| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of Biased Simulation Schemes for Stochastic Volatility Models |
0 |
2 |
4 |
403 |
0 |
3 |
35 |
1,111 |
| A Multi-Level Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression for US Sectoral Production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
475 |
| A Multivariate STAR Analysis of the Relationship Between Money and Output |
0 |
0 |
0 |
252 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
674 |
| A Multivariate STAR Analysis of the Relationship Between Money and Output |
0 |
0 |
0 |
357 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
854 |
| A Recommitment Strategy for Long Term Private Equity Fund Investors |
0 |
0 |
2 |
135 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
436 |
| A multi-level panel smooth transition autoregression for US sectoral production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
38 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
133 |
| A multivariate STAR analysis of the relationship between money and output |
0 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
329 |
| A nonlinear long memory model for US unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
106 |
| A simple test for PPP among traded goods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
87 |
| A unified approach to nonlinearity, structural change and outliers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
153 |
| Accelerating Peak Dating in a Dynamic Factor Markov-Switching Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
61 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
53 |
| An Alternative Bayesian Approach to Structural Breaks in Time Series Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
201 |
| Are statistical reporting agencies getting it right? Data rationality and business cycle asymmetry |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
97 |
| Asymmetric and Common Absorption of Shocks in Nonlinear Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
303 |
| Asymmetric and Common Abssorbtion of Shocks in Nonlinear Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
267 |
| Asymmetric and common absorption of shocks in nonlinear autoregressive models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
113 |
| Backtesting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in the Presence of Estimation Error |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
3 |
3 |
27 |
160 |
| Bayesian Forecasting of Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
0 |
2 |
24 |
419 |
| Bayesian Model Averaging in the Presence of Structural Breaks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
139 |
| Changes in International Business Cycle Affiliations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
296 |
| Changes in International Business Cycle Affiliations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
107 |
| Changes in Variability of the Business Cycle in the G7 Countries |
0 |
0 |
1 |
132 |
2 |
3 |
17 |
444 |
| Changes in variability of the business cycle in the G7 countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
101 |
| Changes in variability of the business cycle in the G7 countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
289 |
| Closed-Form Multi-Factor Copula Models with Observation-Driven Dynamic Factor Loadings |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
2 |
4 |
14 |
113 |
| Cointegration in a historical perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
110 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
155 |
| Comparing the Accuracy of Copula-Based Multivariate Density Forecasts in Selected Regions of Support |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
102 |
| Contagion as Domino Effect in Global Stock Markets |
0 |
0 |
2 |
105 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
371 |
| Corporate Governance and the Cost of Debt of Large European Firms |
0 |
0 |
1 |
102 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
293 |
| Corporate Governance and the Value of Excess Cash Holdings of Large European Firms |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
331 |
| Do We Often Find ARCH Because Of Neglected Outliers? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
52 |
| Do leading indicators lead peaks more than troughs? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
93 |
1 |
3 |
21 |
266 |
| Does Africa grow slower than Asia and Latin America? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
89 |
| Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real-time? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
21 |
33 |
| Does the absence of cointegration explain the typical findings in long horizon regressions? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
247 |
| Dynamic Factor Models for the Volatility Surface |
0 |
0 |
1 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
125 |
| Evaluating real-time forecasts in real-time |
0 |
1 |
1 |
22 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
102 |
| Financial Development and Convergence Clubs |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
169 |
| Forecast comparison of principal component regression and principal covariate regression |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
180 |
| Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Prices: Utilizing Hourly Prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
93 |
1 |
1 |
31 |
172 |
| Forecasting Interest Rates with Shifting Endpoints |
0 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
0 |
4 |
18 |
219 |
| Forecasting US Inflation Using Model Averaging |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
858 |
| Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
128 |
| Forecasting Volatility with Copula-Based Time Series Models |
0 |
1 |
2 |
206 |
0 |
2 |
33 |
465 |
| Forecasting Volatility with the Realized Range in the Presence of Noise and Non-Trading |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
