Access Statistics for Daniel Thornton

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Dynamic Factor Analysis of the Response of U.S. Interest Rates to News 0 0 0 189 0 0 1 526
A dynamic factor analysis of the response of U. S. interest rates to news 0 0 0 143 0 0 1 448
A new federal funds rate target series: September 27, 1982, - December 31, 1993 0 0 2 75 2 2 8 448
A note on the expectations hypothesis at the founding of the Fed 0 0 0 83 1 3 3 326
A note on the relative efficiency of the Cochrane-Orcutt and OLS estimators when the autocorrelation process has a finite past 0 0 0 19 2 2 3 114
An Evaluation of Event-Study Evidence on the Effectiveness of the FOMC’s LSAP Program: Are the Announcement Effects Identified? 0 0 0 46 1 1 1 117
Asymmetry in the prime rate and firms' preference for internal finance 0 0 0 85 0 0 3 766
Complete results for lag length selection 0 0 0 49 1 1 2 126
Discount rate changes and the foreign exchange market 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 184
Discount rate policies of five Federal Reserve Chairmen 0 0 1 180 0 0 6 1,633
Do bank loan rates exhibit a countercyclical mark-up? 0 0 1 124 1 1 8 489
Endpoint constraints and the St. Louis equation: a clarification 0 0 0 28 1 1 1 84
Evidence on the portfolio balance channel of quantitative easing 0 0 1 146 1 1 3 490
Federal Funds Rate Prediction 0 0 0 207 0 1 5 1,931
Federal Funds Rate Prediction 0 0 0 482 1 1 2 6,431
Federal funds rate prediction 0 0 0 329 1 3 5 1,549
Forecasting the Treasury's balance at the Fed 0 0 0 74 0 0 3 334
Greenspan’s conundrum and the Fed’s ability to affect long-term yields 0 0 2 71 1 1 7 277
How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance? 0 0 2 108 0 1 7 380
How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance? 0 0 0 97 0 0 0 79
How did we get to inflation targeting and where do we go now? a perspective from the U.S. experience 0 0 0 53 0 0 1 162
How effective is central bank forward guidance? 0 0 0 115 0 1 3 334
Identifying the liquidity effect: the case of nonborrowed reserves 0 0 0 85 1 2 2 510
Lag length selection and Granger causality 0 0 0 315 1 2 2 679
Lag-length selection criteria: empirical results from the St. Louis equation 0 0 0 64 1 2 4 164
Lifting the veil of secrecy from monetary policy: evidence from the Fed's early discount rate policy 0 0 0 45 1 1 2 346
Monetary policy transparency: transparent about what? 0 0 0 243 0 1 3 609
Monetary policy: why money matters and interest rates don't 0 0 1 182 0 0 1 345
Monetary policy: why money matters, and interest rates don’t 0 0 1 100 0 1 6 173
On the treatment of the weighted initial observation in the AR(1) regression model 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 44
Open market operations and the federal funds rate 0 0 1 158 0 1 6 943
Predicting bond excess returns with forward rates: an asset-allocation perspective 0 0 0 53 1 1 3 145
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis 0 0 1 141 0 0 1 322
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 160 0 0 1 762
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 158 1 2 7 466
Price expectations and the demand for money: a comment 0 0 0 29 1 1 1 85
Resolving the unbiasedness and forward premium puzzles 0 0 0 60 1 1 1 125
Resolving the unbiasedness puzzle in the foreign exchange market 0 0 0 30 1 2 2 99
Revisiting the predictability of bond risk premia 0 0 0 71 0 0 1 172
Should consumer expenditures be the scale variable in empirical money demand equations? 0 0 0 22 1 1 2 168
Testing the expectations hypothesis: some new evidence for Japan 0 0 0 57 1 1 10 284
Tests of price sluggishness in the U.K 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 30
Tests of the expectations hypothesis: resolving the Campbell-Shiller paradox 0 0 0 445 1 1 2 1,900
Tests of the expectations hypothesis: resolving the anomalies when the short-term rate is the federal funds rate 0 0 0 127 4 4 6 526
The Andersen-Jordan equation, revisited 0 0 0 23 1 1 2 130
The Dynamic Relationship Between the Federal Funds rate and the Treasury Bill Rate: An Empirical Investigation 0 0 0 564 0 0 0 3,172
The Empirical Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Bond Yields 0 0 0 125 0 2 3 429
The Expectation Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Very Short-Term Rates: Statistical Tests and Economic Value 0 0 0 108 0 0 3 461
The Federal Reserve's operating procedure, nonborrowed reserves, borrowed reserves and the liquidity effect 0 0 0 332 0 0 1 2,183
