Access Statistics for Simon van Norden

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 384 1 1 9 1,414
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 413 1 3 12 1,453
Are We There Yet? Looking for the New Economy 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 132
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Detect Bubbles? 0 1 1 463 1 3 25 1,334
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Detect Bubbles? 0 0 0 153 0 0 10 1,054
Calibration and Resolution Diagnostics for Bank of England Density Forecasts 0 0 0 81 1 1 7 184
Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation 0 0 0 18 1 1 18 80
Can GDP measurement be further improved? Data revision and reconciliation 0 0 0 26 0 1 13 96
Current Trends in the Analysis of Canadian Productivity Growth 0 0 0 25 0 0 7 79
Data-Driven Learning About Trend Productivity Growth 0 0 6 6 0 1 16 16
Data-Driven Learning About Trend Productivity Growth 0 0 16 16 1 1 33 33
Employment Reconciliation and Nowcasting 0 0 0 17 0 0 17 70
Estimates of Québec’s Growth Uncertainty 0 0 0 12 1 1 11 31
Excess Volatility and Speculative Bubbles in the Canadian Dollar: Real of Imagined? 0 0 0 107 0 1 9 1,607
Exchange Rates and Oil Prices 0 1 3 2,633 0 1 16 8,812
Exchange Rates and Order Flow in the Long Run 0 0 0 144 0 0 10 488
FISCAL SURPRISES AT THE FOMC 0 0 0 54 1 2 10 99
Fads or Bubbles? 0 0 0 698 0 1 16 3,819
Fads or Bubbles? 0 0 0 210 2 2 19 1,509
Filtering for Current Analysis 0 0 0 209 0 0 9 549
Fiscal Forecasts at the FOMC: Evidence from the Greenbooks 0 0 0 41 0 1 10 100
Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC 0 0 0 20 1 1 4 38
Fiscal policy: ex ante and ex post 0 0 0 80 1 2 8 137
How Precise are Our Estimates of the Current Output Gap? New Evidence from Multivariate Estimates for the Euro-Zone 0 0 0 0 0 3 13 291
La fiabilité des estimations de l'écart de production au Canada 0 0 0 98 0 1 11 565
Lessons From the Latest Data on U.S. Productivity 0 0 0 18 1 1 10 103
Lessons From the Latest Data on U.S. Productivity 0 0 0 36 0 1 4 92
Lessons from the latest data on U.S. productivity 0 0 0 24 0 2 7 98
Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada 1 1 2 490 3 5 23 2,447
Modeling Multivariate Data Revisions 0 0 0 34 0 1 13 102
Oil Prices and the Rise and Fall of the U.S. Real Exchange Rate 0 0 0 1,391 2 5 74 4,005
On the Correspondence Between Data Revision and Trend-Cycle Decomposition 0 0 0 66 1 1 6 147
On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition 0 0 0 7 0 0 16 71
QUAND ON A VU UNE CRISE FINANCIÈRE… 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 13
Reconsidering Cointegration in International Finance: Three Case Studies of Size Distortion in Finite Samples 0 0 0 258 0 2 9 1,983
Regime Switching as a Test for Exchange Rate Bubbles 0 0 1 776 1 2 17 2,550
Regime Switching in Stock Market Returns 1 3 16 2,662 6 21 132 7,054
Regime-Switching Models, A guide to the Bank of Canada Gauss Procedures 0 0 0 412 0 0 9 2,154
Regime-Switching Models: A Guide to the Bank of Canada Gauss Procedures 0 0 0 1,092 0 0 11 2,677
Smooth and persistent forecasts of German GDP: Balancing accuracy and stability 0 1 16 16 0 3 19 19
Speculative Behaviour, Regime-Switching and Stock Market Crashes 0 0 0 469 1 1 18 2,789
Speculative Behaviour, Regime-Switching, and Stock Market Crashes 0 0 0 1,209 2 2 19 4,589
THE CALIBRATION OF PROBABILISTIC ECONOMIC FORECASTS 0 0 0 58 0 1 13 111
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms Under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 155 0 1 13 1,042
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 47 0 1 19 270
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 47 0 0 11 256
Testing Optimal Punishment Mechanisms under Price Regulation: the Case of the Retail Market for Gasoline 0 0 0 32 1 1 7 140
Testing for Recent Trends in US Productivity Growth 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 242
The Calibration of Probabilistic Economic Forecasts 0 0 0 99 0 0 8 263
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 340 0 0 7 1,067
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 343 2 3 20 809
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gaps in Real Time 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 443
The Reliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 422 3 6 27 1,725
The Unreliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 500 1 2 21 1,582
The credibility of monetary policy: a survey of the literature with some simple applications to Caanda 0 0 0 553 1 2 15 2,026
The reliability of Canadian output gap estimates 0 0 0 90 1 1 15 361
The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time 0 0 0 323 0 2 18 911
The reliability of output gap estimates in real time 0 0 1 281 1 2 21 1,320
Trend-Cycle Decomposition: Implications from an Exact Structural Identification 0 0 0 27 0 0 5 59
Trend-cycle decomposition: implications from an exact structural identification 0 0 0 95 0 1 22 185
Unit Root Tests and the Burden of Proof 0 0 0 595 4 5 35 3,086
Unit-Root Test and Excess Returns 0 0 0 155 1 2 16 1,735
WHEN YOU’VE SEEN ONE FINANCIAL CRISIS… 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 8
When You've Seen One Financial Crisis… 0 0 0 122 0 1 6 138
Why Is It So Hard to Measure the Current Output Gap? 0 0 0 458 2 2 20 3,085
Total Working Papers 2 7 62 19,611 47 109 1,064 75,747

Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Analytical Derivatives for Markov Switching Models 0 0 0 81 0 1 10 400
Are Underwriting Cycles Real and Forecastable? 0 0 7 35 2 3 28 137
Assessing gross domestic product and inflation probability forecasts derived from Bank of England fan charts 0 0 0 37 0 0 7 88
Asymmetry in unemployment rate forecast errors 0 0 0 15 0 0 9 74
Avoiding the Pitfalls: Can Regime-Switching Tests Reliably Detect Bubbles? 0 0 0 88 0 0 10 327
Can GDP Measurement Be Further Improved? Data Revision and Reconciliation 0 0 3 15 2 5 20 57
Current trends in the analysis of Canadian productivity growth 0 0 0 13 0 0 7 113
Employment reconciliation and nowcasting 0 0 0 4 0 2 17 37
Exchange rate fundamentals and the Canadian dollar 0 1 3 73 0 3 14 263
Exchange rates and order flow in the long run 0 0 0 43 1 3 10 230
Fads or bubbles? 0 0 0 236 0 2 22 1,102
Filtres pour l’analyse courante 0 0 0 6 0 0 7 62
Fiscal Forecasts at the FOMC: Evidence from the Greenbooks 0 0 1 14 0 1 16 99
Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC 0 0 0 3 0 1 11 36
Kernel-based calibration diagnostics for recession and inflation probability forecasts 0 0 0 17 0 5 14 97
Modeling data revisions: Measurement error and dynamics of "true" values 0 1 4 171 3 5 29 461
Oil prices and the rise and fall of the US real exchange rate 0 3 5 661 0 5 34 1,949
On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition 0 0 0 27 2 2 7 122
Regime Switching as a Test for Exchange Rate Bubbles 0 0 0 225 1 2 26 824
Regime switching in stock market returns 0 1 6 417 1 6 51 1,089
TREND IN CYCLE OR CYCLE IN TREND? NEW STRUCTURAL IDENTIFICATIONS FOR UNOBSERVED-COMPONENTS MODELS OF U.S. REAL GDP 0 1 2 31 0 1 13 89
Terms of trade and real exchange rates: the Canadian evidence 0 1 5 792 0 7 30 1,632
The Predictability of Stock Market Regime: Evidence from the Toronto Stock Exchange 0 0 2 334 0 0 14 1,122
The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time 0 0 0 1 1 4 36 1,459
The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time 2 5 11 965 7 27 98 2,720
The reliability of Canadian output-gap estimates 0 0 0 71 0 1 12 242
Why are initial estimates of productivity growth so unreliable? 0 0 0 9 1 2 15 83
Total Journal Articles 2 13 49 4,384 21 88 567 14,914

Software Item File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A program to compute long-run covariance matrices 0 0 3 711 1 2 23 2,560
GAUSS code for the Hodrick-Prescott filter 0 0 1 1,872 1 2 18 4,451
RESDIAG: RATS module to perform residual diagnostics 0 0 1 581 0 0 10 1,713
ROLLREG: RATS module to perform rolling and moving-window regressions 0 1 1 530 1 2 13 1,433
Total Software Items 0 1 6 3,694 3 6 64 10,157

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Statistics updated 2026-09-10