
| Rational expectations models and the aliasing phenomenon |
0 |
0 |
1 |
111 |
1 |
2 |
16 |
506 |
| Rational expectations, econometric exogeneity and consumption |
0 |
0 |
0 |
291 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
628 |
| Recursive Linear Models of Dynamic Economies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
552 |
1 |
9 |
26 |
1,552 |
| Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
2 |
4 |
14 |
452 |
| Returns to Labor Mobility |
0 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
4 |
6 |
17 |
25 |
| Returns to Labor Mobility: Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
10 |
24 |
| Returns to labor mobility. Layoff costs and quit turbulence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
5 |
5 |
22 |
63 |
| Robust Permanent Income and Pricing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
340 |
7 |
8 |
22 |
966 |
| Robust Permanent Income and Pricing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
131 |
5 |
5 |
14 |
518 |
| Robustness and US Monetary |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
14 |
132 |
| Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
147 |
| Sets of Models and Prices of Uncertainty |
0 |
1 |
8 |
131 |
2 |
4 |
27 |
297 |
| Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
227 |
3 |
4 |
16 |
966 |
| Shocks and government beliefs: the rise and fall of American inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
128 |
3 |
3 |
10 |
590 |
| Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
4 |
8 |
15 |
135 |
| Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
2 |
49 |
4 |
9 |
32 |
139 |
| Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
62 |
3 |
6 |
18 |
155 |
| Speed of convergence of recursive least squares learning with ARMA perceptions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
242 |
6 |
9 |
24 |
1,018 |
| Stochastic Earnings Growth and Equilibrium Wealth Distributions |
0 |
0 |
2 |
54 |
4 |
6 |
17 |
107 |
| Stopping moderate inflations: the methods of Poincaré and Thatcher |
0 |
0 |
4 |
499 |
1 |
9 |
32 |
945 |
| Straight Time and Overtime in Equilibrium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
268 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
822 |
| Sustaining a Time-Consistent Ramsey Plan with Options |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
226 |
| Taxes, Benefits, and Careers: Complete Versus Incomplete Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91 |
4 |
4 |
7 |
295 |
| Taxes, Debts, and Redistributions with Aggregate Shocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
138 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
289 |
| Testing for neutrality and rationality |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
4 |
7 |
10 |
118 |
| The Case for Incomplete Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
117 |
| The Conquest of South American Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
181 |
3 |
8 |
21 |
845 |
| The European Employment Experience |
0 |
0 |
0 |
248 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
922 |
| The European Unemployment Dilemma |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
8 |
12 |
24 |
1,573 |
| The European Unemployment Dilemma |
0 |
0 |
0 |
137 |
11 |
12 |
25 |
586 |
| The European Unemployment Dilemma |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,062 |
18 |
21 |
45 |
6,223 |
| The European Unemployment Experience: Theoretical Robustness |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
203 |
| The European unemployment dilemma |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
13 |
29 |
904 |
| The Fundamental Surplus Strikes Again |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
5 |
6 |
18 |
44 |
| The Fundamental Surplus in Matching Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
126 |
1 |
5 |
15 |
206 |
| The Market Price of Risk and the Equity Premium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
80 |
| The Optimal Maturity of Government Debt |
0 |
0 |
3 |
105 |
2 |
6 |
33 |
351 |
| The big problem of small change |
0 |
0 |
4 |
446 |
1 |
6 |
27 |
1,296 |
| The conquest of South American inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
120 |
8 |
14 |
17 |
454 |
| The conquest of U.S. inflation: learning and robustness to model uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
1 |
395 |
8 |
12 |
20 |
933 |
| The demand for money during hyperinflations under rational expectations: II |
0 |
0 |
1 |
113 |
3 |
10 |
20 |
342 |
| The dimensionality of the aliasing problem in models with rational spectral densities |