123 |
| Forecasting aggregates using panels of nonlinear time series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
90 |
| Forecasting business cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
39 |
| Forecasting business cycles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
25 |
| Forecasting industrial production with linear, nonlinear, and structural change models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
193 |
| Forecasting the Yield Curve in a Data-Rich Environment using the Factor-Augmented Nelson-Siegel Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
122 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
210 |
| Forecasting volatility with switching persistence GARCH models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
78 |
| Getting the Most out of Macroeconomic Information for Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility |
0 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
254 |
| Good News is No News |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
111 |
| Heterogeneity in Manufacturing Growth Risk |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
44 |
| High-Frequency Technical Trading: The Importance of Speed |
0 |
0 |
2 |
82 |
1 |
2 |
18 |
237 |
| How to Identify and Forecast Bull and Bear Markets? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
226 |
1 |
8 |
47 |
382 |
| Identifying Changes in Mean, Seasonality, Persistence and Volatility for G7 and Euro Area Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
87 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
285 |
| Implicit score-driven filters for time-varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
12 |
12 |
1 |
2 |
18 |
18 |
| Implicit score-driven filters for time-varying parameter models |
0 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
1 |
1 |
19 |
54 |
| Improved Construction of diffusion indexes for macroeconomic forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
1 |
1 |
20 |
103 |
| Improving Density Forecasts and Value-at-Risk Estimates by Combining Densities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
100 |
| Instability and nonlinearity in the euro area Phillips curve |
0 |
0 |
1 |
155 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
494 |
| Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails |
0 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
92 |
| Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A reexamination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
767 |
0 |
2 |
22 |
1,506 |
| Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
240 |
1 |
2 |
17 |
1,515 |
| Localizing Strictly Proper Scoring Rules |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
30 |
| Macroeconomic Crisis and Individual Firm Performance: The Mexican Experience |
0 |
0 |
0 |
146 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
593 |
| Macroeconomic forecasting with real-time data: an empirical comparison |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
135 |
| Market Set-Up in Advance of Federal Reserve Policy Decisions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
2 |
3 |
9 |
123 |
| Measuring and Predicting Heterogeneous Recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
98 |
| Measuring and Predicting Heterogeneous Recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
3 |
4 |
16 |
300 |
| Measuring volatility with the realized range |
0 |
0 |
2 |
91 |
0 |
1 |
27 |
298 |
| Modeling and Estimation of Synchronization in Multistate Markov-Switching Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
89 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
238 |
| Modeling and Forecasting S&P 500 Volatility: Long Memory, Structural Breaks and Nonlinearity |
0 |
0 |
1 |
824 |
4 |
8 |
20 |
2,430 |
| Modeling asymmetric volatility in weekly Dutch temperature data |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
83 |
| Modeling regional house prices |
0 |
0 |
0 |
159 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
308 |
| Modelling Multiple Regimes in the Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
1 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
180 |
| Moments, Shocks and Spillovers in Markov-switching VAR Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
37 |
| New HEAVY Models for Fat-Tailed Returns and Realized Covariance Kernels |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
3 |
16 |
85 |
| Nonlinear Error-Correction Models for Interest Rates in The Netherlands |
1 |
1 |
2 |
72 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
194 |
| Nonlinear Forecasting With Many Predictors Using Kernel Ridge Regression |
0 |
0 |
0 |
169 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
487 |
| Nonlinear Forecasting with Many Predictors using Kernel Ridge Regression |
0 |
0 |
0 |
105 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
263 |
| Nonlinearities and outliers: robust specification of STAR models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
155 |
| On the Effects of Private Information on Volatility |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
144 |
| On the Effects of Private Information on Volatility |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
112 |
| Out-of-sample Comparison of Copula Specifications in Multivariate Density Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
328 |
| Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
194 |
| Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
191 |
| Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
41 |
| Outlier detection in the GARCH (1,1) model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
124 |
| Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models |
0 |
0 |
3 |
258 |
2 |
6 |
49 |
982 |
| Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models |
1 |
2 |
3 |
851 |
3 |
12 |
56 |
2,559 |
| Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models |
5 |
13 |
51 |
3,314 |
