Access Statistics for Daniel Thornton

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Dynamic Factor Analysis of the Response of U.S. Interest Rates to News 0 1 2 188 0 1 5 513
A dynamic factor analysis of the response of U. S. interest rates to news 0 0 0 139 0 0 2 440
A new federal funds rate target series: September 27, 1982, - December 31, 1993 0 1 3 63 2 4 21 316
A note on the expectations hypothesis at the founding of the Fed 0 0 0 82 0 0 1 311
A note on the relative efficiency of the Cochrane-Orcutt and OLS estimators when the autocorrelation process has a finite past 0 0 1 17 0 0 3 98
An Evaluation of Event-Study Evidence on the Effectiveness of the FOMC’s LSAP Program: Are the Announcement Effects Identified? 0 1 3 36 0 1 5 80
Asymmetry in the prime rate and firms' preference for internal finance 0 0 1 82 0 0 4 741
Complete results for lag length selection 0 1 1 48 0 1 1 118
Discount rate changes and the foreign exchange market 0 0 0 28 0 1 1 175
Discount rate policies of five Federal Reserve Chairmen 1 1 4 176 1 1 8 1,605
Do bank loan rates exhibit a countercyclical mark-up? 0 2 4 114 1 3 7 434
Endpoint constraints and the St. Louis equation: a clarification 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 79
Evidence on the portfolio balance channel of quantitative easing 0 4 12 128 2 10 45 444
Federal Funds Rate Prediction 2 2 2 204 2 4 12 1,882
Federal Funds Rate Prediction 0 0 0 482 0 3 15 6,390
Federal Funds Rate Prediction 0 0 0 20 0 3 9 98
Federal funds rate prediction 1 1 3 323 1 4 14 1,498
Forecasting the Treasury's balance at the Fed 0 1 1 74 0 1 2 318
Greenspan’s conundrum and the Fed’s ability to affect long-term yields 0 0 7 65 0 1 17 242
How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance? 0 0 3 92 1 2 9 45
How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance? 0 0 0 96 1 3 11 309
How did we get to inflation targeting and where do we go now? a perspective from the U.S. experience 0 1 2 50 3 5 8 151
How effective is central bank forward guidance? 1 2 10 109 3 5 19 281
Identifying the liquidity effect: the case of nonborrowed reserves 0 0 2 76 0 0 2 487
Lag length selection and Granger causality 0 1 5 314 1 2 15 662
Lag-length selection criteria: empirical results from the St. Louis equation 0 0 0 60 0 0 3 148
Lifting the veil of secrecy from monetary policy: evidence from the Fed's early discount rate policy 0 0 1 45 0 0 2 332
Monetary policy transparency: transparent about what? 0 0 2 241 1 1 3 582
Monetary policy: why money matters and interest rates don't 0 0 2 176 0 0 5 309
Monetary policy: why money matters, and interest rates don’t 0 0 1 82 1 4 12 113
On the treatment of the weighted initial observation in the AR(1) regression model 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 36
Open market operations and the federal funds rate 0 0 0 153 0 1 6 912
Predicting bond excess returns with forward rates: an asset-allocation perspective 0 1 2 47 0 1 3 125
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis 1 1 3 124 1 2 6 273
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates 0 0 1 158 0 2 7 740
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 4
Price expectations and the demand for money: a comment 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 78
Resolving the unbiasedness and forward premium puzzles 0 0 1 58 0 0 4 114
Resolving the unbiasedness puzzle in the foreign exchange market 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 83
Revisiting the predictability of bond risk premia 0 0 1 68 0 0 4 150
Should consumer expenditures be the scale variable in empirical money demand equations? 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 160
Testing the expectations hypothesis: some new evidence for Japan 0 0 0 57 0 0 2 215
Tests of price sluggishness in the U.K 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 26
Tests of the expectations hypothesis: resolving the Campbell-Shiller paradox 1 1 1 439 1 1 9 1,865
Tests of the expectations hypothesis: resolving the anomalies when the short-term rate is the federal funds rate 0 0 1 125 0 0 2 511
The Andersen-Jordan equation, revisited 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 116
The Dynamic Relationship Between the Federal Funds rate and the Treasury Bill Rate: An Empirical Investigation 1 1 6 556 1 3 21 3,116
The Empirical Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Bond Yields 0 0 1 34 0 0 5 124
The Empirical Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Bond Yields 0 0 0 122 0 0 7 393