0 |
1 |
1 |
67 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
328 |
| The ends of four big inflations |
0 |
3 |
10 |
1,193 |
3 |
16 |
39 |
2,641 |
| The evolution of small change |
0 |
1 |
1 |
240 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
650 |
| The observational equivalence of natural and unnatural rate theories of macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
102 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
343 |
| The real bills doctrine vs. the quantity theory: a reconsideration |
0 |
1 |
1 |
407 |
5 |
14 |
33 |
1,369 |
| Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
5 |
7 |
14 |
36 |
| Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
14 |
| Turbulence and Unemployment in Matching Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
3 |
3 |
16 |
131 |
| Turbulence and Unemployment in Matching Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
4 |
9 |
13 |
46 |
| Turbulence and Unemployment in Matching Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
3 |
4 |
18 |
61 |
| Turbulence and unemployment in matching models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
69 |
| US Federal Debt 1776 -1960: Quantities and Prices |
0 |
0 |
5 |
21 |
5 |
9 |
24 |
65 |
| US Federal Debt 1776-1960: Quantities and Prices |
4 |
7 |
38 |
311 |
9 |
20 |
99 |
660 |
| Unemployment and stabilization policy in a two-sector, two-country aggregative model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
145 |
| United States Then, Europe Now |
0 |
0 |
2 |
115 |
3 |
3 |
11 |
246 |
| Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
54 |
| Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0 |
5 |
9 |
251 |
| Welfare Cost of Business Cycles in Economies with Individual Consumption Risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
11 |
66 |
| Welfare cost of business cycles in economies with individual consumption risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
170 |
1 |
5 |
13 |
282 |
| Total Working Papers |
13 |
42 |
219 |
32,369 |
490 |
1,104 |
2,939 |
100,700 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| "Rational Expectations": A Correction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
3 |
3 |
6 |
133 |
| "Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule |
1 |
5 |
24 |
2,168 |
12 |
24 |
105 |
5,700 |
| "Tobin's q" and the rate of investment in general equilibrium |
0 |
0 |
0 |
212 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
484 |
| A Classical Macroeconometric Model for the United States |
0 |
0 |
1 |
488 |
7 |
18 |
39 |
1,157 |
| A DEFENSE OF THE FOMC |
0 |
1 |
1 |
61 |
3 |
6 |
11 |
229 |
| A Labor Supply Elasticity Accord? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
60 |
2 |
5 |
16 |
313 |
| A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
6 |
9 |
24 |
410 |
| A Note on the 'Accelerationist' Controversy |
2 |
5 |
15 |
391 |
3 |
9 |
36 |
1,025 |
| A Quartet of Semigroups for Model Specification, Robustness, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection |
0 |
0 |
3 |
234 |
4 |
6 |
31 |
654 |
| A case for incomplete markets |
0 |
1 |
2 |
21 |
0 |
5 |
18 |
114 |
| A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
120 |
| A model of commodity money |
0 |
0 |
1 |
154 |
1 |
7 |
19 |
424 |
| A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
357 |
| A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure |
0 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
1 |
3 |
15 |
385 |
| A primer on monetary and fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
356 |
1 |
5 |
22 |
688 |
| A reply to Darby |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
238 |
| A supply-side explanation of European unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
53 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
166 |
| ABCs (and Ds) of Understanding VARs |
0 |
0 |
2 |
999 |
5 |
9 |
35 |
2,606 |
| ALTERNATIVE MONETARY POLICIES IN A TURNPIKE ECONOMY |
0 |
0 |
1 |
104 |
4 |
4 |
9 |
223 |
| ANTICIPATED UTILITY AND RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS AS APPROXIMATIONS OF BAYESIAN DECISION MAKING |
0 |
0 |
0 |
217 |
3 |
9 |
28 |
710 |
| Accounting for the federal government's cost of funds |
0 |
0 |
2 |
205 |
3 |
6 |
19 |
925 |
| Acknowledgement Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory |
0 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
3 |
6 |
13 |
454 |
| Acknowledging Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory |
0 |
0 |
1 |
290 |
2 |
7 |
16 |
1,401 |
| After Keynesian macroeconomics |
2 |
2 |
10 |
1,811 |
6 |
11 |