20 |
58 |
308 |
10,199 |
| Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
230 |
| Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails |
0 |
0 |
0 |
73 |
2 |
3 |
14 |
232 |
| Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails |
0 |
0 |
1 |
39 |
0 |
7 |
23 |
227 |
| Predicting Covariance Matrices with Financial Conditions Indexes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
83 |
| Predicting Growth Cycle Regimes for European Countries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
143 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
451 |
| Predicting the Daily Covariance Matrix for S&P 100 Stocks using Intraday Data - But which Frequency to use? |
1 |
1 |
1 |
365 |
2 |
3 |
20 |
1,321 |
| Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information |
0 |
0 |
1 |
357 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
921 |
| Predicting the term structure of interest rates incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information |
0 |
0 |
0 |
141 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
378 |
| Range-based covariance estimation using high-frequency data: The realized co-range |
0 |
1 |
2 |
91 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
234 |
| Realized mixed-frequency factor models for vast dimensional covariance estimation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
138 |
| SETS, Arbitrage Activity, and Stock Price Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
310 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
1,390 |
| Seasonal smooth transition autoregression |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
134 |
| Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
0 |
2 |
16 |
86 |
| Semi-Parametric Modelling of Correlation Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
1 |
2 |
16 |
155 |
| Short Patches of Outliers, ARCH and Volatility Modeling |
0 |
0 |
0 |
281 |
1 |
2 |
14 |
1,030 |
| Short-term Volatility Versus Long-term Growth: Evidence in US Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
302 |
| Short-term Volatility versus Long-term Growth: Evidence in US Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
134 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
470 |
| Short-term Volatility versus Long-term Growth: Evidence in US Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
715 |
| Short-term volatility versus long-term growth: evidence in US macroeconomic time series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
88 |
| Slow Expectation-Maximization Convergence in Low-Noise Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
46 |
| Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models - A Survey of Recent Developments |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,811 |
1 |
7 |
32 |
3,444 |
| Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments |
1 |
1 |
4 |
464 |
2 |
3 |
52 |
934 |
| Speed, Algorithmic Trading, and Market Quality around Macroeconomic News Announcements |
1 |
1 |
1 |
72 |
4 |
7 |
30 |
227 |
| Stock Selection Strategies in Emerging Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
803 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
1,950 |
| Structural Breaks in the International Transmission of Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
211 |
2 |
4 |
14 |
480 |
| Structural Differences in Economic Growth |
0 |
0 |
0 |
121 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
279 |
| Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
101 |
0 |
4 |
24 |
325 |
| Term structure forecasting using macro factors and forecast combination |
0 |
0 |
1 |
157 |
2 |
4 |
20 |
351 |
| Testing for ARCH in the Presence of Additive Outliers |
1 |
1 |
1 |
27 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
153 |
| Testing for Smooth Transition Nonlinearity in the Presence of Outliers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
151 |
| Testing for Stochastic Unit Roots - Some Monte Carlo evidence |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
1 |
2 |
16 |
69 |
| Testing for Volatility Changes in US Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
334 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
828 |
| Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
83 |
| Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
154 |
1 |
2 |
16 |
387 |
| Testing for changes in volatility in heteroskedastic time series - a further examination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
217 |
| The Economic Value of Fundamental and Technical Information in Emerging Currency Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
209 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
491 |
| The Effects of Federal Funds Target Rate Changes on S&P100 Stock Returns, Volatilities, and Correlations |
1 |
2 |
3 |
304 |
1 |
4 |
18 |
596 |
| The Euro Introduction and Non-Euro Currencies |
0 |
0 |
1 |
217 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
903 |
| The Euro-introduction and non-Euro currencies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
20 |
| The Inefficient Use of Macroeconomic Information in Analysts' Earnings Forecasts in Emerging Markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
223 |
| The Success Of Stock Selection Strategies In Emerging Markets: Is It Risk Or Behavioral Bias? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
147 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
461 |
| The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctiations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
105 |
| The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
204 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
976 |
| The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
93 |
| Time Variation in Asset Return Dependence: Strength or Structure? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
168 |
| Time series forecasting by principal covariate regression |
0 |
0 |
0 |
86 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
