Access Statistics for Tara M. Sinclair

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS 0 0 0 111 4 13 13 233
A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts 0 0 2 13 0 2 5 87
A Nonparametric Approach to Identifying a Subset of Forecasters that Outperforms the Simple Average 0 0 0 38 0 6 10 65
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 1 25 1 10 15 81
A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law 0 0 0 59 1 12 16 163
A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law 0 0 1 25 0 6 13 95
A Textual Analysis of the Bank of England Growth Forecasts 1 1 1 62 1 4 9 107
Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts 0 0 0 51 1 7 12 189
Asymmetry in the Business Model: Revisiting the Friedman Plucking Model 0 0 0 20 2 7 8 128
Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy? 0 0 1 87 0 12 13 202
Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy? 0 0 1 32 1 4 15 124
Characteristics and Implications of Chinese Macroeconomic Data Revisions 0 0 0 28 6 18 20 183
Continuities and Discontinuities in Economic Forecasting 0 0 0 89 2 5 10 113
Differences in Early GDP Component Estimates Between Recession and Expansion 1 1 1 66 2 6 8 159
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? 0 0 0 27 1 9 17 68
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? 0 0 0 43 4 8 10 118
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? 0 0 0 50 0 8 11 153
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? 0 0 0 31 4 7 8 63
EVALUATING A VECTOR OF THE FED’S FORECASTS 0 0 0 43 1 4 5 152
EVALUATING FORECASTS OF A VECTOR OF VARIABLES: A GERMAN FORECASTING COMPETITION 0 0 0 14 0 7 12 80
Employment Reconciliation and Nowcasting 0 0 0 17 2 11 17 68
Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: A German Forecasting Competition 0 0 0 19 0 5 9 57
Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: a German Forecasting Competition 0 0 1 64 3 6 13 92
Evaluating a Vector of the Fed's Forecasts 0 0 0 7 1 5 7 50
Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates 0 0 0 37 1 7 11 135
FOMC In Silico: A Multi-Agent System for Monetary Policy Decision Modeling 3 7 22 22 21 44 90 90
Forecasting Data Vintages 0 0 1 87 0 5 10 95
How Well Does "Core" CPI Capture Permanent Price Changes? 0 0 0 53 1 6 15 126
How Well Does "Core" CPI Capture Permanent Price Changes? 0 0 0 35 0 2 9 164
How Well Does "Core" Inflation Capture Permanent Price Changes? 0 0 0 303 0 6 12 106
How Well Does "Core" Inflation Capture Permanent Price Changes? 0 0 0 45 0 5 14 132
Jointly Evaluating GDP and Inflation Forcasts in the Context of the Taylor Rule 0 0 0 21 0 3 6 91
Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation 0 0 0 58 1 5 6 204
Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Emerging Economies: An Unobserved Components Approach 0 0 0 26 4 10 11 108
Migration and Online Job Search: A Gravity Model Approach 0 1 3 56 3 20 31 142
Mismatch in Online Job Search 0 0 3 36 2 10 22 170
Mongolia: Measuring the Output Gap 0 0 0 44 0 4 5 143
Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19 0 0 0 19 4 13 20 70
Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19 0 0 0 36 5 11 15 87
Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19 0 1 1 41 1 5 9 66
Occupational reallocation and mismatch in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic: Cross-country evidence from an online job site 0 1 2 7 0 6 10 19
Online Job Search and Migration Intentions Across EU Member States 0 0 1 65 2 20 27 221
Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach 0 0 0 72 0 2 3 265
Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach 0 0 0 25 2 5 6 104
Permanent and Transitory Macroeconomic Relationships between China and the Developed World 0 0 0 33 0 6 7 112