The Federal Reserve’s response to the financial crisis: what it did and what it should have done 0 0 1 166 2 4 15 238
The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us 0 0 1 13 1 2 6 90
The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us 0 0 1 85 1 1 5 257
The appropriate autocorrelation transformation when the autocorrelation process has a finite past 0 0 0 30 1 1 1 194
The appropriate interest rate and scale variable in money demand: results from non-nested tests 0 0 0 25 1 1 1 537
The budget constraint, endogenous money and the relative importance of fiscal policy under alternative financing schemes 0 0 0 13 1 1 1 84
The daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects 0 0 0 25 1 1 2 106
The daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 100
The daily liquidity effect 0 0 0 83 1 1 2 461
The dynamic relationship between the federal funds rate and the Treasury bill rate: an empirical investigation 0 0 0 527 2 2 4 2,135
The effect of underreporting on LIBOR rates 0 0 1 38 2 2 4 153
The effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy: the term auction facility 0 0 0 57 1 2 2 171
The efficient market hypothesis and identification in structural VARs 0 0 0 253 1 1 1 885
The empirical failure of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of bond yields 0 0 0 383 2 2 2 817
The expectation hypothesis of the term structure of very short-term rates: statistical tests and economic value 0 0 0 222 0 0 0 749
The expectations theory and the founding of the fed: another look at the evidence 0 0 0 30 0 0 1 183
The identification of the response of interest rates to monetary policy actions using market-based measures of monetary policy shocks 0 1 1 67 1 2 4 237
The information content of discount rate announcements: what's behind the announcement effect? 0 0 0 86 0 0 1 785
The market's reaction to discount changes: what's behind the announcement effect? 0 0 0 39 1 2 3 381
The real-balance effect with resource-using money: a capital-theoretic interpretation 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 49
The relationship between the federal funds rate and the Fed's federal funds rate target: is it open market or open mouth operations? 0 0 0 269 0 0 1 1,752
The relationship between the federal funds rate and the Fed's federal funds rate target: is it open market or open mouth operations? 0 0 0 88 0 3 5 973
The unusual behavior of the federal funds and 10-year Treasury rates: a conundrum or Goodhart’s Law? 0 1 2 109 0 1 4 443
Unanticipated money and the anticipated liquidity effect: some further evidence 0 0 0 17 2 2 2 117
Weighted monetary aggregates as intermediate targets 0 0 0 11 2 2 2 53
What do Almon's endpoint constraints constrain? 0 0 0 15 1 1 1 115
What's unique about the federal funds rate? evidence from a spectral perspective 0 0 0 114 0 2 3 580
When did the FOMC begin targeting the federal funds rate? what the verbatim transcripts tell us 0 1 5 128 0 1 23 707
Why do T-bill rates react to discount rate changes? 0 0 0 67 2 2 2 896
Why do market interest rates respond to money announcements? 0 0 0 35 1 1 1 226
Total Working Papers 0 3 25 9,452 61 91 252 46,974


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A history of the asymmetric policy directive 0 1 3 87 1 4 6 324
A note on the efficiency of the cochrane-orcutt estimator of the ar(1) regression model 0 0 0 35 0 1 2 99
A note on the expectations hypothesis at the founding of the Fed 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 103
A perspective on possible Fed exit strategies 0 0 0 24 0 0 0 55
A perspective on the current recession: it's not the \\"worst case\\" yet 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 89
A primer on cointegration with an application to money and income 0 0 3 993 0 1 7 2,036
A primer on the mortgage market and mortgage finance 0 0 6 213 1 2 13 624
A proposal for improving forward guidance 0 0 0 28 0 0 0 72
Alternative measures of the monetary base: what are the differences and are they important? 0 0 0 22 0 0 0 204
Alternative policy weapons? 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 39
An early look at the volatility of money and interest rates under CRR 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 51
An experiment is underway 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 54
An extended series of divisia monetary aggregates 0 0 0 42 0 0 2 204
Are Virtual “Currencies” Likely to Succeed? 1 1 1 20 1 2 2 60
Are weighted monetary aggregates better than simple-sum M1? 0 0 0 26 0 0 2 99
Can the FOMC increase the funds rate without reducing reserves? 0 0 0 4 0 1 2 27