The Expectation Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Very Short-Term Rates: Statistical Tests and Economic Value 0 0 3 105 0 1 7 421
The Federal Reserve's operating procedure, nonborrowed reserves, borrowed reserves and the liquidity effect 0 0 3 328 0 1 9 2,155
The Federal Reserve’s response to the financial crisis: what it did and what it should have done 0 2 6 150 2 4 15 172
The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us 0 0 2 10 0 0 5 58
The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us 0 1 1 79 2 5 8 221
The appropriate autocorrelation transformation when the autocorrelation process has a finite past 0 0 1 29 0 0 1 185
The appropriate interest rate and scale variable in money demand: results from non-nested tests 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 527
The budget constraint, endogenous money and the relative importance of fiscal policy under alternative financing schemes 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 78
The daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
The daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects 0 0 1 24 0 0 1 89
The daily liquidity effect 0 0 2 79 0 0 3 429
The dynamic relationship between the federal funds rate and the Treasury bill rate: an empirical investigation 0 0 1 519 1 2 11 2,082
The effect of underreporting on LIBOR rates 0 2 2 32 1 3 12 113
The effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy: the term auction facility 0 1 3 53 0 1 8 132
The efficient market hypothesis and identification in structural VARs 0 0 2 252 0 0 6 865
The empirical failure of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of bond yields 0 0 2 378 0 0 3 781
The expectation hypothesis of the term structure of very short-term rates: statistical tests and economic value 0 0 2 219 0 0 13 732
The identification of the response of interest rates to monetary policy actions using market-based measures of monetary policy shocks 2 2 2 56 2 2 17 196
The information content of discount rate announcements: what's behind the announcement effect? 0 0 1 83 0 0 5 748
The market's reaction to discount changes: what's behind the announcement effect? 0 0 0 39 0 0 1 378
The real-balance effect with resource-using money: a capital-theoretic interpretation 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 45
The relationship between the federal funds rate and the Fed's federal funds rate target: is it open market or open mouth operations? 0 1 2 84 0 4 22 942
The relationship between the federal funds rate and the Fed's federal funds rate target: is it open market or open mouth operations? 0 1 4 266 0 2 12 1,730
The unusual behavior of the federal funds and 10-year Treasury rates: a conundrum or Goodhart’s Law? 0 0 1 106 0 1 6 416
Unanticipated money and the anticipated liquidity effect: some further evidence 1 1 2 17 1 1 2 110
Weighted monetary aggregates as intermediate targets 0 0 0 11 1 1 2 45
What do Almon's endpoint constraints constrain? 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 95
What's Unique About the Federal Funds Rate? Evidence from a Spectral Perspective 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15
What's unique about the federal funds rate? evidence from a spectral perspective 0 0 0 114 0 0 4 562
When did the FOMC begin targeting the federal funds rate? what the verbatim transcripts tell us 0 0 2 104 0 0 7 592
Why do T-bill rates react to discount rate changes? 0 0 2 66 0 1 3 884
Why do market interest rates respond to money announcements? 0 0 0 34 0 0 2 219
Total Working Papers 11 34 136 8,971 34 102 535 44,260
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
"Measured pace" in the conduct of monetary policy 0 0 1 23 0 0 1 74
A history of the asymmetric policy directive 0 0 0 82 0 0 1 304
A note on the efficiency of the cochrane-orcutt estimator of the ar(1) regression model 0 0 2 30 0 1 4 81
A note on the expectations hypothesis at the founding of the Fed 0 0 0 19 0 0 1 94
A perspective on possible Fed exit strategies 0 0 1 19 0 0 2 34
A perspective on the current recession: it's not the "worst case" yet 0 0 1 23 0 0 1 79
A primer on cointegration with an application to money and income 1 2 21 967 1 5 37 1,921
A primer on the mortgage market and mortgage finance 0 0 5 196 0 2 14 550
A proposal for improving forward guidance 0 1 3 24 0 1 5 54
Alternative measures of the monetary base: what are the differences and are they important? 0 0 0 21 0 0 2 192
Alternative policy weapons? 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 33