45 |
3,716 |
| Aggregation over Time and the Inverse Optimal Predictor Problem for Adaptive Expectations in Conginuous Time |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
162 |
| Ambiguity in American monetary and fiscal policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
2 |
4 |
12 |
153 |
| Anticipated Inflation and the Nominal Rate of Interest |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
492 |
| Asset Princes and Wealth Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs - Varlýk Fiyatlarý ve Heterojen Düþünceler ile Servet Dinamikleri |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
86 |
| Autoregressions, Expectations, and Advice |
0 |
0 |
3 |
144 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
345 |
| Bayesian fan charts for U.K. inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system |
1 |
2 |
3 |
366 |
3 |
11 |
27 |
1,029 |
| Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson and Solow and Lucas |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
18 |
| Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson and Solow and Lucas |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
295 |
| Benefits from U.S. monetary policy experimentation in the days of Samuelson and Solow and Lucas |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
3 |
7 |
17 |
136 |
| Beyond Demand and Supply Curves in Macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
1 |
3 |
17 |
850 |
| Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, Taxes, and Social Security |
0 |
0 |
1 |
149 |
4 |
9 |
21 |
518 |
| Causality, Exogeneity, and Natural Rate Models: Reply to C. R. Nelson and B. T. McCallum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
55 |
2 |
4 |
10 |
343 |
| Certainty equivalence and model uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
4 |
210 |
3 |
14 |
25 |
672 |
| Coinage, debasements, and Gresham's laws |
0 |
0 |
1 |
132 |
6 |
10 |
25 |
733 |
| Comment on "Stopping Inflation, Big and Small." |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
7 |
233 |
| Comment on Fiscal Consequences for Mexico of Adopting the Dollar |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
358 |
| Commentary on \\"Long-run risks and financial markets\\" |
0 |
1 |
1 |
42 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
136 |
| Commentary: the evolution of economic understanding and postwar stabilization policy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
300 |
| Commodity Price Expectations and the Interest Rate |
0 |
0 |
2 |
198 |
1 |
2 |
20 |
668 |
| Commodity and Token Monies |
0 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
82 |
| Convergence of Least-Squares Learning in Environments with Hidden State Variables and Private Information |
0 |
1 |
1 |
287 |
4 |
12 |
27 |
828 |
| Convergence of least squares learning mechanisms in self-referential linear stochastic models |
0 |
1 |
1 |
510 |
5 |
7 |
15 |
1,040 |
| Costs of Financing U.S. Federal Debt Under a Gold Standard: 1791-1933* |
0 |
1 |
9 |
12 |
5 |
11 |
50 |
60 |
| Critique and consequence |
0 |
0 |
3 |
22 |
5 |
6 |
21 |
77 |
| Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence |
0 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
2 |
5 |
15 |
52 |
| Diverse Beliefs, Survival and the Market Price of Risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
13 |
| Diverse Beliefs, Survival and the Market Price of Risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
2 |
3 |
14 |
274 |
| Doubts or variability? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
145 |
2 |
4 |
17 |
474 |
| Drift and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII U.S |
2 |
3 |
28 |
2,143 |
18 |
51 |
139 |
5,359 |
| Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations: A note |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
96 |
| Equilibrium with signal extraction from endogenous variables |
0 |
1 |
1 |
369 |
1 |
6 |
9 |
674 |
| Escaping Nash Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
54 |
2 |
11 |
28 |
796 |
| Estimating vector autoregressions using methods not based on explicit economic theories |
0 |
1 |
2 |
148 |
0 |
4 |
10 |
325 |
| Estimation of Dynamic Labor Demand Schedules under Rational Expectations |
0 |
0 |
3 |
329 |
11 |
13 |
24 |
1,008 |
| European Unemployment and Turbulence Revisited in a Matching Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
224 |
| Evolution and Intelligent Design |
0 |
0 |
0 |
234 |
0 |
6 |
19 |
1,075 |
| Expectations and the nonneutrality of Lucas |
0 |
0 |
3 |
289 |
2 |
3 |
20 |
588 |
| Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets |
0 |
0 |
2 |
129 |
5 |
7 |
42 |
591 |
| Fiscal discriminations in three wars |
0 |
0 |
1 |
76 |
4 |
7 |
23 |
370 |
| Foreword |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
60 |
| Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
439 |
13 |
14 |
31 |
1,165 |
| Four types of ignorance |
0 |
1 |
2 |
59 |
5 |
7 |
12 |
600 |
| Fragile beliefs and the price of uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
162 |
| Harrod 1939 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
143 |
| Impacts of Priors on Convergence and Escapes from Nash Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
158 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
434 |
| Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary‐Fiscal Policy |
0 |
1 |
4 |
72 |
3 |
10 |
37 |
201 |
| Inflation-Gap Persistence in the US |
0 |
0 |
4 |
556 |
6 |
9 |
27 |
1,407 |
| Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
4 |
8 |
17 |
239 |
| Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII US Government Debt/GDP Dynamics |
3 |
7 |
23 |
496 |
11 |
18 |
61 |
1,269 |
| Interest Rates and Prices in the Long Run: A Study of the Gibson Paradox |
0 |
0 |
0 |
158 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
448 |
| Interest on reserves |
0 |
0 |
0 |
130 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
317 |
| Interpreting Economic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
173 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
475 |
| Interpreting new evidence about China and U.S. silver purchases |
0 |
0 |
1 |
157 |
1 |
7 |
16 |
523 |
| Interpreting the Reagan deficits |
0 |
1 |
1 |
232 |
3 |
5 |
16 |
942 |
| Introduction to model uncertainty and robustness |
0 |
0 |
0 |
135 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
316 |
| Irrelevance of Open Market Operations in Some Economies with Government Currency Being Dominated in Rate of Return |
0 |
0 |
1 |
128 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
510 |
| Israel 1983: A bout of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
2 |
6 |
17 |
578 |
| Knowing the Forecasts of Others |
0 |
1 |
2 |
249 |
3 |
5 |
12 |
691 |
| Learning from Lucas |
1 |
1 |
8 |
16 |
4 |
6 |
19 |
39 |
| Les États-Unis naguère, l'Europe aujourd'hui. Conférence Nobel prononcée à Stockholm le 8 décembre 2011 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
9 |
45 |
| Machine Learning a Ramsey Plan |
1 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
8 |
19 |
19 |
| Macroeconomic Features of the French Revolution |
1 |
4 |
6 |
658 |
6 |
16 |
46 |
3,140 |
| Macroeconomic uncertainty prices when beliefs are tenuous |
0 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
23 |
90 |
| Macroeconomics after Lucas |
0 |
4 |
16 |
16 |
3 |
12 |
71 |
71 |
| Managing government debt |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
11 |
15 |
| Market Prices of Risk with Diverse Beliefs, Learning, and Catastrophes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
3 |
6 |
14 |
272 |
| Market Transaction Costs, Asset Demand Functions, and the Relative Potency of Monetary and Fiscal Policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
538 |
| Measuring Price-Level Uncertainty and Instability in the United States, 1850–2012 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
168 |
| Models of business cycles: A review essay |
0 |
0 |
0 |
180 |
3 |
5 |
13 |
561 |
| Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Two-Sector Aggregative Model |
0 |
0 |
2 |
71 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
252 |
| Money Within the General Framework of the Economic System: Discussion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
146 |
| Money as a medium of exchange in an economy with artificially intelligent agents |
0 |
2 |
10 |
498 |
3 |
11 |
33 |
1,295 |
| Money-Market Rates, the Discount Rate, and Borrowing from the Federal Reserve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
885 |
| Nobel Lecture: United States Then, Europe Now |
0 |
0 |
1 |
374 |
1 |
10 |
25 |
1,208 |
| Observations on Improper Methods of Simulating and Teaching Friedman's Time Series Consumption Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
130 |
| On the preservation of deterministic cycles when some agents perceive them to be random fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
35 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
222 |
| Optimal Taxation without State-Contingent Debt |
1 |
1 |
8 |
1,179 |
8 |
17 |
88 |
3,045 |
| Price and investment dynamics: theory and plant level data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
