Access Statistics for Mark W. Watson
Author contact details at EconPapers.
| Working Paper |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
252 |
1 |
3 |
19 |
747 |
| A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
582 |
3 |
8 |
29 |
1,724 |
| A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1,471 |
1 |
3 |
25 |
4,244 |
| A Probability Model of The Coincident Economic Indicators |
1 |
2 |
6 |
1,538 |
4 |
8 |
34 |
3,215 |
| A Procedure for Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience |
0 |
0 |
0 |
700 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
1,671 |
| A Simple MLE of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems |
0 |
0 |
0 |
145 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
490 |
| A procedure for predicting recessions with leading indicators: econometric issues and recent performance |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
619 |
| A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
38 |
1,499 |
| Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends |
0 |
0 |
2 |
42 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
123 |
| Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
2 |
2 |
21 |
99 |
| Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
2 |
2 |
20 |
92 |
| Aggregate Shocks and the Variability of Industrial Production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
14 |
118 |
| An Econometric Model of International Long-run Growth Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
112 |
1 |
1 |
23 |
153 |
| Are Business Cycles All Alike? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
310 |
0 |
1 |
18 |
717 |
| Asymptotically Median Unbiased Estimation of Coefficient Variance in a Time Varying Parameter Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
510 |
1 |
2 |
45 |
2,717 |
| Bubbles, Rational Expectations and Financial Markets |
1 |
4 |
12 |
2,533 |
3 |
14 |
129 |
4,983 |
| Business Cycle Durations and Postwar Stabilization of the U.S. Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
71 |
74 |
103 |
1,637 |
| Business Cycle Fluctuations in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
4 |
2,357 |
3 |
6 |
55 |
5,444 |
| Business Cycle Properties of Selected U.S. Economic Time Series, 1959-1988 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
224 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
716 |
| Business cycle durations and postwar stabilization of the U.S. economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
47 |
321 |
| Consistent Factor Estimation in Dynamic Factor Models with Structural Instability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
75 |
| Consistent factor estimation in dynamic factor models with structural instability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
1 |
1 |
9 |
59 |
| Core Inflation and Trend Inflation |
0 |
0 |
5 |
190 |
2 |
4 |
24 |
499 |
| Diffusion Indexes |
1 |
1 |
5 |
1,455 |
3 |
5 |
45 |
3,044 |
| Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-2009 Recession |
0 |
0 |
9 |
406 |
2 |
6 |
51 |
1,291 |
| Dynamic Factor Models |
1 |
1 |
9 |
131 |
7 |
11 |
50 |
351 |
| Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
251 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
693 |
| Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
313 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
1,207 |
| Estimating Deterministic Trends in the Presence of Serially Correlated Errors |
0 |
1 |
1 |
168 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
687 |
| Estimating Turning Points Using Large Data Sets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
255 |
2 |
2 |
10 |
594 |
| Estimating deterministic trends in the presence of serially correlated errors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
11 |
346 |
| Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
850 |
2 |
4 |
28 |
2,088 |
| Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic times series relations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
28 |
652 |
| Financial Conditions Indexes: A Fresh Look after the Financial Crisis |
1 |
3 |
14 |
507 |
4 |
10 |
66 |
1,280 |
| Forecasting Inflation |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3,395 |
0 |
1 |
26 |
7,806 |
| Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
908 |
1 |
2 |
26 |
2,120 |
| Forecasting the Covid Surge in Inflation |
8 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
| Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,890 |
1 |
4 |
19 |
4,695 |
| Heteroskedasticity-Robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression |
0 |
0 |
3 |
24 |
0 |
2 |
33 |
126 |
| Heteroskedasticity-Robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1,041 |
1 |
6 |
35 |
4,400 |
| How Precise are Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,063 |
3 |
6 |
22 |
4,339 |
| Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects in Macroeconomics Using External Instruments |
0 |
1 |
2 |
110 |
2 |
3 |
24 |
238 |
| Implications of Dynamic Factor Models for VAR Analysis |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1,637 |
1 |
5 |
53 |
4,114 |
| Inflation and Unit Labor Cost |
0 |
0 |
0 |
129 |
3 |
3 |
13 |
348 |
| Interpreting Evidence on Money-Income Causality |
0 |
0 |
0 |
316 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
749 |
| Long-Run Covariability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
98 |
| Low-Frequency Econometrics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
116 |
4 |
5 |
26 |
186 |
| Low-Frequency Robust Cointegration Testing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
186 |
| Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information |
0 |
0 |
0 |
683 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
1,853 |
| Measures of Fit for Calibrated Models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97 |
1 |
1 |
78 |
555 |