308 |
| Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
175 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
2,161 |
| Timing of Vote Decision in First and Second Order Dutch Elections 1978-1995: Evidence from Artificial Neural Networks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
92 |
| Unit root tests and assymmetric adjustment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
55 |
| When Do Managers Seek Private Equity Backing in Public-to-Private Transactions? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
146 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
507 |
| Why do Pit-Hours outlive the Pit? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
1 |
5 |
27 |
88 |
| Total Working Papers |
12 |
27 |
120 |
20,915 |
99 |
298 |
2,497 |
64,437 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A comparison of biased simulation schemes for stochastic volatility models |
1 |
6 |
10 |
92 |
5 |
13 |
42 |
354 |
| A multi-level panel STAR model for US manufacturing sectors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
380 |
0 |
1 |
23 |
1,047 |
| A nonlinear long memory model, with an application to US unemployment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
134 |
1 |
6 |
17 |
362 |
| A simple test for PPP among traded goods |
0 |
0 |
0 |
93 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
301 |
| A unified approach to nonlinearity, structural change, and outliers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
167 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
422 |
| Absorption of shocks in nonlinear autoregressive models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
166 |
| Accelerating peak dating in a dynamic factor Markov-switching model |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
13 |
| Are Statistical Reporting Agencies Getting It Right? Data Rationality and Business Cycle Asymmetry |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
311 |
| Backtesting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in the Presence of Estimation Error* |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
8 |
12 |
40 |
48 |
| Bayesian forecasting of federal funds target rate decisions |
0 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
1 |
2 |
13 |
215 |
| Can Tests for Stochastic Unit Roots Provide Useful Portmanteau Tests for Persistence? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
| Closed-Form Multi-Factor Copula Models With Observation-Driven Dynamic Factor Loadings |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
33 |
| Cointegration in a historical perspective |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
143 |
| Combining expert‐adjusted forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
20 |
| Comparing the accuracy of multivariate density forecasts in selected regions of the copula support |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
75 |
| Contagion as a domino effect in global stock markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
125 |
2 |
2 |
16 |
474 |
| Corporate Governance and Performance during the Aftermath of the 1994 Mexican Crisis |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
| Corporate Governance and the Value of Excess Cash Holdings of Large European Firms |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
67 |
| Corporate governance and performance during normal and crisis periods: evidence from an emerging market perspective |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
25 |
| Crisis macroeconómica y desempeño de la empresa individual. La experiencia mexicana |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
246 |
| Do Leading Indicators Lead Peaks More Than Troughs? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
0 |
2 |
22 |
262 |
| Does Africa grow slower than Asia, Latin America and the Middle East? Evidence from a new data-based classification method |
0 |
0 |
1 |
167 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
407 |
| Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real time? |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
30 |
31 |
| Forecast comparison of principal component regression and principal covariate regression |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
220 |
| Forecasting S&P 500 volatility: Long memory, level shifts, leverage effects, day-of-the-week seasonality, and macroeconomic announcements |
1 |
1 |
2 |
172 |
1 |
6 |
17 |
461 |
| Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
1 |
25 |
81 |
| Forecasting aggregates using panels of nonlinear time series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
180 |
| Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Utilizing hourly prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
172 |
| Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
226 |
| Forecasting the Yield Curve in a Data‐Rich Environment Using the Factor‐Augmented Nelson–Siegel Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
79 |
| Forecasting volatility with the realized range in the presence of noise and non-trading |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
74 |
| Forecasting with Leading Indicators by means of the Principal Covariate Index |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
100 |
| Getting the most out of macroeconomic information for predicting excess stock returns |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
93 |
| Identifying Changes in Mean, Seasonality, Persistence and Volatility for G7 and Euro Area Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
101 |
| Instability and Nonlinearity in the Euro-Area Phillips Curve |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
368 |
| Intraday price discovery in fragmented markets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
88 |
| Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails |
1 |
1 |
4 |
119 |
2 |
5 |
36 |
387 |
| Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination |
0 |
0 |
2 |
302 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
672 |
| MULTIVARIATE STAR ANALYSIS OF MONEY–OUTPUT RELATIONSHIP |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
17 |
163 |
| Macroeconomic forecasting with matched principal components |
1 |
1 |
2 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
207 |
| Market Set‐up in Advance of Federal Reserve Policy Rate Decisions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
25 |
| Measuring and predicting heterogeneous recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
110 |
| Measuring volatility with the realized range |
0 |
1 |
5 |
237 |
1 |
8 |
31 |
706 |
| Modeling and estimation of synchronization in size-sorted portfolio returns |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
15 |
| Modelling regional house prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
39 |
1 |
2 |
24 |
148 |
| Moments, shocks and spillovers in Markov-switching VAR models |
0 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
1 |
3 |
70 |
99 |
| New HEAVY Models for Fat-Tailed Realized Covariances and Returns |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
2 |
26 |
41 |
| Nonlinear forecasting with many predictors using kernel ridge regression |
0 |
1 |
3 |
25 |
2 |
4 |
30 |
139 |
| On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting |
0 |
0 |
0 |
206 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
679 |
| On the dynamics of business cycle analysis: editors' introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
13 |
| On the dynamics of business cycle analysis: editors' introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
221 |
| Order flow and volatility: An empirical investigation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
109 |
| Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
166 |
| Paul D. McNelis, Neural networks in finance--gaining predictive edge in the market, Elsevier Academic Press (2005) ISBN 0-12-485967-4 hardcover, 243 pages |
0 |
0 |
0 |
217 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
679 |
| Predicting the Daily Covariance Matrix for S&P 100 Stocks Using Intraday Data—But Which Frequency to Use? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
174 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
703 |
| Predicting volatility and correlations with Financial Conditions Indexes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
2 |
2 |
18 |
104 |
| Private Equity Recommitment Strategies for Institutional Investors |
1 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
3 |
8 |
58 |
65 |
| Range-Based Covariance Estimation Using High-Frequency Data: The Realized Co-Range -super-* |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
2 |
3 |
15 |
140 |
| Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with leading indicators: An empirical comparison |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
265 |
| Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with leading indicators: An empirical comparison |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
58 |
| Reply |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
103 |
| SMOOTH TRANSITION AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS — A SURVEY OF RECENT DEVELOPMENTS |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2,460 |
5 |
6 |
46 |
4,839 |
| Sample size, lag order and critical values of seasonal unit root tests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
112 |
| Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy* |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
109 |
| Short patches of outliers, ARCH and volatility modelling |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
0 |
4 |
18 |
229 |
| Slow Expectation–Maximization Convergence in Low‐Noise Dynamic Factor Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
14 |
| Speed, algorithmic trading, and market quality around macroeconomic news announcements |
0 |
0 |
1 |
85 |
6 |
13 |
35 |
359 |
| Stock selection strategies in emerging markets |
0 |
0 |
1 |
283 |
2 |
2 |
14 |
826 |
| Structural Breaks in the International Dynamics of Inflation |
0 |
1 |
1 |
69 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
221 |
| Structural differences in economic growth: an endogenous clustering approach |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
188 |
| Testing for ARCH in the Presence of Additive Outliers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
213 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
803 |
| Testing for Smooth Transition Nonlinearity in the Presence of Outliers |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
525 |
| Testing for Volatility Changes in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
1 |
1 |
286 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
771 |
| Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
217 |
| The economic value of fundamental and technical information in emerging currency markets |
0 |
0 |
1 |
170 |
2 |
4 |
17 |
513 |
| The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
84 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
478 |
| The euro introduction and noneuro currencies |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
209 |
| The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
74 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
289 |
| The success of stock selection strategies in emerging markets: Is it risk or behavioral bias? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
75 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
251 |
| Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1,703 |
| Twenty years of cointegration |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
97 |
| When Do Managers Seek Private Equity Backing in Public-to-Private Transactions? |
0 |
0 |
1 |
31 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
138 |
| Total Journal Articles |
9 |
20 |
64 |
7,860 |
68 |
189 |
1,332 |
26,188 |