6 |
9 |
90 |
| Price-level uncertainty and instability in the United Kingdom |
0 |
0 |
3 |
55 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
217 |
| Projected U.S. Demographics and Social Security |
2 |
3 |
7 |
571 |
4 |
11 |
30 |
4,556 |
| Public debt in economies with heterogeneous agents |
0 |
0 |
1 |
71 |
2 |
3 |
17 |
345 |
| ROBUST PERMANENT INCOME AND PRICING WITH FILTERING |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
147 |
| Ramsey Plan for Calvo’s Model |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
11 |
| Rational Expectations and Ambiguity (corrected) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
10 |
10 |
| Rational Expectations and the Dynamics of Hyperinflation |
1 |
1 |
5 |
623 |
5 |
8 |
29 |
1,464 |
| Rational Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates |
0 |
0 |
1 |
245 |
2 |
2 |
14 |
734 |
| Rational Expectations, Econometric Exogeneity, and Consumption |
0 |
1 |
2 |
203 |
1 |
4 |
14 |
527 |
| Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment |
1 |
3 |
11 |
504 |
5 |
17 |
60 |
1,549 |
| Rational expectations and the reconstruction of macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
1 |
152 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
310 |
| Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy |
1 |
2 |
12 |
1,176 |
4 |
13 |
48 |
2,761 |
| Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment |
0 |
0 |
1 |
156 |
1 |
5 |
22 |
442 |
| Regression with Non-Gaussian Stable Disturbances: Some Sampling Results |
0 |
1 |
1 |
126 |
3 |
4 |
10 |
451 |
| Response to Rodney Jacobs |
0 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
137 |
| Returns to Labour Mobility |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
12 |
31 |
36 |
| Risk, ambiguity, and misspecification: Decision theory, robust control, and statistics |
0 |
1 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
13 |
27 |
30 |
| Robert E. Lucas Jr.'s Collected Papers on Monetary Theory |
0 |
0 |
0 |
145 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
427 |
| Robust Control and Model Uncertainty |
0 |
3 |
5 |
899 |
3 |
11 |
39 |
2,000 |
| Robust Permanent Income and Pricing |
0 |
0 |
2 |
442 |
2 |
5 |
28 |
992 |
| Robust control and model misspecification |
0 |
0 |
0 |
266 |
7 |
10 |
23 |
673 |
| Robust control of forward-looking models |
1 |
1 |
2 |
218 |
4 |
9 |
25 |
612 |
| Robust estimation and control under commitment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
197 |
| Robust hidden Markov LQG problems |
0 |
1 |
1 |
59 |
5 |
9 |
16 |
298 |
| Robustness and Pricing with Uncertain Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
13 |
390 |
| Robustness and U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation |
0 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
9 |
24 |
| Robustness and U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
271 |
| Robustness and ambiguity in continuous time |
0 |
0 |
1 |
43 |
7 |
9 |
22 |
192 |
| Saving and pension reform in general equilibrium models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
13 |
240 |
| Seasonality and approximation errors in rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
148 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
377 |
| Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
779 |
| Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
192 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
851 |
| Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address |
0 |
1 |
1 |
45 |
6 |
11 |
32 |
375 |
| Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy |
0 |
0 |
5 |
23 |
6 |
12 |
26 |
108 |
| Singles, couples, time-averaging, and taxation |
1 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
16 |
19 |
| Small noise methods for risk-sensitive/robust economies |
0 |
0 |
2 |
42 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
191 |
| Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic |
6 |
26 |
201 |
6,780 |
58 |
169 |
752 |
15,998 |
| Sources of artificial intelligence |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
16 |
25 |
| Speculations about the speculation against the Hong Kong dollar |
0 |
1 |
1 |
56 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
218 |
| Straight time and overtime in equilibrium |
0 |
0 |
1 |
141 |
3 |
5 |
18 |
497 |
| Structured ambiguity and model misspecification |
0 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
1 |
1 |
18 |
67 |
| THE TIMING OF TAX COLLECTIONS AND THE STRUCTURE OF “IRRELEVANCE” THEOREMS IN A CASH-IN-ADVANCE MODEL |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