| Measures of fit for calibrated models |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
256 |
| Measuring Uncertainty About Long-Run Forecasts |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
36 |
| Measuring Uncertainty about Long-Run Prediction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
135 |
| Measuring changes in the value of the numeraire |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
101 |
| Measuring changes in the value of the numeraire |
0 |
0 |
1 |
96 |
0 |
3 |
25 |
440 |
| Modeling Inflation After the Crisis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
416 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
990 |
| Money, prices, interest rates and the business cycle |
0 |
0 |
1 |
212 |
1 |
4 |
28 |
2,013 |
| NEW INDEXES OF COINCIDENT AND LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
3 |
5 |
26 |
2,582 |
| Phillips Curve Inflation Forecasts |
0 |
2 |
2 |
965 |
0 |
7 |
40 |
2,473 |
| Presidents and the U.S. Economy: An Econometric Exploration |
0 |
0 |
2 |
61 |
8 |
12 |
89 |
214 |
| Presidents and the U.S. Economy: An Econometric Exploration |
0 |
0 |
2 |
164 |
3 |
8 |
110 |
413 |
| Prices, Wages and the U.S. NAIRU in the 1990s |
0 |
0 |
0 |
373 |
3 |
3 |
14 |
1,149 |
| Recovering from COVID |
0 |
0 |
2 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
44 |
| Relative Goods' Prices, Pure Inflation, and the Phillips Correlation |
0 |
1 |
1 |
247 |
0 |
3 |
19 |
692 |
| Relative Goods? Prices and Pure Inflation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
78 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
569 |
| Seasonal Adjustment with Measurement Error Present |
0 |
0 |
0 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
263 |
| Sectoral vs. Aggregate Shocks: A Structural Factor Analysis of Industrial Production |
0 |
0 |
1 |
193 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
650 |
| Sectoral vs. aggregate shocks: a structural factor analysis of industrial production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
137 |
1 |
2 |
23 |
424 |
| Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation |
0 |
0 |
1 |
89 |
1 |
3 |
24 |
326 |
| Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations |
0 |
1 |
4 |
448 |
3 |
8 |
28 |
1,046 |
| Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,131 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
3,095 |
| Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
1 |
937 |
0 |
6 |
32 |
2,185 |
| Stochastic trends and economic fluctuations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
27 |
1,491 |
| Testing Long Run Neutrality |
0 |
0 |
0 |
375 |
3 |
4 |
19 |
1,170 |
| Testing Models of Low-Frequency Variability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
260 |
| Testing for Cointegration When Some of the Contributing Vectors are Known |
0 |
0 |
0 |
161 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
760 |
| Testing for cointegration when some of the cointegrating vectors are known |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
222 |
| Testing long run neutrality |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
362 |
| The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
158 |
| The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
148 |
| The Evolution of National and Regional Factors in U.S. Housing Construction |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
38 |
| The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting |
0 |
0 |
41 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
33 |
| The Road to Cyberinfrastructure at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
43 |
| The Slow Recovery in Output after 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
126 |
| The post-war U.S. Phillips curve: a revisionist econometric history |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
1,582 |
| The post-war U.S. Phillips curve: a revisionist econometric history: response to Evans and McCallum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
690 |
| Understanding Changes in International Business Cycle Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
1 |
756 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
2,305 |
| Vector autoregressions and cointegration |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
21 |
591 |
| Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast? |
1 |
2 |
2 |
817 |
2 |
5 |
25 |
2,008 |
| Total Working Papers |
14 |
29 |
159 |
35,213 |
183 |
337 |
2,315 |
108,096 |
| Journal Article |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Reexamination of Friedman's Consumption Puzzle: Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
61 |
| A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems |
0 |
1 |
5 |
1,734 |
10 |
20 |
78 |
4,278 |
| A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series |
0 |
4 |
8 |
429 |
4 |
16 |
95 |
1,332 |
| A dymimic model of housing price determination |
0 |
0 |
0 |
320 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
795 |
| A dynamic factor model framework for forecast combination |
0 |
0 |
1 |
470 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
1,239 |
| ABCs (and Ds) of Understanding VARs |
0 |
0 |
2 |
999 |
2 |
4 |
38 |
2,612 |
| Alternative algorithms for the estimation of dynamic factor, mimic and varying coefficient regression models |
1 |
1 |
4 |
568 |
2 |
2 |
20 |
1,092 |
| Assessing changes in the monetary transmission mechanism: a VAR approach: commentary |
0 |
0 |
0 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
163 |
| Bank Rate Policy under the Interwar Gold Standard: A Dynamic Probit Model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
287 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
1,052 |
| Business-Cycle Durations and Postwar Stabilization of the U.S. Economy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
239 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