Searching for Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 22 0 2 6 301
Searching for better prospects: endogenizing falling job tenure and private pension coverage 0 0 0 83 0 12 14 450
Sentiment and Uncertainty about Regulation 0 0 1 15 1 6 17 69
Sentiment and uncertainty about regulation 0 0 2 16 2 6 14 45
Statistical Versus Economic Output Gap Measures: Evidence from Mongolia 0 0 0 17 8 12 17 83
Testing Stationarity for Unobserved Components Models 0 0 0 31 1 5 8 114
Testing for Stationarity and Cointegration in an Unobserved Components Framework 0 0 0 336 2 8 15 1,048
The Differential Approach to Superlative Index Number Theory 0 0 0 23 1 6 7 223
The Differential Approach to Superlative Index Number Theory 0 0 0 454 0 2 3 1,423
WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS? 0 0 0 20 0 5 6 69
What Can We Learn From Revisions to the Greenbook Forecasts? 0 0 0 69 0 9 11 117
What Does Forecaster Disagreement Tell Us about the State of the Economy? 0 0 0 33 1 6 11 85
When the Fed Reveals Its Hand: The SEP and Monetary Policy Surprises 1 19 19 19 3 32 32 32
Will it stay or will it go? Analysing developments in telework during COVID-19 using online job postings data 0 0 1 30 3 10 17 71
Total Working Papers 6 31 65 3,310 106 498 793 9,610
1 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts 0 0 1 66 5 10 12 197
A nonparametric approach to identifying a subset of forecasters that outperforms the simple average 0 0 1 13 3 6 13 71
A state-level analysis of Okun's law 0 1 3 26 4 11 17 183
A textual analysis of Bank of England growth forecasts 0 0 0 8 0 4 9 57
Asymmetry in the Business Cycle: Friedman's Plucking Model with Correlated Innovations 0 0 3 65 2 11 20 234
Can the Fed predict the state of the economy? 0 0 2 91 3 10 13 223
Characteristics and implications of Chinese macroeconomic data revisions 0 0 0 5 2 19 22 58
Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions 0 0 2 62 4 9 18 176
Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter? 0 0 0 9 1 3 4 39
Employment reconciliation and nowcasting 0 0 0 4 4 9 13 30
Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts 0 0 0 29 1 4 4 78
Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates 0 0 0 25 4 16 19 108
Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context 0 0 0 13 1 3 5 56
HOW WELL DOES “CORE” INFLATION CAPTURE PERMANENT PRICE CHANGES? 0 0 1 15 0 10 13 91
Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation 0 0 0 20 2 8 9 106
Migration and online job search: A gravity model approach 0 0 2 18 2 9 17 90
Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19 0 0 0 3 5 8 10 30
OUTPUT FLUCTUATIONS IN THE G-7: AN UNOBSERVED COMPONENTS APPROACH 0 0 0 30 1 3 4 128
Searching For Better Prospects: Endogenizing Falling Job Tenure and Private Pension Coverage 0 0 0 33 2 9 13 715
Statistical versus economic output gap measures: evidence from Mongolia 0 1 3 25 0 7 13 113
TESTING STATIONARITY WITH UNOBSERVED-COMPONENTS MODELS 0 0 2 6 0 3 7 42
The Differential Approach to Superlative Index Number Theory 0 0 0 22 3 9 9 151
The Failure of Forecasts in the Great Recession 0 0 0 3 3 5 5 30
The Relationships between Permanent and Transitory Movements in U.S. Output and the Unemployment Rate 0 0 0 251 0 3 10 619
The Relationships between Permanent and Transitory Movements in U.S. Output and the Unemployment Rate 0 0 1 9 3 7 10 38
Unlocked Potential: Work-from-Home Job Postings in 20 OECD Countries 1 2 5 27 6 19 27 84
What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts? 0 0 0 28 2 7 9 142
What does forecaster disagreement tell us about the state of the economy? 0 0 1 3 0 4 12 22
Working from home after COVID-19: Evidence from job postings in 20 countries 1 3 5 5 13 30 46 46
Total Journal Articles 2 7 32 914 76 256 383 3,957


Statistics updated 2026-03-04