138 |
| TWO COMPUTATIONS TO FUND SOCIAL SECURITY |
0 |
0 |
1 |
75 |
1 |
3 |
21 |
228 |
| Taxes, benefits, and careers: Complete versus incomplete markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
6 |
7 |
11 |
255 |
| The Big Problem of Small Change |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
30 |
1,396 |
| The Conquest of South American Inflation |
0 |
0 |
4 |
233 |
6 |
9 |
26 |
1,005 |
| The Demand for Money During Hyperinflations under Rational Expectations: I |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
2 |
4 |
12 |
466 |
| The Demand for Money during Hyperinflation under Rational Expectations: II |
0 |
0 |
1 |
107 |
3 |
3 |
10 |
381 |
| The Dimensionality of the Aliasing Problem in Models with Rational Spectral Densities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
2 |
4 |
18 |
272 |
| The Elasticity of Substitution and Cyclical Behavior of Productivity, Wages, and Labor's Share |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
282 |
| The European Unemployment Dilemma |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,634 |
16 |
23 |
46 |
5,562 |
| The Fate of Systems with "Adaptive" Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
172 |
4 |
7 |
13 |
425 |
| The Fundamental Surplus |
0 |
1 |
2 |
76 |
2 |
5 |
20 |
352 |
| The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics |
0 |
0 |
1 |
271 |
2 |
7 |
14 |
687 |
| The Optimum Monetary Instrument Variable in a Linear Economic Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
398 |
| The Real-Bills Doctrine versus the Quantity Theory: A Reconsideration |
0 |
0 |
2 |
440 |
0 |
4 |
28 |
1,315 |
| The Stability of Models of Money and Growth with Perfect Foresight |
0 |
0 |
3 |
562 |
7 |
9 |
27 |
1,191 |
| The Swedish unemployment experience |
0 |
0 |
0 |
103 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
380 |
| The Term Structure of Interest Rates in Canada |
0 |
0 |
1 |
42 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
374 |
| The analytics of German monetary unification |
0 |
0 |
0 |
117 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
359 |
| The conquest of US inflation: Learning and robustness to model uncertainty |
0 |
0 |
0 |
449 |
5 |
8 |
16 |
1,190 |
| The evolution of monetary policy rules |
0 |
0 |
1 |
73 |
3 |
6 |
13 |
171 |
| The fundamental surplus strikes again |
0 |
0 |
1 |
39 |
1 |
5 |
14 |
287 |
| The market price of risk and the equity premium: A legacy of the Great Depression? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
377 |
5 |
9 |
27 |
969 |
| The response of interest rates to expected inflation in the MPS model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
88 |
| Three types of ambiguity |
0 |
0 |
0 |
106 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
1,070 |
| Three world wars: Fiscal–monetary consequences |
0 |
1 |
5 |
35 |
1 |
8 |
27 |
100 |
| Time Averaging Meets Heckman, Lochner, and Taber and Ben-Porath |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
13 |
35 |
35 |
| Twisted probabilities, uncertainty, and prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
2 |
2 |
13 |
56 |
| Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals |
0 |
0 |
2 |
417 |
2 |
6 |
18 |
1,052 |
| Two Models of Measurements and the Investment Accelerator |
0 |
5 |
8 |
599 |
6 |
15 |
30 |
1,804 |
| Two Questions about European Unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
281 |
2 |
5 |
17 |
913 |
| Understanding European unemployment with a representative family model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
106 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
247 |
| Understanding European unemployment with matching and search-island models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
186 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
476 |
| Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs |
1 |
1 |
1 |
38 |
4 |
9 |
17 |
146 |
| Welfare Cost of Business Cycles with Idiosyncratic Consumption Risk and a Preference for Robustness |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
3 |
3 |
14 |
174 |
| Welfare States and Unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
565 |
| Where to Draw Lines: Stability Versus Efficiency |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
230 |
| [Robust Control and Model Uncertainty], Belirsizlik Modeli ve Saðlamlýlýk Kontrolü |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
1 |
3 |
13 |
105 |
| Total Journal Articles |
29 |
109 |
559 |
42,592 |
578 |
1,297 |
4,227 |
131,568 |