An early look at the volatility of money and interest rates under CRR 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 47
An experiment is underway 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 30
An extended series of divisia monetary aggregates 0 0 0 38 1 1 2 188
Are Virtual “Currencies” Likely to Succeed? 1 4 4 15 1 4 5 37
Are weighted monetary aggregates better than simple-sum M1? 0 0 2 25 0 0 4 85
Can the FOMC increase the funds rate without reducing reserves? 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 20
Channels of monetary policy. Proceedings of the Nineteenth Annual Economic Policy Conference held October 20-21, 1994 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 40
Channels of monetary policy. Proceedings of the Nineteenth Annual Economic Policy Conference held October 20-21, 1994 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 151
Channels of monetary policy: conference introduction 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 50
Channels of monetary policy: conference introduction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
Comments on "Modeling money demand in large industrial countries: Buffer stock and error correction approaches" 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 34
Core versus headline inflation again 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 30
Core versus headline inflation: an opportunity for greater transparency 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 19
Discount rate changes and the foreign exchange market 0 0 1 20 0 0 3 201
Do government deficits matter? 0 0 0 57 0 0 2 270
Does a mild recession imply a weak recovery? 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 52
Does the Fed's new policy of immediate disclosure affect the market? 0 0 1 120 1 1 2 460
Does the economy need more spending now? 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 20
Effectiveness of QE: An assessment of event-study evidence 2 5 12 12 4 9 18 18
Federal Funds Rate Prediction 0 0 0 0 2 5 13 798
Financial innovation, deregulation and the "credit view" of monetary policy 0 0 0 200 0 0 1 525
Forecasting the Treasury's balance at the Fed 0 0 0 17 0 0 1 174
Greenspan's unconventional view of the long-run inflation/output trade-off 1 1 1 21 1 1 4 84
Guest editor's introduction: What monetary policy can and cannot do 1 1 3 6 4 6 13 25
Has QE been effective? 1 3 6 25 1 3 13 67
Housing and the "R" word 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 41
How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance? 0 0 6 24 1 4 26 70
How did we get to inflation targeting and where do we need to go to now? a perspective from the U.S. experience 0 0 0 17 0 0 2 61
How effective is monetary policy? 0 0 1 35 0 0 1 99
How good are the government’s deficit and debt projections and should we care? 0 0 0 24 0 0 3 70
How robust are the policy conclusions of the St. Louis equation?: some further evidence 0 0 1 24 0 0 1 94
Identifying the liquidity effect at the daily frequency 0 0 1 87 1 1 4 266
Inflation objective and policy credibility: a potential problem for the FOMC 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 16
Interest rate targets abandoned 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 35
Is nominal GDP targeting a rule policymakers could accept? 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 20
Is the FOMC’s policy inflating asset prices? 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 19
Is the FOMC’s unemployment rate threshold a good idea? 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 10
Is there a case for "moderate" inflation? 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 220
Is there less agreement about inflation? 0 0 1 26 0 0 1 70
Lag-Length Selection and Tests of Granger Causality between Money and Income 2 3 8 525 4 6 28 1,336
Lagged and contemporaneous reserve accounting: an alternative view 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 83
Lifting the Veil of Secrecy from Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Fed's Early Discount Rate Policy 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 259
M1 or M2: which is the better monetary target? 0 0 1 24 0 1 2 134
Making monetary policy more transparent 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 50
Making sense of dissents: a history of FOMC dissents 0 1 5 11 1 2 10 33
Market anticipations of monetary policy actions 0 0 1 112 0 0 7 304
Maximum Likelihood Estimates of a Partial Adjustment-Adaptive Expectations Model of the Demand for Money 0 1 1 60 0 1 3 190
