Access Statistics for Simon van Norden

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 413 1 2 9 1,450
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 384 0 3 8 1,413
Are We There Yet? Looking for the New Economy 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 132
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Detect Bubbles? 0 0 0 462 3 6 23 1,331
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Detect Bubbles? 0 0 0 153 0 3 10 1,054
Calibration and Resolution Diagnostics for Bank of England Density Forecasts 0 0 0 81 0 1 7 183
Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation 0 0 0 26 0 2 14 95
Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation 0 0 0 18 0 2 18 79
Current Trends in the Analysis of Canadian Productivity Growth 0 0 0 25 0 1 7 79
Data-Driven Learning About Trend Productivity Growth 0 1 16 16 2 7 32 32
Data-Driven Learning About Trend Productivity Growth 1 1 6 6 1 2 15 15
Employment Reconciliation and Nowcasting 0 0 0 17 1 2 17 70
Estimates of Québec’s Growth Uncertainty 0 0 0 12 0 3 10 30
Excess Volatility and Speculative Bubbles in the Canadian Dollar: Real of Imagined? 0 0 0 107 0 1 8 1,606
Exchange Rates and Oil Prices 0 0 2 2,632 1 4 16 8,811
Exchange Rates and Order Flow in the Long Run 0 0 0 144 0 1 10 488
FISCAL SURPRISES AT THE FOMC 0 0 0 54 0 2 9 97
Fads or Bubbles? 0 0 0 698 0 4 16 3,818
Fads or Bubbles? 0 0 0 210 0 5 18 1,507
Filtering for Current Analysis 0 0 0 209 0 2 9 549
Fiscal Forecasts at the FOMC: Evidence from the Greenbooks 0 0 0 41 1 3 9 99
Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC 0 0 0 20 1 2 3 37
Fiscal policy: ex ante and ex post 0 0 0 80 1 3 6 135
How Precise are Our Estimates of the Current Output Gap? New Evidence from Multivariate Estimates for the Euro-Zone 0 0 0 0 0 3 10 288
La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada 0 0 0 98 0 3 12 564
Lessons From the Latest Data on U.S. Productivity 0 0 0 18 0 1 11 102
Lessons From the Latest Data on U.S. Productivity 0 0 0 36 0 1 3 91
Lessons from the latest data on U.S. productivity 0 0 0 24 0 1 6 96
Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada 0 1 1 489 3 7 24 2,442
Modeling Multivariate Data Revisions 0 0 0 34 0 2 13 101
Oil Prices and the Rise and Fall of the U.S. Real Exchange Rate 0 0 0 1,391 0 9 69 4,000
On the Correspondence Between Data Revision and Trend-Cycle Decomposition 0 0 0 66 0 1 6 146
On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition 0 0 0 7 1 5 17 71
QUAND ON A VU UNE CRISE FINANCIÈRE… 0 0 0 1 0 2 6 13
Reconsidering Cointegration in International Finance: Three Case Studies of Size Distortion in Finite Samples 0 0 0 258 0 4 7 1,981
Regime Switching as a Test for Exchange Rate Bubbles 0 0 1 776 1 4 17 2,548
Regime Switching in Stock Market Returns 3 5 14 2,659 10 45 115 7,033
Regime-Switching Models, A guide to the Bank of Canada Gauss Procedures 0 0 0 412 0 3 9 2,154
Regime-Switching Models: A Guide to the Bank of Canada Gauss Procedures 0 0 0 1,092 0 2 11 2,677
Smooth and persistent forecasts of German GDP: Balancing accuracy and stability 1 2 15 15 3 6 16 16
Speculative Behaviour, Regime-Switching and Stock Market Crashes 0 0 0 469 0 5 17 2,788
Speculative Behaviour, Regime-Switching, and Stock Market Crashes 0 0 0 1,209 0 9 17 4,587
THE CALIBRATION OF PROBABILISTIC ECONOMIC FORECASTS 0 0 0 58 1 6 13 110
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms Under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 155 0 4 14 1,041
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 47 2 3 12 256
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 47 1 8 19 269
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 32 1 2 6 139
Testing for Recent Trends in US Productivity Growth 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 242
The Calibration of Probabilistic Economic Forecasts 0 0 0 99 0 1 8 263
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 340 0 1 10 1,067
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 1 343 1 3 18 806
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gaps in Real Time 0 0 0 0 3 6 17 443
The Reliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 422 1 15 23 1,719
The Unreliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 500 1 10 19 1,580
The credibility of monetary policy: a survey of the literature with some simple applications to Caanda 0 0 0 553 0 4 13 2,024
The reliability of Canadian output gap estimates 0 0 0 90 0 4 16 360
The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time 0 0 0 323 1 3 17 909
The reliability of output gap estimates in real time 0 0 1 281 1 10 19 1,318
Trend-Cycle Decomposition: Implications from an Exact Structural Identification 0 0 0 27 0 2 5 59
Trend-cycle decomposition: implications from an exact structural identification 0 0 0 95 2 7 22 184
Unit Root Tests and the Burden of Proof 0 0 0 595 0 5 34 3,081
Unit-Root Test and Excess Returns 0 0 0 155 0 3 16 1,733
WHEN YOU’VE SEEN ONE FINANCIAL CRISIS… 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7
When You've Seen One Financial Crisis… 0 0 0 122 0 1 5 137
Why Is It So Hard to Measure the Current Output Gap? 0 0 0 458 1 9 18 3,083
Total Working Papers 5 10 57 19,604 46 288 1,006 75,638