1,014 |
| Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set |
1 |
2 |
7 |
292 |
4 |
8 |
43 |
927 |
| Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
19 |
| Comment on "On the Fit of a Neoclassical Monetary Model in Inflation: Israel 1972-1990." |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
71 |
| Commentary on \\"what's real about the business cycle?\\" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
122 |
| Consistent Estimation of the Number of Dynamic Factors in a Large N and T Panel |
0 |
0 |
0 |
289 |
0 |
2 |
42 |
851 |
| Consistent factor estimation in dynamic factor models with structural instability |
0 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
2 |
3 |
15 |
218 |
| Core Inflation and Trend Inflation |
0 |
1 |
8 |
163 |
2 |
12 |
63 |
647 |
| Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-09 Recession |
1 |
1 |
5 |
166 |
4 |
8 |
39 |
711 |
| Does GNP have a unit root? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
47 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
165 |
| Erratum to "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
24 |
190 |
| Estimating Deterministic Trends In The Presence Of Serially Correlated Errors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
105 |
2 |
2 |
13 |
384 |
| Estimating turning points using large data sets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
77 |
1 |
1 |
14 |
299 |
| Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
58 |
1,173 |
| Explaining the increased variability in long-term interest rates |
0 |
0 |
0 |
228 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
1,053 |
| Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices |
0 |
0 |
5 |
183 |
0 |
3 |
49 |
2,275 |
| Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors |
0 |
1 |
14 |
1,506 |
4 |
13 |
170 |
3,088 |
| Forecasting inflation |
3 |
6 |
21 |
1,710 |
8 |
20 |
109 |
4,321 |
| Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices |
0 |
0 |
1 |
564 |
2 |
5 |
33 |
1,528 |
| Generalized Shrinkage Methods for Forecasting Using Many Predictors |
0 |
0 |
1 |
146 |
1 |
3 |
27 |
553 |
| Has inflation become harder to forecast? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
96 |
| Has the business cycle changed? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
688 |
0 |
3 |
18 |
1,592 |
| Heteroskedasticity-Robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression |
0 |
1 |
25 |
205 |
0 |
6 |
92 |
755 |
| How Have Changing Sectoral Trends Affected GDP Growth? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
62 |
| How accurate are real-time estimates of output trends and gaps? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
128 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
320 |
| Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects in Macroeconomics Using External Instruments |
0 |
1 |
9 |
69 |
7 |
14 |
75 |
421 |
| Imperfect Information and Wage Inertia in the Business Cycle: A Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
75 |
| Indicators for Dating Business Cycles: Cross-History Selection and Comparisons |
1 |
1 |
1 |
79 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
270 |
| Inference in Linear Time Series Models with Some Unit Roots |
2 |
5 |
12 |
1,764 |
8 |
20 |
92 |
4,475 |
| Inflation Persistence, the NAIRU, and the Great Recession |
0 |
0 |
0 |
76 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
293 |
| Inflation and Unit Labor Cost |
0 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
377 |
| Interpreting the evidence on money-income causality |
0 |
0 |
1 |
186 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
443 |
| Is Seasonal Adjustment a Linear or Nonlinear Data-Filtering Process? Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
69 |
| Journal of Applied Econometrics Annual Lecture Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
164 |
| Long†Run Covariability |
0 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
91 |
| Low cost light traps for coral reef fishery research and sustainable ornamental fisheries |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
58 |
| Low-frequency robust cointegration testing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
128 |
| MTS: A Review |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
100 |
| Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
14 |
100 |
2,930 |
| Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information |
0 |
0 |
1 |
336 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
855 |
| Market anticipations of monetary policy actions - commentary |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
91 |
| Measures of Fit for Calibrated Models |
1 |
1 |
2 |
479 |
1 |
4 |
20 |
1,417 |
| Measuring Uncertainty about Long-Run Predictions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
124 |
| Modeling inflation after the crisis |
0 |
0 |
2 |
188 |
1 |
3 |
28 |
794 |
| Money, Prices, Interest Rates and the Business Cycle |
0 |
0 |
3 |
743 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
2,351 |
| Nearly Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Under the Null Hypothesis |
0 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
67 |
| Oil Shocks and Aggregate Macroeconomic Behavior: The Role of Monetary Policy: Reply |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
28 |
970 |
| On the sources of the Great Moderation - discussion |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
63 |
| Phillips curve inflation forecasts |
0 |
0 |
1 |
221 |
2 |
5 |
27 |
759 |
| Presidents and the US Economy: An Econometric Exploration |
0 |
0 |
4 |
171 |
14 |
29 |
75 |
1,015 |
| Recent changes in trend and cycle, remarks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
35 |
| Recollections of Clive Granger |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
54 |
