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12 months |
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A Note on Quasi-Maximum-Likelihood Estimation in Hidden Markov Models with Covariate-Dependent Transition Probabilities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
A Note on Quasi-Maximum-Likelihood Estimation in Hidden Markov Models with Covariate-Dependent Transition Probabilities |
0 |
1 |
1 |
48 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
A Reconsideration of the Empirical Evidence on the Asymmetric Effects of Money-supply shocks: Positive vs. Negative or Big vs. Small |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
474 |
A Structural Model of Credit Risk with Counter-Cyclical Risk Premia |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
373 |
A Test for Volatility Spillovers |
0 |
0 |
1 |
55 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
159 |
A Test for Volatility Spillovers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
178 |
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications |
0 |
0 |
2 |
118 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
305 |
A Time-Varying Threshold STAR Model with Applications |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
18 |
A simple method for testing cointegration subject to regime changes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
167 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
426 |
AGGREGATE ECONOMY RISK AND COMPANY FAILURE:AN EXAMINATION OF UK QUOTED FIRMS IN THE EARLY 1990s |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
122 |
AGGREGATE ECONOMY RISK AND COMPANY FAILURE:AN EXAMINATION OF UK QUOTED FIRMS IN THE EARLY 1990s |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
171 |
An Empirical Examination of Term Structure Models with Regime Shifts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
195 |
An Empirical Examination of Term Structure Models with Regime Shifts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
111 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
251 |
An Empirical Reassessment of Target-zone Nonlinearities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
659 |
Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in the US: Positive vs. negative or big vs. small? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
379 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
1,991 |
Bond Risk Premia and the ”Return Forecasting Factor” |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
143 |
Bond Risk Premia, Priced Regime Shifts, and Macroeconomic Fundamentals |
1 |
1 |
4 |
54 |
2 |
3 |
14 |
104 |
Bond risk premia and restrictions on risk prices |
0 |
1 |
2 |
26 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
53 |
Bond risk premia, priced regime shifts, and macroeconomic fundamentals |
2 |
2 |
6 |
15 |
2 |
2 |
9 |
35 |
Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
199 |
Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
287 |
Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: estimation, testing and forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
467 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,291 |
Contemporaneous-Threshold Smooth Transition GARCH Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
226 |
Cross-Sectional Aggregation and Persistence in Conditional Variance |
0 |
0 |
0 |
195 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
822 |
Estimating and Forecasting the Yield Curve Using a Markov Switching Dynamic Nelson and Siegel Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
240 |
Estimating and Forecasting the Yield Curve Using a Markov Switching Dynamic Nelson and Siegel Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
277 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
501 |
Markov Switching Causality and the Money-Output Relationship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
226 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
636 |
Markov-Switching Models with State-Dependent Time-Varying Transition Probabilities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
135 |
Markov-Switching Models with State-Dependent Time-Varying Transition Probabilities |
0 |
0 |
1 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
201 |
Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Markov Regime-Switching Models with Covariate-Dependent Transition Probabilities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
32 |
Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Markov Regime-Switching Models with Covariate-Dependent Transition Probabilities |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
102 |
Maximum Likelihood Estimation in Possibly Misspeci ed Dynamic Models with Time-Inhomogeneous Markov Regimes |
0 |
0 |
4 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
42 |
Merton-style option pricing under regime switching |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
753 |
Multivariate Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
Multivariate Contemporaneous-Threshold Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
192 |
Multivariate Markov switching with weighted regime determination: giving France more weight than Finland |
0 |
0 |
1 |
107 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
248 |
Multivariate contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
177 |
On Detrending and Cyclical Asymmetry |
0 |
0 |
0 |
178 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
898 |
On Model Selection and Markov Switching: A Empirical Examination of Term Structure Models with Regime Shifts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
339 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
748 |
On Model Selection and Markov-Switching: An Empirical Examination of Term Structure Models with Regime Shifts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
175 |
On Regime Separation in Markov-Switching Quantile Regressions |
3 |
6 |
31 |
31 |
3 |
8 |
35 |
35 |
On Testing for Bubbles During Hyperinflations |
1 |
1 |
5 |
73 |
1 |
1 |
21 |
89 |
On The Optimal Timing of Introduction of New Products |
0 |
0 |
0 |
123 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
604 |
On the Robustness of Mixture Models in the Presence of Hidden Markov Regimes with Covariate-Dependent Transition Probabilities |
1 |
3 |
12 |
12 |
5 |
12 |
38 |
38 |
On the autocorrelation properties of Long Memory Garch Processes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
236 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
667 |
On the power of tests for superexogeneity and structural invariance |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
162 |
Predictive Accuracy of Impulse Responses Estimated Using Local Projections and Vector Autoregressions |
3 |
4 |
14 |
14 |
4 |
9 |
31 |
31 |
Rational Bubbles During Poland's Hyperinflation: Implications and Empirical Evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
342 |
Rational Bubbles: Too Many to be True? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
24 |
Rational Bubbles: Too Many to be True? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
110 |
Rational bubbles during Polland’s hiperinflation: implications and empirical evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
905 |
Real Options with Priced Regime-Switching Risk |
0 |
0 |
1 |
200 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
402 |
Red Signals: Trade Deficits and the Current Account |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
164 |
Red Signals: Trade Deficits and the Current Account |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
238 |
Residual-based tests for cointegration and multiple regime shifts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
258 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
496 |
Risk Aversion and Changes in Regime |
0 |
1 |
2 |
27 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
25 |
Risk Aversion and Changes in Regime |
0 |
1 |
1 |
19 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
28 |
Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
165 |
Risk Premia and Seasonality in Commodity Futures |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
114 |
Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures |
0 |
0 |
2 |
44 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
123 |
Some Cautionary Results Concerning Markov-Switching Models with Time-Varying Transition Probabilities |
0 |
0 |
3 |
121 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
264 |
Sovereign Defaults: Information, Investment and Credit |
0 |
0 |
0 |
87 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
233 |
State-Dependent Threshold STAR Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
226 |
Structural breaks and GARCH modelling |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
422 |
Target Zones for Exchange Rates and Policy Changes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
107 |
Testing the Unbiased Forward Exchange Rate Hypothesis Using a Markov Switching Model and Instrumental Variables |
0 |
0 |
0 |
261 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
869 |
Testing the Unbiased Forward Exchange Rate Hypothesis Using a Markov Switching Model and Instrumental Variables |
0 |
0 |
0 |
131 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
407 |
The Euro exchange rate efficiency and risk premium:an ecm model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
317 |
The Euro exchange rate efficiency and risk premium:an ecm model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
101 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
408 |
The Optimal Timing of the Introduction of New Products |
0 |
0 |
5 |
103 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
227 |
The Role of Consumer Sentiment in the Stock Market: A Multivariate Dynamic Mixture Model with Threshold Effects |
5 |
7 |
28 |
28 |
6 |
14 |
58 |
58 |
Toward a “new” inflation-targeting framework: the case of Uruguay |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Towards a "New" Inflation Targeting Framework: The Case of Uruguay |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
Towards a “New” Inflation Targeting Framework: The Case of Uruguay |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
410 |
Towards a “New” Inflation Targeting Framework: The Case of Uruguay |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
30 |
Total Working Papers |
16 |
28 |
129 |
6,293 |
40 |
94 |
375 |
22,527 |