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 81 0 1 9 399
Are Underwriting Cycles Real and Forecastable? 1 2 8 35 4 7 27 134
Assessing gross domestic product and inflation probability forecasts derived from Bank of England fan charts 0 0 0 37 0 1 9 88
Asymmetry in unemployment rate forecast errors 0 0 0 15 1 4 10 74
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Reliably Detect Bubbles? 0 0 0 88 1 4 11 327
Can GDP Measurement Be Further Improved? Data Revision and Reconciliation 0 0 3 15 0 3 17 52
Current trends in the analysis of Canadian productivity growth 0 0 0 13 0 1 8 113
Employment reconciliation and nowcasting 0 0 0 4 1 5 17 35
Exchange rate fundamentals and the Canadian dollar 0 0 2 72 0 2 11 260
Exchange rates and order flow in the long run 0 0 0 43 0 1 7 227
Fads or bubbles? 0 0 0 236 1 2 20 1,100
Filtres pour l’analyse courante 0 0 0 6 0 1 8 62
Fiscal Forecasts at the FOMC: Evidence from the Greenbooks 0 0 2 14 0 6 21 98
Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC 0 0 0 3 0 3 10 35
Kernel-based calibration diagnostics for recession and inflation probability forecasts 0 0 0 17 0 2 11 92
Modeling data revisions: Measurement error and dynamics of "true" values 0 0 4 170 1 6 27 456
Oil prices and the rise and fall of the US real exchange rate 0 0 4 658 1 7 36 1,944
On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition 0 0 0 27 0 1 5 120
Regime Switching as a Test for Exchange Rate Bubbles 0 0 0 225 1 3 25 822
Regime switching in stock market returns 1 5 5 416 4 20 48 1,083
TREND IN CYCLE OR CYCLE IN TREND? NEW STRUCTURAL IDENTIFICATIONS FOR UNOBSERVED-COMPONENTS MODELS OF U.S. REAL GDP 0 0 1 30 2 4 13 88
Terms of trade and real exchange rates: the Canadian evidence 0 1 4 791 1 6 25 1,625
The Predictability of Stock Market Regime: Evidence from the Toronto Stock Exchange 0 0 2 334 1 5 14 1,122
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 1 2 6 39 1,455
The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time 1 3 8 960 9 34 82 2,693
The reliability of Canadian output-gap estimates 0 0 0 71 0 3 11 241
Why are initial estimates of productivity growth so unreliable? 0 0 0 9 1 5 13 81
Total Journal Articles 3 11 43 4,371 31 143 534 14,826

Software Item File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A program to compute long-run covariance matrices 0 0 4 711 1 5 25 2,558
GAUSS code for the Hodrick-Prescott filter 0 0 1 1,872 1 6 18 4,449
RESDIAG: RATS module to perform residual diagnostics 0 0 1 581 0 4 10 1,713
ROLLREG: RATS module to perform rolling and moving-window regressions 0 0 0 529 1 5 11 1,431
Total Software Items 0 0 6 3,693 3 20 64 10,151

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Statistics updated 2026-06-04