Measure for measure: headline versus core inflation 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 69
Monetary anticipations and the demand for money: Reply to MacKinnon and Milbourne 0 0 1 18 0 1 2 96
Monetary policy and longer-term rates: an opportunity for greater transparency 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 22
Monetary policy at the zero bound 0 0 0 12 0 0 2 36
Monetary policy transparency: transparent about what? 0 0 0 40 1 1 2 164
Monetary policy: Why money matters (and interest rates don’t) 0 2 7 43 1 6 24 124
Monetizing the debt 0 0 1 108 1 4 10 587
Monetizing the debt 1 1 5 76 1 1 10 200
Money demand dynamics: some new evidence 0 1 1 35 0 1 3 102
Money in a theory of exchange 1 1 2 115 2 2 6 383
Money, net wealth, and the real-balance effect 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 59
Negating the inflation potential of the Fed's lending programs 0 0 0 10 0 1 1 42
Nominal interest rates: less than zero? 0 0 2 107 0 0 5 591
On the informational content of spot and forward exchange rates 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 56
Open market operations and the federal funds rate 0 1 3 92 1 3 12 379
Out-of-Sample Predictions of Bond Excess Returns and Forward Rates: An Asset Allocation Perspective 1 1 4 21 1 2 7 59
Personal saving and economic growth 0 0 4 43 0 0 9 92
Polynomial distributed lags and the estimation of the St. Louis equation 0 0 0 39 0 0 0 127
Predictability and effectiveness of monetary policy 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 69
Price Expectations and the Demand for Money: A Comment 0 0 1 22 0 0 2 104
Public officials and job creation 0 0 1 7 0 0 1 46
QE: is there a portfolio balance effect? 0 0 9 21 2 10 39 98
Quantitative easing and money growth: potential for higher inflation? 0 0 0 43 0 0 0 88
Simple analytics of the money supply process and monetary control 0 1 1 50 0 1 2 192
Social security, saving, and wealth accumulation 0 1 1 15 0 1 1 49
Solving the 1980s' velocity puzzle: a progress report 0 1 1 49 0 2 3 272
Subprime side effects in the federal funds market 0 0 0 36 0 0 1 93
Targeting M2: the issue of monetary control 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 121
Tax rates and revenue since the 1970s 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 21
Testing the Expectations Hypothesis: Some New Evidence for Japan 0 0 0 13 0 0 6 105
Testing the expectations hypothesis: some new evidence for Japan 0 0 0 52 0 0 3 212
Tests of covered interest rate parity 1 2 8 382 5 8 23 1,757
Tests of the Expectations Hypothesis: Resolving the Campbell-Shiller Paradox 0 0 0 45 1 2 7 188
Tests of the expectations hypothesis: Resolving the anomalies when the short-term rate is the federal funds rate 0 0 1 35 0 0 4 144
Tests of the market's reaction to federal funds rate target changes 0 0 2 275 1 1 21 1,058
The Andersen-Jordan equation revisited 0 0 0 17 0 0 1 94
The Empirical Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Bond Yields 0 0 2 63 2 6 30 213
The FOMC in 1981: monetary control in a changing financial environment 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 39
The FOMC in 1982: de-emphasizing M1 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 40
The FOMC's balance-of-risks statement and market expectations of policy actions 0 0 1 67 0 0 3 583
The FOMC’s interest rate policy: how long is the long run? 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 15
The FOMC’s “considerable period” 1 1 1 22 1 1 3 121
The Fed and short-term rates: Is it open market operations, open mouth operations or interest rate smoothing? 0 0 0 94 0 1 4 271
The Fed's inflation objective 0 2 3 32 0 2 3 77
The Fed, liquidity, and credit allocation 0 0 0 74 0 1 2 251
The Federal Reserve's operating procedure, nonborrowed reserves, borrowed reserves and the liquidity effect 0 0 0 171 0 0 8 695
The Information Content of the Federal Funds Rate: Is It Unique? 0 0 1 45 0 0 3 429
The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us 0 0 1 31 1 3 15 184
The U.S. deficit/debt problem: a longer-run perspective 0 0 0 19 0 0 5 49
The borrowed-reserves operating procedures: theory and evidence 0 1 2 67 0 3 5 394
The case for "inflation first" monetary policy 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 23
The codification of an FOMC procedure 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 56
The cost of checkable deposits in the United States 0 0 0 33 4 4 7 543
The costs and benefits of price stability: an assessment of Howitt's rule 1 1 3 48 3 5 12 224
