| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Simulation of the Forecasting Performance of the Diffusion Index |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
30 |
| A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts |
0 |
0 |
2 |
65 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
185 |
| A regional forecasting model for construction activity |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
83 |
| A textual analysis of Bank of England growth forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
| An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts |
0 |
1 |
1 |
36 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
127 |
| An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts: A Polite Reply |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
114 |
| An Analysis of the 1968-69 Economic Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
| An Evaluation of Federal Reserve Forecasting: Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
39 |
| An Evaluation of Quarterly Judgmental Economic Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
34 |
| An evaluation of Chinese economic forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
| An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
118 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
335 |
| An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve |
0 |
1 |
1 |
94 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
295 |
| Are economic forecasts significantly better than naive predictions? An appropriate test |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
94 |
| Are sports seedings good predictors?: an evaluation |
0 |
3 |
9 |
254 |
2 |
8 |
23 |
482 |
| Book review |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
| Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting: James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, (eds.), 1994, National Bureau of Economic Research, studies in business cycles, vol. 28, (University of Chicago pres |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
206 |
| Can the Fed predict the state of the economy? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
89 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
210 |
| Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
229 |
| Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models: Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
85 |
| DO POLLS OR MARKETS FORECAST BETTER? EVIDENCE FROM THE 2010 US SENATE ELECTIONS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
| Data revisions and forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
76 |
| Data revisions in the U.S. international transactions statistics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
45 |
| Dating turning points in the business cycle: Michael D. Boldin, Journal of business, 67, 97-131 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
248 |
| Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the Automobile Industry: Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
| Diagnosing unemployment: Edmond Malinvaud, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994), pp. 156, $34.95, ISBN 0-521-44533-7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
103 |
| Diagnostics for evaluating the value and rationality of economic forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
103 |
| Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions |
0 |
0 |
3 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
158 |
| Do consensus forecasts exist? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
77 |
| Econometrics and structural change: Lyle D. Broemeling and Hiroki Tsurumi, (Marcel Dekker, New York, 1987) pp. 266, $59.75 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
178 |
| Economic forecasting and contracyclical stabilization policy |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
42 |
| Employment impact of public construction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
| Evaluating National Football League draft choices: The passing game |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
278 |
| Evaluating Predictions of Change |
3 |
5 |
7 |
105 |
3 |
5 |
13 |
266 |
| Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
| Evaluating a long-run forecast: The World Bank poverty forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
61 |
| Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
74 |
| Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
| Evaluating qualitative forecasts: The FOMC minutes, 2006–2010 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
53 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
151 |
| Evaluation of Econometric Inventory Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
89 |
| Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
89 |
| Expectations and forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-time evidence from the business press |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
102 |
| Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
51 |
| Forecasting Industrial Production--Leading Series versus Autoregression |
0 |
0 |
1 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
108 |
| Forecasting elections: Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Tom W. Rice, 1992, (CQ Press, Washington, DC), 163 pp., paperback $18.95, ISBN 0-8718 7-600-0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
93 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
406 |
| Forecasting industrial bottlenecks: An analysis of alternative approaches |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
79 |
| Forecasting methods for management: Spyros Makridakis and Steven C. Wheelwright, Fifth Edition (Wiley, New York, 1989), pp. 470, $52.95 (hard), $27.15, [UK pound]15.95 (soft) |
0 |
1 |
5 |
286 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
1,170 |
| Forecasting the Downturn of the Great Recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
| Forecasting the GNP Price Deflator |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
| Forecasts of a regional construction model: An evaluation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
26 |
| Forecasts of construction activity for states |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
33 |
| Has The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany Improved? |
0 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
67 |
| Has The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany Improved? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
| Improving our ability to predict the unusual event |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
378 |
| Information Problems for Policy Analysis and Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
435 |
| Information rigidity in growth forecasts: Some cross-country evidence |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
84 |
| Interpreting and evaluating CESIfo's World Economic Survey directional forecasts |
0 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
75 |
| Interpreting the Performance of Business Economists During the Great Recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
| Introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
29 |
| Introduction to "The future of macroeconomic forecasting" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
| Irrational Exuberance: Robert Shiller, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2000. Hardcover, 296 pages, ISBN 0-691-05062-7, $27.95 |
1 |
6 |
24 |
142 |
3 |
20 |
75 |
438 |
| Is there a consensus among financial forecasters? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
| Issues in sports forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
130 |
2 |
5 |
15 |
605 |
| Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
97 |
| Kiplinger's looking ahead: 70 years of forecasts from the Kiplinger Washington letter: 1993, (Kiplinger Books, Washington, DC) $29.95, ISBN 0-938721-31-3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
147 |
| Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques |
0 |
0 |
0 |
179 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
429 |
| Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate: R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
139 |
| Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
325 |
| Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,005 |
| Methodological issues in forecasting: Insights from the egregious business forecast errors of late 1930 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
290 |
| Modeling fully employed economies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
| Modeling high levels of defense expenditures: A Vietnam |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
| Nowcasting: Identifying German Cyclical Turning Points |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
41 |
| Optimal Stabilization Policies for Deterministic and Stochastic Linear Systems: Comments |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
42 |
| Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
218 |
| Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games |
0 |
0 |
9 |
241 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
568 |
| Ray C. Fair, Estimating How the Economy Works, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, USA (2004) ISBN 0674-01546-0 295 pp., $65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
| Reply to the comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting' |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
145 |
| Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
66 |
| Sources of turning point forecast errors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
| Sports forecasting |
0 |
0 |
1 |
109 |
4 |
8 |
34 |
412 |
| Testing the efficiency of the National Football League betting market |
0 |
0 |
1 |
121 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
367 |
| The Federal Budget as a Short-Term Forecasting Tool |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
| The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results |
0 |
1 |
6 |
152 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
417 |
| The Savings Rate as a Tool of Economic Analysis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
50 |
| The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games |
0 |
0 |
3 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
342 |
| The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
236 |
| The lead and accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
61 |
| The state of macroeconomic forecasting |
1 |
1 |
8 |
358 |
1 |
4 |
15 |
704 |
| The term spread as a cyclical indicator: a forecasting evaluation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
292 |
| The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
78 |
| Was the deflation of the depression anticipated? An inference using real-time data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
24 |
| What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
133 |
| What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
34 |
| Wheat from Chaff: Meta-Analysis as Quantitative Literature Review: Comment |
0 |
1 |
1 |
71 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
338 |
| Who Forecasts Better? [Economic Forecasts and Their Assessment] |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
157 |
| Who forecasts better?: Herman O. Stekler, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 5 (1987) 155-158 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
216 |
| Why Do Empirical Results Change? Forecasts as Tests of Rational Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
| Why did forecasters fail to predict the 1990 recession? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
98 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
331 |
| Why do Forecasters Underestimate? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
| Total Journal Articles |
5 |
21 |
100 |
4,647 |
42 |
104 |
356 |
17,625 |
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