Channels of monetary policy. Proceedings of the Nineteenth Annual Economic Policy Conference held October 20-21, 1994 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 55
Channels of monetary policy. Proceedings of the Nineteenth Annual Economic Policy Conference held October 20-21, 1994 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 168
Channels of monetary policy: conference introduction 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 64
Channels of monetary policy: conference introduction 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 17
Comments on "Modeling money demand in large industrial countries: Buffer stock and error correction approaches" 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 39
Core versus headline inflation again 0 0 0 18 0 1 1 44
Core versus headline inflation: an opportunity for greater transparency 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 41
Discount rate changes and the foreign exchange market 0 0 0 22 1 2 2 217
Do government deficits matter? 0 0 0 59 0 0 0 283
Does a mild recession imply a weak recovery? 0 0 1 15 0 0 1 65
Does the Fed's new policy of immediate disclosure affect the market? 0 0 0 125 0 0 1 477
Does the economy need more spending now? 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 33
Effectiveness of QE: An assessment of event-study evidence 0 0 2 99 0 2 5 313
Federal Funds Rate Prediction 0 0 0 0 1 1 7 844
Financial innovation, deregulation and the \\"credit view\\" of monetary policy 0 0 0 207 0 1 2 561
Forecasting the Treasury's balance at the Fed 0 0 0 17 0 1 2 183
Further Evidence on Greenspan’s Conundrum 0 0 2 9 2 2 6 28
Greenspan's Conundrum and the Fed's Ability to Affect Long‐Term Yields 0 1 3 11 1 7 12 57
Greenspan's unconventional view of the long-run inflation/output trade-off 0 0 2 23 0 0 4 94
Guest editor's introduction: What monetary policy can and cannot do 0 0 0 9 0 0 1 45
Has QE been effective? 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 153
Housing and the \"R\" word 0 0 0 15 0 0 1 49
How Effective Is Central Bank Forward Guidance? 0 0 3 75 0 1 11 303
How did we get to inflation targeting and where do we need to go to now? a perspective from the U.S. experience 0 0 0 22 0 0 1 93
How effective is monetary policy? 0 0 1 40 0 0 1 116
How good are the government’s deficit and debt projections and should we care? 0 1 4 32 0 2 7 95
How robust are the policy conclusions of the St. Louis equation?: some further evidence 0 0 0 25 0 0 1 104
Identifying the liquidity effect at the daily frequency 0 1 1 91 0 1 3 287
Inflation objective and policy credibility: a potential problem for the FOMC 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 18
Interest rate targets abandoned 0 0 0 7 0 0 1 44
Is nominal GDP targeting a rule policymakers could accept? 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 46
Is the FOMC’s policy inflating asset prices? 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 24
Is the FOMC’s unemployment rate threshold a good idea? 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 17
Is there a case for \\"moderate\\" inflation? 0 0 0 13 0 0 1 228
Is there less agreement about inflation? 0 0 0 28 1 1 1 86
Lag-Length Selection and Tests of Granger Causality between Money and Income 1 1 1 563 1 2 3 1,439
Lagged and contemporaneous reserve accounting: an alternative view 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 88
Lifting the Veil of Secrecy from Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Fed's Early Discount Rate Policy 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 272
M1 or M2: which is the better monetary target? 0 0 0 24 0 0 0 141
Making monetary policy more transparent 0 0 0 15 0 0 1 59
Making sense of dissents: a history of FOMC dissents 3 7 11 44 5 23 47 217
Market anticipations of monetary policy actions 0 0 3 127 1 1 6 363
Maximum Likelihood Estimates of a Partial Adjustment-Adaptive Expectations Model of the Demand for Money 0 0 0 62 0 0 0 200
Measure for measure: headline versus core inflation 0 0 0 24 0 0 0 84
Monetary anticipations and the demand for money: Reply to MacKinnon and Milbourne 0 0 0 19 0 1 2 110
Monetary policy and longer-term rates: an opportunity for greater transparency 0 0 1 10 0 0 2 34
Monetary policy at the zero bound 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 43
Monetary policy transparency: transparent about what? 0 0 0 42 0 1 2 189
Monetary policy: Why money matters (and interest rates don’t) 0 1 6 66 0 2 9 230
Monetizing the debt 0 1 5 119 1 4 12 634