| Recursive solution methods for dynamic linear rational expectations models |
0 |
0 |
1 |
83 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
201 |
| Rejoinder to Evans and McCallum |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
81 |
| Relative Goods' Prices, Pure Inflation, and the Phillips Correlation |
0 |
0 |
0 |
444 |
2 |
3 |
21 |
1,543 |
| Sectoral versus Aggregate Shocks: A Structural Factor Analysis of Industrial Production |
0 |
0 |
8 |
426 |
0 |
3 |
63 |
1,454 |
| Special Section on Consumer Price Research: Introduction |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
285 |
| Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations |
2 |
2 |
6 |
2,499 |
6 |
14 |
74 |
6,568 |
| System Reduction and Solution Algorithms for Singular Linear Difference Systems under Rational Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
480 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
834 |
| Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks |
5 |
9 |
23 |
657 |
15 |
56 |
176 |
2,333 |
| Temporal instability of the unemployment-inflation relationship |
0 |
0 |
0 |
214 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
600 |
| Testing Models of Low-Frequency Variability |
0 |
0 |
0 |
42 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
280 |
| Testing for Cointegration When Some of the Cointegrating Vectors are Prespecified |
0 |
0 |
0 |
43 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
211 |
| Testing for Regression Coefficient Stability with a Stationary AR(1) Alternative |
0 |
0 |
0 |
123 |
0 |
1 |
12 |
616 |
| Testing long-run neutrality |
0 |
0 |
3 |
758 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
1,831 |
| Testing the interpretation of indices in a macroeconomic index model |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
159 |
| The Disappointing Recovery in U.S. Output after 2009 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
62 |
| The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
45 |
2 |
3 |
24 |
215 |
| The Macroeconomic Causes and Consequences of Inflation |
0 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
9 |
| The NAIRU, Unemployment and Monetary Policy |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1,372 |
1 |
3 |
23 |
5,539 |
| The Solution of Singular Linear Difference Systems under Rational Expectations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
1,440 |
| The convergence of multivariate unit root distributions to their asymptotic limits: The case of money-income causality |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
48 |
| The post-war U.S. phillips curve: a revisionist econometric history |
0 |
0 |
0 |
540 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
1,054 |
| Twenty Years of Time Series Econometrics in Ten Pictures |
0 |
0 |
1 |
98 |
3 |
4 |
24 |
407 |
| Understanding Changes In International Business Cycle Dynamics |
0 |
0 |
0 |
523 |
1 |
2 |
16 |
1,830 |
| Univariate detrending methods with stochastic trends |
1 |
1 |
2 |
553 |
3 |
4 |
24 |
1,119 |
| Using econometric models to predict recessions |
0 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
290 |
| Variable Trends in Economic Time Series |
0 |
0 |
0 |
837 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
1,634 |
| Vector Autoregressions |
1 |
2 |
30 |
1,851 |
2 |
14 |
259 |
4,210 |
| Vector Autoregressions and Reality: Comment |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
79 |
| What Does Sectoral Inflation Tell Us About the Aggregate Trend in Inflation? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
57 |
| Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast? |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,115 |
7 |
21 |
87 |
3,225 |
| Total Journal Articles |
19 |
44 |
228 |
29,240 |
140 |
402 |
2,823 |
91,761 |
| Chapter |
File Downloads |
Abstract Views |
| Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
Last month |
3 months |
12 months |
Total |
| A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience |
0 |
0 |
1 |
202 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
478 |
| Are Business Cycles All Alike? |
0 |
1 |
2 |
260 |
0 |
4 |
35 |
839 |
| Business cycle fluctuations in us macroeconomic time series |
1 |
3 |
12 |
2,982 |
3 |
8 |
84 |
7,041 |
| Comment on "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification" 2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
33 |
| Comment on "On the Empirical (Ir)relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint" |
0 |
1 |
4 |
43 |
0 |
1 |
16 |
97 |
| Comment on "Shocks and Crashes" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
41 |
| Comment on "Tradeoffs and Sacrifice over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level" 2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
7 |
| Comment on "Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
79 |
| Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics |
5 |
9 |
36 |
807 |
19 |
34 |
184 |
2,215 |
| Forecasting with Many Predictors |
1 |
1 |
3 |
792 |
1 |
6 |
44 |
2,022 |
| Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? |
0 |
0 |
3 |
442 |
0 |
23 |
95 |
1,277 |
| How Precise Are Estimates of the Natural Rate of Unemployment? |
1 |
2 |
2 |
203 |
2 |
4 |
40 |
869 |
| Introduction to "Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting" |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
252 |
| New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1,390 |
5 |
9 |
79 |
3,183 |
| Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations |
1 |
1 |
1 |
289 |
1 |
2 |
26 |
1,065 |
| Time series and spectral methods in econometrics |
0 |
0 |
1 |
500 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
1,052 |
| Vector autoregressions and cointegration |
0 |
0 |
5 |
862 |
1 |
1 |
31 |
1,846 |
| Total Chapters |
9 |
18 |
72 |
8,904 |
34 |
98 |
702 |
22,396 |
|
|
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