The discount rate and market interest rates: theory and evidence 0 0 0 68 1 1 2 876
The discount rate and market interest rates: what's the connection? 0 1 1 46 1 2 3 148
The discount rate, interest rates and foreign exchange rates: an analysis with daily data 0 0 0 38 0 0 1 250
The downside of quantitative easing 0 1 4 72 0 3 9 146
The dual mandate: has the Fed changed its objective? 0 0 2 8 0 1 7 40
The dynamic relationship between the federal funds rate and the Treasury bill rate: An empirical investigation 0 0 0 261 1 3 9 1,048
The effect of monetary policy on short-term interest rates 0 0 1 92 0 0 4 409
The effect of the Fed’s purchase of long-term treasuries on the yield curve 0 0 0 27 0 0 2 85
The effect of unanticipated money on the money and foreign exchange markets 0 0 0 16 0 0 1 65
The effect of underreporting on LIBOR rates 0 0 2 32 2 4 12 109
The effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy: the term auction facility 1 1 1 26 1 2 5 114
The efficacy of monetary policy: a tale from two decades 0 0 1 10 0 0 1 23
The efficacy of the FOMC’s zero interest rate policy 0 1 1 10 0 1 1 28
The efficient market hypothesis and identification in structural VARs 0 0 1 162 0 0 4 872
The empirical significance of the real balance effect 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 34
The exceptional 1990s 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 46
The expectation hypothesis of the term structure of very short-term rates: Statistical tests and economic value 0 0 2 178 1 1 7 625
The expected federal budget surplus: how much confidence should the public and policymakers place in the projections? 0 0 0 61 0 0 2 428
The federal debt: too little revenue or too much spending 0 1 1 22 0 1 1 57
The federal debt: what’s the source of the increase in spending? 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 42
The federal funds and long-term rates 0 1 1 25 0 1 1 70
The funds rate target and interest rates 0 0 0 5 0 0 3 46
The golden dollar: the early evidence 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 45
The government budget constraint with endogenous money 0 0 1 17 0 0 2 47
The identification of the response of interest rates to monetary policy actions using market-based measures of monetary policy shocks 1 3 5 23 1 3 11 65
The importance of an asymmetric directive 0 0 1 30 0 0 4 124
The link between M1 and the monetary base in the 198O's 0 0 0 49 0 0 0 422
The lower and upper bounds of the Federal Open Market Committee's long-run inflation objective 0 0 0 17 0 0 6 155
The macroeconomic effects of deficit spending: a review 1 1 4 184 1 1 14 1,183
The monetary policy transmission mechanism? 1 2 5 60 1 2 5 114
The monetary-fiscal policy debate and the Andersen-Jordan equation 0 0 1 58 0 0 6 686
The monetary/fiscal policy debate: a controlled experiment 0 0 2 60 0 0 5 272
The multiplier approach to the money supply process: a precautionary note 0 0 1 373 2 4 16 2,225
The relationship between the daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects 0 0 0 9 0 0 2 64
Understanding the Predictability of Excess Returns 0 0 0 0 2 8 31 31
Using federal funds futures rates to predict Federal Reserve actions 2 3 6 390 3 4 10 2,064
Verbal guidance and the efficacy of forward guidance 0 0 0 16 0 1 2 41
Walter Bagehot, the discount window, and TAF 0 0 0 21 0 0 2 53
What accounts for the reduced frequency of Fed actions? 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 94
What caused long-term rates to rise? 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 32
What does the change in the FOMC's statement of objectives mean? 0 0 1 5 1 1 2 28
What the Libor-OIS spread says 5 12 23 376 8 21 47 828
What's Unique About the Federal Funds Rate? Evidence from a Spectral Perspective 0 0 0 29 0 0 3 161
Which comes first: inflation or the FOMC's funds rate target? 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 22
Why Do T-Bill Rates React to Discount Rate Changes? 0 0 0 77 0 0 2 1,134
Why does velocity matter? 0 0 0 29 2 4 11 134
Why is employment growth so low? 0 0 6 58 0 2 10 109
Why is output growth so slow? 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 16
Withering dissents 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 31
Would QE2 have a significant effect on economic growth, employment, or inflation? 0 0 1 81 2 3 6 171
Would quantitative easing sooner have tempered the financial crisis and economic recession? 0 0 0 95 0 0 1 185
Total Journal Articles 26 66 234 9,050 81 202 837 38,529


Statistics updated 2017-12-03