Monetizing the debt 0 3 6 107 0 4 8 320
Money demand dynamics: some new evidence 0 0 0 36 0 0 0 111
Money in a theory of exchange 0 0 1 125 1 3 20 520
Money, net wealth, and the real-balance effect 0 0 0 6 0 1 1 67
Negating the inflation potential of the Fed's lending programs 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 53
Nominal interest rates: less than zero? 0 0 0 126 0 0 0 620
On the informational content of spot and forward exchange rates 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 74
Open market operations and the federal funds rate 0 0 2 101 0 0 3 414
Out-of-Sample Predictions of Bond Excess Returns and Forward Rates: An Asset Allocation Perspective 0 0 0 34 0 0 1 118
Personal saving and economic growth 0 0 1 70 0 0 4 161
Polynomial distributed lags and the estimation of the St. Louis equation 0 0 0 40 0 0 3 140
Predictability and effectiveness of monetary policy 0 0 1 32 1 1 3 80
Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis 0 0 2 22 0 1 6 88
Price Expectations and the Demand for Money: A Comment 0 0 0 22 0 2 2 110
Public officials and job creation 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 64
QE: is there a portfolio balance effect? 0 0 1 80 1 2 5 453
Quantitative easing and money growth: potential for higher inflation? 0 0 0 53 0 0 0 109
Resolving the unbiasedness and forward premium puzzles 0 0 0 5 1 3 5 21
Simple analytics of the money supply process and monetary control 0 0 0 51 0 0 0 235
Social security, saving, and wealth accumulation 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 57
Solving the 1980s' velocity puzzle: a progress report 0 0 1 52 0 0 2 293
Subprime side effects in the federal funds market 0 0 0 36 0 0 2 107
Targeting M2: the issue of monetary control 0 0 0 15 0 0 1 129
Tax rates and revenue since the 1970s 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 35
Testing the Expectations Hypothesis: Some New Evidence for Japan 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 124
Testing the expectations hypothesis: some new evidence for Japan 0 0 1 55 0 1 2 241
Tests of covered interest rate parity 0 1 2 388 0 2 5 1,802
Tests of the Expectations Hypothesis: Resolving the Campbell-Shiller Paradox 0 0 0 48 0 1 5 230
Tests of the expectations hypothesis: Resolving the anomalies when the short-term rate is the federal funds rate 0 0 0 36 0 0 2 161
Tests of the market's reaction to federal funds rate target changes 0 2 4 296 0 4 9 1,122
The Andersen-Jordan equation revisited 0 0 0 17 1 2 3 103
The Empirical Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Bond Yields 0 0 0 66 1 2 3 269
The FOMC in 1981: monetary control in a changing financial environment 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 43
The FOMC in 1982: de-emphasizing M1 0 0 0 5 0 0 2 51
The FOMC's balance-of-risks statement and market expectations of policy actions 0 0 1 70 0 1 5 608
The FOMCs considerable period 0 0 0 22 0 0 3 137
The FOMC’s interest rate policy: how long is the long run? 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 30
The Fed and short-term rates: Is it open market operations, open mouth operations or interest rate smoothing? 0 0 0 99 0 0 2 296
The Fed's inflation objective 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 84
The Fed, liquidity, and credit allocation 0 0 0 78 0 0 2 342
The Federal Reserve's operating procedure, nonborrowed reserves, borrowed reserves and the liquidity effect 0 1 2 176 0 1 5 748
The Information Content of the Federal Funds Rate: Is It Unique? 0 0 0 45 0 1 1 447
The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us 0 0 1 43 1 1 2 218
The U.S. deficit/debt problem: a longer-run perspective 0 0 0 19 0 1 4 74
The borrowed-reserves operating procedures: theory and evidence 0 0 0 72 0 1 4 424
The case for \\"inflation first\\" monetary policy 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 34
The codification of an FOMC procedure 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 63
The cost of checkable deposits in the United States 0 0 0 34 1 1 2 562
The costs and benefits of price stability: an assessment of Howitt's rule 0 0 0 55 0 2 2 263
The discount rate and market interest rates: theory and evidence 0 1 4 75 0 3 6 897
The discount rate and market interest rates: what's the connection? 0 0 0 48 0 0 2 170
The discount rate, interest rates and foreign exchange rates: an analysis with daily data 0 1 2 44 2 11 15 292
The downside of quantitative easing 0 0 2 99 0 0 3 224
The dual mandate: has the Fed changed its objective? 1 2 5 25 2 3 12 88
