Access Statistics for Yongchen Zhao

Author contact details at EconPapers.

Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Could Diffusion Indexes Have Forecasted the Great Depression? 0 0 0 17 2 2 4 24
Determinants of Consumer Sentiment over Business Cycles: Evidence from the U.S. Surveys of Consumers 0 1 1 43 2 4 5 101
Determinants of Consumer Sentiment: Evidence from Household Survey Data 0 2 6 110 0 3 14 250
Forecasting Consumption in Real Time: The Role of Consumer Confidence Surveys 0 0 0 81 1 2 5 259
Forecasting Consumption: The Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors 0 0 1 62 2 4 8 236
Inflation Expectations in India: Learning from Household Tendency Surveys 0 0 1 76 1 2 7 238
International Propagation of Shocks: A Dynamic Factor Model Using Survey Forecasts 0 1 1 56 0 1 3 86
Machine Learning and Forecast Combination in Incomplete Panels 0 0 0 36 0 0 1 123
Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors 0 0 0 32 0 0 1 49
Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set 0 0 0 58 0 0 2 67
Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set 0 0 0 5 1 1 4 30
Quantifying Heterogeneous Survey Expectations: The Carlson-Parkin Method Revisited 1 1 2 44 2 3 9 161
Robustness of Forecast Combination in Unstable Environment: A Monte Carlo Study of Advanced Algorithms 0 0 0 35 1 2 5 46
Robustness of Forecast Combination in Unstable Environment: A Monte Carlo Study of Advanced Algorithms 0 0 0 46 0 0 2 66
Testing the Value of Probability Forecasts for Calibrated Combining 0 0 0 10 1 1 3 60
The Nordhaus Test with Many Zeros 0 0 0 11 3 3 5 38
The Nordhaus Test with Many Zeros 0 0 1 7 1 1 3 26
The Yield Spread Puzzle and the Information Content of SPF Forecasts 0 0 0 16 1 1 3 93
The yield spread puzzle and the information content of SPF forecasts 0 0 0 31 0 0 0 87
Uncertainty and Disagreement of Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Household-Level Qualitative Survey Responses 0 0 0 33 1 1 4 51
Uncertainty of Household Inflation Expectations: Reconciling Point and Density Forecasts 0 0 0 14 1 1 4 18
Updates to Household Inflation Expectations: Signal or Noise? 0 0 0 25 1 3 6 37
Total Working Papers 1 5 13 848 21 35 98 2,146


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
Determinants of Consumer Sentiment Over Business Cycles: Evidence from the US Surveys of Consumers 0 1 1 26 1 3 11 88
Forecasting Consumption: the Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors 0 0 0 16 4 5 10 70
Inflation expectations in India: Learning from household tendency surveys 2 2 6 40 4 4 16 115
Internal consistency of household inflation expectations: Point forecasts vs. density forecasts 0 0 0 1 1 3 5 10
International propagation of shocks: A dynamic factor model using survey forecasts 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 36
Modeling Hedge Fund Returns: Selection, Nonlinearity and Managerial Efficiency 0 0 0 6 1 1 1 34
Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors 0 0 1 3 3 3 4 21
Online learning and forecast combination in unbalanced panels 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 33
Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set 1 1 2 23 2 3 7 65
Quantifying survey expectations: A critical review and generalization of the Carlson–Parkin method 0 0 1 24 0 0 2 77
Sports team performance and revenue of out-of-stadium vending operations 0 0 1 4 0 0 2 12
Testing the value of probability forecasts for calibrated combining 0 0 0 3 0 1 3 30
The Nordhaus test with many zeros 0 0 0 3 0 1 4 35
The robustness of forecast combination in unstable environments: a Monte Carlo study of advanced algorithms 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 8
The yield spread puzzle and the information content of SPF forecasts 0 0 0 25 0 0 4 104
Uncertainty and disagreement of inflation expectations: Evidence from household‐level qualitative survey responses 0 1 1 10 0 3 5 26
Uncertainty of household inflation expectations: Reconciling point and density forecasts 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 4
Updates to household inflation expectations: Signal or noise? 0 0 0 6 0 0 5 29
Total Journal Articles 3 6 14 202 17 29 84 797


Statistics updated 2025-11-08