The dynamic relationship between the federal funds rate and the Treasury bill rate: An empirical investigation 0 0 0 284 1 1 7 1,121
The effect of monetary policy on short-term interest rates 0 1 2 96 1 2 6 436
The effect of the Fed’s purchase of long-term treasuries on the yield curve 0 0 0 29 0 0 0 95
The effect of unanticipated money on the money and foreign exchange markets 0 0 0 16 0 0 1 69
The effect of underreporting on LIBOR rates 0 0 1 54 2 3 7 214
The effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy: the term auction facility 0 0 0 33 0 0 2 143
The efficacy of monetary policy: a tale from two decades 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 32
The efficacy of the FOMC’s zero interest rate policy 0 0 1 12 0 1 2 37
The efficient market hypothesis and identification in structural VARs 0 0 1 163 0 0 10 900
The empirical significance of the real balance effect 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 39
The exceptional 1990s 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 57
The expectation hypothesis of the term structure of very short-term rates: Statistical tests and economic value 0 0 1 201 0 1 3 699
The expected federal budget surplus: how much confidence should the public and policymakers place in the projections? 0 0 0 68 0 0 4 458
The federal debt: too little revenue or too much spending 0 0 1 26 0 0 1 69
The federal debt: what’s the source of the increase in spending? 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 53
The federal funds and long-term rates 0 0 0 28 0 0 1 91
The financial crisis: what caused it and when and why it ended 0 0 0 4 0 1 4 23
The funds rate target and interest rates 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 59
The golden dollar: the early evidence 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 53
The government budget constraint with endogenous money 0 0 1 21 0 1 3 56
The identification of the response of interest rates to monetary policy actions using market-based measures of monetary policy shocks 0 1 1 39 0 1 2 123
The importance of an asymmetric directive 0 0 1 33 0 0 1 139
The link between M1 and the monetary base in the 198O's 0 0 0 49 0 0 0 489
The lower and upper bounds of the Federal Open Market Committee's long-run inflation objective 0 0 0 20 0 2 3 258
The macroeconomic effects of deficit spending: a review 0 0 0 192 0 0 1 1,227
The monetary policy transmission mechanism? 0 0 1 77 0 0 2 153
The monetary-fiscal policy debate and the Andersen-Jordan equation 0 1 1 65 0 3 4 724
The monetary/fiscal policy debate: a controlled experiment 0 0 0 60 0 0 0 298
The multiplier approach to the money supply process: a precautionary note 0 0 1 380 0 0 3 2,270
The relationship between the daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects 0 0 1 10 0 2 4 76
Using federal funds futures rates to predict Federal Reserve actions 0 0 3 413 0 0 6 2,151
Verbal guidance and the efficacy of forward guidance 0 0 1 21 0 0 1 56
Walter Bagehot, the discount window, and TAF 0 0 1 23 0 0 1 64
What accounts for the reduced frequency of Fed actions? 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 98
What caused long-term rates to rise? 0 0 0 8 0 1 3 39
What does the change in the FOMC's statement of objectives mean? 0 1 2 9 0 1 3 47
What the Libor-OIS spread says 0 1 4 454 0 1 10 1,047
What's Unique About the Federal Funds Rate? Evidence from a Spectral Perspective* 0 0 0 30 0 0 1 175
Which comes first: inflation or the FOMC's funds rate target? 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 32
Why Do T-Bill Rates React to Discount Rate Changes? 0 0 0 77 0 4 6 1,149
Why does velocity matter? 0 2 5 40 1 4 10 175
Why is employment growth so low? 0 0 0 62 0 0 2 134
Why is output growth so slow? 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 24
Withering dissents 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 38
Would QE2 have a significant effect on economic growth, employment, or inflation? 0 0 0 83 0 1 5 189
Would quantitative easing sooner have tempered the financial crisis and economic recession? 0 0 1 98 0 0 1 200
\"Measured pace\" in the conduct of monetary policy 0 0 0 24 0 0 1 85
Total Journal Articles 6 33 129 10,196 34 155 501 44,224
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Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
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A Primer on Cointegration with an Application to Money and Income 0 0 0 0 2 4 9 22
Total Chapters 0 0 0 0 2 4 9 22


Statistics updated 2025-10-06